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Borussia M.Gladbach v Bochum — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Saturday 25 January 2025 · GER-Bundesliga · 2425

Bundesliga xG

3–0
2.93 – 0.76 xG
Shots
16 – 10
On target
6 – 4
Shots in box
11 – 9
xG per shot
0.21 – 0.08
Set-piece xG
2.12 – 0.11
Goals − xG
-0.29 – -0.76
Reading the xG timeline
Each step up is a shot; the height of the step is how good the chance was. Dots mark goals. A side whose line climbs steadily created chances all match. A side that scored while its line stayed flat took a rare chance — that is finishing luck, and it rarely repeats.

Expected goals by minute

0.00.91.82.83.70'15'30'45'60'75'90'Rocco Reitz 33' — goalRobin Hack 54' — goalTim Kleindienst 85' — goal
Borussia M.Gladbach 3.29 xGBochum 0.76 xG
Reading the shot map
Each circle is a shot, placed where it was taken. Bigger means a better chance; filled circles are goals. Clusters near the goal mean a side worked good openings; lots of small circles far out means shooting from poor positions and hoping. Hover any circle for the player, minute and chance quality.

Shot map

Tim Kleindienst 7' — Missed Shot (0.08 xG, Open Play)Lukas Ullrich 13' — Missed Shot (0.35 xG, From Corner)Philipp Hofmann 17' — Missed Shot (0.03 xG, From Corner)Myron Boadu 19' — Blocked Shot (0.04 xG, Open Play)Rocco Reitz 33' — Goal (0.04 xG, From Corner)Dani de Wit 35' — Saved Shot (0.05 xG, Open Play)Tim Kleindienst 39' — Blocked Shot (0.06 xG, Open Play)Philipp Hofmann 46' — Blocked Shot (0.04 xG, Open Play)Tim Kleindienst 46' — Blocked Shot (0.08 xG, Open Play)Robin Hack 54' — Goal (0.39 xG, Open Play)Moritz Broschinski 63' — Missed Shot (0.40 xG, Open Play)Tim Kleindienst 66' — Saved Shot (0.49 xG, From Corner)Julian Weigl 69' — Blocked Shot (0.08 xG, Open Play)Rocco Reitz 69' — Missed Shot (0.02 xG, Open Play)Robin Hack 71' — Missed Shot (0.09 xG, Open Play)Philipp Hofmann 72' — Saved Shot (0.06 xG, Open Play)Nathan N'Goumou Minpol 75' — Missed Shot (0.11 xG, Open Play)Jakov Medic 76' — Missed Shot (0.04 xG, From Corner)Maximilian Wittek 76' — Saved Shot (0.03 xG, From Corner)Tim Kleindienst 85' — Saved Shot (0.76 xG, )Tim Kleindienst 85' — Goal (0.47 xG, Set Piece)Gerrit Holtmann 90' — Saved Shot (0.05 xG, Open Play)Tim Kleindienst 90' — Saved Shot (0.03 xG, Open Play)Mats Pannewig 92' — Blocked Shot (0.01 xG, Open Play)Nathan N'Goumou Minpol 92' — Missed Shot (0.09 xG, Open Play)Philipp Sander 93' — Blocked Shot (0.15 xG, Open Play)
Borussia M.Gladbach attacking right Bochum attacking left Marker size is xG; filled markers are goals.

Every shot

MinTeamPlayerxG SituationBody partResultAssisted by
7' Borussia M.Gladbach Tim Kleindienst 0.08 Open Play Missed Shot Kevin Stöger
13' Borussia M.Gladbach Lukas Ullrich 0.35 From Corner Missed Shot Marvin Friedrich
17' Bochum Philipp Hofmann 0.03 From Corner Missed Shot Maximilian Wittek
19' Bochum Myron Boadu 0.04 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot
33' Borussia M.Gladbach Rocco Reitz 0.04 From Corner Right Foot Goal Kevin Stöger
35' Bochum Dani de Wit 0.05 Open Play Right Foot Saved Shot Felix Passlack
39' Borussia M.Gladbach Tim Kleindienst 0.06 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot Lukas Ullrich
46' Bochum Philipp Hofmann 0.04 Open Play Blocked Shot Ibrahima Sissoko
46' Borussia M.Gladbach Tim Kleindienst 0.08 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot Rocco Reitz
54' Borussia M.Gladbach Robin Hack 0.39 Open Play Right Foot Goal Tim Kleindienst
63' Bochum Moritz Broschinski 0.40 Open Play Missed Shot Gerrit Holtmann
66' Borussia M.Gladbach Tim Kleindienst 0.49 From Corner Saved Shot Kevin Stöger
69' Borussia M.Gladbach Julian Weigl 0.08 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot Kevin Stöger
69' Borussia M.Gladbach Rocco Reitz 0.02 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot
71' Borussia M.Gladbach Robin Hack 0.09 Open Play Left Foot Missed Shot Rocco Reitz
72' Bochum Philipp Hofmann 0.06 Open Play Left Foot Saved Shot Dani de Wit
75' Borussia M.Gladbach Nathan N'Goumou Minpol 0.11 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot
76' Bochum Jakov Medic 0.04 From Corner Missed Shot Maximilian Wittek
76' Bochum Maximilian Wittek 0.03 From Corner Left Foot Saved Shot Jakov Medic
85' Borussia M.Gladbach Tim Kleindienst 0.76 Left Foot Saved Shot
85' Borussia M.Gladbach Tim Kleindienst 0.47 Set Piece Right Foot Goal
90' Bochum Gerrit Holtmann 0.05 Open Play Right Foot Saved Shot Moritz Broschinski
90' Borussia M.Gladbach Tim Kleindienst 0.03 Open Play Left Foot Saved Shot Nathan N'Goumou Minpol
92' Bochum Mats Pannewig 0.01 Open Play Left Foot Blocked Shot
92' Borussia M.Gladbach Nathan N'Goumou Minpol 0.09 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot Florian Neuhaus
93' Borussia M.Gladbach Philipp Sander 0.15 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot Tim Kleindienst

Players

Borussia M.Gladbach

PlayerMinGA ShKPxGxA xGChain
Tim Kleindienst FW 90 1 1 7 2 1.97 0.54 0.87
Lukas Ullrich DL 90 0 0 1 1 0.35 0.06 0.06
Julian Weigl DMC 90 0 0 1 0 0.08 0.00 0.14
Rocco Reitz DMC 90 1 0 2 2 0.07 0.17 0.19
Moritz Nicolas GK 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Nico Elvedi DC 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Joe Scally DR 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.16
Marvin Friedrich DC 90 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.35 0.00
Robin Hack AML 81 1 0 2 0 0.48 0.00 0.48
Kevin Stöger AMC 81 0 1 0 4 0.00 0.69 0.24
Tomás Cvancara AMR 69 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Nathan N'Goumou Minpol Sub 21 0 0 2 1 0.19 0.03 0.22
Philipp Sander Sub 9 0 0 1 0 0.15 0.00 0.15
Luca Netz Sub 9 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.09
Florian Neuhaus Sub 1 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.09 0.27
Fabio Chiarodia Sub 1 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.15

Bochum

PlayerMinGA ShKPxGxA xGChain
Philipp Hofmann FW 90 0 0 3 0 0.13 0.00 0.10
Dani de Wit MC 90 0 0 1 1 0.05 0.06 0.16
Maximilian Wittek ML 90 0 0 1 2 0.03 0.08 0.46
Tim Oermann DC 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.46
Patrick Drewes GK 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.06
Bernardo DC 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.11
Jakov Medic DC 83 0 0 1 1 0.04 0.03 0.06
Ibrahima Sissoko MC 83 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.04 0.10
Myron Boadu FW 62 0 0 1 0 0.04 0.00 0.08
Felix Passlack MR 62 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.05 0.05
Anthony Losilla DMC 62 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Moritz Broschinski Sub 28 0 0 1 1 0.40 0.05 0.46
Gerrit Holtmann Sub 28 0 0 1 1 0.05 0.40 0.52
Lukas Daschner Sub 28 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.52
Mats Pannewig Sub 7 0 0 1 0 0.01 0.00 0.07
Cristian Gamboa Sub 7 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.05
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Match

What this page is for

One fixture in full. The model's probability for every market it prices, the prices stored against them, the teams expected to feature, and for a match already played, the shot map and the xG timeline.

How to read the shot map

Every shot is placed where it was taken and sized by its chance of being scored. A cluster of small marks from distance and a clean sheet is a side that was busy without ever threatening; two big marks and a defeat is a side that had the better of it and lost anyway. Both happen constantly, and both are invisible in the score.

How to read the xG timeline

The steps are chances as they arrived, so the shape shows who was on top and when. A flat line that jumps once near the end is a smash and grab.

Things to watch

The stored prediction is the one made before the match, kept deliberately so it can be judged afterwards. It is not re-fitted with hindsight.

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