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Bochum v Werder Bremen — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Saturday 7 December 2024 · GER-Bundesliga · 2425

Bundesliga xG

0–1
1.16 – 1.21 xG
Shots
12 – 9
On target
2 – 1
Shots in box
5 – 7
xG per shot
0.10 – 0.13
Set-piece xG
0.15 – 0.55
Goals − xG
-1.16 – -0.21
Reading the xG timeline
Each step up is a shot; the height of the step is how good the chance was. Dots mark goals. A side whose line climbs steadily created chances all match. A side that scored while its line stayed flat took a rare chance — that is finishing luck, and it rarely repeats.

Expected goals by minute

0.00.30.71.01.40'15'30'45'60'75'90'Jens Stage 55' — goal
Bochum 1.16 xGWerder Bremen 1.21 xG
Reading the shot map
Each circle is a shot, placed where it was taken. Bigger means a better chance; filled circles are goals. Clusters near the goal mean a side worked good openings; lots of small circles far out means shooting from poor positions and hoping. Hover any circle for the player, minute and chance quality.

Shot map

Derrick Köhn 13' — Missed Shot (0.01 xG, Open Play)Justin Njinmah 18' — Blocked Shot (0.02 xG, Open Play)Justin Njinmah 21' — Missed Shot (0.30 xG, Open Play)Maximilian Wittek 22' — Missed Shot (0.02 xG, Open Play)Gerrit Holtmann 25' — Saved Shot (0.33 xG, Open Play)Matús Bero 33' — Missed Shot (0.03 xG, From Corner)Felix Passlack 34' — Missed Shot (0.02 xG, Open Play)Bernardo 37' — Missed Shot (0.05 xG, Open Play)Maximilian Wittek 45' — Missed Shot (0.02 xG, Open Play)Philipp Hofmann 48' — Blocked Shot (0.09 xG, From Corner)Maximilian Wittek 49' — Missed Shot (0.55 xG, Open Play)Ibrahima Sissoko 50' — Saved Shot (0.02 xG, Open Play)Jens Stage 55' — Goal (0.50 xG, From Corner)Oliver Burke 57' — Missed Shot (0.06 xG, Open Play)Derrick Köhn 58' — Blocked Shot (0.06 xG, Set Piece)Marvin Ducksch 69' — Missed Shot (0.08 xG, Open Play)Romano Schmid 74' — Blocked Shot (0.10 xG, Open Play)Marco Grüll 81' — Blocked Shot (0.09 xG, Open Play)Moritz Broschinski 85' — Blocked Shot (0.01 xG, Open Play)Moritz-Broni Kwarteng 91' — Missed Shot (0.03 xG, Set Piece)Cristian Gamboa 93' — Blocked Shot (0.01 xG, From Corner)
Bochum attacking right Werder Bremen attacking left Marker size is xG; filled markers are goals.

Every shot

MinTeamPlayerxG SituationBody partResultAssisted by
13' Werder Bremen Derrick Köhn 0.01 Open Play Left Foot Missed Shot Justin Njinmah
18' Werder Bremen Justin Njinmah 0.02 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot Derrick Köhn
21' Werder Bremen Justin Njinmah 0.30 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot Jens Stage
22' Bochum Maximilian Wittek 0.02 Open Play Left Foot Missed Shot Koji Miyoshi
25' Bochum Gerrit Holtmann 0.33 Open Play Left Foot Saved Shot Koji Miyoshi
33' Bochum Matús Bero 0.03 From Corner — Missed Shot Felix Passlack
34' Bochum Felix Passlack 0.02 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot Ibrahima Sissoko
37' Bochum Bernardo 0.05 Open Play — Missed Shot Matús Bero
45' Bochum Maximilian Wittek 0.02 Open Play Left Foot Missed Shot —
48' Bochum Philipp Hofmann 0.09 From Corner — Blocked Shot Felix Passlack
49' Bochum Maximilian Wittek 0.55 Open Play Left Foot Missed Shot Felix Passlack
50' Bochum Ibrahima Sissoko 0.02 Open Play Right Foot Saved Shot Matús Bero
55' Werder Bremen Jens Stage 0.50 From Corner — Goal Marvin Ducksch
57' Werder Bremen Oliver Burke 0.06 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot Romano Schmid
58' Werder Bremen Derrick Köhn 0.06 Set Piece Left Foot Blocked Shot Marco Friedl
69' Werder Bremen Marvin Ducksch 0.08 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot Romano Schmid
74' Werder Bremen Romano Schmid 0.10 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot Marvin Ducksch
81' Werder Bremen Marco Grüll 0.09 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot Oliver Burke
85' Bochum Moritz Broschinski 0.01 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot —
91' Bochum Moritz-Broni Kwarteng 0.03 Set Piece Right Foot Missed Shot Matús Bero
93' Bochum Cristian Gamboa 0.01 From Corner Left Foot Blocked Shot —

Players

Werder Bremen

PlayerMinGA ShKPxGxA xGChain
Jens Stage MC 90 1 0 1 1 0.50 0.30 0.31
Romano Schmid ML 90 0 0 1 2 0.10 0.14 0.26
Derrick Köhn DL 90 0 0 2 1 0.07 0.02 0.09
Michael Zetterer GK 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Anthony Jung DC 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.19
Niklas Stark DR 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.08
Mitchell Weiser MR 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.30
Marco Friedl DC 90 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.06 0.01
Senne Lynen MC 79 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.03
Marvin Ducksch FW 78 0 1 1 2 0.08 0.60 0.19
Justin Njinmah FW 59 0 0 2 1 0.32 0.01 0.33
Oliver Burke Sub 31 0 0 1 1 0.06 0.09 0.15
Marco Grüll Sub 12 0 0 1 0 0.09 0.00 0.09
Leonardo Bittencourt Sub 11 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Olivier Deman Sub 1 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Amos Pieper Sub 1 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00

Bochum

PlayerMinGA ShKPxGxA xGChain
Gerrit Holtmann FWL 90 0 0 1 0 0.33 0.00 0.89
Bernardo DC 90 0 0 1 0 0.05 0.00 0.05
Matús Bero MC 90 0 0 1 3 0.03 0.09 0.41
Ivan Ordets DC 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Tim Oermann DR 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Patrick Drewes GK 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.87
Felix Passlack MC 88 0 0 1 3 0.02 0.66 0.59
Philipp Hofmann FW 78 0 0 1 0 0.09 0.00 0.87
Ibrahima Sissoko MC 78 0 0 1 1 0.02 0.02 0.59
Maximilian Wittek DL 74 0 0 3 0 0.58 0.00 0.58
Koji Miyoshi FWR 74 0 0 0 2 0.00 0.35 0.89
Moritz-Broni Kwarteng Sub 16 0 0 1 0 0.03 0.00 0.00
Dani de Wit Sub 16 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Moritz Broschinski Sub 12 0 0 1 0 0.01 0.00 0.01
Mats Pannewig Sub 12 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Cristian Gamboa Sub 2 0 0 1 0 0.01 0.00 0.00
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On this page

Match

What this page is for

One fixture in full. The model's probability for every market it prices, the prices stored against them, the teams expected to feature, and for a match already played, the shot map and the xG timeline.

How to read the shot map

Every shot is placed where it was taken and sized by its chance of being scored. A cluster of small marks from distance and a clean sheet is a side that was busy without ever threatening; two big marks and a defeat is a side that had the better of it and lost anyway. Both happen constantly, and both are invisible in the score.

How to read the xG timeline

The steps are chances as they arrived, so the shape shows who was on top and when. A flat line that jumps once near the end is a smash and grab.

Things to watch

The stored prediction is the one made before the match, kept deliberately so it can be judged afterwards. It is not re-fitted with hindsight.

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