Bristol City v Lincoln City — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Tuesday 15 September 2026 · ENG-Championship · 2627

Championship results-only Prediction generated 9 Sep 2026, 09:54 UTC

Bristol City

18:45 UTC

Lincoln City

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 9 Sep, 11:32 · 151h before kick-off

Bristol City win

37.4%

model 39.1%

Draw

31.3%

model 30.7%

Lincoln City win

31.3%

model 30.2%

373131

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (7,697 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-1 14.6%
0-0 10.7%
1-0 10.1%
0-1 8.4%
2-1 8.4%

Goals

Over 2.5	43.1%	Under 2.5	56.9%
BTTS yes	50.2%	BTTS no	49.8%
Bristol City 1+	72.5%	Bristol City 2+	37.0%
Lincoln City 1+	67.0%	Lincoln City 2+	30.5%

Expected goals 1.29 – 1.11. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

39/100

Data quality

55/100

Model agreement

90%

★ Best pick

Under 2.5 goals

Over/Under · usually 52%

57.8% fair odds 1.73

moderate signal · 12482 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Lincoln City (+1.5)

Asian handicap · usually 81%

83.2% fair odds 1.20

moderate signal · 13600 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

Form is good: 2.00 points a match from the last five.

Risk factors

Data quality is 55/100, so this price rests on less than the model would like.
Lincoln City have only 4 matches on record.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Bristol City have an estimated 37.4% win probability, against 31.3% for the draw and 31.3% for Lincoln City. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.29 for Bristol City and 1.11 for Lincoln City.

Why Bristol City

Form is good: 2.00 points a match from the last five.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 31.3%. The sides are closely matched on expected goals, 1.29 to 1.11. Draws run at 28% in this competition.

Why Lincoln City can win

Lincoln City carry the stronger rating, 1477 Elo against 1446.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Bristol City, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Lincoln City, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Bristol City: 42% possession, 11.2 shots a match, 16.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Lincoln City: 33% possession, 12.8 shots a match, 16.2 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-09 15:30 · team_stats 2026-09-09 06:03 · availability 2026-09-09 15:32 · prediction 2026-09-09 09:54 ·

Bristol City are the model's most likely outcome at 37.4%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 14.6%. Confidence 39/100, data quality 55/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

On television now

▶ESPN 4VT - Bournemouth x Lincoln Cityon now

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Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	393130	1.29–1.11	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	493021	1.41–0.84	1-1 14%	39%	44%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Bristol City to win	39.1%	37.7%	43.4%	0.87×	2.66
Draw	30.7%	31.5%	27.6%	1.14×	3.17
Lincoln City to win	30.2%	31.5%	29.1%	1.08×	3.17

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Bristol City & not both score	22.3%	21.7%	23.2%	0.93×	4.61
Draw & both teams score	20.1%	21.7%	20.4%	1.06×	4.61
Bristol City & both teams score	16.8%	18.1%	20.3%	0.89×	5.52
Lincoln City & not both score	16.8%	18.1%	15.2%	1.19×	5.52
Lincoln City & both teams score	13.4%	12.7%	13.9%	0.91×	7.88
Draw & not both score	10.7%	12.7%	7.3%	1.75×	7.88

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Bristol City & over 1.5	29.0%	26.4%	32.5%	0.81×	3.79
Bristol City & under 3.5	29.3%	26.4%	32.4%	0.81×	3.79
Draw & under 2.5	25.3%	26.4%	21.7%	1.22×	3.79
Draw & under 3.5	25.3%	26.4%	21.7%	1.22×	3.79
Lincoln City & under 3.5	23.3%	21.8%	22.3%	0.98×	4.58
Bristol City & over 2.5	21.4%	21.8%	26.4%	0.83×	4.58
Lincoln City & over 1.5	21.8%	21.8%	21.5%	1.02×	4.58
Draw & over 1.5	20.1%	21.8%	20.4%	1.07×	4.58
Bristol City & under 2.5	17.6%	17.7%	17.1%	1.04×	5.64
Lincoln City & over 2.5	16.2%	17.7%	16.2%	1.09×	5.64
Lincoln City & under 2.5	14.0%	12.4%	12.9%	0.96×	8.05
Bristol City & under 1.5	10.1%	12.4%	11.0%	1.13×	8.06
Draw & under 1.5	10.7%	12.4%	7.3%	1.71×	8.06
Bristol City & over 3.5	9.8%	7.6%	11.1%	0.68×	13.20
Lincoln City & under 1.5	8.4%	7.6%	7.7%	0.98×	13.20
Lincoln City & over 3.5	6.9%	7.6%	6.8%	1.11×	13.21
Draw & over 2.5	5.5%	7.6%	6.0%	1.27×	13.21
Draw & over 3.5	5.5%	7.6%	6.0%	1.27×	13.21

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Bristol City (1UP)	54.6%	54.4%	—	—	1.84
Lincoln City (1UP)	46.7%	48.1%	—	—	2.08

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Bristol City (2UP)	39.1%	38.3%	—	—	2.61
Lincoln City (2UP)	30.2%	35.4%	—	—	2.82

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half drawn	39.3%	36.5%	—	—	2.74
Bristol City to win 2nd half	32.5%	32.8%	—	—	3.05
Lincoln City to win 2nd half	28.2%	28.3%	—	—	3.53

2nd half away goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Lincoln City under 1.5 in 2nd half	85.6%	85.8%	—	—	1.17
Lincoln City under 0.5 in 2nd half	51.4%	50.0%	—	—	2.00
Lincoln City over 0.5 in 2nd half	48.6%	50.0%	—	—	2.00
Lincoln City over 1.5 in 2nd half	14.4%	14.2%	—	—	7.06

2nd half home goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Bristol City under 1.5 in 2nd half	83.1%	79.1%	—	—	1.26
Bristol City over 0.5 in 2nd half	52.1%	54.2%	—	—	1.85
Bristol City under 0.5 in 2nd half	47.9%	45.8%	—	—	2.18
Bristol City over 1.5 in 2nd half	16.9%	20.9%	—	—	4.79

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Lincoln City (+2.5)	93.6%	92.3%	92.0%	1.00×	1.08
Lincoln City (+1.5)	81.7%	83.2%	80.7%	1.03×	1.20
Bristol City (+0.5)	69.8%	67.9%	70.9%	0.96×	1.47
Lincoln City (+0.5)	60.9%	62.7%	56.6%	1.11×	1.60
Bristol City (-0.5)	39.1%	37.3%	43.4%	0.86×	2.68
Lincoln City (-0.5)	30.2%	32.1%	29.1%	1.10×	3.12
Bristol City (-1.5)	18.3%	16.8%	19.3%	0.87×	5.95
Bristol City (-2.5)	6.4%	7.7%	8.0%	0.96×	12.98

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Lincoln City to concede	72.5%	75.6%	77.6%	0.97×	1.32
Lincoln City clean sheet	27.5%	24.4%	22.4%	1.09×	4.10

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Lincoln City clean sheet in 1st half	57.4%	57.4%	—	—	1.74
Lincoln City to concede in 1st half	42.6%	42.6%	—	—	2.35

Away clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Lincoln City to concede in 2nd half	52.1%	54.5%	—	—	1.83
Lincoln City clean sheet in 2nd half	47.9%	45.5%	—	—	2.20

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Lincoln City under 3.5 goals	97.4%	97.3%	97.8%	1.00×	1.03
Lincoln City under 2.5 goals	89.8%	87.1%	90.5%	0.96×	1.15
Lincoln City under 1.5 goals	69.5%	67.5%	69.9%	0.97×	1.48
Lincoln City over 0.5 goals	67.0%	67.5%	69.6%	0.97×	1.48
Lincoln City under 0.5 goals	33.0%	32.5%	30.4%	1.07×	3.08
Lincoln City over 1.5 goals	30.5%	32.5%	30.1%	1.08×	3.08
Lincoln City over 2.5 goals	10.2%	12.9%	9.5%	1.36×	7.77
Lincoln City over 3.5 goals	2.6%	2.7%	2.2%	1.21×	37.12

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Lincoln City under 1.5 in 1st half	92.6%	93.8%	—	—	1.07
Lincoln City under 0.5 in 1st half	64.2%	62.5%	—	—	1.60
Lincoln City over 0.5 in 1st half	35.8%	37.5%	—	—	2.67
Lincoln City over 1.5 in 1st half	7.4%	6.2%	—	—	16.19

Away highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Lincoln City scores equally in both	43.5%	42.2%	—	—	2.37
Lincoln City scores more in 2nd half	35.5%	38.0%	—	—	2.63
Lincoln City scores more in 1st half	21.1%	23.5%	—	—	4.26

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Bristol City (away no bet)	56.0%	58.6%	61.1%	0.96×	1.71
Draw (away no bet)	44.0%	41.4%	38.9%	1.06×	2.42

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Lincoln City even goals	55.4%	56.4%	52.4%	1.08×	1.77
Lincoln City odd goals	44.6%	43.6%	47.6%	0.92×	2.29

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	89.2%	86.9%	—	—	1.15
Both halves over 1.5 goals	10.8%	13.1%	—	—	7.63

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	57.3%	59.7%	—	—	1.68
Both halves under 1.5 goals	42.7%	40.3%	—	—	2.48

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	49.0%	49.9%	—	—	2.00
Bristol City to score 2+ in a row	30.0%	31.9%	—	—	3.13
Lincoln City to score 2+ in a row	23.5%	21.7%	—	—	4.60
Either team to score 3+ in a row	15.4%	17.0%	—	—	5.89
Bristol City to score 3+ in a row	9.4%	7.8%	—	—	12.88
Lincoln City to score 3+ in a row	6.2%	7.7%	—	—	12.99

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-1	14.6%	11.2%	14.5%	0.77×	8.91
0-0	10.7%	11.2%	7.3%	1.55×	8.91
1-0	10.1%	11.2%	11.0%	1.02×	8.91
0-1	8.4%	7.4%	7.7%	0.97×	13.45
0-2	5.6%	7.4%	5.3%	1.40×	13.45
1-2	7.2%	7.4%	7.9%	0.94×	13.45
2-0	7.6%	7.4%	6.2%	1.21×	13.45
2-1	8.4%	7.4%	11.5%	0.65×	13.45
0-3	2.1%	1.7%	1.6%	1.06×	58.34
0-4	0.6%	1.7%	0.4%	4.01×	58.35
1-3	2.7%	1.7%	3.1%	0.56×	58.34
1-4	0.7%	1.7%	0.6%	2.86×	58.35
2-2	4.7%	1.7%	5.2%	0.33×	58.34
2-3	1.7%	1.7%	1.7%	1.00×	58.34
2-4	0.5%	1.7%	0.3%	6.68×	58.35
3-0	3.3%	1.7%	4.0%	0.43×	58.34
3-1	3.6%	1.7%	4.4%	0.39×	58.34
3-2	2.0%	1.7%	1.8%	0.96×	58.34
3-3	0.7%	1.7%	0.9%	2.01×	58.35
3-4	0.2%	1.7%	0.3%	6.68×	58.35
4-0	1.1%	1.7%	1.7%	1.00×	58.35
4-1	1.2%	1.7%	0.9%	2.01×	58.34
4-2	0.6%	1.7%	0.8%	2.23×	58.35
4-3	0.2%	1.7%	0.2%	10.03×	58.35
4-4	0.1%	1.7%	0.1%	20.05×	58.35
Any other score	1.6%	1.7%	2.9%	0.59×	58.34

DNB 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Bristol City (2nd half DNB)	53.5%	51.4%	—	—	1.95
Lincoln City (2nd half DNB)	46.5%	48.6%	—	—	2.06

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Bristol City leading at HT (DNB)	57.1%	57.0%	—	—	1.75
Lincoln City leading at HT (DNB)	42.9%	43.0%	—	—	2.33

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Bristol City or draw (1X)	69.8%	68.5%	70.9%	0.97×	1.46
Bristol City or Lincoln City (12)	69.3%	68.5%	72.4%	0.95×	1.46
Lincoln City or draw (X2)	60.9%	62.3%	56.6%	1.10×	1.60

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Bristol City or draw at HT	77.3%	76.8%	—	—	1.30
Lincoln City or draw at HT	69.7%	67.2%	—	—	1.49
Bristol City or Lincoln City at HT	53.0%	53.9%	—	—	1.85

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Bristol City or draw (1UP)	69.8%	71.5%	—	—	1.40
Lincoln City or draw (1UP)	60.9%	70.1%	—	—	1.43

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Bristol City or draw in 2nd half	71.8%	71.7%	—	—	1.40
Lincoln City or draw in 2nd half	67.5%	67.2%	—	—	1.49
Bristol City or Lincoln City in 2nd half	60.7%	63.5%	—	—	1.58

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	66.1%	65.1%	—	—	1.54
Neither half drawn	33.9%	34.9%	—	—	2.87

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Bristol City (DNB)	56.4%	57.0%	59.9%	0.95×	1.76
Lincoln City (DNB)	43.6%	43.0%	40.1%	1.07×	2.32

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Bristol City to score first	48.1%	46.2%	—	—	2.17
Lincoln City to score first	41.3%	43.7%	—	—	2.29
No goal scored	10.7%	6.9%	—	—	14.56

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams to score	50.2%	51.6%	54.4%	0.95×	1.94
Not both teams to score	49.8%	48.4%	45.6%	1.06×	2.07

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both score & under 2.5	42.3%	41.6%	37.1%	1.12×	2.40
Both score & over 2.5	35.6%	38.0%	40.0%	0.95×	2.63
Both score & under 2.5	14.6%	11.9%	14.5%	0.82×	8.41
Not both score & over 2.5	7.4%	8.4%	8.5%	0.99×	11.85

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	88.7%	85.7%	89.0%	0.96×	1.17
Both teams to score 2+	11.3%	14.3%	11.0%	1.29×	7.01

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	74.1%	70.9%	—	—	1.41
Both teams to score in 2nd half	25.9%	29.1%	—	—	3.44

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	62.4%	60.6%	—	—	1.65
Both score 2nd half only	22.0%	23.4%	—	—	4.28
Both score 1st half only	11.7%	11.9%	—	—	8.43
Both score in both halves	3.9%	4.9%	—	—	20.58

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	84.4%	82.7%	—	—	1.21
Both teams to score by HT	15.6%	17.3%	—	—	5.78

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half without a goal	51.6%	52.4%	—	—	1.91
A goal in each half	48.4%	47.6%	—	—	2.10

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	48.7%	46.5%	50.5%	0.92×	2.15
0-1 goals	29.2%	27.0%	25.8%	1.05×	3.70
4-6 goals	21.0%	23.5%	22.5%	1.05×	4.26
7+ goals	1.2%	2.0%	1.4%	1.47×	49.78

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Lincoln City to score exactly 1	36.6%	36.0%	39.6%	0.91×	2.78
Lincoln City to score exactly 0	33.0%	32.3%	30.4%	1.06×	3.09
Lincoln City to score exactly 2	20.3%	23.2%	20.7%	1.12×	4.30
Lincoln City to score 3+	10.2%	13.0%	9.5%	1.37×	7.69

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Bristol City to score exactly 1	35.5%	36.6%	37.0%	0.99×	2.73
Bristol City to score exactly 0	27.5%	26.4%	22.4%	1.18×	3.78
Bristol City to score exactly 2	22.9%	22.9%	24.6%	0.93×	4.38
Bristol City to score 3+	14.1%	13.3%	16.2%	0.82×	7.53

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT	47.0%	46.1%	—	—	2.17
Bristol City leading at HT	30.3%	32.8%	—	—	3.05
Lincoln City leading at HT	22.7%	23.2%	—	—	4.31

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Bristol City -1: 2	60.9%	61.4%	—	—	1.63
Bristol City -1: X	20.7%	23.3%	—	—	4.29
Bristol City -1: 1	18.3%	17.8%	—	—	5.61

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Lincoln City (0:1)	60.9%	60.0%	56.6%	1.06×	1.67
Draw (0:1)	20.7%	23.6%	24.2%	0.97×	4.24
Bristol City (0:1)	18.3%	18.2%	19.3%	0.94×	5.49

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Lincoln City (0:2)	81.7%	82.9%	80.7%	1.03×	1.21
Draw (0:2)	11.9%	11.4%	11.4%	1.00×	8.81
Bristol City (0:2)	6.4%	7.7%	8.0%	0.96×	12.97

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Lincoln City (0:3)	93.6%	92.6%	92.0%	1.01×	1.08
Draw (0:3)	4.6%	2.6%	4.8%	0.53×	39.14
Bristol City (0:3)	1.8%	2.6%	3.3%	0.77×	39.18

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Lincoln City (0:4)	98.2%	97.7%	96.7%	1.01×	1.02
Draw (0:4)	1.4%	1.4%	2.4%	0.59×	70.72
Bristol City (0:4)	0.4%	1.4%	1.0%	1.38×	70.76

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Bristol City (1:0)	69.8%	69.1%	70.9%	0.97×	1.45
Draw (1:0)	17.6%	17.3%	17.4%	1.00×	5.77
Lincoln City (1:0)	12.6%	12.6%	11.8%	1.06×	7.97

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Bristol City (2:0)	87.4%	88.1%	88.2%	1.00×	1.14
Draw (2:0)	8.8%	6.6%	8.6%	0.77×	15.11
Lincoln City (2:0)	3.9%	2.8%	3.2%	0.86×	35.89

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	44.9%	48.7%	—	—	2.05
Halves equal	29.4%	26.2%	—	—	3.82
1st half highest scoring	25.8%	26.1%	—	—	3.82

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Bristol City to concede	67.0%	68.6%	69.6%	0.99×	1.46
Bristol City clean sheet	33.0%	31.4%	30.4%	1.03×	3.19

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Bristol City clean sheet in 1st half	64.2%	62.3%	—	—	1.61
Bristol City to concede in 1st half	35.8%	37.7%	—	—	2.65

Home clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Bristol City to concede in 2nd half	48.6%	50.4%	—	—	1.98
Bristol City clean sheet in 2nd half	51.4%	49.6%	—	—	2.02

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Bristol City under 3.5 goals	95.8%	96.6%	94.9%	1.02×	1.04
Bristol City under 2.5 goals	85.9%	87.3%	83.8%	1.04×	1.15
Bristol City over 0.5 goals	72.5%	73.1%	77.6%	0.94×	1.37
Bristol City under 1.5 goals	62.9%	62.4%	59.3%	1.05×	1.60
Bristol City over 1.5 goals	37.1%	37.6%	40.7%	0.92×	2.66
Bristol City under 0.5 goals	27.5%	26.9%	22.4%	1.20×	3.71
Bristol City over 2.5 goals	14.1%	12.7%	16.2%	0.79×	7.87
Bristol City over 3.5 goals	4.2%	3.4%	5.1%	0.66×	29.38

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Bristol City under 1.5 in 1st half	89.2%	87.8%	—	—	1.14
Bristol City under 0.5 in 1st half	57.4%	57.4%	—	—	1.74
Bristol City over 0.5 in 1st half	42.6%	42.6%	—	—	2.35
Bristol City over 1.5 in 1st half	10.8%	12.2%	—	—	8.17

Home highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Bristol City scores equally in both	39.9%	37.2%	—	—	2.69
Bristol City scores more in 2nd half	35.6%	37.1%	—	—	2.70
Bristol City scores more in 1st half	24.5%	23.2%	—	—	4.31

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw (home no bet)	50.4%	52.0%	48.7%	1.07×	1.92
Lincoln City (home no bet)	49.6%	48.0%	51.3%	0.94×	2.08

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Bristol City even goals	53.8%	50.9%	50.4%	1.01×	1.96
Bristol City odd goals	46.2%	49.1%	49.6%	0.99×	2.04

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	37.1%	34.8%	—	—	2.87
HT 1-0	20.2%	22.5%	—	—	4.45
HT 0-1	16.1%	19.9%	—	—	5.04
HT 1-1	9.4%	8.0%	—	—	12.52
HT 2-0	5.7%	8.0%	—	—	12.56
HT 0-2	3.6%	2.5%	—	—	40.42
Any other HT score	2.9%	2.5%	—	—	40.45
HT 2-1	2.5%	2.5%	—	—	40.47
HT 1-2	2.0%	2.5%	—	—	40.49
HT 2-2	0.6%	2.5%	—	—	40.56

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Bristol City at HT / Bristol City at FT	22.7%	20.9%	—	—	4.78
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	20.2%	20.9%	—	—	4.79
Lincoln City at HT / Lincoln City at FT	15.9%	17.3%	—	—	5.78
Draw at HT / Bristol City at FT	14.4%	12.0%	—	—	8.31
Draw at HT / Lincoln City at FT	12.4%	12.0%	—	—	8.33
Bristol City at HT / Draw at FT	5.6%	6.5%	—	—	15.50
Lincoln City at HT / Draw at FT	4.9%	3.6%	—	—	27.50
Bristol City at HT / Lincoln City at FT	2.0%	3.6%	—	—	27.58
Lincoln City at HT / Bristol City at FT	1.9%	3.6%	—	—	27.58

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Bristol City to score last	48.1%	46.3%	—	—	2.16
Lincoln City to score last	41.2%	43.4%	—	—	2.31
No goal scored	10.7%	7.0%	—	—	14.20

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	89.3%	92.7%	—	—	1.08
Bristol City to lead by 1 at any time	54.6%	51.8%	—	—	1.93
Lincoln City to lead by 1 at any time	46.7%	46.5%	—	—	2.15
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	40.8%	41.7%	—	—	2.40
Bristol City to lead by 2 at any time	23.6%	21.4%	—	—	4.68
Lincoln City to lead by 2 at any time	17.4%	17.6%	—	—	5.68
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	13.0%	11.0%	—	—	9.06
Bristol City to lead by 3 at any time	7.9%	7.4%	—	—	13.46
Lincoln City to lead by 3 at any time	5.0%	7.4%	—	—	13.55

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	85.8%	87.1%	88.9%	0.98×	1.15
1-4 goals	79.7%	77.9%	83.4%	0.93×	1.28
2-6 goals	69.7%	68.2%	72.9%	0.94×	1.47
2-5 goals	67.2%	68.2%	70.3%	0.97×	1.47
1-3 goals	67.2%	68.2%	69.1%	0.99×	1.47
2-4 goals	61.2%	62.7%	64.9%	0.97×	1.60
2-3 goals	48.7%	47.4%	50.5%	0.94×	2.11
1-2 goals	46.2%	47.4%	44.4%	1.07×	2.11
3-6 goals	41.9%	43.6%	47.2%	0.92×	2.30
3-5 goals	39.5%	39.0%	44.6%	0.87×	2.56
3-4 goals	33.5%	34.7%	39.1%	0.89×	2.88
4-6 goals	21.0%	23.7%	22.5%	1.06×	4.22
4-5 goals	18.6%	18.9%	19.9%	0.95×	5.30
5-6 goals	8.5%	8.9%	8.1%	1.10×	11.21
7+ goals	1.2%	2.3%	1.4%	1.65×	44.28

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Bristol City never behind	42.6%	47.1%	—	—	2.12
Lincoln City never behind	34.8%	36.8%	—	—	2.72

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even number of goals	53.6%	50.1%	50.6%	0.99×	2.00
Odd number of goals	46.4%	49.9%	49.4%	1.01×	2.00

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	57.3%	55.1%	—	—	1.82
Odd goals in 1st half	42.7%	44.9%	—	—	2.23

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	54.1%	51.6%	—	—	1.94
Odd goals in 2nd half	45.9%	48.4%	—	—	2.07

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 5.5 goals	96.4%	96.0%	96.1%	1.00×	1.04
Under 4.5 goals	90.4%	92.3%	90.6%	1.02×	1.08
Over 0.5 goals	89.3%	87.8%	92.7%	0.95×	1.14
Under 3.5 goals	77.8%	77.0%	76.2%	1.01×	1.30
Over 1.5 goals	70.8%	72.4%	74.2%	0.98×	1.38
Under 2.5 goals	56.9%	57.8%	51.5%	1.12×	1.73
Over 2.5 goals	43.1%	42.2%	48.5%	0.87×	2.37
Under 1.5 goals	29.2%	27.6%	25.8%	1.07×	3.62
Over 3.5 goals	22.2%	23.0%	23.8%	0.97×	4.34
Under 0.5 goals	10.7%	12.2%	7.3%	1.68×	8.21
Over 4.5 goals	9.6%	7.7%	9.4%	0.82×	12.91
Over 5.5 goals	3.6%	4.0%	3.9%	1.01×	25.19

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	98.8%	97.3%	98.6%	0.99×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	96.2%	97.3%	95.8%	1.02×	1.03
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	89.0%	86.6%	89.0%	0.97×	1.15
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	72.0%	72.1%	68.4%	1.05×	1.39
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	59.6%	58.2%	65.2%	0.89×	1.72
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	40.4%	41.8%	34.8%	1.20×	2.39
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	28.0%	27.9%	31.6%	0.88×	3.58
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	11.0%	13.4%	11.0%	1.22×	7.49
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	3.8%	2.7%	4.2%	0.66×	36.68
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	1.2%	2.7%	1.4%	1.94×	36.72

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	92.0%	91.9%	—	—	1.09
Under 1.5 in 1st half	73.3%	73.8%	—	—	1.36
Over 0.5 in 1st half	62.9%	65.1%	—	—	1.54
Under 0.5 in 1st half	37.1%	34.9%	—	—	2.87
Over 1.5 in 1st half	26.7%	26.2%	—	—	3.82
Over 2.5 in 1st half	8.0%	8.1%	—	—	12.28

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	83.3%	82.5%	—	—	1.21
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	74.9%	75.7%	—	—	1.32
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	58.5%	57.0%	—	—	1.75
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	41.5%	43.0%	—	—	2.33
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	25.2%	24.3%	—	—	4.12
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	16.7%	17.5%	—	—	5.73

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Lincoln City not to score in both halves	82.6%	81.3%	—	—	1.23
Bristol City not to score in both halves	77.8%	75.8%	—	—	1.32
Bristol City to score in both halves	22.2%	24.2%	—	—	4.13
Lincoln City to score in both halves	17.4%	18.7%	—	—	5.33

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	50.2%	54.2%	54.4%	1.00×	1.84
Only Bristol City scores	22.3%	21.5%	23.2%	0.93×	4.64
Only Lincoln City scores	16.8%	16.9%	15.2%	1.11×	5.93
Neither team scores	10.7%	11.2%	7.3%	1.54×	8.94

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 2 goals	27.7%	25.0%	25.8%	0.97×	4.00
Exactly 3 goals	20.9%	22.3%	24.8%	0.90×	4.49
Exactly 1 goals	18.5%	17.6%	18.6%	0.95×	5.68
Exactly 4 goals	12.6%	12.3%	14.4%	0.85×	8.14
Exactly 0 goals	10.7%	12.3%	7.3%	1.69×	8.15
Exactly 5 goals	6.0%	7.8%	5.6%	1.40×	12.89
6 or more goals	3.6%	4.0%	3.9%	1.03×	24.73

Total goals 1st half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
No goals in 1st half	37.1%	36.9%	—	—	2.71
1 goal in 1st half	36.2%	36.9%	—	—	2.71
2 goals in 1st half	18.7%	18.8%	—	—	5.31
3+ goals in 1st half	8.0%	8.1%	—	—	12.28

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	41.5%	43.1%	—	—	2.32
1 goal in 2nd half	33.4%	34.3%	—	—	2.91
No goals in 2nd half	25.2%	27.1%	—	—	3.70

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Lincoln City not to win both halves	93.4%	92.6%	—	—	1.08
Bristol City not to win both halves	89.9%	87.9%	—	—	1.14
Bristol City to win both halves	10.1%	12.1%	—	—	8.25
Lincoln City to win both halves	6.6%	7.4%	—	—	13.56

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Lincoln City to win neither half	55.7%	58.1%	—	—	1.72
Bristol City to win either half	52.6%	53.0%	—	—	1.89
Bristol City to win neither half	47.4%	47.0%	—	—	2.13
Lincoln City to win either half	44.3%	41.9%	—	—	2.39

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Lincoln City not to win to nil	83.2%	83.0%	84.8%	0.98×	1.21
Bristol City not to win to nil	77.7%	78.4%	76.8%	1.02×	1.28
Bristol City to win to nil	22.3%	21.6%	23.2%	0.93×	4.63
Lincoln City to win to nil	16.8%	17.1%	15.2%	1.12×	5.87

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw	30.7%	29.2%	27.6%	1.06×	3.43
Bristol City by 1	20.7%	23.4%	24.2%	0.97×	4.27
Lincoln City by 1	17.6%	17.2%	17.4%	0.99×	5.80
Bristol City by 2	11.9%	11.8%	11.4%	1.04×	8.45
Lincoln City by 2	8.8%	7.3%	8.6%	0.84×	13.77
Bristol City by 3+	6.4%	7.3%	8.0%	0.90×	13.77
Lincoln City by 3+	3.9%	3.0%	3.2%	0.92×	33.45