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Borussia M.Gladbach v Union Berlin — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Saturday 28 September 2024 · GER-Bundesliga · 2425

Bundesliga xG

Shots
8 – 9
On target
2 – 2
Shots in box
7 – 5
xG per shot
0.17 – 0.08
Set-piece xG
0.46 – 0.06
Goals − xG
-0.38 – -0.73
Reading the xG timeline
Each step up is a shot; the height of the step is how good the chance was. Dots mark goals. A side whose line climbs steadily created chances all match. A side that scored while its line stayed flat took a rare chance — that is finishing luck, and it rarely repeats.

Expected goals by minute

0.00.40.81.21.50'15'30'45'60'75'90'Tomás Cvancara 95' — goal
Borussia M.Gladbach 1.38 xGUnion Berlin 0.73 xG
Reading the shot map
Each circle is a shot, placed where it was taken. Bigger means a better chance; filled circles are goals. Clusters near the goal mean a side worked good openings; lots of small circles far out means shooting from poor positions and hoping. Hover any circle for the player, minute and chance quality.

Shot map

Woo-Yeong Jeong 1' — Missed Shot (0.02 xG, Open Play)Diogo Leite 2' — Blocked Shot (0.06 xG, Set Piece)Benedict Hollerbach 8' — Missed Shot (0.10 xG, Open Play)Benedict Hollerbach 10' — Saved Shot (0.32 xG, Open Play)Philipp Sander 16' — Missed Shot (0.38 xG, Set Piece)Luca Netz 21' — Blocked Shot (0.09 xG, Open Play)Kevin Stöger 25' — Missed Shot (0.38 xG, Open Play)Nathan N'Goumou Minpol 34' — Saved Shot (0.03 xG, Open Play)Alassane Pléa 41' — Blocked Shot (0.05 xG, From Corner)Tim Kleindienst 57' — Blocked Shot (0.07 xG, Open Play)Yorbe Vertessen 77' — Missed Shot (0.03 xG, Open Play)Tim Skarke 83' — Missed Shot (0.01 xG, Open Play)Yorbe Vertessen 85' — Shot On Post (0.04 xG, Open Play)Yorbe Vertessen 87' — Missed Shot (0.13 xG, Open Play)Rocco Reitz 92' — Blocked Shot (0.02 xG, From Corner)Tomás Cvancara 95' — Goal (0.36 xG, Open Play)László Bénes 98' — Saved Shot (0.01 xG, Open Play)
Borussia M.Gladbach attacking right Union Berlin attacking left Marker size is xG; filled markers are goals.

Every shot

MinTeamPlayerxG SituationBody partResultAssisted by
1' Union Berlin Woo-Yeong Jeong 0.02 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot Jordan Siebatcheu
2' Union Berlin Diogo Leite 0.06 Set Piece Left Foot Blocked Shot
8' Union Berlin Benedict Hollerbach 0.10 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot Tom Rothe
10' Union Berlin Benedict Hollerbach 0.32 Open Play Left Foot Saved Shot Tom Rothe
16' Borussia M.Gladbach Philipp Sander 0.38 Set Piece Right Foot Missed Shot Joe Scally
21' Borussia M.Gladbach Luca Netz 0.09 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot Joe Scally
25' Borussia M.Gladbach Kevin Stöger 0.38 Open Play Left Foot Missed Shot Luca Netz
34' Borussia M.Gladbach Nathan N'Goumou Minpol 0.03 Open Play Left Foot Saved Shot Alassane Pléa
41' Borussia M.Gladbach Alassane Pléa 0.05 From Corner Right Foot Blocked Shot Kevin Stöger
57' Borussia M.Gladbach Tim Kleindienst 0.07 Open Play Blocked Shot Philipp Sander
77' Union Berlin Yorbe Vertessen 0.03 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot
83' Union Berlin Tim Skarke 0.01 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot
85' Union Berlin Yorbe Vertessen 0.04 Open Play Left Foot Shot On Post László Bénes
87' Union Berlin Yorbe Vertessen 0.13 Open Play Missed Shot Tim Skarke
92' Borussia M.Gladbach Rocco Reitz 0.02 From Corner Left Foot Blocked Shot
95' Borussia M.Gladbach Tomás Cvancara 0.36 Open Play Goal Robin Hack
98' Union Berlin László Bénes 0.01 Open Play Left Foot Saved Shot Christopher Trimmel

Players

Borussia M.Gladbach

PlayerMinGA ShKPxGxA xGChain
Luca Netz DL 90 0 0 1 1 0.09 0.38 0.53
Tim Kleindienst FW 90 0 0 1 0 0.07 0.00 0.10
Alassane Pléa AML 90 0 0 1 1 0.05 0.03 0.84
Nico Elvedi DC 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.10
Moritz Nicolas GK 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.41
Ko Itakura DC 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.48
Julian Weigl DMC 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.48
Joe Scally DR 90 0 0 0 2 0.00 0.47 0.57
Philipp Sander DMC 77 0 0 1 1 0.38 0.07 0.07
Nathan N'Goumou Minpol AMR 77 0 0 1 0 0.03 0.00 0.10
Kevin Stöger AMC 73 0 0 1 1 0.38 0.05 0.41
Robin Hack Sub 17 0 1 0 1 0.00 0.36 0.36
Tomás Cvancara Sub 13 1 0 1 0 0.36 0.00 0.36
Rocco Reitz Sub 13 0 0 1 0 0.02 0.00 0.00
Marvin Friedrich Sub 1 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00

Union Berlin

PlayerMinGA ShKPxGxA xGChain
Diogo Leite DC 90 0 0 1 0 0.06 0.00 0.00
Rani Khedira MC 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.23
Kevin Vogt DC 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.24
Frederik Rönnow GK 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Danilho Doekhi DC 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.13
Andras Schafer MC 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.37
Janik Haberer DMR 80 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Jordan Siebatcheu FW 80 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.02 0.02
Benedict Hollerbach AMC 73 0 0 2 0 0.42 0.00 0.42
Woo-Yeong Jeong AMC 63 0 0 1 0 0.02 0.00 0.34
Tom Rothe DML 47 0 0 0 2 0.00 0.42 0.42
Leopold Querfeld Sub 43 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Yorbe Vertessen Sub 27 0 0 3 0 0.20 0.00 0.20
László Bénes Sub 17 0 0 1 1 0.01 0.04 0.05
Tim Skarke Sub 10 0 0 1 1 0.01 0.13 0.18
Christopher Trimmel Sub 10 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.01 0.18
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Match

What this page is for

One fixture in full. The model's probability for every market it prices, the prices stored against them, the teams expected to feature, and for a match already played, the shot map and the xG timeline.

How to read the shot map

Every shot is placed where it was taken and sized by its chance of being scored. A cluster of small marks from distance and a clean sheet is a side that was busy without ever threatening; two big marks and a defeat is a side that had the better of it and lost anyway. Both happen constantly, and both are invisible in the score.

How to read the xG timeline

The steps are chances as they arrived, so the shape shows who was on top and when. A flat line that jumps once near the end is a smash and grab.

Things to watch

The stored prediction is the one made before the match, kept deliberately so it can be judged afterwards. It is not re-fitted with hindsight.

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