Bukovyna Chernivtsi v Zorya Luhansk — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Sunday 13 September 2026 · UKR-Premier League · 2627

UKR-Premier League results-only Prediction generated 9 Sep 2026, 09:54 UTC

Bukovyna Chernivtsi

15:00 UTC

Zorya Luhansk

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 9 Sep, 11:32 · 99h before kick-off

Bukovyna Chernivtsi win

27.1%

model 27.1%

Draw

31.4%

model 30.8%

Zorya Luhansk win

41.5%

model 42.2%

273141

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (6,392 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-1 14.7%
0-0 10.6%
0-1 10.0%
1-2 8.8%
0-2 8.2%

Goals

Over 2.5	44.3%	Under 2.5	55.7%
BTTS yes	51.0%	BTTS no	49.0%
Bukovyna Chernivtsi 1+	65.6%	Bukovyna Chernivtsi 2+	28.9%
Zorya Luhansk 1+	74.9%	Zorya Luhansk 2+	40.2%

Expected goals 1.07 – 1.38. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

22/100

Data quality

30/100

Model agreement

79%

★ Best pick

Zorya Luhansk (DNB)

Draw no bet · usually 41%

62.1% fair odds 1.61

strong signal · 3481 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Not both to score by HT

GG/NG half time · usually 82%

82.7% fair odds 1.21

moderate signal · 1603 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

Zorya Luhansk have created 1.35 xG a match over their last five while Bukovyna Chernivtsi have allowed 1.35.
Away from home Zorya Luhansk average 1.35 xG a match.

Risk factors

The component models disagree more than usual (agreement 0.79).
Data quality is 30/100, so this price rests on less than the model would like.
Bukovyna Chernivtsi have only 0 matches on record.
Zorya Luhansk have only 0 matches on record.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Zorya Luhansk have an estimated 41.5% win probability, against 31.4% for the draw and 27.1% for Bukovyna Chernivtsi. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.07 for Bukovyna Chernivtsi and 1.38 for Zorya Luhansk.

Why Bukovyna Chernivtsi

Bukovyna Chernivtsi have created 1.35 xG a match over their last five while Zorya Luhansk have allowed 1.35. At home Bukovyna Chernivtsi average 1.35 xG a match.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 31.4%.

Why Zorya Luhansk can win

Zorya Luhansk have created 1.35 xG a match over their last five while Bukovyna Chernivtsi have allowed 1.35. Away from home Zorya Luhansk average 1.35 xG a match.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Bukovyna Chernivtsi, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Zorya Luhansk, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Bukovyna Chernivtsi: 50% possession, 12.0 shots a match, 12.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Zorya Luhansk: 50% possession, 12.0 shots a match, 12.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-09 15:30 · team_stats 2026-09-09 06:03 · availability 2026-09-09 15:32 · prediction 2026-09-09 09:54 ·

Zorya Luhansk are the model's most likely outcome at 41.5%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 14.7%. Confidence 22/100, data quality 30/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

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Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	273142	1.07–1.38	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	112663	0.61–1.72	0-1 15%	41%	39%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Zorya Luhansk to win	42.2%	41.6%	30.6%	1.36×	2.41
Draw	30.8%	31.5%	25.0%	1.26×	3.17
Bukovyna Chernivtsi to win	27.1%	27.1%	44.4%	0.61×	3.69

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Zorya Luhansk & not both score	23.9%	21.7%	16.0%	1.36×	4.61
Draw & both teams score	20.2%	21.7%	17.7%	1.23×	4.61
Zorya Luhansk & both teams score	18.3%	18.1%	14.6%	1.24×	5.52
Bukovyna Chernivtsi & not both score	14.5%	12.7%	24.4%	0.52×	7.88
Bukovyna Chernivtsi & both teams score	12.5%	12.7%	20.1%	0.63×	7.88
Draw & not both score	10.6%	12.7%	7.3%	1.74×	7.88

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Zorya Luhansk & over 1.5	32.1%	31.8%	23.1%	1.38×	3.15
Zorya Luhansk & under 3.5	30.9%	31.8%	21.6%	1.47×	3.15
Draw & under 2.5	25.2%	26.4%	18.8%	1.41×	3.79
Draw & under 3.5	25.2%	26.4%	18.8%	1.41×	3.79
Zorya Luhansk & over 2.5	23.9%	21.8%	18.4%	1.19×	4.58
Bukovyna Chernivtsi & under 3.5	20.8%	21.8%	30.3%	0.72×	4.58
Draw & over 1.5	20.2%	21.8%	17.7%	1.24×	4.58
Bukovyna Chernivtsi & over 1.5	19.8%	17.7%	34.1%	0.52×	5.64
Zorya Luhansk & under 2.5	18.3%	17.7%	12.2%	1.45×	5.64
Bukovyna Chernivtsi & over 2.5	14.9%	12.4%	26.9%	0.46×	8.05
Bukovyna Chernivtsi & under 2.5	12.2%	12.4%	17.5%	0.71×	8.06
Zorya Luhansk & over 3.5	11.3%	12.4%	9.0%	1.38×	8.06
Draw & under 1.5	10.6%	12.4%	7.3%	1.70×	8.06
Zorya Luhansk & under 1.5	10.0%	12.4%	7.5%	1.65×	8.06
Bukovyna Chernivtsi & under 1.5	7.3%	7.6%	10.4%	0.73×	13.21
Bukovyna Chernivtsi & over 3.5	6.3%	7.6%	14.2%	0.53×	13.21
Draw & over 2.5	5.5%	7.6%	6.2%	1.22×	13.21
Draw & over 3.5	5.5%	7.6%	6.2%	1.22×	13.21

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Zorya Luhansk (1UP)	57.5%	56.9%	50.4%	1.13×	1.76
Bukovyna Chernivtsi (1UP)	44.2%	42.5%	59.8%	0.71×	2.35

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Zorya Luhansk (2UP)	42.2%	44.2%	34.2%	1.29×	2.26
Bukovyna Chernivtsi (2UP)	27.1%	27.7%	45.2%	0.61×	3.61

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half drawn	38.7%	36.5%	32.7%	1.12×	2.74
Zorya Luhansk to win 2nd half	37.2%	36.5%	29.7%	1.23×	2.74
Bukovyna Chernivtsi to win 2nd half	24.1%	23.7%	37.7%	0.63×	4.23

2nd half away goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Zorya Luhansk under 1.5 in 2nd half	79.8%	78.2%	82.3%	0.95×	1.28
Zorya Luhansk over 0.5 in 2nd half	56.4%	54.8%	53.4%	1.03×	1.82
Zorya Luhansk under 0.5 in 2nd half	43.7%	45.2%	46.6%	0.97×	2.21
Zorya Luhansk over 1.5 in 2nd half	20.2%	21.8%	17.7%	1.23×	4.59

2nd half home goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Bukovyna Chernivtsi under 1.5 in 2nd half	87.5%	86.4%	77.4%	1.12×	1.16
Bukovyna Chernivtsi under 0.5 in 2nd half	54.5%	54.2%	41.4%	1.31×	1.84
Bukovyna Chernivtsi over 0.5 in 2nd half	45.6%	45.8%	58.7%	0.78×	2.19
Bukovyna Chernivtsi over 1.5 in 2nd half	12.5%	13.6%	22.6%	0.60×	7.37

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Zorya Luhansk (+2.5)	96.7%	96.6%	90.1%	1.07×	1.04
Zorya Luhansk (+1.5)	88.9%	87.4%	77.7%	1.12×	1.14
Zorya Luhansk (+0.5)	72.9%	73.3%	55.6%	1.32×	1.36
Bukovyna Chernivtsi (+0.5)	57.8%	58.3%	69.4%	0.84×	1.71
Zorya Luhansk (-0.5)	42.2%	41.7%	30.6%	1.36×	2.40
Bukovyna Chernivtsi (-0.5)	27.1%	26.7%	44.4%	0.60×	3.75
Bukovyna Chernivtsi (-1.5)	11.1%	12.6%	22.3%	0.57×	7.94
Bukovyna Chernivtsi (-2.5)	3.3%	3.4%	9.9%	0.34×	29.63

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Zorya Luhansk to concede	65.6%	71.2%	76.7%	0.93×	1.40
Zorya Luhansk clean sheet	34.4%	28.8%	23.3%	1.24×	3.48

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Zorya Luhansk clean sheet in 1st half	63.2%	62.7%	51.8%	1.21×	1.60
Zorya Luhansk to concede in 1st half	36.8%	37.3%	48.2%	0.77×	2.68

Away clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Zorya Luhansk clean sheet in 2nd half	54.5%	54.6%	41.4%	1.32×	1.83
Zorya Luhansk to concede in 2nd half	45.6%	45.4%	58.7%	0.77×	2.20

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Zorya Luhansk under 3.5 goals	94.8%	92.2%	95.7%	0.96×	1.09
Zorya Luhansk under 2.5 goals	83.8%	82.5%	87.0%	0.95×	1.21
Zorya Luhansk over 0.5 goals	74.9%	71.6%	68.3%	1.05×	1.40
Zorya Luhansk under 1.5 goals	59.8%	58.9%	66.3%	0.89×	1.70
Zorya Luhansk over 1.5 goals	40.2%	41.1%	33.7%	1.22×	2.43
Zorya Luhansk under 0.5 goals	25.1%	28.4%	31.7%	0.90×	3.52
Zorya Luhansk over 2.5 goals	16.2%	17.5%	13.0%	1.35×	5.72
Zorya Luhansk over 3.5 goals	5.2%	7.8%	4.3%	1.81×	12.76

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Zorya Luhansk under 1.5 in 1st half	89.3%	87.2%	89.4%	0.98×	1.15
Zorya Luhansk under 0.5 in 1st half	57.5%	54.1%	59.0%	0.92×	1.85
Zorya Luhansk over 0.5 in 1st half	42.5%	45.9%	41.0%	1.12×	2.18
Zorya Luhansk over 1.5 in 1st half	10.7%	12.8%	10.6%	1.21×	7.79

Away highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Zorya Luhansk scores more in 2nd half	39.3%	38.1%	36.5%	1.04×	2.62
Zorya Luhansk scores equally in both	38.0%	38.1%	40.6%	0.94×	2.63
Zorya Luhansk scores more in 1st half	22.7%	23.5%	22.9%	1.03×	4.25

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw (away no bet)	53.2%	52.4%	36.0%	1.46×	1.91
Bukovyna Chernivtsi (away no bet)	46.8%	47.6%	64.0%	0.74×	2.10

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Zorya Luhansk even goals	53.2%	53.6%	55.7%	0.96×	1.87
Zorya Luhansk odd goals	46.8%	46.4%	44.3%	1.05×	2.16

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	88.7%	86.9%	82.7%	1.05×	1.15
Both halves over 1.5 goals	11.3%	13.1%	17.3%	0.76×	7.62

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	58.6%	59.8%	66.2%	0.90×	1.67
Both halves under 1.5 goals	41.4%	40.2%	33.8%	1.19×	2.49

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	50.2%	51.3%	58.6%	0.88×	1.95
Zorya Luhansk to score 2+ in a row	33.1%	32.0%	28.6%	1.12×	3.12
Bukovyna Chernivtsi to score 2+ in a row	21.8%	21.7%	36.9%	0.59×	4.61
Either team to score 3+ in a row	16.3%	17.0%	22.9%	0.74×	5.89
Zorya Luhansk to score 3+ in a row	11.0%	12.8%	9.1%	1.41×	7.79
Bukovyna Chernivtsi to score 3+ in a row	5.5%	7.7%	14.2%	0.54×	13.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-1	14.7%	11.2%	11.5%	0.98×	8.91
0-0	10.6%	11.2%	7.3%	1.54×	8.91
0-1	10.0%	11.2%	7.5%	1.49×	8.91
0-2	8.3%	7.4%	4.7%	1.58×	13.45
1-0	7.3%	7.4%	10.4%	0.72×	13.45
1-2	8.8%	7.4%	7.0%	1.06×	13.45
2-1	6.8%	7.4%	8.8%	0.84×	13.45
0-3	3.8%	1.7%	2.3%	0.74×	58.34
0-4	1.3%	1.7%	0.9%	1.93×	58.34
1-3	4.1%	1.7%	2.8%	0.62×	58.34
1-4	1.4%	1.7%	1.0%	1.69×	58.34
2-0	4.9%	1.7%	7.2%	0.24×	58.34
2-2	4.7%	1.7%	5.1%	0.34×	58.34
2-3	2.2%	1.7%	2.1%	0.83×	58.34
2-4	0.7%	1.7%	0.6%	2.89×	58.35
3-0	1.7%	1.7%	3.9%	0.44×	58.34
3-1	2.4%	1.7%	4.2%	0.41×	58.34
3-2	1.7%	1.7%	2.6%	0.66×	58.34
3-3	0.8%	1.7%	1.0%	1.72×	58.35
3-4	0.3%	1.7%	0.4%	4.65×	58.35
4-0	0.5%	1.7%	1.8%	0.98×	58.35
4-1	0.6%	1.7%	1.7%	1.03×	58.35
4-2	0.4%	1.7%	0.9%	1.87×	58.35
4-3	0.2%	1.7%	0.4%	4.62×	58.35
4-4	0.1%	1.7%	0.1%	16.16×	58.35
Any other score	1.8%	1.7%	4.1%	0.42×	58.34

DNB 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Zorya Luhansk (2nd half DNB)	60.7%	63.2%	44.1%	1.43×	1.58
Bukovyna Chernivtsi (2nd half DNB)	39.3%	36.8%	55.9%	0.66×	2.72

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Zorya Luhansk leading at HT (DNB)	55.9%	56.9%	43.3%	1.31×	1.76
Bukovyna Chernivtsi leading at HT (DNB)	44.1%	43.1%	56.7%	0.76×	2.32

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Zorya Luhansk or draw (X2)	72.9%	72.9%	55.6%	1.31×	1.37
Bukovyna Chernivtsi or Zorya Luhansk (12)	69.2%	68.5%	75.0%	0.91×	1.46
Bukovyna Chernivtsi or draw (1X)	57.8%	58.4%	69.4%	0.84×	1.71

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Zorya Luhansk or draw at HT	76.6%	76.8%	66.2%	1.16×	1.30
Bukovyna Chernivtsi or draw at HT	70.3%	71.1%	74.1%	0.96×	1.41
Bukovyna Chernivtsi or Zorya Luhansk at HT	53.1%	53.9%	59.7%	0.90×	1.85

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Zorya Luhansk or draw (1UP)	72.9%	78.9%	63.9%	1.23×	1.27
Bukovyna Chernivtsi or draw (1UP)	57.8%	64.7%	74.2%	0.87×	1.55

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Zorya Luhansk or draw in 2nd half	75.9%	76.3%	62.3%	1.22×	1.31
Bukovyna Chernivtsi or draw in 2nd half	62.8%	63.5%	70.3%	0.90×	1.57
Bukovyna Chernivtsi or Zorya Luhansk in 2nd half	61.3%	63.5%	67.3%	0.94×	1.58

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	65.4%	65.1%	58.9%	1.11×	1.54
Neither half drawn	34.6%	34.9%	41.1%	0.85×	2.86

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Zorya Luhansk (DNB)	60.9%	62.1%	40.8%	1.52×	1.61
Bukovyna Chernivtsi (DNB)	39.1%	37.9%	59.2%	0.64×	2.64

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Zorya Luhansk to score first	50.5%	52.2%	42.9%	1.22×	1.92
Bukovyna Chernivtsi to score first	39.0%	37.5%	51.2%	0.73×	2.66
No goal scored	10.6%	6.9%	5.9%	1.16×	14.58

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams to score	51.0%	51.6%	52.4%	0.99×	1.94
Not both teams to score	49.0%	48.4%	47.6%	1.02×	2.07

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both score & under 2.5	41.1%	41.6%	37.1%	1.12×	2.40
Both score & over 2.5	36.4%	38.0%	40.9%	0.93×	2.63
Both score & under 2.5	14.7%	11.9%	11.5%	1.04×	8.41
Not both score & over 2.5	7.9%	8.4%	10.6%	0.80×	11.85

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	88.4%	85.7%	86.0%	1.00×	1.17
Both teams to score 2+	11.6%	14.3%	14.0%	1.02×	7.01

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	73.7%	70.9%	70.2%	1.01×	1.41
Both teams to score in 2nd half	26.3%	29.1%	29.8%	0.98×	3.44

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	61.7%	60.6%	57.8%	1.05×	1.65
Both score 2nd half only	22.3%	23.4%	23.8%	0.98×	4.28
Both score 1st half only	11.9%	11.9%	12.5%	0.95×	8.42
Both score in both halves	4.0%	4.9%	6.0%	0.81×	20.57

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	84.1%	82.7%	81.5%	1.01×	1.21
Both teams to score by HT	15.9%	17.3%	18.5%	0.94×	5.78

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half without a goal	50.6%	52.4%	41.1%	1.28×	1.91
A goal in each half	49.4%	47.6%	58.9%	0.81×	2.10

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	49.0%	46.5%	45.4%	1.02×	2.15
0-1 goals	27.9%	27.0%	25.2%	1.07×	3.70
4-6 goals	21.9%	23.5%	27.0%	0.87×	4.26
7+ goals	1.3%	2.0%	2.4%	0.83×	49.78

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Zorya Luhansk to score exactly 1	34.7%	32.3%	34.6%	0.93×	3.09
Zorya Luhansk to score exactly 0	25.1%	27.4%	31.7%	0.86×	3.65
Zorya Luhansk to score exactly 2	24.0%	23.3%	20.8%	1.12×	4.30
Zorya Luhansk to score 3+	16.2%	18.2%	13.0%	1.41×	5.49

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Bukovyna Chernivtsi to score exactly 1	36.7%	36.6%	33.1%	1.11×	2.73
Bukovyna Chernivtsi to score exactly 0	34.4%	32.2%	23.3%	1.39×	3.10
Bukovyna Chernivtsi to score exactly 2	19.6%	18.1%	24.0%	0.76×	5.51
Bukovyna Chernivtsi to score 3+	9.3%	8.9%	19.7%	0.45×	11.25

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT	46.9%	46.1%	40.3%	1.14×	2.17
Zorya Luhansk leading at HT	29.7%	28.9%	25.9%	1.12×	3.46
Bukovyna Chernivtsi leading at HT	23.4%	23.2%	33.8%	0.69×	4.30

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Zorya Luhansk -1: 1	57.8%	58.2%	—	—	1.72
Zorya Luhansk -1: X	21.3%	23.3%	—	—	4.29
Zorya Luhansk -1: 2	20.9%	23.3%	—	—	4.29

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Zorya Luhansk (0:1)	72.9%	72.5%	55.6%	1.30×	1.38
Draw (0:1)	16.0%	18.2%	22.2%	0.82×	5.49
Bukovyna Chernivtsi (0:1)	11.1%	13.1%	22.3%	0.59×	7.63

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Zorya Luhansk (0:2)	88.9%	86.7%	77.7%	1.12×	1.15
Draw (0:2)	7.8%	7.7%	12.3%	0.62×	12.97
Bukovyna Chernivtsi (0:2)	3.3%	3.5%	9.9%	0.35×	28.48

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Zorya Luhansk (0:3)	96.7%	96.7%	90.1%	1.07×	1.04
Draw (0:3)	2.5%	2.6%	5.9%	0.43×	39.17
Bukovyna Chernivtsi (0:3)	0.8%	2.6%	4.0%	0.63×	39.20

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Zorya Luhansk (0:4)	99.2%	97.8%	96.0%	1.02×	1.02
Bukovyna Chernivtsi (0:4)	0.2%	1.4%	1.5%	0.94×	70.77
Draw (0:4)	0.6%	1.4%	2.5%	0.56×	70.75

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Bukovyna Chernivtsi (1:0)	57.8%	58.8%	69.4%	0.85×	1.70
Draw (1:0)	21.3%	22.1%	17.0%	1.30×	4.53
Zorya Luhansk (1:0)	20.9%	22.1%	13.6%	1.63×	4.53

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Bukovyna Chernivtsi (2:0)	79.1%	78.2%	86.4%	0.90×	1.28
Draw (2:0)	13.1%	11.6%	8.1%	1.42×	8.64
Zorya Luhansk (2:0)	7.8%	6.6%	5.4%	1.22×	15.11

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	45.3%	48.2%	48.6%	0.99×	2.07
Halves equal	29.4%	26.2%	25.2%	1.04×	3.82
1st half highest scoring	25.3%	26.1%	26.3%	0.99×	3.83

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Bukovyna Chernivtsi to concede	74.9%	72.0%	68.3%	1.05×	1.39
Bukovyna Chernivtsi clean sheet	25.1%	28.0%	31.7%	0.88×	3.57

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Bukovyna Chernivtsi clean sheet in 1st half	57.5%	54.1%	59.0%	0.92×	1.85
Bukovyna Chernivtsi to concede in 1st half	42.5%	45.9%	41.0%	1.12×	2.18

Home clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Bukovyna Chernivtsi to concede in 2nd half	56.4%	54.6%	53.4%	1.02×	1.83
Bukovyna Chernivtsi clean sheet in 2nd half	43.7%	45.4%	46.6%	0.98×	2.20

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Bukovyna Chernivtsi under 3.5 goals	97.7%	96.6%	92.4%	1.05×	1.04
Bukovyna Chernivtsi under 2.5 goals	90.7%	92.3%	80.3%	1.15×	1.08
Bukovyna Chernivtsi under 1.5 goals	71.1%	73.1%	56.3%	1.30×	1.37
Bukovyna Chernivtsi over 0.5 goals	65.6%	68.3%	76.7%	0.89×	1.46
Bukovyna Chernivtsi under 0.5 goals	34.4%	31.7%	23.3%	1.36×	3.15
Bukovyna Chernivtsi over 1.5 goals	28.9%	26.9%	43.7%	0.62×	3.71
Bukovyna Chernivtsi over 2.5 goals	9.3%	7.7%	19.7%	0.39×	13.06
Bukovyna Chernivtsi over 3.5 goals	2.3%	3.4%	7.6%	0.45×	29.43

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Bukovyna Chernivtsi under 1.5 in 1st half	92.2%	93.4%	85.9%	1.09×	1.07
Bukovyna Chernivtsi under 0.5 in 1st half	63.2%	62.5%	51.8%	1.21×	1.60
Bukovyna Chernivtsi over 0.5 in 1st half	36.8%	37.5%	48.2%	0.78×	2.67
Bukovyna Chernivtsi over 1.5 in 1st half	7.8%	6.6%	14.1%	0.47×	15.07

Home highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Bukovyna Chernivtsi scores equally in both	44.7%	41.8%	37.1%	1.12×	2.40
Bukovyna Chernivtsi scores more in 2nd half	32.6%	32.2%	38.0%	0.85×	3.11
Bukovyna Chernivtsi scores more in 1st half	22.7%	23.2%	24.9%	0.93×	4.31

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Zorya Luhansk (home no bet)	57.8%	56.0%	55.1%	1.02×	1.79
Draw (home no bet)	42.2%	44.0%	44.9%	0.98×	2.27

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Bukovyna Chernivtsi even goals	55.9%	55.6%	52.8%	1.05×	1.80
Bukovyna Chernivtsi odd goals	44.1%	44.4%	47.2%	0.94×	2.25

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	36.7%	34.8%	29.3%	1.19×	2.88
HT 0-1	19.8%	19.9%	16.3%	1.22×	5.02
HT 1-0	16.4%	19.9%	20.7%	0.96×	5.03
HT 1-1	9.6%	8.0%	10.2%	0.78×	12.52
HT 0-2	5.6%	8.0%	4.9%	1.63×	12.56
HT 2-0	3.8%	2.5%	7.1%	0.35×	40.41
Any other HT score	3.0%	2.5%	4.7%	0.52×	40.45
HT 1-2	2.5%	2.5%	2.8%	0.89×	40.47
HT 2-1	2.1%	2.5%	3.3%	0.75×	40.49
HT 2-2	0.6%	2.5%	0.9%	2.76×	40.56

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Zorya Luhansk at HT / Zorya Luhansk at FT	23.3%	20.9%	17.4%	1.20×	4.77
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	20.2%	20.9%	14.1%	1.48×	4.79
Draw at HT / Zorya Luhansk at FT	16.4%	17.3%	11.6%	1.50×	5.78
Bukovyna Chernivtsi at HT / Bukovyna Chernivtsi at FT	15.2%	17.3%	25.8%	0.67×	5.78
Draw at HT / Bukovyna Chernivtsi at FT	10.3%	12.0%	14.7%	0.82×	8.34
Bukovyna Chernivtsi at HT / Draw at FT	5.7%	6.5%	5.1%	1.26×	15.50
Zorya Luhansk at HT / Draw at FT	5.0%	3.6%	5.6%	0.65×	27.50
Bukovyna Chernivtsi at HT / Zorya Luhansk at FT	2.6%	3.6%	3.0%	1.22×	27.56
Zorya Luhansk at HT / Bukovyna Chernivtsi at FT	1.5%	3.6%	2.9%	1.25×	27.59

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Zorya Luhansk to score last	50.6%	54.7%	42.7%	1.28×	1.83
Bukovyna Chernivtsi to score last	38.8%	38.5%	51.4%	0.75×	2.59
No goal scored	10.6%	7.0%	5.9%	1.19×	14.21

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	89.4%	92.7%	94.1%	0.99×	1.08
Zorya Luhansk to lead by 1 at any time	57.5%	55.6%	50.4%	1.10×	1.80
Bukovyna Chernivtsi to lead by 1 at any time	44.2%	41.8%	59.8%	0.70×	2.39
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	42.0%	41.8%	48.2%	0.87×	2.39
Zorya Luhansk to lead by 2 at any time	26.4%	25.0%	20.3%	1.23×	4.01
Bukovyna Chernivtsi to lead by 2 at any time	15.7%	17.6%	28.2%	0.62×	5.69
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	13.8%	11.1%	19.5%	0.57×	9.05
Zorya Luhansk to lead by 3 at any time	9.4%	7.5%	7.4%	1.01×	13.42
Bukovyna Chernivtsi to lead by 3 at any time	4.3%	2.6%	12.1%	0.22×	37.83

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	85.6%	87.1%	86.4%	1.01×	1.15
1-4 goals	79.2%	77.9%	78.0%	1.00×	1.28
2-6 goals	70.8%	72.2%	72.4%	1.00×	1.39
2-5 goals	68.2%	68.2%	68.5%	1.00×	1.47
1-3 goals	66.3%	68.2%	63.3%	1.08×	1.47
2-4 goals	61.9%	62.7%	60.1%	1.04×	1.60
2-3 goals	49.0%	47.4%	45.4%	1.04×	2.11
1-2 goals	45.2%	47.4%	41.2%	1.15×	2.11
3-6 goals	43.0%	43.6%	49.0%	0.89×	2.30
3-5 goals	40.4%	43.6%	45.1%	0.97×	2.30
3-4 goals	34.1%	34.7%	36.8%	0.94×	2.88
4-6 goals	21.9%	23.7%	27.0%	0.88×	4.22
4-5 goals	19.3%	18.9%	23.0%	0.82×	5.30
5-6 goals	8.9%	8.9%	12.3%	0.73×	11.21
7+ goals	1.3%	2.3%	2.4%	0.93×	44.27

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Zorya Luhansk never behind	45.3%	54.4%	40.2%	1.35×	1.84
Bukovyna Chernivtsi never behind	31.9%	36.6%	49.6%	0.74×	2.73

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even number of goals	54.2%	50.1%	49.8%	1.00×	2.00
Odd number of goals	45.8%	49.9%	50.2%	1.00×	2.00

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	57.3%	55.1%	53.7%	1.03×	1.82
Odd goals in 1st half	42.7%	44.9%	46.3%	0.97×	2.23

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	54.1%	51.6%	51.1%	1.01×	1.94
Odd goals in 2nd half	45.9%	48.4%	48.9%	0.99×	2.07

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 5.5 goals	96.1%	96.0%	93.7%	1.03×	1.04
Over 0.5 goals	89.4%	87.8%	92.7%	0.95×	1.14
Under 4.5 goals	89.8%	87.8%	85.3%	1.03×	1.14
Under 3.5 goals	76.9%	77.0%	70.6%	1.09×	1.30
Over 1.5 goals	72.1%	72.4%	74.8%	0.97×	1.38
Under 2.5 goals	55.7%	57.7%	48.5%	1.19×	1.73
Over 2.5 goals	44.3%	42.3%	51.5%	0.82×	2.37
Under 1.5 goals	27.9%	27.6%	25.2%	1.10×	3.62
Over 3.5 goals	23.1%	23.0%	29.4%	0.78×	4.34
Under 0.5 goals	10.6%	12.2%	7.3%	1.67×	8.21
Over 4.5 goals	10.2%	12.2%	14.7%	0.83×	8.21
Over 5.5 goals	3.9%	4.0%	6.3%	0.63×	25.19

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	98.7%	97.3%	97.5%	1.00×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	95.9%	97.3%	93.1%	1.05×	1.03
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	88.3%	86.6%	82.8%	1.05×	1.15
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	70.7%	72.1%	62.3%	1.16×	1.39
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	61.4%	62.3%	67.1%	0.93×	1.61
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	38.6%	37.7%	32.9%	1.15×	2.65
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	29.3%	27.9%	37.7%	0.74×	3.58
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	11.7%	13.4%	17.2%	0.77×	7.48
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	4.1%	2.7%	6.9%	0.39×	36.68
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	1.3%	2.7%	2.5%	1.08×	36.72

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	91.8%	91.8%	88.4%	1.04×	1.09
Under 1.5 in 1st half	72.8%	73.8%	66.3%	1.11×	1.36
Over 0.5 in 1st half	63.3%	65.1%	70.7%	0.92×	1.54
Under 0.5 in 1st half	36.7%	34.9%	29.3%	1.19×	2.87
Over 1.5 in 1st half	27.2%	26.2%	33.7%	0.78×	3.82
Over 2.5 in 1st half	8.2%	8.2%	11.6%	0.70×	12.27

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	82.5%	82.5%	77.5%	1.07×	1.21
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	75.6%	80.0%	82.3%	0.97×	1.25
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	57.3%	57.0%	50.2%	1.13×	1.76
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	42.7%	43.0%	49.8%	0.86×	2.33
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	24.4%	20.0%	17.7%	1.13×	4.99
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	17.5%	17.5%	22.5%	0.78×	5.72

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Bukovyna Chernivtsi not to score in both halves	83.2%	81.3%	70.5%	1.15×	1.23
Zorya Luhansk not to score in both halves	76.1%	75.7%	77.6%	0.98×	1.32
Zorya Luhansk to score in both halves	23.9%	24.3%	22.4%	1.08×	4.12
Bukovyna Chernivtsi to score in both halves	16.8%	18.7%	29.5%	0.63×	5.34

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	51.0%	54.2%	52.4%	1.04×	1.84
Only Zorya Luhansk scores	23.9%	21.6%	16.0%	1.35×	4.64
Only Bukovyna Chernivtsi scores	14.5%	11.2%	24.4%	0.46×	8.94
Neither team scores	10.6%	11.2%	7.3%	1.53×	8.94

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 2 goals	27.8%	25.0%	23.3%	1.07×	4.00
Exactly 3 goals	21.1%	22.3%	22.1%	1.01×	4.49
Exactly 1 goals	17.3%	17.6%	17.9%	0.98×	5.68
Exactly 4 goals	12.9%	12.3%	14.7%	0.84×	8.14
Exactly 0 goals	10.6%	12.3%	7.3%	1.68×	8.15
Exactly 5 goals	6.3%	7.8%	8.4%	0.93×	12.89
6 or more goals	3.9%	4.0%	6.3%	0.64×	24.73

Total goals 1st half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
No goals in 1st half	36.7%	36.9%	29.3%	1.26×	2.71
1 goal in 1st half	36.1%	36.9%	37.0%	1.00×	2.71
2 goals in 1st half	18.9%	18.8%	22.2%	0.85×	5.31
3+ goals in 1st half	8.2%	8.2%	11.6%	0.70×	12.27

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	42.7%	43.1%	49.8%	0.87×	2.32
1 goal in 2nd half	32.8%	34.3%	32.5%	1.05×	2.91
No goals in 2nd half	24.4%	20.6%	17.7%	1.16×	4.85

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Bukovyna Chernivtsi not to win both halves	94.1%	92.6%	86.8%	1.07×	1.08
Zorya Luhansk not to win both halves	88.6%	87.8%	91.8%	0.96×	1.14
Zorya Luhansk to win both halves	11.4%	12.2%	8.2%	1.49×	8.22
Bukovyna Chernivtsi to win both halves	5.9%	7.4%	13.2%	0.56×	13.59

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Bukovyna Chernivtsi to win neither half	58.4%	58.2%	41.7%	1.39×	1.72
Zorya Luhansk to win either half	55.6%	58.1%	47.4%	1.23×	1.72
Zorya Luhansk to win neither half	44.4%	41.9%	52.6%	0.80×	2.39
Bukovyna Chernivtsi to win either half	41.6%	41.8%	58.3%	0.72×	2.39

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Bukovyna Chernivtsi not to win to nil	85.5%	87.9%	75.6%	1.16×	1.14
Zorya Luhansk not to win to nil	76.1%	78.4%	84.0%	0.93×	1.28
Zorya Luhansk to win to nil	23.9%	21.6%	16.0%	1.35×	4.63
Bukovyna Chernivtsi to win to nil	14.5%	12.1%	24.4%	0.50×	8.24

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw	30.8%	29.2%	25.0%	1.17×	3.43
Zorya Luhansk by 1	21.3%	23.4%	17.0%	1.37×	4.27
Bukovyna Chernivtsi by 1	16.0%	17.2%	22.2%	0.78×	5.80
Zorya Luhansk by 2	13.1%	11.8%	8.1%	1.46×	8.44
Bukovyna Chernivtsi by 2	7.8%	7.3%	12.3%	0.59×	13.77
Zorya Luhansk by 3+	7.8%	7.3%	5.4%	1.34×	13.77
Bukovyna Chernivtsi by 3+	3.3%	3.0%	9.9%	0.30×	33.45