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Bodo/Glimt v LASK Linz — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Tuesday 24 November 2026 · EUR-Champions League · 2627

Champions League results-only Prediction generated

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily
Bodo/Glimt win
62.9%
model 63.9%
Draw
18.6%
model 18.9%
LASK Linz win
18.5%
model 17.2%

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (270 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

  1. 2-0 10.0%
  2. 1-0 10.0%
  3. 2-1 9.9%
  4. 1-1 8.8%
  5. 3-0 7.1%

Goals

Over 2.560.2% Under 2.539.8%
BTTS yes54.8% BTTS no45.2%
Bodo/Glimt 1+88.0% Bodo/Glimt 2+62.6%
LASK Linz 1+62.8% LASK Linz 2+26.1%

Expected goals 2.12 – 0.99. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence
80/100
Data quality
65/100
Model agreement
99%
★ Best pick
Bodo/Glimt (+0.5)
Asian handicap · usually 66%
82.9% fair odds 1.21
strong signal · 1330 settled matches behind the band
★ Most likely to land
LASK Linz not to score in both halves
Score both halves
84.2% fair odds 1.19
moderate signal · 828 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

  • Bodo/Glimt carry the stronger rating, 1813 Elo against 1703.
  • Form is good: 3.00 points a match from the last five.

Risk factors

  • No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.
Why the model thinks this

The price

Bodo/Glimt have an estimated 62.9% win probability, against 18.6% for the draw and 18.5% for LASK Linz. Expected goals from the ensemble are 2.12 for Bodo/Glimt and 0.99 for LASK Linz.

Why Bodo/Glimt

Bodo/Glimt carry the stronger rating, 1813 Elo against 1703. Form is good: 3.00 points a match from the last five.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 18.6%. Draws run at 15% in this competition.

Why LASK Linz can win

Form is good: 2.40 points a match from the last five.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Bodo/Glimt, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for LASK Linz, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Bodo/Glimt: 62% possession, 17.6 shots a match, 8.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. LASK Linz: 58% possession, 19.0 shots a match, 8.8 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-10-25 14:59 · team_stats 2026-10-25 06:07 · availability 2026-10-25 15:02 · prediction 2026-09-18 10:37 ·

Bodo/Glimt are the model's most likely outcome at 62.9%. The likeliest scoreline is 2-0 at 10.0%. Confidence 80/100, data quality 65/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Live TV

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Was this pick made in advance?
A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

ModelHome / Draw / Away Expected goalsLikeliest score O2.5BTTS
ai-blend 2.12–0.99 0% 0% 0%
dc-xg 1.98–0.87 1-0 12% 54% 49%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section
Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Bodo/Glimt to win 64.0% 58.3% 51.0% 1.14× 1.72
Draw 19.7% 19.4% 15.6% 1.25× 5.15
LASK Linz to win 16.2% 19.4% 33.7% 0.58× 5.16
1X2 & GG/NG 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Bodo/Glimt & not both score 36.8% 33.3% 24.5% 1.36× 3.00
Bodo/Glimt & both teams score 27.2% 25.2% 26.8% 0.94× 3.98
Draw & both teams score 14.5% 13.3% 10.7% 1.24× 7.53
LASK Linz & not both score 8.6% 8.3% 15.6% 0.54× 12.01
LASK Linz & both teams score 7.7% 8.3% 18.4% 0.45× 12.01
Draw & not both score 5.2% 8.3% 5.1% 1.63× 12.02
1X2 & Over/Under 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Bodo/Glimt & over 1.5 52.0% 48.9% 42.9% 1.14× 2.05
Bodo/Glimt & under 3.5 40.8% 40.2% 26.8% 1.50× 2.49
Bodo/Glimt & over 2.5 40.6% 40.2% 36.7% 1.10× 2.49
Bodo/Glimt & under 2.5 23.4% 21.6% 14.5% 1.49× 4.63
Bodo/Glimt & over 3.5 23.2% 21.6% 24.5% 0.88× 4.63
Draw & over 1.5 14.5% 12.8% 10.7% 1.20× 7.79
Draw & under 2.5 14.5% 12.8% 10.5% 1.23× 7.79
Draw & under 3.5 14.5% 12.8% 10.5% 1.23× 7.79
LASK Linz & under 3.5 12.7% 12.8% 19.1% 0.67× 7.79
Bodo/Glimt & under 1.5 12.1% 12.8% 8.4% 1.52× 7.79
LASK Linz & over 1.5 10.6% 12.8% 28.1% 0.46× 7.79
LASK Linz & over 2.5 8.5% 7.9% 23.7% 0.33× 12.63
LASK Linz & under 2.5 7.8% 7.9% 10.2% 0.78× 12.63
Draw & under 1.5 5.2% 7.9% 5.1% 1.55× 12.63
Draw & over 2.5 5.2% 7.9% 5.4% 1.48× 12.63
Draw & over 3.5 5.2% 7.9% 5.4% 1.48× 12.63
LASK Linz & under 1.5 5.6% 7.9% 5.9% 1.35× 12.63
LASK Linz & over 3.5 3.5% 4.8% 14.8% 0.32× 20.82
1X2 1UP 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Bodo/Glimt (1UP) 74.9% 75.4% — — 1.33
LASK Linz (1UP) 32.9% 33.0% — — 3.03
1X2 2UP 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Bodo/Glimt (2UP) 64.0% 68.7% — — 1.46
LASK Linz (2UP) 16.2% 17.0% — — 5.88
2nd half 1X2 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Bodo/Glimt to win 2nd half 51.0% 51.8% — — 1.93
2nd half drawn 31.9% 34.1% — — 2.93
LASK Linz to win 2nd half 17.2% 17.9% — — 5.59
2nd half away goals O/U 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
LASK Linz under 1.5 in 2nd half 90.4% 92.0% — — 1.09
LASK Linz under 0.5 in 2nd half 59.4% 54.4% — — 1.84
LASK Linz over 0.5 in 2nd half 40.6% 45.6% — — 2.20
LASK Linz over 1.5 in 2nd half 9.6% 8.0% — — 12.45
2nd half home goals O/U 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Bodo/Glimt under 1.5 in 2nd half 68.8% 70.8% — — 1.41
Bodo/Glimt over 0.5 in 2nd half 67.7% 70.8% — — 1.41
Bodo/Glimt under 0.5 in 2nd half 32.3% 29.2% — — 3.42
Bodo/Glimt over 1.5 in 2nd half 31.2% 29.2% — — 3.43
Asian handicap 8
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Bodo/Glimt (+0.5) 83.8% 82.6% 66.3% 1.24× 1.21
LASK Linz (+2.5) 80.6% 82.5% 81.6% 1.01× 1.21
Bodo/Glimt (-0.5) 64.0% 63.0% 51.0% 1.23× 1.59
LASK Linz (+1.5) 61.2% 62.9% 68.4% 0.92× 1.59
Bodo/Glimt (-1.5) 38.8% 37.1% 31.6% 1.17× 2.70
LASK Linz (+0.5) 36.0% 37.0% 49.0% 0.76× 2.70
Bodo/Glimt (-2.5) 19.4% 17.5% 18.4% 0.95× 5.73
LASK Linz (-0.5) 16.2% 17.4% 33.7% 0.52× 5.73
Away clean sheet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
LASK Linz to concede 86.2% 86.2% 79.6% 1.08× 1.16
LASK Linz clean sheet 13.8% 13.8% 20.4% 0.67× 7.27
Away clean sheet 1HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
LASK Linz to concede in 1st half 57.4% 57.0% — — 1.75
LASK Linz clean sheet in 1st half 42.6% 43.0% — — 2.33
Away clean sheet 2HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
LASK Linz to concede in 2nd half 67.7% 65.8% — — 1.52
LASK Linz clean sheet in 2nd half 32.3% 34.2% — — 2.93
Away corners O/U 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
LASK Linz under 6.5 corners 86.4% 85.2% — — 1.17
LASK Linz under 5.5 corners 77.9% 76.1% — — 1.32
LASK Linz over 2.5 corners 67.0% 67.6% — — 1.48
LASK Linz under 4.5 corners 65.9% 67.6% — — 1.48
LASK Linz under 3.5 corners 50.5% 53.1% — — 1.89
LASK Linz over 3.5 corners 49.5% 46.9% — — 2.13
LASK Linz over 4.5 corners 34.1% 32.4% — — 3.09
LASK Linz under 2.5 corners 33.0% 32.4% — — 3.09
LASK Linz over 5.5 corners 22.1% 23.9% — — 4.18
LASK Linz over 6.5 corners 13.6% 14.8% — — 6.77
Away goals O/U 8
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
LASK Linz under 3.5 goals 98.8% 97.5% 92.3% 1.06× 1.03
LASK Linz under 2.5 goals 94.2% 92.4% 79.1% 1.17× 1.08
LASK Linz under 1.5 goals 78.5% 76.3% 59.9% 1.27× 1.31
LASK Linz over 0.5 goals 58.0% 59.4% 70.7% 0.84× 1.68
LASK Linz under 0.5 goals 42.0% 40.6% 29.3% 1.38× 2.47
LASK Linz over 1.5 goals 21.5% 23.7% 40.1% 0.59× 4.21
LASK Linz over 2.5 goals 5.8% 7.6% 20.9% 0.37× 13.08
LASK Linz over 3.5 goals 1.2% 2.5% 7.7% 0.33× 40.00
Away goals O/U 1HT 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
LASK Linz under 1.5 in 1st half 95.2% 96.0% — — 1.04
LASK Linz under 0.5 in 1st half 70.7% 67.3% — — 1.49
LASK Linz over 0.5 in 1st half 29.3% 32.7% — — 3.06
LASK Linz over 1.5 in 1st half 4.8% 4.0% — — 24.76
Away highest scoring half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
LASK Linz scores equally in both 50.0% 48.3% — — 2.07
LASK Linz scores more in 2nd half 31.1% 33.2% — — 3.02
LASK Linz scores more in 1st half 18.9% 18.2% — — 5.50
Away no bet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Bodo/Glimt (away no bet) 76.4% 73.6% 76.6% 0.96× 1.36
Draw (away no bet) 23.6% 26.5% 23.4% 1.13× 3.78
Away Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
LASK Linz even goals 58.8% 56.9% 53.6% 1.06× 1.76
LASK Linz odd goals 41.2% 43.1% 46.4% 0.93× 2.32
Both halves O1.5 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both halves over 1.5 83.4% 82.9% — — 1.21
Both halves over 1.5 goals 16.6% 17.1% — — 5.83
Both halves U1.5 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both halves under 1.5 66.0% 68.3% — — 1.47
Both halves under 1.5 goals 34.0% 31.7% — — 3.15
Consecutive goals 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row 61.1% 59.9% — — 1.67
Bodo/Glimt to score 2+ in a row 52.0% 50.9% — — 1.97
Either team to score 3+ in a row 26.6% 25.0% — — 4.00
Bodo/Glimt to score 3+ in a row 24.1% 19.6% — — 5.09
LASK Linz to score 2+ in a row 14.2% 12.1% — — 8.28
LASK Linz to score 3+ in a row 2.7% 2.6% — — 39.17
Corner handicap 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Bodo/Glimt corners (+3.5) 93.9% 89.6% — — 1.12
Bodo/Glimt corners (+2.5) 90.3% 89.6% — — 1.12
Bodo/Glimt corners (+1.5) 85.2% 84.5% — — 1.18
Bodo/Glimt corners (-1.5) 60.9% 61.8% — — 1.62
LASK Linz corners (+3.5) 58.4% 57.1% — — 1.75
Bodo/Glimt corners (-2.5) 51.2% 52.4% — — 1.91
LASK Linz corners (+2.5) 48.8% 47.6% — — 2.10
Bodo/Glimt corners (-3.5) 41.6% 42.9% — — 2.33
LASK Linz corners (+1.5) 39.1% 38.2% — — 2.62
LASK Linz corners (-1.5) 14.8% 15.5% — — 6.44
LASK Linz corners (-2.5) 9.7% 10.4% — — 9.59
LASK Linz corners (-3.5) 6.1% 10.4% — — 9.60
Corner range 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
12+ corners 37.3% 34.0% — — 2.94
0-8 corners 35.3% 34.0% — — 2.94
9-11 corners 27.5% 31.2% — — 3.21
Corners O/U 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Over 7.5 corners 73.8% 72.5% — — 1.38
Under 12.5 corners 70.5% 72.5% — — 1.38
Over 8.5 corners 64.7% 63.2% — — 1.58
Under 11.5 corners 62.7% 63.2% — — 1.58
Over 9.5 corners 55.2% 57.9% — — 1.73
Under 10.5 corners 54.1% 53.1% — — 1.88
Over 10.5 corners 45.9% 46.9% — — 2.13
Under 9.5 corners 44.8% 42.1% — — 2.38
Over 11.5 corners 37.3% 36.8% — — 2.72
Under 8.5 corners 35.3% 36.8% — — 2.72
Over 12.5 corners 29.5% 27.5% — — 3.64
Under 7.5 corners 26.2% 27.5% — — 3.64
Corners Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Odd number of corners 50.0% 50.1% — — 1.99
Even number of corners 50.0% 49.9% — — 2.01
Correct score 26
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
1-0 12.1% 11.5% 8.4% 1.36× 8.72
2-0 11.4% 11.5% 6.4% 1.80× 8.72
1-1 9.4% 7.4% 5.6% 1.32× 13.51
2-1 9.9% 7.4% 7.7% 0.97× 13.51
3-0 7.5% 7.4% 5.1% 1.45× 13.51
3-1 6.5% 7.4% 6.1% 1.21× 13.51
0-0 5.2% 7.4% 5.1% 1.45× 13.51
0-1 5.6% 7.4% 5.9% 1.26× 13.51
Any other score 5.3% 7.4% 11.5% 0.64× 13.51
0-2 2.2% 1.7% 4.6% 0.37× 58.31
0-3 0.6% 1.7% 3.8% 0.45× 58.32
0-4 0.1% 1.7% 1.5% 1.12× 58.32
1-2 4.3% 1.7% 5.6% 0.31× 58.29
1-3 1.2% 1.7% 2.8% 0.61× 58.31
1-4 0.3% 1.7% 1.5% 1.12× 58.32
2-2 4.3% 1.7% 3.8% 0.45× 58.30
2-3 1.2% 1.7% 5.4% 0.32× 58.31
2-4 0.3% 1.7% 1.0% 1.68× 58.32
3-2 2.8% 1.7% 3.3% 0.52× 58.30
3-3 0.8% 1.7% 1.5% 1.12× 58.31
3-4 0.2% 1.7% 0.5% 3.36× 58.32
4-0 3.7% 1.7% 3.3% 0.52× 58.30
4-1 3.2% 1.7% 3.1% 0.56× 58.30
4-2 1.4% 1.7% 1.3% 1.34× 58.31
4-3 0.4% 1.7% 0.8% 2.24× 58.32
4-4 0.1% 1.7% 0.5% 3.36× 58.32
DNB 2nd half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Bodo/Glimt (2nd half DNB) 74.8% 71.5% — — 1.40
LASK Linz (2nd half DNB) 25.2% 28.5% — — 3.51
DNB half time 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Bodo/Glimt leading at HT (DNB) 76.2% 74.6% — — 1.34
LASK Linz leading at HT (DNB) 23.8% 25.4% — — 3.93
Double chance 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Bodo/Glimt or draw (1X) 83.8% 80.6% 66.3% 1.22× 1.24
Bodo/Glimt or LASK Linz (12) 80.3% 80.6% 84.4% 0.95× 1.24
LASK Linz or draw (X2) 36.0% 41.7% 49.0% 0.85× 2.40
Double chance 1HT 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Bodo/Glimt or draw at HT 85.6% 88.1% — — 1.14
Bodo/Glimt or LASK Linz at HT 60.5% 60.9% — — 1.64
LASK Linz or draw at HT 53.9% 47.8% — — 2.09
Double chance 1UP 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Bodo/Glimt or draw (1UP) 83.8% 88.8% — — 1.13
LASK Linz or draw (1UP) 36.0% 41.1% — — 2.43
Double chance 2HT 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Bodo/Glimt or draw in 2nd half 82.8% 82.1% — — 1.22
Bodo/Glimt or LASK Linz in 2nd half 68.1% 65.9% — — 1.52
LASK Linz or draw in 2nd half 49.0% 48.2% — — 2.08
Draw either half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
A half drawn 59.5% 58.8% — — 1.70
Neither half drawn 40.5% 41.2% — — 2.43
Draw no bet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Bodo/Glimt (DNB) 79.8% 74.9% 60.2% 1.24× 1.34
LASK Linz (DNB) 20.2% 25.1% 39.8% 0.63× 3.98
First goal 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Bodo/Glimt to score first 66.0% 69.5% — — 1.44
LASK Linz to score first 28.8% 28.0% — — 3.58
No goal scored 5.2% 7.4% — — 13.58
GG/NG 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both teams to score 50.6% 51.3% 44.6% 1.15× 1.95
Both teams to score 49.4% 48.7% 55.4% 0.88× 2.05
GG/NG & Over/Under 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Both score & over 2.5 40.0% 41.6% 50.0% 0.83× 2.41
Not both score & under 2.5 36.4% 38.4% 29.3% 1.31× 2.60
Not both score & over 2.5 14.2% 12.4% 15.6% 0.80× 8.08
Both score & under 2.5 9.4% 8.3% 5.6% 1.48× 12.07
GG/NG 2+ 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both teams to score 2+ 87.3% 85.6% 80.9% 1.06× 1.17
Both teams to score 2+ 12.7% 14.4% 19.1% 0.75× 6.95
GG/NG 2nd half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half 72.7% 73.7% — — 1.36
Both teams to score in 2nd half 27.3% 26.3% — — 3.80
GG/NG by half 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Neither half both score 60.7% 65.7% — — 1.52
Both score 2nd half only 22.6% 21.0% — — 4.77
Both score 1st half only 12.1% 10.8% — — 9.28
Both score in both halves 4.6% 5.0% — — 20.16
GG/NG half time 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both to score by HT 83.3% 83.2% — — 1.20
Both teams to score by HT 16.7% 16.8% — — 5.94
Goal in both halves 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
A goal in each half 56.2% 56.9% — — 1.76
A half without a goal 43.8% 43.1% — — 2.32
Goal range 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2-3 goals 45.2% 47.2% 37.2% 1.27× 2.12
4-6 goals 29.3% 26.6% 37.5% 0.71× 3.76
0-1 goals 22.9% 22.9% 18.9% 1.21× 4.36
7+ goals 2.6% 1.8% 6.9% 0.27× 54.27
Goals away 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
LASK Linz to score exactly 0 42.0% 37.3% 29.3% 1.27× 2.68
LASK Linz to score exactly 1 36.4% 35.9% 30.9% 1.16× 2.78
LASK Linz to score exactly 2 15.8% 19.6% 19.4% 1.01× 5.12
LASK Linz to score 3+ 5.8% 8.5% 20.9% 0.41× 11.72
Goals home 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Bodo/Glimt to score 3+ 31.9% 32.6% 31.4% 1.04× 3.07
Bodo/Glimt to score exactly 1 27.3% 26.5% 25.0% 1.06× 3.77
Bodo/Glimt to score exactly 2 27.1% 26.5% 23.7% 1.12× 3.77
Bodo/Glimt to score exactly 0 13.8% 14.3% 20.4% 0.70× 6.98
Half time 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Bodo/Glimt leading at HT 46.1% 52.2% — — 1.92
Draw at HT 39.5% 39.1% — — 2.56
LASK Linz leading at HT 14.4% 11.9% — — 8.39
Handicap 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Bodo/Glimt -1: 1 38.8% 37.4% — — 2.67
Bodo/Glimt -1: 2 36.0% 37.3% — — 2.68
Bodo/Glimt -1: X 25.2% 26.5% — — 3.77
Handicap 0:1 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Bodo/Glimt (0:1) 38.8% 37.3% 31.6% 1.18× 2.68
LASK Linz (0:1) 36.0% 37.3% 49.0% 0.76× 2.68
Draw (0:1) 25.2% 27.0% 19.6% 1.37× 3.70
Handicap 0:2 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
LASK Linz (0:2) 61.2% 67.0% 68.4% 0.98× 1.49
Draw (0:2) 19.5% 15.3% 13.5% 1.13× 6.55
Bodo/Glimt (0:2) 19.4% 15.3% 18.4% 0.83× 6.55
Handicap 0:3 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
LASK Linz (0:3) 80.6% 85.3% 81.6% 1.05× 1.17
Draw (0:3) 11.4% 9.9% 8.9% 1.11× 10.10
Bodo/Glimt (0:3) 8.0% 5.8% 9.7% 0.60× 17.22
Handicap 0:4 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
LASK Linz (0:4) 92.0% 94.5% 90.3% 1.05× 1.06
Draw (0:4) 5.2% 4.6% 5.9% 0.79× 21.65
Bodo/Glimt (0:4) 2.8% 1.2% 4.1% 0.30× 81.86
Handicap 1:0 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Bodo/Glimt (1:0) 83.8% 81.4% 66.3% 1.23× 1.23
Draw (1:0) 11.4% 12.7% 16.8% 0.75× 7.88
LASK Linz (1:0) 4.9% 3.3% 17.1% 0.19× 30.36
Handicap 2:0 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Bodo/Glimt (2:0) 95.1% 96.8% 82.9% 1.17× 1.03
Draw (2:0) 3.7% 2.3% 7.9% 0.29× 43.66
LASK Linz (2:0) 1.2% 2.3% 9.4% 0.24× 43.81
Highest scoring half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2nd half highest scoring 48.4% 48.7% — — 2.05
1st half highest scoring 28.2% 26.2% — — 3.81
Halves equal 23.4% 24.4% — — 4.10
Home clean sheet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Bodo/Glimt to concede 58.0% 60.7% 70.7% 0.86× 1.65
Bodo/Glimt clean sheet 42.0% 39.3% 29.3% 1.34× 2.54
Home clean sheet 1HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Bodo/Glimt clean sheet in 1st half 70.7% 66.5% — — 1.50
Bodo/Glimt to concede in 1st half 29.3% 33.5% — — 2.99
Home clean sheet 2HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Bodo/Glimt clean sheet in 2nd half 59.4% 54.7% — — 1.83
Bodo/Glimt to concede in 2nd half 40.6% 45.3% — — 2.21
Home corners O/U 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Bodo/Glimt over 2.5 corners 89.7% 86.3% — — 1.16
Bodo/Glimt over 3.5 corners 80.7% 81.0% — — 1.24
Bodo/Glimt over 4.5 corners 69.7% 66.7% — — 1.50
Bodo/Glimt over 5.5 corners 58.0% 57.5% — — 1.74
Bodo/Glimt under 6.5 corners 53.5% 52.6% — — 1.90
Bodo/Glimt over 6.5 corners 46.5% 47.4% — — 2.11
Bodo/Glimt under 5.5 corners 42.1% 42.5% — — 2.35
Bodo/Glimt under 4.5 corners 30.3% 33.3% — — 3.01
Bodo/Glimt under 3.5 corners 19.3% 19.0% — — 5.25
Bodo/Glimt under 2.5 corners 10.3% 13.7% — — 7.28
Home goals O/U 8
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Bodo/Glimt over 0.5 goals 86.2% 87.2% 79.6% 1.10× 1.15
Bodo/Glimt under 3.5 goals 86.0% 87.2% 83.9% 1.04× 1.15
Bodo/Glimt under 2.5 goals 68.1% 68.0% 68.6% 0.99× 1.47
Bodo/Glimt over 1.5 goals 58.9% 58.6% 54.8% 1.07× 1.71
Bodo/Glimt under 1.5 goals 41.1% 41.4% 45.2% 0.92× 2.42
Bodo/Glimt over 2.5 goals 31.9% 32.0% 31.4% 1.02× 3.12
Bodo/Glimt over 3.5 goals 14.0% 12.8% 16.1% 0.79× 7.84
Bodo/Glimt under 0.5 goals 13.8% 12.8% 20.4% 0.62× 7.84
Home goals O/U 1HT 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Bodo/Glimt under 1.5 in 1st half 79.0% 77.2% — — 1.30
Bodo/Glimt over 0.5 in 1st half 57.4% 56.9% — — 1.76
Bodo/Glimt under 0.5 in 1st half 42.6% 43.1% — — 2.32
Bodo/Glimt over 1.5 in 1st half 21.0% 22.8% — — 4.38
Home highest scoring half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Bodo/Glimt scores more in 2nd half 42.0% 42.1% — — 2.38
Bodo/Glimt scores equally in both 30.6% 33.1% — — 3.02
Bodo/Glimt scores more in 1st half 27.4% 27.9% — — 3.59
Home no bet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Draw (home no bet) 54.8% 51.4% 31.6% 1.63× 1.94
LASK Linz (home no bet) 45.2% 48.6% 68.4% 0.71× 2.06
Home Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Bodo/Glimt even goals 50.9% 50.7% 53.3% 0.95× 1.97
Bodo/Glimt odd goals 49.1% 49.3% 46.7% 1.06× 2.03
HT correct score 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
HT 0-0 30.0% 33.1% — — 3.02
HT 1-0 25.8% 28.4% — — 3.52
HT 2-0 11.0% 11.0% — — 9.12
HT 0-1 10.6% 11.0% — — 9.12
HT 1-1 8.8% 6.9% — — 14.44
Any other HT score 6.0% 6.9% — — 14.48
HT 2-1 3.8% 2.4% — — 41.96
HT 0-2 1.8% 2.4% — — 42.09
HT 1-2 1.5% 2.4% — — 42.11
HT 2-2 0.7% 2.4% — — 42.16
HT/FT 9
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Bodo/Glimt at HT / Bodo/Glimt at FT 40.7% 41.4% — — 2.42
Draw at HT / Bodo/Glimt at FT 20.5% 21.6% — — 4.62
Draw at HT / Draw at FT 11.9% 12.6% — — 7.91
LASK Linz at HT / LASK Linz at FT 8.0% 6.1% — — 16.42
Draw at HT / LASK Linz at FT 7.1% 6.1% — — 16.44
Bodo/Glimt at HT / Draw at FT 4.2% 3.5% — — 28.82
LASK Linz at HT / Draw at FT 3.6% 3.5% — — 28.84
LASK Linz at HT / Bodo/Glimt at FT 2.8% 3.5% — — 28.87
Bodo/Glimt at HT / LASK Linz at FT 1.2% 3.5% — — 28.93
Last goal 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Bodo/Glimt to score last 65.8% 70.3% — — 1.42
LASK Linz to score last 29.0% 27.7% — — 3.61
No goal scored 5.2% 7.4% — — 13.58
Lead at any time 9
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time 94.8% 92.7% — — 1.08
Bodo/Glimt to lead by 1 at any time 74.9% 74.2% — — 1.35
Either team to lead by 2 at any time 53.4% 50.8% — — 1.97
Bodo/Glimt to lead by 2 at any time 45.0% 39.3% — — 2.54
LASK Linz to lead by 1 at any time 32.9% 29.8% — — 3.36
Either team to lead by 3 at any time 23.9% 19.6% — — 5.10
Bodo/Glimt to lead by 3 at any time 22.1% 19.6% — — 5.11
LASK Linz to lead by 2 at any time 8.6% 6.7% — — 14.91
LASK Linz to lead by 3 at any time 1.8% 1.6% — — 63.15
Most corners 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Bodo/Glimt most corners 70.2% 70.5% — — 1.42
LASK Linz most corners 21.6% 25.9% — — 3.87
Corners level 8.2% 8.3% — — 11.99
Multi goal 15
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
1-5 goals 87.9% 87.4% 81.4% 1.07× 1.14
1-4 goals 78.8% 78.7% 67.3% 1.17× 1.27
2-6 goals 74.5% 72.4% 74.5% 0.97× 1.38
2-5 goals 70.2% 72.3% 67.6% 1.07× 1.38
1-3 goals 62.9% 63.3% 51.0% 1.24× 1.58
2-4 goals 61.1% 63.3% 53.6% 1.18× 1.58
3-6 goals 51.6% 53.2% 58.7% 0.91× 1.88
3-5 goals 47.3% 48.5% 51.8% 0.94× 2.06
2-3 goals 45.2% 48.5% 37.2% 1.30× 2.06
1-2 goals 40.6% 43.6% 29.8% 1.46× 2.29
3-4 goals 38.2% 39.2% 37.8% 1.04× 2.55
4-6 goals 29.3% 30.2% 37.5% 0.81× 3.31
4-5 goals 25.0% 24.5% 30.6% 0.80× 4.09
5-6 goals 13.4% 14.8% 21.2% 0.70× 6.75
7+ goals 2.6% 2.6% 6.9% 0.37× 39.14
Never down 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Bodo/Glimt never behind 61.9% 68.2% — — 1.47
LASK Linz never behind 19.9% 18.6% — — 5.39
Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Even number of goals 49.0% 50.9% 45.4% 1.12× 1.96
Odd number of goals 51.0% 49.1% 54.6% 0.90× 2.04
Odd/Even 1HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Even goals in 1st half 54.3% 51.8% — — 1.93
Odd goals in 1st half 45.7% 48.2% — — 2.07
Odd/Even 2HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Even goals in 2nd half 51.4% 51.9% — — 1.93
Odd goals in 2nd half 48.6% 48.1% — — 2.08
Over/Under 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Over 0.5 goals 94.8% 92.3% 94.9% 0.97× 1.08
Under 5.5 goals 93.1% 92.3% 86.2% 1.07× 1.08
Under 4.5 goals 84.0% 82.3% 72.2% 1.14× 1.22
Over 1.5 goals 77.1% 77.3% 81.1% 0.95× 1.29
Under 3.5 goals 68.1% 66.3% 55.9% 1.19× 1.51
Over 2.5 goals 54.2% 52.6% 65.3% 0.80× 1.90
Under 2.5 goals 45.8% 47.5% 34.7% 1.37× 2.11
Over 3.5 goals 31.9% 33.7% 44.1% 0.76× 2.97
Under 1.5 goals 22.9% 22.7% 18.9% 1.20× 4.40
Over 4.5 goals 16.0% 17.7% 27.8% 0.64× 5.66
Over 5.5 goals 6.9% 7.7% 13.8% 0.56× 12.95
Under 0.5 goals 5.2% 7.7% 5.1% 1.51× 12.96
Over/Under (whole line) 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6) 97.3% 97.2% 92.6% 1.05× 1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5) 92.4% 92.4% 84.0% 1.10× 1.08
Under 4 (void on exactly 4) 81.0% 81.1% 66.8% 1.21× 1.23
Over 2 (void on exactly 2) 70.3% 72.4% 77.6% 0.93× 1.38
Under 3 (void on exactly 3) 58.9% 55.8% 44.0% 1.27× 1.79
Over 3 (void on exactly 3) 41.1% 44.2% 56.0% 0.79× 2.26
Under 2 (void on exactly 2) 29.7% 27.6% 22.4% 1.23× 3.62
Over 4 (void on exactly 4) 19.0% 18.9% 33.2% 0.57× 5.28
Over 5 (void on exactly 5) 7.6% 7.6% 16.0% 0.47× 13.17
Over 6 (void on exactly 6) 2.7% 2.8% 7.4% 0.38× 35.59
Over/Under 1HT 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half 88.0% 89.0% — — 1.12
Over 0.5 in 1st half 70.0% 68.6% — — 1.46
Under 1.5 in 1st half 66.4% 68.5% — — 1.46
Over 1.5 in 1st half 33.6% 31.5% — — 3.18
Under 0.5 in 1st half 30.0% 31.4% — — 3.19
Over 2.5 in 1st half 12.0% 11.0% — — 9.12
Over/Under 2HT 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Over 0.5 in 2nd half 81.0% 82.9% — — 1.21
Under 2.5 in 2nd half 77.0% 79.7% — — 1.26
Under 1.5 in 2nd half 51.1% 53.2% — — 1.88
Over 1.5 in 2nd half 48.9% 46.8% — — 2.14
Over 2.5 in 2nd half 23.0% 20.3% — — 4.92
Under 0.5 in 2nd half 19.0% 17.1% — — 5.85
Score both halves 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
LASK Linz not to score in both halves 88.1% 85.6% — — 1.17
Bodo/Glimt not to score in both halves 61.2% 63.1% — — 1.58
Bodo/Glimt to score in both halves 38.8% 36.9% — — 2.71
LASK Linz to score in both halves 11.9% 14.4% — — 6.94
Teams to score 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Both teams score 49.4% 50.7% 55.4% 0.92× 1.97
Only Bodo/Glimt scores 36.8% 39.9% 24.5% 1.63× 2.51
Only LASK Linz scores 8.6% 7.1% 15.6% 0.46× 14.02
Neither team scores 5.2% 7.1% 5.1% 1.40× 14.05
Total goals 7
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Exactly 2 goals 22.9% 22.6% 16.1% 1.40× 4.43
Exactly 3 goals 22.3% 22.6% 21.4% 1.05× 4.43
Exactly 1 goals 17.7% 17.5% 14.0% 1.24× 5.73
Exactly 4 goals 15.9% 17.5% 16.6% 1.05× 5.73
Exactly 5 goals 9.1% 7.6% 14.3% 0.53× 13.14
6 or more goals 6.9% 7.6% 13.8% 0.55× 13.15
Exactly 0 goals 5.2% 7.6% 5.1% 1.49× 13.15
Total goals 1st half 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
1 goal in 1st half 36.4% 37.3% — — 2.68
No goals in 1st half 30.0% 35.6% — — 2.81
2 goals in 1st half 21.6% 21.5% — — 4.66
3+ goals in 1st half 12.0% 10.9% — — 9.20
Total goals 2nd half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half 48.9% 44.9% — — 2.23
1 goal in 2nd half 32.1% 33.7% — — 2.97
No goals in 2nd half 19.0% 16.7% — — 5.98
Win both halves 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
LASK Linz not to win both halves 97.6% 97.2% — — 1.03
Bodo/Glimt not to win both halves 76.7% 75.2% — — 1.33
Bodo/Glimt to win both halves 23.3% 24.8% — — 4.04
LASK Linz to win both halves 2.4% 2.8% — — 36.00
Win either half 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Bodo/Glimt to win either half 73.7% 73.0% — — 1.37
LASK Linz to win neither half 70.8% 72.8% — — 1.37
LASK Linz to win either half 29.2% 27.2% — — 3.68
Bodo/Glimt to win neither half 26.3% 27.0% — — 3.70
Win to nil 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
LASK Linz not to win to nil 91.4% 92.1% 84.4% 1.09× 1.09
Bodo/Glimt not to win to nil 63.2% 66.6% 75.5% 0.88× 1.50
Bodo/Glimt to win to nil 36.8% 33.4% 24.5% 1.36× 2.99
LASK Linz to win to nil 8.6% 7.9% 15.6% 0.51× 12.61
Winning margin 7
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Bodo/Glimt by 1 25.2% 27.9% 19.6% 1.42× 3.59
Draw 19.7% 17.1% 15.6% 1.10× 5.86
Bodo/Glimt by 2 19.5% 17.1% 13.5% 1.26× 5.86
Bodo/Glimt by 3+ 19.4% 17.1% 18.4% 0.93× 5.86
LASK Linz by 1 11.4% 11.7% 16.8% 0.70× 8.51
LASK Linz by 2 3.7% 2.7% 7.9% 0.34× 36.81
LASK Linz by 3+ 1.2% 2.7% 9.4% 0.29× 36.89
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Match

What this page is for

One fixture in full. The model's probability for every market it prices, the prices stored against them, the teams expected to feature, and for a match already played, the shot map and the xG timeline.

How to read the shot map

Every shot is placed where it was taken and sized by its chance of being scored. A cluster of small marks from distance and a clean sheet is a side that was busy without ever threatening; two big marks and a defeat is a side that had the better of it and lost anyway. Both happen constantly, and both are invisible in the score.

How to read the xG timeline

The steps are chances as they arrived, so the shape shows who was on top and when. A flat line that jumps once near the end is a smash and grab.

Things to watch

The stored prediction is the one made before the match, kept deliberately so it can be judged afterwards. It is not re-fitted with hindsight.

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