Brighton and Hove Albion v Ipswich — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Saturday 19 December 2026 · ENG-Premier League · 2627

Premier League xG Prediction generated 18 Sep 2026, 10:37 UTC

Brighton and Hove Albion

15:00 UTC

Ipswich

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 23 Oct, 10:58 · 1,372h before kick-off

Brighton and Hove Albion win

69.6%

model 66.9%

Draw

19.3%

model 18.6%

Ipswich win

11.2%

model 14.5%

701911

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (176 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

2-0 10.2%
2-1 9.8%
1-0 8.9%
1-1 8.6%
3-0 7.7%

Goals

Over 2.5	62.8%	Under 2.5	37.2%
BTTS yes	55.4%	BTTS no	44.6%
Brighton and Hove Albion 1+	89.7%	Brighton and Hove Albion 2+	66.3%
Ipswich 1+	61.8%	Ipswich 2+	25.0%

Expected goals 2.27 – 0.96. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

92/100

Data quality

90/100

Model agreement

97%

★ Best pick

Brighton and Hove Albion scores more in 1st half

Home highest scoring half · usually 26%

51.4% fair odds 1.94

strong signal · 432 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Ipswich not to score in both halves

Score both halves · usually 77%

84.4% fair odds 1.19

moderate signal · 828 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

Brighton and Hove Albion carry the stronger rating, 1715 Elo against 1364.
Brighton and Hove Albion have created 2.19 xG a match over their last five while Ipswich have allowed 1.92.
Form is good: 2.60 points a match from the last five.
At home Brighton and Hove Albion average 2.26 xG a match.

Risk factors

Brighton and Hove Albion have scored 3.20 a match from 2.19 xG over five matches, which usually corrects.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Brighton and Hove Albion have an estimated 69.6% win probability, against 19.3% for the draw and 11.2% for Ipswich. Expected goals from the ensemble are 2.27 for Brighton and Hove Albion and 0.96 for Ipswich.

Why Brighton and Hove Albion

Brighton and Hove Albion carry the stronger rating, 1715 Elo against 1364. Brighton and Hove Albion have created 2.19 xG a match over their last five while Ipswich have allowed 1.92. Form is good: 2.60 points a match from the last five. At home Brighton and Hove Albion average 2.26 xG a match.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 19.3%. Draws run at 25% in this competition.

Why Ipswich can win

Ipswich have created 1.27 xG a match over their last five while Brighton and Hove Albion have allowed 1.37. Away from home Ipswich average 1.54 xG a match.

Key players

Brighton and Hove Albion's leading contributors by expected goal involvements a match: Danny Welbeck (0.38), Pascal Groß (0.36), Jack Hinshelwood (0.32). Ipswich's leading contributors by expected goal involvements a match: Emersonn (0.38), Liam Delap (0.34), Julio Enciso (0.28).

Availability

2 of Brighton and Hove Albion's top three contributors did not start their last match. 1 of Ipswich's top three contributors did not start their last match. 55% of Ipswich's last eleven are new to the club this window.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Brighton and Hove Albion: 54% possession, 17.8 shots a match, 10.4 faced, 0.75 xG a match from set pieces. Ipswich: 45% possession, 11.6 shots a match, 14.8 faced, 0.28 xG a match from set pieces. Brighton and Hove Albion's shot volume meets a defence that concedes shots freely.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-10-23 14:52 · team_stats 2026-10-20 06:04 · availability 2026-10-23 14:58 · prediction 2026-09-18 10:37 ·

Brighton and Hove Albion are the model's most likely outcome at 69.6%. The likeliest scoreline is 2-0 at 10.2%. Confidence 92/100, data quality 90/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

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Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the chances say

Brighton and Hove Albion are finishing sharply above their chances — 4.1 goals more than expected across 10 matches, which usually cools off. They are also conceding sharply fewer than expected — 4.7 goals saved beyond what the chances suggest.

WLLWLDWWWW last 10 scored 26 from 21.9 xG conceded 9 from 13.7 xG

Ipswich have scored 13 from 12.9 expected and conceded 21 from 20.6 — both ends in line with the chances, so the recent record is a fair reflection.

LLWLLWLWLD last 10 scored 13 from 12.9 xG conceded 21 from 20.6 xG

Finishing swings far more than chance creation, so a gap this size usually narrows. Over ten matches it is suggestive, not settled — a genuinely elite finisher beats expected goals for years.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	671915	2.27–0.96	0%	0%	0%
dc-goals	721612	2.90–1.19	2-1 8%	77%	66%
dc-xg	721712	2.43–0.88	2-0 11%	64%	53%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Brighton and Hove Albion to win	72.1%	73.7%	43.0%	1.72×	1.36
Draw	15.3%	19.4%	24.8%	0.78×	5.17
Ipswich to win	12.7%	13.5%	32.3%	0.42×	7.42

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Brighton and Hove Albion & both teams score	41.4%	40.0%	22.9%	1.75×	2.50
Brighton and Hove Albion & not both score	30.7%	29.6%	20.1%	1.47×	3.38
Draw & both teams score	13.3%	13.3%	20.0%	0.67×	7.54
Ipswich & both teams score	8.5%	8.3%	15.3%	0.54×	12.01
Ipswich & not both score	4.2%	4.9%	17.1%	0.28×	20.58
Draw & not both score	2.0%	4.8%	4.9%	0.98×	20.64

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Brighton and Hove Albion & over 1.5	66.4%	67.6%	36.6%	1.85×	1.48
Brighton and Hove Albion & over 2.5	58.6%	55.0%	30.3%	1.82×	1.82
Brighton and Hove Albion & over 3.5	42.5%	40.3%	16.5%	2.44×	2.48
Brighton and Hove Albion & under 3.5	29.5%	26.1%	26.5%	0.98×	3.84
Brighton and Hove Albion & under 2.5	13.5%	12.8%	12.8%	1.00×	7.79
Draw & over 1.5	13.3%	12.8%	20.0%	0.64×	7.79
Ipswich & over 1.5	10.4%	12.8%	25.3%	0.51×	7.79
Ipswich & over 2.5	9.1%	7.9%	19.8%	0.40×	12.63
Draw & under 2.5	8.3%	7.9%	16.3%	0.49×	12.63
Draw & under 3.5	8.3%	7.9%	16.3%	0.49×	12.63
Ipswich & under 3.5	7.5%	7.9%	21.8%	0.36×	12.63
Draw & over 2.5	7.0%	7.9%	8.6%	0.92×	12.63
Draw & over 3.5	7.0%	7.9%	8.6%	0.92×	12.63
Brighton and Hove Albion & under 1.5	5.6%	7.9%	6.4%	1.23×	12.63
Ipswich & over 3.5	5.1%	7.9%	10.6%	0.75×	12.63
Ipswich & under 2.5	3.5%	4.8%	12.6%	0.38×	20.82
Draw & under 1.5	2.0%	4.8%	4.9%	0.97×	20.82
Ipswich & under 1.5	2.3%	4.8%	7.1%	0.68×	20.82

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Brighton and Hove Albion (1UP)	83.2%	87.7%	62.0%	1.41×	1.14
Ipswich (1UP)	33.5%	33.0%	51.5%	0.64×	3.03

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Brighton and Hove Albion (2UP)	72.1%	81.0%	44.7%	1.81×	1.23
Ipswich (2UP)	12.7%	14.1%	34.5%	0.41×	7.11

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Brighton and Hove Albion to win 2nd half	61.5%	59.8%	36.2%	1.65×	1.67
2nd half drawn	26.6%	25.8%	31.2%	0.83×	3.87
Ipswich to win 2nd half	11.9%	11.1%	32.7%	0.34×	8.98

2nd half away goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Ipswich under 1.5 in 2nd half	92.0%	91.7%	79.9%	1.15×	1.09
Ipswich under 0.5 in 2nd half	62.7%	60.2%	42.2%	1.43×	1.66
Ipswich over 0.5 in 2nd half	37.3%	39.8%	57.8%	0.69×	2.52
Ipswich over 1.5 in 2nd half	8.0%	8.3%	20.1%	0.41×	12.09

2nd half home goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Brighton and Hove Albion over 0.5 in 2nd half	76.3%	75.4%	58.3%	1.29×	1.33
Brighton and Hove Albion under 1.5 in 2nd half	57.8%	58.0%	75.2%	0.77×	1.73
Brighton and Hove Albion over 1.5 in 2nd half	42.2%	42.0%	24.8%	1.69×	2.38
Brighton and Hove Albion under 0.5 in 2nd half	23.7%	24.6%	41.7%	0.59×	4.07

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Brighton and Hove Albion (+0.5)	87.4%	88.5%	67.7%	1.31×	1.13
Brighton and Hove Albion (-0.5)	72.1%	73.7%	43.0%	1.71×	1.36
Ipswich (+2.5)	68.2%	68.7%	89.1%	0.77×	1.46
Brighton and Hove Albion (-1.5)	51.7%	52.4%	24.0%	2.18×	1.91
Ipswich (+1.5)	48.3%	47.6%	76.0%	0.63×	2.10
Brighton and Hove Albion (-2.5)	31.8%	31.3%	10.9%	2.88×	3.19
Ipswich (+0.5)	27.9%	26.3%	57.0%	0.46×	3.80
Ipswich (-0.5)	12.7%	11.5%	32.3%	0.36×	8.67

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Ipswich to concede	93.8%	91.9%	78.1%	1.18×	1.09
Ipswich clean sheet	6.2%	8.1%	21.9%	0.37×	12.39

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Ipswich to concede in 1st half	73.8%	77.7%	51.2%	1.52×	1.29
Ipswich clean sheet in 1st half	26.2%	22.3%	48.8%	0.46×	4.48

Away clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Ipswich to concede in 2nd half	76.3%	75.6%	58.3%	1.30×	1.32
Ipswich clean sheet in 2nd half	23.7%	24.4%	41.7%	0.59×	4.09

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Ipswich under 6.5 corners	90.7%	89.9%	—	—	1.11
Ipswich under 5.5 corners	83.3%	81.4%	—	—	1.23
Ipswich under 4.5 corners	71.8%	71.6%	—	—	1.40
Ipswich over 2.5 corners	62.9%	61.8%	—	—	1.62
Ipswich under 3.5 corners	56.0%	57.2%	—	—	1.75
Ipswich over 3.5 corners	44.0%	42.8%	—	—	2.33
Ipswich under 2.5 corners	37.1%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
Ipswich over 4.5 corners	28.2%	28.4%	—	—	3.52
Ipswich over 5.5 corners	16.7%	18.6%	—	—	5.38
Ipswich over 6.5 corners	9.3%	10.1%	—	—	9.88

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Ipswich under 3.5 goals	97.3%	97.5%	94.6%	1.03×	1.03
Ipswich under 2.5 goals	89.7%	87.8%	85.1%	1.03×	1.14
Ipswich under 1.5 goals	69.3%	68.0%	60.7%	1.12×	1.47
Ipswich over 0.5 goals	67.3%	68.0%	75.0%	0.91×	1.47
Ipswich under 0.5 goals	32.7%	32.0%	25.0%	1.28×	3.12
Ipswich over 1.5 goals	30.7%	32.0%	39.3%	0.81×	3.13
Ipswich over 2.5 goals	10.3%	12.2%	14.9%	0.82×	8.21
Ipswich over 3.5 goals	2.7%	2.5%	5.4%	0.47×	39.89

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Ipswich under 1.5 in 1st half	86.1%	89.1%	89.3%	1.00×	1.12
Ipswich under 0.5 in 1st half	52.1%	55.6%	59.7%	0.93×	1.80
Ipswich over 0.5 in 1st half	47.9%	44.4%	40.3%	1.10×	2.25
Ipswich over 1.5 in 1st half	13.9%	10.9%	10.7%	1.02×	9.17

Away highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Ipswich scores equally in both	43.4%	43.7%	37.5%	1.17×	2.29
Ipswich scores more in 1st half	34.3%	33.5%	21.8%	1.54×	2.99
Ipswich scores more in 2nd half	22.3%	22.1%	40.8%	0.54×	4.53

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Brighton and Hove Albion (away no bet)	82.5%	82.7%	63.4%	1.30×	1.21
Draw (away no bet)	17.5%	17.3%	36.6%	0.47×	5.77

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Ipswich even goals	55.3%	56.9%	53.4%	1.07×	1.76
Ipswich odd goals	44.7%	43.1%	46.6%	0.92×	2.32

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	66.4%	68.2%	80.0%	0.85×	1.47
Both halves over 1.5 goals	33.6%	31.8%	20.0%	1.59×	3.15

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	82.4%	78.6%	70.2%	1.12×	1.27
Both halves under 1.5 goals	17.6%	21.4%	29.8%	0.72×	4.67

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	77.2%	75.7%	61.5%	1.23×	1.32
Brighton and Hove Albion to score 2+ in a row	68.6%	62.5%	39.2%	1.59×	1.60
Either team to score 3+ in a row	42.7%	38.7%	26.1%	1.49×	2.58
Brighton and Hove Albion to score 3+ in a row	39.5%	36.7%	16.4%	2.24×	2.72
Ipswich to score 2+ in a row	18.7%	16.3%	29.7%	0.55×	6.14
Ipswich to score 3+ in a row	3.9%	2.6%	10.1%	0.26×	38.37

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Brighton and Hove Albion corners (+3.5)	93.7%	89.6%	—	—	1.12
Brighton and Hove Albion corners (+2.5)	89.3%	84.5%	—	—	1.18
Brighton and Hove Albion corners (+1.5)	82.8%	79.8%	—	—	1.25
Ipswich corners (+3.5)	69.8%	65.9%	—	—	1.52
Ipswich corners (+2.5)	59.4%	57.1%	—	—	1.75
Brighton and Hove Albion corners (-1.5)	52.0%	52.4%	—	—	1.91
Ipswich corners (+1.5)	48.0%	47.6%	—	—	2.10
Brighton and Hove Albion corners (-2.5)	40.6%	42.9%	—	—	2.33
Brighton and Hove Albion corners (-3.5)	30.2%	34.1%	—	—	2.93
Ipswich corners (-1.5)	17.2%	20.2%	—	—	4.94
Ipswich corners (-2.5)	10.7%	15.5%	—	—	6.45
Ipswich corners (-3.5)	6.3%	10.4%	—	—	9.59

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-8 corners	51.1%	45.2%	—	—	2.21
9-11 corners	27.9%	31.2%	—	—	3.21
12+ corners	21.0%	25.6%	—	—	3.90

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 12.5 corners	85.2%	83.1%	—	—	1.20
Under 11.5 corners	79.0%	76.6%	—	—	1.31
Under 10.5 corners	71.2%	72.5%	—	—	1.38
Under 9.5 corners	61.8%	63.2%	—	—	1.58
Over 7.5 corners	60.2%	63.2%	—	—	1.58
Under 8.5 corners	51.1%	53.2%	—	—	1.88
Over 8.5 corners	48.9%	46.8%	—	—	2.14
Under 7.5 corners	39.8%	36.8%	—	—	2.72
Over 9.5 corners	38.2%	36.8%	—	—	2.72
Over 10.5 corners	28.8%	27.5%	—	—	3.64
Over 11.5 corners	21.0%	23.4%	—	—	4.28
Over 12.5 corners	14.8%	16.9%	—	—	5.91

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.1%	—	—	2.00
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.9%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Any other score	15.3%	13.8%	4.4%	3.16×	7.24
2-1	8.8%	7.4%	8.9%	0.83×	13.51
2-0	7.8%	7.4%	6.4%	1.15×	13.51
3-0	7.3%	7.4%	5.0%	1.47×	13.51
3-1	8.1%	7.4%	5.4%	1.36×	13.51
1-0	5.6%	7.4%	6.4%	1.15×	13.51
1-1	6.3%	7.4%	11.5%	0.65×	13.51
4-0	5.1%	7.4%	1.3%	5.61×	13.51
4-1	5.7%	7.4%	2.3%	3.21×	13.51
2-2	4.9%	1.7%	7.7%	0.22×	58.29
0-0	2.0%	1.7%	4.9%	0.35×	58.31
0-1	2.3%	1.7%	7.1%	0.24×	58.31
0-2	1.3%	1.7%	5.6%	0.31×	58.31
0-3	0.5%	1.7%	2.6%	0.67×	58.32
0-4	0.1%	1.7%	1.1%	1.60×	58.32
1-2	3.5%	1.7%	6.8%	0.25×	58.30
1-3	1.3%	1.7%	3.1%	0.55×	58.31
1-4	0.4%	1.7%	1.4%	1.22×	58.32
2-3	1.8%	1.7%	2.5%	0.69×	58.31
2-4	0.5%	1.7%	0.7%	2.60×	58.32
3-2	4.5%	1.7%	3.1%	0.56×	58.29
3-3	1.7%	1.7%	0.7%	2.31×	58.31
3-4	0.5%	1.7%	0.5%	3.47×	58.32
4-2	3.2%	1.7%	1.3%	1.30×	58.30
4-3	1.2%	1.7%	0.9%	1.89×	58.31
4-4	0.3%	1.7%	0.3%	5.20×	58.32

DNB 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Brighton and Hove Albion (2nd half DNB)	83.8%	82.6%	52.5%	1.57×	1.21
Ipswich (2nd half DNB)	16.2%	17.4%	47.5%	0.37×	5.76

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Brighton and Hove Albion leading at HT (DNB)	74.7%	74.1%	59.8%	1.24×	1.35
Ipswich leading at HT (DNB)	25.3%	25.9%	40.2%	0.64×	3.87

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Brighton and Hove Albion or draw (1X)	87.4%	86.5%	67.7%	1.28×	1.16
Brighton and Hove Albion or Ipswich (12)	84.7%	80.6%	75.2%	1.07×	1.24
Ipswich or draw (X2)	27.9%	26.3%	57.0%	0.46×	3.80

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Brighton and Hove Albion or draw at HT	81.9%	84.2%	75.8%	1.11×	1.19
Brighton and Hove Albion or Ipswich at HT	71.6%	74.9%	60.2%	1.24×	1.34
Ipswich or draw at HT	46.6%	52.1%	64.0%	0.81×	1.92

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Brighton and Hove Albion or draw (1UP)	87.4%	92.0%	74.3%	1.24×	1.09
Ipswich or draw (1UP)	33.5%	39.2%	65.3%	0.60×	2.55

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Brighton and Hove Albion or draw in 2nd half	88.1%	88.9%	67.3%	1.32×	1.13
Brighton and Hove Albion or Ipswich in 2nd half	73.4%	74.2%	68.8%	1.08×	1.35
Ipswich or draw in 2nd half	38.5%	40.2%	63.8%	0.63×	2.49

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half drawn	52.5%	50.2%	42.9%	1.17×	1.99
A half drawn	47.5%	49.8%	57.1%	0.87×	2.01

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Brighton and Hove Albion (DNB)	85.1%	87.0%	57.1%	1.52×	1.15
Ipswich (DNB)	14.9%	13.0%	42.9%	0.30×	7.67

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Brighton and Hove Albion to score first	69.9%	69.8%	51.8%	1.35×	1.43
Ipswich to score first	28.1%	28.0%	43.4%	0.64×	3.58
No goal scored	2.0%	4.2%	4.9%	0.86×	23.63

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams to score	63.1%	56.7%	58.0%	0.98×	1.77
Not both teams to score	36.9%	43.3%	42.0%	1.03×	2.31

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both score & over 2.5	56.8%	47.6%	46.7%	1.02×	2.10
Not both score & under 2.5	19.0%	21.6%	30.2%	0.72×	4.63
Not both score & over 2.5	17.8%	21.6%	11.9%	1.82×	4.64
Both score & under 2.5	6.3%	8.3%	11.5%	0.72×	12.07

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	76.5%	79.6%	82.1%	0.97×	1.26
Both teams to score 2+	23.5%	20.4%	17.9%	1.14×	4.91

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	71.5%	73.6%	68.6%	1.07×	1.36
Both teams to score in 2nd half	28.5%	26.4%	31.4%	0.84×	3.79

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	46.3%	52.8%	55.8%	0.95×	1.89
Both score 1st half only	25.3%	27.1%	12.9%	2.11×	3.69
Both score 2nd half only	18.4%	15.0%	24.7%	0.61×	6.65
Both score in both halves	10.1%	10.7%	6.8%	1.56×	9.35

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	64.7%	64.8%	80.4%	0.81×	1.54
Both teams to score by HT	35.3%	35.2%	19.6%	1.79×	2.84

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A goal in each half	73.5%	75.1%	61.5%	1.22×	1.33
A half without a goal	26.5%	24.9%	38.5%	0.65×	4.02

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
4-6 goals	44.7%	42.1%	32.7%	1.29×	2.37
2-3 goals	35.5%	35.1%	46.3%	0.76×	2.85
0-1 goals	9.9%	7.7%	18.3%	0.42×	13.06
7+ goals	9.9%	7.7%	2.8%	2.73×	13.06

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Ipswich to score exactly 1	36.6%	35.9%	35.8%	1.00×	2.78
Ipswich to score exactly 0	32.7%	33.8%	25.0%	1.35×	2.96
Ipswich to score exactly 2	20.4%	22.3%	24.5%	0.91×	4.49
Ipswich to score 3+	10.3%	12.9%	14.9%	0.86×	7.77

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Brighton and Hove Albion to score 3+	52.6%	43.2%	22.9%	1.88×	2.32
Brighton and Hove Albion to score exactly 2	24.0%	23.3%	26.1%	0.90×	4.29
Brighton and Hove Albion to score exactly 1	17.2%	18.8%	29.3%	0.64×	5.33
Brighton and Hove Albion to score exactly 0	6.2%	10.3%	21.9%	0.47×	9.73

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Brighton and Hove Albion leading at HT	53.4%	47.9%	36.0%	1.33×	2.09
Draw at HT	28.4%	25.1%	39.8%	0.63×	3.98
Ipswich leading at HT	18.1%	15.8%	24.2%	0.65×	6.33

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Brighton and Hove Albion -1: 1	51.7%	52.1%	—	—	1.92
Brighton and Hove Albion -1: 2	27.9%	26.5%	—	—	3.77
Brighton and Hove Albion -1: X	20.3%	23.5%	—	—	4.26

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Brighton and Hove Albion (0:1)	51.7%	51.3%	24.0%	2.14×	1.95
Ipswich (0:1)	27.9%	27.0%	57.0%	0.47×	3.70
Draw (0:1)	20.3%	24.2%	19.0%	1.27×	4.13

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Ipswich (0:2)	48.3%	51.3%	76.0%	0.67×	1.95
Brighton and Hove Albion (0:2)	31.8%	28.7%	10.9%	2.63×	3.49
Draw (0:2)	19.9%	15.3%	13.2%	1.16×	6.53

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Ipswich (0:3)	68.2%	71.9%	89.1%	0.81×	1.39
Brighton and Hove Albion (0:3)	16.8%	16.1%	3.4%	4.77×	6.20
Draw (0:3)	15.0%	16.0%	7.6%	2.12×	6.23

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Ipswich (0:4)	83.2%	87.3%	96.6%	0.90×	1.15
Draw (0:4)	9.2%	4.7%	2.1%	2.26×	21.47
Brighton and Hove Albion (0:4)	7.7%	4.6%	1.4%	3.30×	21.60

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Brighton and Hove Albion (1:0)	87.4%	86.1%	67.7%	1.27×	1.16
Draw (1:0)	8.2%	6.9%	16.7%	0.41×	14.48
Ipswich (1:0)	4.5%	3.3%	15.7%	0.21×	30.41

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Brighton and Hove Albion (2:0)	95.5%	96.8%	84.3%	1.15×	1.03
Draw (2:0)	3.2%	2.3%	9.2%	0.25×	43.63
Ipswich (2:0)	1.3%	2.3%	6.5%	0.35×	43.75

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1st half highest scoring	41.2%	44.0%	25.9%	1.70×	2.27
2nd half highest scoring	37.8%	37.8%	49.5%	0.76×	2.64
Halves equal	21.0%	24.4%	24.7%	0.99×	4.10

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Brighton and Hove Albion to concede	67.3%	66.7%	75.0%	0.89×	1.50
Brighton and Hove Albion clean sheet	32.7%	33.3%	25.0%	1.33×	3.00

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Brighton and Hove Albion clean sheet in 1st half	52.1%	55.6%	59.7%	0.93×	1.80
Brighton and Hove Albion to concede in 1st half	47.9%	44.4%	40.3%	1.10×	2.25

Home clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Brighton and Hove Albion clean sheet in 2nd half	62.7%	59.9%	42.2%	1.42×	1.67
Brighton and Hove Albion to concede in 2nd half	37.3%	40.1%	57.8%	0.69×	2.49

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Brighton and Hove Albion over 2.5 corners	83.6%	81.0%	—	—	1.24
Brighton and Hove Albion over 3.5 corners	70.4%	71.8%	—	—	1.39
Brighton and Hove Albion under 6.5 corners	70.2%	71.8%	—	—	1.39
Brighton and Hove Albion under 5.5 corners	58.1%	57.5%	—	—	1.74
Brighton and Hove Albion over 4.5 corners	55.9%	57.5%	—	—	1.74
Brighton and Hove Albion under 4.5 corners	44.1%	42.5%	—	—	2.35
Brighton and Hove Albion over 5.5 corners	41.9%	42.5%	—	—	2.35
Brighton and Hove Albion over 6.5 corners	29.8%	28.2%	—	—	3.55
Brighton and Hove Albion under 3.5 corners	29.6%	28.2%	—	—	3.55
Brighton and Hove Albion under 2.5 corners	16.4%	19.0%	—	—	5.25

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Brighton and Hove Albion over 0.5 goals	93.8%	92.2%	78.1%	1.18×	1.08
Brighton and Hove Albion over 1.5 goals	76.6%	77.7%	48.9%	1.59×	1.29
Brighton and Hove Albion under 3.5 goals	69.7%	68.0%	91.5%	0.74×	1.47
Brighton and Hove Albion over 2.5 goals	52.6%	53.2%	22.9%	2.32×	1.88
Brighton and Hove Albion under 2.5 goals	47.4%	46.8%	77.1%	0.61×	2.14
Brighton and Hove Albion over 3.5 goals	30.3%	32.0%	8.5%	3.77×	3.12
Brighton and Hove Albion under 1.5 goals	23.4%	22.3%	51.1%	0.44×	4.49
Brighton and Hove Albion under 0.5 goals	6.2%	7.8%	21.9%	0.35×	12.90

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Brighton and Hove Albion over 0.5 in 1st half	73.8%	79.3%	51.2%	1.55×	1.26
Brighton and Hove Albion under 1.5 in 1st half	61.3%	64.6%	84.4%	0.77×	1.55
Brighton and Hove Albion over 1.5 in 1st half	38.7%	35.4%	15.6%	2.27×	2.82
Brighton and Hove Albion under 0.5 in 1st half	26.2%	20.7%	48.8%	0.42×	4.84

Home highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Brighton and Hove Albion scores more in 2nd half	39.6%	37.8%	36.0%	1.05×	2.65
Brighton and Hove Albion scores more in 1st half	35.0%	37.7%	26.4%	1.43×	2.65
Brighton and Hove Albion scores equally in both	25.4%	27.7%	37.7%	0.73×	3.61

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw (home no bet)	54.7%	51.4%	43.4%	1.18×	1.95
Ipswich (home no bet)	45.3%	48.6%	56.6%	0.86×	2.06

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Brighton and Hove Albion even goals	50.2%	50.7%	54.0%	0.94×	1.97
Brighton and Hove Albion odd goals	49.8%	49.3%	46.0%	1.07×	2.03

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 1-0	18.3%	18.6%	21.5%	0.87×	5.37
Any other HT score	17.6%	18.6%	5.4%	3.42×	5.37
HT 0-0	13.6%	11.0%	28.1%	0.39×	9.10
HT 2-0	12.3%	11.0%	8.0%	1.37×	9.11
HT 1-1	11.9%	11.0%	10.9%	1.01×	9.12
HT 0-1	8.9%	6.9%	14.8%	0.47×	14.45
HT 2-1	8.0%	6.9%	3.7%	1.86×	14.46
HT 1-2	3.9%	2.4%	2.9%	0.82×	42.04
HT 0-2	2.9%	2.4%	4.4%	0.54×	42.11
HT 2-2	2.6%	2.4%	1.0%	2.40×	42.13

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Brighton and Hove Albion at HT / Brighton and Hove Albion at FT	49.8%	47.7%	26.4%	1.81×	2.10
Draw at HT / Brighton and Hove Albion at FT	17.5%	16.7%	13.9%	1.21×	5.97
Ipswich at HT / Ipswich at FT	8.6%	6.0%	16.7%	0.36×	16.58
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	7.6%	6.0%	13.9%	0.43×	16.61
Ipswich at HT / Brighton and Hove Albion at FT	4.8%	3.5%	2.9%	1.21×	28.61
Ipswich at HT / Draw at FT	4.7%	3.5%	4.8%	0.73×	28.62
Draw at HT / Ipswich at FT	3.4%	3.5%	12.3%	0.28×	28.67
Brighton and Hove Albion at HT / Draw at FT	3.0%	3.5%	6.3%	0.55×	28.68
Brighton and Hove Albion at HT / Ipswich at FT	0.7%	3.5%	3.5%	1.00×	28.76

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Brighton and Hove Albion to score last	69.9%	70.6%	50.1%	1.41×	1.42
Ipswich to score last	28.1%	27.7%	45.0%	0.61×	3.61
No goal scored	2.0%	4.2%	4.9%	0.86×	23.63

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	98.0%	95.7%	95.1%	1.01×	1.05
Brighton and Hove Albion to lead by 1 at any time	83.2%	87.7%	62.0%	1.42×	1.14
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	68.6%	69.5%	50.5%	1.38×	1.44
Brighton and Hove Albion to lead by 2 at any time	59.6%	55.0%	29.8%	1.84×	1.82
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	38.8%	34.7%	21.2%	1.64×	2.88
Brighton and Hove Albion to lead by 3 at any time	36.4%	34.6%	13.2%	2.62×	2.89
Ipswich to lead by 1 at any time	33.5%	29.9%	51.5%	0.58×	3.35
Ipswich to lead by 2 at any time	9.6%	6.8%	21.0%	0.32×	14.81
Ipswich to lead by 3 at any time	2.4%	1.6%	8.1%	0.20×	62.37

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Brighton and Hove Albion most corners	63.6%	60.6%	—	—	1.65
Ipswich most corners	25.9%	31.1%	—	—	3.22
Corners level	10.5%	10.4%	—	—	9.59

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-6 goals	80.1%	83.4%	79.0%	1.06×	1.20
1-5 goals	78.1%	78.7%	88.5%	0.89×	1.27
2-5 goals	70.2%	72.4%	75.1%	0.96×	1.38
3-6 goals	64.7%	63.3%	55.7%	1.14×	1.58
1-4 goals	62.9%	63.3%	77.9%	0.81×	1.58
2-4 goals	55.0%	53.2%	64.6%	0.82×	1.88
3-5 goals	54.8%	53.2%	51.9%	1.03×	1.88
4-6 goals	44.7%	43.6%	32.7%	1.33×	2.29
1-3 goals	43.4%	43.6%	59.7%	0.73×	2.29
3-4 goals	39.6%	39.2%	41.3%	0.95×	2.55
2-3 goals	35.5%	39.2%	46.3%	0.85×	2.55
4-5 goals	34.8%	35.2%	28.9%	1.22×	2.84
5-6 goals	25.1%	30.2%	14.5%	2.08×	3.31
1-2 goals	23.3%	24.5%	36.7%	0.67×	4.08
7+ goals	9.9%	8.9%	2.8%	3.17×	11.25

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Brighton and Hove Albion never behind	64.5%	68.5%	48.5%	1.41×	1.46
Ipswich never behind	14.8%	12.6%	38.0%	0.33×	7.95

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of goals	50.0%	50.9%	49.1%	1.04×	1.96
Even number of goals	50.0%	49.1%	50.9%	0.97×	2.04

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	50.9%	51.5%	53.5%	0.96×	1.94
Odd goals in 1st half	49.1%	48.5%	46.5%	1.04×	2.06

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	51.1%	51.9%	51.9%	1.00×	1.93
Odd goals in 2nd half	48.9%	48.1%	48.1%	1.00×	2.08

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 goals	98.0%	95.4%	95.1%	1.00×	1.05
Over 1.5 goals	90.1%	92.3%	81.7%	1.13×	1.08
Under 5.5 goals	80.2%	82.3%	93.3%	0.88×	1.22
Over 2.5 goals	74.7%	72.5%	58.5%	1.24×	1.38
Under 4.5 goals	64.9%	61.8%	82.8%	0.75×	1.62
Over 3.5 goals	54.6%	52.5%	35.4%	1.48×	1.90
Under 3.5 goals	45.4%	47.5%	64.6%	0.74×	2.11
Over 4.5 goals	35.1%	38.2%	17.2%	2.22×	2.62
Under 2.5 goals	25.3%	27.5%	41.6%	0.66×	3.63
Over 5.5 goals	19.8%	17.7%	6.7%	2.65×	5.65
Under 1.5 goals	9.9%	7.7%	18.3%	0.42×	12.93
Under 0.5 goals	2.0%	4.6%	4.9%	0.92×	21.89

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	89.0%	86.7%	97.1%	0.89×	1.15
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	88.3%	86.7%	76.2%	1.14×	1.15
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	76.6%	75.9%	92.5%	0.82×	1.32
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	68.3%	67.5%	46.0%	1.47×	1.48
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	56.4%	55.8%	78.9%	0.71×	1.79
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	43.6%	44.2%	21.1%	2.10×	2.26
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	31.7%	32.5%	54.0%	0.60×	3.07
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	23.4%	24.1%	7.5%	3.23×	4.14
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	11.7%	13.3%	23.8%	0.56×	7.54
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	11.0%	13.3%	2.9%	4.55×	7.54

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 in 1st half	86.4%	89.1%	71.9%	1.24×	1.12
Under 2.5 in 1st half	67.9%	68.6%	87.2%	0.79×	1.46
Over 1.5 in 1st half	59.2%	63.9%	35.8%	1.79×	1.57
Under 1.5 in 1st half	40.8%	36.1%	64.2%	0.56×	2.77
Over 2.5 in 1st half	32.1%	31.4%	12.8%	2.46×	3.18
Under 0.5 in 1st half	13.6%	10.9%	28.1%	0.39×	9.21

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	85.2%	85.4%	84.7%	1.01×	1.17
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	70.2%	77.5%	75.8%	1.02×	1.29
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	56.8%	54.8%	54.3%	1.01×	1.82
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	43.2%	45.2%	45.7%	0.99×	2.21
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	29.8%	22.5%	24.2%	0.93×	4.44
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	14.9%	14.6%	15.3%	0.95×	6.84

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Ipswich not to score in both halves	82.2%	84.3%	76.9%	1.10×	1.19
Brighton and Hove Albion to score in both halves	56.3%	58.0%	31.4%	1.85×	1.73
Brighton and Hove Albion not to score in both halves	43.7%	42.0%	68.6%	0.61×	2.38
Ipswich to score in both halves	17.8%	15.7%	23.1%	0.68×	6.36

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	63.1%	60.3%	58.0%	1.04×	1.66
Only Brighton and Hove Albion scores	30.7%	33.3%	20.1%	1.65×	3.01
Only Ipswich scores	4.2%	4.6%	17.1%	0.27×	21.68
Neither team scores	2.0%	4.6%	4.9%	0.93×	21.77

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 3 goals	20.0%	22.6%	23.1%	0.98×	4.43
6 or more goals	19.8%	17.5%	6.7%	2.62×	5.73
Exactly 4 goals	19.5%	17.5%	18.3%	0.95×	5.73
Exactly 2 goals	15.4%	17.5%	23.3%	0.75×	5.73
Exactly 5 goals	15.2%	17.5%	10.6%	1.64×	5.73
Exactly 1 goals	7.9%	7.6%	13.4%	0.57×	13.13
Exactly 0 goals	2.0%	4.5%	4.9%	0.90×	22.41

Total goals 1st half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
3+ goals in 1st half	32.1%	35.8%	12.8%	2.80×	2.79
1 goal in 1st half	27.2%	28.5%	36.2%	0.79×	3.51
2 goals in 1st half	27.1%	28.5%	23.1%	1.23×	3.52
No goals in 1st half	13.6%	10.8%	28.1%	0.38×	9.28

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	56.8%	54.1%	54.3%	1.00×	1.85
1 goal in 2nd half	28.3%	29.2%	30.4%	0.96×	3.42
No goals in 2nd half	14.9%	14.4%	15.3%	0.94×	6.93

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Ipswich not to win both halves	97.8%	97.2%	91.3%	1.06×	1.03
Brighton and Hove Albion not to win both halves	67.1%	69.6%	86.4%	0.81×	1.44
Brighton and Hove Albion to win both halves	32.9%	30.4%	13.6%	2.23×	3.29
Ipswich to win both halves	2.2%	2.8%	8.7%	0.32×	35.92

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Brighton and Hove Albion to win either half	82.1%	83.5%	58.6%	1.42×	1.20
Ipswich to win neither half	72.1%	73.0%	51.7%	1.41×	1.37
Ipswich to win either half	27.9%	27.0%	48.3%	0.56×	3.70
Brighton and Hove Albion to win neither half	17.9%	16.5%	41.4%	0.40×	6.05

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Ipswich not to win to nil	95.8%	96.1%	82.9%	1.16×	1.04
Brighton and Hove Albion not to win to nil	69.3%	69.7%	79.9%	0.87×	1.44
Brighton and Hove Albion to win to nil	30.7%	30.3%	20.1%	1.51×	3.30
Ipswich to win to nil	4.2%	3.9%	17.1%	0.23×	25.67

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Brighton and Hove Albion by 3+	31.8%	27.7%	10.9%	2.54×	3.61
Brighton and Hove Albion by 1	20.3%	24.1%	19.0%	1.27×	4.15
Brighton and Hove Albion by 2	19.9%	17.1%	13.2%	1.29×	5.86
Draw	15.3%	17.0%	24.8%	0.69×	5.87
Ipswich by 1	8.2%	7.2%	16.7%	0.43×	13.90
Ipswich by 2	3.2%	2.7%	9.2%	0.29×	36.80
Ipswich by 3+	1.3%	2.7%	6.5%	0.42×	36.86