Brest v Nice — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Saturday 24 October 2026 · FRA-Ligue 1 · 2627

Ligue 1 xG Prediction generated 4 Sep 2026, 02:09

Brest

09:00

Nice

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 7 Sep, 07:51 · 1,133h before kick-off

Brest win

57.8%

model 57.1%

Draw

21.1%

model 21.3%

Nice win

21.1%

model 21.7%

582121

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (282 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

2-1 9.8%
1-1 9.6%
2-0 8.3%
1-0 8.2%
3-1 6.7%

Goals

Over 2.5	62.3%	Under 2.5	37.7%
BTTS yes	60.2%	BTTS no	39.8%
Brest 1+	86.9%	Brest 2+	60.3%
Nice 1+	69.3%	Nice 2+	33.0%

Expected goals 2.03 – 1.18. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

82/100

Data quality

90/100

Model agreement

87%

★ Best pick

Brest to score 2+ in a row

Consecutive goals · usually 38%

53.1% fair odds 1.88

strong signal · 769 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Nice (0:3)

Handicap 0:3 · usually 90%

83.4% fair odds 1.20

moderate signal · 235 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

Brest carry the stronger rating, 1503 Elo against 1456.
Brest have created 1.80 xG a match over their last five while Nice have allowed 1.75.
At home Brest average 2.18 xG a match.

Risk factors

The component models disagree more than usual (agreement 0.87).

Why the model thinks this

The price

Brest have an estimated 57.8% win probability, against 21.1% for Nice and 21.1% for the draw. Expected goals from the ensemble are 2.03 for Brest and 1.18 for Nice.

Why Brest

Brest carry the stronger rating, 1503 Elo against 1456. Brest have created 1.80 xG a match over their last five while Nice have allowed 1.75. At home Brest average 2.18 xG a match.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 21.1%. Draws run at 23% in this competition.

Why Nice can win

Nice have created 1.16 xG a match over their last five while Brest have allowed 1.79. Away from home Nice average 0.92 xG a match.

Key players

Brest's leading contributors by expected goal involvements a match: Ludovic Ajorque (0.46), Kamory Doumbia (0.43), Romain Del Castillo (0.34). Nice's leading contributors by expected goal involvements a match: Sepe Elye Wahi (0.33), Jonathan Clauss (0.31), Sofiane Diop (0.30).

Availability

1 of Brest's top three contributors did not start their last match. 1 of Nice's top three contributors did not start their last match. 36% of Nice's last eleven are new to the club this window.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Brest: 50% possession, 22.0 shots a match, 10.0 faced, 1.35 xG a match from set pieces. Nice: 54% possession, 13.8 shots a match, 13.0 faced, 0.24 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-07 06:03 · team_stats 2026-09-07 06:05 · availability 2026-09-07 07:51 · prediction 2026-09-04 06:09 ·

Brest are the model's most likely outcome at 57.8%. The likeliest scoreline is 2-1 at 9.8%. Confidence 82/100, data quality 90/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the chances say

Brest are finishing below their chances — 3.0 goals fewer than expected across 10 matches, despite creating the openings. They are also conceding more than the chances against them merit — 3.1 goals above expected, which tends to correct.

LDDLLLDDDW last 10 scored 15 from 18.0 xG conceded 21 from 17.9 xG

Nice are finishing sharply below their chances — 5.6 goals fewer than expected across 10 matches, despite creating the openings. They are also conceding sharply fewer than expected — 5.5 goals saved beyond what the chances suggest.

LDDDDLDDLD last 10 scored 6 from 11.6 xG conceded 12 from 17.5 xG

Finishing swings far more than chance creation, so a gap this size usually narrows. Over ten matches it is suggestive, not settled — a genuinely elite finisher beats expected goals for years.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	572122	2.03–1.18	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	442234	1.83–1.59	1-1 10%	66%	67%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Brest to win	54.1%	51.5%	45.6%	1.13×	1.94
Nice to win	24.2%	24.5%	31.8%	0.77×	4.09
Draw	21.7%	24.4%	22.8%	1.07×	4.09

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Brest & both teams score	29.7%	25.2%	22.0%	1.15×	3.97
Brest & not both score	24.3%	21.9%	23.7%	0.92×	4.57
Draw & both teams score	17.9%	17.9%	16.4%	1.09×	5.58
Nice & both teams score	14.3%	13.3%	15.9%	0.83×	7.54
Nice & not both score	9.9%	8.4%	16.1%	0.52×	11.92
Draw & not both score	3.9%	4.9%	6.6%	0.74×	20.57

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Brest & over 1.5	46.4%	45.2%	35.7%	1.26×	2.21
Brest & over 2.5	38.7%	34.9%	28.2%	1.24×	2.87
Brest & under 3.5	30.1%	30.9%	28.9%	1.07×	3.24
Brest & over 3.5	24.0%	21.7%	16.8%	1.29×	4.62
Nice & over 1.5	19.3%	18.0%	25.6%	0.70×	5.56
Draw & over 1.5	17.9%	18.0%	16.4%	1.10×	5.56
Nice & over 2.5	16.2%	18.0%	20.0%	0.90×	5.56
Nice & under 3.5	15.5%	18.0%	20.7%	0.87×	5.56
Brest & under 2.5	15.3%	18.0%	17.5%	1.03×	5.56
Draw & under 2.5	13.6%	12.9%	16.5%	0.78×	7.77
Draw & under 3.5	13.6%	12.9%	16.5%	0.78×	7.77
Nice & over 3.5	8.7%	7.9%	11.2%	0.70×	12.69
Brest & under 1.5	7.7%	7.9%	10.0%	0.79×	12.70
Draw & over 2.5	8.1%	7.9%	6.4%	1.23×	12.70
Draw & over 3.5	8.1%	7.9%	6.4%	1.23×	12.70
Nice & under 2.5	8.0%	7.9%	12.0%	0.66×	12.70
Nice & under 1.5	4.9%	4.8%	6.4%	0.75×	20.93
Draw & under 1.5	3.9%	4.8%	6.6%	0.73×	20.94

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Brest (1UP)	69.6%	70.1%	58.0%	1.21×	1.43
Nice (1UP)	44.4%	39.5%	49.6%	0.80×	2.53

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Brest (2UP)	54.1%	55.8%	47.1%	1.18×	1.79
Nice (2UP)	24.2%	23.8%	34.2%	0.70×	4.20

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Brest to win 2nd half	46.4%	45.4%	42.1%	1.08×	2.20
2nd half drawn	33.5%	34.5%	31.2%	1.11×	2.90
Nice to win 2nd half	20.0%	23.0%	26.8%	0.86×	4.35

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Nice (+2.5)	84.7%	82.4%	90.0%	0.92×	1.21
Brest (+0.5)	75.8%	78.4%	68.2%	1.15×	1.28
Nice (+1.5)	68.3%	68.7%	75.0%	0.92×	1.46
Brest (-0.5)	54.1%	52.3%	45.6%	1.15×	1.91
Nice (+0.5)	45.9%	47.7%	54.4%	0.88×	2.10
Brest (-1.5)	31.7%	31.3%	25.0%	1.25×	3.20
Nice (-0.5)	24.2%	21.6%	31.8%	0.68×	4.64
Brest (-2.5)	15.3%	17.6%	10.0%	1.76×	5.69

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Nice to concede	86.2%	86.4%	77.5%	1.11×	1.16
Nice clean sheet	13.8%	13.6%	22.5%	0.60×	7.37

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Nice to concede in 1st half	60.8%	64.8%	47.7%	1.36×	1.54
Nice clean sheet in 1st half	39.2%	35.2%	52.3%	0.67×	2.84

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Nice over 2.5 corners	79.9%	75.9%	—	—	1.32
Nice under 6.5 corners	71.7%	71.6%	—	—	1.40
Nice over 3.5 corners	66.4%	67.5%	—	—	1.48
Nice under 5.5 corners	60.7%	61.8%	—	—	1.62
Nice over 4.5 corners	52.3%	53.1%	—	—	1.88
Nice under 4.5 corners	47.7%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
Nice over 5.5 corners	39.3%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
Nice under 3.5 corners	33.6%	32.5%	—	—	3.08
Nice over 6.5 corners	28.3%	28.4%	—	—	3.52
Nice under 2.5 corners	20.1%	24.1%	—	—	4.16

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Nice under 3.5 goals	96.0%	97.5%	93.4%	1.04×	1.03
Nice under 2.5 goals	86.5%	87.9%	84.6%	1.04×	1.14
Nice over 0.5 goals	71.8%	71.9%	69.9%	1.03×	1.39
Nice under 1.5 goals	63.9%	63.0%	63.2%	1.00×	1.59
Nice over 1.5 goals	36.1%	37.0%	36.8%	1.01×	2.70
Nice under 0.5 goals	28.2%	28.1%	30.1%	0.93×	3.56
Nice over 2.5 goals	13.5%	12.1%	15.4%	0.79×	8.25
Nice over 3.5 goals	4.0%	2.5%	6.6%	0.38×	40.67

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Nice under 1.5 in 1st half	84.9%	83.3%	87.2%	0.96×	1.20
Nice under 0.5 in 1st half	50.3%	56.0%	57.3%	0.98×	1.79
Nice over 0.5 in 1st half	49.7%	44.0%	42.7%	1.03×	2.28
Nice over 1.5 in 1st half	15.1%	16.7%	12.8%	1.30×	6.00

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Brest (away no bet)	71.3%	68.5%	66.7%	1.03×	1.46
Draw (away no bet)	28.7%	31.5%	33.3%	0.94×	3.18

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Nice even goals	54.0%	52.8%	56.3%	0.94×	1.89
Nice odd goals	46.0%	47.2%	43.7%	1.08×	2.12

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	76.7%	82.1%	83.0%	0.99×	1.22
Both halves over 1.5 goals	23.3%	17.9%	17.0%	1.05×	5.60

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	73.3%	67.3%	65.5%	1.03×	1.49
Both halves under 1.5 goals	26.7%	32.7%	34.5%	0.95×	3.06

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	65.6%	62.1%	60.2%	1.03×	1.61
Brest to score 2+ in a row	49.4%	46.0%	38.1%	1.21×	2.18
Either team to score 3+ in a row	27.6%	25.1%	22.6%	1.11×	3.99
Nice to score 2+ in a row	25.3%	25.0%	28.1%	0.89×	4.00
Brest to score 3+ in a row	21.4%	19.5%	14.0%	1.39×	5.13
Nice to score 3+ in a row	6.7%	5.6%	9.2%	0.61×	17.75

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Brest corners (+3.5)	81.8%	79.7%	—	—	1.25
Nice corners (+3.5)	78.0%	74.9%	—	—	1.34
Brest corners (+2.5)	74.9%	70.7%	—	—	1.41
Nice corners (+2.5)	70.5%	70.7%	—	—	1.41
Brest corners (+1.5)	66.7%	65.8%	—	—	1.52
Nice corners (+1.5)	61.8%	61.9%	—	—	1.62
Brest corners (-1.5)	38.2%	38.1%	—	—	2.63
Nice corners (-1.5)	33.3%	34.2%	—	—	2.92
Brest corners (-2.5)	29.5%	29.3%	—	—	3.42
Nice corners (-2.5)	25.1%	29.3%	—	—	3.42
Brest corners (-3.5)	22.0%	25.1%	—	—	3.98
Nice corners (-3.5)	18.2%	20.3%	—	—	4.94

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
12+ corners	37.4%	33.7%	—	—	2.97
0-8 corners	35.3%	33.7%	—	—	2.97
9-11 corners	27.3%	31.2%	—	—	3.20

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 7.5 corners	73.7%	72.6%	—	—	1.38
Under 12.5 corners	70.3%	72.6%	—	—	1.38
Over 8.5 corners	64.7%	63.4%	—	—	1.58
Under 11.5 corners	62.6%	63.4%	—	—	1.58
Over 9.5 corners	55.3%	57.8%	—	—	1.73
Under 10.5 corners	54.0%	53.3%	—	—	1.88
Over 10.5 corners	46.0%	46.7%	—	—	2.14
Under 9.5 corners	44.7%	42.3%	—	—	2.37
Over 11.5 corners	37.4%	36.6%	—	—	2.73
Under 8.5 corners	35.3%	36.6%	—	—	2.73
Over 12.5 corners	29.7%	27.4%	—	—	3.65
Under 7.5 corners	26.3%	27.4%	—	—	3.66

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.2%	—	—	1.99
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.8%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-1	9.7%	7.4%	10.1%	0.73×	13.48
2-1	9.7%	7.4%	8.0%	0.93×	13.48
1-0	7.7%	7.4%	10.0%	0.74×	13.48
2-0	7.6%	7.4%	7.6%	0.97×	13.48
1-2	6.2%	7.4%	6.6%	1.13×	13.48
2-2	6.1%	7.4%	4.8%	1.53×	13.48
3-0	5.1%	7.4%	3.7%	1.98×	13.48
3-1	6.4%	7.4%	6.2%	1.19×	13.48
Any other score	6.0%	7.4%	5.1%	1.44×	13.48
0-1	4.9%	1.7%	6.4%	0.27×	58.46
0-0	3.9%	1.7%	6.6%	0.26×	58.47
0-2	3.1%	1.7%	5.8%	0.30×	58.47
0-3	1.3%	1.7%	2.5%	0.69×	58.48
0-4	0.4%	1.7%	1.6%	1.10×	58.49
1-3	2.6%	1.7%	3.4%	0.50×	58.47
1-4	0.8%	1.7%	1.6%	1.10×	58.49
2-3	2.6%	1.7%	1.9%	0.91×	58.47
2-4	0.8%	1.7%	0.8%	2.19×	58.49
3-2	4.0%	1.7%	2.8%	0.61×	58.47
3-3	1.7%	1.7%	1.6%	1.10×	58.48
3-4	0.5%	1.7%	0.8%	2.19×	58.49
4-0	2.5%	1.7%	1.7%	1.00×	58.48
4-1	3.2%	1.7%	2.0%	0.84×	58.47
4-2	2.0%	1.7%	1.6%	1.10×	58.48
4-3	0.8%	1.7%	0.3%	5.48×	58.49
4-4	0.3%	1.7%	0.3%	5.48×	58.49

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Brest leading at HT (DNB)	60.8%	65.6%	53.2%	1.23×	1.52
Nice leading at HT (DNB)	39.2%	34.4%	46.8%	0.73×	2.91

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Brest or Nice (12)	78.3%	75.6%	77.2%	0.98×	1.32
Brest or draw (1X)	75.8%	75.5%	68.2%	1.11×	1.32
Nice or draw (X2)	45.9%	48.5%	54.4%	0.89×	2.06

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Brest or draw at HT	74.4%	74.4%	71.1%	1.05×	1.34
Brest or Nice at HT	65.4%	66.3%	61.5%	1.08×	1.51
Nice or draw at HT	60.3%	62.0%	67.2%	0.92×	1.61

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Brest or draw (1UP)	75.8%	83.8%	72.5%	1.16×	1.19
Nice or draw (1UP)	45.9%	52.6%	62.2%	0.84×	1.90

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Brest or draw in 2nd half	80.0%	77.0%	73.2%	1.05×	1.30
Brest or Nice in 2nd half	66.5%	65.5%	68.8%	0.95×	1.53
Nice or draw in 2nd half	53.6%	54.6%	57.9%	0.94×	1.83

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	56.5%	58.0%	56.8%	1.02×	1.72
Neither half drawn	43.5%	42.0%	43.2%	0.97×	2.38

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Brest (DNB)	69.1%	67.2%	58.9%	1.14×	1.49
Nice (DNB)	30.9%	32.8%	41.1%	0.80×	3.05

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Brest to score first	58.7%	62.0%	49.3%	1.26×	1.61
Nice to score first	37.4%	32.9%	44.3%	0.74×	3.04
No goal scored	3.9%	4.3%	6.6%	0.66×	23.29

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams to score	61.9%	56.5%	54.0%	1.05×	1.77
Not both teams to score	38.1%	43.5%	46.0%	0.95×	2.30

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both score & over 2.5	52.2%	47.1%	44.0%	1.07×	2.13
Not both score & under 2.5	27.2%	33.6%	35.7%	0.94×	2.98
Not both score & over 2.5	10.9%	12.3%	10.5%	1.18×	8.11
Both score & under 2.5	9.7%	8.4%	10.1%	0.83×	11.95

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	78.7%	80.0%	84.7%	0.94×	1.25
Both teams to score 2+	21.3%	20.0%	15.3%	1.31×	4.99

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	71.5%	74.0%	69.9%	1.06×	1.35
Both teams to score in 2nd half	28.5%	26.0%	30.1%	0.86×	3.85

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	49.9%	53.6%	57.4%	0.93×	1.87
Both score 1st half only	21.6%	20.8%	12.6%	1.64×	4.81
Both score 2nd half only	19.9%	15.8%	23.7%	0.66×	6.34
Both score in both halves	8.6%	6.8%	6.6%	1.04×	14.67

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	69.8%	71.1%	81.0%	0.88×	1.41
Both teams to score by HT	30.2%	28.9%	19.0%	1.52×	3.46

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A goal in each half	64.5%	59.0%	59.4%	0.99×	1.70
A half without a goal	35.5%	41.0%	40.6%	1.01×	2.44

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	42.7%	42.1%	43.4%	0.97×	2.38
4-6 goals	36.1%	35.1%	30.7%	1.14×	2.85
0-1 goals	16.5%	20.2%	22.6%	0.89×	4.96
7+ goals	4.7%	1.8%	3.6%	0.51×	54.31

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Nice to score exactly 1	35.7%	36.0%	33.2%	1.08×	2.78
Nice to score exactly 0	28.2%	27.4%	30.1%	0.91×	3.65
Nice to score exactly 2	22.6%	22.4%	21.5%	1.04×	4.46
Nice to score 3+	13.5%	12.8%	15.4%	0.83×	7.80

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Brest to score 3+	31.9%	32.6%	22.9%	1.42×	3.06
Brest to score exactly 1	27.3%	26.5%	31.8%	0.83×	3.77
Brest to score exactly 2	27.1%	26.5%	23.1%	1.15×	3.77
Brest to score exactly 0	13.8%	14.3%	22.5%	0.64×	6.98

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Brest leading at HT	39.7%	38.0%	32.8%	1.16×	2.63
Draw at HT	34.6%	33.7%	38.5%	0.87×	2.97
Nice leading at HT	25.6%	25.6%	28.9%	0.89×	3.91

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Brest -1: 2	45.9%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
Brest -1: 1	31.7%	30.1%	—	—	3.33
Brest -1: X	22.4%	23.6%	—	—	4.24

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Nice (0:1)	45.9%	45.9%	54.4%	0.84×	2.18
Brest (0:1)	31.7%	30.0%	25.0%	1.20×	3.33
Draw (0:1)	22.4%	24.3%	20.7%	1.17×	4.12

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Nice (0:2)	68.3%	72.2%	75.0%	0.96×	1.39
Draw (0:2)	16.4%	15.3%	15.1%	1.01×	6.55
Brest (0:2)	15.3%	15.3%	10.0%	1.53×	6.55

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Nice (0:3)	84.7%	85.2%	90.0%	0.95×	1.17
Draw (0:3)	9.1%	5.8%	6.1%	0.96×	17.13
Brest (0:3)	6.2%	5.8%	4.1%	1.44×	17.18

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Nice (0:4)	93.8%	94.7%	95.9%	0.99×	1.06
Draw (0:4)	4.1%	1.2%	2.7%	0.45×	83.20
Brest (0:4)	2.1%	1.2%	1.6%	0.77×	83.43

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Brest (1:0)	75.8%	78.4%	68.2%	1.15×	1.28
Draw (1:0)	14.3%	12.8%	15.1%	0.85×	7.80
Nice (1:0)	9.9%	6.9%	16.8%	0.41×	14.40

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Brest (2:0)	90.1%	93.9%	83.2%	1.13×	1.07
Draw (2:0)	6.7%	6.5%	9.8%	0.66×	15.49
Nice (2:0)	3.2%	2.3%	7.2%	0.32×	44.17

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	38.4%	38.4%	47.3%	0.81×	2.60
1st half highest scoring	38.3%	38.3%	26.8%	1.43×	2.61
Halves equal	23.2%	24.1%	26.1%	0.93×	4.15

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Brest to concede	71.8%	73.1%	69.9%	1.05×	1.37
Brest clean sheet	28.2%	26.9%	30.1%	0.89×	3.71

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Brest clean sheet in 1st half	50.3%	56.0%	57.3%	0.98×	1.79
Brest to concede in 1st half	49.7%	44.0%	42.7%	1.03×	2.28

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Brest over 2.5 corners	82.1%	80.9%	—	—	1.24
Brest over 3.5 corners	69.5%	66.7%	—	—	1.50
Brest under 6.5 corners	68.2%	66.7%	—	—	1.50
Brest under 5.5 corners	57.0%	57.5%	—	—	1.74
Brest over 4.5 corners	55.9%	57.5%	—	—	1.74
Brest under 4.5 corners	44.1%	42.5%	—	—	2.35
Brest over 5.5 corners	43.0%	42.5%	—	—	2.35
Brest over 6.5 corners	31.8%	33.3%	—	—	3.00
Brest under 3.5 corners	30.5%	33.3%	—	—	3.00
Brest under 2.5 corners	17.9%	19.1%	—	—	5.25

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Brest over 0.5 goals	86.2%	87.3%	77.5%	1.13×	1.15
Brest under 3.5 goals	86.0%	87.3%	91.7%	0.95×	1.15
Brest under 2.5 goals	68.1%	67.9%	77.1%	0.88×	1.47
Brest over 1.5 goals	58.9%	58.8%	45.9%	1.28×	1.70
Brest under 1.5 goals	41.1%	41.2%	54.1%	0.76×	2.43
Brest over 2.5 goals	31.9%	32.1%	22.9%	1.40×	3.11
Brest over 3.5 goals	14.0%	12.8%	8.3%	1.54×	7.84
Brest under 0.5 goals	13.8%	12.7%	22.5%	0.57×	7.84

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Brest under 1.5 in 1st half	75.9%	77.0%	87.4%	0.88×	1.30
Brest over 0.5 in 1st half	60.8%	64.6%	47.7%	1.35×	1.55
Brest under 0.5 in 1st half	39.2%	35.4%	52.3%	0.68×	2.82
Brest over 1.5 in 1st half	24.1%	23.0%	12.6%	1.82×	4.35

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Nice (home no bet)	52.7%	51.6%	58.3%	0.89×	1.94
Draw (home no bet)	47.3%	48.4%	41.7%	1.16×	2.07

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Brest even goals	50.9%	50.6%	51.3%	0.99×	1.98
Brest odd goals	49.1%	49.4%	48.7%	1.01×	2.03

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	19.7%	18.8%	28.5%	0.66×	5.33
HT 1-0	18.5%	18.8%	21.1%	0.89×	5.33
HT 0-1	13.6%	10.9%	16.8%	0.65×	9.14
HT 1-1	12.7%	10.9%	9.5%	1.15×	9.15
Any other HT score	9.9%	7.1%	4.7%	1.53×	14.01
HT 2-0	8.6%	7.1%	6.6%	1.09×	14.03
HT 2-1	5.9%	7.1%	3.3%	2.17×	14.07
HT 0-2	4.7%	2.3%	5.5%	0.42×	43.27
HT 1-2	4.4%	2.3%	4.5%	0.51×	43.29
HT 2-2	2.0%	2.3%	0.8%	2.95×	43.46

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Brest at HT / Brest at FT	34.2%	33.0%	27.5%	1.20×	3.03
Draw at HT / Brest at FT	16.1%	16.7%	14.8%	1.13×	5.97
Nice at HT / Nice at FT	15.9%	16.7%	19.3%	0.87×	5.97
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	11.6%	12.7%	12.9%	0.98×	7.90
Draw at HT / Nice at FT	6.9%	6.0%	11.1%	0.54×	16.68
Nice at HT / Draw at FT	5.9%	6.0%	6.2%	0.96×	16.71
Brest at HT / Draw at FT	4.3%	3.5%	3.9%	0.89×	28.80
Nice at HT / Brest at FT	3.8%	3.5%	3.6%	0.97×	28.81
Brest at HT / Nice at FT	1.3%	3.5%	1.7%	2.02×	28.91

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Brest to score last	58.7%	56.6%	53.2%	1.06×	1.77
Nice to score last	37.4%	38.6%	40.4%	0.95×	2.59
No goal scored	3.9%	4.3%	6.6%	0.66×	23.29

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	96.1%	95.6%	93.4%	1.02×	1.05
Brest to lead by 1 at any time	69.6%	69.6%	58.0%	1.20×	1.44
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	55.4%	55.0%	51.3%	1.07×	1.82
Nice to lead by 1 at any time	44.4%	39.3%	49.6%	0.79×	2.54
Brest to lead by 2 at any time	39.7%	34.9%	29.5%	1.18×	2.86
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	23.5%	19.6%	20.1%	0.98×	5.09
Brest to lead by 3 at any time	18.6%	14.9%	11.9%	1.26×	6.69
Nice to lead by 2 at any time	16.1%	14.9%	22.0%	0.68×	6.72
Nice to lead by 3 at any time	4.8%	1.7%	8.4%	0.20×	59.59

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Brest most corners	47.7%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
Nice most corners	42.5%	43.5%	—	—	2.30
Corners level	9.7%	8.5%	—	—	11.80

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	85.0%	87.4%	85.0%	1.03×	1.14
2-6 goals	78.8%	78.6%	73.9%	1.06×	1.27
1-4 goals	73.3%	72.4%	76.4%	0.95×	1.38
2-5 goals	72.4%	72.4%	69.0%	1.05×	1.38
2-4 goals	60.7%	63.4%	60.4%	1.05×	1.58
3-6 goals	58.3%	59.2%	50.9%	1.16×	1.69
1-3 goals	55.3%	59.2%	59.4%	1.00×	1.69
3-5 goals	51.9%	53.2%	45.9%	1.16×	1.88
2-3 goals	42.7%	43.6%	43.4%	1.00×	2.30
3-4 goals	40.2%	43.6%	37.3%	1.17×	2.30
4-6 goals	36.1%	39.1%	30.7%	1.27×	2.56
1-2 goals	33.1%	35.4%	39.3%	0.90×	2.83
4-5 goals	29.7%	30.3%	25.7%	1.18×	3.31
5-6 goals	18.1%	18.6%	13.7%	1.36×	5.37
7+ goals	4.7%	2.6%	3.6%	0.71×	39.11

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Brest never behind	51.7%	61.8%	50.4%	1.23×	1.62
Nice never behind	26.5%	30.0%	42.0%	0.71×	3.33

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of goals	49.9%	50.8%	47.3%	1.08×	1.97
Even number of goals	50.1%	49.2%	52.7%	0.93×	2.03

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	51.9%	51.7%	51.6%	1.00×	1.94
Odd goals in 1st half	48.1%	48.3%	48.4%	1.00×	2.07

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	51.9%	52.1%	49.5%	1.05×	1.92
Odd goals in 2nd half	48.1%	47.9%	50.5%	0.95×	2.09

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 goals	96.1%	95.5%	93.4%	1.02×	1.05
Under 5.5 goals	88.9%	87.7%	91.4%	0.96×	1.14
Over 1.5 goals	83.5%	82.4%	77.4%	1.06×	1.21
Under 4.5 goals	77.2%	77.3%	82.8%	0.93×	1.29
Over 2.5 goals	63.0%	61.8%	54.3%	1.14×	1.62
Under 3.5 goals	59.2%	58.8%	65.8%	0.89×	1.70
Over 3.5 goals	40.8%	41.2%	34.2%	1.20×	2.43
Under 2.5 goals	37.0%	38.2%	45.7%	0.84×	2.62
Over 4.5 goals	22.8%	22.7%	17.2%	1.32×	4.41
Under 1.5 goals	16.5%	17.6%	22.6%	0.78×	5.68
Over 5.5 goals	11.1%	12.3%	8.6%	1.44×	8.10
Under 0.5 goals	3.9%	4.5%	6.6%	0.69×	22.20

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	94.9%	92.5%	96.2%	0.96×	1.08
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	87.4%	86.7%	90.6%	0.96×	1.15
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	79.3%	75.9%	70.6%	1.08×	1.32
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	72.2%	72.6%	79.3%	0.91×	1.38
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	52.5%	51.8%	42.8%	1.21×	1.93
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	47.5%	48.2%	57.2%	0.84×	2.08
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	27.8%	27.4%	20.7%	1.33×	3.65
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	20.7%	24.1%	29.4%	0.82×	4.16
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	12.6%	13.3%	9.4%	1.41×	7.54
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	5.1%	7.5%	3.8%	1.99×	13.28

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 in 1st half	80.3%	86.1%	71.5%	1.21×	1.16
Under 2.5 in 1st half	77.7%	78.8%	87.2%	0.90×	1.27
Under 1.5 in 1st half	51.8%	56.5%	66.1%	0.85×	1.77
Over 1.5 in 1st half	48.2%	43.5%	33.9%	1.29×	2.30
Over 2.5 in 1st half	22.3%	21.2%	12.8%	1.66×	4.72
Under 0.5 in 1st half	19.7%	13.9%	28.5%	0.49×	7.21

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	80.3%	82.8%	81.4%	1.02×	1.21
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	77.7%	79.7%	75.4%	1.06×	1.25
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	51.7%	53.2%	51.3%	1.04×	1.88
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	48.3%	46.9%	48.7%	0.96×	2.13
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	22.3%	20.3%	24.6%	0.82×	4.94
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	19.7%	17.2%	18.6%	0.93×	5.80

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Nice not to score in both halves	78.2%	78.3%	77.4%	1.01×	1.28
Brest not to score in both halves	60.5%	63.3%	68.0%	0.93×	1.58
Brest to score in both halves	39.5%	36.7%	32.0%	1.15×	2.72
Nice to score in both halves	21.8%	21.7%	22.6%	0.96×	4.60

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	61.9%	60.2%	54.0%	1.12×	1.66
Only Brest scores	24.3%	22.3%	23.7%	0.94×	4.48
Only Nice scores	9.9%	7.2%	16.1%	0.45×	13.89
Neither team scores	3.9%	4.6%	6.6%	0.70×	21.82

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 3 goals	22.2%	22.6%	20.3%	1.11×	4.42
Exactly 2 goals	20.5%	22.6%	23.2%	0.97×	4.42
Exactly 4 goals	18.0%	17.4%	17.2%	1.02×	5.74
Exactly 1 goals	12.6%	12.1%	16.2%	0.74×	8.27
Exactly 5 goals	11.7%	12.1%	8.7%	1.38×	8.28
6 or more goals	11.1%	12.1%	8.6%	1.41×	8.28
Exactly 0 goals	3.9%	4.4%	6.6%	0.67×	22.66

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	48.3%	45.1%	48.7%	0.93×	2.22
1 goal in 2nd half	32.0%	33.4%	32.9%	1.02×	2.99
No goals in 2nd half	19.7%	17.2%	18.6%	0.93×	5.80

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Nice not to win both halves	94.9%	94.0%	90.6%	1.04×	1.06
Brest not to win both halves	81.5%	84.1%	83.3%	1.01×	1.19
Brest to win both halves	18.5%	15.9%	16.7%	0.95×	6.30
Nice to win both halves	5.1%	6.0%	9.4%	0.64×	16.69

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Brest to win either half	67.7%	67.9%	58.2%	1.17×	1.47
Nice to win neither half	59.5%	59.5%	53.7%	1.11×	1.68
Nice to win either half	40.5%	40.5%	46.3%	0.87×	2.47
Brest to win neither half	32.3%	32.1%	41.8%	0.77×	3.12

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Nice not to win to nil	90.1%	92.0%	83.9%	1.10×	1.09
Brest not to win to nil	75.7%	78.0%	76.3%	1.02×	1.28
Brest to win to nil	24.3%	22.0%	23.7%	0.93×	4.55
Nice to win to nil	9.9%	8.0%	16.1%	0.50×	12.52

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Brest by 1	22.4%	24.1%	20.7%	1.16×	4.14
Draw	21.7%	24.1%	22.8%	1.06×	4.14
Brest by 2	16.4%	16.9%	15.1%	1.12×	5.91
Brest by 3+	15.3%	16.9%	10.0%	1.69×	5.91
Nice by 1	14.3%	11.8%	15.1%	0.78×	8.47
Nice by 2	6.7%	7.3%	9.8%	0.74×	13.78
Nice by 3+	3.2%	2.7%	7.2%	0.38×	36.98