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Borussia M.Gladbach v Eintracht Frankfurt — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Saturday 8 February 2025 · GER-Bundesliga · 2425

Bundesliga xG

Shots
8 – 15
On target
3 – 7
Shots in box
5 – 9
xG per shot
0.08 – 0.17
Set-piece xG
0.40 – 0.43
Goals − xG
+0.34 – -1.60
Reading the xG timeline
Each step up is a shot; the height of the step is how good the chance was. Dots mark goals. A side whose line climbs steadily created chances all match. A side that scored while its line stayed flat took a rare chance — that is finishing luck, and it rarely repeats.

Expected goals by minute

0.00.71.52.22.90'15'30'45'60'75'90'Tim Kleindienst 25' — goalHugo Ekitike 30' — goal
Borussia M.Gladbach 0.66 xGEintracht Frankfurt 2.60 xG
Reading the shot map
Each circle is a shot, placed where it was taken. Bigger means a better chance; filled circles are goals. Clusters near the goal mean a side worked good openings; lots of small circles far out means shooting from poor positions and hoping. Hover any circle for the player, minute and chance quality.

Shot map

Ellyes Skhiri 5' — Missed Shot (0.04 xG, Open Play)Robin Hack 18' — Saved Shot (0.02 xG, Open Play)Florian Neuhaus 19' — Missed Shot (0.05 xG, Open Play)Tim Kleindienst 25' — Goal (0.38 xG, Set Piece)Hugo Ekitike 30' — Goal (0.91 xG, Open Play)Hugo Larsson 30' — Saved Shot (0.05 xG, Open Play)Hugo Ekitike 35' — Saved Shot (0.04 xG, Open Play)Hugo Ekitike 36' — Shot On Post (0.60 xG, Open Play)Tim Kleindienst 39' — Missed Shot (0.02 xG, Open Play)Arthur Theate 42' — Saved Shot (0.29 xG, Set Piece)Hugo Ekitike 44' — Missed Shot (0.03 xG, Open Play)Hugo Ekitike 54' — Blocked Shot (0.01 xG, Open Play)Florian Neuhaus 61' — Missed Shot (0.05 xG, Open Play)Can Uzun 66' — Saved Shot (0.11 xG, Open Play)Can Uzun 69' — Missed Shot (0.09 xG, Open Play)Hugo Ekitike 71' — Blocked Shot (0.13 xG, Open Play)Ko Itakura 73' — Missed Shot (0.02 xG, From Corner)Can Uzun 78' — Saved Shot (0.04 xG, Open Play)Tomás Cvancara 85' — Blocked Shot (0.05 xG, Open Play)Nathan N'Goumou Minpol 86' — Saved Shot (0.07 xG, Open Play)Hugo Ekitike 89' — Missed Shot (0.14 xG, Set Piece)Can Uzun 91' — Saved Shot (0.03 xG, Open Play)Rasmus Kristensen 91' — Blocked Shot (0.08 xG, Open Play)
Borussia M.Gladbach attacking right Eintracht Frankfurt attacking left Marker size is xG; filled markers are goals.

Every shot

MinTeamPlayerxG SituationBody partResultAssisted by
5' Eintracht Frankfurt Ellyes Skhiri 0.04 Open Play Left Foot Missed Shot
18' Borussia M.Gladbach Robin Hack 0.02 Open Play Saved Shot Florian Neuhaus
19' Borussia M.Gladbach Florian Neuhaus 0.05 Open Play Left Foot Missed Shot Joe Scally
25' Borussia M.Gladbach Tim Kleindienst 0.38 Set Piece Goal Florian Neuhaus
30' Eintracht Frankfurt Hugo Ekitike 0.91 Open Play Right Foot Goal
30' Eintracht Frankfurt Hugo Larsson 0.05 Open Play Right Foot Saved Shot Nathaniel Brown
35' Eintracht Frankfurt Hugo Ekitike 0.04 Open Play Right Foot Saved Shot Michy Batshuayi
36' Eintracht Frankfurt Hugo Ekitike 0.60 Open Play Right Foot Shot On Post Ansgar Knauff
39' Borussia M.Gladbach Tim Kleindienst 0.02 Open Play Left Foot Missed Shot Joe Scally
42' Eintracht Frankfurt Arthur Theate 0.29 Set Piece Saved Shot
44' Eintracht Frankfurt Hugo Ekitike 0.03 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot Arthur Theate
54' Eintracht Frankfurt Hugo Ekitike 0.01 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot Nathaniel Brown
61' Borussia M.Gladbach Florian Neuhaus 0.05 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot Kevin Stöger
66' Eintracht Frankfurt Can Uzun 0.11 Open Play Left Foot Saved Shot Ansgar Knauff
69' Eintracht Frankfurt Can Uzun 0.09 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot Hugo Ekitike
71' Eintracht Frankfurt Hugo Ekitike 0.13 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot Mario Götze
73' Borussia M.Gladbach Ko Itakura 0.02 From Corner Missed Shot Florian Neuhaus
78' Eintracht Frankfurt Can Uzun 0.04 Open Play Left Foot Saved Shot Hugo Larsson
85' Borussia M.Gladbach Tomás Cvancara 0.05 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot
86' Borussia M.Gladbach Nathan N'Goumou Minpol 0.07 Open Play Right Foot Saved Shot Kevin Stöger
89' Eintracht Frankfurt Hugo Ekitike 0.14 Set Piece Missed Shot Can Uzun
91' Eintracht Frankfurt Can Uzun 0.03 Open Play Right Foot Saved Shot Niels Nkounkou
91' Eintracht Frankfurt Rasmus Kristensen 0.08 Open Play Left Foot Blocked Shot

Players

Borussia M.Gladbach

PlayerMinGA ShKPxGxA xGChain
Tim Kleindienst FW 90 1 0 2 0 0.40 0.00 0.09
Florian Neuhaus DMC 90 0 1 2 3 0.10 0.42 0.14
Nathan N'Goumou Minpol AMR 90 0 0 1 0 0.07 0.00 0.11
Ko Itakura DC 90 0 0 1 0 0.02 0.00 0.02
Kevin Stöger AMC 90 0 0 0 2 0.00 0.12 0.16
Julian Weigl DMC 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.04
Joe Scally DR 90 0 0 0 2 0.00 0.07 0.07
Marvin Friedrich DC 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.02
Moritz Nicolas GK 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.04
Robin Hack AML 73 0 0 1 0 0.02 0.00 0.09
Lukas Ullrich DL 73 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.02
Tomás Cvancara Sub 17 0 0 1 0 0.05 0.00 0.05
Luca Netz Sub 17 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Alassane Pléa Sub 1 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00

Eintracht Frankfurt

PlayerMinGA ShKPxGxA xGChain
Hugo Ekitike FW 90 1 0 7 1 1.85 0.09 1.86
Arthur Theate DC 90 0 0 1 1 0.29 0.03 0.10
Rasmus Kristensen DR 90 0 0 1 0 0.08 0.00 0.34
Hugo Larsson MC 90 0 0 1 1 0.05 0.04 0.89
Tuta DC 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.76
Kevin Trapp GK 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.07
Ansgar Knauff MR 87 0 0 0 2 0.00 0.71 0.71
Mario Götze ML 87 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.13 0.94
Ellyes Skhiri MC 78 0 0 1 0 0.04 0.00 0.50
Nathaniel Brown DL 78 0 0 0 2 0.00 0.07 0.19
Michy Batshuayi FW 60 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.04 0.09
Can Uzun Sub 30 0 0 4 1 0.27 0.14 0.27
Niels Nkounkou Sub 12 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.03 0.03
Oscar Højlund Sub 12 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Nnamdi Collins Sub 3 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Sepe Elye Wahi Sub 3 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
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Match

What this page is for

One fixture in full. The model's probability for every market it prices, the prices stored against them, the teams expected to feature, and for a match already played, the shot map and the xG timeline.

How to read the shot map

Every shot is placed where it was taken and sized by its chance of being scored. A cluster of small marks from distance and a clean sheet is a side that was busy without ever threatening; two big marks and a defeat is a side that had the better of it and lost anyway. Both happen constantly, and both are invisible in the score.

How to read the xG timeline

The steps are chances as they arrived, so the shape shows who was on top and when. A flat line that jumps once near the end is a smash and grab.

Things to watch

The stored prediction is the one made before the match, kept deliberately so it can be judged afterwards. It is not re-fitted with hindsight.

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