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Borussia Dortmund v Bochum — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Friday 27 September 2024 · GER-Bundesliga · 2425

Bundesliga xG

Borussia Dortmund
4–2
4.17 – 1.03 xG
Bochum
Shots
23 – 10
On target
8 – 5
Shots in box
16 – 6
xG per shot
0.18 – 0.10
Set-piece xG
1.05 – 0.01
Goals − xG
-0.17 – +0.97
Reading the xG timeline
Each step up is a shot; the height of the step is how good the chance was. Dots mark goals. A side whose line climbs steadily created chances all match. A side that scored while its line stayed flat took a rare chance — that is finishing luck, and it rarely repeats.

Expected goals by minute

0.01.22.33.54.70'15'30'45'60'75'90'Matús Bero 15' — goalDani de Wit 20' — goalSerhou Guirassy 43' — goalEmre Can 61' — goalSerhou Guirassy 74' — goalFelix Nmecha 80' — goal
Borussia Dortmund 4.17 xGBochum 1.03 xG
Reading the shot map
Each circle is a shot, placed where it was taken. Bigger means a better chance; filled circles are goals. Clusters near the goal mean a side worked good openings; lots of small circles far out means shooting from poor positions and hoping. Hover any circle for the player, minute and chance quality.

Shot map

Julian Ryerson 7' — Missed Shot (0.03 xG, Open Play)Felix Passlack 8' — Saved Shot (0.02 xG, Open Play)Karim Adeyemi 10' — Saved Shot (0.19 xG, From Corner)Jamie Bynoe-Gittens 11' — Blocked Shot (0.05 xG, Open Play)Julian Brandt 13' — Saved Shot (0.05 xG, Open Play)Matús Bero 15' — Goal (0.06 xG, Open Play)Maximilian Wittek 18' — Saved Shot (0.01 xG, Open Play)Dani de Wit 20' — Goal (0.38 xG, Open Play)Dani de Wit 25' — Missed Shot (0.06 xG, Open Play)Myron Boadu 27' — Blocked Shot (0.08 xG, Open Play)Myron Boadu 32' — Missed Shot (0.29 xG, Open Play)Jamie Bynoe-Gittens 36' — Blocked Shot (0.03 xG, Open Play)Serhou Guirassy 37' — Missed Shot (0.05 xG, From Corner)Julian Brandt 38' — Missed Shot (0.28 xG, Open Play)Serhou Guirassy 39' — Saved Shot (0.05 xG, Set Piece)Karim Adeyemi 42' — Blocked Shot (0.02 xG, Open Play)Serhou Guirassy 42' — Blocked Shot (0.12 xG, Open Play)Serhou Guirassy 43' — Goal (0.58 xG, Open Play)Pascal Groß 49' — Saved Shot (0.05 xG, Open Play)Pascal Groß 55' — Blocked Shot (0.09 xG, Open Play)Emre Can 61' — Goal (0.76 xG, )Moritz Broschinski 63' — Saved Shot (0.09 xG, Open Play)Philipp Hofmann 70' — Blocked Shot (0.01 xG, Set Piece)Emre Can 72' — Missed Shot (0.02 xG, Open Play)Karim Adeyemi 72' — Blocked Shot (0.08 xG, Open Play)Serhou Guirassy 74' — Goal (0.60 xG, Open Play)Felix Nmecha 80' — Goal (0.10 xG, Open Play)Julien Duranville 82' — Missed Shot (0.09 xG, Open Play)Emre Can 86' — Shot On Post (0.09 xG, Open Play)Ramy Bensebaini 87' — Blocked Shot (0.11 xG, Open Play)Niklas Süle 88' — Missed Shot (0.08 xG, Open Play)Serhou Guirassy 90' — Missed Shot (0.66 xG, Open Play)Maximilian Wittek 92' — Missed Shot (0.03 xG, Open Play)
Borussia Dortmund attacking right Bochum attacking left Marker size is xG; filled markers are goals.

Every shot

MinTeamPlayerxG SituationBody partResultAssisted by
7' Borussia Dortmund Julian Ryerson 0.03 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot Pascal Groß
8' Bochum Felix Passlack 0.02 Open Play Right Foot Saved Shot Myron Boadu
10' Borussia Dortmund Karim Adeyemi 0.19 From Corner — Saved Shot Pascal Groß
11' Borussia Dortmund Jamie Bynoe-Gittens 0.05 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot Karim Adeyemi
13' Borussia Dortmund Julian Brandt 0.05 Open Play Right Foot Saved Shot Pascal Groß
15' Bochum Matús Bero 0.06 Open Play Left Foot Goal Philipp Hofmann
18' Bochum Maximilian Wittek 0.01 Open Play Left Foot Saved Shot Anthony Losilla
20' Bochum Dani de Wit 0.38 Open Play Right Foot Goal —
25' Bochum Dani de Wit 0.06 Open Play — Missed Shot Felix Passlack
27' Bochum Myron Boadu 0.08 Open Play Left Foot Blocked Shot Dani de Wit
32' Bochum Myron Boadu 0.29 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot Philipp Hofmann
36' Borussia Dortmund Jamie Bynoe-Gittens 0.03 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot Pascal Groß
37' Borussia Dortmund Serhou Guirassy 0.05 From Corner — Missed Shot Yan Couto
38' Borussia Dortmund Julian Brandt 0.28 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot Serhou Guirassy
39' Borussia Dortmund Serhou Guirassy 0.05 Set Piece — Saved Shot Pascal Groß
42' Borussia Dortmund Karim Adeyemi 0.02 Open Play Left Foot Blocked Shot Yan Couto
42' Borussia Dortmund Serhou Guirassy 0.12 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot Yan Couto
43' Borussia Dortmund Serhou Guirassy 0.58 Open Play — Goal Julian Brandt
49' Borussia Dortmund Pascal Groß 0.05 Open Play Left Foot Saved Shot Julian Ryerson
55' Borussia Dortmund Pascal Groß 0.09 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot Julian Brandt
61' Borussia Dortmund Emre Can 0.76 Right Foot Goal —
63' Bochum Moritz Broschinski 0.09 Open Play Right Foot Saved Shot Dani de Wit
70' Bochum Philipp Hofmann 0.01 Set Piece Left Foot Blocked Shot —
72' Borussia Dortmund Emre Can 0.02 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot —
72' Borussia Dortmund Karim Adeyemi 0.08 Open Play Left Foot Blocked Shot Julian Brandt
74' Borussia Dortmund Serhou Guirassy 0.60 Open Play Left Foot Goal Karim Adeyemi
80' Borussia Dortmund Felix Nmecha 0.10 Open Play Right Foot Goal Karim Adeyemi
82' Borussia Dortmund Julien Duranville 0.09 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot Serhou Guirassy
86' Borussia Dortmund Emre Can 0.09 Open Play Left Foot Shot On Post Felix Nmecha
87' Borussia Dortmund Ramy Bensebaini 0.11 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot Maximilian Beier
88' Borussia Dortmund Niklas Süle 0.08 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot Karim Adeyemi
90' Borussia Dortmund Serhou Guirassy 0.66 Open Play Left Foot Missed Shot Julien Duranville
92' Bochum Maximilian Wittek 0.03 Open Play Left Foot Missed Shot Moritz-Broni Kwarteng

Players

Borussia Dortmund

PlayerMinGA ShKPxGxA xGChain
Serhou Guirassy FW 90 2 0 6 2 2.05 0.37 2.32
Emre Can DMC 90 1 0 3 0 0.87 0.00 2.51
Karim Adeyemi AMR 90 0 2 3 4 0.29 0.83 1.43
Waldemar Anton DC 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.75
Nico Schlotterbeck DC 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 1.00
Gregor Kobel GK 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.69
Yan Couto DR 85 0 0 0 3 0.00 0.19 1.23
Pascal Groß DMC 77 0 0 2 5 0.13 0.35 1.10
Julian Brandt AMC 76 0 1 2 3 0.33 0.74 1.21
Julian Ryerson DL 76 0 0 1 1 0.03 0.05 0.41
Jamie Bynoe-Gittens AML 68 0 0 2 0 0.08 0.00 0.11
Julien Duranville Sub 22 0 0 1 1 0.09 0.66 0.75
Ramy Bensebaini Sub 14 0 0 1 0 0.11 0.00 0.85
Maximilian Beier Sub 14 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.11 0.77
Felix Nmecha Sub 13 1 0 1 1 0.10 0.09 0.94
Niklas Süle Sub 5 0 0 1 0 0.08 0.00 0.94

Bochum

PlayerMinGA ShKPxGxA xGChain
Dani de Wit AMC 90 1 0 2 2 0.43 0.18 0.63
Maximilian Wittek DL 90 0 0 2 0 0.04 0.00 0.18
Felix Passlack DR 90 0 0 1 1 0.02 0.06 0.21
Tim Oermann DC 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.31
Patrick Drewes GK 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.04
Jakov Medic DC 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Anthony Losilla DMC 90 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.01 0.30
Matús Bero MC 84 1 0 1 0 0.06 0.00 0.15
Ibrahima Sissoko MC 84 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.12
Philipp Hofmann FW 74 0 1 1 2 0.01 0.34 0.45
Myron Boadu FW 64 0 0 2 1 0.37 0.02 0.45
Moritz Broschinski Sub 26 0 0 1 0 0.09 0.00 0.12
Koji Miyoshi Sub 16 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Moritz-Broni Kwarteng Sub 6 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.03 0.03
Aliou Balde Sub 6 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.03
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On this page

Match

What this page is for

One fixture in full. The model's probability for every market it prices, the prices stored against them, the teams expected to feature, and for a match already played, the shot map and the xG timeline.

How to read the shot map

Every shot is placed where it was taken and sized by its chance of being scored. A cluster of small marks from distance and a clean sheet is a side that was busy without ever threatening; two big marks and a defeat is a side that had the better of it and lost anyway. Both happen constantly, and both are invisible in the score.

How to read the xG timeline

The steps are chances as they arrived, so the shape shows who was on top and when. A flat line that jumps once near the end is a smash and grab.

Things to watch

The stored prediction is the one made before the match, kept deliberately so it can be judged afterwards. It is not re-fitted with hindsight.

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