Brighton and Hove Albion v Nottingham Forest — Prediction, Odds & Stats
Sunday 10 March 2024 · ENG-Premier League · 2324
Premier League
xG
Shots
10 – 10
On target
3 – 4
Shots in box
6 – 6
xG per shot
0.05 – 0.07
Set-piece xG
0.25 – 0.19
Goals − xG
+0.46 – -0.69
Reading the xG timeline
Each step up is a shot; the height of the step is how good the chance was. Dots mark goals.
A side whose line climbs steadily created chances all match. A side that scored while its
line stayed flat took a rare chance — that is finishing luck, and it rarely repeats.
Expected goals by minute
Brighton and Hove Albion 0.54 xGNottingham Forest 0.69 xG
Reading the shot map
Each circle is a shot, placed where it was taken. Bigger means a better chance;
filled circles are goals. Clusters near the goal mean a side worked good openings;
lots of small circles far out means shooting from poor positions and hoping.
Hover any circle for the player, minute and chance quality.
Shot map
Brighton and Hove Albion attacking right
Nottingham Forest attacking left
Marker size is xG; filled markers are goals.
Every shot
| Min | Team | Player | xG | Situation | Body part | Result | Assisted by |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3' | Nottingham Forest | Neco Williams | 0.03 | Set Piece | Right Foot | Blocked Shot | Morgan Gibbs-White |
| 8' |
 Brighton and Hove Albion |
Simon Adingra | 0.04 | Open Play | Left Foot | Saved Shot | Pascal Groß |
| 10' |
Brighton and Hove Albion |
Carlos Baleba | 0.01 | Open Play | Left Foot | Missed Shot | Jakub Moder |
| 13' |
Brighton and Hove Albion |
Anssumane Fati | 0.11 | Open Play | Right Foot | Blocked Shot | Simon Adingra |
| 14' |
Brighton and Hove Albion |
Carlos Baleba | 0.12 | Set Piece | Right Foot | Missed Shot | — |
| 14' |
Brighton and Hove Albion |
Jakub Moder | 0.04 | Set Piece | — | Saved Shot | Pascal Groß |
| 19' |
Brighton and Hove Albion |
Anssumane Fati | 0.05 | Set Piece | — | Blocked Shot | — |
| 20' |
Brighton and Hove Albion |
Simon Adingra | 0.02 | From Corner | Left Foot | Missed Shot | — |
| 28' | Nottingham Forest | Andrew Omobamidele | 0.00 | Set Piece | — | Own Goal | — |
| 30' | Nottingham Forest | Divock Origi | 0.38 | Open Play | Right Foot | Saved Shot | Morgan Gibbs-White |
| 36' | Nottingham Forest | Morgan Gibbs-White | 0.02 | Open Play | Right Foot | Missed Shot | Nicolás Domínguez |
| 46' | Nottingham Forest | Divock Origi | 0.04 | Open Play | Right Foot | Missed Shot | Morgan Gibbs-White |
| 49' | Nottingham Forest | Murillo | 0.05 | Direct Freekick | Left Foot | Saved Shot | — |
| 58' |
Brighton and Hove Albion |
Anssumane Fati | 0.10 | Open Play | Left Foot | Saved Shot | — |
| 70' | Nottingham Forest | Chris Wood | 0.06 | Open Play | Left Foot | Saved Shot | Morgan Gibbs-White |
| 71' | Nottingham Forest | Murillo | 0.02 | From Corner | Right Foot | Missed Shot | — |
| 78' | Nottingham Forest | Morgan Gibbs-White | 0.07 | Direct Freekick | Right Foot | Saved Shot | — |
| 82' |
Brighton and Hove Albion |
Lewis Dunk | 0.02 | From Corner | — | Blocked Shot | Pascal Groß |
| 86' |
Brighton and Hove Albion |
Julio Enciso | 0.02 | Open Play | Right Foot | Missed Shot | Carlos Baleba |
| 89' | Nottingham Forest | Cheikhou Kouyaté | 0.02 | Set Piece | — | Missed Shot | Callum Hudson-Odoi |
Players
Nottingham Forest
| Player | Min | G | A | Sh | KP | xG | xA | xGChain |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Morgan Gibbs-White FWL | 90 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 0.09 | 0.51 | 0.50 |
| Murillo DC | 90 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0.07 | 0.00 | 0.38 |
| Chris Wood FW | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.06 | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| Neco Williams DR | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.03 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Harry Toffolo DL | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Matz Sels GK | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Andrew Omobamidele DC | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.04 |
| Nicolás Domínguez MC | 75 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.00 | 0.02 | 0.02 |
| Ryan Yates MC | 75 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.06 |
| Divock Origi FWR | 64 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0.42 | 0.00 | 0.42 |
| Danilo MC | 64 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.02 |
| Anthony Elanga Sub | 26 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Ibrahim Sangare Sub | 26 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.06 |
| Callum Hudson-Odoi Sub | 15 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.00 | 0.02 | 0.00 |
| Taiwo Awoniyi Sub | 15 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Cheikhou Kouyaté Sub | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.02 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
Brighton and Hove Albion
| Player | Min | G | A | Sh | KP | xG | xA | xGChain |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carlos Baleba DMC | 90 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0.14 | 0.02 | 0.13 |
| Lewis Dunk DC | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.02 | 0.00 | 0.25 |
| Joël Veltman DR | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.27 |
| Pascal Groß DMC | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.00 | 0.10 | 0.29 |
| Bart Verbruggen GK | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| Jan Paul van Hecke DC | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.29 |
| Simon Adingra AMR | 83 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0.06 | 0.11 | 0.17 |
| Jakub Moder AMC | 79 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.04 | 0.01 | 0.15 |
| Estupiñán DL | 79 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| Anssumane Fati AML | 63 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0.27 | 0.00 | 0.21 |
| Evan Ferguson FW | 63 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Danny Welbeck Sub | 27 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.02 |
| Tariq Lamptey Sub | 27 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.02 |
| Julio Enciso Sub | 11 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.02 | 0.00 | 0.02 |
| Igor Julio Sub | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.02 |
| Adam Lallana Sub | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.02 |