Bournemouth v Liverpool — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Sunday 20 September 2026 · ENG-Premier League · 2627

Premier League xG Prediction generated 18 Sep 2026, 10:37 UTC

Bournemouth

0–1

0.94 – 1.29 xG

Liverpool

Shots

9 – 12

On target

2 – 3

Shots in box

5 – 7

xG per shot

0.10 – 0.11

Set-piece xG

0.06 – 0.12

Goals − xG

-0.94 – -0.36

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Final pre-match price, taken 20 Sep, 11:12 · 2h before kick-off

Bournemouth win

36.3%

model 36.3%

Draw

22.0%

model 23.1%

Liverpool win

41.7%

model 40.6%

362242

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (624 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-1 10.2%
1-2 8.6%
2-1 8.0%
2-2 6.8%
0-1 6.4%

Goals

Over 2.5	63.4%	Under 2.5	36.6%
BTTS yes	64.7%	BTTS no	35.3%
Bournemouth 1+	79.5%	Bournemouth 2+	47.0%
Liverpool 1+	81.4%	Liverpool 2+	50.2%

Expected goals 1.58 – 1.68. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

95/100

Data quality

100/100

Model agreement

95%

★ Best pick

Liverpool to win either half

Win either half · usually 49%

59.4% fair odds 1.68

moderate signal · 1049 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Liverpool (0:2)

Handicap 0:2 · usually 76%

83.6% fair odds 1.20

moderate signal · 504 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

Form is good: 1.80 points a match from the last five.
Away from home Liverpool average 1.57 xG a match.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Liverpool have an estimated 41.7% win probability, against 36.3% for Bournemouth and 22.0% for the draw. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.58 for Bournemouth and 1.68 for Liverpool.

Why Bournemouth

At home Bournemouth average 2.15 xG a match. Their last eleven was closer to full strength: Liverpool were missing 1.04 expected goal involvements a match against 0.46.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 22.0%. The sides are closely matched on expected goals, 1.58 to 1.68. Draws run at 25% in this competition.

Why Liverpool can win

Form is good: 1.80 points a match from the last five. Away from home Liverpool average 1.57 xG a match.

Key players

Bournemouth's leading contributors by expected goal involvements a match: Marcus Tavernier (0.47), Evanilson (0.41), Rayan (0.31). Liverpool's leading contributors by expected goal involvements a match: Mohamed Salah (0.52), Dominik Szoboszlai (0.40), Alexander Isak (0.38).

Availability

1 of Liverpool's top three contributors did not start their last match. 36% of Liverpool's last eleven are new to the club this window.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Bournemouth: 49% possession, 15.2 shots a match, 11.4 faced, 0.48 xG a match from set pieces. Liverpool: 57% possession, 15.6 shots a match, 11.6 faced, 0.58 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-20 15:09 · team_stats 2026-09-20 06:07 · availability 2026-09-20 15:12 · prediction 2026-09-18 10:37 ·

Liverpool are the model's most likely outcome at 41.7%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 10.2%. Confidence 95/100, data quality 100/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the chances say

Bournemouth are finishing sharply below their chances — 6.2 goals fewer than expected across 10 matches, despite creating the openings.

WDDLDDDLLW last 10 scored 12 from 18.2 xG conceded 15 from 13.0 xG

Liverpool are finishing below their chances — 2.7 goals fewer than expected across 10 matches, despite creating the openings.

DLDDDWDWLW last 10 scored 13 from 15.7 xG conceded 14 from 14.0 xG

Finishing swings far more than chance creation, so a gap this size usually narrows. Over ten matches it is suggestive, not settled — a genuinely elite finisher beats expected goals for years.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS	Outcome
ai-blend	362341	1.58–1.68	0%	0%	0%	Away ✓
dc-goals	442531	1.72–1.42	1-1 12%	61%	63%	Home ✗
dc-xg	332245	1.60–1.91	1-1 9%	68%	68%	Away ✓
dc-xg-oos	332245	1.60–1.91	1-1 9%	68%	68%	Away ✓
deep	332245	1.60–1.91	1-1 9%	68%	68%	Away ✓

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Liverpool to win	45.3%	47.2%	32.4%	1.46×	2.12
Bournemouth to win	32.7%	30.5%	42.9%	0.71×	3.28
Draw	22.0%	24.4%	24.9%	0.98×	4.09

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Liverpool & both teams score	28.2%	25.1%	15.6%	1.62×	3.98
Bournemouth & both teams score	20.9%	21.8%	22.7%	0.96×	4.58
Draw & both teams score	19.0%	18.0%	19.9%	0.90×	5.57
Liverpool & not both score	17.1%	18.0%	16.9%	1.06×	5.57
Bournemouth & not both score	11.8%	13.3%	20.2%	0.66×	7.53
Draw & not both score	3.0%	4.9%	5.0%	0.98×	20.49

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Liverpool & over 1.5	39.6%	34.8%	25.5%	1.36×	2.87
Liverpool & over 2.5	34.2%	30.8%	20.0%	1.54×	3.25
Bournemouth & over 1.5	27.9%	26.1%	36.5%	0.71×	3.84
Bournemouth & over 2.5	24.1%	21.6%	30.1%	0.72×	4.63
Liverpool & under 3.5	23.3%	21.6%	21.7%	1.00×	4.63
Liverpool & over 3.5	22.0%	21.6%	10.7%	2.01×	4.63
Draw & over 1.5	19.0%	18.0%	19.9%	0.90×	5.56
Bournemouth & under 3.5	17.9%	18.0%	26.6%	0.68×	5.56
Bournemouth & over 3.5	14.8%	12.9%	16.3%	0.79×	7.77
Draw & under 2.5	12.1%	12.9%	16.3%	0.79×	7.78
Draw & under 3.5	12.1%	12.9%	16.3%	0.79×	7.78
Liverpool & under 2.5	11.1%	12.9%	12.4%	1.04×	7.78
Draw & over 2.5	9.9%	7.9%	8.6%	0.92×	12.62
Draw & over 3.5	9.9%	7.9%	8.6%	0.92×	12.62
Bournemouth & under 2.5	8.6%	7.9%	12.8%	0.62×	12.62
Liverpool & under 1.5	5.7%	7.9%	6.9%	1.14×	12.63
Bournemouth & under 1.5	4.8%	4.8%	6.4%	0.75×	20.83
Draw & under 1.5	3.0%	4.8%	5.0%	0.96×	20.84

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Liverpool (1UP)	64.1%	63.2%	51.5%	1.23×	1.58
Bournemouth (1UP)	53.8%	52.7%	62.0%	0.85×	1.90

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Liverpool (2UP)	45.3%	49.2%	34.6%	1.42×	2.03
Bournemouth (2UP)	32.7%	30.8%	44.6%	0.69×	3.24

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Liverpool to win 2nd half	41.4%	41.0%	32.8%	1.25×	2.44
2nd half drawn	30.0%	26.7%	31.1%	0.86×	3.74
Bournemouth to win 2nd half	28.7%	26.7%	36.2%	0.74×	3.75

2nd half away goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Liverpool over 0.5 in 2nd half	68.5%	70.5%	57.6%	1.23×	1.42
Liverpool under 1.5 in 2nd half	67.9%	70.5%	79.8%	0.88×	1.42
Liverpool over 1.5 in 2nd half	32.1%	29.5%	20.2%	1.46×	3.39
Liverpool under 0.5 in 2nd half	31.5%	29.5%	42.4%	0.69×	3.39

2nd half home goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Bournemouth under 1.5 in 2nd half	77.0%	76.2%	75.4%	1.01×	1.31
Bournemouth over 0.5 in 2nd half	59.6%	58.8%	58.3%	1.01×	1.70
Bournemouth under 0.5 in 2nd half	40.4%	41.2%	41.7%	0.99×	2.43
Bournemouth over 1.5 in 2nd half	23.0%	23.8%	24.6%	0.97×	4.21

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Liverpool (+2.5)	93.8%	92.1%	89.2%	1.03×	1.09
Liverpool (+1.5)	84.2%	82.5%	76.1%	1.08×	1.21
Liverpool (+0.5)	67.3%	68.7%	57.1%	1.20×	1.46
Bournemouth (+0.5)	54.7%	52.5%	67.6%	0.78×	1.90
Liverpool (-0.5)	45.3%	47.5%	32.4%	1.47×	2.11
Bournemouth (-0.5)	32.7%	31.3%	42.9%	0.73×	3.19
Bournemouth (-1.5)	15.8%	17.5%	23.9%	0.73×	5.71
Bournemouth (-2.5)	6.2%	7.9%	10.8%	0.73×	12.69

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Liverpool to concede	79.9%	78.8%	78.2%	1.01×	1.27
Liverpool clean sheet	20.1%	21.2%	21.8%	0.97×	4.72

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Liverpool to concede in 1st half	50.1%	50.4%	51.2%	0.98×	1.98
Liverpool clean sheet in 1st half	49.9%	49.6%	48.8%	1.02×	2.02

Away clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Liverpool to concede in 2nd half	59.6%	58.4%	58.3%	1.00×	1.71
Liverpool clean sheet in 2nd half	40.4%	41.6%	41.7%	1.00×	2.40

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Liverpool over 2.5 corners	87.4%	85.2%	—	—	1.17
Liverpool over 3.5 corners	76.3%	76.0%	—	—	1.32
Liverpool over 4.5 corners	63.1%	61.8%	—	—	1.62
Liverpool under 6.5 corners	62.8%	61.8%	—	—	1.62
Liverpool under 5.5 corners	50.4%	53.0%	—	—	1.89
Liverpool over 5.5 corners	49.6%	47.0%	—	—	2.13
Liverpool over 6.5 corners	37.2%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
Liverpool under 4.5 corners	36.9%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
Liverpool under 3.5 corners	23.7%	24.0%	—	—	4.16
Liverpool under 2.5 corners	12.6%	14.8%	—	—	6.77

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Liverpool under 3.5 goals	87.3%	87.8%	94.5%	0.93×	1.14
Liverpool over 0.5 goals	85.2%	87.8%	74.9%	1.17×	1.14
Liverpool under 2.5 goals	70.0%	71.8%	85.0%	0.85×	1.39
Liverpool over 1.5 goals	57.0%	59.3%	39.6%	1.50×	1.69
Liverpool under 1.5 goals	43.0%	40.7%	60.4%	0.67×	2.46
Liverpool over 2.5 goals	30.0%	28.2%	15.0%	1.87×	3.55
Liverpool under 0.5 goals	14.8%	12.2%	25.1%	0.48×	8.22
Liverpool over 3.5 goals	12.7%	12.2%	5.5%	2.21×	8.23

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Liverpool under 1.5 in 1st half	82.4%	82.9%	89.1%	0.93×	1.21
Liverpool over 0.5 in 1st half	53.2%	55.7%	40.7%	1.37×	1.80
Liverpool under 0.5 in 1st half	46.8%	44.3%	59.3%	0.75×	2.26
Liverpool over 1.5 in 1st half	17.6%	17.1%	10.9%	1.57×	5.84

Away highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Liverpool scores more in 2nd half	45.1%	48.1%	40.5%	1.19×	2.08
Liverpool scores equally in both	30.8%	33.8%	37.7%	0.90×	2.96
Liverpool scores more in 1st half	24.1%	22.1%	21.9%	1.01×	4.52

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Bournemouth (away no bet)	59.8%	57.4%	63.3%	0.91×	1.74
Draw (away no bet)	40.2%	42.6%	36.7%	1.16×	2.35

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Liverpool even goals	51.1%	52.6%	53.8%	0.98×	1.90
Liverpool odd goals	48.9%	47.4%	46.2%	1.02×	2.11

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	74.0%	77.2%	80.1%	0.96×	1.30
Both halves over 1.5 goals	26.0%	22.8%	19.9%	1.14×	4.39

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	77.7%	72.7%	70.2%	1.04×	1.38
Both halves under 1.5 goals	22.3%	27.3%	29.8%	0.92×	3.67

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	68.7%	62.2%	61.5%	1.01×	1.61
Liverpool to score 2+ in a row	45.4%	45.9%	29.9%	1.53×	2.18
Bournemouth to score 2+ in a row	35.2%	36.3%	39.0%	0.93×	2.75
Either team to score 3+ in a row	28.9%	25.4%	26.2%	0.97×	3.94
Liverpool to score 3+ in a row	18.1%	16.4%	10.1%	1.62×	6.09
Bournemouth to score 3+ in a row	11.5%	12.2%	16.5%	0.74×	8.23

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Liverpool corners (+3.5)	86.3%	84.5%	—	—	1.18
Liverpool corners (+2.5)	80.2%	79.8%	—	—	1.25
Bournemouth corners (+3.5)	74.6%	70.8%	—	—	1.41
Liverpool corners (+1.5)	72.4%	70.7%	—	—	1.41
Bournemouth corners (+2.5)	66.2%	65.9%	—	—	1.52
Bournemouth corners (+1.5)	56.6%	57.1%	—	—	1.75
Liverpool corners (-1.5)	43.4%	42.9%	—	—	2.33
Liverpool corners (-2.5)	33.8%	34.1%	—	—	2.93
Bournemouth corners (-1.5)	27.6%	29.3%	—	—	3.42
Liverpool corners (-3.5)	25.4%	29.2%	—	—	3.42
Bournemouth corners (-2.5)	19.8%	20.2%	—	—	4.94
Bournemouth corners (-3.5)	13.7%	15.5%	—	—	6.44

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
12+ corners	40.1%	38.3%	—	—	2.61
0-8 corners	31.0%	33.2%	—	—	3.01
9-11 corners	28.9%	31.2%	—	—	3.20

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 7.5 corners	77.9%	76.6%	—	—	1.31
Over 8.5 corners	69.0%	67.8%	—	—	1.48
Under 12.5 corners	68.4%	67.8%	—	—	1.48
Under 11.5 corners	59.9%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Over 9.5 corners	59.3%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Under 10.5 corners	50.5%	53.1%	—	—	1.88
Over 10.5 corners	49.5%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
Under 9.5 corners	40.7%	42.1%	—	—	2.38
Over 11.5 corners	40.1%	42.1%	—	—	2.38
Over 12.5 corners	31.6%	32.2%	—	—	3.11
Under 8.5 corners	31.0%	32.2%	—	—	3.11
Under 7.5 corners	22.1%	23.4%	—	—	4.27

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.1%	—	—	1.99
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.9%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-1	9.1%	7.4%	11.4%	0.65×	13.50
1-2	8.7%	7.4%	6.9%	1.07×	13.50
2-1	7.3%	7.4%	8.9%	0.83×	13.50
2-2	7.0%	7.4%	7.7%	0.96×	13.50
Any other score	6.8%	7.4%	4.2%	1.75×	13.50
0-1	5.7%	7.4%	6.9%	1.07×	13.50
0-2	5.4%	7.4%	5.6%	1.33×	13.50
1-3	5.6%	7.4%	3.2%	2.31×	13.50
1-0	4.8%	1.7%	6.4%	0.27×	58.33
0-0	3.0%	1.7%	5.0%	0.34×	58.34
0-3	3.5%	1.7%	2.5%	0.68×	58.33
0-4	1.7%	1.7%	1.1%	1.56×	58.34
1-4	2.7%	1.7%	1.4%	1.19×	58.34
2-0	3.8%	1.7%	6.5%	0.26×	58.33
2-3	4.5%	1.7%	2.5%	0.70×	58.33
2-4	2.1%	1.7%	0.7%	2.54×	58.34
3-0	2.0%	1.7%	5.1%	0.34×	58.34
3-1	3.9%	1.7%	5.4%	0.32×	58.33
3-2	3.7%	1.7%	3.0%	0.56×	58.33
3-3	2.4%	1.7%	0.8%	2.25×	58.34
3-4	1.1%	1.7%	0.5%	3.38×	58.35
4-0	0.8%	1.7%	1.4%	1.27×	58.35
4-1	1.6%	1.7%	2.3%	0.75×	58.34
4-2	1.5%	1.7%	1.4%	1.27×	58.34
4-3	1.0%	1.7%	0.9%	1.84×	58.35
4-4	0.5%	1.7%	0.3%	5.07×	58.35

DNB 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Liverpool (2nd half DNB)	59.1%	59.8%	47.5%	1.26×	1.67
Bournemouth (2nd half DNB)	40.9%	40.2%	52.5%	0.77×	2.49

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Liverpool leading at HT (DNB)	53.0%	54.6%	40.6%	1.34×	1.83
Bournemouth leading at HT (DNB)	47.0%	45.4%	59.4%	0.76×	2.20

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Bournemouth or Liverpool (12)	78.0%	75.6%	75.1%	1.01×	1.32
Liverpool or draw (X2)	67.3%	69.5%	57.1%	1.22×	1.44
Bournemouth or draw (1X)	54.7%	52.8%	67.6%	0.78×	1.89

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Liverpool or draw at HT	70.6%	74.7%	64.1%	1.17×	1.34
Bournemouth or draw at HT	66.9%	66.4%	75.4%	0.88×	1.51
Bournemouth or Liverpool at HT	62.6%	61.9%	60.4%	1.02×	1.62

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Liverpool or draw (1UP)	67.3%	75.9%	65.3%	1.16×	1.32
Bournemouth or draw (1UP)	54.7%	59.7%	74.3%	0.80×	1.68

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Liverpool or draw in 2nd half	71.3%	73.3%	63.8%	1.15×	1.36
Bournemouth or Liverpool in 2nd half	70.0%	73.3%	68.9%	1.06×	1.37
Bournemouth or draw in 2nd half	58.6%	59.0%	67.2%	0.88×	1.69

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	56.2%	58.1%	57.0%	1.02×	1.72
Neither half drawn	43.8%	41.9%	43.0%	0.97×	2.39

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Liverpool (DNB)	58.1%	58.1%	43.0%	1.35×	1.72
Bournemouth (DNB)	41.9%	41.9%	57.0%	0.74×	2.39

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Liverpool to score first	52.8%	53.8%	43.3%	1.24×	1.86
Bournemouth to score first	44.2%	41.9%	51.8%	0.81×	2.38
No goal scored	3.0%	4.3%	5.0%	0.87×	23.08

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams to score	68.1%	58.4%	58.1%	1.01×	1.71
Not both teams to score	31.9%	41.6%	41.9%	0.99×	2.41

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both score & over 2.5	59.0%	47.4%	46.7%	1.01×	2.11
Not both score & under 2.5	22.7%	27.8%	30.1%	0.92×	3.60
Both score & under 2.5	9.1%	8.3%	11.4%	0.73×	12.02
Not both score & over 2.5	9.2%	8.3%	11.9%	0.70×	12.02

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	72.9%	80.5%	82.1%	0.98×	1.24
Both teams to score 2+	27.1%	19.5%	17.9%	1.09×	5.14

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	59.2%	66.0%	68.8%	0.96×	1.52
Both teams to score in 2nd half	40.8%	34.0%	31.2%	1.09×	2.94

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	43.4%	49.9%	55.9%	0.89×	2.00
Both score 2nd half only	30.0%	26.6%	24.5%	1.09×	3.75
Both score 1st half only	15.8%	15.3%	13.0%	1.17×	6.56
Both score in both halves	10.9%	10.6%	6.8%	1.57×	9.40

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	73.4%	80.1%	80.3%	1.00×	1.25
Both teams to score by HT	26.6%	19.9%	19.7%	1.01×	5.02

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A goal in each half	66.9%	66.5%	61.9%	1.08×	1.50
A half without a goal	33.1%	33.5%	38.1%	0.88×	2.99

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
4-6 goals	40.0%	42.0%	32.8%	1.28×	2.38
2-3 goals	39.9%	35.2%	46.4%	0.76×	2.84
0-1 goals	13.4%	16.9%	18.2%	0.93×	5.93
7+ goals	6.6%	7.6%	2.8%	2.74×	13.10

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Liverpool to score 3+	30.0%	27.4%	15.0%	1.82×	3.64
Liverpool to score exactly 1	28.3%	27.4%	35.4%	0.77×	3.65
Liverpool to score exactly 2	27.0%	27.4%	24.6%	1.11×	3.65
Liverpool to score exactly 0	14.8%	12.9%	25.1%	0.51×	7.78

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Bournemouth to score exactly 1	32.3%	32.6%	29.4%	1.11×	3.07
Bournemouth to score exactly 2	25.9%	26.5%	26.1%	1.02×	3.77
Bournemouth to score 3+	21.8%	23.3%	22.8%	1.02×	4.29
Bournemouth to score exactly 0	20.1%	23.3%	21.8%	1.07×	4.29

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT	37.4%	38.1%	39.6%	0.96×	2.63
Liverpool leading at HT	33.1%	33.6%	24.6%	1.36×	2.98
Bournemouth leading at HT	29.4%	25.3%	35.9%	0.70×	3.96

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Liverpool -1: 1	54.7%	52.3%	—	—	1.91
Liverpool -1: 2	25.1%	26.5%	—	—	3.77
Liverpool -1: X	20.2%	23.5%	—	—	4.25

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Liverpool (0:1)	67.3%	65.1%	57.1%	1.14×	1.54
Draw (0:1)	16.9%	17.8%	19.0%	0.94×	5.62
Bournemouth (0:1)	15.8%	17.8%	23.9%	0.74×	5.62

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Liverpool (0:2)	84.2%	82.9%	76.1%	1.09×	1.21
Draw (0:2)	9.6%	7.7%	13.2%	0.58×	12.99
Bournemouth (0:2)	6.2%	7.7%	10.8%	0.71×	13.02

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Liverpool (0:3)	93.8%	92.7%	89.2%	1.04×	1.08
Draw (0:3)	4.2%	2.4%	7.6%	0.31×	42.17
Bournemouth (0:3)	2.0%	2.4%	3.3%	0.72×	42.26

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Liverpool (0:4)	98.0%	98.1%	96.7%	1.01×	1.02
Draw (0:4)	1.5%	1.2%	2.0%	0.60×	82.75
Bournemouth (0:4)	0.6%	1.2%	1.4%	0.89×	82.86

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Bournemouth (1:0)	54.7%	54.2%	67.6%	0.80×	1.84
Liverpool (1:0)	25.1%	24.9%	15.8%	1.58×	4.02
Draw (1:0)	20.2%	21.7%	16.7%	1.31×	4.60

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Bournemouth (2:0)	74.9%	76.8%	84.2%	0.91×	1.30
Draw (2:0)	13.6%	10.4%	9.3%	1.11×	9.66
Liverpool (2:0)	11.5%	10.3%	6.6%	1.57×	9.68

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	51.6%	50.9%	49.6%	1.03×	1.96
1st half highest scoring	27.1%	26.4%	25.8%	1.02×	3.79
Halves equal	21.3%	24.3%	24.7%	0.98×	4.12

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Bournemouth to concede	85.2%	85.9%	74.9%	1.15×	1.16
Bournemouth clean sheet	14.8%	14.1%	25.1%	0.56×	7.11

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Bournemouth to concede in 1st half	53.2%	55.7%	40.7%	1.37×	1.80
Bournemouth clean sheet in 1st half	46.8%	44.3%	59.3%	0.75×	2.26

Home clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Bournemouth to concede in 2nd half	68.5%	67.9%	57.6%	1.18×	1.47
Bournemouth clean sheet in 2nd half	31.5%	32.1%	42.4%	0.76×	3.12

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Bournemouth over 2.5 corners	81.0%	81.0%	—	—	1.24
Bournemouth under 6.5 corners	74.1%	71.9%	—	—	1.39
Bournemouth over 3.5 corners	66.8%	66.7%	—	—	1.50
Bournemouth under 5.5 corners	62.5%	62.2%	—	—	1.61
Bournemouth over 4.5 corners	51.5%	52.6%	—	—	1.90
Bournemouth under 4.5 corners	48.5%	47.4%	—	—	2.11
Bournemouth over 5.5 corners	37.5%	37.8%	—	—	2.65
Bournemouth under 3.5 corners	33.2%	33.3%	—	—	3.01
Bournemouth over 6.5 corners	25.9%	28.1%	—	—	3.56
Bournemouth under 2.5 corners	19.0%	19.0%	—	—	5.26

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Bournemouth under 3.5 goals	92.1%	92.2%	91.6%	1.01×	1.08
Bournemouth over 0.5 goals	79.9%	77.7%	78.2%	0.99×	1.29
Bournemouth under 2.5 goals	78.3%	77.7%	77.2%	1.01×	1.29
Bournemouth under 1.5 goals	52.4%	53.2%	51.1%	1.04×	1.88
Bournemouth over 1.5 goals	47.6%	46.8%	48.9%	0.96×	2.14
Bournemouth over 2.5 goals	21.8%	22.3%	22.8%	0.98×	4.49
Bournemouth under 0.5 goals	20.1%	22.3%	21.8%	1.02×	4.49
Bournemouth over 3.5 goals	7.9%	7.8%	8.4%	0.93×	12.86

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Bournemouth under 1.5 in 1st half	84.6%	84.3%	84.5%	1.00×	1.19
Bournemouth over 0.5 in 1st half	50.1%	50.3%	51.2%	0.98×	1.99
Bournemouth under 0.5 in 1st half	49.9%	49.7%	48.8%	1.02×	2.01
Bournemouth over 1.5 in 1st half	15.4%	15.7%	15.5%	1.02×	6.37

Home highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Bournemouth scores more in 2nd half	38.5%	37.5%	36.1%	1.04×	2.66
Bournemouth scores equally in both	35.0%	33.0%	37.8%	0.87×	3.03
Bournemouth scores more in 1st half	26.5%	28.0%	26.2%	1.07×	3.57

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Liverpool (home no bet)	67.3%	64.0%	56.6%	1.13×	1.56
Draw (home no bet)	32.7%	36.0%	43.4%	0.83×	2.78

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Bournemouth even goals	52.0%	50.6%	54.0%	0.94×	1.97
Bournemouth odd goals	48.0%	49.4%	46.0%	1.07×	2.03

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	23.4%	24.1%	27.8%	0.87×	4.15
HT 0-1	17.7%	18.7%	14.9%	1.26×	5.34
HT 1-0	16.3%	18.7%	21.6%	0.87×	5.35
HT 1-1	12.3%	10.8%	10.9%	0.99×	9.27
Any other HT score	7.4%	7.1%	5.3%	1.33×	14.10
HT 0-2	6.7%	7.1%	4.5%	1.58×	14.11
HT 2-0	5.7%	7.1%	8.0%	0.88×	14.12
HT 1-2	4.7%	2.3%	3.0%	0.79×	42.66
HT 2-1	4.3%	2.3%	3.7%	0.63×	42.69
HT 2-2	1.6%	2.3%	1.0%	2.30×	42.88

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Liverpool at HT / Liverpool at FT	25.8%	27.0%	17.0%	1.59×	3.71
Bournemouth at HT / Bournemouth at FT	19.5%	16.8%	26.1%	0.64×	5.96
Draw at HT / Liverpool at FT	15.5%	16.7%	12.1%	1.38×	5.98
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	11.2%	12.7%	13.7%	0.93×	7.90
Draw at HT / Bournemouth at FT	10.7%	12.7%	13.9%	0.91×	7.90
Bournemouth at HT / Draw at FT	5.9%	6.1%	6.5%	0.94×	16.41
Liverpool at HT / Draw at FT	4.9%	3.4%	4.8%	0.71×	29.06
Bournemouth at HT / Liverpool at FT	4.1%	3.4%	3.5%	0.99×	29.09
Liverpool at HT / Bournemouth at FT	2.5%	3.4%	3.0%	1.16×	29.15

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Liverpool to score last	52.8%	52.0%	45.1%	1.15×	1.92
Bournemouth to score last	44.3%	40.4%	50.0%	0.81×	2.48
No goal scored	3.0%	4.3%	5.0%	0.87×	23.08

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	97.0%	95.6%	95.0%	1.01×	1.05
Liverpool to lead by 1 at any time	64.1%	61.4%	51.5%	1.19×	1.63
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	57.3%	55.0%	50.6%	1.09×	1.82
Bournemouth to lead by 1 at any time	53.8%	50.7%	62.0%	0.82×	1.97
Liverpool to lead by 2 at any time	34.0%	29.7%	21.2%	1.40×	3.37
Bournemouth to lead by 2 at any time	23.9%	19.7%	29.8%	0.66×	5.07
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	23.8%	19.7%	21.2%	0.93×	5.07
Liverpool to lead by 3 at any time	15.0%	10.6%	8.1%	1.30×	9.47
Bournemouth to lead by 3 at any time	8.8%	6.8%	13.2%	0.51×	14.80

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Liverpool most corners	53.4%	51.8%	—	—	1.93
Bournemouth most corners	36.6%	39.3%	—	—	2.54
Corners level	9.9%	8.4%	—	—	11.97

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	82.6%	83.4%	88.4%	0.94×	1.20
2-6 goals	79.9%	78.7%	79.1%	0.99×	1.27
2-5 goals	72.1%	72.4%	75.2%	0.96×	1.38
1-4 goals	69.3%	68.8%	77.9%	0.88×	1.45
3-6 goals	61.6%	63.4%	55.9%	1.13×	1.58
2-4 goals	58.8%	59.1%	64.8%	0.91×	1.69
3-5 goals	53.8%	53.1%	52.0%	1.02×	1.88
1-3 goals	50.4%	53.1%	59.6%	0.89×	1.88
3-4 goals	40.5%	43.5%	41.5%	1.05×	2.30
4-6 goals	40.0%	43.5%	32.8%	1.33×	2.30
2-3 goals	39.9%	39.2%	46.4%	0.85×	2.55
4-5 goals	32.2%	35.2%	28.9%	1.22×	2.84
1-2 goals	28.8%	30.3%	36.5%	0.83×	3.30
5-6 goals	21.1%	24.5%	14.5%	1.69×	4.08
7+ goals	6.6%	8.9%	2.8%	3.18×	11.26

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Liverpool never behind	43.2%	48.6%	38.0%	1.28×	2.06
Bournemouth never behind	32.9%	36.0%	48.5%	0.74×	2.78

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of goals	50.0%	50.9%	49.0%	1.04×	1.96
Even number of goals	50.0%	49.1%	51.0%	0.96×	2.04

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	52.7%	51.8%	53.4%	0.97×	1.93
Odd goals in 1st half	47.3%	48.2%	46.6%	1.03×	2.08

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	50.8%	52.0%	52.0%	1.00×	1.92
Odd goals in 2nd half	49.2%	48.0%	48.0%	1.00×	2.08

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 goals	97.0%	95.4%	95.0%	1.00×	1.05
Over 1.5 goals	86.6%	87.6%	81.8%	1.07×	1.14
Under 5.5 goals	85.6%	87.6%	93.3%	0.94×	1.14
Under 4.5 goals	72.3%	72.4%	82.8%	0.87×	1.38
Over 2.5 goals	68.2%	66.4%	58.6%	1.13×	1.51
Under 3.5 goals	53.3%	52.5%	64.5%	0.81×	1.90
Over 3.5 goals	46.7%	47.5%	35.5%	1.34×	2.11
Under 2.5 goals	31.8%	33.6%	41.4%	0.81×	2.97
Over 4.5 goals	27.7%	27.6%	17.2%	1.61×	3.63
Over 5.5 goals	14.4%	12.4%	6.7%	1.85×	8.07
Under 1.5 goals	13.4%	12.4%	18.2%	0.68×	8.08
Under 0.5 goals	3.0%	4.6%	5.0%	0.92×	21.88

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	92.8%	92.4%	97.1%	0.95×	1.08
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	83.6%	81.1%	76.3%	1.06×	1.23
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	83.4%	81.1%	92.5%	0.88×	1.23
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	65.8%	67.5%	79.0%	0.85×	1.48
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	59.5%	55.8%	46.2%	1.21×	1.79
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	40.5%	44.2%	53.8%	0.82×	2.26
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	34.2%	32.5%	21.0%	1.55×	3.07
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	16.6%	18.9%	7.5%	2.53×	5.29
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	16.4%	18.9%	23.7%	0.80×	5.29
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	7.2%	7.6%	2.9%	2.62×	13.15

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	82.0%	85.9%	87.2%	0.99×	1.16
Over 0.5 in 1st half	76.6%	79.0%	72.2%	1.09×	1.27
Under 1.5 in 1st half	57.3%	63.1%	64.1%	0.99×	1.58
Over 1.5 in 1st half	42.7%	36.9%	35.9%	1.03×	2.71
Under 0.5 in 1st half	23.4%	21.0%	27.8%	0.75×	4.77
Over 2.5 in 1st half	18.0%	14.1%	12.8%	1.10×	7.12

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	87.3%	85.4%	84.7%	1.01×	1.17
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	66.0%	67.6%	75.9%	0.89×	1.48
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	61.0%	62.1%	54.3%	1.14×	1.61
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	39.0%	37.9%	45.7%	0.83×	2.64
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	34.0%	32.4%	24.1%	1.34×	3.09
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	12.7%	14.6%	15.3%	0.96×	6.83

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Bournemouth not to score in both halves	70.1%	74.1%	68.6%	1.08×	1.35
Liverpool not to score in both halves	63.6%	63.7%	76.7%	0.83×	1.57
Liverpool to score in both halves	36.4%	36.3%	23.3%	1.56×	2.75
Bournemouth to score in both halves	29.9%	25.9%	31.4%	0.83×	3.86

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	68.1%	59.9%	58.1%	1.03×	1.67
Only Liverpool scores	17.1%	16.0%	16.9%	0.95×	6.24
Only Bournemouth scores	11.8%	11.0%	20.2%	0.55×	9.08
Neither team scores	3.0%	4.6%	5.0%	0.93×	21.58

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 3 goals	21.5%	22.6%	23.2%	0.98×	4.43
Exactly 4 goals	18.9%	17.4%	18.4%	0.95×	5.73
Exactly 2 goals	18.4%	17.4%	23.3%	0.75×	5.73
6 or more goals	14.4%	12.1%	6.7%	1.82×	8.25
Exactly 5 goals	13.3%	12.1%	10.6%	1.15×	8.25
Exactly 1 goals	10.5%	12.1%	13.3%	0.91×	8.26
Exactly 0 goals	3.0%	4.5%	5.0%	0.90×	22.36

Total goals 1st half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1 goal in 1st half	34.0%	36.1%	36.3%	0.99×	2.77
2 goals in 1st half	24.7%	21.6%	23.2%	0.93×	4.63
No goals in 1st half	23.4%	21.6%	27.8%	0.78×	4.63
3+ goals in 1st half	18.0%	15.4%	12.8%	1.21×	6.49

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	61.0%	59.0%	54.3%	1.09×	1.70
1 goal in 2nd half	26.2%	29.7%	30.5%	0.97×	3.37
No goals in 2nd half	12.7%	14.5%	15.3%	0.95×	6.88

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Bournemouth not to win both halves	91.6%	94.0%	86.6%	1.08×	1.06
Liverpool not to win both halves	86.3%	88.0%	91.2%	0.96×	1.14
Liverpool to win both halves	13.7%	12.0%	8.8%	1.37×	8.32
Bournemouth to win both halves	8.4%	6.0%	13.4%	0.45×	16.63

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Liverpool to win either half	60.8%	64.9%	48.6%	1.33×	1.54
Bournemouth to win neither half	50.3%	54.4%	41.3%	1.32×	1.84
Bournemouth to win either half	49.7%	45.6%	58.7%	0.78×	2.19
Liverpool to win neither half	39.2%	35.1%	51.4%	0.68×	2.85

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Bournemouth not to win to nil	88.2%	88.1%	79.8%	1.10×	1.14
Liverpool not to win to nil	82.9%	83.1%	83.1%	1.00×	1.20
Liverpool to win to nil	17.1%	16.9%	16.9%	1.00×	5.92
Bournemouth to win to nil	11.8%	11.9%	20.2%	0.59×	8.43

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw	22.0%	24.1%	24.9%	0.97×	4.15
Liverpool by 1	20.2%	24.1%	16.7%	1.45×	4.15
Bournemouth by 1	16.9%	17.0%	19.0%	0.89×	5.89
Liverpool by 2	13.6%	11.8%	9.3%	1.27×	8.49
Liverpool by 3+	11.5%	11.8%	6.6%	1.79×	8.50
Bournemouth by 2	9.6%	7.2%	13.2%	0.55×	13.86
Bournemouth by 3+	6.2%	7.2%	10.8%	0.67×	13.88

Reading the xG timeline

Each step up is a shot; the height of the step is how good the chance was. Dots mark goals. A side whose line climbs steadily created chances all match. A side that scored while its line stayed flat took a rare chance — that is finishing luck, and it rarely repeats.

Expected goals by minute

Bournemouth 0.94 xGLiverpool 1.36 xG

Reading the shot map

Each circle is a shot, placed where it was taken. Bigger means a better chance; filled circles are goals. Clusters near the goal mean a side worked good openings; lots of small circles far out means shooting from poor positions and hoping. Hover any circle for the player, minute and chance quality.

Shot map

Bournemouth attacking right Liverpool attacking left Marker size is xG; filled markers are goals.

Every shot

Min	Team	Player	xG	Situation	Body part	Result	Assisted by
9'	Liverpool	Dominik Szoboszlai	0.07	Direct Freekick	Right Foot	Missed Shot	—
17'	Bournemouth	Evanilson	0.11	Open Play	Left Foot	Saved Shot	Marcus Tavernier
18'	Bournemouth	Ryan Christie	0.01	From Corner	—	Missed Shot	Alex Scott
25'	Liverpool	Cody Gakpo	0.09	Open Play	Right Foot	Blocked Shot	Florian Wirtz
32'	Liverpool	Bradley Barcola	0.05	Open Play	Right Foot	Saved Shot	Alexander Isak
33'	Liverpool	Cody Gakpo	0.03	Open Play	Right Foot	Blocked Shot	—
33'	Liverpool	Florian Wirtz	0.11	Open Play	Left Foot	Blocked Shot	Cody Gakpo
34'	Liverpool	Dominik Szoboszlai	0.05	Direct Freekick	Right Foot	Missed Shot	—
35'	Bournemouth	Ryan Christie	0.06	Open Play	Right Foot	Blocked Shot	Alex Scott
40'	Liverpool	Alexander Isak	0.03	Open Play	Right Foot	Missed Shot	Florian Wirtz
52'	Bournemouth	Ryan Christie	0.59	Open Play	Left Foot	Missed Shot	Rayan
54'	Bournemouth	Ryan Christie	0.03	Open Play	Left Foot	Missed Shot	Alex Scott
56'	Liverpool	Alexander Isak	0.51	Open Play	Right Foot	Goal	—
56'	Liverpool	Florian Wirtz	0.12	Open Play	Right Foot	Blocked Shot	Cody Gakpo
60'	Liverpool	Milos Kerkez	0.04	Open Play	Left Foot	Blocked Shot	Florian Wirtz
67'	Bournemouth	Evanilson	0.05	Open Play	Right Foot	Saved Shot	Tyler Adams
69'	Liverpool	Alexander Isak	0.14	Open Play	Right Foot	Blocked Shot	Cody Gakpo
84'	Bournemouth	Adrien Truffert	0.01	Open Play	Left Foot	Missed Shot	David Brooks
86'	Bournemouth	Alex Scott	0.03	Open Play	Right Foot	Blocked Shot	David Brooks
89'	Bournemouth	Alex Scott	0.05	Direct Freekick	Right Foot	Missed Shot	—
91'	Liverpool	Lewis Koumas	0.11	Open Play	Right Foot	Saved Shot	Víctor Muñoz

Players

Bournemouth

Player	Min	Sh	KP	xG	xA	xGChain
Evanilson FW	90	2	0	0.16	0.00	0.19
Alex Scott DMC	90	2	3	0.08	0.10	0.12
Adrien Truffert DL	90	1	0	0.01	0.00	0.18
James Hill DC	90	0	0	0.00	0.00	0.62
António Silva DC	90	0	0	0.00	0.00	0.13
Djordje Petrovic GK	90	0	0	0.00	0.00	0.00
Rayan AMR	88	0	1	0.00	0.59	0.62
Tyler Adams DMC	88	0	1	0.00	0.05	0.29
Ryan Christie AMC	75	4	0	0.70	0.00	0.73
Marcus Tavernier AML	75	0	1	0.00	0.11	0.14
Adam Smith DR	75	0	0	0.00	0.00	0.03
Lewis Cook Sub	15	0	0	0.00	0.00	0.01
David Brooks Sub	15	0	2	0.00	0.04	0.04
Daniel Jebbison Sub	15	0	0	0.00	0.00	0.00
Ben Doak Sub	2	0	0	0.00	0.00	0.00
Alex Tóth Sub	2	0	0	0.00	0.00	0.00

Liverpool

Player	Min	G	Sh	KP	xG	xA	xGChain
Cody Gakpo AMR	90	0	2	3	0.12	0.37	0.53
Milos Kerkez DL	90	0	1	0	0.04	0.00	0.38
Ronald Araújo DR	90	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	0.24
Virgil van Dijk DC	90	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	0.38
Alisson GK	90	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	0.05
Alexis Mac Allister DMC	90	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	0.34
Jérémy Jacquet DC	90	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	0.34
Alexander Isak FW	81	1	3	1	0.68	0.05	0.82
Dominik Szoboszlai DMC	81	0	2	0	0.12	0.00	0.38
Bradley Barcola AML	72	0	1	0	0.05	0.00	0.19
Florian Wirtz AMC	71	0	2	3	0.23	0.16	0.52
Treymaurice Nyoni Sub	19	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	0.11
Víctor Muñoz Sub	18	0	0	1	0.00	0.11	0.11
Lewis Koumas Sub	9	0	1	0	0.11	0.00	0.11
Ryan Gravenberch Sub	9	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	0.11

Bournemouth v Liverpool — Prediction, Odds & Stats

AI prediction

Top 5 scorelines

Goals

Footing

Positive factors

Risk factors

The price

Why Bournemouth

Why the draw is live

Why Liverpool can win

Key players

Availability

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

What the chances say

What the model said

All markets

Expected goals by minute

Shot map

Every shot

Players

Bournemouth

Liverpool

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