Brisbane Roar v Perth Glory — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Friday 23 October 2026 · AUS-A-League · 2627

AUS-A-League results-only Prediction generated 18 Sep 2026, 10:37 UTC

Brisbane Roar

09:00 UTC

Perth Glory

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 21 Oct, 11:05 · 46h before kick-off

Brisbane Roar win

39.9%

model 39.4%

Draw

28.9%

model 27.0%

Perth Glory win

31.2%

model 33.6%

402931

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (648 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-1 12.9%
1-0 10.3%
0-1 9.4%
2-1 8.4%
0-0 8.0%

Goals

Over 2.5	46.7%	Under 2.5	53.3%
BTTS yes	51.8%	BTTS no	48.2%
Brisbane Roar 1+	73.6%	Brisbane Roar 2+	38.4%
Perth Glory 1+	70.2%	Perth Glory 2+	34.1%

Expected goals 1.33 – 1.21. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

39/100

Data quality

65/100

Model agreement

96%

★ Best pick

Under 2.5 goals

Over/Under · usually 42%

52.9% fair odds 1.89

strong signal · 1367 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Perth Glory (0:2)

Handicap 0:2 · usually 80%

83.6% fair odds 1.20

moderate signal · 504 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

Nothing in the data singles out Brisbane Roar.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Brisbane Roar have an estimated 39.9% win probability, against 31.2% for Perth Glory and 28.9% for the draw. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.33 for Brisbane Roar and 1.21 for Perth Glory.

Why Brisbane Roar

Nothing in the data singles out Brisbane Roar.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 28.9%. The sides are closely matched on expected goals, 1.33 to 1.21. Draws run at 27% in this competition.

Why Perth Glory can win

Perth Glory carry the stronger rating, 1443 Elo against 1373. Form is good: 1.80 points a match from the last five.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Brisbane Roar, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Perth Glory, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Brisbane Roar: 56% possession, 14.2 shots a match, 8.2 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Perth Glory: 42% possession, 13.8 shots a match, 16.2 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Brisbane Roar's shot volume meets a defence that concedes shots freely.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-10-21 11:56 · team_stats 2026-10-20 06:04 · availability 2026-10-21 15:05 · prediction 2026-09-18 10:37 ·

Brisbane Roar are the model's most likely outcome at 39.9%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 12.9%. Confidence 39/100, data quality 65/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Live TV

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Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	392734	1.33–1.21	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	352837	1.20–1.25	1-1 13%	44%	50%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Perth Glory to win	37.2%	36.4%	35.4%	1.03×	2.75
Brisbane Roar to win	35.1%	36.3%	37.9%	0.96×	2.75
Draw	27.7%	27.9%	27.1%	1.03×	3.58

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Perth Glory & not both score	21.2%	21.8%	16.4%	1.33×	4.59
Brisbane Roar & not both score	20.0%	18.0%	18.2%	0.99×	5.56
Draw & both teams score	18.9%	18.0%	22.5%	0.80×	5.57
Perth Glory & both teams score	16.0%	18.0%	19.3%	0.93×	5.57
Brisbane Roar & both teams score	15.2%	18.0%	20.0%	0.90×	5.57
Draw & not both score	8.8%	8.3%	5.0%	1.67×	12.01

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Perth Glory & under 3.5	28.1%	26.1%	23.6%	1.11×	3.84
Brisbane Roar & under 3.5	26.8%	26.1%	22.1%	1.18×	3.84
Perth Glory & over 1.5	26.6%	26.1%	27.5%	0.95×	3.84
Brisbane Roar & over 1.5	24.9%	21.6%	29.6%	0.73×	4.63
Draw & under 2.5	21.9%	21.6%	16.4%	1.32×	4.63
Draw & under 3.5	21.9%	21.6%	16.4%	1.32×	4.63
Perth Glory & over 2.5	19.9%	18.0%	22.1%	0.81×	5.56
Brisbane Roar & over 2.5	18.7%	18.0%	25.7%	0.70×	5.56
Draw & over 1.5	18.9%	18.0%	22.5%	0.80×	5.56
Brisbane Roar & under 2.5	16.5%	18.0%	12.5%	1.44×	5.56
Perth Glory & under 2.5	17.3%	18.0%	13.6%	1.33×	5.56
Perth Glory & under 1.5	10.6%	12.8%	8.2%	1.56×	7.79
Brisbane Roar & under 1.5	10.2%	12.8%	8.6%	1.50×	7.79
Draw & under 1.5	8.8%	7.9%	5.0%	1.58×	12.63
Perth Glory & over 3.5	9.1%	7.9%	12.1%	0.65×	12.63
Brisbane Roar & over 3.5	8.4%	7.9%	16.1%	0.49×	12.63
Draw & over 2.5	5.7%	7.9%	11.1%	0.72×	12.63
Draw & over 3.5	5.7%	7.9%	11.1%	0.72×	12.63

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Perth Glory (1UP)	52.7%	52.6%	—	—	1.90
Brisbane Roar (1UP)	50.9%	52.5%	—	—	1.91

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Perth Glory (2UP)	37.2%	37.4%	—	—	2.67
Brisbane Roar (2UP)	35.1%	37.3%	—	—	2.68

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half drawn	37.9%	36.1%	—	—	2.77
Perth Glory to win 2nd half	32.9%	34.3%	—	—	2.91
Brisbane Roar to win 2nd half	29.2%	25.8%	—	—	3.88

2nd half away goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Perth Glory under 1.5 in 2nd half	82.8%	84.4%	—	—	1.19
Perth Glory over 0.5 in 2nd half	52.6%	52.6%	—	—	1.90
Perth Glory under 0.5 in 2nd half	47.4%	47.4%	—	—	2.11
Perth Glory over 1.5 in 2nd half	17.3%	15.6%	—	—	6.40

2nd half home goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Brisbane Roar under 1.5 in 2nd half	84.9%	82.6%	—	—	1.21
Brisbane Roar under 0.5 in 2nd half	50.4%	55.0%	—	—	1.82
Brisbane Roar over 0.5 in 2nd half	49.6%	45.0%	—	—	2.22
Brisbane Roar over 1.5 in 2nd half	15.1%	17.4%	—	—	5.76

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Perth Glory (+2.5)	95.1%	96.3%	88.2%	1.09×	1.04
Perth Glory (+1.5)	85.1%	88.4%	80.4%	1.10×	1.13
Perth Glory (+0.5)	64.9%	63.0%	62.1%	1.01×	1.59
Brisbane Roar (+0.5)	62.8%	62.9%	64.6%	0.97×	1.59
Perth Glory (-0.5)	37.2%	37.1%	35.4%	1.05×	2.70
Brisbane Roar (-0.5)	35.1%	37.0%	37.9%	0.98×	2.70
Brisbane Roar (-1.5)	14.9%	11.6%	19.6%	0.59×	8.65
Brisbane Roar (-2.5)	4.9%	3.7%	11.8%	0.31×	26.99

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Perth Glory to concede	70.0%	72.4%	78.9%	0.92×	1.38
Perth Glory clean sheet	30.0%	27.6%	21.1%	1.31×	3.62

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Perth Glory clean sheet in 1st half	59.6%	57.1%	—	—	1.75
Perth Glory to concede in 1st half	40.4%	42.9%	—	—	2.33

Away clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Perth Glory clean sheet in 2nd half	50.4%	54.7%	—	—	1.83
Perth Glory to concede in 2nd half	49.6%	45.3%	—	—	2.21

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Perth Glory under 6.5 corners	93.0%	89.9%	—	—	1.11
Perth Glory under 5.5 corners	86.1%	85.2%	—	—	1.17
Perth Glory under 4.5 corners	74.7%	71.6%	—	—	1.40
Perth Glory over 2.5 corners	62.0%	61.8%	—	—	1.62
Perth Glory under 3.5 corners	58.2%	57.2%	—	—	1.75
Perth Glory over 3.5 corners	41.8%	42.8%	—	—	2.33
Perth Glory under 2.5 corners	38.0%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
Perth Glory over 4.5 corners	25.3%	28.4%	—	—	3.52
Perth Glory over 5.5 corners	13.9%	14.8%	—	—	6.77
Perth Glory over 6.5 corners	7.0%	10.1%	—	—	9.91

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Perth Glory under 3.5 goals	96.2%	97.5%	95.0%	1.03×	1.03
Perth Glory under 2.5 goals	86.9%	87.8%	85.0%	1.03×	1.14
Perth Glory over 0.5 goals	71.2%	71.9%	77.1%	0.93×	1.39
Perth Glory under 1.5 goals	64.6%	63.2%	56.1%	1.13×	1.58
Perth Glory over 1.5 goals	35.4%	36.8%	43.9%	0.84×	2.72
Perth Glory under 0.5 goals	28.8%	28.1%	22.9%	1.23×	3.55
Perth Glory over 2.5 goals	13.1%	12.2%	15.0%	0.81×	8.20
Perth Glory over 3.5 goals	3.8%	2.5%	5.0%	0.50×	39.84

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Perth Glory under 1.5 in 1st half	91.0%	93.8%	—	—	1.07
Perth Glory under 0.5 in 1st half	60.8%	63.5%	—	—	1.58
Perth Glory over 0.5 in 1st half	39.3%	36.5%	—	—	2.74
Perth Glory over 1.5 in 1st half	9.0%	6.2%	—	—	16.24

Away highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Perth Glory scores equally in both	40.5%	43.4%	—	—	2.31
Perth Glory scores more in 2nd half	37.5%	37.3%	—	—	2.68
Perth Glory scores more in 1st half	22.0%	22.0%	—	—	4.55

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Brisbane Roar (away no bet)	55.9%	57.4%	58.2%	0.98×	1.74
Draw (away no bet)	44.1%	42.6%	41.8%	1.02×	2.35

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Perth Glory even goals	54.1%	52.6%	55.0%	0.96×	1.90
Perth Glory odd goals	45.9%	47.4%	45.0%	1.05×	2.11

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	88.7%	88.0%	—	—	1.14
Both halves over 1.5 goals	11.3%	12.0%	—	—	8.35

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	57.7%	60.4%	—	—	1.66
Both halves under 1.5 goals	42.3%	39.6%	—	—	2.52

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	49.9%	46.3%	—	—	2.16
Perth Glory to score 2+ in a row	28.1%	25.2%	—	—	3.97
Brisbane Roar to score 2+ in a row	26.6%	25.2%	—	—	3.97
Either team to score 3+ in a row	15.7%	16.2%	—	—	6.17
Perth Glory to score 3+ in a row	8.3%	5.6%	—	—	17.88
Brisbane Roar to score 3+ in a row	7.6%	5.6%	—	—	17.94

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Brisbane Roar corners (+3.5)	96.4%	95.7%	—	—	1.05
Brisbane Roar corners (+2.5)	93.3%	89.6%	—	—	1.12
Brisbane Roar corners (+1.5)	88.3%	84.5%	—	—	1.18
Perth Glory corners (+3.5)	63.2%	61.8%	—	—	1.62
Brisbane Roar corners (-1.5)	60.2%	61.8%	—	—	1.62
Perth Glory corners (+2.5)	51.7%	52.4%	—	—	1.91
Brisbane Roar corners (-2.5)	48.3%	47.6%	—	—	2.10
Perth Glory corners (+1.5)	39.8%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
Brisbane Roar corners (-3.5)	36.8%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
Perth Glory corners (-1.5)	11.7%	15.5%	—	—	6.45
Perth Glory corners (-2.5)	6.7%	10.4%	—	—	9.59
Perth Glory corners (-3.5)	3.6%	4.3%	—	—	23.44

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-8 corners	45.9%	41.7%	—	—	2.40
9-11 corners	30.8%	33.2%	—	—	3.01
12+ corners	23.3%	25.7%	—	—	3.90

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 12.5 corners	83.8%	80.7%	—	—	1.24
Under 11.5 corners	76.7%	76.6%	—	—	1.31
Under 10.5 corners	67.9%	67.8%	—	—	1.48
Over 7.5 corners	65.8%	67.8%	—	—	1.48
Under 9.5 corners	57.4%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Over 8.5 corners	54.1%	53.2%	—	—	1.88
Under 8.5 corners	45.9%	46.8%	—	—	2.14
Over 9.5 corners	42.6%	42.1%	—	—	2.37
Under 7.5 corners	34.2%	32.2%	—	—	3.11
Over 10.5 corners	32.1%	32.2%	—	—	3.11
Over 11.5 corners	23.3%	23.4%	—	—	4.27
Over 12.5 corners	16.2%	19.3%	—	—	5.18

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.1%	—	—	2.00
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.9%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-1	13.1%	11.5%	11.8%	0.97×	8.72
0-1	10.6%	11.5%	8.2%	1.40×	8.72
1-0	10.2%	11.5%	8.6%	1.34×	8.72
0-0	8.8%	7.4%	5.0%	1.48×	13.50
0-2	6.7%	7.4%	5.7%	1.30×	13.51
1-2	8.1%	7.4%	8.9%	0.83×	13.50
2-1	7.8%	7.4%	6.4%	1.15×	13.50
2-0	6.3%	7.4%	4.3%	1.73×	13.51
2-2	4.9%	1.7%	10.0%	0.17×	58.29
4-2	0.6%	1.7%	1.1%	1.60×	58.32
4-3	0.2%	1.7%	0.4%	4.80×	58.32
4-4	0.1%	1.7%	0.7%	2.40×	58.32
Any other score	1.7%	1.7%	4.6%	0.37×	58.31
0-3	2.8%	1.7%	1.8%	0.96×	58.30
0-4	0.9%	1.7%	1.4%	1.20×	58.31
1-3	3.4%	1.7%	4.6%	0.37×	58.30
1-4	1.0%	1.7%	0.7%	2.40×	58.31
2-3	2.0%	1.7%	3.6%	0.48×	58.31
2-4	0.6%	1.7%	0.7%	2.40×	58.32
3-0	2.5%	1.7%	3.9%	0.44×	58.31
3-1	3.1%	1.7%	3.2%	0.53×	58.30
3-2	1.9%	1.7%	4.3%	0.40×	58.31
3-3	0.8%	1.7%	1.1%	1.60×	58.31
3-4	0.3%	1.7%	1.1%	1.60×	58.32
4-0	0.8%	1.7%	2.1%	0.80×	58.31
4-1	0.9%	1.7%	4.3%	0.40×	58.31

DNB 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Perth Glory (2nd half DNB)	53.0%	52.9%	—	—	1.89
Brisbane Roar (2nd half DNB)	47.0%	47.1%	—	—	2.12

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Brisbane Roar leading at HT (DNB)	51.2%	54.7%	—	—	1.83
Perth Glory leading at HT (DNB)	48.8%	45.3%	—	—	2.21

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Brisbane Roar or Perth Glory (12)	72.3%	72.1%	72.9%	0.99×	1.39
Perth Glory or draw (X2)	64.9%	63.7%	62.1%	1.02×	1.57
Brisbane Roar or draw (1X)	62.8%	63.6%	64.6%	0.98×	1.57

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Brisbane Roar or draw at HT	73.7%	75.2%	—	—	1.33
Perth Glory or draw at HT	72.5%	75.1%	—	—	1.33
Brisbane Roar or Perth Glory at HT	53.8%	47.9%	—	—	2.09

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Perth Glory or draw (1UP)	64.9%	71.8%	—	—	1.39
Brisbane Roar or draw (1UP)	62.8%	71.6%	—	—	1.40

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Perth Glory or draw in 2nd half	70.8%	74.2%	—	—	1.35
Brisbane Roar or draw in 2nd half	67.1%	65.7%	—	—	1.52
Brisbane Roar or Perth Glory in 2nd half	62.1%	63.9%	—	—	1.57

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	66.4%	68.1%	—	—	1.47
Neither half drawn	33.6%	31.9%	—	—	3.14

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Perth Glory (DNB)	51.4%	50.9%	48.3%	1.05×	1.96
Brisbane Roar (DNB)	48.6%	49.1%	51.7%	0.95×	2.04

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Perth Glory to score first	46.4%	45.9%	—	—	2.18
Brisbane Roar to score first	44.8%	41.8%	—	—	2.39
No goal scored	8.8%	7.5%	—	—	13.33

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams to score	50.0%	51.3%	61.1%	0.84×	1.95
Not both teams to score	50.0%	48.7%	38.9%	1.25×	2.05

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both score & under 2.5	42.6%	41.6%	30.4%	1.37×	2.41
Both score & over 2.5	36.9%	38.4%	49.6%	0.77×	2.60
Both score & under 2.5	13.1%	12.4%	11.8%	1.05×	8.09
Not both score & over 2.5	7.4%	8.3%	8.9%	0.93×	12.07

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	88.0%	85.6%	77.9%	1.10×	1.17
Both teams to score 2+	12.0%	14.4%	22.1%	0.65×	6.95

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	73.8%	73.9%	—	—	1.35
Both teams to score in 2nd half	26.2%	26.1%	—	—	3.83

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	62.1%	65.5%	—	—	1.53
Both score 2nd half only	22.0%	21.1%	—	—	4.75
Both score 1st half only	11.7%	10.7%	—	—	9.37
Both score in both halves	4.1%	5.0%	—	—	20.18

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	84.1%	83.3%	—	—	1.20
Both teams to score by HT	15.9%	16.7%	—	—	5.98

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half without a goal	51.3%	52.7%	—	—	1.90
A goal in each half	48.7%	47.3%	—	—	2.11

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	47.2%	47.2%	40.7%	1.16×	2.12
0-1 goals	29.6%	26.6%	21.1%	1.26×	3.76
4-6 goals	21.9%	22.9%	35.0%	0.65×	4.37
7+ goals	1.3%	1.8%	3.9%	0.47×	54.38

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Perth Glory to score exactly 1	35.8%	35.9%	33.6%	1.07×	2.78
Perth Glory to score exactly 0	28.8%	27.4%	22.9%	1.20×	3.65
Perth Glory to score exactly 2	22.3%	22.3%	29.3%	0.76×	4.49
Perth Glory to score 3+	13.1%	12.9%	15.0%	0.86×	7.76

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Brisbane Roar to score exactly 1	36.1%	35.6%	33.6%	1.06×	2.81
Brisbane Roar to score exactly 0	30.0%	32.5%	21.1%	1.54×	3.07
Brisbane Roar to score exactly 2	21.7%	23.3%	23.9%	0.97×	4.29
Brisbane Roar to score 3+	12.1%	14.3%	22.1%	0.65×	6.99

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT	46.2%	52.1%	—	—	1.92
Brisbane Roar leading at HT	27.5%	24.9%	—	—	4.02
Perth Glory leading at HT	26.3%	24.9%	—	—	4.02

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Perth Glory -1: 1	62.8%	62.5%	—	—	1.60
Perth Glory -1: X	20.9%	23.5%	—	—	4.26
Perth Glory -1: 2	16.3%	17.5%	—	—	5.71

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Perth Glory (0:1)	64.9%	61.4%	62.1%	0.99×	1.63
Draw (0:1)	20.2%	24.2%	18.6%	1.30×	4.13
Brisbane Roar (0:1)	14.9%	13.7%	19.6%	0.70×	7.27

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Perth Glory (0:2)	85.1%	87.0%	80.4%	1.08×	1.15
Draw (0:2)	10.0%	11.0%	8.2%	1.34×	9.11
Brisbane Roar (0:2)	4.9%	3.8%	11.8%	0.32×	26.58

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Perth Glory (0:3)	95.1%	96.6%	88.2%	1.10×	1.04
Draw (0:3)	3.6%	2.4%	8.2%	0.29×	42.03
Brisbane Roar (0:3)	1.3%	2.4%	3.9%	0.60×	42.14

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Perth Glory (0:4)	98.7%	98.1%	96.1%	1.02×	1.02
Draw (0:4)	1.0%	1.2%	3.2%	0.38×	81.99
Brisbane Roar (0:4)	0.3%	1.2%	1.1%	1.14×	82.07

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Brisbane Roar (1:0)	62.8%	65.3%	64.6%	1.01×	1.53
Draw (1:0)	20.9%	21.7%	21.4%	1.01×	4.61
Perth Glory (1:0)	16.3%	17.1%	14.3%	1.20×	5.85

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Brisbane Roar (2:0)	83.7%	84.6%	85.7%	0.99×	1.18
Draw (2:0)	10.8%	10.3%	10.4%	0.99×	9.73
Perth Glory (2:0)	5.5%	6.4%	4.3%	1.49×	15.71

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	46.5%	48.8%	—	—	2.05
Halves equal	26.9%	26.2%	—	—	3.81
1st half highest scoring	26.6%	26.2%	—	—	3.82

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Brisbane Roar to concede	71.2%	73.2%	77.1%	0.95×	1.37
Brisbane Roar clean sheet	28.8%	26.8%	22.9%	1.17×	3.73

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Brisbane Roar clean sheet in 1st half	60.8%	63.4%	—	—	1.58
Brisbane Roar to concede in 1st half	39.3%	36.6%	—	—	2.73

Home clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Brisbane Roar to concede in 2nd half	52.6%	52.7%	—	—	1.90
Brisbane Roar clean sheet in 2nd half	47.4%	47.3%	—	—	2.12

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Brisbane Roar over 2.5 corners	89.3%	86.2%	—	—	1.16
Brisbane Roar over 3.5 corners	78.4%	76.5%	—	—	1.31
Brisbane Roar over 4.5 corners	64.7%	62.3%	—	—	1.61
Brisbane Roar under 6.5 corners	63.5%	62.3%	—	—	1.61
Brisbane Roar over 5.5 corners	50.1%	52.6%	—	—	1.90
Brisbane Roar under 5.5 corners	49.9%	47.4%	—	—	2.11
Brisbane Roar over 6.5 corners	36.5%	37.7%	—	—	2.65
Brisbane Roar under 4.5 corners	35.3%	37.7%	—	—	2.65
Brisbane Roar under 3.5 corners	21.6%	23.5%	—	—	4.26
Brisbane Roar under 2.5 corners	10.7%	13.8%	—	—	7.27

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Brisbane Roar under 3.5 goals	96.6%	96.4%	89.6%	1.08×	1.04
Brisbane Roar under 2.5 goals	87.9%	87.3%	77.9%	1.12×	1.15
Brisbane Roar over 0.5 goals	70.0%	68.0%	78.9%	0.86×	1.47
Brisbane Roar under 1.5 goals	66.2%	68.0%	54.3%	1.25×	1.47
Brisbane Roar over 1.5 goals	33.8%	32.0%	45.7%	0.70×	3.12
Brisbane Roar under 0.5 goals	30.0%	32.0%	21.1%	1.52×	3.12
Brisbane Roar over 2.5 goals	12.1%	12.7%	22.1%	0.58×	7.85
Brisbane Roar over 3.5 goals	3.4%	3.6%	10.4%	0.35×	27.51

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Brisbane Roar under 1.5 in 1st half	90.5%	94.6%	—	—	1.06
Brisbane Roar under 0.5 in 1st half	59.6%	56.8%	—	—	1.76
Brisbane Roar over 0.5 in 1st half	40.4%	43.2%	—	—	2.32
Brisbane Roar over 1.5 in 1st half	9.5%	5.4%	—	—	18.55

Home highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Brisbane Roar scores equally in both	41.7%	42.0%	—	—	2.38
Brisbane Roar scores more in 2nd half	34.5%	33.0%	—	—	3.03
Brisbane Roar scores more in 1st half	23.8%	21.3%	—	—	4.70

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Perth Glory (home no bet)	57.3%	56.4%	56.6%	1.00×	1.77
Draw (home no bet)	42.7%	43.6%	43.4%	1.00×	2.30

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Brisbane Roar even goals	54.5%	50.7%	53.2%	0.95×	1.97
Brisbane Roar odd goals	45.5%	49.3%	46.8%	1.05×	2.03

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	36.2%	39.2%	—	—	2.55
HT 1-0	18.7%	18.6%	—	—	5.38
HT 0-1	18.0%	18.6%	—	—	5.38
HT 1-1	9.4%	6.9%	—	—	14.46
HT 2-0	4.8%	2.4%	—	—	41.96
HT 0-2	4.5%	2.4%	—	—	41.98
Any other HT score	3.0%	2.4%	—	—	42.08
HT 1-2	2.3%	2.4%	—	—	42.13
HT 2-1	2.4%	2.4%	—	—	42.12
HT 2-2	0.6%	2.4%	—	—	42.24

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Brisbane Roar at HT / Brisbane Roar at FT	19.9%	16.8%	—	—	5.97
Perth Glory at HT / Perth Glory at FT	19.8%	16.7%	—	—	5.97
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	17.7%	16.7%	—	—	5.98
Draw at HT / Perth Glory at FT	15.1%	16.7%	—	—	5.99
Draw at HT / Brisbane Roar at FT	13.4%	12.7%	—	—	7.90
Brisbane Roar at HT / Draw at FT	5.3%	6.0%	—	—	16.68
Perth Glory at HT / Draw at FT	4.7%	3.5%	—	—	28.60
Brisbane Roar at HT / Perth Glory at FT	2.3%	3.5%	—	—	28.68
Perth Glory at HT / Brisbane Roar at FT	1.8%	3.5%	—	—	28.70

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Perth Glory to score last	46.4%	46.4%	—	—	2.15
Brisbane Roar to score last	44.8%	40.1%	—	—	2.49
No goal scored	8.8%	7.5%	—	—	13.33

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	91.2%	92.6%	—	—	1.08
Perth Glory to lead by 1 at any time	52.7%	50.9%	—	—	1.97
Brisbane Roar to lead by 1 at any time	50.9%	50.8%	—	—	1.97
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	41.4%	39.1%	—	—	2.56
Perth Glory to lead by 2 at any time	21.5%	19.6%	—	—	5.09
Brisbane Roar to lead by 2 at any time	20.0%	19.6%	—	—	5.10
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	13.2%	10.5%	—	—	9.55
Perth Glory to lead by 3 at any time	6.9%	6.7%	—	—	14.93
Brisbane Roar to lead by 3 at any time	6.2%	6.7%	—	—	14.96

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Brisbane Roar most corners	71.5%	70.5%	—	—	1.42
Perth Glory most corners	19.0%	19.2%	—	—	5.20
Corners level	9.5%	8.4%	—	—	11.96

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	87.3%	87.4%	88.2%	0.99×	1.14
1-4 goals	81.0%	83.4%	76.4%	1.09×	1.20
2-6 goals	69.1%	68.8%	75.4%	0.91×	1.45
1-3 goals	68.0%	68.8%	56.8%	1.21×	1.45
2-5 goals	66.5%	68.8%	72.1%	0.95×	1.45
2-4 goals	60.2%	63.3%	60.4%	1.05×	1.58
2-3 goals	47.2%	48.5%	40.7%	1.19×	2.06
1-2 goals	46.9%	48.5%	37.1%	1.31×	2.06
3-6 goals	43.0%	43.6%	54.6%	0.80×	2.29
3-5 goals	40.4%	43.6%	51.4%	0.85×	2.30
3-4 goals	34.1%	35.2%	39.6%	0.89×	2.84
4-6 goals	21.9%	24.5%	35.0%	0.70×	4.08
4-5 goals	19.3%	18.8%	31.8%	0.59×	5.31
5-6 goals	8.9%	8.9%	15.4%	0.58×	11.25
7+ goals	1.3%	2.6%	3.9%	0.65×	39.17

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Perth Glory never behind	40.3%	48.4%	—	—	2.07
Brisbane Roar never behind	38.5%	44.1%	—	—	2.27

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of goals	49.3%	50.9%	50.0%	1.02×	1.96
Even number of goals	50.7%	49.1%	50.0%	0.98×	2.04

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	56.6%	57.6%	—	—	1.74
Odd goals in 1st half	43.4%	42.4%	—	—	2.36

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	53.0%	51.9%	—	—	1.93
Odd goals in 2nd half	47.0%	48.1%	—	—	2.08

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 5.5 goals	96.1%	95.4%	92.9%	1.03×	1.05
Over 0.5 goals	91.2%	92.3%	95.0%	0.97×	1.08
Under 4.5 goals	89.8%	87.6%	81.1%	1.08×	1.14
Under 3.5 goals	76.8%	77.3%	61.4%	1.26×	1.29
Over 1.5 goals	70.4%	72.5%	78.9%	0.92×	1.38
Under 2.5 goals	55.7%	58.6%	41.8%	1.40×	1.71
Over 2.5 goals	44.3%	41.4%	58.2%	0.71×	2.42
Under 1.5 goals	29.6%	27.6%	21.1%	1.31×	3.63
Over 3.5 goals	23.2%	22.7%	38.6%	0.59×	4.41
Over 4.5 goals	10.2%	12.4%	18.9%	0.65×	8.07
Under 0.5 goals	8.8%	7.7%	5.0%	1.55×	12.93
Over 5.5 goals	3.9%	4.6%	7.1%	0.64×	21.86

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	98.7%	97.2%	95.9%	1.01×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	95.9%	97.2%	91.9%	1.06×	1.03
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	88.3%	86.7%	76.4%	1.13×	1.15
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	70.6%	72.4%	52.0%	1.39×	1.38
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	59.9%	55.8%	73.4%	0.76×	1.79
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	40.1%	44.2%	26.6%	1.66×	2.26
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	29.4%	27.6%	48.0%	0.58×	3.62
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	11.7%	13.3%	23.6%	0.56×	7.54
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	4.1%	2.8%	8.1%	0.35×	35.54
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	1.3%	2.8%	4.1%	0.69×	35.62

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	91.7%	92.6%	—	—	1.08
Under 1.5 in 1st half	73.0%	71.8%	—	—	1.39
Over 0.5 in 1st half	63.8%	63.3%	—	—	1.58
Under 0.5 in 1st half	36.2%	36.7%	—	—	2.72
Over 1.5 in 1st half	27.0%	28.2%	—	—	3.55
Over 2.5 in 1st half	8.3%	7.4%	—	—	13.45

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	82.5%	83.2%	—	—	1.20
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	76.1%	79.3%	—	—	1.26
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	58.0%	54.9%	—	—	1.82
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	42.0%	45.1%	—	—	2.22
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	23.9%	20.7%	—	—	4.84
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	17.5%	16.8%	—	—	5.95

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Brisbane Roar not to score in both halves	80.0%	78.5%	—	—	1.27
Perth Glory not to score in both halves	79.3%	78.5%	—	—	1.27
Perth Glory to score in both halves	20.7%	21.5%	—	—	4.65
Brisbane Roar to score in both halves	20.0%	21.5%	—	—	4.66

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	50.0%	53.8%	61.1%	0.88×	1.86
Only Perth Glory scores	21.2%	22.2%	16.4%	1.35×	4.50
Only Brisbane Roar scores	20.0%	16.0%	18.2%	0.88×	6.24
Neither team scores	8.8%	7.1%	5.0%	1.43×	14.03

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 2 goals	26.1%	24.9%	21.1%	1.18×	4.02
Exactly 3 goals	21.1%	22.6%	20.0%	1.13×	4.43
Exactly 1 goals	20.8%	22.6%	16.4%	1.37×	4.43
Exactly 4 goals	12.9%	12.1%	20.0%	0.61×	8.24
Exactly 0 goals	8.8%	7.6%	5.0%	1.52×	13.13
Exactly 5 goals	6.3%	7.6%	12.1%	0.63×	13.14
6 or more goals	3.9%	4.5%	7.1%	0.63×	22.38

Total goals 1st half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1 goal in 1st half	36.7%	37.4%	—	—	2.67
No goals in 1st half	36.2%	37.4%	—	—	2.67
2 goals in 1st half	18.7%	15.7%	—	—	6.38
3+ goals in 1st half	8.3%	7.4%	—	—	13.45

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	42.0%	45.2%	—	—	2.21
1 goal in 2nd half	34.1%	33.9%	—	—	2.95
No goals in 2nd half	23.9%	22.8%	—	—	4.38

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Brisbane Roar not to win both halves	91.9%	94.1%	—	—	1.06
Perth Glory not to win both halves	91.3%	94.1%	—	—	1.06
Perth Glory to win both halves	8.7%	5.9%	—	—	16.90
Brisbane Roar to win both halves	8.1%	5.9%	—	—	16.94

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Brisbane Roar to win neither half	51.3%	54.3%	—	—	1.84
Perth Glory to win either half	50.5%	54.2%	—	—	1.84
Perth Glory to win neither half	49.5%	45.8%	—	—	2.19
Brisbane Roar to win either half	48.7%	45.7%	—	—	2.19

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Brisbane Roar not to win to nil	80.0%	83.1%	81.8%	1.02×	1.20
Perth Glory not to win to nil	78.8%	78.1%	83.6%	0.94×	1.28
Perth Glory to win to nil	21.2%	21.9%	16.4%	1.33×	4.57
Brisbane Roar to win to nil	20.0%	16.9%	18.2%	0.93×	5.91

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw	27.7%	27.9%	27.1%	1.03×	3.59
Perth Glory by 1	20.9%	24.1%	21.4%	1.12×	4.15
Brisbane Roar by 1	20.2%	24.1%	18.6%	1.30×	4.15
Perth Glory by 2	10.8%	11.8%	10.4%	1.13×	8.51
Brisbane Roar by 2	10.0%	11.7%	8.2%	1.43×	8.51
Perth Glory by 3+	5.5%	7.2%	4.3%	1.68×	13.92
Brisbane Roar by 3+	4.9%	2.7%	11.8%	0.23×	36.75