Bohemians v Drogheda United — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Friday 18 September 2026 · IRL-Premier Division · 2627

IRL-Premier Division results-only Prediction generated 9 Sep 2026, 09:54 UTC

Bohemians

19:00 UTC

Drogheda United

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 9 Sep, 11:32 · 223h before kick-off

Bohemians win

62.4%

model 61.1%

Draw

24.2%

model 24.1%

Drogheda United win

13.4%

model 14.8%

622413

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (2,305 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-1 11.4%
2-0 10.2%
2-1 9.9%
1-0 7.9%
3-0 7.1%

Goals

Over 2.5	58.9%	Under 2.5	41.1%
BTTS yes	56.3%	BTTS no	43.7%
Bohemians 1+	87.6%	Bohemians 2+	61.7%
Drogheda United 1+	62.2%	Drogheda United 2+	25.4%

Expected goals 2.09 – 0.97. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

19/100

Data quality

40/100

Model agreement

99%

★ Best pick

Bohemians & over 1.5

1X2 & Over/Under · usually 30%

51.9% fair odds 1.93

strong signal · 3002 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Bohemians or draw at HT

Double chance 1HT

83.9% fair odds 1.19

moderate signal · 975 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

Bohemians have created 1.35 xG a match over their last five while Drogheda United have allowed 1.35.
At home Bohemians average 1.35 xG a match.

Risk factors

Data quality is 40/100, so this price rests on less than the model would like.
Bohemians have only 0 matches on record.
Drogheda United have only 0 matches on record.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Bohemians have an estimated 62.4% win probability, against 24.2% for the draw and 13.4% for Drogheda United. Expected goals from the ensemble are 2.08 for Bohemians and 0.97 for Drogheda United.

Why Bohemians

Bohemians have created 1.35 xG a match over their last five while Drogheda United have allowed 1.35. At home Bohemians average 1.35 xG a match.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 24.2%.

Why Drogheda United can win

Drogheda United have created 1.35 xG a match over their last five while Bohemians have allowed 1.35. Away from home Drogheda United average 1.35 xG a match.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Bohemians, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Drogheda United, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Bohemians: 50% possession, 12.0 shots a match, 12.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Drogheda United: 50% possession, 12.0 shots a match, 12.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-09 15:30 · team_stats 2026-09-09 06:03 · availability 2026-09-09 15:32 · prediction 2026-09-09 09:54 ·

Bohemians are the model's most likely outcome at 62.4%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 11.4%. Confidence 19/100, data quality 40/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

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Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	612415	2.09–0.97	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	622415	2.13–0.98	1-1 11%	60%	57%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Bohemians to win	61.1%	60.8%	40.8%	1.49×	1.64
Draw	24.1%	23.6%	31.3%	0.76×	4.23
Drogheda United to win	14.8%	13.1%	28.2%	0.46×	7.64

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Bohemians & not both score	31.2%	30.8%	22.7%	1.36×	3.24
Bohemians & both teams score	29.9%	26.5%	18.4%	1.44×	3.78
Draw & both teams score	17.5%	18.1%	22.1%	0.82×	5.52
Drogheda United & both teams score	9.0%	7.7%	16.3%	0.47×	13.07
Draw & not both score	6.6%	7.6%	9.5%	0.80×	13.08
Drogheda United & not both score	5.8%	7.6%	12.3%	0.62×	13.08

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Bohemians & over 1.5	53.2%	51.9%	30.4%	1.71×	1.93
Bohemians & over 2.5	43.0%	42.9%	23.0%	1.86×	2.33
Bohemians & under 3.5	35.2%	36.5%	31.0%	1.18×	2.74
Bohemians & over 3.5	25.9%	26.4%	10.1%	2.61×	3.79
Bohemians & under 2.5	18.1%	17.7%	18.1%	0.98×	5.64
Draw & over 1.5	17.5%	17.7%	22.1%	0.80×	5.64
Draw & under 2.5	18.0%	17.7%	23.3%	0.76×	5.64
Draw & under 3.5	18.0%	17.7%	23.3%	0.76×	5.64
Drogheda United & over 1.5	12.1%	12.4%	20.9%	0.60×	8.06
Drogheda United & under 3.5	10.2%	12.4%	20.6%	0.60×	8.06
Drogheda United & over 2.5	9.9%	7.6%	17.5%	0.43×	13.20
Bohemians & under 1.5	7.9%	7.6%	10.7%	0.71×	13.21
Draw & under 1.5	6.6%	7.6%	9.5%	0.80×	13.21
Draw & over 2.5	6.1%	7.6%	8.3%	0.91×	13.21
Draw & over 3.5	6.1%	7.6%	8.3%	0.91×	13.21
Drogheda United & under 2.5	4.9%	4.4%	11.0%	0.40×	22.79
Drogheda United & over 3.5	4.6%	4.4%	8.0%	0.55×	22.79
Drogheda United & under 1.5	2.7%	4.4%	7.7%	0.57×	22.80

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Bohemians (1UP)	74.1%	77.0%	—	—	1.30
Drogheda United (1UP)	34.1%	35.6%	—	—	2.81

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Bohemians (2UP)	61.1%	65.3%	—	—	1.53
Drogheda United (2UP)	14.8%	16.1%	—	—	6.21

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Bohemians to win 2nd half	50.2%	48.6%	—	—	2.06
2nd half drawn	32.3%	32.8%	—	—	3.05
Drogheda United to win 2nd half	17.5%	20.2%	—	—	4.96

2nd half away goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Drogheda United under 1.5 in 2nd half	88.4%	85.9%	—	—	1.16
Drogheda United under 0.5 in 2nd half	55.8%	54.8%	—	—	1.82
Drogheda United over 0.5 in 2nd half	44.2%	45.2%	—	—	2.21
Drogheda United over 1.5 in 2nd half	11.6%	14.1%	—	—	7.12

2nd half home goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Bohemians over 0.5 in 2nd half	69.5%	70.2%	—	—	1.43
Bohemians under 1.5 in 2nd half	66.7%	70.0%	—	—	1.43
Bohemians over 1.5 in 2nd half	33.3%	30.0%	—	—	3.34
Bohemians under 0.5 in 2nd half	30.5%	29.8%	—	—	3.35

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Bohemians (+0.5)	85.2%	87.4%	71.8%	1.22×	1.14
Drogheda United (+2.5)	79.9%	78.0%	92.6%	0.84×	1.28
Bohemians (-0.5)	61.1%	62.7%	40.8%	1.54×	1.60
Drogheda United (+1.5)	60.7%	62.7%	82.2%	0.76×	1.60
Bohemians (-1.5)	39.3%	37.3%	17.8%	2.10×	2.68
Drogheda United (+0.5)	38.9%	37.3%	59.2%	0.63×	2.68
Bohemians (-2.5)	20.1%	22.0%	7.4%	2.99×	4.55
Drogheda United (-0.5)	14.8%	12.6%	28.2%	0.45×	7.94

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Drogheda United to concede	87.6%	88.1%	78.5%	1.12×	1.14
Drogheda United clean sheet	12.4%	11.9%	21.5%	0.56×	8.39

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Drogheda United to concede in 1st half	59.2%	57.5%	—	—	1.74
Drogheda United clean sheet in 1st half	40.8%	42.5%	—	—	2.35

Away clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Drogheda United to concede in 2nd half	69.5%	67.6%	—	—	1.48
Drogheda United clean sheet in 2nd half	30.5%	32.4%	—	—	3.09

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Drogheda United under 3.5 goals	98.3%	97.3%	96.9%	1.00×	1.03
Drogheda United under 2.5 goals	92.5%	92.2%	89.6%	1.03×	1.09
Drogheda United under 1.5 goals	74.6%	71.6%	67.2%	1.07×	1.40
Drogheda United over 0.5 goals	62.2%	63.6%	68.1%	0.93×	1.57
Drogheda United under 0.5 goals	37.8%	36.4%	31.9%	1.14×	2.75
Drogheda United over 1.5 goals	25.4%	28.4%	32.8%	0.87×	3.52
Drogheda United over 2.5 goals	7.5%	7.8%	10.4%	0.75×	12.75
Drogheda United over 3.5 goals	1.7%	2.7%	3.1%	0.88×	37.14

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Drogheda United under 1.5 in 1st half	94.1%	93.9%	—	—	1.07
Drogheda United under 0.5 in 1st half	67.8%	67.9%	—	—	1.47
Drogheda United over 0.5 in 1st half	32.2%	32.1%	—	—	3.11
Drogheda United over 1.5 in 1st half	5.9%	6.1%	—	—	16.30

Away highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Drogheda United scores equally in both	46.9%	45.5%	—	—	2.20
Drogheda United scores more in 2nd half	33.1%	33.4%	—	—	3.00
Drogheda United scores more in 1st half	20.0%	17.4%	—	—	5.76

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Bohemians (away no bet)	71.7%	72.4%	56.6%	1.28×	1.38
Draw (away no bet)	28.3%	27.6%	43.4%	0.64×	3.62

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Drogheda United even goals	57.2%	56.4%	57.1%	0.99×	1.77
Drogheda United odd goals	42.8%	43.6%	42.9%	1.02×	2.29

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	80.5%	82.3%	—	—	1.22
Both halves over 1.5 goals	19.5%	17.7%	—	—	5.64

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	71.2%	70.0%	—	—	1.43
Both halves under 1.5 goals	28.8%	30.0%	—	—	3.33

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	64.3%	60.4%	—	—	1.66
Bohemians to score 2+ in a row	54.0%	51.5%	—	—	1.94
Either team to score 3+ in a row	28.7%	26.7%	—	—	3.74
Bohemians to score 3+ in a row	25.6%	26.7%	—	—	3.75
Drogheda United to score 2+ in a row	16.8%	17.0%	—	—	5.88
Drogheda United to score 3+ in a row	3.4%	3.1%	—	—	31.87

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-1	11.4%	11.2%	14.1%	0.80×	8.91
2-0	10.2%	11.2%	7.7%	1.46×	8.91
2-1	9.9%	7.4%	10.1%	0.73×	13.45
0-0	6.6%	7.4%	9.5%	0.78×	13.45
1-0	7.9%	7.4%	10.7%	0.69×	13.45
3-0	7.1%	7.4%	3.4%	2.20×	13.45
3-1	6.9%	7.4%	2.5%	3.03×	13.45
Any other score	6.3%	7.4%	1.2%	6.06×	13.45
0-1	2.7%	1.7%	7.7%	0.22×	58.34
0-2	2.2%	1.7%	3.7%	0.47×	58.34
0-3	0.7%	1.7%	0.9%	1.86×	58.35
0-4	0.2%	1.7%	0.9%	1.86×	58.35
1-2	4.6%	1.7%	9.2%	0.19×	58.34
1-3	1.5%	1.7%	2.1%	0.80×	58.34
1-4	0.4%	1.7%	0.9%	1.86×	58.35
2-2	4.8%	1.7%	7.4%	0.23×	58.34
2-3	1.6%	1.7%	3.4%	0.51×	58.34
2-4	0.4%	1.7%	1.2%	1.40×	58.35
3-2	3.4%	1.7%	2.5%	0.70×	58.34
3-3	1.1%	1.7%	1.2%	1.40×	58.35
3-4	0.3%	1.7%	0.9%	1.86×	58.35
4-0	3.7%	1.7%	1.5%	1.12×	58.34
4-1	3.6%	1.7%	2.5%	0.70×	58.34
4-2	1.8%	1.7%	0.9%	1.86×	58.34
4-3	0.6%	1.7%	0.9%	1.86×	58.35
4-4	0.1%	1.7%	0.3%	5.59×	58.35

DNB 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Bohemians (2nd half DNB)	74.1%	70.6%	—	—	1.42
Drogheda United (2nd half DNB)	25.9%	29.4%	—	—	3.41

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Bohemians leading at HT (DNB)	75.3%	76.6%	—	—	1.31
Drogheda United leading at HT (DNB)	24.7%	23.4%	—	—	4.27

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Bohemians or draw (1X)	85.2%	86.9%	71.8%	1.21×	1.15
Bohemians or Drogheda United (12)	75.9%	76.4%	68.7%	1.11×	1.31
Drogheda United or draw (X2)	38.9%	39.2%	59.2%	0.66×	2.55

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Bohemians or draw at HT	84.9%	83.9%	—	—	1.19
Bohemians or Drogheda United at HT	61.2%	62.9%	—	—	1.59
Drogheda United or draw at HT	53.9%	54.0%	—	—	1.85

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Bohemians or draw (1UP)	85.2%	90.2%	—	—	1.11
Drogheda United or draw (1UP)	38.9%	43.5%	—	—	2.30

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Bohemians or draw in 2nd half	82.5%	79.8%	—	—	1.25
Bohemians or Drogheda United in 2nd half	67.7%	67.2%	—	—	1.49
Drogheda United or draw in 2nd half	49.8%	51.4%	—	—	1.95

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	56.4%	54.6%	—	—	1.83
Neither half drawn	43.6%	45.4%	—	—	2.21

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Bohemians (DNB)	80.5%	81.2%	59.1%	1.37×	1.23
Drogheda United (DNB)	19.5%	18.8%	40.9%	0.46×	5.33

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Bohemians to score first	63.7%	64.2%	—	—	1.56
Drogheda United to score first	29.7%	29.7%	—	—	3.37
No goal scored	6.6%	6.4%	—	—	15.70

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams to score	56.4%	55.3%	56.1%	0.99×	1.81
Not both teams to score	43.6%	44.7%	43.9%	1.02×	2.24

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both score & over 2.5	44.9%	41.6%	42.3%	0.98×	2.40
Not both score & under 2.5	29.6%	31.4%	38.0%	0.83×	3.18
Not both score & over 2.5	14.0%	11.9%	6.1%	1.94×	8.41
Both score & under 2.5	11.4%	11.9%	14.1%	0.84×	8.41

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	84.3%	83.0%	83.1%	1.00×	1.20
Both teams to score 2+	15.7%	17.0%	16.9%	1.01×	5.89

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	68.6%	69.4%	—	—	1.44
Both teams to score in 2nd half	31.4%	30.6%	—	—	3.27

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	55.1%	57.8%	—	—	1.73
Both score 2nd half only	25.5%	25.8%	—	—	3.87
Both score 1st half only	13.5%	11.9%	—	—	8.41
Both score in both halves	5.9%	6.9%	—	—	14.54

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	80.6%	82.6%	—	—	1.21
Both teams to score by HT	19.4%	17.4%	—	—	5.75

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A goal in each half	61.0%	63.3%	—	—	1.58
A half without a goal	39.0%	36.7%	—	—	2.73

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	46.3%	46.5%	47.2%	0.98×	2.15
4-6 goals	32.9%	31.2%	23.9%	1.30×	3.21
0-1 goals	17.2%	19.1%	27.3%	0.70×	5.24
7+ goals	3.6%	2.0%	2.1%	0.94×	49.70

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Drogheda United to score exactly 0	37.8%	36.0%	31.9%	1.13×	2.78
Drogheda United to score exactly 1	36.8%	36.0%	35.6%	1.01×	2.78
Drogheda United to score exactly 2	17.9%	18.2%	22.7%	0.80×	5.49
Drogheda United to score 3+	7.5%	8.6%	10.4%	0.82×	11.63

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Bohemians to score 3+	34.6%	32.2%	14.7%	2.19×	3.10
Bohemians to score exactly 2	27.0%	26.4%	28.5%	0.93×	3.78
Bohemians to score exactly 1	25.9%	26.4%	35.9%	0.74×	3.78
Bohemians to score exactly 0	12.4%	13.3%	21.5%	0.62×	7.53

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Bohemians leading at HT	46.1%	46.0%	—	—	2.17
Draw at HT	38.8%	37.1%	—	—	2.69
Drogheda United leading at HT	15.1%	16.1%	—	—	6.23

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Bohemians -1: 1	39.3%	36.3%	—	—	2.76
Bohemians -1: 2	38.9%	36.2%	—	—	2.76
Bohemians -1: X	21.8%	23.3%	—	—	4.29

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Bohemians (0:1)	39.3%	36.2%	17.8%	2.03×	2.76
Drogheda United (0:1)	38.9%	36.2%	59.2%	0.61×	2.76
Draw (0:1)	21.8%	23.6%	23.3%	1.01×	4.24

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Drogheda United (0:2)	60.7%	67.1%	82.2%	0.82×	1.49
Bohemians (0:2)	20.1%	20.5%	7.4%	2.78×	4.88
Draw (0:2)	19.1%	15.7%	10.7%	1.46×	6.38

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Drogheda United (0:3)	79.9%	78.4%	92.6%	0.85×	1.28
Draw (0:3)	11.5%	11.6%	5.5%	2.10×	8.65
Bohemians (0:3)	8.6%	6.5%	2.1%	3.03×	15.39

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Drogheda United (0:4)	91.4%	93.3%	97.9%	0.95×	1.07
Draw (0:4)	5.5%	6.7%	1.5%	4.37×	14.91
Bohemians (0:4)	3.1%	1.4%	0.9%	1.54×	70.66

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Bohemians (1:0)	85.2%	85.9%	71.8%	1.20×	1.16
Draw (1:0)	9.2%	7.5%	20.2%	0.37×	13.39
Drogheda United (1:0)	5.6%	7.5%	8.3%	0.90×	13.41

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Bohemians (2:0)	94.4%	92.9%	91.7%	1.01×	1.08
Draw (2:0)	4.2%	2.8%	6.4%	0.43×	35.88
Drogheda United (2:0)	1.5%	2.8%	2.1%	1.30×	35.93

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	47.3%	48.2%	—	—	2.07
1st half highest scoring	26.6%	26.2%	—	—	3.82
Halves equal	26.1%	26.2%	—	—	3.82

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Bohemians to concede	62.2%	65.0%	68.1%	0.95×	1.54
Bohemians clean sheet	37.8%	35.0%	31.9%	1.10×	2.86

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Bohemians clean sheet in 1st half	67.8%	67.5%	—	—	1.48
Bohemians to concede in 1st half	32.2%	32.5%	—	—	3.08

Home clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Bohemians clean sheet in 2nd half	55.8%	54.5%	—	—	1.83
Bohemians to concede in 2nd half	44.2%	45.5%	—	—	2.20

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Bohemians over 0.5 goals	87.6%	87.3%	78.5%	1.11×	1.15
Bohemians under 3.5 goals	84.2%	82.3%	94.2%	0.87×	1.22
Bohemians under 2.5 goals	65.4%	68.3%	85.3%	0.80×	1.46
Bohemians over 1.5 goals	61.7%	62.4%	42.9%	1.45×	1.60
Bohemians under 1.5 goals	38.3%	37.6%	57.1%	0.66×	2.66
Bohemians over 2.5 goals	34.6%	31.7%	14.7%	2.15×	3.15
Bohemians over 3.5 goals	15.8%	17.7%	5.8%	3.03×	5.66
Bohemians under 0.5 goals	12.4%	12.7%	21.5%	0.59×	7.87

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Bohemians under 1.5 in 1st half	77.4%	77.4%	—	—	1.29
Bohemians over 0.5 in 1st half	59.2%	57.5%	—	—	1.74
Bohemians under 0.5 in 1st half	40.8%	42.5%	—	—	2.35
Bohemians over 1.5 in 1st half	22.6%	22.6%	—	—	4.42

Home highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Bohemians scores more in 2nd half	42.6%	41.7%	—	—	2.40
Bohemians scores equally in both	29.7%	27.8%	—	—	3.59
Bohemians scores more in 1st half	27.7%	27.8%	—	—	3.60

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw (home no bet)	62.0%	60.2%	52.6%	1.15×	1.66
Drogheda United (home no bet)	38.0%	39.8%	47.4%	0.84×	2.51

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Bohemians even goals	50.8%	50.9%	54.3%	0.94×	1.96
Bohemians odd goals	49.2%	49.1%	45.7%	1.07×	2.04

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	28.0%	26.0%	—	—	3.85
HT 1-0	24.5%	22.5%	—	—	4.44
HT 2-0	11.1%	10.9%	—	—	9.16
HT 0-1	10.4%	10.9%	—	—	9.17
HT 1-1	10.0%	8.0%	—	—	12.52
Any other HT score	6.9%	8.0%	—	—	12.55
HT 2-1	4.3%	2.5%	—	—	40.39
HT 0-2	2.1%	2.5%	—	—	40.49
HT 1-2	1.9%	2.5%	—	—	40.50
HT 2-2	0.8%	2.5%	—	—	40.54

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Bohemians at HT / Bohemians at FT	39.7%	39.2%	—	—	2.55
Draw at HT / Bohemians at FT	18.3%	17.3%	—	—	5.77
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	14.7%	12.0%	—	—	8.31
Drogheda United at HT / Drogheda United at FT	7.6%	6.5%	—	—	15.46
Draw at HT / Drogheda United at FT	5.8%	6.5%	—	—	15.50
Bohemians at HT / Draw at FT	5.0%	6.4%	—	—	15.52
Drogheda United at HT / Draw at FT	4.4%	3.6%	—	—	27.51
Drogheda United at HT / Bohemians at FT	3.1%	3.6%	—	—	27.55
Bohemians at HT / Drogheda United at FT	1.4%	3.6%	—	—	27.60

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Bohemians to score last	64.0%	60.5%	—	—	1.65
Drogheda United to score last	29.4%	33.3%	—	—	3.00
No goal scored	6.6%	6.4%	—	—	15.70

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	93.4%	93.6%	—	—	1.07
Bohemians to lead by 1 at any time	74.1%	75.6%	—	—	1.32
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	55.8%	55.6%	—	—	1.80
Bohemians to lead by 2 at any time	46.1%	46.5%	—	—	2.15
Drogheda United to lead by 1 at any time	34.1%	31.7%	—	—	3.15
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	25.6%	24.9%	—	—	4.01
Bohemians to lead by 3 at any time	23.2%	21.4%	—	—	4.68
Drogheda United to lead by 2 at any time	10.0%	11.0%	—	—	9.09
Drogheda United to lead by 3 at any time	2.4%	2.6%	—	—	38.32

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	84.4%	82.1%	86.2%	0.95×	1.22
2-6 goals	79.2%	77.9%	70.9%	1.10×	1.28
1-4 goals	74.0%	72.2%	77.9%	0.93×	1.39
2-5 goals	73.9%	72.2%	68.4%	1.06×	1.39
2-4 goals	63.4%	62.7%	60.1%	1.04×	1.60
1-3 goals	56.8%	58.9%	65.0%	0.91×	1.70
3-6 goals	55.3%	58.9%	46.3%	1.27×	1.70
3-5 goals	50.0%	47.4%	43.9%	1.08×	2.11
2-3 goals	46.3%	47.4%	47.2%	1.00×	2.11
3-4 goals	39.5%	39.0%	35.6%	1.10×	2.56
1-2 goals	34.4%	34.7%	42.6%	0.81×	2.88
4-6 goals	32.9%	34.7%	23.9%	1.45×	2.88
4-5 goals	27.6%	28.5%	21.5%	1.33×	3.51
5-6 goals	15.8%	18.9%	11.0%	1.71×	5.30
7+ goals	3.6%	2.3%	2.1%	1.05×	44.21

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Bohemians never behind	59.3%	61.5%	—	—	1.63
Drogheda United never behind	19.2%	20.3%	—	—	4.92

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even number of goals	53.9%	50.1%	49.7%	1.01×	2.00
Odd number of goals	46.1%	49.9%	50.3%	0.99×	2.00

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	54.5%	51.6%	—	—	1.94
Odd goals in 1st half	45.5%	48.4%	—	—	2.07

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	52.8%	51.6%	—	—	1.94
Odd goals in 2nd half	47.2%	48.4%	—	—	2.07

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 goals	93.4%	92.3%	90.5%	1.02×	1.08
Under 5.5 goals	91.0%	92.3%	95.4%	0.97×	1.08
Over 1.5 goals	82.8%	81.6%	72.7%	1.12×	1.23
Under 4.5 goals	80.6%	81.6%	87.1%	0.94×	1.23
Under 3.5 goals	63.4%	62.0%	74.2%	0.83×	1.61
Over 2.5 goals	59.0%	57.8%	48.2%	1.20×	1.73
Under 2.5 goals	41.1%	42.2%	51.8%	0.81×	2.37
Over 3.5 goals	36.6%	38.0%	25.8%	1.48×	2.63
Over 4.5 goals	19.4%	18.4%	12.9%	1.43×	5.44
Under 1.5 goals	17.2%	18.4%	27.3%	0.67×	5.44
Over 5.5 goals	9.0%	7.7%	4.6%	1.68×	12.91
Under 0.5 goals	6.6%	7.7%	9.5%	0.81×	12.91

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	96.2%	97.3%	97.8%	0.99×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	90.0%	86.6%	95.0%	0.91×	1.15
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	77.4%	76.0%	63.8%	1.19×	1.32
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	76.6%	76.0%	85.2%	0.89×	1.32
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	52.9%	52.0%	66.8%	0.78×	1.92
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	47.1%	48.0%	33.2%	1.45×	2.08
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	23.4%	24.0%	14.8%	1.63×	4.16
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	22.6%	24.0%	36.2%	0.66×	4.16
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	10.0%	13.4%	5.0%	2.66×	7.49
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	3.8%	2.7%	2.2%	1.24×	36.68

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	86.0%	88.3%	—	—	1.13
Over 0.5 in 1st half	72.0%	73.8%	—	—	1.36
Under 1.5 in 1st half	62.9%	65.1%	—	—	1.54
Over 1.5 in 1st half	37.1%	34.9%	—	—	2.87
Under 0.5 in 1st half	28.0%	26.2%	—	—	3.82
Over 2.5 in 1st half	14.0%	11.7%	—	—	8.58

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	82.3%	82.5%	—	—	1.21
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	73.8%	75.7%	—	—	1.32
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	46.5%	50.5%	—	—	1.98
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	53.5%	49.5%	—	—	2.02
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	26.2%	24.3%	—	—	4.11
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	17.7%	17.5%	—	—	5.72

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Drogheda United not to score in both halves	85.8%	85.5%	—	—	1.17
Bohemians not to score in both halves	58.8%	60.1%	—	—	1.66
Bohemians to score in both halves	41.2%	39.9%	—	—	2.51
Drogheda United to score in both halves	14.2%	14.5%	—	—	6.91

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	56.4%	57.8%	56.1%	1.03×	1.73
Only Bohemians scores	31.2%	31.4%	22.7%	1.38×	3.18
Neither team scores	6.6%	7.1%	9.5%	0.75×	14.09
Only Drogheda United scores	5.8%	7.1%	12.3%	0.58×	14.10

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 2 goals	23.9%	22.3%	24.8%	0.90×	4.49
Exactly 3 goals	22.4%	22.3%	22.7%	0.98×	4.49
Exactly 4 goals	17.1%	17.6%	13.2%	1.34×	5.68
Exactly 1 goals	10.6%	12.3%	18.1%	0.68×	8.15
Exactly 5 goals	10.5%	12.3%	8.6%	1.43×	8.15
6 or more goals	9.0%	7.8%	4.6%	1.69×	12.88
Exactly 0 goals	6.6%	7.8%	9.5%	0.82×	12.89

Total goals 1st half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1 goal in 1st half	34.9%	34.4%	—	—	2.91
No goals in 1st half	28.0%	25.8%	—	—	3.88
2 goals in 1st half	23.2%	21.6%	—	—	4.63
3+ goals in 1st half	14.0%	11.4%	—	—	8.74

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	53.5%	49.6%	—	—	2.02
1 goal in 2nd half	28.8%	27.2%	—	—	3.68
No goals in 2nd half	17.7%	16.4%	—	—	6.08

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Drogheda United not to win both halves	97.2%	97.3%	—	—	1.03
Bohemians not to win both halves	76.4%	81.3%	—	—	1.23
Bohemians to win both halves	23.6%	18.7%	—	—	5.36
Drogheda United to win both halves	2.8%	2.7%	—	—	37.10

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Bohemians to win either half	72.7%	70.1%	—	—	1.43
Drogheda United to win neither half	70.2%	70.0%	—	—	1.43
Drogheda United to win either half	29.8%	30.0%	—	—	3.33
Bohemians to win neither half	27.3%	29.9%	—	—	3.35

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Drogheda United not to win to nil	94.2%	92.4%	87.7%	1.05×	1.08
Bohemians not to win to nil	68.8%	69.5%	77.3%	0.90×	1.44
Bohemians to win to nil	31.2%	30.5%	22.7%	1.34×	3.28
Drogheda United to win to nil	5.8%	7.6%	12.3%	0.62×	13.10

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw	24.1%	23.4%	31.3%	0.75×	4.27
Bohemians by 1	21.8%	23.4%	23.3%	1.00×	4.27
Bohemians by 3+	20.1%	23.4%	7.4%	3.18×	4.27
Bohemians by 2	19.1%	17.2%	10.7%	1.61×	5.80
Drogheda United by 1	9.2%	7.3%	20.2%	0.36×	13.77
Drogheda United by 2	4.2%	3.0%	6.4%	0.46×	33.44
Drogheda United by 3+	1.5%	3.0%	2.1%	1.39×	33.47