Botafogo v Red Bull Bragantino — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Saturday 12 September 2026 · BRA-Serie A · 2627

Brasileirão results-only Prediction generated 8 Sep 2026, 11:44 UTC

Botafogo

23:30 UTC

Red Bull Bragantino

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 8 Sep, 07:54 · 112h before kick-off

Botafogo win

47.1%

model 45.9%

Draw

26.5%

model 27.4%

Red Bull Bragantino win

26.5%

model 26.7%

472626

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (476 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-1 13.1%
1-0 9.4%
2-1 9.3%
2-0 8.2%
0-0 7.8%

Goals

Over 2.5	50.6%	Under 2.5	49.4%
BTTS yes	54.8%	BTTS no	45.2%
Botafogo 1+	78.9%	Botafogo 2+	46.1%
Red Bull Bragantino 1+	68.0%	Red Bull Bragantino 2+	31.6%

Expected goals 1.56 – 1.14. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

85/100

Data quality

75/100

Model agreement

98%

★ Best pick

Botafogo corners (+2.5)

Corner handicap

79.8% fair odds 1.25

moderate signal · 14453 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Not both to score by HT

GG/NG half time

83.2% fair odds 1.20

moderate signal · 1245 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

Nothing in the data singles out Botafogo.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Botafogo have an estimated 47.1% win probability, against 26.5% for the draw and 26.5% for Red Bull Bragantino. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.56 for Botafogo and 1.14 for Red Bull Bragantino.

Why Botafogo

Nothing in the data singles out Botafogo.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 26.5%. Draws run at 27% in this competition.

Why Red Bull Bragantino can win

Nothing in the data singles out Red Bull Bragantino.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Botafogo, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Red Bull Bragantino, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Botafogo: 45% possession, 18.4 shots a match, 15.4 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Red Bull Bragantino: 54% possession, 16.2 shots a match, 12.8 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-08 10:52 · team_stats 2026-09-08 06:03 · availability 2026-09-08 11:54 · prediction 2026-09-08 11:44 ·

Botafogo are the model's most likely outcome at 47.1%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 13.1%. Confidence 85/100, data quality 75/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	462727	1.56–1.14	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	482725	1.59–1.10	1-1 13%	50%	54%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Botafogo to win	45.9%	49.1%	49.0%	1.00×	2.04
Draw	27.4%	27.6%	27.2%	1.02×	3.62
Red Bull Bragantino to win	26.8%	27.6%	24.0%	1.15×	3.63

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Botafogo & not both score	24.1%	22.6%	28.1%	0.80×	4.42
Botafogo & both teams score	21.7%	22.6%	21.0%	1.08×	4.43
Draw & both teams score	19.6%	17.8%	20.7%	0.86×	5.63
Red Bull Bragantino & both teams score	13.5%	12.2%	10.3%	1.18×	8.22
Red Bull Bragantino & not both score	13.2%	12.2%	13.8%	0.88×	8.22
Draw & not both score	7.8%	7.3%	6.7%	1.10×	13.66

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Botafogo & over 1.5	36.5%	37.5%	36.7%	1.02×	2.67
Botafogo & under 3.5	31.1%	33.1%	36.9%	0.90×	3.02
Botafogo & over 2.5	28.3%	25.5%	27.5%	0.93×	3.92
Draw & under 2.5	20.9%	21.5%	20.2%	1.06×	4.65
Draw & under 3.5	20.9%	21.5%	20.2%	1.06×	4.65
Red Bull Bragantino & over 1.5	20.2%	21.5%	17.2%	1.25×	4.65
Draw & over 1.5	19.6%	17.6%	20.7%	0.85×	5.69
Red Bull Bragantino & under 3.5	19.4%	17.6%	18.6%	0.94×	5.69
Botafogo & under 2.5	17.5%	17.6%	21.6%	0.81×	5.69
Red Bull Bragantino & over 2.5	15.8%	17.6%	13.2%	1.33×	5.70
Botafogo & over 3.5	14.7%	12.7%	12.2%	1.04×	7.86
Red Bull Bragantino & under 2.5	10.9%	12.7%	11.0%	1.16×	7.87
Botafogo & under 1.5	9.4%	7.5%	12.4%	0.60×	13.40
Draw & under 1.5	7.8%	7.5%	6.7%	1.12×	13.41
Red Bull Bragantino & over 3.5	7.3%	7.5%	5.6%	1.34×	13.41
Draw & over 2.5	6.5%	7.5%	7.2%	1.04×	13.41
Draw & over 3.5	6.5%	7.5%	7.2%	1.04×	13.41
Red Bull Bragantino & under 1.5	6.6%	7.5%	7.0%	1.07×	13.41

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Botafogo (1UP)	61.5%	63.8%	—	—	1.57
Red Bull Bragantino (1UP)	44.8%	43.6%	—	—	2.30

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Botafogo (2UP)	45.9%	49.4%	—	—	2.02
Red Bull Bragantino (2UP)	26.8%	30.6%	—	—	3.27

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Botafogo to win 2nd half	37.8%	37.5%	—	—	2.67
2nd half drawn	36.2%	37.5%	—	—	2.67
Red Bull Bragantino to win 2nd half	26.1%	27.4%	—	—	3.65

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Red Bull Bragantino (+2.5)	90.3%	92.2%	90.8%	1.02×	1.08
Red Bull Bragantino (+1.5)	76.0%	78.5%	76.8%	1.02×	1.27
Botafogo (+0.5)	73.3%	73.1%	76.0%	0.96×	1.37
Red Bull Bragantino (+0.5)	54.1%	51.7%	51.0%	1.01×	1.94
Botafogo (-0.5)	45.9%	48.3%	49.0%	0.99×	2.07
Red Bull Bragantino (-0.5)	26.8%	26.9%	24.0%	1.12×	3.72
Botafogo (-1.5)	24.0%	21.5%	23.2%	0.93×	4.66
Botafogo (-2.5)	9.7%	7.8%	9.2%	0.84×	12.88

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Red Bull Bragantino to concede	78.9%	76.2%	79.7%	0.96×	1.31
Red Bull Bragantino clean sheet	21.1%	23.8%	20.4%	1.17×	4.19

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Red Bull Bragantino clean sheet in 1st half	51.2%	54.7%	—	—	1.83
Red Bull Bragantino to concede in 1st half	48.8%	45.3%	—	—	2.21

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Red Bull Bragantino over 2.5 corners	77.2%	76.0%	—	—	1.32
Red Bull Bragantino under 6.5 corners	75.6%	76.0%	—	—	1.32
Red Bull Bragantino under 5.5 corners	65.0%	67.5%	—	—	1.48
Red Bull Bragantino over 3.5 corners	62.6%	61.8%	—	—	1.62
Red Bull Bragantino under 4.5 corners	52.0%	53.1%	—	—	1.89
Red Bull Bragantino over 4.5 corners	48.0%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
Red Bull Bragantino under 3.5 corners	37.4%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
Red Bull Bragantino over 5.5 corners	35.0%	32.5%	—	—	3.08
Red Bull Bragantino over 6.5 corners	24.4%	24.0%	—	—	4.16
Red Bull Bragantino under 2.5 corners	22.8%	24.0%	—	—	4.16

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Red Bull Bragantino under 3.5 goals	97.1%	97.3%	97.9%	0.99×	1.03
Red Bull Bragantino under 2.5 goals	89.2%	89.0%	90.9%	0.98×	1.12
Red Bull Bragantino under 1.5 goals	68.4%	67.3%	72.0%	0.93×	1.49
Red Bull Bragantino over 0.5 goals	68.0%	67.2%	65.3%	1.03×	1.49
Red Bull Bragantino under 0.5 goals	32.0%	32.8%	34.7%	0.95×	3.05
Red Bull Bragantino over 1.5 goals	31.6%	32.7%	28.0%	1.17×	3.05
Red Bull Bragantino over 2.5 goals	10.8%	11.0%	9.1%	1.21×	9.10
Red Bull Bragantino over 3.5 goals	2.9%	2.7%	2.1%	1.29×	37.37

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Red Bull Bragantino under 1.5 in 1st half	92.3%	93.2%	—	—	1.07
Red Bull Bragantino under 0.5 in 1st half	63.4%	63.6%	—	—	1.57
Red Bull Bragantino over 0.5 in 1st half	36.6%	36.4%	—	—	2.75
Red Bull Bragantino over 1.5 in 1st half	7.7%	6.8%	—	—	14.78

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Botafogo (away no bet)	62.6%	59.0%	64.3%	0.92×	1.69
Draw (away no bet)	37.4%	41.0%	35.7%	1.15×	2.44

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Red Bull Bragantino even goals	55.1%	57.9%	55.0%	1.05×	1.73
Red Bull Bragantino odd goals	44.9%	42.1%	45.0%	0.94×	2.37

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	85.5%	86.3%	—	—	1.16
Both halves over 1.5 goals	14.5%	13.7%	—	—	7.32

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	63.8%	66.4%	—	—	1.51
Both halves under 1.5 goals	36.2%	33.6%	—	—	2.97

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	55.4%	59.1%	—	—	1.69
Botafogo to score 2+ in a row	38.0%	37.4%	—	—	2.68
Red Bull Bragantino to score 2+ in a row	23.3%	21.8%	—	—	4.59
Either team to score 3+ in a row	19.6%	17.9%	—	—	5.60
Botafogo to score 3+ in a row	13.8%	12.2%	—	—	8.18
Red Bull Bragantino to score 3+ in a row	6.0%	7.3%	—	—	13.70

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Botafogo corners (+3.5)	86.0%	84.5%	—	—	1.18
Botafogo corners (+2.5)	80.1%	79.8%	—	—	1.25
Red Bull Bragantino corners (+3.5)	72.6%	70.8%	—	—	1.41
Botafogo corners (+1.5)	72.7%	70.8%	—	—	1.41
Red Bull Bragantino corners (+2.5)	64.4%	61.9%	—	—	1.62
Red Bull Bragantino corners (+1.5)	55.2%	57.1%	—	—	1.75
Botafogo corners (-1.5)	44.8%	42.9%	—	—	2.33
Botafogo corners (-2.5)	35.6%	38.1%	—	—	2.62
Botafogo corners (-3.5)	27.4%	29.2%	—	—	3.42
Red Bull Bragantino corners (-1.5)	27.3%	29.2%	—	—	3.42
Red Bull Bragantino corners (-2.5)	20.0%	20.2%	—	—	4.95
Red Bull Bragantino corners (-3.5)	14.0%	15.5%	—	—	6.45

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
12+ corners	38.3%	33.9%	—	—	2.95
0-8 corners	34.5%	33.3%	—	—	3.01
9-11 corners	27.2%	31.2%	—	—	3.20

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 7.5 corners	74.4%	72.6%	—	—	1.38
Under 12.5 corners	69.5%	67.7%	—	—	1.48
Over 8.5 corners	65.5%	67.7%	—	—	1.48
Under 11.5 corners	61.7%	63.3%	—	—	1.58
Over 9.5 corners	56.1%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Under 10.5 corners	53.1%	53.2%	—	—	1.88
Over 10.5 corners	46.9%	46.8%	—	—	2.14
Under 9.5 corners	43.9%	42.1%	—	—	2.38
Over 11.5 corners	38.3%	36.7%	—	—	2.72
Under 8.5 corners	34.5%	32.3%	—	—	3.10
Over 12.5 corners	30.5%	32.3%	—	—	3.10
Under 7.5 corners	25.6%	27.4%	—	—	3.65

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.2%	—	—	1.99
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.9%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-1	13.1%	11.6%	13.7%	0.85×	8.63
1-0	9.4%	7.3%	12.4%	0.59×	13.74
2-1	9.3%	7.3%	10.8%	0.67×	13.74
2-0	8.2%	7.3%	9.4%	0.78×	13.74
0-0	7.8%	7.3%	6.7%	1.09×	13.74
1-2	6.8%	7.3%	6.2%	1.17×	13.75
0-1	6.6%	7.3%	7.0%	1.04×	13.75
2-2	5.3%	7.3%	5.6%	1.31×	13.75
0-2	4.4%	1.8%	4.1%	0.44×	55.40
3-0	4.2%	1.8%	4.8%	0.38×	55.40
3-1	4.8%	1.8%	4.0%	0.45×	55.39
1-3	2.6%	1.8%	2.1%	0.87×	55.44
3-2	2.8%	1.8%	2.9%	0.63×	55.44
Any other score	2.8%	1.8%	2.5%	0.71×	55.44
0-3	1.7%	1.8%	1.7%	1.03×	55.47
2-3	2.0%	1.8%	1.7%	1.03×	55.46
4-0	1.7%	1.8%	1.1%	1.62×	55.47
4-1	1.9%	1.8%	2.1%	0.87×	55.46
0-4	0.5%	1.8%	1.1%	1.62×	55.50
1-4	0.7%	1.8%	0.3%	5.67×	55.49
2-4	0.6%	1.8%	0.3%	5.67×	55.49
3-3	1.0%	1.8%	1.7%	1.03×	55.48
3-4	0.3%	1.8%	0.2%	11.33×	55.50
4-2	1.1%	1.8%	1.0%	1.89×	55.48
4-3	0.4%	1.8%	0.3%	5.67×	55.50
4-4	0.1%	1.8%	0.2%	11.33×	55.51

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Botafogo leading at HT (DNB)	62.2%	65.0%	—	—	1.54
Red Bull Bragantino leading at HT (DNB)	37.8%	35.0%	—	—	2.86

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Botafogo or draw (1X)	73.3%	72.4%	76.0%	0.95×	1.38
Botafogo or Red Bull Bragantino (12)	72.6%	72.4%	72.8%	0.99×	1.38
Red Bull Bragantino or draw (X2)	54.1%	50.9%	51.0%	1.00×	1.97

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Botafogo or draw at HT	78.7%	78.8%	—	—	1.27
Red Bull Bragantino or draw at HT	64.8%	63.3%	—	—	1.58
Botafogo or Red Bull Bragantino at HT	56.5%	58.2%	—	—	1.72

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Botafogo or draw (1UP)	73.3%	77.5%	—	—	1.29
Red Bull Bragantino or draw (1UP)	54.1%	58.9%	—	—	1.70

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Botafogo or draw in 2nd half	73.9%	72.6%	—	—	1.38
Botafogo or Red Bull Bragantino in 2nd half	63.8%	62.5%	—	—	1.60
Red Bull Bragantino or draw in 2nd half	62.2%	62.5%	—	—	1.60

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	62.7%	59.4%	—	—	1.68
Neither half drawn	37.3%	40.6%	—	—	2.46

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Botafogo (DNB)	63.2%	62.4%	67.1%	0.93×	1.60
Red Bull Bragantino (DNB)	36.8%	37.6%	32.9%	1.14×	2.66

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Botafogo to score first	53.2%	53.7%	—	—	1.86
Red Bull Bragantino to score first	39.0%	37.3%	—	—	2.68
No goal scored	7.8%	6.3%	—	—	15.96

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams to score	54.8%	52.9%	51.7%	1.02×	1.89
Not both teams to score	45.2%	47.1%	48.3%	0.97×	2.13

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both score & over 2.5	41.7%	42.3%	38.2%	1.11×	2.37
Not both score & under 2.5	36.3%	37.4%	39.0%	0.96×	2.67
Both score & under 2.5	13.1%	11.7%	13.7%	0.86×	8.52
Not both score & over 2.5	8.9%	8.7%	9.5%	0.92×	11.45

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	85.4%	85.5%	87.3%	0.98×	1.17
Both teams to score 2+	14.6%	14.5%	12.7%	1.14×	6.89

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	70.5%	70.3%	—	—	1.42
Both teams to score in 2nd half	29.5%	29.7%	—	—	3.37

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	57.6%	57.6%	—	—	1.74
Both score 2nd half only	24.3%	24.4%	—	—	4.09
Both score 1st half only	12.9%	11.6%	—	—	8.64
Both score in both halves	5.2%	6.4%	—	—	15.56

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	81.9%	83.2%	—	—	1.20
Both teams to score by HT	18.1%	16.8%	—	—	5.94

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A goal in each half	54.1%	54.7%	—	—	1.83
A half without a goal	45.9%	45.3%	—	—	2.21

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	47.7%	45.9%	49.8%	0.92×	2.18
4-6 goals	26.5%	27.7%	24.2%	1.14×	3.62
0-1 goals	23.8%	22.8%	25.8%	0.89×	4.38
7+ goals	2.0%	1.9%	0.6%	3.05×	51.50

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Red Bull Bragantino to score exactly 1	36.5%	34.6%	37.5%	0.92×	2.89
Red Bull Bragantino to score exactly 0	32.0%	33.2%	34.7%	0.96×	3.01
Red Bull Bragantino to score exactly 2	20.8%	23.9%	19.1%	1.25×	4.18
Red Bull Bragantino to score 3+	10.8%	13.3%	9.1%	1.47×	7.50

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Botafogo to score exactly 1	32.8%	30.6%	34.3%	0.89×	3.27
Botafogo to score exactly 2	25.6%	27.0%	27.2%	0.99×	3.70
Botafogo to score exactly 0	21.1%	22.9%	20.4%	1.13×	4.36
Botafogo to score 3+	20.6%	22.9%	18.4%	1.24×	4.36

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT	43.5%	41.8%	—	—	2.39
Botafogo leading at HT	35.2%	36.7%	—	—	2.72
Red Bull Bragantino leading at HT	21.3%	21.2%	—	—	4.71

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Botafogo -1: 2	54.1%	51.7%	—	—	1.93
Botafogo -1: 1	24.0%	24.0%	—	—	4.17
Botafogo -1: X	21.9%	23.9%	—	—	4.18

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Red Bull Bragantino (0:1)	54.1%	53.6%	51.0%	1.05×	1.87
Botafogo (0:1)	24.0%	24.4%	23.2%	1.05×	4.09
Draw (0:1)	21.9%	24.4%	25.9%	0.94×	4.10

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Red Bull Bragantino (0:2)	76.0%	77.4%	76.8%	1.01×	1.29
Draw (0:2)	14.2%	11.8%	14.1%	0.83×	8.49
Botafogo (0:2)	9.7%	7.2%	9.2%	0.79×	13.81

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Red Bull Bragantino (0:3)	90.3%	92.5%	90.8%	1.02×	1.08
Draw (0:3)	6.5%	6.9%	6.7%	1.03×	14.50
Botafogo (0:3)	3.2%	2.3%	2.7%	0.86×	42.89

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Red Bull Bragantino (0:4)	96.8%	98.1%	97.3%	1.01×	1.02
Draw (0:4)	2.3%	1.2%	1.7%	0.71×	80.15
Botafogo (0:4)	0.9%	1.2%	1.1%	1.11×	80.89

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Botafogo (1:0)	73.3%	73.9%	76.0%	0.97×	1.35
Draw (1:0)	15.7%	16.3%	14.6%	1.11×	6.13
Red Bull Bragantino (1:0)	11.0%	11.7%	9.5%	1.23×	8.53

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Botafogo (2:0)	89.0%	89.4%	90.5%	0.99×	1.12
Draw (2:0)	7.6%	6.6%	6.2%	1.07×	15.13
Red Bull Bragantino (2:0)	3.4%	2.7%	3.5%	0.77×	36.98

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	46.7%	48.7%	—	—	2.05
Halves equal	26.7%	26.1%	—	—	3.83
1st half highest scoring	26.5%	26.1%	—	—	3.83

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Botafogo to concede	68.0%	67.0%	65.3%	1.02×	1.49
Botafogo clean sheet	32.0%	33.0%	34.7%	0.95×	3.03

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Botafogo clean sheet in 1st half	63.4%	63.5%	—	—	1.58
Botafogo to concede in 1st half	36.6%	36.5%	—	—	2.74

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Botafogo over 2.5 corners	85.0%	86.3%	—	—	1.16
Botafogo over 3.5 corners	73.7%	71.8%	—	—	1.39
Botafogo under 6.5 corners	63.1%	62.3%	—	—	1.61
Botafogo over 4.5 corners	60.9%	62.2%	—	—	1.61
Botafogo under 5.5 corners	51.7%	52.6%	—	—	1.90
Botafogo over 5.5 corners	48.3%	47.4%	—	—	2.11
Botafogo under 4.5 corners	39.1%	37.8%	—	—	2.65
Botafogo over 6.5 corners	36.9%	37.7%	—	—	2.65
Botafogo under 3.5 corners	26.3%	28.2%	—	—	3.55
Botafogo under 2.5 corners	15.0%	13.7%	—	—	7.29

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Botafogo under 3.5 goals	92.7%	92.1%	94.3%	0.98×	1.09
Botafogo under 2.5 goals	79.4%	76.8%	81.6%	0.94×	1.30
Botafogo over 0.5 goals	78.9%	76.8%	79.7%	0.96×	1.30
Botafogo under 1.5 goals	53.9%	52.8%	54.5%	0.97×	1.89
Botafogo over 1.5 goals	46.1%	47.2%	45.5%	1.04×	2.12
Botafogo under 0.5 goals	21.1%	23.2%	20.4%	1.14×	4.31
Botafogo over 2.5 goals	20.6%	23.2%	18.4%	1.26×	4.31
Botafogo over 3.5 goals	7.3%	7.9%	5.7%	1.38×	12.65

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Botafogo under 1.5 in 1st half	85.5%	87.7%	—	—	1.14
Botafogo under 0.5 in 1st half	51.2%	54.7%	—	—	1.83
Botafogo over 0.5 in 1st half	48.8%	45.3%	—	—	2.21
Botafogo over 1.5 in 1st half	14.5%	12.3%	—	—	8.13

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Red Bull Bragantino (home no bet)	49.4%	51.5%	46.9%	1.10×	1.94
Draw (home no bet)	50.6%	48.5%	53.1%	0.91×	2.06

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Botafogo even goals	52.2%	50.3%	51.7%	0.97×	1.99
Botafogo odd goals	47.8%	49.7%	48.3%	1.03×	2.01

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	32.6%	30.5%	—	—	3.28
HT 1-0	21.5%	22.6%	—	—	4.42
HT 0-1	14.6%	11.2%	—	—	8.91
HT 1-1	10.1%	11.2%	—	—	8.96
HT 2-0	7.3%	7.7%	—	—	13.00
Any other HT score	4.2%	2.5%	—	—	39.76
HT 0-2	3.4%	2.5%	—	—	39.81
HT 2-1	3.3%	2.5%	—	—	39.81
HT 1-2	2.3%	2.5%	—	—	39.87
HT 2-2	0.8%	2.5%	—	—	39.96

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Botafogo at HT / Botafogo at FT	27.6%	27.1%	—	—	3.68
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	17.0%	16.8%	—	—	5.97
Draw at HT / Botafogo at FT	15.8%	16.8%	—	—	5.97
Red Bull Bragantino at HT / Red Bull Bragantino at FT	14.0%	12.0%	—	—	8.34
Draw at HT / Red Bull Bragantino at FT	10.7%	11.9%	—	—	8.37
Botafogo at HT / Draw at FT	5.6%	6.6%	—	—	15.26
Red Bull Bragantino at HT / Draw at FT	4.9%	3.4%	—	—	29.31
Red Bull Bragantino at HT / Botafogo at FT	2.5%	3.4%	—	—	29.41
Botafogo at HT / Red Bull Bragantino at FT	2.0%	3.4%	—	—	29.43

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Botafogo to score last	53.3%	53.7%	—	—	1.86
Red Bull Bragantino to score last	38.9%	38.1%	—	—	2.62
No goal scored	7.8%	6.3%	—	—	15.96

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	92.2%	93.7%	—	—	1.07
Botafogo to lead by 1 at any time	61.5%	64.3%	—	—	1.56
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	46.3%	46.1%	—	—	2.17
Red Bull Bragantino to lead by 1 at any time	44.8%	42.2%	—	—	2.37
Botafogo to lead by 2 at any time	30.3%	32.0%	—	—	3.13
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	16.6%	17.6%	—	—	5.67
Red Bull Bragantino to lead by 2 at any time	16.2%	17.6%	—	—	5.67
Botafogo to lead by 3 at any time	11.9%	11.3%	—	—	8.84
Red Bull Bragantino to lead by 3 at any time	4.7%	2.7%	—	—	37.74

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Botafogo most corners	54.5%	51.9%	—	—	1.93
Red Bull Bragantino most corners	36.0%	39.2%	—	—	2.55
Corners level	9.5%	8.4%	—	—	11.89

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	86.5%	87.9%	88.9%	0.99×	1.14
1-4 goals	78.5%	78.9%	81.9%	0.96×	1.27
2-6 goals	74.2%	73.7%	73.8%	1.00×	1.36
2-5 goals	70.6%	73.6%	69.8%	1.05×	1.36
1-3 goals	63.6%	62.3%	68.8%	0.90×	1.61
2-4 goals	62.5%	62.3%	62.8%	0.99×	1.61
3-6 goals	48.6%	48.0%	47.1%	1.02×	2.08
2-3 goals	47.7%	48.0%	49.8%	0.97×	2.08
3-5 goals	44.9%	43.6%	43.1%	1.01×	2.29
1-2 goals	41.6%	43.6%	45.9%	0.95×	2.29
3-4 goals	36.9%	38.8%	36.1%	1.08×	2.58
4-6 goals	26.5%	30.4%	24.2%	1.26×	3.29
4-5 goals	22.9%	24.7%	20.2%	1.22×	4.04
5-6 goals	11.6%	13.4%	11.1%	1.21×	7.44
7+ goals	2.0%	2.0%	0.6%	3.18×	49.50

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Botafogo never behind	47.3%	53.7%	—	—	1.86
Red Bull Bragantino never behind	30.7%	36.0%	—	—	2.78

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of goals	47.6%	50.1%	49.3%	1.02×	2.00
Even number of goals	52.4%	49.9%	50.7%	0.98×	2.00

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	55.6%	55.3%	—	—	1.81
Odd goals in 1st half	44.4%	44.7%	—	—	2.24

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	52.9%	51.7%	—	—	1.93
Odd goals in 2nd half	47.1%	48.3%	—	—	2.07

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 5.5 goals	94.3%	93.0%	95.4%	0.97×	1.08
Over 0.5 goals	92.2%	92.9%	93.3%	1.00×	1.08
Under 4.5 goals	86.3%	88.7%	88.4%	1.00×	1.13
Over 1.5 goals	76.2%	78.2%	74.2%	1.05×	1.28
Under 3.5 goals	71.4%	72.4%	75.4%	0.96×	1.38
Over 2.5 goals	50.6%	53.5%	47.5%	1.12×	1.87
Under 2.5 goals	49.4%	46.5%	52.5%	0.89×	2.15
Over 3.5 goals	28.6%	27.6%	24.6%	1.12×	3.62
Under 1.5 goals	23.8%	21.8%	25.8%	0.85×	4.59
Over 4.5 goals	13.7%	11.3%	11.6%	0.97×	8.88
Under 0.5 goals	7.8%	7.1%	6.7%	1.06×	14.17
Over 5.5 goals	5.7%	7.0%	4.6%	1.53×	14.22

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	97.9%	97.2%	99.3%	0.98×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	93.9%	92.8%	95.0%	0.98×	1.08
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	83.9%	80.8%	86.7%	0.93×	1.24
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	68.0%	68.1%	64.9%	1.05×	1.47
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	63.4%	62.4%	68.0%	0.92×	1.60
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	36.6%	37.6%	32.0%	1.18×	2.66
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	32.0%	31.9%	35.1%	0.91×	3.13
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	16.1%	19.2%	13.3%	1.44×	5.20
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	6.2%	7.2%	5.0%	1.46×	13.80
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	2.1%	2.8%	0.7%	4.18×	36.13

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	89.5%	88.1%	—	—	1.13
Under 1.5 in 1st half	68.8%	68.6%	—	—	1.46
Over 0.5 in 1st half	67.4%	68.6%	—	—	1.46
Under 0.5 in 1st half	32.6%	31.4%	—	—	3.18
Over 1.5 in 1st half	31.2%	31.4%	—	—	3.19
Over 2.5 in 1st half	10.5%	11.9%	—	—	8.44

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	79.1%	80.3%	—	—	1.25
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	78.9%	80.3%	—	—	1.25
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	47.0%	51.8%	—	—	1.93
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	53.0%	48.2%	—	—	2.08
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	21.1%	19.7%	—	—	5.07
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	21.0%	19.7%	—	—	5.08

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Red Bull Bragantino not to score in both halves	81.8%	81.5%	—	—	1.23
Botafogo not to score in both halves	71.3%	70.3%	—	—	1.42
Botafogo to score in both halves	28.7%	29.7%	—	—	3.37
Red Bull Bragantino to score in both halves	18.2%	18.5%	—	—	5.40

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	54.8%	54.8%	51.7%	1.06×	1.82
Only Botafogo scores	24.1%	22.9%	28.1%	0.81×	4.36
Only Red Bull Bragantino scores	13.2%	10.8%	13.8%	0.78×	9.24
Neither team scores	7.8%	6.7%	6.7%	1.00×	15.01

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 2 goals	25.6%	24.7%	26.9%	0.92×	4.05
Exactly 3 goals	22.0%	21.5%	23.1%	0.93×	4.64
Exactly 1 goals	15.9%	18.5%	19.2%	0.96×	5.39
Exactly 4 goals	14.9%	12.4%	13.2%	0.94×	8.07
Exactly 5 goals	8.0%	7.6%	7.2%	1.06×	13.13
Exactly 0 goals	7.8%	7.6%	6.7%	1.14×	13.13
6 or more goals	5.7%	7.6%	4.6%	1.65×	13.16

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	47.0%	50.9%	—	—	1.97
1 goal in 2nd half	31.9%	33.2%	—	—	3.02
No goals in 2nd half	21.1%	18.5%	—	—	5.42

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Red Bull Bragantino not to win both halves	94.3%	93.4%	—	—	1.07
Botafogo not to win both halves	86.5%	87.5%	—	—	1.14
Botafogo to win both halves	13.5%	12.5%	—	—	8.01
Red Bull Bragantino to win both halves	5.7%	6.6%	—	—	15.20

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Botafogo to win either half	59.4%	59.5%	—	—	1.68
Red Bull Bragantino to win neither half	58.3%	59.5%	—	—	1.68
Red Bull Bragantino to win either half	41.7%	40.5%	—	—	2.47
Botafogo to win neither half	40.6%	40.5%	—	—	2.47

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Red Bull Bragantino not to win to nil	86.8%	88.2%	86.2%	1.02×	1.13
Botafogo not to win to nil	75.9%	77.1%	71.9%	1.07×	1.30
Botafogo to win to nil	24.1%	22.9%	28.1%	0.81×	4.36
Red Bull Bragantino to win to nil	13.2%	11.8%	13.8%	0.85×	8.51

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw	27.4%	28.0%	27.2%	1.03×	3.57
Botafogo by 1	21.9%	23.7%	25.9%	0.92×	4.21
Red Bull Bragantino by 1	15.7%	17.0%	14.6%	1.16×	5.90
Botafogo by 2	14.2%	11.9%	14.1%	0.84×	8.42
Botafogo by 3+	9.7%	7.1%	9.2%	0.77×	14.05
Red Bull Bragantino by 2	7.6%	7.1%	6.2%	1.14×	14.10
Red Bull Bragantino by 3+	3.4%	2.8%	3.5%	0.81×	35.29