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Bochum v FC Heidenheim — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Sunday 22 December 2024 · GER-Bundesliga · 2425

Bundesliga xG

2–0
1.68 – 0.51 xG
Shots
14 – 10
On target
4 – 2
Shots in box
10 – 5
xG per shot
0.12 – 0.05
Set-piece xG
0.45 – 0.11
Goals − xG
+0.32 – -0.51
Reading the xG timeline
Each step up is a shot; the height of the step is how good the chance was. Dots mark goals. A side whose line climbs steadily created chances all match. A side that scored while its line stayed flat took a rare chance — that is finishing luck, and it rarely repeats.

Expected goals by minute

0.00.50.91.41.90'15'30'45'60'75'90'Moritz Broschinski 5' — goalMatús Bero 37' — goal
Bochum 1.68 xGFC Heidenheim 0.51 xG
Reading the shot map
Each circle is a shot, placed where it was taken. Bigger means a better chance; filled circles are goals. Clusters near the goal mean a side worked good openings; lots of small circles far out means shooting from poor positions and hoping. Hover any circle for the player, minute and chance quality.

Shot map

Ivan Ordets 3' — Blocked Shot (0.08 xG, From Corner)Moritz Broschinski 5' — Goal (0.09 xG, Open Play)Jan Schöppner 7' — Blocked Shot (0.02 xG, Open Play)Mathias Honsak 12' — Missed Shot (0.09 xG, Direct Freekick)Ibrahima Sissoko 19' — Missed Shot (0.06 xG, Set Piece)Patrick Mainka 22' — Missed Shot (0.01 xG, Set Piece)Philipp Hofmann 24' — Blocked Shot (0.10 xG, Open Play)Marvin Pieringer 24' — Blocked Shot (0.06 xG, Open Play)Matús Bero 36' — Missed Shot (0.11 xG, Open Play)Matús Bero 37' — Goal (0.15 xG, Open Play)Ivan Ordets 43' — Missed Shot (0.07 xG, From Corner)Maximilian Wittek 46' — Blocked Shot (0.07 xG, Direct Freekick)Mathias Honsak 47' — Missed Shot (0.06 xG, Open Play)Felix Passlack 50' — Missed Shot (0.06 xG, Direct Freekick)Stefan Schimmer 65' — Blocked Shot (0.06 xG, Open Play)Matús Bero 67' — Missed Shot (0.33 xG, Open Play)Stefan Schimmer 68' — Saved Shot (0.07 xG, Open Play)Moritz Broschinski 70' — Blocked Shot (0.10 xG, Open Play)Maximilian Wittek 73' — Blocked Shot (0.09 xG, Direct Freekick)Mikkel Kaufmann 82' — Saved Shot (0.06 xG, Open Play)Philipp Hofmann 83' — Saved Shot (0.10 xG, Open Play)Luca Kerber 83' — Blocked Shot (0.01 xG, Open Play)Stefan Schimmer 86' — Blocked Shot (0.07 xG, Open Play)Samuel Bamba 92' — Saved Shot (0.26 xG, Open Play)
Bochum attacking right FC Heidenheim attacking left Marker size is xG; filled markers are goals.

Every shot

MinTeamPlayerxG SituationBody partResultAssisted by
3' Bochum Ivan Ordets 0.08 From Corner — Blocked Shot Matús Bero
5' Bochum Moritz Broschinski 0.09 Open Play Right Foot Goal Ibrahima Sissoko
7' FC Heidenheim Jan Schöppner 0.02 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot Paul Wanner
12' FC Heidenheim Mathias Honsak 0.09 Direct Freekick Left Foot Missed Shot —
19' Bochum Ibrahima Sissoko 0.06 Set Piece Left Foot Missed Shot Matús Bero
22' FC Heidenheim Patrick Mainka 0.01 Set Piece — Missed Shot Paul Wanner
24' Bochum Philipp Hofmann 0.10 Open Play Left Foot Blocked Shot Felix Passlack
24' FC Heidenheim Marvin Pieringer 0.06 Open Play Left Foot Blocked Shot Tim Siersleben
36' Bochum Matús Bero 0.11 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot Philipp Hofmann
37' Bochum Matús Bero 0.15 Open Play Left Foot Goal Tim Oermann
43' Bochum Ivan Ordets 0.07 From Corner Right Foot Missed Shot Bernardo
46' Bochum Maximilian Wittek 0.07 Direct Freekick Left Foot Blocked Shot —
47' FC Heidenheim Mathias Honsak 0.06 Open Play Left Foot Missed Shot —
50' Bochum Felix Passlack 0.06 Direct Freekick Right Foot Missed Shot —
65' FC Heidenheim Stefan Schimmer 0.06 Open Play Left Foot Blocked Shot Tim Siersleben
67' Bochum Matús Bero 0.33 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot Philipp Hofmann
68' FC Heidenheim Stefan Schimmer 0.07 Open Play Left Foot Saved Shot Niklas Dorsch
70' Bochum Moritz Broschinski 0.10 Open Play Left Foot Blocked Shot Matús Bero
73' Bochum Maximilian Wittek 0.09 Direct Freekick Left Foot Blocked Shot —
82' FC Heidenheim Mikkel Kaufmann 0.06 Open Play Right Foot Saved Shot Marvin Pieringer
83' Bochum Philipp Hofmann 0.10 Open Play Left Foot Saved Shot Matús Bero
83' FC Heidenheim Luca Kerber 0.01 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot —
86' FC Heidenheim Stefan Schimmer 0.07 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot Luca Kerber
92' Bochum Samuel Bamba 0.26 Open Play Right Foot Saved Shot Lukas Daschner

Players

Bochum

PlayerMinGA ShKPxGxA xGChain
Matús Bero MC 90 1 0 3 4 0.60 0.35 0.88
Philipp Hofmann FW 90 0 0 2 2 0.19 0.44 0.82
Ivan Ordets DC 90 0 0 2 0 0.15 0.00 0.10
Felix Passlack DMR 90 0 0 1 1 0.06 0.10 0.18
Patrick Drewes GK 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Anthony Losilla MC 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.15
Tim Oermann DC 90 0 1 0 1 0.00 0.15 0.24
Bernardo DC 90 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.07 0.10
Moritz Broschinski FW 86 1 0 2 0 0.19 0.00 0.40
Ibrahima Sissoko MC 86 0 1 1 1 0.06 0.09 0.51
Maximilian Wittek DML 79 0 0 2 0 0.16 0.00 0.40
Jakov Medic Sub 11 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Lukas Daschner Sub 4 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.26 0.26
Dani de Wit Sub 4 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.26
Samuel Bamba Sub 1 0 0 1 0 0.26 0.00 0.26

FC Heidenheim

PlayerMinGA ShKPxGxA xGChain
Marvin Pieringer FW 90 0 0 1 1 0.06 0.06 0.19
Patrick Mainka DC 90 0 0 1 0 0.01 0.00 0.06
Omar Traoré DR 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Niklas Dorsch MC 90 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.07 0.08
Tim Siersleben DC 90 0 0 0 2 0.00 0.12 0.12
Kevin Müller GK 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Mathias Honsak FW 80 0 0 2 0 0.15 0.00 0.13
Thomas Keller DMC 61 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Jan Schöppner MC 47 0 0 1 0 0.02 0.00 0.02
Jonas Föhrenbach DL 47 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.02
Paul Wanner MC 47 0 0 0 2 0.00 0.03 0.02
Stefan Schimmer Sub 43 0 0 3 0 0.20 0.00 0.20
Mikkel Kaufmann Sub 43 0 0 1 0 0.06 0.00 0.06
Marnon Busch Sub 43 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Luca Kerber Sub 29 0 0 1 1 0.01 0.07 0.08
Sirlord Conteh Sub 10 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
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On this page

Match

What this page is for

One fixture in full. The model's probability for every market it prices, the prices stored against them, the teams expected to feature, and for a match already played, the shot map and the xG timeline.

How to read the shot map

Every shot is placed where it was taken and sized by its chance of being scored. A cluster of small marks from distance and a clean sheet is a side that was busy without ever threatening; two big marks and a defeat is a side that had the better of it and lost anyway. Both happen constantly, and both are invisible in the score.

How to read the xG timeline

The steps are chances as they arrived, so the shape shows who was on top and when. A flat line that jumps once near the end is a smash and grab.

Things to watch

The stored prediction is the one made before the match, kept deliberately so it can be judged afterwards. It is not re-fitted with hindsight.

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