betaider.com
Sign in

Bristol City v Wolverhampton Wanderers — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Wednesday 4 November 2026 · ENG-Championship · 2627

Championship results-only Prediction generated

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily
Bristol City win
38.3%
model 38.3%
Draw
23.3%
model 23.8%
Wolverhampton Wanderers win
38.3%
model 37.9%

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (5,276 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

  1. 1-1 9.6%
  2. 2-1 7.9%
  3. 1-2 7.9%
  4. 2-2 7.2%
  5. 3-1 4.8%

Goals

Over 2.570.7% Under 2.529.3%
BTTS yes71.5% BTTS no28.5%
Bristol City 1+84.0% Bristol City 2+54.7%
Wolverhampton Wanderers 1+83.9% Wolverhampton Wanderers 2+54.4%

Expected goals 1.83 – 1.82. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence
43/100
Data quality
65/100
Model agreement
97%
★ Best pick
Nothing on a measured band prices above 1.18 here.
★ Most likely to land
Nothing on a measured band prices above 1.18 here.

Positive factors

  • Bristol City carry the stronger rating, 1446 Elo against 1409.
  • Form is good: 2.00 points a match from the last five.

Risk factors

  • No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.
Why the model thinks this

The price

Bristol City have an estimated 38.3% win probability, against 38.3% for Wolverhampton Wanderers and 23.3% for the draw. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.83 for Bristol City and 1.82 for Wolverhampton Wanderers.

Why Bristol City

Bristol City carry the stronger rating, 1446 Elo against 1409. Form is good: 2.00 points a match from the last five.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 23.3%. The sides are closely matched on expected goals, 1.83 to 1.82. Draws run at 28% in this competition.

Why Wolverhampton Wanderers can win

Nothing in the data singles out Wolverhampton Wanderers.

Key players

Wolverhampton Wanderers's leading contributors by expected goal involvements a match: Adam Armstrong (0.34), Tolu Arokodare (0.24), Mateus Mané (0.19).

Availability

No lineup on record for Bristol City, so availability is unknown. 1 of Wolverhampton Wanderers's top three contributors did not start their last match.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Bristol City: 42% possession, 11.2 shots a match, 16.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Wolverhampton Wanderers: 50% possession, 17.0 shots a match, 12.2 faced, 0.54 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-05 22:20 · team_stats 2026-09-05 09:41 · availability 2026-09-05 21:03 · prediction 2026-09-05 18:39 ·

Bristol City are the model's most likely outcome at 38.3%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 9.6%. Confidence 43/100, data quality 65/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Was this pick made in advance?
A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the chances say

Wolverhampton Wanderers are finishing below their chances — 3.7 goals fewer than expected across 10 matches, despite creating the openings. They are also conceding fewer than expected — 2.3 goals saved beyond what the chances suggest.

WWDLLLDLDD last 10 scored 9 from 12.7 xG conceded 17 from 19.3 xG

Finishing swings far more than chance creation, so a gap this size usually narrows. Over ten matches it is suggestive, not settled — a genuinely elite finisher beats expected goals for years.

What the model said

ModelHome / Draw / Away Expected goalsLikeliest score O2.5BTTS
dc-xg 2.07–2.15 1-1 7% 79% 78%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section
Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Wolverhampton Wanderers to win 40.7% 43.0% 29.0% 1.48× 2.33
Bristol City to win 37.7% 36.4% 43.5% 0.84× 2.75
Draw 21.6% 24.4% 27.6% 0.89× 4.09
1X2 & GG/NG 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Wolverhampton Wanderers & both teams score 30.4% 29.7% 13.8% 2.15× 3.37
Bristol City & both teams score 28.3% 25.2% 20.2% 1.25× 3.97
Draw & both teams score 19.4% 17.9% 20.4% 0.88× 5.58
Wolverhampton Wanderers & not both score 10.4% 13.3% 15.3% 0.87× 7.55
Bristol City & not both score 9.4% 8.4% 23.4% 0.36× 11.92
Draw & not both score 2.2% 4.9% 7.3% 0.66× 20.62
1X2 & Over/Under 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Wolverhampton Wanderers & over 1.5 38.3% 34.9% 21.4% 1.63× 2.87
Bristol City & over 1.5 35.4% 34.9% 32.5% 1.07× 2.87
Wolverhampton Wanderers & over 2.5 34.9% 30.9% 16.2% 1.91× 3.24
Bristol City & over 2.5 32.3% 30.9% 26.4% 1.17× 3.24
Wolverhampton Wanderers & over 3.5 25.5% 26.0% 6.8% 3.83× 3.84
Bristol City & over 3.5 23.3% 21.7% 11.1% 1.95× 4.62
Draw & over 1.5 19.4% 18.0% 20.4% 0.88× 5.56
Wolverhampton Wanderers & under 3.5 15.2% 18.0% 22.3% 0.81× 5.56
Bristol City & under 3.5 14.3% 12.9% 32.5% 0.40× 7.77
Draw & over 2.5 12.1% 12.9% 6.0% 2.14× 7.77
Draw & over 3.5 12.1% 12.9% 6.0% 2.14× 7.77
Draw & under 2.5 9.5% 7.9% 21.6% 0.36× 12.69
Draw & under 3.5 9.5% 7.9% 21.6% 0.36× 12.69
Bristol City & under 2.5 5.4% 7.9% 17.2% 0.46× 12.70
Wolverhampton Wanderers & under 2.5 5.8% 7.9% 13.0% 0.61× 12.70
Wolverhampton Wanderers & under 1.5 2.4% 4.8% 7.7% 0.62× 20.94
Bristol City & under 1.5 2.3% 4.8% 11.1% 0.43× 20.95
Draw & under 1.5 2.2% 4.8% 7.3% 0.65× 20.95
1X2 1UP 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Wolverhampton Wanderers (1UP) 63.2% 63.1% 1.58
Bristol City (1UP) 60.8% 63.0% 1.59
1X2 2UP 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Wolverhampton Wanderers (2UP) 40.7% 47.5% 2.11
Bristol City (2UP) 37.7% 37.1% 2.69
2nd half 1X2 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Wolverhampton Wanderers to win 2nd half 38.8% 36.1% 2.77
Bristol City to win 2nd half 33.5% 34.5% 2.90
2nd half drawn 27.7% 26.3% 3.80
Asian handicap 8
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Wolverhampton Wanderers (+2.5) 90.1% 92.1% 91.9% 1.00× 1.09
Wolverhampton Wanderers (+1.5) 78.8% 78.4% 80.7% 0.97× 1.28
Wolverhampton Wanderers (+0.5) 62.3% 62.9% 56.5% 1.11× 1.59
Bristol City (+0.5) 59.3% 57.0% 71.0% 0.80× 1.75
Wolverhampton Wanderers (-0.5) 40.7% 43.0% 29.0% 1.48× 2.33
Bristol City (-0.5) 37.7% 37.1% 43.5% 0.85× 2.70
Bristol City (-1.5) 21.2% 21.6% 19.3% 1.12× 4.64
Bristol City (-2.5) 9.9% 7.9% 8.1% 0.98× 12.61
Away clean sheet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Wolverhampton Wanderers to concede 87.4% 86.5% 77.5% 1.12× 1.16
Wolverhampton Wanderers clean sheet 12.6% 13.5% 22.5% 0.60× 7.38
Away clean sheet 1HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Wolverhampton Wanderers to concede in 1st half 59.0% 58.5% 1.71
Wolverhampton Wanderers clean sheet in 1st half 41.0% 41.5% 2.41
Away corners O/U 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Wolverhampton Wanderers under 6.5 corners 91.0% 90.0% 1.11
Wolverhampton Wanderers under 5.5 corners 84.6% 81.5% 1.23
Wolverhampton Wanderers under 4.5 corners 74.7% 71.6% 1.40
Wolverhampton Wanderers under 3.5 corners 60.8% 61.8% 1.62
Wolverhampton Wanderers over 2.5 corners 56.8% 57.1% 1.75
Wolverhampton Wanderers under 2.5 corners 43.2% 42.9% 2.33
Wolverhampton Wanderers over 3.5 corners 39.2% 38.2% 2.62
Wolverhampton Wanderers over 4.5 corners 25.3% 28.4% 3.52
Wolverhampton Wanderers over 5.5 corners 15.4% 18.5% 5.40
Wolverhampton Wanderers over 6.5 corners 9.0% 10.0% 10.04
Away goals O/U 8
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Wolverhampton Wanderers over 0.5 goals 88.4% 87.9% 69.4% 1.27× 1.14
Wolverhampton Wanderers under 3.5 goals 82.9% 81.4% 97.8% 0.83× 1.23
Wolverhampton Wanderers under 2.5 goals 63.5% 63.0% 90.6% 0.70× 1.59
Wolverhampton Wanderers over 1.5 goals 63.4% 63.0% 30.1% 2.09× 1.59
Wolverhampton Wanderers under 1.5 goals 36.6% 37.0% 69.9% 0.53× 2.70
Wolverhampton Wanderers over 2.5 goals 36.5% 37.0% 9.5% 3.92× 2.70
Wolverhampton Wanderers over 3.5 goals 17.1% 18.6% 2.2% 8.32× 5.38
Wolverhampton Wanderers under 0.5 goals 11.6% 12.1% 30.6% 0.40× 8.26
Away goals O/U 1HT 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Wolverhampton Wanderers under 1.5 in 1st half 78.7% 76.1% 1.31
Wolverhampton Wanderers over 0.5 in 1st half 57.8% 62.4% 1.60
Wolverhampton Wanderers under 0.5 in 1st half 42.3% 37.6% 2.66
Wolverhampton Wanderers over 1.5 in 1st half 21.3% 23.9% 4.18
Away no bet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Bristol City (away no bet) 63.5% 62.1% 61.2% 1.02× 1.61
Draw (away no bet) 36.5% 37.9% 38.8% 0.98× 2.64
Away Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Wolverhampton Wanderers even goals 50.7% 52.8% 52.6% 1.00× 1.89
Wolverhampton Wanderers odd goals 49.3% 47.2% 47.4% 1.00× 2.12
Both halves O1.5 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both halves over 1.5 63.0% 64.3% 1.56
Both halves over 1.5 goals 37.0% 35.7% 2.80
Both halves U1.5 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both halves under 1.5 86.4% 83.6% 1.20
Both halves under 1.5 goals 13.6% 16.4% 6.10
Consecutive goals 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row 77.3% 75.7% 1.32
Wolverhampton Wanderers to score 2+ in a row 49.1% 46.0% 2.18
Bristol City to score 2+ in a row 46.6% 45.8% 2.18
Either team to score 3+ in a row 36.7% 36.5% 2.74
Wolverhampton Wanderers to score 3+ in a row 20.1% 19.5% 5.14
Bristol City to score 3+ in a row 18.2% 16.4% 6.11
Corner handicap 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Bristol City corners (+3.5) 91.1% 89.6% 1.12
Bristol City corners (+2.5) 85.6% 84.5% 1.18
Bristol City corners (+1.5) 77.8% 74.9% 1.34
Wolverhampton Wanderers corners (+3.5) 76.0% 74.9% 1.34
Wolverhampton Wanderers corners (+2.5) 66.7% 65.8% 1.52
Wolverhampton Wanderers corners (+1.5) 55.6% 57.1% 1.75
Bristol City corners (-1.5) 44.4% 42.9% 2.33
Bristol City corners (-2.5) 33.3% 34.2% 2.92
Bristol City corners (-3.5) 24.0% 25.1% 3.98
Wolverhampton Wanderers corners (-1.5) 22.2% 25.1% 3.98
Wolverhampton Wanderers corners (-2.5) 14.4% 15.5% 6.45
Wolverhampton Wanderers corners (-3.5) 8.9% 10.4% 9.58
Corner range 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
0-8 corners 63.4% 48.0% 2.08
9-11 corners 22.2% 25.6% 3.91
12+ corners 14.4% 21.2% 4.72
Corners O/U 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 12.5 corners 90.0% 83.0% 1.21
Under 11.5 corners 85.6% 83.0% 1.21
Under 10.5 corners 79.8% 76.5% 1.31
Under 9.5 corners 72.4% 72.6% 1.38
Under 8.5 corners 63.4% 63.4% 1.58
Under 7.5 corners 53.1% 53.3% 1.88
Over 7.5 corners 46.9% 46.7% 2.14
Over 8.5 corners 36.6% 36.6% 2.73
Over 9.5 corners 27.6% 27.4% 3.66
Over 10.5 corners 20.2% 23.5% 4.26
Over 11.5 corners 14.4% 17.0% 5.87
Over 12.5 corners 10.0% 17.0% 5.89
Corners Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Odd number of corners 50.0% 50.2% 1.99
Even number of corners 50.0% 49.8% 2.01
Correct score 26
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Any other score 12.2% 11.5% 2.9% 3.92× 8.73
1-1 7.3% 7.4% 14.4% 0.51× 13.48
1-2 7.0% 7.4% 7.9% 0.94× 13.48
2-1 6.8% 7.4% 11.4% 0.65× 13.48
2-2 7.3% 7.4% 5.2% 1.42× 13.48
1-3 5.0% 7.4% 3.1% 2.40× 13.48
2-3 5.2% 7.4% 1.6% 4.55× 13.48
3-2 5.0% 7.4% 1.8% 4.11× 13.48
3-1 4.7% 1.7% 4.3% 0.40× 58.46
0-0 2.2% 1.7% 7.3% 0.23× 58.48
0-1 2.4% 1.7% 7.7% 0.22× 58.48
0-2 3.4% 1.7% 5.3% 0.32× 58.47
0-3 2.4% 1.7% 1.6% 1.05× 58.48
0-4 1.3% 1.7% 0.4% 3.98× 58.48
1-0 2.3% 1.7% 11.1% 0.15× 58.48
1-4 2.7% 1.7% 0.6% 2.84× 58.47
2-0 3.1% 1.7% 6.2% 0.28× 58.47
2-4 2.8% 1.7% 0.3% 6.64× 58.47
3-0 2.2% 1.7% 4.0% 0.42× 58.48
3-3 3.6% 1.7% 0.9% 1.99× 58.47
3-4 1.9% 1.7% 0.3% 6.64× 58.48
4-0 1.1% 1.7% 1.7% 1.00× 58.48
4-1 2.4% 1.7% 0.9% 1.99× 58.48
4-2 2.6% 1.7% 0.8% 2.21× 58.47
4-3 1.9% 1.7% 0.2% 9.95× 58.48
4-4 1.0% 1.7% 0.1% 19.90× 58.48
DNB half time 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Bristol City leading at HT (DNB) 51.2% 55.7% 1.79
Wolverhampton Wanderers leading at HT (DNB) 48.8% 44.3% 2.26
Double chance 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Bristol City or Wolverhampton Wanderers (12) 78.4% 75.6% 72.4% 1.04× 1.32
Wolverhampton Wanderers or draw (X2) 62.3% 63.6% 56.5% 1.12× 1.57
Bristol City or draw (1X) 59.3% 57.0% 71.0% 0.80× 1.75
Double chance 1HT 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Bristol City or draw at HT 67.7% 66.4% 1.51
Bristol City or Wolverhampton Wanderers at HT 66.3% 66.4% 1.51
Wolverhampton Wanderers or draw at HT 66.0% 66.4% 1.51
Double chance 1UP 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Wolverhampton Wanderers or draw (1UP) 63.2% 71.7% 1.39
Bristol City or draw (1UP) 60.8% 71.6% 1.40
Double chance 2HT 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Bristol City or Wolverhampton Wanderers in 2nd half 72.3% 73.7% 1.36
Wolverhampton Wanderers or draw in 2nd half 66.5% 65.5% 1.53
Bristol City or draw in 2nd half 61.2% 63.9% 1.57
Draw either half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Neither half drawn 48.9% 50.2% 1.99
A half drawn 51.1% 49.8% 2.01
Draw no bet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Wolverhampton Wanderers (DNB) 52.0% 50.9% 40.0% 1.27× 1.96
Bristol City (DNB) 48.0% 49.1% 60.0% 0.82× 2.04
First goal 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Wolverhampton Wanderers to score first 49.8% 45.7% 2.19
Bristol City to score first 47.9% 45.6% 2.20
No goal scored 2.2% 4.2% 23.58
GG/NG 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Both teams to score 78.0% 62.4% 54.2% 1.15× 1.60
Not both teams to score 22.0% 37.6% 45.8% 0.82× 2.66
GG/NG & Over/Under 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Both score & over 2.5 70.7% 59.6% 39.9% 1.49× 1.68
Not both score & under 2.5 13.4% 12.3% 37.3% 0.33× 8.11
Not both score & over 2.5 8.6% 8.4% 8.6% 0.97× 11.95
Both score & under 2.5 7.3% 8.4% 14.4% 0.58× 11.96
GG/NG 2+ 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both teams to score 2+ 61.1% 69.1% 89.0% 0.78× 1.45
Both teams to score 2+ 38.9% 30.9% 11.0% 2.81× 3.24
GG/NG 2nd half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Both teams to score in 2nd half 50.5% 52.6% 1.90
Not both to score in 2nd half 49.5% 47.4% 2.11
GG/NG by half 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Both score 2nd half only 33.4% 26.9% 3.71
Neither half both score 32.4% 26.7% 3.75
Both score in both halves 17.1% 15.6% 6.40
Both score 1st half only 17.1% 15.6% 6.40
GG/NG half time 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both to score by HT 65.8% 68.9% 1.45
Both teams to score by HT 34.2% 31.1% 3.22
Goal in both halves 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
A goal in each half 76.1% 79.5% 1.26
A half without a goal 23.9% 20.5% 4.88
Goal range 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
4-6 goals 47.4% 47.4% 22.4% 2.11× 2.11
2-3 goals 32.2% 30.7% 50.4% 0.61× 3.25
7+ goals 13.5% 16.9% 1.4% 12.32× 5.90
0-1 goals 6.9% 7.6% 25.9% 0.29× 13.19
Goals away 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Wolverhampton Wanderers to score 3+ 36.5% 36.0% 9.5% 3.81× 2.78
Wolverhampton Wanderers to score exactly 2 26.9% 27.4% 20.7% 1.32× 3.65
Wolverhampton Wanderers to score exactly 1 25.0% 27.4% 39.4% 0.69× 3.65
Wolverhampton Wanderers to score exactly 0 11.6% 12.8% 30.6% 0.42× 7.81
Goals home 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Bristol City to score 3+ 34.3% 32.7% 16.2% 2.02× 3.06
Bristol City to score exactly 2 27.0% 26.5% 24.6% 1.08× 3.77
Bristol City to score exactly 1 26.1% 26.5% 36.9% 0.72× 3.77
Bristol City to score exactly 0 12.6% 14.3% 22.5% 0.64× 6.98
Half time 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Bristol City leading at HT 34.0% 33.6% 2.97
Draw at HT 33.7% 33.6% 2.97
Wolverhampton Wanderers leading at HT 32.3% 33.6% 2.98
Handicap 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Wolverhampton Wanderers -1: 1 59.3% 56.7% 1.76
Wolverhampton Wanderers -1: 2 23.6% 23.6% 4.24
Wolverhampton Wanderers -1: X 17.1% 17.5% 5.72
Handicap 0:1 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Wolverhampton Wanderers (0:1) 62.3% 61.4% 56.5% 1.09× 1.63
Bristol City (0:1) 21.2% 24.3% 19.3% 1.26× 4.12
Draw (0:1) 16.4% 17.8% 24.2% 0.73× 5.63
Handicap 0:2 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Wolverhampton Wanderers (0:2) 78.8% 79.5% 80.7% 0.99× 1.26
Draw (0:2) 11.4% 11.0% 11.3% 0.97× 9.13
Bristol City (0:2) 9.9% 7.7% 8.1% 0.96× 12.93
Handicap 0:3 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Wolverhampton Wanderers (0:3) 90.1% 92.6% 91.9% 1.01× 1.08
Draw (0:3) 6.0% 5.8% 4.8% 1.21× 17.18
Bristol City (0:3) 3.9% 2.4% 3.4% 0.71× 42.09
Handicap 0:4 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Wolverhampton Wanderers (0:4) 96.1% 98.1% 96.6% 1.02× 1.02
Draw (0:4) 2.6% 1.2% 2.4% 0.50× 83.38
Bristol City (0:4) 1.3% 1.2% 1.0% 1.16× 83.53
Handicap 1:0 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Bristol City (1:0) 59.3% 58.2% 71.0% 0.82× 1.72
Wolverhampton Wanderers (1:0) 23.6% 21.8% 11.9% 1.84× 4.59
Draw (1:0) 17.1% 17.0% 17.3% 0.99× 5.87
Handicap 2:0 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Bristol City (2:0) 76.4% 80.3% 88.1% 0.91× 1.25
Draw (2:0) 12.3% 10.4% 8.7% 1.20× 9.64
Wolverhampton Wanderers (2:0) 11.4% 10.4% 3.3% 3.18× 9.64
Highest scoring half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2nd half highest scoring 53.2% 50.3% 1.99
1st half highest scoring 26.6% 26.5% 3.77
Halves equal 20.2% 24.0% 4.16
Home clean sheet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Bristol City to concede 88.4% 86.2% 69.4% 1.24× 1.16
Bristol City clean sheet 11.6% 13.8% 30.6% 0.45× 7.23
Home clean sheet 1HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Bristol City to concede in 1st half 57.8% 62.4% 1.60
Bristol City clean sheet in 1st half 42.3% 37.6% 2.66
Home corners O/U 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Bristol City under 6.5 corners 79.4% 76.6% 1.31
Bristol City over 2.5 corners 72.1% 71.9% 1.39
Bristol City under 5.5 corners 70.0% 66.7% 1.50
Bristol City under 4.5 corners 57.8% 57.5% 1.74
Bristol City over 3.5 corners 56.7% 57.5% 1.74
Bristol City under 3.5 corners 43.3% 42.5% 2.35
Bristol City over 4.5 corners 42.2% 42.5% 2.35
Bristol City over 5.5 corners 30.0% 33.3% 3.00
Bristol City under 2.5 corners 27.9% 28.1% 3.56
Bristol City over 6.5 corners 20.6% 23.4% 4.27
Home goals O/U 8
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Bristol City over 0.5 goals 87.4% 87.3% 77.5% 1.13× 1.15
Bristol City under 3.5 goals 84.4% 82.1% 94.8% 0.87× 1.22
Bristol City under 2.5 goals 65.7% 67.9% 83.8% 0.81× 1.47
Bristol City over 1.5 goals 61.3% 63.5% 40.6% 1.56× 1.58
Bristol City under 1.5 goals 38.7% 36.5% 59.4% 0.62× 2.74
Bristol City over 2.5 goals 34.3% 32.1% 16.2% 1.99× 3.11
Bristol City over 3.5 goals 15.6% 17.9% 5.2% 3.47× 5.59
Bristol City under 0.5 goals 12.6% 12.7% 22.5% 0.57× 7.85
Home goals O/U 1HT 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Bristol City under 1.5 in 1st half 77.6% 77.2% 1.30
Bristol City over 0.5 in 1st half 59.0% 58.2% 1.72
Bristol City under 0.5 in 1st half 41.0% 41.8% 2.39
Bristol City over 1.5 in 1st half 22.4% 22.8% 4.38
Home no bet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Wolverhampton Wanderers (home no bet) 65.3% 63.8% 51.3% 1.24× 1.57
Draw (home no bet) 34.7% 36.2% 48.7% 0.74× 2.77
Home Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Bristol City even goals 50.8% 50.6% 50.5% 1.00× 1.98
Bristol City odd goals 49.2% 49.4% 49.5% 1.00× 2.03
HT correct score 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
HT 0-0 17.5% 18.7% 5.34
HT 1-0 15.3% 18.7% 5.35
HT 0-1 14.8% 11.0% 9.13
HT 1-1 13.4% 10.9% 9.14
Any other HT score 11.5% 10.9% 9.16
HT 2-0 6.9% 7.1% 14.05
HT 0-2 6.4% 7.1% 14.06
HT 2-1 5.9% 7.1% 14.07
HT 1-2 5.7% 7.1% 14.07
HT 2-2 2.6% 2.3% 43.42
HT/FT 9
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Wolverhampton Wanderers at HT / Wolverhampton Wanderers at FT 23.7% 21.8% 4.58
Bristol City at HT / Bristol City at FT 23.4% 21.8% 4.58
Draw at HT / Wolverhampton Wanderers at FT 12.6% 12.7% 7.89
Draw at HT / Bristol City at FT 10.9% 12.7% 7.90
Draw at HT / Draw at FT 10.2% 12.7% 7.90
Bristol City at HT / Draw at FT 6.1% 6.0% 16.71
Wolverhampton Wanderers at HT / Draw at FT 5.3% 6.0% 16.73
Bristol City at HT / Wolverhampton Wanderers at FT 4.5% 3.5% 28.79
Wolverhampton Wanderers at HT / Bristol City at FT 3.4% 3.5% 28.83
Last goal 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Wolverhampton Wanderers to score last 49.8% 46.8% 2.14
Bristol City to score last 47.9% 46.7% 2.14
No goal scored 2.2% 4.2% 23.58
Lead at any time 9
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time 97.8% 95.7% 1.05
Either team to lead by 2 at any time 65.0% 61.4% 1.63
Wolverhampton Wanderers to lead by 1 at any time 63.2% 61.3% 1.63
Bristol City to lead by 1 at any time 60.8% 61.2% 1.63
Wolverhampton Wanderers to lead by 2 at any time 34.4% 29.5% 3.39
Bristol City to lead by 2 at any time 31.8% 29.4% 3.40
Either team to lead by 3 at any time 29.8% 25.5% 3.92
Wolverhampton Wanderers to lead by 3 at any time 15.8% 14.9% 6.72
Bristol City to lead by 3 at any time 14.1% 10.5% 9.52
Most corners 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Bristol City most corners 56.3% 55.4% 1.80
Wolverhampton Wanderers most corners 32.2% 34.3% 2.92
Corners level 11.6% 10.4% 9.61
Multi goal 15
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2-6 goals 79.6% 78.6% 72.8% 1.08× 1.27
1-5 goals 72.7% 72.4% 88.8% 0.82× 1.38
2-5 goals 68.1% 69.0% 70.2% 0.98× 1.45
3-6 goals 65.8% 68.9% 47.1% 1.46× 1.45
1-4 goals 56.3% 59.2% 83.4% 0.71× 1.69
3-5 goals 54.2% 53.2% 44.5% 1.20× 1.88
2-4 goals 51.6% 53.2% 64.8% 0.82× 1.88
4-6 goals 47.4% 48.7% 22.4% 2.17× 2.06
3-4 goals 37.8% 39.2% 39.1% 1.00× 2.55
1-3 goals 36.9% 39.1% 69.1% 0.57× 2.55
4-5 goals 35.9% 39.1% 19.8% 1.97× 2.56
2-3 goals 32.2% 35.4% 50.4% 0.70× 2.83
5-6 goals 28.0% 30.2% 8.1% 3.75× 3.31
1-2 goals 18.5% 18.6% 44.4% 0.42× 5.37
7+ goals 13.5% 14.9% 1.4% 10.83× 6.72
Never down 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Wolverhampton Wanderers never behind 37.0% 44.7% 2.24
Bristol City never behind 34.6% 35.8% 2.80
Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Odd number of goals 48.5% 50.8% 49.4% 1.03× 1.97
Even number of goals 51.5% 49.2% 50.6% 0.97× 2.03
Odd/Even 1HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Even goals in 1st half 51.8% 51.6% 1.94
Odd goals in 1st half 48.2% 48.4% 2.07
Odd/Even 2HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Even goals in 2nd half 50.9% 52.0% 1.92
Odd goals in 2nd half 49.1% 48.0% 2.09
Over/Under 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Over 0.5 goals 97.8% 95.5% 92.7% 1.03× 1.05
Over 1.5 goals 93.1% 92.3% 74.1% 1.25× 1.08
Over 2.5 goals 79.3% 77.4% 48.4% 1.60× 1.29
Under 5.5 goals 74.9% 72.5% 96.0% 0.76× 1.38
Over 3.5 goals 60.9% 61.7% 23.7% 2.60× 1.62
Under 4.5 goals 58.5% 58.8% 90.6% 0.65× 1.70
Over 4.5 goals 41.5% 41.2% 9.4% 4.40× 2.43
Under 3.5 goals 39.1% 38.3% 76.3% 0.50× 2.61
Over 5.5 goals 25.1% 27.5% 4.0% 6.95× 3.64
Under 2.5 goals 20.7% 22.6% 51.6% 0.44× 4.42
Under 1.5 goals 6.9% 7.7% 25.9% 0.30× 12.93
Under 0.5 goals 2.2% 4.5% 7.3% 0.62× 22.23
Over/Under (whole line) 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Over 2 (void on exactly 2) 92.0% 92.5% 65.1% 1.42× 1.08
Under 6 (void on exactly 6) 84.7% 81.1% 98.6% 0.82× 1.23
Over 3 (void on exactly 3) 74.6% 72.6% 31.5% 2.31× 1.38
Under 5 (void on exactly 5) 70.0% 72.5% 95.8% 0.76× 1.38
Over 4 (void on exactly 4) 51.5% 51.8% 10.9% 4.74× 1.93
Under 4 (void on exactly 4) 48.5% 48.2% 89.1% 0.54× 2.08
Over 5 (void on exactly 5) 30.0% 27.5% 4.2% 6.57× 3.64
Under 3 (void on exactly 3) 25.4% 27.4% 68.5% 0.40× 3.65
Over 6 (void on exactly 6) 15.3% 18.9% 1.4% 13.41× 5.28
Under 2 (void on exactly 2) 8.0% 7.5% 34.9% 0.22× 13.26
Over/Under 1HT 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Over 0.5 in 1st half 82.5% 86.2% 1.16
Under 2.5 in 1st half 74.3% 71.3% 1.40
Over 1.5 in 1st half 52.4% 56.6% 1.77
Under 1.5 in 1st half 47.6% 43.4% 2.30
Over 2.5 in 1st half 25.7% 28.7% 3.48
Under 0.5 in 1st half 17.5% 13.8% 7.26
Over/Under 2HT 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Over 0.5 in 2nd half 91.3% 89.0% 1.12
Over 1.5 in 2nd half 71.0% 77.6% 1.29
Under 2.5 in 2nd half 55.1% 54.7% 1.83
Over 2.5 in 2nd half 44.9% 45.3% 2.21
Under 1.5 in 2nd half 29.0% 22.4% 4.47
Under 0.5 in 2nd half 8.7% 11.0% 9.05
Score both halves 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Bristol City not to score in both halves 59.1% 57.7% 1.73
Wolverhampton Wanderers not to score in both halves 58.1% 57.6% 1.74
Wolverhampton Wanderers to score in both halves 41.9% 42.4% 2.36
Bristol City to score in both halves 40.9% 42.3% 2.37
Teams to score 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Both teams score 78.0% 67.7% 54.2% 1.25× 1.48
Only Wolverhampton Wanderers scores 10.4% 10.9% 15.3% 0.71× 9.16
Only Bristol City scores 9.4% 7.2% 23.4% 0.31× 13.89
Neither team scores 2.2% 4.6% 7.3% 0.63× 21.90
Total goals 7
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
6 or more goals 25.1% 25.0% 4.0% 6.31× 4.01
Exactly 4 goals 19.4% 17.4% 14.4% 1.21× 5.74
Exactly 3 goals 18.4% 17.4% 24.7% 0.70× 5.74
Exactly 5 goals 16.4% 17.4% 5.5% 3.17× 5.74
Exactly 2 goals 13.8% 12.1% 25.8% 0.47× 8.27
Exactly 1 goals 4.6% 4.4% 18.7% 0.24× 22.65
Exactly 0 goals 2.2% 4.4% 7.3% 0.60× 22.68
Total goals 2nd half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half 71.0% 68.6% 1.46
1 goal in 2nd half 20.3% 23.0% 4.35
No goals in 2nd half 8.7% 10.5% 9.54
Win both halves 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Bristol City not to win both halves 88.5% 87.9% 1.14
Wolverhampton Wanderers not to win both halves 87.3% 87.9% 1.14
Wolverhampton Wanderers to win both halves 12.7% 12.1% 8.26
Bristol City to win both halves 11.5% 12.1% 8.29
Win either half 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Wolverhampton Wanderers to win either half 58.5% 59.5% 1.68
Bristol City to win either half 56.0% 59.4% 1.68
Bristol City to win neither half 44.0% 40.6% 2.46
Wolverhampton Wanderers to win neither half 41.5% 40.5% 2.47
Win to nil 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Bristol City not to win to nil 90.6% 92.0% 76.6% 1.20× 1.09
Wolverhampton Wanderers not to win to nil 89.6% 88.2% 84.7% 1.04× 1.13
Wolverhampton Wanderers to win to nil 10.4% 11.8% 15.3% 0.77× 8.50
Bristol City to win to nil 9.4% 8.0% 23.4% 0.34× 12.53
Winning margin 7
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Draw 21.6% 24.1% 27.6% 0.88× 4.14
Wolverhampton Wanderers by 1 17.1% 16.9% 17.3% 0.98× 5.91
Bristol City by 1 16.4% 16.9% 24.2% 0.70× 5.91
Wolverhampton Wanderers by 2 12.3% 11.8% 8.7% 1.36× 8.48
Bristol City by 2 11.4% 11.8% 11.3% 1.04× 8.48
Wolverhampton Wanderers by 3+ 11.4% 11.8% 3.3% 3.61× 8.48
Bristol City by 3+ 9.9% 7.3% 8.1% 0.90× 13.77
betaider.com

Sport

Football sections

Preferences

Appearance
Aider Reading the Football model · online
Open the Radar
Bet slip
Open full page
to move to open esc to close See all results

On this page

Match

What this page is for

One fixture in full. The model's probability for every market it prices, the prices stored against them, the teams expected to feature, and for a match already played, the shot map and the xG timeline.

How to read the shot map

Every shot is placed where it was taken and sized by its chance of being scored. A cluster of small marks from distance and a clean sheet is a side that was busy without ever threatening; two big marks and a defeat is a side that had the better of it and lost anyway. Both happen constantly, and both are invisible in the score.

How to read the xG timeline

The steps are chances as they arrived, so the shape shows who was on top and when. A flat line that jumps once near the end is a smash and grab.

Things to watch

The stored prediction is the one made before the match, kept deliberately so it can be judged afterwards. It is not re-fitted with hindsight.

Press esc to close Read the full guide