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Boyacá Chicó FC v Internacional de Bogotá — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Wednesday 4 November 2026 · COL-Primera A · 2627

COL-Primera A results-only Prediction generated

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily
Boyacá Chicó FC win
33.3%
model 34.2%
Draw
33.3%
model 31.1%
Internacional de Bogotá win
33.3%
model 34.7%

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (8,220 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

  1. 1-1 14.6%
  2. 0-0 11.7%
  3. 0-1 10.6%
  4. 1-0 10.5%
  5. 1-2 7.6%

Goals

Over 2.539.3% Under 2.560.7%
BTTS yes47.1% BTTS no52.9%
Boyacá Chicó FC 1+67.5% Boyacá Chicó FC 2+31.0%
Internacional de Bogotá 1+67.9% Internacional de Bogotá 2+31.4%

Expected goals 1.13 – 1.14. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence
77/100
Data quality
65/100
Model agreement
96%
★ Best pick
Nothing on a measured band prices above 1.18 here.
★ Most likely to land
Nothing on a measured band prices above 1.18 here.

Positive factors

  • Internacional de Bogotá carry the stronger rating, 1417 Elo against 1354.

Risk factors

  • No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.
Why the model thinks this

The price

Internacional de Bogotá have an estimated 33.3% win probability, against 33.3% for Boyacá Chicó FC and 33.3% for the draw. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.12 for Boyacá Chicó FC and 1.14 for Internacional de Bogotá.

Why Boyacá Chicó FC

Nothing in the data singles out Boyacá Chicó FC.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 33.3%. A combined 2.26 expected goals is a low-scoring profile, and low totals mean more level finishes. The sides are closely matched on expected goals, 1.12 to 1.14. Draws run at 29% in this competition.

Why Internacional de Bogotá can win

Internacional de Bogotá carry the stronger rating, 1417 Elo against 1354.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Boyacá Chicó FC, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Internacional de Bogotá, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Boyacá Chicó FC: 40% possession, 7.6 shots a match, 9.6 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Internacional de Bogotá: 45% possession, 12.0 shots a match, 12.8 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-05 22:20 · team_stats 2026-09-05 09:41 · availability 2026-09-05 21:03 · prediction 2026-09-05 18:39 ·

Internacional de Bogotá are the model's most likely outcome at 33.3%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 14.6%. Confidence 77/100, data quality 65/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Was this pick made in advance?
A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

ModelHome / Draw / Away Expected goalsLikeliest score O2.5BTTS
dc-xg 1.05–1.24 1-1 14% 40% 47%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section
Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Internacional de Bogotá to win 39.3% 36.4% 24.9% 1.46× 2.75
Draw 30.8% 30.4% 29.4% 1.03× 3.29
Boyacá Chicó FC to win 29.9% 27.9% 45.8% 0.61× 3.59
1X2 & GG/NG 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Internacional de Bogotá & not both score 23.7% 21.8% 13.5% 1.62× 4.58
Draw & both teams score 19.3% 17.9% 18.8% 0.96× 5.58
Boyacá Chicó FC & not both score 17.6% 17.9% 27.1% 0.66× 5.58
Internacional de Bogotá & both teams score 15.6% 17.9% 11.5% 1.56× 5.58
Boyacá Chicó FC & both teams score 12.3% 13.3% 18.9% 0.70× 7.54
Draw & not both score 11.4% 13.3% 10.8% 1.22× 7.54
1X2 & Over/Under 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Internacional de Bogotá & under 3.5 30.6% 30.8% 20.0% 1.54× 3.24
Internacional de Bogotá & over 1.5 27.9% 26.0% 16.5% 1.58× 3.84
Draw & under 2.5 25.8% 26.0% 23.8% 1.10× 3.84
Draw & under 3.5 25.8% 26.0% 23.8% 1.10× 3.84
Boyacá Chicó FC & under 3.5 23.9% 21.6% 35.7% 0.61× 4.63
Boyacá Chicó FC & over 1.5 20.4% 21.6% 33.9% 0.64× 4.63
Internacional de Bogotá & over 2.5 20.1% 21.6% 12.9% 1.67× 4.63
Draw & over 1.5 19.3% 18.0% 18.8% 0.96× 5.56
Internacional de Bogotá & under 2.5 19.2% 18.0% 12.1% 1.49× 5.56
Boyacá Chicó FC & under 2.5 15.1% 18.0% 20.4% 0.88× 5.56
Boyacá Chicó FC & over 2.5 14.8% 12.9% 25.6% 0.50× 7.76
Draw & under 1.5 11.4% 12.9% 10.8% 1.19× 7.76
Internacional de Bogotá & under 1.5 11.4% 12.9% 8.5% 1.52× 7.76
Boyacá Chicó FC & under 1.5 9.5% 7.9% 12.1% 0.65× 12.65
Internacional de Bogotá & over 3.5 8.7% 7.9% 5.0% 1.58× 12.65
Boyacá Chicó FC & over 3.5 6.0% 7.9% 10.3% 0.77× 12.65
Draw & over 2.5 4.9% 4.8% 5.8% 0.82× 20.85
Draw & over 3.5 4.9% 4.8% 5.8% 0.82× 20.85
1X2 1UP 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Internacional de Bogotá (1UP) 54.0% 52.9% 1.89
Boyacá Chicó FC (1UP) 45.6% 43.1% 2.32
1X2 2UP 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Internacional de Bogotá (2UP) 39.3% 37.3% 2.68
Boyacá Chicó FC (2UP) 29.9% 25.0% 4.00
2nd half 1X2 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2nd half drawn 40.0% 41.0% 2.44
Internacional de Bogotá to win 2nd half 34.4% 34.5% 2.90
Boyacá Chicó FC to win 2nd half 25.5% 26.3% 3.80
Asian handicap 8
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Internacional de Bogotá (+2.5) 96.5% 96.3% 91.8% 1.05× 1.04
Internacional de Bogotá (+1.5) 88.1% 88.6% 79.6% 1.11× 1.13
Internacional de Bogotá (+0.5) 70.1% 73.7% 54.2% 1.36× 1.36
Boyacá Chicó FC (+0.5) 60.7% 62.9% 75.1% 0.84× 1.59
Internacional de Bogotá (-0.5) 39.3% 37.1% 24.9% 1.49× 2.70
Boyacá Chicó FC (-0.5) 29.9% 26.3% 45.8% 0.57× 3.81
Boyacá Chicó FC (-1.5) 11.9% 11.5% 20.4% 0.56× 8.73
Boyacá Chicó FC (-2.5) 3.5% 3.7% 8.2% 0.45× 26.83
Away clean sheet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Internacional de Bogotá to concede 64.8% 67.5% 75.8% 0.89× 1.48
Internacional de Bogotá clean sheet 35.2% 32.5% 24.2% 1.34× 3.08
Away clean sheet 1HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Internacional de Bogotá clean sheet in 1st half 63.8% 64.9% 1.54
Internacional de Bogotá to concede in 1st half 36.2% 35.1% 2.85
Away corners O/U 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Internacional de Bogotá under 6.5 corners 83.3% 81.4% 1.23
Internacional de Bogotá under 5.5 corners 73.8% 71.6% 1.40
Internacional de Bogotá over 2.5 corners 71.5% 71.6% 1.40
Internacional de Bogotá under 4.5 corners 61.0% 61.8% 1.62
Internacional de Bogotá over 3.5 corners 54.7% 53.1% 1.89
Internacional de Bogotá under 3.5 corners 45.3% 46.9% 2.13
Internacional de Bogotá over 4.5 corners 39.0% 38.2% 2.62
Internacional de Bogotá under 2.5 corners 28.5% 28.4% 3.52
Internacional de Bogotá over 5.5 corners 26.2% 28.4% 3.52
Internacional de Bogotá over 6.5 corners 16.7% 18.6% 5.37
Away goals O/U 8
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Internacional de Bogotá under 3.5 goals 96.3% 97.5% 98.1% 0.99× 1.03
Internacional de Bogotá under 2.5 goals 87.2% 87.9% 92.9% 0.95× 1.14
Internacional de Bogotá over 0.5 goals 70.9% 71.9% 62.2% 1.15× 1.39
Internacional de Bogotá under 1.5 goals 65.0% 68.0% 74.3% 0.91× 1.47
Internacional de Bogotá over 1.5 goals 35.0% 32.0% 25.7% 1.25× 3.12
Internacional de Bogotá under 0.5 goals 29.1% 28.1% 37.8% 0.75× 3.55
Internacional de Bogotá over 2.5 goals 12.8% 12.1% 7.1% 1.71× 8.23
Internacional de Bogotá over 3.5 goals 3.7% 2.5% 1.9% 1.29× 39.99
Away goals O/U 1HT 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Internacional de Bogotá under 1.5 in 1st half 91.2% 94.1% 1.06
Internacional de Bogotá under 0.5 in 1st half 61.0% 64.0% 1.56
Internacional de Bogotá over 0.5 in 1st half 39.0% 36.0% 2.78
Internacional de Bogotá over 1.5 in 1st half 8.8% 5.9% 17.03
Away no bet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Draw (away no bet) 50.7% 51.5% 39.1% 1.32× 1.94
Boyacá Chicó FC (away no bet) 49.3% 48.5% 60.9% 0.80× 2.06
Away Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Internacional de Bogotá even goals 54.2% 52.8% 57.5% 0.92× 1.89
Internacional de Bogotá odd goals 45.8% 47.2% 42.5% 1.11× 2.12
Both halves O1.5 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both halves over 1.5 90.6% 92.2% 1.08
Both halves over 1.5 goals 9.4% 7.8% 12.86
Both halves U1.5 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both halves under 1.5 54.2% 50.7% 1.97
Both halves under 1.5 goals 45.8% 49.3% 2.03
Consecutive goals 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row 46.4% 45.8% 2.18
Internacional de Bogotá to score 2+ in a row 28.6% 25.1% 3.99
Boyacá Chicó FC to score 2+ in a row 21.8% 19.5% 5.14
Either team to score 3+ in a row 14.0% 12.2% 8.20
Internacional de Bogotá to score 3+ in a row 8.6% 5.7% 17.64
Boyacá Chicó FC to score 3+ in a row 5.5% 5.6% 17.89
Corner handicap 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Boyacá Chicó FC corners (+3.5) 86.3% 84.5% 1.18
Internacional de Bogotá corners (+3.5) 81.1% 79.8% 1.25
Boyacá Chicó FC corners (+2.5) 79.3% 74.8% 1.34
Internacional de Bogotá corners (+2.5) 72.9% 70.7% 1.41
Boyacá Chicó FC corners (+1.5) 70.4% 70.7% 1.41
Internacional de Bogotá corners (+1.5) 62.9% 61.8% 1.62
Boyacá Chicó FC corners (-1.5) 37.1% 38.2% 2.62
Internacional de Bogotá corners (-1.5) 29.6% 29.3% 3.42
Boyacá Chicó FC corners (-2.5) 27.1% 29.3% 3.42
Internacional de Bogotá corners (-2.5) 20.7% 25.2% 3.97
Boyacá Chicó FC corners (-3.5) 18.9% 20.2% 4.95
Internacional de Bogotá corners (-3.5) 13.7% 15.5% 6.45
Corner range 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
0-8 corners 52.1% 45.4% 2.20
9-11 corners 27.0% 31.2% 3.20
12+ corners 20.9% 25.6% 3.91
Corners O/U 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 12.5 corners 85.1% 83.0% 1.21
Under 11.5 corners 79.1% 76.6% 1.31
Under 10.5 corners 71.5% 72.6% 1.38
Under 9.5 corners 62.4% 63.3% 1.58
Over 7.5 corners 59.0% 57.9% 1.73
Under 8.5 corners 52.1% 53.2% 1.88
Over 8.5 corners 47.9% 46.8% 2.14
Under 7.5 corners 41.0% 42.1% 2.38
Over 9.5 corners 37.6% 36.7% 2.72
Over 10.5 corners 28.5% 27.4% 3.65
Over 11.5 corners 20.9% 23.4% 4.27
Over 12.5 corners 14.9% 17.0% 5.87
Corners Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Odd number of corners 50.0% 50.2% 1.99
Even number of corners 50.0% 49.8% 2.01
Correct score 26
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
1-1 14.4% 11.4% 13.1% 0.88× 8.74
0-0 11.4% 11.4% 10.8% 1.06× 8.74
0-1 11.4% 11.4% 8.5% 1.35× 8.74
1-0 9.5% 7.4% 12.1% 0.61× 13.50
0-2 7.8% 7.4% 3.8% 1.98× 13.50
1-2 8.2% 7.4% 7.1% 1.05× 13.50
2-1 6.9% 7.4% 11.0% 0.68× 13.50
2-0 5.6% 7.4% 8.5% 0.87× 13.50
0-3 3.2% 1.7% 1.1% 1.54× 58.30
0-4 1.0% 1.7% 0.6% 3.09× 58.31
1-3 3.4% 1.7% 1.4% 1.24× 58.30
1-4 1.0% 1.7% 0.7% 2.47× 58.31
2-2 4.3% 1.7% 5.1% 0.33× 58.29
2-3 1.8% 1.7% 1.9% 0.88× 58.31
2-4 0.5% 1.7% 0.1% 12.35× 58.32
3-0 1.9% 1.7% 4.6% 0.37× 58.31
3-1 2.4% 1.7% 3.5% 0.49× 58.31
3-2 1.5% 1.7% 2.4% 0.73× 58.31
3-3 0.6% 1.7% 0.8% 2.06× 58.32
3-4 0.2% 1.7% 0.3% 6.17× 58.32
4-0 0.5% 1.7% 1.7% 1.03× 58.32
4-1 0.6% 1.7% 0.7% 2.47× 58.32
4-2 0.4% 1.7% 0.7% 2.47× 58.32
4-3 0.2% 1.7% 0.6% 3.09× 58.32
4-4 0.0% 1.7% 0.1% 12.35× 58.32
Any other score 1.3% 1.7% 2.4% 0.73× 58.31
DNB half time 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Internacional de Bogotá leading at HT (DNB) 53.0% 56.1% 1.78
Boyacá Chicó FC leading at HT (DNB) 47.0% 43.9% 2.28
Double chance 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Internacional de Bogotá or draw (X2) 70.1% 72.1% 54.2% 1.33× 1.39
Boyacá Chicó FC or Internacional de Bogotá (12) 69.2% 69.6% 70.6% 0.99× 1.44
Boyacá Chicó FC or draw (1X) 60.7% 63.7% 75.1% 0.85× 1.57
Double chance 1HT 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Internacional de Bogotá or draw at HT 75.8% 79.9% 1.25
Boyacá Chicó FC or draw at HT 72.7% 74.3% 1.35
Boyacá Chicó FC or Internacional de Bogotá at HT 51.5% 47.6% 2.10
Double chance 1UP 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Internacional de Bogotá or draw (1UP) 70.1% 80.0% 1.25
Boyacá Chicó FC or draw (1UP) 60.7% 71.6% 1.40
Double chance 2HT 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Internacional de Bogotá or draw in 2nd half 74.5% 73.7% 1.36
Boyacá Chicó FC or draw in 2nd half 65.6% 65.5% 1.53
Boyacá Chicó FC or Internacional de Bogotá in 2nd half 60.0% 59.0% 1.69
Draw either half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
A half drawn 67.8% 69.5% 1.44
Neither half drawn 32.2% 30.5% 3.28
Draw no bet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Internacional de Bogotá (DNB) 56.8% 58.1% 35.2% 1.65× 1.72
Boyacá Chicó FC (DNB) 43.2% 41.9% 64.8% 0.65× 2.39
First goal 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Internacional de Bogotá to score first 48.0% 45.6% 2.19
Boyacá Chicó FC to score first 40.6% 41.7% 2.40
No goal scored 11.4% 9.8% 10.22
GG/NG 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both teams to score 52.8% 51.4% 51.1% 1.00× 1.95
Both teams to score 47.2% 48.6% 48.9% 1.00× 2.06
GG/NG & Over/Under 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both score & under 2.5 45.7% 44.2% 43.1% 1.03× 2.26
Both score & over 2.5 32.8% 34.4% 36.0% 0.96× 2.91
Both score & under 2.5 14.4% 12.3% 13.1% 0.94× 8.11
Not both score & over 2.5 7.1% 8.3% 8.2% 1.02× 12.00
GG/NG 2+ 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both teams to score 2+ 90.2% 89.0% 88.8% 1.00× 1.12
Both teams to score 2+ 9.8% 11.0% 11.3% 0.97× 9.13
GG/NG 2nd half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half 76.1% 75.1% 1.33
Both teams to score in 2nd half 23.9% 24.9% 4.01
GG/NG by half 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Neither half both score 65.1% 61.8% 1.62
Both score 2nd half only 20.6% 20.8% 4.81
Both score 1st half only 11.0% 10.7% 9.35
Both score in both halves 3.3% 5.0% 20.07
GG/NG half time 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both to score by HT 85.7% 86.0% 1.16
Both teams to score by HT 14.3% 14.0% 7.16
Goal in both halves 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
A half without a goal 54.4% 53.5% 1.87
A goal in each half 45.6% 46.5% 2.15
Goal range 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2-3 goals 48.0% 47.3% 48.2% 0.98× 2.11
0-1 goals 32.3% 30.7% 31.1% 0.99× 3.25
4-6 goals 18.8% 20.3% 19.4% 1.04× 4.93
7+ goals 0.9% 1.8% 1.5% 1.19× 54.80
Goals away 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Internacional de Bogotá to score exactly 1 35.9% 36.0% 36.7% 0.98× 2.78
Internacional de Bogotá to score exactly 0 29.1% 27.4% 37.8% 0.73× 3.65
Internacional de Bogotá to score exactly 2 22.2% 22.4% 18.8% 1.19× 4.47
Internacional de Bogotá to score 3+ 12.8% 12.8% 7.1% 1.81× 7.79
Goals home 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Boyacá Chicó FC to score exactly 1 36.8% 35.6% 34.4% 1.03× 2.81
Boyacá Chicó FC to score exactly 0 35.2% 35.6% 24.2% 1.47× 2.81
Boyacá Chicó FC to score exactly 2 19.2% 18.9% 26.1% 0.72× 5.29
Boyacá Chicó FC to score 3+ 8.9% 10.4% 15.6% 0.67× 9.66
Half time 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Draw at HT 48.5% 52.4% 1.91
Internacional de Bogotá leading at HT 27.3% 25.7% 3.89
Boyacá Chicó FC leading at HT 24.2% 20.1% 4.98
Handicap 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Internacional de Bogotá -1: 1 60.7% 62.5% 1.60
Internacional de Bogotá -1: X 21.5% 23.6% 4.24
Internacional de Bogotá -1: 2 17.8% 17.4% 5.74
Handicap 0:1 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Internacional de Bogotá (0:1) 70.1% 71.0% 54.2% 1.31× 1.41
Draw (0:1) 18.0% 17.8% 25.6% 0.70× 5.62
Boyacá Chicó FC (0:1) 11.9% 13.8% 20.4% 0.68× 7.24
Handicap 0:2 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Internacional de Bogotá (0:2) 88.1% 87.0% 79.6% 1.09× 1.15
Draw (0:2) 8.4% 7.7% 12.4% 0.62× 12.97
Boyacá Chicó FC (0:2) 3.5% 3.8% 8.2% 0.46× 26.40
Handicap 0:3 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Internacional de Bogotá (0:3) 96.5% 96.6% 91.8% 1.05× 1.04
Draw (0:3) 2.7% 2.4% 5.4% 0.44× 42.11
Boyacá Chicó FC (0:3) 0.8% 2.4% 2.9% 0.81× 42.19
Handicap 0:4 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Internacional de Bogotá (0:4) 99.2% 98.1% 97.1% 1.01× 1.02
Draw (0:4) 0.7% 1.2% 1.9% 0.61× 83.68
Boyacá Chicó FC (0:4) 0.2% 1.2% 1.1% 1.07× 83.74
Handicap 1:0 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Boyacá Chicó FC (1:0) 60.7% 65.1% 75.1% 0.87× 1.54
Draw (1:0) 21.5% 21.8% 17.4% 1.26× 4.58
Internacional de Bogotá (1:0) 17.8% 17.0% 7.6% 2.22× 5.88
Handicap 2:0 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Boyacá Chicó FC (2:0) 82.2% 84.5% 92.4% 0.92× 1.18
Draw (2:0) 11.7% 10.4% 5.0% 2.08× 9.62
Internacional de Bogotá (2:0) 6.0% 6.4% 2.8% 2.32× 15.51
Highest scoring half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2nd half highest scoring 44.8% 48.9% 2.05
Halves equal 29.6% 26.5% 3.77
1st half highest scoring 25.6% 26.5% 3.78
Home clean sheet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Boyacá Chicó FC to concede 70.9% 73.0% 62.2% 1.17× 1.37
Boyacá Chicó FC clean sheet 29.1% 27.0% 37.8% 0.71× 3.71
Home clean sheet 1HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Boyacá Chicó FC clean sheet in 1st half 61.0% 64.0% 1.56
Boyacá Chicó FC to concede in 1st half 39.0% 36.0% 2.78
Home corners O/U 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Boyacá Chicó FC under 6.5 corners 78.9% 76.6% 1.31
Boyacá Chicó FC over 2.5 corners 75.8% 76.6% 1.31
Boyacá Chicó FC under 5.5 corners 68.4% 66.7% 1.50
Boyacá Chicó FC over 3.5 corners 60.3% 62.2% 1.61
Boyacá Chicó FC under 4.5 corners 55.1% 57.6% 1.74
Boyacá Chicó FC over 4.5 corners 44.9% 42.4% 2.36
Boyacá Chicó FC under 3.5 corners 39.7% 37.8% 2.65
Boyacá Chicó FC over 5.5 corners 31.6% 33.3% 3.01
Boyacá Chicó FC under 2.5 corners 24.2% 23.4% 4.27
Boyacá Chicó FC over 6.5 corners 21.1% 23.4% 4.27
Home goals O/U 8
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Boyacá Chicó FC under 3.5 goals 97.8% 96.3% 95.3% 1.01× 1.04
Boyacá Chicó FC under 2.5 goals 91.1% 92.2% 84.4% 1.09× 1.08
Boyacá Chicó FC under 1.5 goals 71.9% 74.2% 58.5% 1.27× 1.35
Boyacá Chicó FC over 0.5 goals 64.8% 63.5% 75.8% 0.84× 1.57
Boyacá Chicó FC under 0.5 goals 35.2% 36.5% 24.2% 1.51× 2.74
Boyacá Chicó FC over 1.5 goals 28.1% 25.8% 41.5% 0.62× 3.88
Boyacá Chicó FC over 2.5 goals 8.9% 7.8% 15.6% 0.50× 12.86
Boyacá Chicó FC over 3.5 goals 2.2% 3.7% 4.7% 0.77× 27.35
Home goals O/U 1HT 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Boyacá Chicó FC under 1.5 in 1st half 92.5% 95.4% 1.05
Boyacá Chicó FC under 0.5 in 1st half 63.8% 64.7% 1.55
Boyacá Chicó FC over 0.5 in 1st half 36.2% 35.3% 2.84
Boyacá Chicó FC over 1.5 in 1st half 7.5% 4.6% 21.78
Home no bet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Internacional de Bogotá (home no bet) 56.1% 56.6% 45.8% 1.24× 1.77
Draw (home no bet) 43.9% 43.4% 54.2% 0.80× 2.30
Home Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Boyacá Chicó FC even goals 56.2% 55.3% 53.3% 1.04× 1.81
Boyacá Chicó FC odd goals 43.8% 44.7% 46.7% 0.96× 2.24
HT correct score 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
HT 0-0 39.1% 38.9% 2.57
HT 0-1 19.0% 18.7% 5.35
HT 1-0 17.3% 18.6% 5.36
HT 1-1 8.9% 7.1% 14.00
HT 0-2 4.8% 2.3% 43.36
HT 2-0 3.9% 2.3% 43.42
Any other HT score 2.5% 2.3% 43.52
HT 1-2 2.1% 2.3% 43.55
HT 2-1 1.9% 2.3% 43.56
HT 2-2 0.5% 2.3% 43.67
HT/FT 9
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Internacional de Bogotá at HT / Internacional de Bogotá at FT 21.1% 21.7% 4.61
Draw at HT / Draw at FT 20.7% 21.7% 4.61
Boyacá Chicó FC at HT / Boyacá Chicó FC at FT 16.7% 16.7% 5.97
Draw at HT / Internacional de Bogotá at FT 16.0% 16.7% 5.97
Draw at HT / Boyacá Chicó FC at FT 11.8% 12.7% 7.90
Boyacá Chicó FC at HT / Draw at FT 5.4% 6.0% 16.72
Internacional de Bogotá at HT / Draw at FT 4.7% 3.5% 28.74
Boyacá Chicó FC at HT / Internacional de Bogotá at FT 2.2% 3.5% 28.84
Internacional de Bogotá at HT / Boyacá Chicó FC at FT 1.5% 3.5% 28.86
Last goal 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Internacional de Bogotá to score last 48.0% 46.8% 2.14
Boyacá Chicó FC to score last 40.5% 39.9% 2.50
No goal scored 11.4% 9.2% 10.90
Lead at any time 9
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time 88.6% 90.8% 1.10
Internacional de Bogotá to lead by 1 at any time 54.0% 50.8% 1.97
Boyacá Chicó FC to lead by 1 at any time 45.6% 43.9% 2.28
Either team to lead by 2 at any time 38.7% 34.9% 2.87
Internacional de Bogotá to lead by 2 at any time 22.6% 19.6% 5.10
Boyacá Chicó FC to lead by 2 at any time 16.2% 14.9% 6.73
Either team to lead by 3 at any time 11.9% 10.5% 9.57
Internacional de Bogotá to lead by 3 at any time 7.4% 6.6% 15.10
Boyacá Chicó FC to lead by 3 at any time 4.5% 1.7% 60.01
Most corners 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Boyacá Chicó FC most corners 48.3% 46.9% 2.13
Internacional de Bogotá most corners 40.2% 43.6% 2.30
Corners level 11.4% 10.4% 9.60
Multi goal 15
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
1-5 goals 85.7% 87.4% 85.7% 1.02× 1.15
1-4 goals 80.4% 83.4% 80.0% 1.04× 1.20
1-3 goals 68.9% 68.9% 68.5% 1.01× 1.45
2-6 goals 66.8% 68.9% 67.5% 1.02× 1.45
2-5 goals 64.8% 63.4% 65.4% 0.97× 1.58
2-4 goals 59.5% 59.1% 59.7% 0.99× 1.69
1-2 goals 48.7% 48.6% 45.3% 1.07× 2.06
2-3 goals 48.0% 48.6% 48.2% 1.01× 2.06
3-6 goals 39.0% 39.2% 42.6% 0.92× 2.55
3-5 goals 37.0% 39.2% 40.6% 0.97× 2.55
3-4 goals 31.7% 35.3% 34.9% 1.01× 2.83
4-6 goals 18.8% 18.7% 19.4% 0.96× 5.34
4-5 goals 16.8% 18.7% 17.4% 1.08× 5.34
5-6 goals 7.2% 8.8% 7.9% 1.12× 11.32
7+ goals 0.9% 2.6% 1.5% 1.67× 39.20
Never down 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Internacional de Bogotá never behind 43.0% 48.3% 2.07
Boyacá Chicó FC never behind 34.6% 35.7% 2.80
Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Odd number of goals 47.1% 50.8% 50.4% 1.01× 1.97
Even number of goals 52.9% 49.2% 49.6% 0.99× 2.03
Odd/Even 1HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Even goals in 1st half 58.0% 57.5% 1.74
Odd goals in 1st half 42.0% 42.5% 2.35
Odd/Even 2HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Even goals in 2nd half 54.3% 52.1% 1.92
Odd goals in 2nd half 45.7% 47.9% 2.09
Over/Under 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 5.5 goals 97.1% 95.4% 96.4% 0.99× 1.05
Under 4.5 goals 91.9% 92.2% 90.7% 1.02× 1.08
Over 0.5 goals 88.6% 87.6% 89.2% 0.98× 1.14
Under 3.5 goals 80.3% 82.3% 79.2% 1.04× 1.22
Over 1.5 goals 67.7% 66.2% 68.9% 0.96× 1.51
Under 2.5 goals 60.1% 61.7% 56.0% 1.10× 1.62
Over 2.5 goals 39.9% 38.3% 44.0% 0.87× 2.61
Under 1.5 goals 32.3% 33.8% 31.1% 1.08× 2.96
Over 3.5 goals 19.7% 17.7% 20.8% 0.85× 5.65
Under 0.5 goals 11.4% 12.4% 10.8% 1.14× 8.08
Over 4.5 goals 8.1% 7.8% 9.3% 0.84× 12.87
Over 5.5 goals 2.9% 4.6% 3.6% 1.26× 21.93
Over/Under (whole line) 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6) 99.1% 97.2% 98.4% 0.99× 1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5) 97.0% 97.2% 96.2% 1.01× 1.03
Under 4 (void on exactly 4) 90.8% 92.4% 89.5% 1.03× 1.08
Under 3 (void on exactly 3) 75.4% 75.8% 72.9% 1.04× 1.32
Over 2 (void on exactly 2) 55.2% 55.5% 58.6% 0.95× 1.80
Under 2 (void on exactly 2) 44.8% 44.5% 41.4% 1.07× 2.25
Over 3 (void on exactly 3) 24.6% 24.2% 27.1% 0.89× 4.14
Over 4 (void on exactly 4) 9.2% 7.6% 10.5% 0.72× 13.14
Over 5 (void on exactly 5) 3.1% 2.8% 3.8% 0.73× 35.84
Over 6 (void on exactly 6) 0.9% 2.8% 1.6% 1.79× 35.90
Over/Under 1HT 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half 93.0% 92.7% 1.08
Under 1.5 in 1st half 75.5% 78.7% 1.27
Over 0.5 in 1st half 60.9% 63.5% 1.58
Under 0.5 in 1st half 39.1% 36.5% 2.74
Over 1.5 in 1st half 24.5% 21.3% 4.70
Over 2.5 in 1st half 7.0% 7.3% 13.79
Over/Under 2HT 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 2.5 in 2nd half 84.9% 82.8% 1.21
Over 0.5 in 2nd half 73.3% 77.7% 1.29
Under 1.5 in 2nd half 61.0% 61.5% 1.63
Over 1.5 in 2nd half 39.0% 38.5% 2.60
Under 0.5 in 2nd half 26.7% 22.3% 4.49
Over 2.5 in 2nd half 15.1% 17.2% 5.82
Score both halves 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Boyacá Chicó FC not to score in both halves 83.8% 84.4% 1.18
Internacional de Bogotá not to score in both halves 79.6% 78.3% 1.28
Internacional de Bogotá to score in both halves 20.4% 21.7% 4.62
Boyacá Chicó FC to score in both halves 16.2% 15.6% 6.42
Teams to score 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Both teams score 47.2% 50.6% 48.9% 1.03× 1.98
Only Internacional de Bogotá scores 23.7% 22.3% 13.5% 1.65× 4.49
Only Boyacá Chicó FC scores 17.6% 16.0% 27.1% 0.59× 6.24
Neither team scores 11.4% 11.0% 10.8% 1.01× 9.11
Total goals 7
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Exactly 2 goals 27.8% 24.9% 25.0% 1.00× 4.01
Exactly 1 goals 20.9% 22.6% 20.4% 1.11× 4.43
Exactly 3 goals 20.2% 22.6% 23.3% 0.97× 4.43
Exactly 4 goals 11.5% 12.1% 11.7% 1.04× 8.28
Exactly 0 goals 11.4% 12.1% 10.8% 1.12× 8.28
Exactly 5 goals 5.3% 7.6% 5.8% 1.31× 13.09
6 or more goals 2.9% 4.5% 3.6% 1.23× 22.43
Total goals 2nd half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half 39.0% 40.3% 2.48
1 goal in 2nd half 34.3% 33.4% 3.00
No goals in 2nd half 26.7% 29.8% 3.36
Win both halves 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Boyacá Chicó FC not to win both halves 93.7% 94.0% 1.06
Internacional de Bogotá not to win both halves 90.4% 93.9% 1.07
Internacional de Bogotá to win both halves 9.6% 6.1% 16.44
Boyacá Chicó FC to win both halves 6.3% 6.0% 16.67
Win either half 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Boyacá Chicó FC to win neither half 56.6% 59.5% 1.68
Internacional de Bogotá to win either half 52.1% 54.9% 1.82
Internacional de Bogotá to win neither half 47.9% 45.1% 2.22
Boyacá Chicó FC to win either half 43.4% 40.5% 2.47
Win to nil 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Boyacá Chicó FC not to win to nil 82.4% 83.1% 72.9% 1.14× 1.20
Internacional de Bogotá not to win to nil 76.3% 78.1% 86.5% 0.90× 1.28
Internacional de Bogotá to win to nil 23.7% 21.9% 13.5% 1.63× 4.56
Boyacá Chicó FC to win to nil 17.6% 16.9% 27.1% 0.62× 5.91
Winning margin 7
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Draw 30.8% 27.6% 29.4% 0.94× 3.62
Internacional de Bogotá by 1 21.5% 24.2% 17.4% 1.39× 4.14
Boyacá Chicó FC by 1 18.0% 16.9% 25.6% 0.66× 5.91
Internacional de Bogotá by 2 11.7% 11.8% 5.0% 2.35× 8.50
Boyacá Chicó FC by 2 8.4% 7.2% 12.4% 0.59× 13.80
Internacional de Bogotá by 3+ 6.0% 7.2% 2.8% 2.61× 13.81
Boyacá Chicó FC by 3+ 3.5% 2.7% 8.2% 0.33× 36.65
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Match

What this page is for

One fixture in full. The model's probability for every market it prices, the prices stored against them, the teams expected to feature, and for a match already played, the shot map and the xG timeline.

How to read the shot map

Every shot is placed where it was taken and sized by its chance of being scored. A cluster of small marks from distance and a clean sheet is a side that was busy without ever threatening; two big marks and a defeat is a side that had the better of it and lost anyway. Both happen constantly, and both are invisible in the score.

How to read the xG timeline

The steps are chances as they arrived, so the shape shows who was on top and when. A flat line that jumps once near the end is a smash and grab.

Things to watch

The stored prediction is the one made before the match, kept deliberately so it can be judged afterwards. It is not re-fitted with hindsight.

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