Burnley v Arsenal — Prediction, Odds & Stats
Saturday 17 February 2024 · ENG-Premier League · 2324
Premier League
xG
Shots
8 – 16
On target
0 – 7
Shots in box
5 – 11
xG per shot
0.04 – 0.14
Set-piece xG
0.06 – 0.84
Goals − xG
-0.34 – +2.78
Reading the xG timeline
Each step up is a shot; the height of the step is how good the chance was. Dots mark goals.
A side whose line climbs steadily created chances all match. A side that scored while its
line stayed flat took a rare chance — that is finishing luck, and it rarely repeats.
Expected goals by minute
Burnley 0.34 xGArsenal 2.22 xG
Reading the shot map
Each circle is a shot, placed where it was taken. Bigger means a better chance;
filled circles are goals. Clusters near the goal mean a side worked good openings;
lots of small circles far out means shooting from poor positions and hoping.
Hover any circle for the player, minute and chance quality.
Shot map
Burnley attacking right
Arsenal attacking left
Marker size is xG; filled markers are goals.
Every shot
| Min | Team | Player | xG | Situation | Body part | Result | Assisted by |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3' |
 Arsenal |
Martin Odegaard | 0.06 | Open Play | Left Foot | Goal | — |
| 9' |
 Burnley |
Wilson Odobert | 0.01 | Open Play | Right Foot | Blocked Shot | — |
| 19' |
Arsenal |
Declan Rice | 0.02 | Open Play | Right Foot | Blocked Shot | Kai Havertz |
| 20' |
Arsenal |
Bukayo Saka | 0.02 | Open Play | Left Foot | Blocked Shot | — |
| 26' |
Burnley |
Aaron Ramsey | 0.07 | Open Play | Left Foot | Missed Shot | Hannes Delcroix |
| 40' |
Arsenal |
Bukayo Saka | 0.76 | Left Foot | Goal | — | |
| 45' |
Arsenal |
Gabriel Martinelli | 0.03 | Open Play | Right Foot | Blocked Shot | — |
| 46' |
Arsenal |
Bukayo Saka | 0.09 | Open Play | Right Foot | Goal | Martin Odegaard |
| 49' |
Burnley |
Dara O'Shea | 0.02 | Set Piece | — | Missed Shot | — |
| 63' |
Arsenal |
Leandro Trossard | 0.14 | Open Play | Left Foot | Missed Shot | Gabriel Martinelli |
| 64' |
Arsenal |
Leandro Trossard | 0.11 | Open Play | Left Foot | Missed Shot | Gabriel Martinelli |
| 65' |
Arsenal |
Kai Havertz | 0.11 | Open Play | Right Foot | Blocked Shot | — |
| 65' |
Arsenal |
Leandro Trossard | 0.09 | Open Play | Left Foot | Goal | — |
| 72' |
Arsenal |
Eddie Nketiah | 0.06 | Open Play | — | Missed Shot | — |
| 77' |
Arsenal |
Kai Havertz | 0.47 | Open Play | Right Foot | Goal | Jakub Kiwior |
| 80' |
Burnley |
Vitinho | 0.08 | Open Play | Right Foot | Blocked Shot | Johann Berg Gudmundsson |
| 84' |
Arsenal |
Gabriel | 0.02 | From Corner | — | Saved Shot | Martin Odegaard |
| 87' |
Burnley |
David Datro Fofana | 0.06 | Open Play | Right Foot | Blocked Shot | Johann Berg Gudmundsson |
| 88' |
Burnley |
Dara O'Shea | 0.04 | From Corner | — | Missed Shot | Johann Berg Gudmundsson |
| 92' |
Burnley |
Jacob Bruun Larsen | 0.04 | Open Play | Right Foot | Missed Shot | Josh Brownhill |
| 93' |
Arsenal |
Eddie Nketiah | 0.12 | Open Play | Right Foot | Missed Shot | Martin Odegaard |
| 93' |
Arsenal |
Emile Smith-Rowe | 0.05 | Open Play | Right Foot | Blocked Shot | Reiss Nelson |
| 97' |
Arsenal |
Martin Odegaard | 0.06 | Direct Freekick | Left Foot | Saved Shot | — |
| 98' |
Burnley |
Josh Brownhill | 0.02 | Open Play | Right Foot | Missed Shot | Jay Rodriguez |
Players
Burnley
| Player | Min | G | A | Sh | KP | xG | xA | xGChain |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Datro Fofana FW | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.06 | 0.00 | 0.06 |
| Dara O'Shea DC | 90 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0.06 | 0.00 | 0.15 |
| Josh Brownhill MC | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.02 | 0.04 | 0.13 |
| Sander Berge MC | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.07 |
| James Trafford GK | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Hannes Delcroix DL | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.00 | 0.07 | 0.07 |
| Wilson Odobert ML | 83 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.01 | 0.00 | 0.08 |
| Lorenz Assignon DR | 83 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.07 |
| Aaron Ramsey MR | 66 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.07 | 0.00 | 0.07 |
| Maxime Estève DC | 65 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Zeki Amdouni FW | 49 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Johann Berg Gudmundsson Sub | 41 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.00 | 0.18 | 0.18 |
| Charlie Taylor Sub | 25 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.02 |
| Jay Rodriguez Sub | 24 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.00 | 0.02 | 0.02 |
| Vitinho Sub | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.08 | 0.00 | 0.08 |
| Jacob Bruun Larsen Sub | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.04 | 0.00 | 0.06 |
Arsenal
| Player | Min | G | A | Sh | KP | xG | xA | xGChain |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Martin Odegaard MC | 90 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0.12 | 0.23 | 0.32 |
| Gabriel Martinelli FWL | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0.03 | 0.25 | 0.30 |
| Gabriel DC | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.02 | 0.00 | 0.07 |
| David Raya GK | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| William Saliba DC | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.02 |
| Jakub Kiwior DL | 90 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.00 | 0.47 | 0.59 |
| Kai Havertz MC | 87 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0.58 | 0.02 | 0.70 |
| Declan Rice MC | 82 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.02 | 0.00 | 0.02 |
| Bukayo Saka FWR | 72 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0.87 | 0.00 | 0.11 |
| Leandro Trossard FW | 72 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0.34 | 0.00 | 0.34 |
| Ben White DR | 72 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.11 |
| Eddie Nketiah Sub | 18 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0.18 | 0.00 | 0.23 |
| Cédric Soares Sub | 18 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.17 |
| Reiss Nelson Sub | 18 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.00 | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| Jorginho Sub | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.17 |
| Emile Smith-Rowe Sub | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.05 | 0.00 | 0.17 |