Bologna v Internazionale — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Saturday 17 October 2026 · ITA-Serie A · 2627

Serie A xG Prediction generated 18 Sep 2026, 10:37 UTC

Bologna

1–3

1.77 – 3.60 xG

Internazionale

Shots

11 – 17

On target

4 – 8

Shots in box

6 – 11

xG per shot

0.16 – 0.22

Set-piece xG

0.46 – 0.88

Goals − xG

-0.78 – -0.78

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Final pre-match price, taken 17 Oct, 10:59 · 5h before kick-off

Bologna win

22.2%

model 22.1%

Draw

22.2%

model 22.1%

Internazionale win

55.6%

model 55.8%

222256

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (346 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-1 10.2%
1-2 9.9%
0-1 9.0%
0-2 8.7%
1-3 6.3%

Goals

Over 2.5	59.1%	Under 2.5	40.9%
BTTS yes	58.0%	BTTS no	42.0%
Bologna 1+	67.9%	Bologna 2+	31.4%
Internazionale 1+	85.5%	Internazionale 2+	57.4%

Expected goals 1.14 – 1.93. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

95/100

Data quality

100/100

Model agreement

95%

★ Best pick

Internazionale (-0.5)

Asian handicap · usually 34%

57.0% fair odds 1.76

strong signal · 1154 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Internazionale not to win both halves

Win both halves · usually 92%

83.2% fair odds 1.20

moderate signal · 589 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

Internazionale carry the stronger rating, 1820 Elo against 1539.
Form is good: 2.00 points a match from the last five.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Internazionale have an estimated 55.6% win probability, against 22.2% for Bologna and 22.2% for the draw. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.14 for Bologna and 1.93 for Internazionale.

Why Bologna

At home Bologna average 1.61 xG a match. Their last eleven was closer to full strength: Internazionale were missing 1.16 expected goal involvements a match against 0.84.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 22.2%. Draws run at 27% in this competition.

Why Internazionale can win

Internazionale carry the stronger rating, 1820 Elo against 1539. Form is good: 2.00 points a match from the last five.

Key players

Bologna's leading contributors by expected goal involvements a match: Roberto Piccoli (0.32), Santiago Castro (0.30), Jonathan Rowe (0.27). Internazionale's leading contributors by expected goal involvements a match: Lautaro Martínez (0.76), Marcus Thuram (0.56), Federico Dimarco (0.52).

Availability

2 of Bologna's top three contributors did not start their last match. Bologna changed goalkeeper for their last match. 1 of Internazionale's top three contributors did not start their last match.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Bologna: 49% possession, 12.6 shots a match, 13.8 faced, 0.42 xG a match from set pieces. Internazionale: 61% possession, 22.4 shots a match, 13.0 faced, 0.84 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-10-17 14:51 · team_stats 2026-10-17 06:03 · availability 2026-10-17 14:59 · prediction 2026-09-18 10:37 ·

Internazionale are the model's most likely outcome at 55.6%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 10.2%. Confidence 95/100, data quality 100/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the chances say

Bologna have scored 13 from 14.7 expected and conceded 15 from 14.1 — both ends in line with the chances, so the recent record is a fair reflection.

WWDLLDLDWL last 10 scored 13 from 14.7 xG conceded 15 from 14.1 xG

Internazionale have scored 28 from 28.3 expected and conceded 13 from 12.7 — both ends in line with the chances, so the recent record is a fair reflection.

WDDWWWWDWW last 10 scored 28 from 28.3 xG conceded 13 from 12.7 xG

Finishing swings far more than chance creation, so a gap this size usually narrows. Over ten matches it is suggestive, not settled — a genuinely elite finisher beats expected goals for years.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS	Outcome
ai-blend	222256	1.14–1.93	0%	0%	0%	Away ✓
dc-xg	262351	1.29–1.87	1-1 10%	61%	61%	Away ✓
dc-xg-oos	262351	1.28–1.86	1-1 10%	61%	61%	Away ✓
deep	262351	1.29–1.87	1-1 10%	61%	61%	Away ✓

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Internazionale to win	51.1%	51.5%	33.4%	1.54×	1.94
Bologna to win	26.4%	27.9%	40.0%	0.70×	3.58
Draw	22.6%	24.5%	26.7%	0.91×	4.09

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Internazionale & both teams score	27.8%	25.2%	13.1%	1.92×	3.98
Internazionale & not both score	23.3%	21.8%	20.4%	1.07×	4.58
Draw & both teams score	18.3%	18.0%	18.8%	0.95×	5.56
Bologna & both teams score	15.2%	18.0%	17.6%	1.02×	5.56
Bologna & not both score	11.1%	13.3%	22.5%	0.59×	7.54
Draw & not both score	4.2%	4.9%	8.0%	0.61×	20.57

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Internazionale & over 1.5	43.2%	40.3%	24.3%	1.66×	2.48
Internazionale & over 2.5	35.7%	34.8%	17.7%	1.96×	2.87
Internazionale & under 3.5	29.5%	26.1%	26.2%	0.99×	3.84
Internazionale & over 3.5	21.5%	21.6%	7.3%	2.96×	4.63
Bologna & over 1.5	20.9%	21.6%	29.9%	0.72×	4.63
Draw & over 1.5	18.3%	18.0%	18.8%	0.96×	5.56
Bologna & over 2.5	17.4%	18.0%	23.3%	0.77×	5.56
Bologna & under 3.5	17.1%	18.0%	29.6%	0.61×	5.56
Internazionale & under 2.5	15.3%	18.0%	15.8%	1.14×	5.56
Draw & under 2.5	14.4%	12.8%	19.9%	0.64×	7.79
Draw & under 3.5	14.4%	12.8%	19.9%	0.64×	7.79
Bologna & under 2.5	9.0%	7.9%	16.8%	0.47×	12.62
Bologna & over 3.5	9.3%	7.9%	10.5%	0.76×	12.62
Draw & over 2.5	8.1%	7.9%	6.9%	1.14×	12.62
Draw & over 3.5	8.1%	7.9%	6.9%	1.14×	12.62
Internazionale & under 1.5	7.9%	7.9%	9.2%	0.86×	12.62
Bologna & under 1.5	5.5%	7.9%	10.2%	0.78×	12.62
Draw & under 1.5	4.2%	4.8%	8.0%	0.60×	20.85

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Internazionale (1UP)	67.1%	70.1%	50.4%	1.39×	1.43
Bologna (1UP)	46.3%	43.7%	55.3%	0.79×	2.29

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Internazionale (2UP)	51.1%	55.2%	36.0%	1.53×	1.81
Bologna (2UP)	26.4%	25.2%	41.8%	0.60×	3.97

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Internazionale to win 2nd half	41.9%	41.6%	29.8%	1.40×	2.40
2nd half drawn	32.3%	34.1%	35.4%	0.96×	2.93
Bologna to win 2nd half	25.8%	26.1%	35.0%	0.75×	3.83

2nd half away goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Internazionale under 1.5 in 2nd half	71.7%	75.5%	85.3%	0.89×	1.33
Internazionale over 0.5 in 2nd half	65.1%	70.1%	49.8%	1.41×	1.43
Internazionale under 0.5 in 2nd half	35.0%	30.0%	50.2%	0.60×	3.34
Internazionale over 1.5 in 2nd half	28.3%	24.5%	14.7%	1.67×	4.08

2nd half home goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Bologna under 1.5 in 2nd half	82.5%	82.5%	81.5%	1.01×	1.21
Bologna over 0.5 in 2nd half	53.0%	54.5%	53.8%	1.01×	1.84
Bologna under 0.5 in 2nd half	47.0%	45.5%	46.2%	0.99×	2.20
Bologna over 1.5 in 2nd half	17.5%	17.5%	18.5%	0.95×	5.71

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Internazionale (+2.5)	96.3%	96.3%	92.3%	1.04×	1.04
Internazionale (+1.5)	88.9%	88.5%	82.5%	1.07×	1.13
Internazionale (+0.5)	73.6%	73.7%	60.0%	1.23×	1.36
Internazionale (-0.5)	51.1%	52.4%	33.4%	1.57×	1.91
Bologna (+0.5)	48.9%	47.6%	66.6%	0.71×	2.10
Bologna (-0.5)	26.4%	26.3%	40.0%	0.66×	3.80
Bologna (-1.5)	11.1%	11.5%	17.5%	0.66×	8.67
Bologna (-2.5)	3.7%	3.7%	7.7%	0.48×	27.02

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Internazionale to concede	72.5%	76.7%	71.7%	1.07×	1.30
Internazionale clean sheet	27.5%	23.3%	28.3%	0.82×	4.29

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Internazionale clean sheet in 1st half	58.6%	57.7%	58.0%	1.00×	1.73
Internazionale to concede in 1st half	41.4%	42.3%	42.0%	1.01×	2.37

Away clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Internazionale to concede in 2nd half	53.0%	53.8%	53.8%	1.00×	1.86
Internazionale clean sheet in 2nd half	47.0%	46.2%	46.2%	1.00×	2.17

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Internazionale over 2.5 corners	80.9%	81.4%	—	—	1.23
Internazionale under 6.5 corners	72.2%	71.6%	—	—	1.40
Internazionale over 3.5 corners	67.2%	67.6%	—	—	1.48
Internazionale under 5.5 corners	60.8%	61.8%	—	—	1.62
Internazionale over 4.5 corners	52.7%	53.1%	—	—	1.89
Internazionale under 4.5 corners	47.3%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
Internazionale over 5.5 corners	39.2%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
Internazionale under 3.5 corners	32.8%	32.4%	—	—	3.08
Internazionale over 6.5 corners	27.8%	28.4%	—	—	3.52
Internazionale under 2.5 corners	19.1%	18.6%	—	—	5.37

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Internazionale under 3.5 goals	87.9%	87.8%	97.1%	0.90×	1.14
Internazionale over 0.5 goals	84.6%	81.5%	69.6%	1.17×	1.23
Internazionale under 2.5 goals	71.1%	71.8%	88.6%	0.81×	1.39
Internazionale over 1.5 goals	55.9%	59.3%	34.6%	1.71×	1.69
Internazionale under 1.5 goals	44.1%	40.7%	65.4%	0.62×	2.46
Internazionale over 2.5 goals	28.9%	28.2%	11.4%	2.46×	3.55
Internazionale under 0.5 goals	15.4%	18.5%	30.4%	0.61×	5.40
Internazionale over 3.5 goals	12.1%	12.2%	2.9%	4.17×	8.22

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Internazionale under 1.5 in 1st half	80.1%	82.4%	90.2%	0.91×	1.21
Internazionale over 0.5 in 1st half	56.1%	62.0%	41.1%	1.51×	1.61
Internazionale under 0.5 in 1st half	43.9%	38.0%	58.9%	0.64×	2.63
Internazionale over 1.5 in 1st half	19.9%	17.6%	9.8%	1.79×	5.67

Away highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Internazionale scores more in 2nd half	40.2%	43.5%	32.8%	1.33×	2.30
Internazionale scores equally in both	31.8%	33.5%	43.5%	0.77×	2.98
Internazionale scores more in 1st half	28.0%	26.7%	23.8%	1.12×	3.75

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Bologna (away no bet)	53.9%	51.7%	59.9%	0.86×	1.93
Draw (away no bet)	46.1%	48.3%	40.1%	1.20×	2.07

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Internazionale even goals	51.2%	52.6%	55.7%	0.95×	1.90
Internazionale odd goals	48.8%	47.4%	44.4%	1.07×	2.11

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	78.8%	81.5%	87.4%	0.93×	1.23
Both halves over 1.5 goals	21.2%	18.5%	12.6%	1.46×	5.41

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	72.0%	67.7%	59.9%	1.13×	1.48
Both halves under 1.5 goals	28.0%	32.3%	40.1%	0.81×	3.10

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	63.9%	60.2%	53.0%	1.14×	1.66
Internazionale to score 2+ in a row	46.2%	46.0%	27.3%	1.68×	2.17
Bologna to score 2+ in a row	26.5%	25.2%	31.7%	0.80×	3.97
Either team to score 3+ in a row	25.8%	25.2%	17.4%	1.45×	3.97
Internazionale to score 3+ in a row	19.1%	16.3%	7.5%	2.17×	6.12
Bologna to score 3+ in a row	7.2%	5.6%	10.0%	0.56×	17.77

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Internazionale corners (+3.5)	91.5%	89.6%	—	—	1.12
Internazionale corners (+2.5)	86.3%	84.5%	—	—	1.18
Internazionale corners (+1.5)	79.1%	74.8%	—	—	1.34
Bologna corners (+3.5)	72.7%	70.8%	—	—	1.41
Bologna corners (+2.5)	63.1%	61.9%	—	—	1.62
Bologna corners (+1.5)	52.2%	52.4%	—	—	1.91
Internazionale corners (-1.5)	47.8%	47.6%	—	—	2.10
Internazionale corners (-2.5)	36.9%	38.1%	—	—	2.62
Internazionale corners (-3.5)	27.3%	29.2%	—	—	3.42
Bologna corners (-1.5)	20.9%	25.2%	—	—	3.97
Bologna corners (-2.5)	13.7%	15.5%	—	—	6.45
Bologna corners (-3.5)	8.5%	10.4%	—	—	9.58

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-8 corners	51.3%	45.2%	—	—	2.21
9-11 corners	27.0%	31.2%	—	—	3.21
12+ corners	21.7%	25.6%	—	—	3.90

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 12.5 corners	84.4%	80.7%	—	—	1.24
Under 11.5 corners	78.3%	76.6%	—	—	1.31
Under 10.5 corners	70.7%	72.5%	—	—	1.38
Under 9.5 corners	61.6%	63.2%	—	—	1.58
Over 7.5 corners	59.7%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Under 8.5 corners	51.3%	53.2%	—	—	1.88
Over 8.5 corners	48.7%	46.8%	—	—	2.14
Under 7.5 corners	40.3%	42.1%	—	—	2.38
Over 9.5 corners	38.4%	36.8%	—	—	2.72
Over 10.5 corners	29.3%	27.5%	—	—	3.64
Over 11.5 corners	21.7%	23.4%	—	—	4.27
Over 12.5 corners	15.6%	19.3%	—	—	5.18

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.1%	—	—	2.00
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.9%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-1	10.2%	11.5%	12.0%	0.95×	8.73
1-2	9.6%	7.4%	7.5%	0.98×	13.50
0-1	7.9%	7.4%	9.2%	0.80×	13.50
0-2	7.4%	7.4%	6.7%	1.11×	13.50
2-1	6.6%	7.4%	9.5%	0.78×	13.50
1-0	5.5%	7.4%	10.2%	0.73×	13.50
1-3	6.0%	7.4%	1.8%	4.06×	13.50
2-2	6.2%	7.4%	6.1%	1.22×	13.50
Any other score	5.2%	7.4%	2.8%	2.65×	13.51
0-0	4.2%	1.7%	8.0%	0.21×	58.30
0-3	4.6%	1.7%	3.2%	0.54×	58.29
0-4	2.2%	1.7%	1.0%	1.76×	58.31
1-4	2.8%	1.7%	0.7%	2.35×	58.30
2-0	3.5%	1.7%	6.7%	0.26×	58.30
2-3	3.9%	1.7%	2.9%	0.59×	58.30
2-4	1.8%	1.7%	0.2%	7.06×	58.31
3-0	1.5%	1.7%	3.6%	0.47×	58.31
3-1	2.8%	1.7%	3.2%	0.54×	58.30
3-2	2.7%	1.7%	3.0%	0.56×	58.30
3-3	1.7%	1.7%	0.9%	2.02×	58.31
3-4	0.8%	1.7%	0.2%	7.06×	58.31
4-0	0.5%	1.7%	1.6%	1.09×	58.32
4-1	0.9%	1.7%	1.1%	1.57×	58.31
4-2	0.9%	1.7%	0.2%	7.06×	58.31
4-3	0.5%	1.7%	0.2%	7.06×	58.32
4-4	0.3%	1.7%	0.2%	7.06×	58.32

DNB 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Internazionale (2nd half DNB)	61.8%	62.5%	46.0%	1.36×	1.60
Bologna (2nd half DNB)	38.2%	37.5%	54.0%	0.69×	2.66

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Internazionale leading at HT (DNB)	64.1%	66.0%	48.7%	1.36×	1.52
Bologna leading at HT (DNB)	35.9%	34.0%	51.3%	0.66×	2.94

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Bologna or Internazionale (12)	77.4%	75.6%	73.3%	1.03×	1.32
Internazionale or draw (X2)	73.6%	72.1%	60.0%	1.20×	1.39
Bologna or draw (1X)	48.9%	48.5%	66.6%	0.73×	2.06

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Internazionale or draw at HT	77.9%	79.6%	71.6%	1.11×	1.26
Bologna or Internazionale at HT	61.6%	61.5%	55.3%	1.11×	1.63
Bologna or draw at HT	60.5%	61.4%	73.0%	0.84×	1.63

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Internazionale or draw (1UP)	73.6%	79.7%	65.6%	1.21×	1.26
Bologna or draw (1UP)	48.9%	53.0%	71.8%	0.74×	1.89

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Internazionale or draw in 2nd half	74.2%	73.9%	65.0%	1.14×	1.35
Bologna or Internazionale in 2nd half	67.7%	65.9%	64.6%	1.02×	1.52
Bologna or draw in 2nd half	58.1%	58.4%	70.2%	0.83×	1.71

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	58.3%	58.5%	63.8%	0.92×	1.71
Neither half drawn	41.7%	41.5%	36.2%	1.15×	2.41

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Internazionale (DNB)	66.0%	67.3%	45.5%	1.48×	1.49
Bologna (DNB)	34.0%	32.7%	54.5%	0.60×	3.06

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Internazionale to score first	56.7%	62.5%	43.6%	1.43×	1.60
Bologna to score first	39.1%	32.6%	48.5%	0.67×	3.06
No goal scored	4.2%	4.3%	8.0%	0.53×	23.38

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams to score	61.4%	56.6%	49.3%	1.15×	1.77
Not both teams to score	38.6%	43.4%	50.7%	0.86×	2.31

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both score & over 2.5	51.1%	47.3%	37.4%	1.26×	2.12
Not both score & under 2.5	28.5%	33.3%	40.3%	0.83×	3.00
Both score & under 2.5	10.2%	12.4%	12.0%	1.03×	8.10
Not both score & over 2.5	10.1%	12.4%	10.5%	1.18×	8.10

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	79.3%	79.6%	86.5%	0.92×	1.26
Both teams to score 2+	20.7%	20.4%	13.5%	1.51×	4.91

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	65.5%	66.9%	74.7%	0.90×	1.49
Both teams to score in 2nd half	34.5%	33.1%	25.3%	1.31×	3.02

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	50.3%	54.6%	62.7%	0.87×	1.83
Both score 2nd half only	26.5%	27.6%	20.4%	1.35×	3.62
Both score 1st half only	15.2%	15.0%	12.2%	1.24×	6.66
Both score in both halves	8.0%	6.8%	5.0%	1.37×	14.66

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	76.8%	81.2%	83.0%	0.98×	1.23
Both teams to score by HT	23.2%	18.8%	17.0%	1.11×	5.31

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A goal in each half	62.1%	59.6%	52.5%	1.14×	1.68
A half without a goal	37.9%	40.4%	47.5%	0.85×	2.48

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	43.5%	42.1%	48.5%	0.87×	2.38
4-6 goals	34.7%	30.8%	23.6%	1.31×	3.25
0-1 goals	17.6%	20.2%	27.2%	0.74×	4.95
7+ goals	4.2%	1.8%	1.0%	1.90×	54.25

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Internazionale to score 3+	28.9%	27.4%	11.4%	2.40×	3.65
Internazionale to score exactly 1	28.8%	27.4%	35.1%	0.78×	3.65
Internazionale to score exactly 2	27.0%	27.4%	23.3%	1.17×	3.65
Internazionale to score exactly 0	15.4%	19.6%	30.4%	0.64×	5.11

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Bologna to score exactly 1	35.5%	35.6%	32.1%	1.11×	2.81
Bologna to score exactly 0	27.5%	26.6%	28.3%	0.94×	3.76
Bologna to score exactly 2	22.9%	23.3%	24.9%	0.94×	4.29
Bologna to score 3+	14.1%	14.3%	14.9%	0.96×	6.98

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Internazionale leading at HT	39.5%	38.6%	27.0%	1.43×	2.59
Draw at HT	38.4%	38.5%	44.7%	0.86×	2.60
Bologna leading at HT	22.1%	20.4%	28.4%	0.72×	4.91

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Internazionale -1: 1	48.9%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
Internazionale -1: 2	28.9%	26.5%	—	—	3.77
Internazionale -1: X	22.2%	23.5%	—	—	4.25

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Internazionale (0:1)	73.6%	71.1%	60.0%	1.18×	1.41
Draw (0:1)	15.3%	17.8%	22.6%	0.79×	5.62
Bologna (0:1)	11.1%	13.7%	17.5%	0.78×	7.31

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Internazionale (0:2)	88.9%	87.1%	82.5%	1.06×	1.15
Draw (0:2)	7.4%	7.7%	10.0%	0.77×	13.02
Bologna (0:2)	3.7%	3.8%	7.7%	0.49×	26.59

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Internazionale (0:3)	96.3%	96.6%	92.3%	1.05×	1.04
Draw (0:3)	2.7%	2.4%	4.7%	0.50×	42.11
Bologna (0:3)	1.0%	2.4%	3.0%	0.78×	42.18

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Internazionale (0:4)	99.0%	98.1%	97.0%	1.01×	1.02
Draw (0:4)	0.8%	1.2%	2.2%	0.56×	82.15
Bologna (0:4)	0.2%	1.2%	1.0%	1.25×	82.21

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Bologna (1:0)	48.9%	49.2%	66.6%	0.74×	2.03
Internazionale (1:0)	28.9%	25.0%	14.0%	1.79×	3.99
Draw (1:0)	22.2%	21.7%	19.6%	1.11×	4.61

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Bologna (2:0)	71.1%	76.5%	86.0%	0.89×	1.31
Draw (2:0)	15.5%	15.7%	8.5%	1.84×	6.38
Internazionale (2:0)	13.3%	10.3%	5.6%	1.84×	9.71

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	48.1%	48.7%	46.1%	1.06×	2.05
1st half highest scoring	28.9%	26.3%	27.0%	0.98×	3.80
Halves equal	23.0%	24.2%	27.1%	0.89×	4.13

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Bologna to concede	84.6%	80.9%	69.6%	1.16×	1.24
Bologna clean sheet	15.4%	19.1%	30.4%	0.63×	5.25

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Bologna to concede in 1st half	56.1%	62.0%	41.1%	1.51×	1.61
Bologna clean sheet in 1st half	43.9%	38.0%	58.9%	0.64×	2.63

Home clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Bologna to concede in 2nd half	65.1%	67.1%	49.8%	1.35×	1.49
Bologna clean sheet in 2nd half	35.0%	32.9%	50.2%	0.66×	3.04

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Bologna under 6.5 corners	88.3%	86.3%	—	—	1.16
Bologna under 5.5 corners	80.2%	81.0%	—	—	1.24
Bologna under 4.5 corners	68.5%	66.7%	—	—	1.50
Bologna over 2.5 corners	65.0%	66.7%	—	—	1.50
Bologna under 3.5 corners	53.0%	52.6%	—	—	1.90
Bologna over 3.5 corners	47.0%	47.4%	—	—	2.11
Bologna under 2.5 corners	35.0%	33.3%	—	—	3.01
Bologna over 4.5 corners	31.5%	33.3%	—	—	3.01
Bologna over 5.5 corners	19.8%	19.1%	—	—	5.25
Bologna over 6.5 corners	11.7%	13.7%	—	—	7.29

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Bologna under 3.5 goals	95.8%	96.4%	95.4%	1.01×	1.04
Bologna under 2.5 goals	85.9%	87.3%	85.1%	1.03×	1.15
Bologna over 0.5 goals	72.5%	74.2%	71.7%	1.04×	1.35
Bologna under 1.5 goals	63.0%	63.6%	60.3%	1.05×	1.57
Bologna over 1.5 goals	37.0%	36.4%	39.7%	0.92×	2.75
Bologna under 0.5 goals	27.5%	25.8%	28.3%	0.91×	3.88
Bologna over 2.5 goals	14.1%	12.7%	14.9%	0.85×	7.85
Bologna over 3.5 goals	4.2%	3.6%	4.6%	0.79×	27.43

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Bologna under 1.5 in 1st half	89.9%	89.7%	89.3%	1.00×	1.11
Bologna under 0.5 in 1st half	58.6%	57.5%	58.0%	0.99×	1.74
Bologna over 0.5 in 1st half	41.4%	42.5%	42.0%	1.01×	2.35
Bologna over 1.5 in 1st half	10.1%	10.3%	10.7%	0.96×	9.75

Home highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Bologna scores equally in both	39.8%	38.0%	41.8%	0.91×	2.63
Bologna scores more in 2nd half	36.9%	38.0%	36.2%	1.05×	2.63
Bologna scores more in 1st half	23.3%	20.9%	22.1%	0.95×	4.79

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Internazionale (home no bet)	69.4%	64.2%	55.6%	1.16×	1.56
Draw (home no bet)	30.6%	35.8%	44.4%	0.81×	2.79

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Bologna even goals	53.8%	50.7%	56.3%	0.90×	1.97
Bologna odd goals	46.2%	49.3%	43.7%	1.13×	2.03

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	25.7%	28.2%	33.9%	0.83×	3.55
HT 0-1	21.2%	24.3%	18.2%	1.33×	4.11
HT 1-0	13.8%	10.9%	18.5%	0.59×	9.20
HT 1-1	11.3%	10.8%	10.3%	1.05×	9.22
HT 0-2	8.7%	7.0%	5.2%	1.33×	14.36
Any other HT score	6.7%	7.0%	3.4%	2.04×	14.39
HT 1-2	4.7%	2.4%	2.6%	0.93×	41.92
HT 2-0	3.7%	2.4%	5.7%	0.42×	41.98
HT 2-1	3.0%	2.4%	2.4%	0.98×	42.03
HT 2-2	1.2%	2.4%	0.7%	3.25×	42.15

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Internazionale at HT / Internazionale at FT	31.9%	32.4%	18.8%	1.72×	3.09
Draw at HT / Internazionale at FT	16.1%	16.8%	12.9%	1.30×	5.96
Bologna at HT / Bologna at FT	14.2%	12.7%	22.0%	0.58×	7.87
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	12.4%	12.7%	16.3%	0.78×	7.88
Draw at HT / Bologna at FT	9.9%	6.1%	15.8%	0.38×	16.52
Internazionale at HT / Draw at FT	5.4%	6.0%	6.0%	1.01×	16.65
Bologna at HT / Draw at FT	4.8%	3.5%	4.7%	0.73×	28.76
Bologna at HT / Internazionale at FT	3.1%	3.5%	1.9%	1.78×	28.83
Internazionale at HT / Bologna at FT	2.2%	3.5%	2.4%	1.43×	28.86

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Internazionale to score last	56.7%	56.1%	43.7%	1.28×	1.78
Bologna to score last	39.1%	39.0%	48.4%	0.81×	2.57
No goal scored	4.2%	4.3%	8.0%	0.53×	23.38

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	95.8%	95.7%	92.0%	1.04×	1.05
Internazionale to lead by 1 at any time	67.1%	69.5%	50.4%	1.38×	1.44
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	53.6%	50.8%	43.1%	1.18×	1.97
Bologna to lead by 1 at any time	46.3%	44.4%	55.3%	0.80×	2.25
Internazionale to lead by 2 at any time	36.6%	34.5%	19.8%	1.74×	2.90
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	21.8%	19.7%	14.7%	1.34×	5.08
Bologna to lead by 2 at any time	17.4%	15.0%	23.8%	0.63×	6.65
Internazionale to lead by 3 at any time	16.4%	15.0%	6.2%	2.42×	6.66
Bologna to lead by 3 at any time	5.4%	6.7%	8.6%	0.77×	14.98

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Internazionale most corners	59.2%	55.7%	—	—	1.80
Bologna most corners	30.1%	34.3%	—	—	2.91
Corners level	10.7%	10.4%	—	—	9.59

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	85.6%	87.4%	89.1%	0.98×	1.14
2-6 goals	78.2%	78.7%	71.9%	1.09×	1.27
1-4 goals	74.5%	72.4%	80.7%	0.90×	1.38
2-5 goals	72.3%	72.4%	69.9%	1.04×	1.38
2-4 goals	61.1%	63.3%	61.5%	1.03×	1.58
1-3 goals	56.8%	59.1%	67.7%	0.87×	1.69
3-6 goals	57.0%	59.1%	46.9%	1.26×	1.69
3-5 goals	51.1%	53.2%	44.8%	1.19×	1.88
2-3 goals	43.5%	43.6%	48.5%	0.90×	2.29
3-4 goals	40.0%	39.2%	36.5%	1.08×	2.55
4-6 goals	34.7%	35.2%	23.6%	1.49×	2.84
1-2 goals	34.5%	35.2%	44.4%	0.79×	2.84
4-5 goals	28.8%	30.3%	21.5%	1.41×	3.31
5-6 goals	17.1%	18.8%	10.6%	1.78×	5.32
7+ goals	4.2%	2.6%	1.0%	2.63×	39.09

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Internazionale never behind	49.5%	56.7%	44.7%	1.27×	1.76
Bologna never behind	28.6%	30.0%	49.6%	0.60×	3.34

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of goals	49.9%	50.9%	51.5%	0.99×	1.96
Even number of goals	50.1%	49.1%	48.5%	1.01×	2.04

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	53.3%	51.7%	56.5%	0.92×	1.93
Odd goals in 1st half	46.7%	48.3%	43.5%	1.11×	2.07

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	51.3%	51.9%	50.8%	1.02×	1.93
Odd goals in 2nd half	48.7%	48.1%	49.2%	0.98×	2.08

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 goals	95.8%	95.4%	92.0%	1.04×	1.05
Under 5.5 goals	89.9%	87.6%	97.0%	0.90×	1.14
Over 1.5 goals	82.4%	82.3%	72.8%	1.13×	1.22
Under 4.5 goals	78.7%	77.3%	88.6%	0.87×	1.29
Over 2.5 goals	61.3%	61.8%	47.8%	1.29×	1.62
Under 3.5 goals	61.1%	61.8%	75.6%	0.82×	1.62
Over 3.5 goals	38.9%	38.2%	24.4%	1.57×	2.62
Under 2.5 goals	38.7%	38.2%	52.2%	0.73×	2.62
Over 4.5 goals	21.3%	22.7%	11.4%	1.98×	4.41
Under 1.5 goals	17.6%	17.7%	27.2%	0.65×	5.65
Over 5.5 goals	10.1%	12.4%	3.0%	4.08×	8.07
Under 0.5 goals	4.2%	4.6%	8.0%	0.57×	21.90

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	95.5%	97.2%	99.0%	0.98×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	88.6%	86.7%	96.7%	0.90×	1.15
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	77.7%	76.0%	63.7%	1.19×	1.32
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	74.1%	72.4%	86.9%	0.83×	1.38
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	50.1%	51.9%	31.9%	1.63×	1.93
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	49.9%	48.1%	68.1%	0.71×	2.08
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	25.9%	27.6%	13.1%	2.10×	3.63
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	22.3%	24.1%	36.3%	0.66×	4.16
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	11.4%	13.3%	3.3%	4.00×	7.54
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	4.5%	2.8%	1.0%	2.83×	35.63

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	84.4%	85.8%	91.3%	0.94×	1.17
Over 0.5 in 1st half	74.3%	71.9%	66.1%	1.09×	1.39
Under 1.5 in 1st half	60.7%	63.2%	70.4%	0.90×	1.58
Over 1.5 in 1st half	39.3%	36.8%	29.6%	1.24×	2.71
Under 0.5 in 1st half	25.7%	28.1%	33.9%	0.83×	3.55
Over 2.5 in 1st half	15.6%	14.2%	8.7%	1.63×	7.02

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	83.6%	83.3%	78.4%	1.06×	1.20
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	72.9%	77.3%	82.5%	0.94×	1.29
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	53.9%	52.7%	42.9%	1.23×	1.90
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	46.1%	47.3%	57.1%	0.83×	2.12
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	27.1%	22.7%	17.5%	1.30×	4.40
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	16.4%	16.7%	21.6%	0.77×	6.00

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Bologna not to score in both halves	78.0%	78.4%	75.8%	1.03×	1.28
Internazionale not to score in both halves	63.5%	63.7%	78.7%	0.81×	1.57
Internazionale to score in both halves	36.5%	36.3%	21.3%	1.71×	2.76
Bologna to score in both halves	22.0%	21.6%	24.2%	0.89×	4.64

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	61.4%	60.3%	49.3%	1.22×	1.66
Only Internazionale scores	23.3%	22.3%	20.4%	1.09×	4.49
Only Bologna scores	11.1%	11.0%	22.5%	0.49×	9.08
Neither team scores	4.2%	4.6%	8.0%	0.58×	21.68

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 3 goals	22.3%	22.6%	23.5%	0.96×	4.43
Exactly 2 goals	21.2%	22.6%	25.2%	0.90×	4.43
Exactly 4 goals	17.7%	17.5%	13.1%	1.33×	5.73
Exactly 1 goals	13.4%	12.1%	19.3%	0.63×	8.25
Exactly 5 goals	11.2%	12.1%	8.5%	1.42×	8.25
6 or more goals	10.1%	12.1%	3.0%	3.99×	8.26
Exactly 0 goals	4.2%	4.5%	8.0%	0.56×	22.42

Total goals 1st half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1 goal in 1st half	34.9%	35.6%	36.6%	0.97×	2.81
No goals in 1st half	25.7%	28.4%	33.9%	0.84×	3.52
2 goals in 1st half	23.7%	21.5%	21.0%	1.02×	4.64
3+ goals in 1st half	15.6%	15.6%	8.7%	1.78×	6.42

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	53.9%	51.1%	42.9%	1.19×	1.96
1 goal in 2nd half	29.7%	29.3%	35.6%	0.82×	3.41
No goals in 2nd half	16.4%	16.6%	21.6%	0.77×	6.04

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Bologna not to win both halves	94.3%	94.2%	89.9%	1.05×	1.06
Internazionale not to win both halves	83.4%	83.9%	91.5%	0.92×	1.19
Internazionale to win both halves	16.6%	16.1%	8.5%	1.89×	6.22
Bologna to win both halves	5.7%	5.8%	10.1%	0.57×	17.28

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Internazionale to win either half	64.8%	65.0%	48.2%	1.35×	1.54
Bologna to win neither half	57.8%	59.1%	46.7%	1.27×	1.69
Bologna to win either half	42.2%	40.9%	53.3%	0.77×	2.45
Internazionale to win neither half	35.2%	35.0%	51.8%	0.68×	2.85

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Bologna not to win to nil	88.9%	88.1%	77.5%	1.14×	1.13
Internazionale not to win to nil	76.7%	78.1%	79.6%	0.98×	1.28
Internazionale to win to nil	23.3%	21.9%	20.4%	1.07×	4.57
Bologna to win to nil	11.1%	11.9%	22.5%	0.53×	8.44

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Internazionale by 1	22.2%	24.1%	19.6%	1.23×	4.15
Draw	22.6%	24.1%	26.7%	0.90×	4.15
Bologna by 1	15.3%	17.0%	22.6%	0.75×	5.87
Internazionale by 2	15.5%	17.0%	8.5%	2.00×	5.87
Internazionale by 3+	13.3%	11.7%	5.6%	2.10×	8.51
Bologna by 2	7.4%	7.2%	10.0%	0.72×	13.89
Bologna by 3+	3.7%	2.7%	7.7%	0.36×	36.72

Reading the xG timeline

Each step up is a shot; the height of the step is how good the chance was. Dots mark goals. A side whose line climbs steadily created chances all match. A side that scored while its line stayed flat took a rare chance — that is finishing luck, and it rarely repeats.

Expected goals by minute

Bologna 1.78 xGInternazionale 3.78 xG

Reading the shot map

Each circle is a shot, placed where it was taken. Bigger means a better chance; filled circles are goals. Clusters near the goal mean a side worked good openings; lots of small circles far out means shooting from poor positions and hoping. Hover any circle for the player, minute and chance quality.

Shot map

Bologna attacking right Internazionale attacking left Marker size is xG; filled markers are goals.

Every shot

Min	Team	Player	xG	Situation	Body part	Result	Assisted by
5'	Internazionale	Luis Henrique	0.06	From Corner	Right Foot	Missed Shot	Federico Dimarco
5'	Internazionale	Nicolò Barella	0.02	Open Play	Right Foot	Saved Shot	Federico Dimarco
9'	Bologna	Tommaso Pobega	0.32	Open Play	Left Foot	Goal	Juan Miranda
15'	Bologna	Federico Bernardeschi	0.02	Set Piece	Left Foot	Saved Shot	Lewis Ferguson
16'	Bologna	Nadir Zortea	0.02	From Corner	Left Foot	Blocked Shot	Tommaso Pobega
21'	Internazionale	Federico Dimarco	0.06	Open Play	Left Foot	Missed Shot	Luis Henrique
23'	Bologna	Nicolò Cambiaghi	0.10	Open Play	Right Foot	Missed Shot	Arthur Theate
24'	Internazionale	Nicolò Barella	0.02	Open Play	Right Foot	Missed Shot	Federico Dimarco
27'	Internazionale	Marcus Thuram	0.37	Set Piece	Right Foot	Missed Shot	Federico Dimarco
32'	Internazionale	Nicolò Barella	0.07	Open Play	Right Foot	Blocked Shot	—
33'	Internazionale	Luis Henrique	0.02	Open Play	Right Foot	Saved Shot	Francesco Pio Esposito
37'	Bologna	Tommaso Pobega	0.04	Open Play	Left Foot	Missed Shot	Jay Enem
39'	Bologna	Nicolò Cambiaghi	0.03	From Corner	Right Foot	Blocked Shot	—
39'	Bologna	Tommaso Pobega	0.39	From Corner	Right Foot	Shot On Post	—
43'	Internazionale	Marcus Thuram	0.27	Open Play	—	Goal	Nicolò Barella
44'	Bologna	Jay Enem	0.57	Open Play	—	Missed Shot	Nadir Zortea
44'	Bologna	Nadir Zortea	0.23	Open Play	Right Foot	Saved Shot	Tommaso Pobega
45'	Bologna	Arthur Theate	0.02	Open Play	Left Foot	Missed Shot	—
47'	Internazionale	Francesco Pio Esposito	0.45	From Corner	—	Saved Shot	Manuel Akanji
55'	Internazionale	Petar Sucic	0.02	Open Play	Left Foot	Saved Shot	Piotr Zielinski
56'	Bologna	Federico Bernardeschi	0.03	Open Play	Left Foot	Saved Shot	Tommaso Pobega
65'	Internazionale	Petar Sucic	0.05	Open Play	Right Foot	Blocked Shot	—
65'	Internazionale	Piotr Zielinski	0.08	Open Play	Right Foot	Blocked Shot	—
67'	Internazionale	Ange-Yoan Bonny	0.08	Open Play	Right Foot	Blocked Shot	Manuel Akanji
68'	Internazionale	Carlos Augusto	0.81	Open Play	Left Foot	Goal	Piotr Zielinski
75'	Internazionale	Ange-Yoan Bonny	0.33	Open Play	Left Foot	Saved Shot	Nicolò Barella
75'	Internazionale	Petar Sucic	0.56	Open Play	Right Foot	Shot On Post	—
82'	Internazionale	Ange-Yoan Bonny	0.52	Open Play	Right Foot	Goal	Carlos Augusto

Players

Internazionale

Player	Min	G	A	Sh	KP	xG	xA	xGChain
Petar Sucic MC	90	0	0	3	0	0.63	0.00	2.06
Nicolò Barella MC	90	0	1	3	2	0.10	0.60	2.13
Yann Bisseck DC	90	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	1.25
Manuel Akanji DC	90	0	0	0	2	0.00	0.53	1.60
Josep Martínez GK	90	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	0.02
Alessandro Bastoni DC	90	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	1.51
Marcus Thuram FW	81	1	0	2	0	0.64	0.00	1.18
Piotr Zielinski MC	81	0	1	1	2	0.08	0.83	1.61
Luis Henrique DMR	71	0	0	2	1	0.07	0.06	0.37
Federico Dimarco DML	71	0	0	1	4	0.06	0.46	0.14
Francesco Pio Esposito FW	60	0	0	1	1	0.45	0.02	0.06
Ange-Yoan Bonny Sub	30	1	0	3	0	0.93	0.00	1.75
Carlos Augusto Sub	19	1	1	1	1	0.81	0.52	1.66
Andy Diouf Sub	19	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	1.15
Hakan Calhanoglu Sub	9	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	0.52
Henrikh Mkhitaryan Sub	9	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	0.52

Bologna

Player	Min	G	A	Sh	KP	xG	xA	xGChain
Nadir Zortea DMR	90	0	0	2	1	0.26	0.57	0.80
Federico Bernardeschi AMC	90	0	0	2	0	0.06	0.00	0.03
Lewis Ferguson MC	90	0	0	0	1	0.00	0.02	0.00
Juan Miranda DML	90	0	1	0	1	0.00	0.32	0.89
Lukasz Skorupski GK	90	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	0.00
Matteo Darmian DC	90	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	0.03
Nicolò Casale DC	90	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	0.00
Tommaso Pobega MC	78	1	0	3	3	0.75	0.29	1.29
Nicolò Cambiaghi AMC	78	0	0	2	0	0.13	0.00	0.70
Arthur Theate DC	65	0	0	1	1	0.02	0.10	0.12
Jay Enem Sub	61	0	0	1	1	0.57	0.04	0.61
Roberto Piccoli FW	29	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	0.10
Eivind Helland Sub	25	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	0.00
Nikola Moro Sub	12	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	0.00
Artem Dovbyk Sub	12	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	0.00

Bologna v Internazionale — Prediction, Odds & Stats

AI prediction

Top 5 scorelines

Goals

Footing

Positive factors

Risk factors

The price

Why Bologna

Why the draw is live

Why Internazionale can win

Key players

Availability

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

What the chances say

What the model said

All markets

Expected goals by minute

Shot map

Every shot

Players

Internazionale

Bologna

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