Bristol City v Norwich City — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Saturday 7 November 2026 · ENG-Championship · 2627

Championship results-only Prediction generated 18 Sep 2026, 10:37 UTC

Bristol City

12:30 UTC

Norwich City

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 26 Oct, 10:59 · 290h before kick-off

Bristol City win

36.7%

model 36.9%

Draw

26.7%

model 27.7%

Norwich City win

36.6%

model 35.5%

372737

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (648 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-1 13.0%
2-1 8.5%
1-2 8.3%
0-0 7.0%
1-0 6.8%

Goals

Over 2.5	55.0%	Under 2.5	45.0%
BTTS yes	59.7%	BTTS no	40.3%
Bristol City 1+	76.7%	Bristol City 2+	42.8%
Norwich City 1+	76.0%	Norwich City 2+	41.7%

Expected goals 1.46 – 1.43. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

47/100

Data quality

75/100

Model agreement

96%

★ Best pick

3-6 goals

Multi goal · usually 47%

52.3% fair odds 1.91

moderate signal · 1994 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Norwich City (0:2)

Handicap 0:2 · usually 81%

83.6% fair odds 1.20

moderate signal · 504 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

Form is good: 2.00 points a match from the last five.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Bristol City have an estimated 36.7% win probability, against 36.6% for Norwich City and 26.7% for the draw. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.46 for Bristol City and 1.43 for Norwich City.

Why Bristol City

Form is good: 2.00 points a match from the last five.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 26.7%. The sides are closely matched on expected goals, 1.46 to 1.43. Draws run at 28% in this competition.

Why Norwich City can win

Norwich City carry the stronger rating, 1491 Elo against 1446.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Bristol City, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Norwich City, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Bristol City: 42% possession, 11.2 shots a match, 16.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Norwich City: 52% possession, 15.6 shots a match, 12.6 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-10-26 10:06 · team_stats 2026-10-26 06:08 · availability 2026-10-26 14:59 · prediction 2026-09-18 10:37 ·

Bristol City are the model's most likely outcome at 36.7%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 13.0%. Confidence 47/100, data quality 75/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Live TV

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Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	372835	1.46–1.43	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	402832	1.50–1.31	1-1 13%	53%	58%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Bristol City to win	40.4%	42.9%	43.4%	0.99×	2.33
Norwich City to win	31.7%	30.4%	29.1%	1.05×	3.29
Draw	27.9%	27.9%	27.6%	1.01×	3.58

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Bristol City & both teams score	20.8%	21.8%	20.2%	1.08×	4.59
Draw & both teams score	20.5%	21.8%	20.4%	1.07×	4.59
Bristol City & not both score	19.6%	18.0%	23.3%	0.77×	5.56
Norwich City & both teams score	16.9%	18.0%	13.9%	1.29×	5.57
Norwich City & not both score	14.8%	13.3%	15.2%	0.87×	7.54
Draw & not both score	7.4%	8.3%	7.3%	1.14×	12.00

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Bristol City & over 1.5	32.8%	30.8%	32.5%	0.95×	3.25
Bristol City & under 3.5	26.7%	26.0%	32.4%	0.80×	3.84
Bristol City & over 2.5	26.0%	26.0%	26.4%	0.99×	3.84
Norwich City & over 1.5	25.2%	26.0%	21.4%	1.22×	3.84
Norwich City & under 3.5	21.6%	21.6%	22.3%	0.97×	4.63
Draw & under 2.5	20.7%	21.6%	21.8%	0.99×	4.63
Draw & under 3.5	20.7%	21.6%	21.8%	0.99×	4.63
Draw & over 1.5	20.5%	21.6%	20.4%	1.06×	4.63
Norwich City & over 2.5	20.1%	21.6%	16.2%	1.33×	4.63
Bristol City & under 2.5	14.4%	12.8%	17.1%	0.75×	7.79
Bristol City & over 3.5	13.7%	12.8%	11.1%	1.15×	7.79
Norwich City & under 2.5	11.6%	12.8%	12.9%	0.99×	7.79
Norwich City & over 3.5	10.1%	12.8%	6.8%	1.89×	7.79
Bristol City & under 1.5	7.6%	7.9%	11.0%	0.72×	12.63
Draw & under 1.5	7.4%	7.9%	7.3%	1.08×	12.63
Draw & over 2.5	7.3%	7.9%	5.9%	1.33×	12.63
Draw & over 3.5	7.3%	7.9%	5.9%	1.33×	12.63
Norwich City & under 1.5	6.4%	7.9%	7.7%	1.02×	12.63

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Bristol City (1UP)	57.7%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Norwich City (1UP)	50.2%	52.2%	—	—	1.92

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Bristol City (2UP)	40.4%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
Norwich City (2UP)	31.7%	30.2%	—	—	3.31

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half drawn	35.7%	36.4%	—	—	2.75
Bristol City to win 2nd half	34.1%	34.0%	—	—	2.94
Norwich City to win 2nd half	30.1%	33.9%	—	—	2.95

2nd half away goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Norwich City under 1.5 in 2nd half	81.4%	84.0%	—	—	1.19
Norwich City over 0.5 in 2nd half	54.4%	52.6%	—	—	1.90
Norwich City under 0.5 in 2nd half	45.6%	47.4%	—	—	2.11
Norwich City over 1.5 in 2nd half	18.6%	16.0%	—	—	6.26

2nd half home goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Bristol City under 1.5 in 2nd half	78.8%	75.3%	—	—	1.33
Bristol City over 0.5 in 2nd half	57.5%	58.2%	—	—	1.72
Bristol City under 0.5 in 2nd half	42.5%	41.8%	—	—	2.39
Bristol City over 1.5 in 2nd half	21.2%	24.7%	—	—	4.05

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Norwich City (+2.5)	92.0%	92.1%	91.9%	1.00×	1.09
Norwich City (+1.5)	79.5%	78.5%	80.7%	0.97×	1.27
Bristol City (+0.5)	68.3%	68.7%	70.9%	0.97×	1.46
Norwich City (+0.5)	59.6%	57.1%	56.6%	1.01×	1.75
Bristol City (-0.5)	40.4%	42.9%	43.4%	0.99×	2.33
Norwich City (-0.5)	31.7%	31.3%	29.1%	1.08×	3.19
Bristol City (-1.5)	20.5%	21.5%	19.3%	1.11×	4.65
Bristol City (-2.5)	8.0%	7.9%	8.1%	0.98×	12.69

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Norwich City to concede	77.8%	78.8%	77.6%	1.02×	1.27
Norwich City clean sheet	22.2%	21.2%	22.4%	0.95×	4.71

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Norwich City clean sheet in 1st half	52.4%	50.9%	—	—	1.97
Norwich City to concede in 1st half	47.6%	49.1%	—	—	2.04

Away clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Norwich City to concede in 2nd half	57.5%	57.4%	—	—	1.74
Norwich City clean sheet in 2nd half	42.5%	42.6%	—	—	2.35

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Norwich City over 2.5 corners	82.6%	81.4%	—	—	1.23
Norwich City over 3.5 corners	70.8%	71.6%	—	—	1.40
Norwich City under 6.5 corners	65.0%	67.6%	—	—	1.48
Norwich City over 4.5 corners	58.1%	57.2%	—	—	1.75
Norwich City under 5.5 corners	54.2%	53.1%	—	—	1.88
Norwich City over 5.5 corners	45.8%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
Norwich City under 4.5 corners	41.9%	42.8%	—	—	2.34
Norwich City over 6.5 corners	35.0%	32.4%	—	—	3.09
Norwich City under 3.5 corners	29.2%	28.4%	—	—	3.52
Norwich City under 2.5 corners	17.4%	18.6%	—	—	5.38

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Norwich City under 3.5 goals	95.6%	97.5%	97.8%	1.00×	1.03
Norwich City under 2.5 goals	85.5%	87.8%	90.6%	0.97×	1.14
Norwich City over 0.5 goals	73.0%	71.9%	69.5%	1.03×	1.39
Norwich City under 1.5 goals	62.3%	63.2%	70.0%	0.90×	1.58
Norwich City over 1.5 goals	37.7%	36.8%	30.0%	1.23×	2.72
Norwich City under 0.5 goals	27.0%	28.1%	30.5%	0.92×	3.55
Norwich City over 2.5 goals	14.5%	12.2%	9.4%	1.29×	8.19
Norwich City over 3.5 goals	4.4%	2.5%	2.2%	1.14×	39.74

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Norwich City under 1.5 in 1st half	90.2%	93.8%	—	—	1.07
Norwich City under 0.5 in 1st half	59.2%	62.4%	—	—	1.60
Norwich City over 0.5 in 1st half	40.8%	37.6%	—	—	2.66
Norwich City over 1.5 in 1st half	9.8%	6.2%	—	—	16.25

Away highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Norwich City scores equally in both	39.3%	37.4%	—	—	2.67
Norwich City scores more in 2nd half	38.4%	37.4%	—	—	2.68
Norwich City scores more in 1st half	22.3%	21.8%	—	—	4.59

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Bristol City (away no bet)	59.1%	57.4%	61.1%	0.94×	1.74
Draw (away no bet)	40.9%	42.6%	38.9%	1.10×	2.35

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Norwich City even goals	53.6%	52.6%	52.4%	1.00×	1.90
Norwich City odd goals	46.4%	47.4%	47.6%	1.00×	2.11

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	84.0%	83.2%	—	—	1.20
Both halves over 1.5 goals	16.0%	16.8%	—	—	5.96

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	66.3%	67.8%	—	—	1.48
Both halves under 1.5 goals	33.7%	32.2%	—	—	3.10

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	57.1%	54.9%	—	—	1.82
Bristol City to score 2+ in a row	35.4%	36.4%	—	—	2.75
Norwich City to score 2+ in a row	28.6%	25.0%	—	—	4.00
Either team to score 3+ in a row	20.2%	19.5%	—	—	5.13
Bristol City to score 3+ in a row	12.1%	12.1%	—	—	8.23
Norwich City to score 3+ in a row	8.4%	5.5%	—	—	18.09

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Norwich City corners (+3.5)	78.3%	74.8%	—	—	1.34
Bristol City corners (+3.5)	77.6%	74.8%	—	—	1.34
Norwich City corners (+2.5)	71.5%	70.7%	—	—	1.41
Bristol City corners (+2.5)	70.7%	70.7%	—	—	1.41
Norwich City corners (+1.5)	63.6%	61.9%	—	—	1.62
Bristol City corners (+1.5)	62.7%	61.9%	—	—	1.62
Norwich City corners (-1.5)	37.3%	38.1%	—	—	2.62
Bristol City corners (-1.5)	36.4%	38.1%	—	—	2.62
Norwich City corners (-2.5)	29.3%	29.3%	—	—	3.42
Bristol City corners (-2.5)	28.5%	29.3%	—	—	3.42
Norwich City corners (-3.5)	22.4%	25.2%	—	—	3.97
Bristol City corners (-3.5)	21.7%	25.2%	—	—	3.97

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
12+ corners	44.0%	38.3%	—	—	2.61
0-8 corners	30.6%	33.2%	—	—	3.01
9-11 corners	25.4%	31.2%	—	—	3.21

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 7.5 corners	77.3%	76.6%	—	—	1.31
Over 8.5 corners	69.4%	67.8%	—	—	1.48
Under 12.5 corners	63.7%	63.2%	—	—	1.58
Over 9.5 corners	60.9%	63.2%	—	—	1.58
Under 11.5 corners	56.0%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Over 10.5 corners	52.3%	53.2%	—	—	1.88
Under 10.5 corners	47.7%	46.8%	—	—	2.14
Over 11.5 corners	44.0%	42.1%	—	—	2.37
Under 9.5 corners	39.1%	36.8%	—	—	2.72
Over 12.5 corners	36.3%	36.8%	—	—	2.72
Under 8.5 corners	30.6%	32.2%	—	—	3.11
Under 7.5 corners	22.7%	23.4%	—	—	4.27

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.2%	—	—	1.99
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.8%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-1	13.2%	11.5%	14.5%	0.79×	8.71
2-1	8.9%	7.4%	11.5%	0.65×	13.51
0-0	7.4%	7.4%	7.3%	1.01×	13.51
1-0	7.6%	7.4%	11.0%	0.67×	13.51
1-2	7.7%	7.4%	8.0%	0.93×	13.51
2-0	6.8%	7.4%	6.1%	1.21×	13.51
0-1	6.4%	7.4%	7.7%	0.96×	13.51
0-2	5.2%	7.4%	5.3%	1.41×	13.51
2-2	5.8%	7.4%	5.2%	1.43×	13.51
Any other score	2.9%	1.7%	3.0%	0.58×	58.30
0-3	2.2%	1.7%	1.6%	1.06×	58.31
0-4	0.7%	1.7%	0.4%	4.04×	58.32
1-3	3.4%	1.7%	3.1%	0.56×	58.30
1-4	1.1%	1.7%	0.6%	2.88×	58.31
2-3	2.5%	1.7%	1.7%	1.01×	58.30
2-4	0.8%	1.7%	0.3%	6.73×	58.31
3-0	3.4%	1.7%	4.0%	0.43×	58.30
3-1	4.5%	1.7%	4.3%	0.40×	58.29
3-2	2.9%	1.7%	1.8%	0.96×	58.30
3-3	1.3%	1.7%	0.9%	2.02×	58.31
3-4	0.4%	1.7%	0.3%	6.73×	58.32
4-0	1.3%	1.7%	1.7%	1.01×	58.31
4-1	1.7%	1.7%	0.9%	2.02×	58.31
4-2	1.1%	1.7%	0.8%	2.24×	58.31
4-3	0.5%	1.7%	0.2%	10.09×	58.32
4-4	0.2%	1.7%	0.1%	20.18×	58.32

DNB 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Bristol City (2nd half DNB)	53.1%	54.7%	—	—	1.83
Norwich City (2nd half DNB)	46.9%	45.3%	—	—	2.21

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Bristol City leading at HT (DNB)	56.9%	55.5%	—	—	1.80
Norwich City leading at HT (DNB)	43.1%	44.5%	—	—	2.25

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Bristol City or Norwich City (12)	72.1%	72.1%	72.4%	1.00×	1.39
Bristol City or draw (1X)	68.3%	69.6%	70.9%	0.98×	1.44
Norwich City or draw (X2)	59.6%	57.1%	56.6%	1.01×	1.75

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Bristol City or draw at HT	75.4%	79.5%	—	—	1.26
Norwich City or draw at HT	67.6%	67.2%	—	—	1.49
Bristol City or Norwich City at HT	57.1%	57.4%	—	—	1.74

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Bristol City or draw (1UP)	68.3%	76.5%	—	—	1.31
Norwich City or draw (1UP)	59.6%	63.2%	—	—	1.58

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Bristol City or draw in 2nd half	69.9%	66.1%	—	—	1.51
Norwich City or draw in 2nd half	65.9%	66.0%	—	—	1.52
Bristol City or Norwich City in 2nd half	64.3%	63.6%	—	—	1.57

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	61.8%	61.3%	—	—	1.63
Neither half drawn	38.2%	38.7%	—	—	2.59

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Bristol City (DNB)	56.1%	58.1%	59.9%	0.97×	1.72
Norwich City (DNB)	44.0%	41.9%	40.1%	1.05×	2.38

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Bristol City to score first	49.5%	45.9%	—	—	2.18
Norwich City to score first	43.1%	41.7%	—	—	2.40
No goal scored	7.4%	7.6%	—	—	13.21

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams to score	58.2%	55.0%	54.4%	1.01×	1.82
Not both teams to score	41.8%	45.0%	45.6%	0.99×	2.22

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both score & over 2.5	45.0%	41.6%	39.9%	1.04×	2.40
Not both score & under 2.5	33.4%	34.6%	37.1%	0.93×	2.89
Both score & under 2.5	13.2%	12.4%	14.5%	0.85×	8.09
Not both score & over 2.5	8.4%	8.3%	8.6%	0.97×	12.06

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	83.3%	82.6%	89.0%	0.93×	1.21
Both teams to score 2+	16.7%	17.4%	11.0%	1.58×	5.76

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	68.2%	67.3%	—	—	1.49
Both teams to score in 2nd half	31.8%	32.7%	—	—	3.06

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	54.6%	54.9%	—	—	1.82
Both score 2nd half only	25.7%	26.8%	—	—	3.73
Both score 1st half only	13.6%	10.8%	—	—	9.29
Both score in both halves	6.1%	6.8%	—	—	14.80

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	80.3%	83.3%	—	—	1.20
Both teams to score by HT	19.7%	16.7%	—	—	6.00

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A goal in each half	56.3%	56.9%	—	—	1.76
A half without a goal	43.7%	43.1%	—	—	2.32

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	47.4%	47.2%	50.5%	0.94×	2.12
4-6 goals	28.6%	26.6%	22.4%	1.19×	3.76
0-1 goals	21.5%	22.9%	25.9%	0.88×	4.36
7+ goals	2.5%	1.8%	1.4%	1.35×	54.31

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Norwich City to score exactly 1	35.3%	35.9%	39.6%	0.91×	2.79
Norwich City to score exactly 0	27.0%	27.4%	30.5%	0.90×	3.65
Norwich City to score exactly 2	23.2%	22.3%	20.6%	1.08×	4.49
Norwich City to score 3+	14.5%	12.9%	9.4%	1.37×	7.75

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Bristol City to score exactly 1	33.4%	32.6%	37.0%	0.88×	3.07
Bristol City to score exactly 2	25.1%	26.5%	24.6%	1.08×	3.77
Bristol City to score exactly 0	22.2%	23.3%	22.4%	1.04×	4.29
Bristol City to score 3+	19.2%	18.8%	16.1%	1.16×	5.32

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT	42.9%	42.6%	—	—	2.35
Bristol City leading at HT	32.4%	32.8%	—	—	3.05
Norwich City leading at HT	24.6%	20.5%	—	—	4.88

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Bristol City -1: 2	59.6%	56.8%	—	—	1.76
Bristol City -1: 1	20.5%	23.5%	—	—	4.25
Bristol City -1: X	19.9%	17.5%	—	—	5.71

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Norwich City (0:1)	59.6%	55.9%	56.6%	0.99×	1.79
Bristol City (0:1)	20.5%	24.2%	19.3%	1.26×	4.13
Draw (0:1)	19.9%	17.8%	24.2%	0.74×	5.61

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Norwich City (0:2)	79.5%	79.4%	80.7%	0.98×	1.26
Draw (0:2)	12.5%	11.0%	11.3%	0.97×	9.10
Bristol City (0:2)	8.0%	7.7%	8.1%	0.95×	13.05

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Norwich City (0:3)	92.0%	92.7%	91.9%	1.01×	1.08
Draw (0:3)	5.4%	5.8%	4.8%	1.22×	17.27
Bristol City (0:3)	2.6%	2.4%	3.4%	0.70×	42.03

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Norwich City (0:4)	97.4%	98.1%	96.6%	1.02×	1.02
Draw (0:4)	1.9%	1.2%	2.4%	0.51×	81.69
Bristol City (0:4)	0.7%	1.2%	1.1%	1.11×	81.83

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Bristol City (1:0)	68.3%	70.2%	70.9%	0.99×	1.43
Draw (1:0)	17.2%	17.1%	17.4%	0.98×	5.85
Norwich City (1:0)	14.5%	12.7%	11.7%	1.09×	7.86

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Bristol City (2:0)	85.5%	88.5%	88.3%	1.00×	1.13
Draw (2:0)	9.5%	6.4%	8.6%	0.75×	15.63
Norwich City (2:0)	5.0%	6.4%	3.2%	1.97×	15.69

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	47.2%	48.6%	—	—	2.06
Halves equal	26.5%	26.2%	—	—	3.81
1st half highest scoring	26.3%	26.2%	—	—	3.81

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Bristol City to concede	73.0%	73.0%	69.5%	1.05×	1.37
Bristol City clean sheet	27.0%	27.0%	30.5%	0.88×	3.71

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Bristol City clean sheet in 1st half	59.2%	62.4%	—	—	1.60
Bristol City to concede in 1st half	40.8%	37.6%	—	—	2.66

Home clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Bristol City to concede in 2nd half	54.4%	52.6%	—	—	1.90
Bristol City clean sheet in 2nd half	45.6%	47.4%	—	—	2.11

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Bristol City over 2.5 corners	82.3%	81.0%	—	—	1.24
Bristol City over 3.5 corners	70.2%	71.9%	—	—	1.39
Bristol City under 6.5 corners	65.6%	66.7%	—	—	1.50
Bristol City over 4.5 corners	57.4%	57.5%	—	—	1.74
Bristol City under 5.5 corners	54.8%	52.6%	—	—	1.90
Bristol City over 5.5 corners	45.2%	47.4%	—	—	2.11
Bristol City under 4.5 corners	42.6%	42.5%	—	—	2.35
Bristol City over 6.5 corners	34.4%	33.3%	—	—	3.00
Bristol City under 3.5 corners	29.8%	28.1%	—	—	3.56
Bristol City under 2.5 corners	17.7%	19.0%	—	—	5.26

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Bristol City under 3.5 goals	93.4%	92.2%	94.8%	0.97×	1.08
Bristol City under 2.5 goals	80.8%	82.2%	83.9%	0.98×	1.22
Bristol City over 0.5 goals	77.8%	77.8%	77.6%	1.00×	1.29
Bristol City under 1.5 goals	55.7%	58.6%	59.4%	0.99×	1.71
Bristol City over 1.5 goals	44.3%	41.4%	40.6%	1.02×	2.42
Bristol City under 0.5 goals	22.2%	22.2%	22.4%	0.99×	4.50
Bristol City over 2.5 goals	19.2%	17.8%	16.1%	1.10×	5.61
Bristol City over 3.5 goals	6.6%	7.8%	5.2%	1.50×	12.84

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Bristol City under 1.5 in 1st half	86.3%	90.1%	—	—	1.11
Bristol City under 0.5 in 1st half	52.4%	50.7%	—	—	1.97
Bristol City over 0.5 in 1st half	47.6%	49.3%	—	—	2.03
Bristol City over 1.5 in 1st half	13.7%	9.9%	—	—	10.12

Home highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Bristol City scores more in 2nd half	38.0%	38.1%	—	—	2.62
Bristol City scores equally in both	36.4%	38.1%	—	—	2.63
Bristol City scores more in 1st half	25.7%	27.8%	—	—	3.60

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Norwich City (home no bet)	53.1%	51.4%	51.3%	1.00×	1.94
Draw (home no bet)	46.9%	48.6%	48.7%	1.00×	2.06

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Bristol City even goals	52.5%	50.7%	50.5%	1.01×	1.97
Bristol City odd goals	47.5%	49.3%	49.5%	0.99×	2.03

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	31.3%	33.5%	—	—	2.99
HT 1-0	19.8%	18.6%	—	—	5.37
HT 0-1	16.0%	18.5%	—	—	5.39
HT 1-1	10.8%	11.0%	—	—	9.11
HT 2-0	6.5%	6.9%	—	—	14.56
HT 0-2	4.3%	2.4%	—	—	42.12
Any other HT score	4.4%	2.4%	—	—	42.12
HT 2-1	3.4%	2.4%	—	—	42.18
HT 1-2	2.8%	2.4%	—	—	42.22
HT 2-2	0.9%	2.4%	—	—	42.34

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Bristol City at HT / Bristol City at FT	24.1%	21.6%	—	—	4.62
Norwich City at HT / Norwich City at FT	17.1%	16.8%	—	—	5.97
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	16.9%	16.8%	—	—	5.97
Draw at HT / Bristol City at FT	13.9%	12.7%	—	—	7.89
Draw at HT / Norwich City at FT	12.2%	12.7%	—	—	7.90
Bristol City at HT / Draw at FT	5.9%	6.1%	—	—	16.52
Norwich City at HT / Draw at FT	5.1%	6.0%	—	—	16.54
Bristol City at HT / Norwich City at FT	2.5%	3.5%	—	—	28.93
Norwich City at HT / Bristol City at FT	2.4%	3.5%	—	—	28.93

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Bristol City to score last	49.5%	46.4%	—	—	2.15
Norwich City to score last	43.1%	40.1%	—	—	2.50
No goal scored	7.4%	7.6%	—	—	13.21

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	92.6%	92.5%	—	—	1.08
Bristol City to lead by 1 at any time	57.7%	54.9%	—	—	1.82
Norwich City to lead by 1 at any time	50.2%	50.5%	—	—	1.98
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	47.4%	44.3%	—	—	2.26
Bristol City to lead by 2 at any time	27.1%	25.3%	—	—	3.96
Norwich City to lead by 2 at any time	20.6%	19.5%	—	—	5.13
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	16.8%	14.8%	—	—	6.75
Bristol City to lead by 3 at any time	10.1%	10.6%	—	—	9.47
Norwich City to lead by 3 at any time	6.7%	6.6%	—	—	15.07

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Norwich City most corners	46.0%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
Bristol City most corners	45.1%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
Corners level	9.0%	8.3%	—	—	11.98

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	86.0%	87.4%	88.8%	0.98×	1.14
1-4 goals	77.1%	78.7%	83.3%	0.94×	1.27
2-6 goals	76.0%	78.7%	72.8%	1.08×	1.27
2-5 goals	71.9%	72.3%	70.2%	1.03×	1.38
2-4 goals	63.1%	63.3%	64.7%	0.98×	1.58
1-3 goals	61.5%	63.3%	69.1%	0.92×	1.58
3-6 goals	50.9%	53.2%	47.2%	1.13×	1.88
2-3 goals	47.4%	48.4%	50.5%	0.96×	2.06
3-5 goals	46.7%	48.4%	44.5%	1.09×	2.06
1-2 goals	39.2%	39.2%	44.4%	0.88×	2.55
3-4 goals	37.9%	39.2%	39.1%	1.00×	2.55
4-6 goals	28.6%	30.2%	22.4%	1.35×	3.31
4-5 goals	24.5%	24.5%	19.8%	1.24×	4.09
5-6 goals	12.9%	14.8%	8.2%	1.82×	6.75
7+ goals	2.5%	2.6%	1.4%	1.88×	39.16

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Bristol City never behind	42.3%	48.7%	—	—	2.05
Norwich City never behind	34.8%	36.4%	—	—	2.74

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of goals	47.0%	50.9%	49.4%	1.03×	1.97
Even number of goals	53.0%	49.1%	50.6%	0.97×	2.04

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	55.3%	57.8%	—	—	1.73
Odd goals in 1st half	44.7%	42.2%	—	—	2.37

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	52.8%	52.0%	—	—	1.92
Odd goals in 2nd half	47.2%	48.0%	—	—	2.08

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 5.5 goals	93.4%	92.3%	96.0%	0.96×	1.08
Over 0.5 goals	92.6%	92.3%	92.7%	1.00×	1.08
Under 4.5 goals	84.6%	82.3%	90.6%	0.91×	1.22
Over 1.5 goals	78.5%	77.3%	74.1%	1.04×	1.29
Under 3.5 goals	68.9%	66.3%	76.3%	0.87×	1.51
Over 2.5 goals	53.4%	52.5%	48.4%	1.08×	1.90
Under 2.5 goals	46.6%	47.5%	51.6%	0.92×	2.11
Over 3.5 goals	31.1%	33.7%	23.7%	1.42×	2.97
Under 1.5 goals	21.5%	22.7%	25.9%	0.88×	4.40
Over 4.5 goals	15.4%	17.7%	9.4%	1.88×	5.65
Under 0.5 goals	7.4%	7.7%	7.3%	1.06×	12.94
Over 5.5 goals	6.6%	7.7%	4.0%	1.94×	12.94

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	97.4%	97.2%	98.6%	0.99×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	92.7%	92.4%	95.8%	0.96×	1.08
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	81.7%	81.1%	89.0%	0.91×	1.23
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	71.3%	72.4%	65.1%	1.11×	1.38
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	60.0%	61.9%	68.5%	0.90×	1.62
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	40.0%	38.1%	31.5%	1.21×	2.62
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	28.7%	27.7%	34.9%	0.79×	3.62
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	18.3%	18.9%	11.0%	1.72×	5.29
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	7.3%	7.6%	4.2%	1.80×	13.19
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	2.6%	2.8%	1.4%	2.01×	35.61

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	88.6%	89.1%	—	—	1.12
Over 0.5 in 1st half	68.7%	68.6%	—	—	1.46
Under 1.5 in 1st half	67.1%	68.5%	—	—	1.46
Over 1.5 in 1st half	32.9%	31.5%	—	—	3.18
Under 0.5 in 1st half	31.3%	31.4%	—	—	3.18
Over 2.5 in 1st half	11.4%	10.9%	—	—	9.13

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	80.2%	82.9%	—	—	1.21
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	77.2%	79.5%	—	—	1.26
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	50.6%	53.1%	—	—	1.88
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	49.4%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	22.8%	20.5%	—	—	4.88
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	19.8%	17.1%	—	—	5.85

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Norwich City not to score in both halves	77.8%	78.4%	—	—	1.28
Bristol City not to score in both halves	72.6%	73.9%	—	—	1.35
Bristol City to score in both halves	27.4%	26.1%	—	—	3.83
Norwich City to score in both halves	22.2%	21.6%	—	—	4.63

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	58.2%	58.6%	54.4%	1.08×	1.71
Only Bristol City scores	19.6%	16.1%	23.3%	0.69×	6.23
Only Norwich City scores	14.8%	11.0%	15.2%	0.73×	9.05
Neither team scores	7.4%	7.1%	7.3%	0.98×	14.00

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 2 goals	25.2%	24.9%	25.7%	0.97×	4.02
Exactly 3 goals	22.3%	22.6%	24.8%	0.91×	4.43
Exactly 4 goals	15.7%	17.5%	14.4%	1.22×	5.73
Exactly 1 goals	14.0%	12.1%	18.7%	0.65×	8.25
Exactly 5 goals	8.8%	7.6%	5.5%	1.38×	13.13
Exactly 0 goals	7.4%	7.6%	7.3%	1.04×	13.14
6 or more goals	6.6%	7.6%	4.0%	1.91×	13.14

Total goals 1st half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1 goal in 1st half	35.8%	37.2%	—	—	2.69
No goals in 1st half	31.3%	35.7%	—	—	2.80
2 goals in 1st half	21.5%	21.4%	—	—	4.68
3+ goals in 1st half	11.4%	10.9%	—	—	9.22

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	49.4%	44.9%	—	—	2.23
1 goal in 2nd half	30.8%	33.9%	—	—	2.95
No goals in 2nd half	19.8%	16.8%	—	—	5.94

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Norwich City not to win both halves	92.4%	94.2%	—	—	1.06
Bristol City not to win both halves	88.7%	88.0%	—	—	1.14
Bristol City to win both halves	11.3%	12.0%	—	—	8.33
Norwich City to win both halves	7.6%	5.8%	—	—	17.11

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Bristol City to win either half	55.3%	59.0%	—	—	1.70
Norwich City to win neither half	52.9%	54.3%	—	—	1.84
Norwich City to win either half	47.1%	45.7%	—	—	2.19
Bristol City to win neither half	44.7%	41.0%	—	—	2.44

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Norwich City not to win to nil	85.2%	88.1%	84.8%	1.04×	1.14
Bristol City not to win to nil	80.4%	83.1%	76.7%	1.08×	1.20
Bristol City to win to nil	19.6%	16.9%	23.3%	0.73×	5.91
Norwich City to win to nil	14.8%	11.9%	15.2%	0.78×	8.40

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw	27.9%	27.9%	27.6%	1.01×	3.59
Bristol City by 1	19.9%	17.1%	24.2%	0.70×	5.87
Norwich City by 1	17.2%	17.0%	17.4%	0.98×	5.87
Bristol City by 2	12.5%	11.8%	11.3%	1.04×	8.51
Norwich City by 2	9.5%	7.2%	8.6%	0.84×	13.90
Bristol City by 3+	8.0%	7.2%	8.1%	0.89×	13.91
Norwich City by 3+	5.0%	7.2%	3.2%	2.23×	13.92