Brentford v Nottingham Forest — Prediction, Odds & Stats
Saturday 20 January 2024 · ENG-Premier League · 2324
Premier League
xG
Shots
11 – 12
On target
5 – 3
Shots in box
7 – 6
xG per shot
0.18 – 0.10
Set-piece xG
1.12 – 0.00
Goals − xG
+1.06 – +0.77
Reading the xG timeline
Each step up is a shot; the height of the step is how good the chance was. Dots mark goals.
A side whose line climbs steadily created chances all match. A side that scored while its
line stayed flat took a rare chance — that is finishing luck, and it rarely repeats.
Expected goals by minute
Brentford 1.94 xGNottingham Forest 1.23 xG
Reading the shot map
Each circle is a shot, placed where it was taken. Bigger means a better chance;
filled circles are goals. Clusters near the goal mean a side worked good openings;
lots of small circles far out means shooting from poor positions and hoping.
Hover any circle for the player, minute and chance quality.
Shot map
Brentford attacking right
Nottingham Forest attacking left
Marker size is xG; filled markers are goals.
Every shot
| Min | Team | Player | xG | Situation | Body part | Result | Assisted by |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2' | Nottingham Forest | Danilo | 0.01 | Open Play | Right Foot | Goal | — |
| 4' |
 Brentford |
Vitaly Janelt | 0.05 | Open Play | Right Foot | Missed Shot | — |
| 6' | Nottingham Forest | Ryan Yates | 0.02 | Open Play | Right Foot | Missed Shot | Orel Mangala |
| 10' |
Brentford |
Ben Mee | 0.02 | Open Play | Left Foot | Blocked Shot | Vitaly Janelt |
| 12' | Nottingham Forest | Callum Hudson-Odoi | 0.13 | Open Play | Left Foot | Blocked Shot | — |
| 12' | Nottingham Forest | Ryan Yates | 0.03 | Open Play | Right Foot | Blocked Shot | Chris Wood |
| 18' |
Brentford |
Ivan Toney | 0.11 | Direct Freekick | Right Foot | Goal | — |
| 26' |
Brentford |
Neal Maupay | 0.20 | Open Play | — | Blocked Shot | Mathias Jensen |
| 28' | Nottingham Forest | Danilo | 0.03 | Open Play | Right Foot | Blocked Shot | — |
| 30' |
Brentford |
Keane Lewis-Potter | 0.59 | From Corner | Right Foot | Shot On Post | — |
| 37' | Nottingham Forest | Nuno Tavares | 0.01 | Open Play | Right Foot | Saved Shot | Chris Wood |
| 52' |
Brentford |
Keane Lewis-Potter | 0.36 | Open Play | Right Foot | Saved Shot | Ivan Toney |
| 54' | Nottingham Forest | Orel Mangala | 0.43 | Open Play | Left Foot | Missed Shot | Danilo |
| 55' |
Brentford |
Keane Lewis-Potter | 0.09 | Open Play | Right Foot | Missed Shot | — |
| 57' |
Brentford |
Ben Mee | 0.42 | From Corner | — | Goal | Mathias Jensen |
| 64' | Nottingham Forest | Chris Wood | 0.27 | Open Play | — | Goal | Callum Hudson-Odoi |
| 66' | Nottingham Forest | Orel Mangala | 0.12 | Open Play | Right Foot | Missed Shot | Chris Wood |
| 67' |
Brentford |
Neal Maupay | 0.05 | Open Play | Left Foot | Goal | Mads Roerslev |
| 77' | Nottingham Forest | Chris Wood | 0.07 | Open Play | Right Foot | Blocked Shot | Nicolás Domínguez |
| 79' | Nottingham Forest | Orel Mangala | 0.07 | Open Play | Left Foot | Missed Shot | Chris Wood |
| 83' |
Brentford |
Mathias Jensen | 0.03 | Open Play | Right Foot | Saved Shot | Ben Mee |
| 83' |
Brentford |
Sergio Reguilón | 0.03 | Open Play | Left Foot | Blocked Shot | Ivan Toney |
| 84' | Nottingham Forest | Nuno Tavares | 0.02 | Open Play | Right Foot | Missed Shot | Callum Hudson-Odoi |
Players
Nottingham Forest
| Player | Min | G | A | Sh | KP | xG | xA | xGChain |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Orel Mangala DMC | 90 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0.63 | 0.02 | 0.67 |
| Chris Wood FW | 90 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 0.34 | 0.23 | 0.59 |
| Callum Hudson-Odoi AML | 90 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0.13 | 0.29 | 0.64 |
| Danilo DMC | 90 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0.04 | 0.43 | 0.89 |
| Nuno Tavares DL | 90 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0.03 | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| Andrew Omobamidele DC | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.32 |
| Gonzalo Montiel DR | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.02 |
| Matt Turner GK | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.02 |
| Murillo DC | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Nicolás Domínguez AMR | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.00 | 0.07 | 0.29 |
| Ryan Yates AMC | 67 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0.05 | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| Neco Williams Sub | 23 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.02 |
| Brandon Aguilera Sub | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
Brentford
| Player | Min | G | A | Sh | KP | xG | xA | xGChain |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keane Lewis-Potter DML | 90 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1.04 | 0.00 | 0.64 |
| Ben Mee DC | 90 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0.43 | 0.03 | 0.45 |
| Ivan Toney FW | 90 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0.11 | 0.39 | 0.44 |
| Vitaly Janelt MC | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.05 | 0.02 | 0.43 |
| Mathias Jensen MC | 90 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0.03 | 0.62 | 0.27 |
| Ethan Pinnock DC | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.41 |
| Mads Roerslev DMR | 90 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.00 | 0.05 | 0.17 |
| Mark Flekken GK | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| Nathan Collins DC | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Neal Maupay FW | 79 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0.25 | 0.00 | 0.25 |
| Mikkel Damsgaard MC | 79 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.57 |
| Sergio Reguilón Sub | 11 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.03 | 0.00 | 0.03 |
| Shandon Baptiste Sub | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.03 |
| Kristoffer Ajer Sub | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Josh Dasilva Sub | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Yehor Yarmolyuk Sub | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |