Bologna v Torino — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Saturday 19 September 2026 · ITA-Serie A · 2627

Serie A xG Prediction generated 5 Sep 2026, 14:39

Bologna

09:00

Torino

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 6 Sep, 07:53 · 317h before kick-off

Bologna win

54.8%

model 52.7%

Draw

22.6%

model 24.5%

Torino win

22.6%

model 22.8%

552323

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (372 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-0 11.7%
1-1 11.7%
2-0 9.6%
2-1 9.6%
0-0 7.1%

Goals

Over 2.5	49.4%	Under 2.5	50.6%
BTTS yes	51.0%	BTTS no	49.0%
Bologna 1+	80.8%	Bologna 2+	49.1%
Torino 1+	63.1%	Torino 2+	26.3%

Expected goals 1.65 – 1.00. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

99/100

Data quality

100/100

Model agreement

99%

★ Best pick

Bologna (-0.5)

Asian handicap · usually 39%

51.9% fair odds 1.93

strong signal · 897 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Torino not to score in both halves

Score both halves · usually 79%

84.4% fair odds 1.19

moderate signal · 819 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

Bologna carry the stronger rating, 1536 Elo against 1478.
Bologna have created 1.33 xG a match over their last five while Torino have allowed 1.75.
At home Bologna average 1.48 xG a match.
They have had 19 days' rest to Torino's 14.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Bologna have an estimated 54.8% win probability, against 22.6% for the draw and 22.6% for Torino. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.65 for Bologna and 1.00 for Torino.

Why Bologna

Bologna carry the stronger rating, 1536 Elo against 1478. Bologna have created 1.33 xG a match over their last five while Torino have allowed 1.75. At home Bologna average 1.48 xG a match. They have had 19 days' rest to Torino's 14.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 22.6%. Draws run at 27% in this competition.

Why Torino can win

Torino have created 1.33 xG a match over their last five while Bologna have allowed 1.03. Away from home Torino average 0.91 xG a match.

Key players

Bologna's leading contributors by expected goal involvements a match: Santiago Castro (0.30), Roberto Piccoli (0.30), Jonathan Rowe (0.27). Torino's leading contributors by expected goal involvements a match: Giovanni Simeone (0.35), Nikola Vlasic (0.33), Che Adams (0.30).

Availability

2 of Bologna's top three contributors did not start their last match. 1 of Torino's top three contributors did not start their last match. Torino changed goalkeeper for their last match. 55% of Torino's last eleven are new to the club this window.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Bologna: 53% possession, 12.2 shots a match, 10.2 faced, 0.57 xG a match from set pieces. Torino: 51% possession, 9.4 shots a match, 16.4 faced, 0.28 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-06 07:42 · team_stats 2026-09-06 06:08 · availability 2026-09-06 07:53 · prediction 2026-09-05 18:39 ·

Bologna are the model's most likely outcome at 54.8%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-0 at 11.7%. Confidence 99/100, data quality 100/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the chances say

Bologna are finishing below their chances — 2.3 goals fewer than expected across 10 matches, despite creating the openings.

WWLLDWWDLL last 10 scored 11 from 13.3 xG conceded 12 from 10.3 xG

Torino are conceding fewer than expected — 2.5 goals saved beyond what the chances suggest.

WDDLWLDLLW last 10 scored 13 from 13.3 xG conceded 15 from 17.5 xG

Finishing swings far more than chance creation, so a gap this size usually narrows. Over ten matches it is suggestive, not settled — a genuinely elite finisher beats expected goals for years.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	532523	1.65–1.00	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	542422	1.66–0.95	1-0 12%	48%	50%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Bologna to win	51.5%	51.4%	39.3%	1.31×	1.94
Draw	24.7%	24.4%	26.7%	0.92×	4.09
Torino to win	23.7%	24.4%	34.2%	0.72×	4.09

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Bologna & not both score	29.0%	25.2%	22.7%	1.11×	3.97
Bologna & both teams score	22.5%	21.9%	16.7%	1.31×	4.57
Draw & both teams score	17.6%	17.9%	18.5%	0.97×	5.58
Torino & not both score	12.6%	13.2%	21.0%	0.63×	7.55
Torino & both teams score	11.1%	13.2%	13.3%	1.00×	7.55
Draw & not both score	7.1%	8.4%	8.3%	1.01×	11.95

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Bologna & over 1.5	40.0%	34.9%	29.0%	1.21×	2.86
Bologna & under 3.5	35.6%	34.9%	29.5%	1.18×	2.87
Bologna & over 2.5	30.6%	30.9%	22.3%	1.38×	3.24
Bologna & under 2.5	21.0%	21.6%	17.1%	1.27×	4.62
Draw & under 2.5	18.9%	18.0%	19.9%	0.90×	5.56
Draw & under 3.5	18.9%	18.0%	19.9%	0.90×	5.56
Draw & over 1.5	17.6%	18.0%	18.5%	0.97×	5.56
Torino & under 3.5	18.2%	18.0%	26.8%	0.67×	5.56
Torino & over 1.5	16.5%	18.0%	24.7%	0.73×	5.56
Bologna & over 3.5	15.9%	18.0%	9.9%	1.81×	5.56
Torino & over 2.5	12.8%	12.9%	18.1%	0.71×	7.78
Bologna & under 1.5	11.6%	12.9%	10.5%	1.23×	7.78
Torino & under 2.5	10.9%	12.9%	16.2%	0.79×	7.78
Torino & under 1.5	7.2%	7.9%	9.6%	0.82×	12.69
Draw & under 1.5	7.1%	7.9%	8.3%	0.95×	12.69
Draw & over 2.5	5.9%	7.9%	6.9%	1.14×	12.69
Draw & over 3.5	5.9%	7.9%	6.9%	1.14×	12.69
Torino & over 3.5	5.5%	7.9%	7.5%	1.05×	12.69

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Bologna (1UP)	65.3%	69.8%	54.6%	1.28×	1.43
Torino (1UP)	40.9%	38.7%	50.9%	0.76×	2.59

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Bologna (2UP)	51.5%	55.6%	40.9%	1.36×	1.80
Torino (2UP)	23.7%	23.6%	36.6%	0.65×	4.23

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Bologna to win 2nd half	40.2%	41.1%	34.6%	1.19×	2.43
2nd half drawn	33.6%	34.5%	36.0%	0.96×	2.90
Torino to win 2nd half	26.3%	26.2%	29.6%	0.89×	3.81

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Torino (+2.5)	88.4%	88.5%	92.3%	0.96×	1.13
Bologna (+0.5)	76.3%	78.5%	65.8%	1.19×	1.28
Torino (+1.5)	72.6%	73.7%	82.8%	0.89×	1.36
Bologna (-0.5)	51.5%	52.3%	39.3%	1.33×	1.91
Torino (+0.5)	48.5%	47.7%	60.7%	0.79×	2.10
Bologna (-1.5)	27.4%	26.3%	17.2%	1.53×	3.80
Torino (-0.5)	23.7%	21.5%	34.2%	0.63×	4.64
Bologna (-2.5)	11.6%	11.5%	7.7%	1.50×	8.70

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Torino to concede	80.3%	81.2%	70.8%	1.15×	1.23
Torino clean sheet	19.7%	18.8%	29.2%	0.64×	5.33

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Torino to concede in 1st half	47.7%	50.9%	41.3%	1.23×	1.97
Torino clean sheet in 1st half	52.3%	49.1%	58.7%	0.84×	2.04

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Torino under 6.5 corners	92.2%	89.2%	—	—	1.12
Torino under 5.5 corners	85.6%	84.9%	—	—	1.18
Torino under 4.5 corners	75.1%	75.8%	—	—	1.32
Torino under 3.5 corners	59.9%	56.9%	—	—	1.76
Torino over 2.5 corners	59.1%	56.9%	—	—	1.76
Torino under 2.5 corners	40.9%	43.1%	—	—	2.32
Torino over 3.5 corners	40.1%	43.1%	—	—	2.32
Torino over 4.5 corners	24.9%	24.2%	—	—	4.13
Torino over 5.5 corners	14.4%	15.1%	—	—	6.62
Torino over 6.5 corners	7.8%	10.8%	—	—	9.29

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Torino under 3.5 goals	98.0%	97.6%	97.1%	1.01×	1.03
Torino under 2.5 goals	91.6%	92.3%	88.3%	1.05×	1.08
Torino under 1.5 goals	72.9%	71.9%	65.6%	1.10×	1.39
Torino over 0.5 goals	63.9%	63.0%	69.1%	0.91×	1.59
Torino under 0.5 goals	36.2%	37.0%	30.9%	1.20×	2.70
Torino over 1.5 goals	27.1%	28.1%	34.4%	0.82×	3.56
Torino over 2.5 goals	8.4%	7.7%	11.7%	0.65×	13.06
Torino over 3.5 goals	2.0%	2.4%	2.9%	0.83×	41.09

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Torino under 1.5 in 1st half	96.5%	95.7%	90.1%	1.06×	1.05
Torino under 0.5 in 1st half	74.8%	69.7%	58.8%	1.19×	1.44
Torino over 0.5 in 1st half	25.2%	30.3%	41.2%	0.74×	3.30
Torino over 1.5 in 1st half	3.5%	4.3%	9.9%	0.43×	23.36

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Bologna (away no bet)	67.6%	66.5%	59.6%	1.12×	1.50
Draw (away no bet)	32.4%	33.5%	40.4%	0.83×	2.98

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Torino even goals	56.5%	56.9%	55.6%	1.02×	1.76
Torino odd goals	43.5%	43.1%	44.4%	0.97×	2.32

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	87.7%	87.9%	87.2%	1.01×	1.14
Both halves over 1.5 goals	12.3%	12.1%	12.8%	0.95×	8.29

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	62.7%	57.8%	59.4%	0.97×	1.73
Both halves under 1.5 goals	37.3%	42.2%	40.6%	1.04×	2.37

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	55.0%	51.3%	52.8%	0.97×	1.95
Bologna to score 2+ in a row	40.8%	38.1%	31.0%	1.23×	2.62
Either team to score 3+ in a row	20.0%	16.5%	17.3%	0.95×	6.07
Torino to score 2+ in a row	19.5%	16.5%	27.6%	0.60×	6.08
Bologna to score 3+ in a row	15.7%	16.4%	9.7%	1.69×	6.11
Torino to score 3+ in a row	4.5%	2.7%	7.8%	0.34×	37.38

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Bologna corners (+3.5)	93.5%	88.7%	—	—	1.13
Bologna corners (+2.5)	88.8%	84.2%	—	—	1.19
Bologna corners (+1.5)	81.8%	80.0%	—	—	1.25
Torino corners (+3.5)	73.1%	69.9%	—	—	1.43
Torino corners (+2.5)	62.8%	61.7%	—	—	1.62
Torino corners (+1.5)	51.0%	52.3%	—	—	1.91
Bologna corners (-1.5)	49.0%	47.7%	—	—	2.10
Bologna corners (-2.5)	37.2%	38.3%	—	—	2.61
Bologna corners (-3.5)	26.9%	30.1%	—	—	3.32
Torino corners (-1.5)	18.2%	20.0%	—	—	5.00
Torino corners (-2.5)	11.2%	15.8%	—	—	6.32
Torino corners (-3.5)	6.5%	11.3%	—	—	8.82

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-8 corners	58.8%	47.9%	—	—	2.09
9-11 corners	25.4%	31.8%	—	—	3.15
12+ corners	15.8%	21.6%	—	—	4.62

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 12.5 corners	89.3%	82.8%	—	—	1.21
Under 11.5 corners	84.2%	79.9%	—	—	1.25
Under 10.5 corners	77.5%	76.6%	—	—	1.31
Under 9.5 corners	69.0%	67.9%	—	—	1.47
Under 8.5 corners	58.8%	57.8%	—	—	1.73
Over 7.5 corners	52.6%	52.2%	—	—	1.91
Under 7.5 corners	47.4%	47.8%	—	—	2.09
Over 8.5 corners	41.2%	42.2%	—	—	2.37
Over 9.5 corners	31.0%	32.1%	—	—	3.12
Over 10.5 corners	22.5%	23.4%	—	—	4.28
Over 11.5 corners	15.8%	20.1%	—	—	4.97
Over 12.5 corners	10.7%	17.2%	—	—	5.82

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even number of corners	50.0%	50.4%	—	—	1.98
Odd number of corners	50.0%	49.6%	—	—	2.02

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-1	11.8%	11.5%	11.7%	0.98×	8.73
1-0	11.6%	11.5%	10.5%	1.09×	8.73
2-0	9.4%	7.4%	6.8%	1.10×	13.46
2-1	9.6%	7.4%	9.2%	0.81×	13.46
0-0	7.1%	7.4%	8.3%	0.90×	13.46
0-1	7.2%	7.4%	9.6%	0.78×	13.46
3-0	5.1%	7.4%	3.4%	2.16×	13.46
3-1	5.2%	7.4%	3.1%	2.43×	13.46
1-2	6.0%	7.4%	7.5%	0.99×	13.46
2-2	4.9%	1.7%	6.0%	0.28×	58.56
2-3	1.7%	1.7%	3.1%	0.56×	58.58
2-4	0.4%	1.7%	0.1%	13.38×	58.59
3-2	2.6%	1.7%	2.7%	0.64×	58.58
3-3	0.9%	1.7%	0.9%	1.91×	58.59
3-4	0.2%	1.7%	0.3%	6.69×	58.59
4-0	2.1%	1.7%	1.7%	1.03×	58.58
4-1	2.1%	1.7%	1.1%	1.49×	58.58
4-2	1.1%	1.7%	0.1%	13.38×	58.59
4-3	0.4%	1.7%	0.3%	6.69×	58.59
4-4	0.1%	1.7%	0.3%	6.69×	58.59
Any other score	2.9%	1.7%	2.8%	0.61×	58.58
0-2	3.7%	1.7%	6.8%	0.25×	58.57
0-3	1.2%	1.7%	3.3%	0.51×	58.59
0-4	0.3%	1.7%	1.0%	1.67×	58.59
1-3	2.0%	1.7%	1.9%	0.89×	58.58
1-4	0.5%	1.7%	0.8%	2.23×	58.59

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Bologna leading at HT (DNB)	73.0%	71.4%	50.1%	1.43×	1.40
Torino leading at HT (DNB)	27.0%	28.6%	49.9%	0.57×	3.50

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Bologna or draw (1X)	76.3%	75.6%	65.8%	1.15×	1.32
Bologna or Torino (12)	75.3%	75.6%	73.3%	1.03×	1.32
Torino or draw (X2)	48.5%	48.6%	60.7%	0.80×	2.06

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Bologna or draw at HT	85.6%	88.0%	72.6%	1.21×	1.14
Torino or draw at HT	61.2%	62.2%	72.4%	0.86×	1.61
Bologna or Torino at HT	53.1%	47.6%	54.8%	0.87×	2.10

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Bologna or draw (1UP)	76.3%	83.9%	71.0%	1.18×	1.19
Torino or draw (1UP)	48.5%	52.4%	66.2%	0.79×	1.91

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Bologna or draw in 2nd half	73.7%	73.8%	70.4%	1.05×	1.36
Bologna or Torino in 2nd half	66.4%	65.5%	64.0%	1.02×	1.53
Torino or draw in 2nd half	59.9%	58.9%	65.4%	0.90×	1.70

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	64.7%	61.7%	64.4%	0.96×	1.62
Neither half drawn	35.3%	38.3%	35.6%	1.08×	2.61

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Bologna (DNB)	68.5%	67.2%	53.5%	1.26×	1.49
Torino (DNB)	31.5%	32.8%	46.5%	0.70×	3.05

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Bologna to score first	57.1%	62.2%	47.8%	1.30×	1.61
Torino to score first	35.8%	32.4%	44.0%	0.74×	3.09
No goal scored	7.1%	7.4%	8.3%	0.89×	13.55

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams to score	51.3%	51.5%	48.2%	1.07×	1.94
Not both teams to score	48.7%	48.5%	51.8%	0.94×	2.06

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both score & over 2.5	39.5%	38.5%	36.6%	1.05×	2.59
Not both score & under 2.5	39.0%	38.5%	41.3%	0.93×	2.60
Both score & under 2.5	11.8%	12.3%	11.7%	1.05×	8.11
Not both score & over 2.5	9.7%	8.4%	10.6%	0.79×	11.95

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	86.9%	85.7%	87.1%	0.98×	1.17
Both teams to score 2+	13.1%	14.3%	12.9%	1.11×	6.98

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	67.8%	67.7%	75.3%	0.90×	1.48
Both teams to score in 2nd half	32.2%	32.3%	24.7%	1.31×	3.09

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	59.6%	60.0%	63.5%	0.94×	1.67
Both score 2nd half only	28.4%	26.1%	19.9%	1.31×	3.84
Both score 1st half only	8.1%	6.7%	11.9%	0.57×	14.88
Both score in both halves	3.9%	5.0%	5.0%	1.00×	20.14

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	88.0%	85.6%	83.3%	1.03×	1.17
Both teams to score by HT	12.0%	14.4%	16.7%	0.86×	6.96

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half without a goal	50.2%	53.2%	48.1%	1.11×	1.88
A goal in each half	49.8%	46.8%	51.9%	0.90×	2.14

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	46.7%	47.4%	48.0%	0.99×	2.11
0-1 goals	25.9%	26.4%	28.1%	0.94×	3.79
4-6 goals	25.5%	26.4%	23.3%	1.13×	3.79
7+ goals	1.8%	1.8%	0.9%	2.03×	55.24

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Torino to score exactly 1	36.8%	36.0%	34.8%	1.03×	2.78
Torino to score exactly 0	36.2%	36.0%	30.9%	1.17×	2.78
Torino to score exactly 2	18.7%	19.6%	22.8%	0.86×	5.12
Torino to score 3+	8.4%	8.5%	11.7%	0.72×	11.78

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Bologna to score exactly 1	32.0%	32.6%	32.1%	1.02×	3.06
Bologna to score exactly 2	26.0%	26.5%	24.6%	1.08×	3.77
Bologna to score 3+	22.3%	23.3%	14.3%	1.63×	4.30
Bologna to score exactly 0	19.7%	18.9%	29.2%	0.65×	5.30

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT	46.9%	52.4%	45.2%	1.16×	1.91
Bologna leading at HT	38.8%	37.8%	27.6%	1.37×	2.64
Torino leading at HT	14.4%	12.0%	27.4%	0.44×	8.35

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Bologna -1: 2	48.5%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
Bologna -1: 1	27.4%	26.5%	—	—	3.77
Bologna -1: X	24.2%	23.6%	—	—	4.24

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Torino (0:1)	48.5%	45.9%	60.7%	0.76×	2.18
Bologna (0:1)	27.4%	27.0%	17.2%	1.57×	3.70
Draw (0:1)	24.2%	24.3%	22.2%	1.10×	4.11

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Torino (0:2)	72.6%	75.6%	82.8%	0.91×	1.32
Draw (0:2)	15.8%	15.3%	9.7%	1.58×	6.54
Bologna (0:2)	11.6%	11.0%	7.7%	1.44×	9.09

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Torino (0:3)	88.4%	90.8%	92.3%	0.98×	1.10
Draw (0:3)	7.6%	5.8%	4.6%	1.26×	17.23
Bologna (0:3)	4.0%	2.4%	3.2%	0.75×	41.96

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Torino (0:4)	96.0%	98.1%	96.8%	1.01×	1.02
Draw (0:4)	2.9%	1.2%	2.3%	0.52×	83.14
Bologna (0:4)	1.2%	1.2%	1.0%	1.18×	83.34

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Bologna (1:0)	76.3%	78.5%	65.8%	1.19×	1.27
Draw (1:0)	15.1%	17.0%	20.0%	0.85×	5.88
Torino (1:0)	8.6%	6.9%	14.3%	0.48×	14.46

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Bologna (2:0)	91.4%	93.9%	85.7%	1.10×	1.07
Draw (2:0)	6.2%	6.5%	8.5%	0.75×	15.50
Torino (2:0)	2.4%	2.3%	5.9%	0.39×	44.26

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	55.5%	57.8%	46.3%	1.25×	1.73
Halves equal	23.9%	24.3%	26.9%	0.90×	4.12
1st half highest scoring	20.6%	24.2%	26.9%	0.90×	4.14

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Bologna to concede	63.9%	63.4%	69.1%	0.92×	1.58
Bologna clean sheet	36.2%	36.6%	30.9%	1.19×	2.73

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Bologna clean sheet in 1st half	74.8%	69.0%	58.8%	1.17×	1.45
Bologna to concede in 1st half	25.2%	31.0%	41.2%	0.75×	3.23

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Bologna over 2.5 corners	79.1%	76.1%	—	—	1.31
Bologna under 6.5 corners	75.9%	76.1%	—	—	1.31
Bologna under 5.5 corners	64.7%	62.0%	—	—	1.61
Bologna over 3.5 corners	64.4%	62.0%	—	—	1.61
Bologna under 4.5 corners	50.9%	53.0%	—	—	1.89
Bologna over 4.5 corners	49.1%	47.0%	—	—	2.13
Bologna under 3.5 corners	35.6%	38.0%	—	—	2.63
Bologna over 5.5 corners	35.3%	38.0%	—	—	2.63
Bologna over 6.5 corners	24.1%	23.9%	—	—	4.19
Bologna under 2.5 corners	20.9%	23.9%	—	—	4.19

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Bologna under 3.5 goals	91.8%	92.2%	95.4%	0.97×	1.08
Bologna over 0.5 goals	80.3%	82.1%	70.8%	1.16×	1.22
Bologna under 2.5 goals	77.7%	77.7%	85.7%	0.91×	1.29
Bologna under 1.5 goals	51.7%	53.3%	61.2%	0.87×	1.88
Bologna over 1.5 goals	48.3%	46.7%	38.8%	1.20×	2.14
Bologna over 2.5 goals	22.3%	22.3%	14.3%	1.56×	4.48
Bologna under 0.5 goals	19.7%	17.9%	29.2%	0.61×	5.60
Bologna over 3.5 goals	8.2%	7.8%	4.6%	1.69×	12.88

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Bologna under 1.5 in 1st half	86.2%	89.9%	90.2%	1.00×	1.11
Bologna over 0.5 in 1st half	47.7%	51.0%	41.3%	1.23×	1.96
Bologna under 0.5 in 1st half	52.3%	49.0%	58.7%	0.84×	2.04
Bologna over 1.5 in 1st half	13.8%	10.1%	9.8%	1.03×	9.88

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw (home no bet)	51.1%	51.5%	43.8%	1.18×	1.94
Torino (home no bet)	48.9%	48.5%	56.2%	0.86×	2.06

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Bologna even goals	51.9%	50.6%	56.9%	0.89×	1.98
Bologna odd goals	48.1%	49.4%	43.1%	1.14×	2.03

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	39.2%	38.7%	34.2%	1.13×	2.58
HT 1-0	25.4%	28.6%	18.4%	1.56×	3.50
HT 0-1	11.3%	11.0%	18.4%	0.60×	9.06
HT 2-0	8.2%	7.1%	5.5%	1.29×	14.09
HT 1-1	7.4%	7.1%	10.6%	0.67×	14.10
Any other HT score	3.1%	2.2%	3.1%	0.73×	44.69
HT 2-1	2.4%	2.2%	2.3%	0.97×	44.75
HT 0-2	1.6%	2.2%	5.5%	0.41×	44.81
HT 1-2	1.1%	2.2%	2.6%	0.87×	44.86
HT 2-2	0.3%	2.2%	0.6%	3.49×	44.91

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Bologna at HT / Bologna at FT	30.8%	32.1%	21.3%	1.51×	3.11
Draw at HT / Bologna at FT	18.8%	16.8%	15.7%	1.07×	5.94
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	15.7%	16.8%	16.7%	1.00×	5.96
Draw at HT / Torino at FT	12.3%	12.7%	13.0%	0.97×	7.90
Torino at HT / Torino at FT	9.1%	6.1%	19.4%	0.31×	16.52
Bologna at HT / Draw at FT	5.7%	6.0%	4.5%	1.35×	16.62
Torino at HT / Draw at FT	3.3%	3.4%	5.7%	0.60×	29.15
Bologna at HT / Torino at FT	2.3%	3.4%	2.0%	1.68×	29.19
Torino at HT / Bologna at FT	2.0%	3.4%	2.6%	1.34×	29.21

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Bologna to score last	57.1%	56.5%	48.0%	1.18×	1.77
Torino to score last	35.8%	38.2%	43.9%	0.87×	2.62
No goal scored	7.1%	7.4%	8.3%	0.89×	13.55

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	92.9%	92.7%	91.7%	1.01×	1.08
Bologna to lead by 1 at any time	65.3%	69.3%	54.6%	1.27×	1.44
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	46.5%	44.0%	42.7%	1.03×	2.27
Torino to lead by 1 at any time	40.9%	39.0%	50.9%	0.77×	2.57
Bologna to lead by 2 at any time	33.5%	29.5%	23.0%	1.28×	3.39
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	17.2%	14.9%	14.7%	1.02×	6.70
Bologna to lead by 3 at any time	13.8%	10.5%	8.4%	1.25×	9.54
Torino to lead by 2 at any time	13.1%	10.5%	20.2%	0.52×	9.55
Torino to lead by 3 at any time	3.4%	1.6%	6.4%	0.25×	62.45

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Bologna most corners	61.2%	58.8%	—	—	1.70
Torino most corners	27.5%	32.0%	—	—	3.12
Corners level	11.3%	10.6%	—	—	9.39

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	87.7%	87.4%	89.0%	0.98×	1.14
1-4 goals	80.0%	83.5%	80.7%	1.03×	1.20
2-6 goals	72.2%	72.4%	71.2%	1.02×	1.38
2-5 goals	68.9%	69.0%	69.3%	1.00×	1.45
1-3 goals	65.6%	69.0%	67.7%	1.02×	1.45
2-4 goals	61.2%	63.5%	61.0%	1.04×	1.58
3-6 goals	47.4%	48.7%	46.3%	1.05×	2.06
2-3 goals	46.7%	48.7%	48.0%	1.01×	2.06
3-5 goals	44.0%	43.6%	44.4%	0.98×	2.29
1-2 goals	43.7%	43.6%	44.8%	0.97×	2.29
3-4 goals	36.4%	39.2%	36.1%	1.08×	2.55
4-6 goals	25.5%	30.2%	23.3%	1.29×	3.31
4-5 goals	22.1%	24.4%	21.4%	1.14×	4.09
5-6 goals	11.0%	14.8%	10.3%	1.44×	6.74
7+ goals	1.8%	2.5%	0.9%	2.84×	39.50

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Bologna never behind	52.0%	62.6%	49.1%	1.27×	1.60
Torino never behind	27.6%	30.0%	45.4%	0.66×	3.34

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of goals	49.7%	50.8%	51.7%	0.98×	1.97
Even number of goals	50.3%	49.2%	48.3%	1.02×	2.03

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	57.7%	57.9%	56.8%	1.02×	1.73
Odd goals in 1st half	42.3%	42.1%	43.2%	0.97×	2.38

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	51.7%	52.0%	51.7%	1.01×	1.92
Odd goals in 2nd half	48.3%	48.0%	48.3%	0.99×	2.08

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 5.5 goals	94.8%	92.3%	97.2%	0.95×	1.08
Over 0.5 goals	92.9%	92.3%	91.7%	1.01×	1.08
Under 4.5 goals	87.1%	87.7%	88.9%	0.99×	1.14
Over 1.5 goals	74.1%	72.5%	71.9%	1.01×	1.38
Under 3.5 goals	72.7%	72.5%	75.9%	0.96×	1.38
Under 2.5 goals	50.8%	52.4%	52.9%	0.99×	1.91
Over 2.5 goals	49.2%	47.6%	47.1%	1.01×	2.10
Over 3.5 goals	27.3%	27.5%	24.1%	1.14×	3.64
Under 1.5 goals	25.9%	27.5%	28.1%	0.98×	3.64
Over 4.5 goals	12.9%	12.3%	11.1%	1.11×	8.11
Under 0.5 goals	7.1%	7.7%	8.3%	0.93×	12.95
Over 5.5 goals	5.2%	7.7%	2.8%	2.75×	12.96

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	98.1%	97.3%	99.1%	0.98×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	94.4%	92.5%	96.9%	0.95×	1.08
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	85.0%	81.1%	87.2%	0.93×	1.23
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	65.5%	67.3%	62.6%	1.07×	1.49
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	65.0%	67.3%	68.7%	0.98×	1.49
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	35.0%	32.7%	31.3%	1.04×	3.06
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	34.5%	32.7%	37.4%	0.88×	3.06
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	15.0%	18.9%	12.8%	1.48×	5.30
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	5.6%	7.5%	3.1%	2.46×	13.28
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	1.9%	2.7%	0.9%	3.02×	36.39

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	93.1%	92.9%	91.8%	1.01×	1.08
Under 1.5 in 1st half	75.9%	78.6%	70.7%	1.11×	1.27
Over 0.5 in 1st half	60.8%	63.6%	65.8%	0.97×	1.57
Under 0.5 in 1st half	39.2%	36.4%	34.2%	1.06×	2.75
Over 1.5 in 1st half	24.1%	21.4%	29.3%	0.73×	4.67
Over 2.5 in 1st half	6.9%	7.1%	8.2%	0.87×	14.09

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	81.8%	82.9%	77.8%	1.07×	1.21
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	75.6%	79.9%	82.8%	0.96×	1.25
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	50.8%	53.0%	42.9%	1.24×	1.89
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	49.2%	47.0%	57.1%	0.82×	2.13
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	24.4%	20.1%	17.2%	1.17×	4.97
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	18.2%	17.1%	22.2%	0.77×	5.85

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Torino not to score in both halves	87.0%	85.9%	78.7%	1.09×	1.17
Bologna not to score in both halves	70.3%	74.2%	76.1%	0.97×	1.35
Bologna to score in both halves	29.7%	25.8%	23.9%	1.08×	3.87
Torino to score in both halves	13.0%	14.1%	21.3%	0.66×	7.07

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	51.3%	53.9%	48.2%	1.12×	1.85
Only Bologna scores	29.0%	26.2%	22.7%	1.15×	3.82
Only Torino scores	12.6%	10.9%	21.0%	0.52×	9.14
Neither team scores	7.1%	7.2%	8.3%	0.87×	13.94

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 2 goals	24.9%	22.7%	25.0%	0.91×	4.42
Exactly 3 goals	21.9%	22.6%	23.1%	0.98×	4.42
Exactly 1 goals	18.8%	17.5%	19.9%	0.88×	5.73
Exactly 4 goals	14.5%	12.1%	13.1%	0.92×	8.29
Exactly 5 goals	7.6%	7.6%	8.4%	0.90×	13.13
Exactly 0 goals	7.1%	7.6%	8.3%	0.92×	13.14
6 or more goals	5.2%	7.6%	2.8%	2.71×	13.14

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	50.8%	50.9%	42.9%	1.19×	1.97
1 goal in 2nd half	31.0%	33.8%	35.1%	0.96×	2.96
No goals in 2nd half	18.2%	16.9%	22.2%	0.76×	5.91

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Torino not to win both halves	96.2%	97.2%	91.3%	1.06×	1.03
Bologna not to win both halves	84.4%	84.3%	90.2%	0.94×	1.19
Bologna to win both halves	15.6%	15.7%	9.8%	1.60×	6.38
Torino to win both halves	3.8%	2.8%	8.7%	0.33×	35.15

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Bologna to win either half	63.4%	65.4%	52.3%	1.25×	1.53
Torino to win neither half	63.1%	65.4%	51.7%	1.27×	1.53
Torino to win either half	36.9%	34.6%	48.3%	0.72×	2.89
Bologna to win neither half	36.6%	34.6%	47.7%	0.73×	2.89

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Torino not to win to nil	87.4%	88.2%	79.0%	1.12×	1.13
Bologna not to win to nil	71.0%	75.2%	77.3%	0.97×	1.33
Bologna to win to nil	29.0%	24.8%	22.7%	1.09×	4.04
Torino to win to nil	12.6%	11.8%	21.0%	0.56×	8.48

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw	24.7%	24.1%	26.7%	0.91×	4.14
Bologna by 1	24.2%	24.1%	22.2%	1.09×	4.14
Bologna by 2	15.8%	16.9%	9.7%	1.75×	5.90
Torino by 1	15.1%	16.9%	20.0%	0.85×	5.90
Bologna by 3+	11.6%	11.8%	7.7%	1.54×	8.46
Torino by 2	6.2%	7.2%	8.5%	0.85×	13.81
Torino by 3+	2.4%	2.7%	5.9%	0.46×	36.99