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Bochum v Holstein Kiel — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Saturday 21 September 2024 · GER-Bundesliga · 2425

Bundesliga xG

Bochum
2–2
1.32 – 2.27 xG
Holstein Kiel
Shots
14 – 14
On target
3 – 4
Shots in box
8 – 9
xG per shot
0.09 – 0.16
Set-piece xG
0.19 – 1.16
Goals − xG
+0.68 – -0.27
Reading the xG timeline
Each step up is a shot; the height of the step is how good the chance was. Dots mark goals. A side whose line climbs steadily created chances all match. A side that scored while its line stayed flat took a rare chance — that is finishing luck, and it rarely repeats.

Expected goals by minute

0.00.61.31.92.50'15'30'45'60'75'90'Benedikt Pichler 14' — goalMatús Bero 21' — goalLukas Daschner 34' — goalShuto Machino 88' — goal
Bochum 1.32 xGHolstein Kiel 2.27 xG
Reading the shot map
Each circle is a shot, placed where it was taken. Bigger means a better chance; filled circles are goals. Clusters near the goal mean a side worked good openings; lots of small circles far out means shooting from poor positions and hoping. Hover any circle for the player, minute and chance quality.

Shot map

Matús Bero 6' — Blocked Shot (0.02 xG, Open Play)Armin Gigovic 11' — Missed Shot (0.04 xG, Set Piece)Benedikt Pichler 11' — Missed Shot (0.42 xG, Set Piece)Benedikt Pichler 14' — Goal (0.45 xG, Open Play)Philipp Hofmann 19' — Blocked Shot (0.03 xG, Open Play)Matús Bero 21' — Goal (0.37 xG, Open Play)Carl Johansson 25' — Saved Shot (0.02 xG, From Corner)Anthony Losilla 29' — Missed Shot (0.04 xG, From Corner)Tymoteusz Puchacz 31' — Missed Shot (0.02 xG, From Corner)Lukas Daschner 34' — Missed Shot (0.09 xG, Open Play)Lukas Daschner 34' — Goal (0.44 xG, Open Play)Lewis Holtby 39' — Missed Shot (0.06 xG, Direct Freekick)Andu Kelati 46' — Missed Shot (0.06 xG, Open Play)Andu Kelati 54' — Missed Shot (0.04 xG, Open Play)Philipp Hofmann 57' — Missed Shot (0.03 xG, Set Piece)Timo Becker 59' — Blocked Shot (0.01 xG, Open Play)Armin Gigovic 60' — Missed Shot (0.07 xG, Open Play)Dani de Wit 64' — Blocked Shot (0.06 xG, Open Play)Jann-Fiete Arp 66' — Missed Shot (0.01 xG, Set Piece)Moritz Broschinski 67' — Saved Shot (0.04 xG, Open Play)Dani de Wit 68' — Missed Shot (0.08 xG, From Corner)Jann-Fiete Arp 72' — Saved Shot (0.40 xG, Open Play)Moritz Broschinski 73' — Missed Shot (0.06 xG, Open Play)Felix Passlack 74' — Blocked Shot (0.02 xG, Open Play)Steven Skrzybski 78' — Blocked Shot (0.08 xG, Open Play)Shuto Machino 88' — Goal (0.59 xG, Set Piece)Mats Pannewig 94' — Shot On Post (0.03 xG, Set Piece)Moritz-Broni Kwarteng 94' — Missed Shot (0.02 xG, Set Piece)
Bochum attacking right Holstein Kiel attacking left Marker size is xG; filled markers are goals.

Every shot

MinTeamPlayerxG SituationBody partResultAssisted by
6' Bochum Matús Bero 0.02 Open Play Left Foot Blocked Shot Maximilian Wittek
11' Holstein Kiel Armin Gigovic 0.04 Set Piece Left Foot Missed Shot Carl Johansson
11' Holstein Kiel Benedikt Pichler 0.42 Set Piece Right Foot Missed Shot Carl Johansson
14' Holstein Kiel Benedikt Pichler 0.45 Open Play Right Foot Goal Andu Kelati
19' Bochum Philipp Hofmann 0.03 Open Play Left Foot Blocked Shot Myron Boadu
21' Bochum Matús Bero 0.37 Open Play Right Foot Goal Myron Boadu
25' Holstein Kiel Carl Johansson 0.02 From Corner — Saved Shot Lewis Holtby
29' Bochum Anthony Losilla 0.04 From Corner Right Foot Missed Shot —
31' Holstein Kiel Tymoteusz Puchacz 0.02 From Corner Left Foot Missed Shot —
34' Bochum Lukas Daschner 0.09 Open Play — Missed Shot Felix Passlack
34' Bochum Lukas Daschner 0.44 Open Play Right Foot Goal Philipp Hofmann
39' Holstein Kiel Lewis Holtby 0.06 Direct Freekick Left Foot Missed Shot —
46' Holstein Kiel Andu Kelati 0.06 Open Play Left Foot Missed Shot —
54' Holstein Kiel Andu Kelati 0.04 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot —
57' Bochum Philipp Hofmann 0.03 Set Piece — Missed Shot Lukas Daschner
59' Holstein Kiel Timo Becker 0.01 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot —
60' Holstein Kiel Armin Gigovic 0.07 Open Play Left Foot Missed Shot Benedikt Pichler
64' Bochum Dani de Wit 0.06 Open Play Left Foot Blocked Shot Matús Bero
66' Holstein Kiel Jann-Fiete Arp 0.01 Set Piece Left Foot Missed Shot —
67' Bochum Moritz Broschinski 0.04 Open Play Right Foot Saved Shot Moritz-Broni Kwarteng
68' Bochum Dani de Wit 0.08 From Corner — Missed Shot Maximilian Wittek
72' Holstein Kiel Jann-Fiete Arp 0.40 Open Play — Saved Shot Benedikt Pichler
73' Bochum Moritz Broschinski 0.06 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot Moritz-Broni Kwarteng
74' Bochum Felix Passlack 0.02 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot Anthony Losilla
78' Holstein Kiel Steven Skrzybski 0.08 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot Finn Porath
88' Holstein Kiel Shuto Machino 0.59 Set Piece Left Foot Goal Steven Skrzybski
94' Bochum Mats Pannewig 0.03 Set Piece — Shot On Post Ibrahima Sissoko
94' Bochum Moritz-Broni Kwarteng 0.02 Set Piece Right Foot Missed Shot —

Players

Holstein Kiel

PlayerMinGA ShKPxGxA xGChain
Benedikt Pichler FW 90 1 0 2 2 0.87 0.48 0.93
Carl Johansson DC 90 0 0 1 2 0.02 0.45 0.53
Timo Becker DC 90 0 0 1 0 0.01 0.00 0.87
Timon Weiner GK 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.45
Magnus Knudsen MC 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.53
Finn Porath DMR 90 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.08 0.08
Armin Gigovic AMC 84 0 0 2 0 0.11 0.00 0.93
Max Geschwill DC 82 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.45
Andu Kelati AMC 67 0 1 2 1 0.09 0.45 0.54
Lewis Holtby MC 67 0 0 1 1 0.06 0.02 0.52
Tymoteusz Puchacz DML 49 0 0 1 0 0.02 0.00 0.45
Lasse Rosenboom Sub 41 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.55
Jann-Fiete Arp Sub 23 0 0 2 0 0.42 0.00 0.48
Steven Skrzybski Sub 23 0 1 1 1 0.08 0.59 0.48
Shuto Machino Sub 8 1 0 1 0 0.59 0.00 0.08
Nicolai Remberg Sub 6 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00

Bochum

PlayerMinGA ShKPxGxA xGChain
Matús Bero MC 90 1 0 2 1 0.39 0.06 0.48
Dani de Wit MC 90 0 0 2 0 0.14 0.00 0.47
Felix Passlack DR 90 0 0 1 1 0.02 0.09 0.57
Maximilian Wittek DL 90 0 0 0 2 0.00 0.10 1.00
Patrick Drewes GK 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.43
Jakov Medic DC 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.46
Ibrahima Sissoko DMC 90 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.03 0.54
Philipp Hofmann FW 88 0 1 2 1 0.05 0.44 0.58
Anthony Losilla Sub 75 0 0 1 1 0.04 0.02 0.55
Lukas Daschner AMC 66 1 0 2 1 0.53 0.03 0.56
Myron Boadu FW 66 0 1 0 2 0.00 0.40 0.86
Moritz Broschinski Sub 24 0 0 2 0 0.10 0.00 0.12
Moritz-Broni Kwarteng Sub 24 0 0 1 2 0.02 0.10 0.10
Erhan Masovic DC 15 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Mats Pannewig Sub 2 0 0 1 0 0.03 0.00 0.00
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On this page

Match

What this page is for

One fixture in full. The model's probability for every market it prices, the prices stored against them, the teams expected to feature, and for a match already played, the shot map and the xG timeline.

How to read the shot map

Every shot is placed where it was taken and sized by its chance of being scored. A cluster of small marks from distance and a clean sheet is a side that was busy without ever threatening; two big marks and a defeat is a side that had the better of it and lost anyway. Both happen constantly, and both are invisible in the score.

How to read the xG timeline

The steps are chances as they arrived, so the shape shows who was on top and when. A flat line that jumps once near the end is a smash and grab.

Things to watch

The stored prediction is the one made before the match, kept deliberately so it can be judged afterwards. It is not re-fitted with hindsight.

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