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Bochum v Borussia M.Gladbach — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Saturday 31 August 2024 · GER-Bundesliga · 2425

Bundesliga xG

Bochum
0–2
0.92 – 2.67 xG
Borussia M.Gladbach
Shots
15 – 15
On target
4 – 5
Shots in box
6 – 12
xG per shot
0.06 – 0.18
Set-piece xG
0.10 – 0.00
Goals − xG
-0.92 – -0.68
Reading the xG timeline
Each step up is a shot; the height of the step is how good the chance was. Dots mark goals. A side whose line climbs steadily created chances all match. A side that scored while its line stayed flat took a rare chance — that is finishing luck, and it rarely repeats.

Expected goals by minute

0.00.81.52.33.00'15'30'45'60'75'90'Tim Kleindienst 66' — goalFranck Honorat 77' — goal
Bochum 0.92 xGBorussia M.Gladbach 2.68 xG
Reading the shot map
Each circle is a shot, placed where it was taken. Bigger means a better chance; filled circles are goals. Clusters near the goal mean a side worked good openings; lots of small circles far out means shooting from poor positions and hoping. Hover any circle for the player, minute and chance quality.

Shot map

Erhan Masovic 1' — Saved Shot (0.08 xG, Open Play)Tim Kleindienst 4' — Blocked Shot (0.03 xG, Open Play)Ibrahima Sissoko 7' — Missed Shot (0.02 xG, Open Play)Maximilian Wittek 9' — Blocked Shot (0.01 xG, Open Play)Philipp Hofmann 15' — Missed Shot (0.04 xG, Open Play)Philipp Hofmann 22' — Blocked Shot (0.04 xG, Set Piece)Kevin Stöger 24' — Blocked Shot (0.09 xG, Open Play)Kevin Stöger 25' — Missed Shot (0.03 xG, Open Play)Alassane Pléa 28' — Blocked Shot (0.04 xG, Open Play)Alassane Pléa 29' — Blocked Shot (0.08 xG, Open Play)Franck Honorat 29' — Blocked Shot (0.08 xG, Open Play)Philipp Sander 29' — Missed Shot (0.02 xG, Open Play)Aliou Balde 46' — Missed Shot (0.03 xG, Open Play)Myron Boadu 47' — Missed Shot (0.04 xG, Open Play)Aliou Balde 50' — Blocked Shot (0.05 xG, Open Play)Franck Honorat 54' — Shot On Post (0.30 xG, Open Play)Philipp Sander 54' — Missed Shot (0.05 xG, Open Play)Aliou Balde 60' — Saved Shot (0.02 xG, From Corner)Philipp Hofmann 64' — Missed Shot (0.39 xG, Open Play)Tim Kleindienst 66' — Goal (0.83 xG, Open Play)Julian Weigl 70' — Saved Shot (0.02 xG, Open Play)Maximilian Wittek 75' — Missed Shot (0.02 xG, From Corner)Franck Honorat 75' — Saved Shot (0.11 xG, Open Play)Lukas Daschner 76' — Saved Shot (0.12 xG, Open Play)Franck Honorat 77' — Goal (0.77 xG, Open Play)Maximilian Wittek 83' — Saved Shot (0.01 xG, Open Play)Nathan N'Goumou Minpol 85' — Saved Shot (0.09 xG, Open Play)Erhan Masovic 87' — Missed Shot (0.02 xG, Open Play)Tomás Cvancara 89' — Missed Shot (0.14 xG, Open Play)Mats Pannewig 92' — Missed Shot (0.02 xG, Set Piece)
Bochum attacking right Borussia M.Gladbach attacking left Marker size is xG; filled markers are goals.

Every shot

MinTeamPlayerxG SituationBody partResultAssisted by
1' Bochum Erhan Masovic 0.08 Open Play Right Foot Saved Shot Ibrahima Sissoko
4' Borussia M.Gladbach Tim Kleindienst 0.03 Open Play Left Foot Blocked Shot Kevin Stöger
7' Bochum Ibrahima Sissoko 0.02 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot Maximilian Wittek
9' Bochum Maximilian Wittek 0.01 Open Play Left Foot Blocked Shot —
15' Bochum Philipp Hofmann 0.04 Open Play Left Foot Missed Shot Anthony Losilla
22' Bochum Philipp Hofmann 0.04 Set Piece Right Foot Blocked Shot —
24' Borussia M.Gladbach Kevin Stöger 0.09 Open Play Left Foot Blocked Shot Luca Netz
25' Borussia M.Gladbach Kevin Stöger 0.03 Open Play Left Foot Missed Shot Julian Weigl
28' Borussia M.Gladbach Alassane Pléa 0.04 Open Play Left Foot Blocked Shot Kevin Stöger
29' Borussia M.Gladbach Alassane Pléa 0.08 Open Play Left Foot Blocked Shot Tim Kleindienst
29' Borussia M.Gladbach Franck Honorat 0.08 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot Kevin Stöger
29' Borussia M.Gladbach Philipp Sander 0.02 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot Franck Honorat
46' Bochum Aliou Balde 0.03 Open Play Left Foot Missed Shot Ibrahima Sissoko
47' Bochum Myron Boadu 0.04 Open Play Left Foot Missed Shot Maximilian Wittek
50' Bochum Aliou Balde 0.05 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot Matús Bero
54' Borussia M.Gladbach Franck Honorat 0.30 Open Play Right Foot Shot On Post Alassane Pléa
54' Borussia M.Gladbach Philipp Sander 0.05 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot —
60' Bochum Aliou Balde 0.02 From Corner Right Foot Saved Shot Matús Bero
64' Bochum Philipp Hofmann 0.39 Open Play — Missed Shot Aliou Balde
66' Borussia M.Gladbach Tim Kleindienst 0.83 Open Play — Goal Franck Honorat
70' Borussia M.Gladbach Julian Weigl 0.02 Open Play Right Foot Saved Shot Luca Netz
75' Bochum Maximilian Wittek 0.02 From Corner Right Foot Missed Shot —
75' Borussia M.Gladbach Franck Honorat 0.11 Open Play Right Foot Saved Shot Tim Kleindienst
76' Bochum Lukas Daschner 0.12 Open Play Right Foot Saved Shot Myron Boadu
77' Borussia M.Gladbach Franck Honorat 0.77 Open Play Right Foot Goal Tim Kleindienst
83' Bochum Maximilian Wittek 0.01 Open Play Left Foot Saved Shot —
85' Borussia M.Gladbach Nathan N'Goumou Minpol 0.09 Open Play Right Foot Saved Shot Kevin Stöger
87' Bochum Erhan Masovic 0.02 Open Play — Missed Shot Matús Bero
89' Borussia M.Gladbach Tomás Cvancara 0.14 Open Play Left Foot Missed Shot —
92' Bochum Mats Pannewig 0.02 Set Piece — Missed Shot Maximilian Wittek

Players

Borussia M.Gladbach

PlayerMinGA ShKPxGxA xGChain
Kevin Stöger AMC 90 0 0 2 4 0.12 0.25 1.74
Julian Weigl DMC 90 0 0 1 1 0.02 0.03 1.00
Ko Itakura DC 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 1.19
Joe Scally DR 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 1.03
Jonas Omlin GK 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 1.24
Nico Elvedi DC 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 1.35
Luca Netz DL 88 0 0 0 2 0.00 0.11 1.38
Franck Honorat AMR 83 1 1 4 2 1.26 0.86 2.34
Tim Kleindienst FW 83 1 1 2 3 0.87 0.95 1.84
Alassane Pléa AML 69 0 0 2 1 0.12 0.30 0.52
Philipp Sander DMC 69 0 0 2 0 0.07 0.00 1.45
Robin Hack Sub 21 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.02
Rocco Reitz Sub 21 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.90
Tomás Cvancara Sub 7 0 0 1 0 0.14 0.00 0.14
Nathan N'Goumou Minpol Sub 7 0 0 1 0 0.09 0.00 0.09
Stefan Lainer Sub 2 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00

Bochum

PlayerMinGA ShKPxGxA xGChain
Erhan Masovic DC 90 0 0 2 0 0.10 0.00 0.10
Maximilian Wittek DL 90 0 0 3 3 0.04 0.08 0.11
Dani de Wit AMC 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.16
Patrick Drewes GK 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.05
Matús Bero MC 90 0 0 0 3 0.00 0.09 0.27
Felix Passlack DR 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.45
Ibrahima Sissoko DMC 82 0 0 1 2 0.02 0.11 0.30
Jakov Medic DC 82 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.05
Philipp Hofmann FW 66 0 0 3 0 0.48 0.00 0.48
Moritz Broschinski FW 47 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Anthony Losilla MC 47 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.04 0.04
Aliou Balde Sub 43 0 0 3 1 0.10 0.39 0.48
Myron Boadu Sub 43 0 0 1 1 0.04 0.12 0.16
Lukas Daschner Sub 24 0 0 1 0 0.12 0.00 0.12
Mats Pannewig Sub 8 0 0 1 0 0.02 0.00 0.00
Tim Oermann Sub 8 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
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On this page

Match

What this page is for

One fixture in full. The model's probability for every market it prices, the prices stored against them, the teams expected to feature, and for a match already played, the shot map and the xG timeline.

How to read the shot map

Every shot is placed where it was taken and sized by its chance of being scored. A cluster of small marks from distance and a clean sheet is a side that was busy without ever threatening; two big marks and a defeat is a side that had the better of it and lost anyway. Both happen constantly, and both are invisible in the score.

How to read the xG timeline

The steps are chances as they arrived, so the shape shows who was on top and when. A flat line that jumps once near the end is a smash and grab.

Things to watch

The stored prediction is the one made before the match, kept deliberately so it can be judged afterwards. It is not re-fitted with hindsight.

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