Brighton and Hove Albion v Luton — Prediction, Odds & Stats
Saturday 12 August 2023 · ENG-Premier League · 2324
Premier League
xG
Shots
27 – 9
On target
12 – 3
Shots in box
20 – 7
xG per shot
0.16 – 0.21
Set-piece xG
0.97 – 0.88
Goals − xG
-0.37 – -0.89
Reading the xG timeline
Each step up is a shot; the height of the step is how good the chance was. Dots mark goals.
A side whose line climbs steadily created chances all match. A side that scored while its
line stayed flat took a rare chance — that is finishing luck, and it rarely repeats.
Expected goals by minute
Brighton and Hove Albion 4.37 xGLuton 1.89 xG
Reading the shot map
Each circle is a shot, placed where it was taken. Bigger means a better chance;
filled circles are goals. Clusters near the goal mean a side worked good openings;
lots of small circles far out means shooting from poor positions and hoping.
Hover any circle for the player, minute and chance quality.
Shot map
Brighton and Hove Albion attacking right
Luton attacking left
Marker size is xG; filled markers are goals.
Every shot
| Min | Team | Player | xG | Situation | Body part | Result | Assisted by |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1' |
 Brighton and Hove Albion |
Lewis Dunk | 0.03 | From Corner | — | Missed Shot | Pascal Groß |
| 2' |
Brighton and Hove Albion |
Lewis Dunk | 0.08 | From Corner | — | Missed Shot | Mahmoud Dahoud |
| 4' |
Brighton and Hove Albion |
João Pedro | 0.42 | Open Play | Right Foot | Missed Shot | Pascal Groß |
| 7' |
Brighton and Hove Albion |
Danny Welbeck | 0.01 | Open Play | Right Foot | Missed Shot | João Pedro |
| 13' |
Brighton and Hove Albion |
Pascal Groß | 0.11 | Open Play | — | Missed Shot | Estupiñán |
| 17' |
Brighton and Hove Albion |
Estupiñán | 0.04 | Set Piece | Left Foot | Blocked Shot | Kaoru Mitoma |
| 17' |
Brighton and Hove Albion |
Solly March | 0.01 | Set Piece | Left Foot | Blocked Shot | Pascal Groß |
| 19' |
Brighton and Hove Albion |
Danny Welbeck | 0.04 | Open Play | Right Foot | Saved Shot | Solly March |
| 22' |
 Luton |
Pelly Ruddock Mpanzu | 0.84 | Open Play | — | Missed Shot | Issa Kabore |
| 25' |
Brighton and Hove Albion |
Mahmoud Dahoud | 0.02 | Open Play | Right Foot | Missed Shot | Kaoru Mitoma |
| 28' |
Luton |
Pelly Ruddock Mpanzu | 0.07 | Open Play | Left Foot | Blocked Shot | Elijah Adebayo |
| 32' |
Brighton and Hove Albion |
Kaoru Mitoma | 0.02 | Open Play | Right Foot | Missed Shot | Pascal Groß |
| 33' |
Luton |
Marvelous Nakamba | 0.01 | Open Play | Left Foot | Blocked Shot | — |
| 35' |
Brighton and Hove Albion |
Solly March | 0.46 | Open Play | — | Goal | Kaoru Mitoma |
| 36' |
Luton |
Carlton Morris | 0.05 | From Corner | — | Saved Shot | Ryan John Giles |
| 37' |
Luton |
Issa Kabore | 0.02 | From Corner | Left Foot | Missed Shot | Marvelous Nakamba |
| 38' |
Brighton and Hove Albion |
Danny Welbeck | 0.12 | Open Play | Right Foot | Shot On Post | Estupiñán |
| 39' |
Brighton and Hove Albion |
Estupiñán | 0.02 | Open Play | Left Foot | Saved Shot | Mahmoud Dahoud |
| 41' |
Brighton and Hove Albion |
Danny Welbeck | 0.12 | Open Play | Right Foot | Blocked Shot | Kaoru Mitoma |
| 41' |
Brighton and Hove Albion |
Mahmoud Dahoud | 0.02 | Open Play | Right Foot | Blocked Shot | — |
| 45' |
Luton |
Carlton Morris | 0.04 | Open Play | — | Missed Shot | Ryan John Giles |
| 46' |
Brighton and Hove Albion |
Jan Paul van Hecke | 0.03 | From Corner | — | Saved Shot | Estupiñán |
| 47' |
Brighton and Hove Albion |
João Pedro | 0.10 | Open Play | Right Foot | Blocked Shot | Kaoru Mitoma |
| 51' |
Brighton and Hove Albion |
Pascal Groß | 0.02 | Set Piece | Right Foot | Shot On Post | Solly March |
| 62' |
Brighton and Hove Albion |
Solly March | 0.13 | Open Play | Left Foot | Saved Shot | Pascal Groß |
| 70' |
Brighton and Hove Albion |
João Pedro | 0.76 | Right Foot | Goal | — | |
| 80' |
Luton |
Carlton Morris | 0.76 | Right Foot | Goal | — | |
| 83' |
Brighton and Hove Albion |
Billy Gilmour | 0.03 | Open Play | Right Foot | Saved Shot | — |
| 84' |
Brighton and Hove Albion |
Estupiñán | 0.07 | Open Play | Left Foot | Saved Shot | Evan Ferguson |
| 84' |
Brighton and Hove Albion |
Simon Adingra | 0.49 | Open Play | Right Foot | Goal | — |
| 85' |
Brighton and Hove Albion |
Evan Ferguson | 0.08 | Open Play | Right Foot | Shot On Post | Estupiñán |
| 86' |
Brighton and Hove Albion |
João Pedro | 0.14 | Open Play | Left Foot | Saved Shot | Pascal Groß |
| 88' |
Brighton and Hove Albion |
Pascal Groß | 0.26 | Open Play | Right Foot | Saved Shot | Estupiñán |
| 91' |
Luton |
Jacob Brown | 0.04 | Open Play | Right Foot | Saved Shot | Cauley Woodrow |
| 92' |
Luton |
Carlton Morris | 0.05 | From Corner | — | Missed Shot | Cauley Woodrow |
| 94' |
Brighton and Hove Albion |
Evan Ferguson | 0.73 | Open Play | Right Foot | Goal | Estupiñán |
Players
Brighton and Hove Albion
| Player | Min | G | A | Sh | KP | xG | xA | xGChain |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pascal Groß DMC | 90 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 0.40 | 0.75 | 1.93 |
| Estupiñán DL | 90 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 0.13 | 1.33 | 1.69 |
| Lewis Dunk DC | 90 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0.11 | 0.00 | 1.34 |
| Jan Paul van Hecke DC | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.03 | 0.00 | 1.39 |
| Kaoru Mitoma AML | 90 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 0.02 | 0.74 | 2.23 |
| Jason Steele GK | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.56 |
| João Pedro AMC | 89 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 1.43 | 0.01 | 0.94 |
| James Milner DR | 80 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.69 |
| Danny Welbeck FW | 79 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0.29 | 0.00 | 0.42 |
| Solly March AMR | 75 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0.60 | 0.06 | 0.62 |
| Mahmoud Dahoud DMC | 75 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0.04 | 0.10 | 0.85 |
| Simon Adingra Sub | 15 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.49 | 0.00 | 0.63 |
| Billy Gilmour Sub | 15 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.03 | 0.00 | 0.90 |
| Evan Ferguson Sub | 11 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0.81 | 0.07 | 1.02 |
| Joël Veltman Sub | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.14 |
| Julio Enciso Sub | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
Luton
| Player | Min | G | A | Sh | KP | xG | xA | xGChain |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carlton Morris FW | 90 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0.91 | 0.00 | 0.88 |
| Marvelous Nakamba MC | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.01 | 0.02 | 0.85 |
| Thomas Kaminski GK | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Ryan John Giles DML | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.00 | 0.09 | 0.09 |
| Tom Lockyer DC | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Amari'i Bell DC | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Pelly Ruddock Mpanzu MC | 89 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0.90 | 0.00 | 0.90 |
| Tahith Chong MC | 89 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.04 |
| Mads Andersen DC | 77 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.04 |
| Issa Kabore DMR | 65 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.02 | 0.84 | 0.88 |
| Elijah Adebayo FW | 65 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.00 | 0.07 | 0.11 |
| Jacob Brown Sub | 25 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.04 | 0.00 | 0.04 |
| Alfie Doughty Sub | 25 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Chiedozie Ogbene Sub | 13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.04 |
| Luke Berry Sub | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Cauley Woodrow Sub | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.00 | 0.10 | 0.04 |