Bologna v Udinese — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Sunday 22 November 2026 · ITA-Serie A · 2627

Serie A xG Prediction generated 18 Sep 2026, 10:37 UTC

Bologna

14:00 UTC

Udinese

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 24 Oct, 10:57 · 699h before kick-off

Bologna win

51.1%

model 50.7%

Draw

26.7%

model 25.3%

Udinese win

22.2%

model 24.0%

512722

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (466 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-0 12.0%
1-1 12.0%
2-0 9.5%
2-1 9.4%
0-0 7.7%

Goals

Over 2.5	47.4%	Under 2.5	52.6%
BTTS yes	50.0%	BTTS no	50.0%
Bologna 1+	79.2%	Bologna 2+	46.6%
Udinese 1+	63.1%	Udinese 2+	26.4%

Expected goals 1.57 – 1.00. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

93/100

Data quality

90/100

Model agreement

98%

★ Best pick

Bologna (-0.5)

Asian handicap · usually 40%

52.1% fair odds 1.92

strong signal · 1133 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Not both to score by HT

GG/NG half time · usually 83%

82.6% fair odds 1.21

moderate signal · 1271 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

Bologna carry the stronger rating, 1530 Elo against 1459.
Bologna have created 1.47 xG a match over their last five while Udinese have allowed 2.11.
At home Bologna average 1.83 xG a match.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Bologna have an estimated 51.1% win probability, against 26.7% for the draw and 22.2% for Udinese. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.57 for Bologna and 1.00 for Udinese.

Why Bologna

Bologna carry the stronger rating, 1530 Elo against 1459. Bologna have created 1.47 xG a match over their last five while Udinese have allowed 2.11. At home Bologna average 1.83 xG a match.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 26.7%. Draws run at 27% in this competition.

Why Udinese can win

Udinese have created 1.13 xG a match over their last five while Bologna have allowed 1.41. Away from home Udinese average 1.14 xG a match.

Key players

Bologna's leading contributors by expected goal involvements a match: Santiago Castro (0.30), Roberto Piccoli (0.28), Jonathan Rowe (0.27). Udinese's leading contributors by expected goal involvements a match: Keinan Davis (0.40), Nicolo Zaniolo (0.33), Jurgen Ekkelenkamp (0.24).

Availability

2 of Bologna's top three contributors did not start their last match. Bologna changed goalkeeper for their last match. 27% of Bologna's last eleven are new to the club this window. 1 of Udinese's top three contributors did not start their last match. 27% of Udinese's last eleven are new to the club this window.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Bologna: 45% possession, 11.6 shots a match, 16.0 faced, 0.45 xG a match from set pieces. Udinese: 54% possession, 14.2 shots a match, 16.0 faced, 0.32 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-10-24 13:59 · team_stats 2026-10-24 06:04 · availability 2026-10-24 14:57 · prediction 2026-09-18 10:37 ·

Bologna are the model's most likely outcome at 51.1%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-0 at 12.0%. Confidence 93/100, data quality 90/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Live TV

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Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the chances say

Bologna have scored 13 from 14.7 expected and conceded 15 from 14.1 — both ends in line with the chances, so the recent record is a fair reflection.

WWDLLDLDWL last 10 scored 13 from 14.7 xG conceded 15 from 14.1 xG

Udinese are conceding fewer than expected — 3.1 goals saved beyond what the chances suggest.

WLLDWLLLLL last 10 scored 11 from 11.3 xG conceded 18 from 21.1 xG

Finishing swings far more than chance creation, so a gap this size usually narrows. Over ten matches it is suggestive, not settled — a genuinely elite finisher beats expected goals for years.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	512524	1.57–1.00	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	532522	1.58–0.92	1-0 13%	45%	48%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Bologna to win	51.4%	51.4%	40.1%	1.28×	1.94
Draw	25.0%	27.9%	26.4%	1.06×	3.59
Udinese to win	23.6%	24.5%	33.6%	0.73×	4.09

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Bologna & not both score	29.4%	25.2%	22.6%	1.12×	3.97
Bologna & both teams score	22.0%	21.8%	17.6%	1.24×	4.59
Draw & both teams score	17.6%	18.0%	18.6%	0.97×	5.56
Udinese & not both score	12.8%	13.3%	20.5%	0.65×	7.54
Udinese & both teams score	10.9%	13.3%	13.2%	1.00×	7.54
Draw & not both score	7.4%	8.3%	7.9%	1.05×	12.01

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Bologna & over 1.5	39.5%	34.9%	30.0%	1.16×	2.87
Bologna & under 3.5	36.0%	34.9%	29.5%	1.18×	2.87
Bologna & over 2.5	29.9%	26.1%	23.4%	1.11×	3.84
Bologna & under 2.5	21.4%	21.6%	16.8%	1.29×	4.63
Draw & under 2.5	19.3%	18.0%	19.7%	0.91×	5.56
Draw & under 3.5	19.3%	18.0%	19.7%	0.91×	5.56
Udinese & under 3.5	18.3%	18.0%	26.3%	0.68×	5.56
Draw & over 1.5	17.6%	18.0%	18.6%	0.97×	5.56
Bologna & over 3.5	15.4%	18.0%	10.7%	1.68×	5.56
Udinese & over 1.5	16.2%	18.0%	24.6%	0.73×	5.56
Udinese & over 2.5	12.5%	12.8%	18.1%	0.71×	7.79
Bologna & under 1.5	11.9%	12.8%	10.2%	1.26×	7.79
Udinese & under 2.5	11.1%	12.8%	15.6%	0.82×	7.79
Draw & under 1.5	7.4%	7.9%	7.9%	1.00×	12.63
Udinese & under 1.5	7.4%	7.9%	9.1%	0.87×	12.63
Udinese & over 3.5	5.3%	7.9%	7.4%	1.06×	12.63
Draw & over 2.5	5.7%	7.9%	6.8%	1.16×	12.63
Draw & over 3.5	5.7%	7.9%	6.8%	1.16×	12.63

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Bologna (1UP)	64.9%	63.0%	55.3%	1.14×	1.59
Udinese (1UP)	40.5%	38.4%	50.4%	0.76×	2.61

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Bologna (2UP)	51.4%	54.9%	41.9%	1.31×	1.82
Udinese (2UP)	23.6%	23.5%	36.1%	0.65×	4.26

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Bologna to win 2nd half	45.2%	45.7%	34.9%	1.31×	2.19
2nd half drawn	34.0%	34.4%	35.1%	0.98×	2.91
Udinese to win 2nd half	20.8%	24.0%	30.1%	0.80×	4.16

2nd half away goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Udinese under 1.5 in 2nd half	88.3%	87.1%	85.0%	1.02×	1.15
Udinese under 0.5 in 2nd half	55.6%	54.5%	49.9%	1.09×	1.84
Udinese over 0.5 in 2nd half	44.4%	45.5%	50.1%	0.91×	2.20
Udinese over 1.5 in 2nd half	11.7%	12.9%	15.0%	0.86×	7.73

2nd half home goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Bologna under 1.5 in 2nd half	72.9%	74.0%	81.4%	0.91×	1.35
Bologna over 0.5 in 2nd half	63.9%	63.4%	53.8%	1.18×	1.58
Bologna under 0.5 in 2nd half	36.1%	36.6%	46.2%	0.79×	2.73
Bologna over 1.5 in 2nd half	27.1%	26.0%	18.6%	1.40×	3.85

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Udinese (+2.5)	88.7%	88.5%	92.3%	0.96×	1.13
Bologna (+0.5)	76.4%	78.5%	66.4%	1.18×	1.27
Udinese (+1.5)	72.9%	73.7%	82.5%	0.89×	1.36
Bologna (-0.5)	51.4%	52.4%	40.1%	1.31×	1.91
Udinese (+0.5)	48.6%	47.6%	59.9%	0.80×	2.10
Bologna (-1.5)	27.1%	26.3%	17.5%	1.50×	3.80
Udinese (-0.5)	23.6%	21.5%	33.6%	0.64×	4.65
Bologna (-2.5)	11.3%	11.5%	7.7%	1.50×	8.67

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Udinese to concede	79.8%	78.8%	71.7%	1.10×	1.27
Udinese clean sheet	20.2%	21.2%	28.3%	0.75×	4.72

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Udinese clean sheet in 1st half	56.0%	57.0%	57.9%	0.98×	1.76
Udinese to concede in 1st half	44.0%	43.0%	42.1%	1.02×	2.32

Away clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Udinese to concede in 2nd half	63.9%	61.9%	53.8%	1.15×	1.61
Udinese clean sheet in 2nd half	36.1%	38.1%	46.2%	0.82×	2.63

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Udinese under 6.5 corners	85.4%	85.2%	—	—	1.17
Udinese under 5.5 corners	76.4%	76.0%	—	—	1.32
Udinese over 2.5 corners	68.9%	67.6%	—	—	1.48
Udinese under 4.5 corners	64.1%	61.8%	—	—	1.62
Udinese over 3.5 corners	51.6%	53.0%	—	—	1.89
Udinese under 3.5 corners	48.4%	47.0%	—	—	2.13
Udinese over 4.5 corners	35.9%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
Udinese under 2.5 corners	31.1%	32.4%	—	—	3.09
Udinese over 5.5 corners	23.6%	24.0%	—	—	4.17
Udinese over 6.5 corners	14.6%	14.8%	—	—	6.77

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Udinese under 3.5 goals	98.1%	97.5%	97.1%	1.00×	1.03
Udinese under 2.5 goals	92.0%	92.3%	88.1%	1.05×	1.08
Udinese under 1.5 goals	73.6%	71.9%	64.9%	1.11×	1.39
Udinese over 0.5 goals	63.1%	63.2%	69.6%	0.91×	1.58
Udinese under 0.5 goals	36.9%	36.8%	30.4%	1.21×	2.72
Udinese over 1.5 goals	26.4%	28.1%	35.1%	0.80×	3.56
Udinese over 2.5 goals	8.0%	7.7%	11.9%	0.64×	13.05
Udinese over 3.5 goals	1.9%	2.5%	2.9%	0.87×	39.94

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Udinese under 1.5 in 1st half	93.5%	94.1%	89.9%	1.05×	1.06
Udinese under 0.5 in 1st half	66.2%	69.6%	58.8%	1.18×	1.44
Udinese over 0.5 in 1st half	33.8%	30.4%	41.2%	0.74×	3.29
Udinese over 1.5 in 1st half	6.5%	6.0%	10.1%	0.59×	16.81

Away highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Udinese scores equally in both	46.3%	47.8%	43.3%	1.10×	2.09
Udinese scores more in 2nd half	32.7%	33.4%	32.9%	1.02×	2.99
Udinese scores more in 1st half	21.0%	22.1%	23.9%	0.92×	4.53

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Bologna (away no bet)	67.3%	66.4%	60.3%	1.10×	1.51
Draw (away no bet)	32.7%	33.6%	39.7%	0.85×	2.98

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Udinese even goals	56.8%	56.9%	55.6%	1.02×	1.76
Udinese odd goals	43.2%	43.1%	44.4%	0.97×	2.32

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	87.5%	87.8%	87.3%	1.01×	1.14
Both halves over 1.5 goals	12.5%	12.2%	12.7%	0.96×	8.22

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	61.4%	57.7%	60.3%	0.96×	1.73
Both halves under 1.5 goals	38.6%	42.3%	39.7%	1.07×	2.36

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	54.1%	51.1%	53.4%	0.96×	1.96
Bologna to score 2+ in a row	40.2%	38.6%	31.8%	1.21×	2.59
Either team to score 3+ in a row	19.4%	16.3%	17.9%	0.91×	6.14
Udinese to score 2+ in a row	19.0%	16.3%	27.7%	0.59×	6.14
Bologna to score 3+ in a row	15.3%	16.2%	10.1%	1.61×	6.17
Udinese to score 3+ in a row	4.3%	2.6%	7.9%	0.33×	38.12

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Bologna corners (+3.5)	90.4%	89.6%	—	—	1.12
Bologna corners (+2.5)	85.0%	84.5%	—	—	1.18
Bologna corners (+1.5)	77.8%	74.8%	—	—	1.34
Udinese corners (+3.5)	72.2%	70.7%	—	—	1.41
Udinese corners (+2.5)	62.9%	61.8%	—	—	1.62
Udinese corners (+1.5)	52.5%	52.4%	—	—	1.91
Bologna corners (-1.5)	47.5%	47.6%	—	—	2.10
Bologna corners (-2.5)	37.1%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
Bologna corners (-3.5)	27.8%	29.3%	—	—	3.42
Udinese corners (-1.5)	22.2%	25.2%	—	—	3.97
Udinese corners (-2.5)	15.0%	15.5%	—	—	6.44
Udinese corners (-3.5)	9.6%	10.4%	—	—	9.58

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-8 corners	45.9%	41.8%	—	—	2.40
9-11 corners	27.9%	31.2%	—	—	3.21
12+ corners	26.2%	31.2%	—	—	3.21

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 12.5 corners	80.6%	80.7%	—	—	1.24
Under 11.5 corners	73.8%	72.5%	—	—	1.38
Under 10.5 corners	65.6%	67.8%	—	—	1.48
Over 7.5 corners	64.6%	63.2%	—	—	1.58
Under 9.5 corners	56.2%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Over 8.5 corners	54.1%	53.2%	—	—	1.88
Under 8.5 corners	45.9%	46.8%	—	—	2.14
Over 9.5 corners	43.8%	42.1%	—	—	2.38
Under 7.5 corners	35.4%	36.8%	—	—	2.72
Over 10.5 corners	34.4%	32.2%	—	—	3.11
Over 11.5 corners	26.2%	27.5%	—	—	3.64
Over 12.5 corners	19.4%	19.3%	—	—	5.18

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.1%	—	—	2.00
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.9%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-0	11.9%	11.5%	10.2%	1.12×	8.72
1-1	11.9%	11.5%	11.9%	0.97×	8.72
2-0	9.5%	7.4%	6.7%	1.10×	13.50
2-1	9.5%	7.4%	9.4%	0.79×	13.50
0-0	7.4%	7.4%	7.9%	0.93×	13.51
0-1	7.4%	7.4%	9.1%	0.81×	13.51
1-2	5.9%	7.4%	7.4%	0.99×	13.51
3-0	5.1%	7.4%	3.6%	2.06×	13.51
3-1	5.1%	7.4%	3.1%	2.37×	13.51
2-2	4.7%	1.7%	6.0%	0.29×	58.29
3-4	0.2%	1.7%	0.2%	7.14×	58.32
4-0	2.0%	1.7%	1.7%	1.02×	58.31
4-1	2.0%	1.7%	1.1%	1.59×	58.31
4-2	1.0%	1.7%	0.2%	7.14×	58.31
4-3	0.3%	1.7%	0.2%	7.14×	58.32
4-4	0.1%	1.7%	0.2%	7.14×	58.32
Any other score	2.7%	1.7%	2.8%	0.62×	58.30
0-2	3.7%	1.7%	6.6%	0.26×	58.30
0-3	1.2%	1.7%	3.5%	0.49×	58.31
0-4	0.3%	1.7%	1.0%	1.79×	58.32
1-3	2.0%	1.7%	2.0%	0.84×	58.31
1-4	0.5%	1.7%	0.7%	2.38×	58.32
2-3	1.6%	1.7%	2.9%	0.60×	58.31
2-4	0.4%	1.7%	0.2%	7.14×	58.32
3-2	2.5%	1.7%	3.2%	0.53×	58.30
3-3	0.8%	1.7%	0.8%	2.04×	58.31

DNB 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Bologna (2nd half DNB)	68.5%	67.1%	53.7%	1.25×	1.49
Udinese (2nd half DNB)	31.5%	32.9%	46.3%	0.71×	3.04

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Bologna leading at HT (DNB)	60.6%	65.5%	51.2%	1.28×	1.53
Udinese leading at HT (DNB)	39.4%	34.5%	48.8%	0.71×	2.90

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Bologna or draw (1X)	76.4%	75.6%	66.4%	1.14×	1.32
Bologna or Udinese (12)	75.0%	72.1%	73.6%	0.98×	1.39
Udinese or draw (X2)	48.6%	48.6%	59.9%	0.81×	2.06

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Bologna or draw at HT	78.9%	79.3%	72.9%	1.09×	1.26
Udinese or draw at HT	67.6%	67.1%	71.5%	0.94×	1.49
Bologna or Udinese at HT	53.5%	47.9%	55.5%	0.86×	2.09

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Bologna or draw (1UP)	76.4%	84.0%	71.7%	1.17×	1.19
Udinese or draw (1UP)	48.6%	53.4%	65.4%	0.82×	1.87

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Bologna or draw in 2nd half	79.2%	76.0%	69.9%	1.09×	1.32
Bologna or Udinese in 2nd half	66.0%	65.6%	64.9%	1.01×	1.52
Udinese or draw in 2nd half	54.8%	54.3%	65.1%	0.84×	1.84

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	64.7%	61.6%	63.5%	0.97×	1.62
Neither half drawn	35.3%	38.4%	36.5%	1.05×	2.61

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Bologna (DNB)	68.5%	67.4%	54.4%	1.24×	1.48
Udinese (DNB)	31.5%	32.6%	45.6%	0.71×	3.07

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Bologna to score first	57.0%	62.2%	48.6%	1.28×	1.61
Udinese to score first	35.6%	32.6%	43.6%	0.75×	3.06
No goal scored	7.4%	7.5%	7.9%	0.94×	13.41

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams to score	50.4%	51.3%	49.2%	1.04×	1.95
Not both teams to score	49.6%	48.7%	50.8%	0.96×	2.05

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both score & under 2.5	40.0%	41.6%	40.1%	1.04×	2.41
Both score & over 2.5	38.5%	38.4%	37.5%	1.03×	2.60
Both score & under 2.5	11.9%	12.4%	11.9%	1.04×	8.09
Not both score & over 2.5	9.6%	8.3%	10.8%	0.77×	12.06

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	87.5%	85.6%	86.4%	0.99×	1.17
Both teams to score 2+	12.5%	14.4%	13.6%	1.06×	6.95

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	71.6%	73.6%	74.8%	0.98×	1.36
Both teams to score in 2nd half	28.4%	26.4%	25.2%	1.05×	3.79

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	61.0%	65.5%	62.7%	1.05×	1.53
Both score 2nd half only	24.1%	21.4%	20.4%	1.05×	4.68
Both score 1st half only	10.7%	10.7%	12.2%	0.87×	9.34
Both score in both halves	4.2%	5.0%	4.9%	1.01×	20.19

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	85.1%	85.1%	83.0%	1.03×	1.18
Both teams to score by HT	14.9%	14.9%	17.0%	0.88×	6.69

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A goal in each half	50.3%	52.7%	52.8%	1.00×	1.90
A half without a goal	49.7%	47.3%	47.2%	1.00×	2.11

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	46.9%	47.2%	48.4%	0.98×	2.12
0-1 goals	26.8%	26.6%	27.0%	0.99×	3.76
4-6 goals	24.6%	22.9%	23.9%	0.96×	4.36
7+ goals	1.7%	1.8%	1.0%	1.92×	54.33

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Udinese to score exactly 0	36.9%	35.9%	30.4%	1.18×	2.78
Udinese to score exactly 1	36.8%	35.9%	34.7%	1.04×	2.78
Udinese to score exactly 2	18.4%	19.6%	23.3%	0.84×	5.11
Udinese to score 3+	8.0%	8.6%	11.9%	0.72×	11.69

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Bologna to score exactly 1	32.3%	32.6%	32.1%	1.02×	3.07
Bologna to score exactly 2	25.8%	26.5%	24.7%	1.07×	3.77
Bologna to score 3+	21.6%	23.3%	15.1%	1.54×	4.29
Bologna to score exactly 0	20.2%	23.3%	28.3%	0.82×	4.29

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT	46.5%	52.1%	44.5%	1.17×	1.92
Bologna leading at HT	32.4%	32.9%	28.5%	1.15×	3.04
Udinese leading at HT	21.1%	20.7%	27.1%	0.76×	4.84

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Bologna -1: 2	48.6%	47.0%	—	—	2.13
Bologna -1: 1	27.1%	26.5%	—	—	3.77
Bologna -1: X	24.3%	23.5%	—	—	4.25

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Udinese (0:1)	48.6%	46.2%	59.9%	0.77×	2.17
Bologna (0:1)	27.1%	27.0%	17.5%	1.54×	3.70
Draw (0:1)	24.3%	24.2%	22.7%	1.07×	4.13

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Udinese (0:2)	72.9%	75.7%	82.5%	0.92×	1.32
Draw (0:2)	15.7%	15.3%	10.0%	1.53×	6.55
Bologna (0:2)	11.3%	11.0%	7.7%	1.43×	9.10

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Udinese (0:3)	88.7%	90.7%	92.3%	0.98×	1.10
Draw (0:3)	7.5%	5.8%	4.7%	1.24×	17.21
Bologna (0:3)	3.9%	2.4%	3.1%	0.76×	42.04

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Udinese (0:4)	96.1%	98.1%	96.9%	1.01×	1.02
Draw (0:4)	2.8%	1.2%	2.3%	0.54×	81.79
Bologna (0:4)	1.1%	1.2%	1.0%	1.27×	81.98

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Bologna (1:0)	76.4%	78.7%	66.4%	1.18×	1.27
Draw (1:0)	15.2%	17.1%	19.3%	0.88×	5.85
Udinese (1:0)	8.4%	6.9%	14.4%	0.48×	14.48

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Bologna (2:0)	91.6%	94.0%	85.6%	1.10×	1.06
Draw (2:0)	6.1%	6.4%	8.6%	0.74×	15.70
Udinese (2:0)	2.3%	2.3%	5.9%	0.39×	43.69

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	51.7%	50.3%	46.2%	1.09×	1.99
Halves equal	25.0%	24.5%	26.9%	0.91×	4.08
1st half highest scoring	23.4%	24.5%	27.0%	0.91×	4.09

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Bologna to concede	63.1%	63.7%	69.6%	0.91×	1.57
Bologna clean sheet	36.9%	36.3%	30.4%	1.20×	2.75

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Bologna clean sheet in 1st half	66.2%	69.9%	58.8%	1.19×	1.43
Bologna to concede in 1st half	33.8%	30.1%	41.2%	0.73×	3.32

Home clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Bologna clean sheet in 2nd half	55.6%	54.9%	49.9%	1.10×	1.82
Bologna to concede in 2nd half	44.4%	45.1%	50.1%	0.90×	2.22

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Bologna over 2.5 corners	82.7%	81.0%	—	—	1.24
Bologna over 3.5 corners	69.8%	66.7%	—	—	1.50
Bologna under 6.5 corners	69.2%	66.7%	—	—	1.50
Bologna under 5.5 corners	57.6%	57.5%	—	—	1.74
Bologna over 4.5 corners	55.8%	57.5%	—	—	1.74
Bologna under 4.5 corners	44.2%	42.5%	—	—	2.35
Bologna over 5.5 corners	42.4%	42.5%	—	—	2.35
Bologna over 6.5 corners	30.8%	33.3%	—	—	3.01
Bologna under 3.5 corners	30.2%	33.3%	—	—	3.01
Bologna under 2.5 corners	17.3%	19.0%	—	—	5.25

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Bologna under 3.5 goals	92.1%	92.2%	95.3%	0.97×	1.08
Bologna over 0.5 goals	79.8%	77.7%	71.7%	1.08×	1.29
Bologna under 2.5 goals	78.4%	77.7%	84.9%	0.92×	1.29
Bologna under 1.5 goals	52.5%	53.2%	60.3%	0.88×	1.88
Bologna over 1.5 goals	47.5%	46.8%	39.7%	1.18×	2.14
Bologna over 2.5 goals	21.6%	22.3%	15.1%	1.47×	4.49
Bologna under 0.5 goals	20.2%	22.3%	28.3%	0.79×	4.49
Bologna over 3.5 goals	7.9%	7.8%	4.7%	1.66×	12.88

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Bologna under 1.5 in 1st half	88.4%	90.3%	89.3%	1.01×	1.11
Bologna under 0.5 in 1st half	56.0%	56.7%	57.9%	0.98×	1.76
Bologna over 0.5 in 1st half	44.0%	43.3%	42.1%	1.03×	2.31
Bologna over 1.5 in 1st half	11.6%	9.7%	10.7%	0.91×	10.30

Home highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Bologna scores more in 2nd half	45.4%	47.0%	36.3%	1.30×	2.13
Bologna scores equally in both	34.0%	33.2%	41.7%	0.80×	3.01
Bologna scores more in 1st half	20.6%	21.2%	22.2%	0.95×	4.72

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw (home no bet)	51.4%	51.4%	44.0%	1.17×	1.95
Udinese (home no bet)	48.6%	48.6%	56.0%	0.87×	2.06

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Bologna even goals	52.0%	50.7%	56.2%	0.90×	1.97
Bologna odd goals	48.0%	49.3%	43.8%	1.13×	2.03

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	37.1%	39.2%	33.7%	1.16×	2.55
HT 1-0	21.5%	24.3%	18.5%	1.32×	4.11
HT 0-1	15.3%	18.6%	18.1%	1.03×	5.38
HT 1-1	8.9%	6.9%	10.3%	0.67×	14.45
HT 2-0	6.2%	6.9%	5.8%	1.20×	14.49
HT 0-2	3.1%	2.4%	5.4%	0.44×	42.09
Any other HT score	3.0%	2.4%	3.4%	0.71×	42.10
HT 2-1	2.6%	2.4%	2.4%	0.99×	42.13
HT 1-2	1.8%	2.4%	2.6%	0.90×	42.18
HT 2-2	0.5%	2.4%	0.7%	3.29×	42.26

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Bologna at HT / Bologna at FT	27.1%	27.4%	22.1%	1.24×	3.66
Draw at HT / Bologna at FT	21.0%	21.6%	15.8%	1.36×	4.63
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	15.8%	16.7%	16.1%	1.04×	5.98
Udinese at HT / Udinese at FT	12.7%	12.7%	19.1%	0.66×	7.90
Draw at HT / Udinese at FT	9.7%	6.0%	12.8%	0.47×	16.55
Udinese at HT / Draw at FT	5.1%	6.0%	5.9%	1.02×	16.68
Bologna at HT / Draw at FT	4.1%	3.5%	4.7%	0.75×	28.64
Udinese at HT / Bologna at FT	3.3%	3.5%	2.4%	1.45×	28.67
Bologna at HT / Udinese at FT	1.3%	3.5%	1.9%	1.81×	28.74

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Bologna to score last	57.0%	56.3%	48.1%	1.17×	1.78
Udinese to score last	35.6%	38.6%	44.1%	0.88×	2.59
No goal scored	7.4%	7.5%	7.9%	0.94×	13.41

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	92.6%	92.6%	92.1%	1.01×	1.08
Bologna to lead by 1 at any time	64.9%	61.5%	55.3%	1.11×	1.63
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	45.7%	44.5%	43.7%	1.02×	2.25
Udinese to lead by 1 at any time	40.5%	39.1%	50.4%	0.78×	2.56
Bologna to lead by 2 at any time	33.0%	29.9%	24.0%	1.24×	3.35
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	16.7%	14.9%	15.1%	0.99×	6.70
Bologna to lead by 3 at any time	13.5%	10.5%	8.8%	1.20×	9.54
Udinese to lead by 2 at any time	12.9%	10.5%	20.2%	0.52×	9.55
Udinese to lead by 3 at any time	3.3%	1.6%	6.5%	0.25×	61.51

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Bologna most corners	58.4%	55.7%	—	—	1.80
Udinese most corners	31.2%	34.3%	—	—	2.92
Corners level	10.4%	10.4%	—	—	9.59

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	87.7%	87.4%	89.2%	0.98×	1.14
1-4 goals	80.3%	83.4%	80.7%	1.03×	1.20
2-6 goals	71.5%	72.4%	72.1%	1.00×	1.38
2-5 goals	68.3%	68.8%	70.1%	0.98×	1.45
1-3 goals	66.2%	68.8%	67.5%	1.02×	1.45
2-4 goals	61.0%	63.3%	61.6%	1.03×	1.58
2-3 goals	46.9%	48.5%	48.4%	1.00×	2.06
3-6 goals	46.4%	48.5%	47.3%	1.02×	2.06
1-2 goals	44.5%	43.6%	44.1%	0.99×	2.29
3-5 goals	43.2%	43.6%	45.3%	0.96×	2.29
3-4 goals	35.9%	39.2%	36.7%	1.07×	2.55
4-6 goals	24.6%	24.5%	23.9%	1.03×	4.08
4-5 goals	21.5%	24.5%	21.8%	1.12×	4.09
5-6 goals	10.5%	14.8%	10.7%	1.39×	6.76
7+ goals	1.7%	2.6%	1.0%	2.66×	39.15

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Bologna never behind	52.0%	62.4%	49.6%	1.26×	1.60
Udinese never behind	27.6%	30.0%	44.7%	0.67×	3.33

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of goals	49.7%	50.9%	51.6%	0.99×	1.96
Even number of goals	50.3%	49.1%	48.4%	1.01×	2.04

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	56.9%	57.9%	56.5%	1.02×	1.73
Odd goals in 1st half	43.1%	42.1%	43.5%	0.97×	2.38

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	52.0%	51.9%	50.7%	1.02×	1.93
Odd goals in 2nd half	48.0%	48.1%	49.3%	0.97×	2.08

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 5.5 goals	95.1%	95.4%	97.0%	0.98×	1.05
Over 0.5 goals	92.6%	92.3%	92.1%	1.00×	1.08
Under 4.5 goals	87.8%	87.6%	88.5%	0.99×	1.14
Under 3.5 goals	73.7%	72.5%	75.3%	0.96×	1.38
Over 1.5 goals	73.2%	72.5%	73.0%	0.99×	1.38
Under 2.5 goals	51.9%	52.5%	51.9%	1.01×	1.91
Over 2.5 goals	48.1%	47.5%	48.1%	0.99×	2.11
Under 1.5 goals	26.8%	27.5%	27.0%	1.02×	3.63
Over 3.5 goals	26.3%	27.5%	24.7%	1.11×	3.63
Over 4.5 goals	12.2%	12.4%	11.5%	1.08×	8.06
Under 0.5 goals	7.4%	7.7%	7.9%	0.98×	12.94
Over 5.5 goals	4.9%	4.6%	3.0%	1.53×	21.84

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	98.2%	97.2%	99.0%	0.98×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	94.7%	92.4%	96.7%	0.96×	1.08
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	85.8%	86.7%	86.7%	1.00×	1.15
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	66.3%	67.4%	67.7%	1.00×	1.48
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	64.2%	61.9%	64.1%	0.97×	1.62
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	35.8%	38.1%	35.9%	1.06×	2.63
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	33.7%	32.6%	32.3%	1.01×	3.07
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	14.2%	13.3%	13.3%	1.00×	7.53
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	5.3%	7.6%	3.3%	2.31×	13.17
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	1.8%	2.8%	1.0%	2.86×	35.61

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	92.1%	92.6%	91.2%	1.02×	1.08
Under 1.5 in 1st half	73.9%	71.6%	70.1%	1.02×	1.40
Over 0.5 in 1st half	62.9%	63.2%	66.3%	0.95×	1.58
Under 0.5 in 1st half	37.1%	36.8%	33.7%	1.09×	2.72
Over 1.5 in 1st half	26.1%	28.4%	29.9%	0.95×	3.53
Over 2.5 in 1st half	7.9%	7.4%	8.8%	0.84×	13.58

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	79.9%	79.2%	78.6%	1.01×	1.26
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	78.2%	79.2%	82.4%	0.96×	1.26
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	52.3%	53.0%	56.9%	0.93×	1.89
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	47.7%	47.0%	43.1%	1.09×	2.13
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	21.8%	20.8%	17.6%	1.18×	4.80
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	20.1%	20.8%	21.4%	0.97×	4.81

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Udinese not to score in both halves	85.0%	85.4%	78.4%	1.09×	1.17
Bologna not to score in both halves	71.9%	73.9%	75.8%	0.98×	1.35
Bologna to score in both halves	28.1%	26.1%	24.3%	1.08×	3.83
Udinese to score in both halves	15.0%	14.6%	21.6%	0.68×	6.84

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	50.4%	53.8%	49.2%	1.09×	1.86
Only Bologna scores	29.4%	26.1%	22.6%	1.15×	3.84
Only Udinese scores	12.8%	11.0%	20.5%	0.54×	9.06
Neither team scores	7.4%	7.1%	7.9%	0.90×	14.04

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 2 goals	25.1%	24.9%	25.0%	1.00×	4.02
Exactly 3 goals	21.8%	22.6%	23.5%	0.96×	4.43
Exactly 1 goals	19.3%	17.5%	19.2%	0.91×	5.73
Exactly 4 goals	14.1%	12.1%	13.3%	0.91×	8.24
Exactly 0 goals	7.4%	7.6%	7.9%	0.96×	13.14
Exactly 5 goals	7.3%	7.6%	8.6%	0.88×	13.14
6 or more goals	4.9%	4.5%	3.0%	1.49×	22.37

Total goals 1st half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
No goals in 1st half	37.1%	37.3%	33.7%	1.11×	2.68
1 goal in 1st half	36.8%	37.3%	36.5%	1.02×	2.68
2 goals in 1st half	18.3%	15.7%	21.2%	0.74×	6.38
3+ goals in 1st half	7.9%	7.4%	8.8%	0.84×	13.58

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	47.7%	45.3%	43.1%	1.05×	2.21
1 goal in 2nd half	32.2%	33.9%	35.7%	0.95×	2.95
No goals in 2nd half	20.1%	22.8%	21.4%	1.07×	4.38

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Udinese not to win both halves	95.6%	97.1%	91.1%	1.07×	1.03
Bologna not to win both halves	85.3%	87.9%	89.9%	0.98×	1.14
Bologna to win both halves	14.7%	12.1%	10.1%	1.20×	8.25
Udinese to win both halves	4.4%	2.9%	8.9%	0.32×	35.02

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Bologna to win either half	63.0%	65.1%	53.3%	1.22×	1.54
Udinese to win neither half	62.5%	65.1%	51.6%	1.26×	1.54
Udinese to win either half	37.5%	34.9%	48.4%	0.72×	2.86
Bologna to win neither half	37.0%	34.9%	46.7%	0.75×	2.87

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Udinese not to win to nil	87.2%	88.1%	79.5%	1.11×	1.14
Bologna not to win to nil	70.6%	75.3%	77.4%	0.97×	1.33
Bologna to win to nil	29.4%	24.7%	22.6%	1.09×	4.05
Udinese to win to nil	12.8%	11.9%	20.5%	0.58×	8.41

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw	25.0%	27.9%	26.4%	1.06×	3.59
Bologna by 1	24.3%	24.1%	22.7%	1.06×	4.15
Bologna by 2	15.7%	17.0%	10.0%	1.71×	5.87
Udinese by 1	15.2%	17.0%	19.3%	0.88×	5.87
Bologna by 3+	11.3%	11.8%	7.7%	1.53×	8.51
Udinese by 2	6.1%	7.2%	8.6%	0.83×	13.91
Udinese by 3+	2.3%	2.7%	5.9%	0.46×	36.83