Brentford v Aston Villa — Prediction, Odds & Stats
Sunday 17 December 2023 · ENG-Premier League · 2324
Premier League
xG
Shots
4 – 15
On target
3 – 5
Shots in box
4 – 8
xG per shot
0.20 – 0.10
Set-piece xG
0.36 – 0.15
Goals − xG
+0.20 – +0.53
Reading the xG timeline
Each step up is a shot; the height of the step is how good the chance was. Dots mark goals.
A side whose line climbs steadily created chances all match. A side that scored while its
line stayed flat took a rare chance — that is finishing luck, and it rarely repeats.
Expected goals by minute
Brentford 0.80 xGAston Villa 1.47 xG
Reading the shot map
Each circle is a shot, placed where it was taken. Bigger means a better chance;
filled circles are goals. Clusters near the goal mean a side worked good openings;
lots of small circles far out means shooting from poor positions and hoping.
Hover any circle for the player, minute and chance quality.
Shot map
Brentford attacking right
Aston Villa attacking left
Marker size is xG; filled markers are goals.
Every shot
| Min | Team | Player | xG | Situation | Body part | Result | Assisted by |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3' |
 Aston Villa |
Álex Moreno | 0.13 | Open Play | Right Foot | Saved Shot | — |
| 4' |
Aston Villa |
Moussa Diaby | 0.02 | Open Play | Left Foot | Blocked Shot | — |
| 4' |
Aston Villa |
Álex Moreno | 0.04 | From Corner | Left Foot | Missed Shot | Boubacar Kamara |
| 7' |
 Brentford |
Mikkel Damsgaard | 0.38 | Open Play | Left Foot | Saved Shot | — |
| 12' |
Aston Villa |
Álex Moreno | 0.14 | Open Play | Left Foot | Blocked Shot | Jacob Ramsey |
| 15' |
Aston Villa |
John McGinn | 0.02 | Open Play | Left Foot | Saved Shot | Pau Torres |
| 24' |
Aston Villa |
Matthew Cash | 0.34 | Open Play | Right Foot | Missed Shot | Pau Torres |
| 27' |
Aston Villa |
Jacob Ramsey | 0.09 | Open Play | Right Foot | Missed Shot | Ollie Watkins |
| 28' |
Aston Villa |
Moussa Diaby | 0.08 | Open Play | Left Foot | Blocked Shot | Ollie Watkins |
| 44' |
Brentford |
Keane Lewis-Potter | 0.10 | From Corner | Right Foot | Goal | — |
| 44' |
Brentford |
Yoane Wissa | 0.06 | Open Play | Right Foot | Missed Shot | Christian Nørgaard |
| 48' |
Aston Villa |
Jacob Ramsey | 0.02 | Open Play | Left Foot | Saved Shot | — |
| 59' |
Aston Villa |
Boubacar Kamara | 0.04 | From Corner | — | Missed Shot | Diego Carlos |
| 61' |
Aston Villa |
Ollie Watkins | 0.04 | Open Play | Left Foot | Blocked Shot | Ezri Konsa Ngoyo |
| 63' |
Brentford |
Yoane Wissa | 0.26 | From Corner | — | Saved Shot | Mikkel Damsgaard |
| 74' |
Aston Villa |
Jhon Durán | 0.02 | Open Play | Right Foot | Missed Shot | Jacob Ramsey |
| 76' |
Aston Villa |
Álex Moreno | 0.37 | Open Play | — | Goal | Leon Bailey |
| 84' |
Aston Villa |
Ollie Watkins | 0.07 | From Corner | — | Goal | Boubacar Kamara |
| 94' |
Aston Villa |
Ezri Konsa Ngoyo | 0.03 | Open Play | Right Foot | Missed Shot | John McGinn |
Players
Aston Villa
| Player | Min | G | A | Sh | KP | xG | xA | xGChain |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Álex Moreno DML | 90 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0.69 | 0.00 | 1.02 |
| Ollie Watkins FW | 90 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0.12 | 0.17 | 0.39 |
| Jacob Ramsey MC | 90 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0.12 | 0.17 | 0.90 |
| Boubacar Kamara MC | 90 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0.04 | 0.12 | 0.38 |
| Ezri Konsa Ngoyo DC | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.03 | 0.04 | 0.44 |
| John McGinn MC | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.02 | 0.03 | 0.62 |
| Diego Carlos DC | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.00 | 0.04 | 0.55 |
| Emiliano Martinez GK | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.14 |
| Pau Torres DC | 84 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.00 | 0.36 | 0.84 |
| Matthew Cash DMR | 68 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.34 | 0.00 | 0.55 |
| Moussa Diaby FW | 68 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0.09 | 0.00 | 0.11 |
| Jhon Durán Sub | 22 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.02 | 0.00 | 0.39 |
| Leon Bailey Sub | 22 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.00 | 0.37 | 0.37 |
| Nicolo Zaniolo Sub | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.03 |
| Leander Dendoncker Sub | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
Brentford
| Player | Min | G | A | Sh | KP | xG | xA | xGChain |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vitaly Janelt MC | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Saman Ghoddos DML | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Mark Flekken GK | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Mads Roerslev DMR | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Ethan Pinnock DC | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Zanka DC | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Christian Nørgaard MC | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.00 | 0.06 | 0.06 |
| Yoane Wissa FW | 79 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0.32 | 0.00 | 0.06 |
| Ben Mee DC | 74 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Mikkel Damsgaard MC | 71 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.38 | 0.26 | 0.38 |
| Keane Lewis-Potter FW | 71 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.10 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Frank Onyeka Sub | 19 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Neal Maupay Sub | 19 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Nathan Collins Sub | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Michael Olakigbe Sub | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Yehor Yarmolyuk Sub | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |