Burnley v Blackburn Rovers — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Sunday 22 November 2026 · ENG-Championship · 2627

Championship results-only Prediction generated 18 Sep 2026, 10:37 UTC

Burnley

12:00 UTC

Blackburn Rovers

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 24 Oct, 10:57 · 697h before kick-off

Burnley win

48.3%

model 49.4%

Draw

29.2%

model 30.1%

Blackburn Rovers win

22.5%

model 20.6%

482922

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (522 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-1 13.9%
1-0 13.4%
0-0 12.0%
2-0 10.6%
2-1 8.8%

Goals

Over 2.5	39.3%	Under 2.5	60.7%
BTTS yes	44.4%	BTTS no	55.6%
Burnley 1+	75.9%	Burnley 2+	41.6%
Blackburn Rovers 1+	56.6%	Blackburn Rovers 2+	20.4%

Expected goals 1.42 – 0.84. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

45/100

Data quality

65/100

Model agreement

98%

★ Best pick

Not both teams to score

GG/NG · usually 46%

56.3% fair odds 1.78

moderate signal · 1019 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Blackburn Rovers not to score in both halves

Score both halves

84.4% fair odds 1.19

moderate signal · 827 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

Nothing in the data singles out Burnley.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Burnley have an estimated 48.3% win probability, against 29.2% for the draw and 22.5% for Blackburn Rovers. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.42 for Burnley and 0.83 for Blackburn Rovers.

Why Burnley

Nothing in the data singles out Burnley.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 29.2%. A combined 2.26 expected goals is a low-scoring profile, and low totals mean more level finishes. Draws run at 28% in this competition.

Why Blackburn Rovers can win

Nothing in the data singles out Blackburn Rovers.

Key players

Burnley's leading contributors by expected goal involvements a match: Zian Flemming (0.35), Jaidon Anthony (0.24), Marcus Edwards (0.15).

Availability

1 of Burnley's top three contributors did not start their last match. No lineup on record for Blackburn Rovers, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Burnley: 50% possession, 14.8 shots a match, 13.4 faced, 0.16 xG a match from set pieces. Blackburn Rovers: 50% possession, 11.0 shots a match, 16.8 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Burnley's shot volume meets a defence that concedes shots freely.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-10-24 13:59 · team_stats 2026-10-24 06:04 · availability 2026-10-24 14:57 · prediction 2026-09-18 10:37 ·

Burnley are the model's most likely outcome at 48.3%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 13.9%. Confidence 45/100, data quality 65/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Live TV

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Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the chances say

Burnley are finishing sharply below their chances — 4.4 goals fewer than expected across 10 matches, despite creating the openings.

LDLLLLLDLD last 10 scored 6 from 10.4 xG conceded 19 from 20.9 xG

Finishing swings far more than chance creation, so a gap this size usually narrows. Over ten matches it is suggestive, not settled — a genuinely elite finisher beats expected goals for years.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	493021	1.42–0.84	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	503118	1.35–0.72	1-0 16%	34%	39%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Burnley to win	50.4%	51.4%	43.4%	1.18×	1.95
Draw	31.2%	30.4%	27.6%	1.10×	3.29
Blackburn Rovers to win	18.4%	19.4%	29.1%	0.67×	5.16

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Burnley & not both score	34.7%	29.6%	23.3%	1.27×	3.37
Draw & both teams score	17.0%	18.0%	20.4%	0.88×	5.57
Burnley & both teams score	15.7%	18.0%	20.2%	0.89×	5.57
Draw & not both score	14.2%	13.3%	7.3%	1.82×	7.53
Blackburn Rovers & not both score	11.8%	13.3%	15.2%	0.87×	7.54
Blackburn Rovers & both teams score	6.6%	8.3%	13.9%	0.60×	12.02

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Burnley & under 3.5	40.6%	40.2%	32.4%	1.24×	2.49
Burnley & over 1.5	34.7%	30.8%	32.5%	0.95×	3.25
Draw & under 2.5	28.0%	26.1%	21.8%	1.20×	3.84
Draw & under 3.5	28.0%	26.1%	21.8%	1.20×	3.84
Burnley & under 2.5	27.2%	26.1%	17.1%	1.53×	3.84
Burnley & over 2.5	23.2%	21.6%	26.4%	0.82×	4.63
Draw & over 1.5	17.0%	18.0%	20.4%	0.88×	5.56
Burnley & under 1.5	15.7%	18.0%	11.0%	1.63×	5.56
Blackburn Rovers & under 3.5	16.1%	18.0%	22.3%	0.81×	5.56
Draw & under 1.5	14.2%	12.8%	7.3%	1.76×	7.79
Blackburn Rovers & over 1.5	10.8%	12.8%	21.4%	0.60×	7.79
Blackburn Rovers & under 2.5	10.9%	12.8%	12.9%	0.99×	7.79
Burnley & over 3.5	9.8%	7.9%	11.1%	0.71×	12.63
Blackburn Rovers & under 1.5	7.6%	7.9%	7.7%	1.02×	12.63
Blackburn Rovers & over 2.5	7.5%	7.9%	16.2%	0.49×	12.63
Draw & over 2.5	3.3%	4.8%	5.9%	0.81×	20.82
Draw & over 3.5	3.3%	4.8%	5.9%	0.81×	20.82
Blackburn Rovers & over 3.5	2.3%	4.8%	6.8%	0.71×	20.82

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Burnley (1UP)	61.7%	62.8%	—	—	1.59
Blackburn Rovers (1UP)	32.4%	32.9%	—	—	3.04

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Burnley (2UP)	50.4%	54.8%	—	—	1.83
Blackburn Rovers (2UP)	18.4%	17.4%	—	—	5.76

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half drawn	42.1%	42.0%	—	—	2.38
Burnley to win 2nd half	39.6%	36.1%	—	—	2.77
Blackburn Rovers to win 2nd half	18.3%	18.2%	—	—	5.49

2nd half away goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Blackburn Rovers under 1.5 in 2nd half	93.1%	91.9%	—	—	1.09
Blackburn Rovers under 0.5 in 2nd half	65.1%	69.9%	—	—	1.43
Blackburn Rovers over 0.5 in 2nd half	34.9%	30.1%	—	—	3.32
Blackburn Rovers over 1.5 in 2nd half	6.9%	8.1%	—	—	12.29

2nd half home goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Burnley under 1.5 in 2nd half	82.1%	82.5%	—	—	1.21
Burnley over 0.5 in 2nd half	53.5%	55.2%	—	—	1.81
Burnley under 0.5 in 2nd half	46.5%	44.9%	—	—	2.23
Burnley over 1.5 in 2nd half	17.9%	17.5%	—	—	5.70

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Blackburn Rovers (+2.5)	90.7%	92.1%	91.9%	1.00×	1.09
Burnley (+0.5)	81.6%	82.5%	70.9%	1.16×	1.21
Blackburn Rovers (+1.5)	75.0%	73.7%	80.7%	0.91×	1.36
Burnley (-0.5)	50.4%	52.4%	43.4%	1.21×	1.91
Blackburn Rovers (+0.5)	49.6%	47.6%	56.6%	0.84×	2.10
Burnley (-1.5)	25.0%	26.3%	19.3%	1.37×	3.80
Blackburn Rovers (-0.5)	18.4%	17.5%	29.1%	0.60×	5.72
Burnley (-2.5)	9.3%	7.9%	8.1%	0.98×	12.67

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Blackburn Rovers to concede	73.9%	76.7%	77.6%	0.99×	1.30
Blackburn Rovers clean sheet	26.1%	23.3%	22.4%	1.04×	4.30

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Blackburn Rovers clean sheet in 1st half	56.1%	57.0%	—	—	1.76
Blackburn Rovers to concede in 1st half	43.9%	43.0%	—	—	2.32

Away clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Blackburn Rovers to concede in 2nd half	53.5%	55.0%	—	—	1.82
Blackburn Rovers clean sheet in 2nd half	46.5%	45.0%	—	—	2.22

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Blackburn Rovers under 6.5 corners	84.9%	81.4%	—	—	1.23
Blackburn Rovers under 5.5 corners	76.5%	76.0%	—	—	1.32
Blackburn Rovers over 2.5 corners	66.3%	67.6%	—	—	1.48
Blackburn Rovers under 4.5 corners	65.0%	67.6%	—	—	1.48
Blackburn Rovers under 3.5 corners	50.4%	53.0%	—	—	1.89
Blackburn Rovers over 3.5 corners	49.6%	47.0%	—	—	2.13
Blackburn Rovers over 4.5 corners	35.0%	32.4%	—	—	3.09
Blackburn Rovers under 2.5 corners	33.7%	32.4%	—	—	3.09
Blackburn Rovers over 5.5 corners	23.5%	24.0%	—	—	4.17
Blackburn Rovers over 6.5 corners	15.1%	18.6%	—	—	5.38

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Blackburn Rovers under 3.5 goals	99.4%	97.5%	97.8%	1.00×	1.03
Blackburn Rovers under 2.5 goals	96.4%	97.5%	90.6%	1.08×	1.03
Blackburn Rovers under 1.5 goals	83.9%	81.5%	70.0%	1.16×	1.23
Blackburn Rovers over 0.5 goals	51.1%	53.5%	69.5%	0.77×	1.87
Blackburn Rovers under 0.5 goals	48.9%	46.5%	30.5%	1.52×	2.15
Blackburn Rovers over 1.5 goals	16.1%	18.5%	30.0%	0.62×	5.40
Blackburn Rovers over 2.5 goals	3.6%	2.5%	9.4%	0.27×	39.85
Blackburn Rovers over 3.5 goals	0.6%	2.5%	2.2%	1.13×	40.00

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Blackburn Rovers under 1.5 in 1st half	96.6%	96.1%	—	—	1.04
Blackburn Rovers under 0.5 in 1st half	75.1%	74.8%	—	—	1.34
Blackburn Rovers over 0.5 in 1st half	24.9%	25.2%	—	—	3.97
Blackburn Rovers over 1.5 in 1st half	3.4%	3.9%	—	—	25.54

Away highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Blackburn Rovers scores equally in both	55.1%	51.8%	—	—	1.93
Blackburn Rovers scores more in 2nd half	27.7%	26.2%	—	—	3.81
Blackburn Rovers scores more in 1st half	17.2%	17.7%	—	—	5.65

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Burnley (away no bet)	61.7%	61.9%	61.1%	1.01×	1.62
Draw (away no bet)	38.3%	38.1%	38.9%	0.98×	2.63

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Blackburn Rovers even goals	62.0%	59.1%	52.4%	1.13×	1.69
Blackburn Rovers odd goals	38.0%	40.9%	47.6%	0.86×	2.44

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	92.8%	92.2%	—	—	1.09
Both halves over 1.5 goals	7.2%	7.8%	—	—	12.82

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both halves under 1.5 goals	51.4%	50.3%	—	—	1.99
Not both halves under 1.5	48.6%	49.7%	—	—	2.01

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	43.3%	38.8%	—	—	2.58
Burnley to score 2+ in a row	33.9%	29.2%	—	—	3.42
Either team to score 3+ in a row	13.7%	12.1%	—	—	8.28
Blackburn Rovers to score 2+ in a row	11.8%	12.0%	—	—	8.32
Burnley to score 3+ in a row	11.7%	12.0%	—	—	8.32
Blackburn Rovers to score 3+ in a row	2.1%	2.5%	—	—	39.45

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Burnley corners (+3.5)	85.4%	84.5%	—	—	1.18
Blackburn Rovers corners (+3.5)	82.0%	79.8%	—	—	1.25
Burnley corners (+2.5)	78.3%	74.8%	—	—	1.34
Blackburn Rovers corners (+2.5)	74.1%	70.7%	—	—	1.41
Burnley corners (+1.5)	69.2%	65.9%	—	—	1.52
Blackburn Rovers corners (+1.5)	64.3%	61.8%	—	—	1.62
Burnley corners (-1.5)	35.7%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
Blackburn Rovers corners (-1.5)	30.8%	34.1%	—	—	2.93
Burnley corners (-2.5)	25.9%	29.3%	—	—	3.42
Blackburn Rovers corners (-2.5)	21.7%	25.2%	—	—	3.97
Burnley corners (-3.5)	18.0%	20.2%	—	—	4.94
Blackburn Rovers corners (-3.5)	14.6%	15.5%	—	—	6.44

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-8 corners	59.2%	46.6%	—	—	2.15
9-11 corners	23.6%	25.7%	—	—	3.90
12+ corners	17.2%	22.6%	—	—	4.43

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 12.5 corners	87.8%	83.1%	—	—	1.20
Under 11.5 corners	82.8%	80.7%	—	—	1.24
Under 10.5 corners	76.4%	76.6%	—	—	1.31
Under 9.5 corners	68.5%	67.8%	—	—	1.48
Under 8.5 corners	59.2%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Over 7.5 corners	51.3%	53.2%	—	—	1.88
Under 7.5 corners	48.7%	46.8%	—	—	2.14
Over 8.5 corners	40.8%	42.1%	—	—	2.38
Over 9.5 corners	31.5%	32.2%	—	—	3.11
Over 10.5 corners	23.6%	23.4%	—	—	4.27
Over 11.5 corners	17.2%	19.3%	—	—	5.18
Over 12.5 corners	12.2%	16.9%	—	—	5.91

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.1%	—	—	2.00
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.9%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-0	15.7%	13.8%	11.0%	1.25×	7.24
0-0	14.2%	11.5%	7.3%	1.57×	8.72
1-1	13.7%	11.5%	14.5%	0.79×	8.72
2-0	11.5%	11.5%	6.1%	1.87×	8.72
0-1	7.6%	7.4%	7.7%	0.96×	13.51
2-1	8.2%	7.4%	11.5%	0.65×	13.51
3-0	5.2%	7.4%	4.0%	1.85×	13.51
0-2	3.3%	1.7%	5.3%	0.33×	58.30
0-3	0.8%	1.7%	1.6%	1.06×	58.31
0-4	0.1%	1.7%	0.4%	4.04×	58.32
1-2	4.4%	1.7%	8.0%	0.21×	58.29
1-3	1.0%	1.7%	3.1%	0.56×	58.31
1-4	0.2%	1.7%	0.6%	2.88×	58.32
2-2	2.9%	1.7%	5.2%	0.33×	58.30
2-3	0.7%	1.7%	1.7%	1.01×	58.32
2-4	0.1%	1.7%	0.3%	6.73×	58.32
3-1	3.7%	1.7%	4.3%	0.40×	58.30
3-2	1.3%	1.7%	1.8%	0.96×	58.31
3-3	0.3%	1.7%	0.9%	2.02×	58.32
3-4	0.1%	1.7%	0.3%	6.73×	58.32
4-0	1.7%	1.7%	1.7%	1.01×	58.31
4-1	1.2%	1.7%	0.9%	2.02×	58.31
4-2	0.4%	1.7%	0.8%	2.24×	58.32
4-3	0.1%	1.7%	0.2%	10.09×	58.32
4-4	0.0%	1.7%	0.1%	20.18×	58.32
Any other score	1.3%	1.7%	3.0%	0.58×	58.31

DNB 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Burnley (2nd half DNB)	68.4%	67.1%	—	—	1.49
Blackburn Rovers (2nd half DNB)	31.6%	32.9%	—	—	3.04

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Burnley leading at HT (DNB)	70.4%	73.4%	—	—	1.36
Blackburn Rovers leading at HT (DNB)	29.6%	26.6%	—	—	3.76

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Burnley or draw (1X)	81.6%	80.6%	70.9%	1.14×	1.24
Burnley or Blackburn Rovers (12)	68.8%	69.6%	72.4%	0.96×	1.44
Blackburn Rovers or draw (X2)	49.6%	48.6%	56.6%	0.86×	2.06

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Burnley or draw at HT	85.2%	87.6%	—	—	1.14
Blackburn Rovers or draw at HT	64.7%	61.4%	—	—	1.63
Burnley or Blackburn Rovers at HT	50.1%	47.7%	—	—	2.10

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Burnley or draw (1UP)	81.6%	88.5%	—	—	1.13
Blackburn Rovers or draw (1UP)	49.6%	53.5%	—	—	1.87

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Burnley or draw in 2nd half	81.7%	81.8%	—	—	1.22
Blackburn Rovers or draw in 2nd half	60.4%	63.9%	—	—	1.56
Burnley or Blackburn Rovers in 2nd half	57.9%	58.0%	—	—	1.72

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	69.5%	68.4%	—	—	1.46
Neither half drawn	30.5%	31.6%	—	—	3.16

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Burnley (DNB)	73.3%	71.5%	59.9%	1.19×	1.40
Blackburn Rovers (DNB)	26.7%	28.5%	40.1%	0.71×	3.51

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Burnley to score first	56.0%	62.1%	—	—	1.61
Blackburn Rovers to score first	29.8%	28.2%	—	—	3.55
No goal scored	14.2%	10.4%	—	—	9.63

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score	60.8%	56.6%	45.6%	1.24×	1.77
Both teams to score	39.2%	43.4%	54.4%	0.80×	2.31

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both score & under 2.5	52.3%	47.3%	37.1%	1.27×	2.12
Both score & over 2.5	25.5%	33.3%	39.9%	0.83×	3.00
Both score & under 2.5	13.7%	12.4%	14.5%	0.85×	8.09
Not both score & over 2.5	8.4%	8.3%	8.6%	0.97×	12.06

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	93.7%	89.0%	89.0%	1.00×	1.12
Both teams to score 2+	6.3%	11.0%	11.0%	1.00×	9.11

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	80.8%	72.5%	—	—	1.38
Both teams to score in 2nd half	19.2%	27.5%	—	—	3.64

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	71.7%	67.6%	—	—	1.48
Both score 2nd half only	17.1%	15.0%	—	—	6.68
Both score 1st half only	9.1%	6.8%	—	—	14.60
Both score in both halves	2.0%	4.8%	—	—	20.65

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	88.8%	85.6%	—	—	1.17
Both teams to score by HT	11.2%	14.4%	—	—	6.94

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half without a goal	58.9%	57.4%	—	—	1.74
A goal in each half	41.1%	42.6%	—	—	2.35

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	47.1%	47.2%	50.5%	0.94×	2.12
0-1 goals	37.5%	35.1%	25.9%	1.36×	2.85
4-6 goals	14.9%	16.9%	22.4%	0.76×	5.90
7+ goals	0.5%	1.8%	1.4%	1.35×	54.45

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Blackburn Rovers to score exactly 0	48.9%	42.9%	30.5%	1.41×	2.33
Blackburn Rovers to score exactly 1	35.0%	33.9%	39.6%	0.86×	2.95
Blackburn Rovers to score exactly 2	12.5%	12.9%	20.6%	0.62×	7.76
Blackburn Rovers to score 3+	3.6%	4.6%	9.4%	0.49×	21.82

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Burnley to score exactly 1	35.0%	35.6%	37.0%	0.96×	2.81
Burnley to score exactly 0	26.1%	26.5%	22.4%	1.18×	3.77
Burnley to score exactly 2	23.6%	23.3%	24.6%	0.95×	4.29
Burnley to score 3+	15.3%	18.8%	16.1%	1.16×	5.33

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT	49.9%	52.3%	—	—	1.91
Burnley leading at HT	35.3%	38.6%	—	—	2.59
Blackburn Rovers leading at HT	14.8%	12.4%	—	—	8.03

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Burnley -1: 2	49.6%	47.0%	—	—	2.13
Burnley -1: X	25.3%	26.5%	—	—	3.77
Burnley -1: 1	25.0%	26.5%	—	—	3.77

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Blackburn Rovers (0:1)	49.6%	46.2%	56.6%	0.82×	2.16
Draw (0:1)	25.3%	27.0%	24.2%	1.12×	3.70
Burnley (0:1)	25.0%	27.0%	19.3%	1.40×	3.70

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Blackburn Rovers (0:2)	75.0%	75.7%	80.7%	0.94×	1.32
Draw (0:2)	15.7%	15.3%	11.3%	1.35×	6.55
Burnley (0:2)	9.3%	7.7%	8.1%	0.95×	13.02

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Blackburn Rovers (0:3)	90.7%	92.7%	91.9%	1.01×	1.08
Draw (0:3)	6.5%	5.8%	4.8%	1.22×	17.22
Burnley (0:3)	2.8%	2.4%	3.4%	0.70×	42.09

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Blackburn Rovers (0:4)	97.2%	98.1%	96.6%	1.02×	1.02
Draw (0:4)	2.1%	1.2%	2.4%	0.51×	81.87
Burnley (0:4)	0.7%	1.2%	1.1%	1.10×	82.03

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Burnley (1:0)	81.6%	81.3%	70.9%	1.15×	1.23
Draw (1:0)	12.8%	12.7%	17.4%	0.73×	7.87
Blackburn Rovers (1:0)	5.6%	6.9%	11.7%	0.59×	14.52

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Burnley (2:0)	94.4%	94.0%	88.3%	1.06×	1.06
Draw (2:0)	4.4%	2.3%	8.6%	0.27×	43.55
Blackburn Rovers (2:0)	1.2%	2.3%	3.2%	0.71×	43.76

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	42.4%	44.3%	—	—	2.26
Halves equal	31.9%	30.0%	—	—	3.34
1st half highest scoring	25.6%	26.2%	—	—	3.82

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Burnley to concede	51.1%	53.2%	69.5%	0.77×	1.88
Burnley clean sheet	48.9%	46.8%	30.5%	1.53×	2.14

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Burnley clean sheet in 1st half	75.1%	77.2%	—	—	1.30
Burnley to concede in 1st half	24.9%	22.8%	—	—	4.38

Home clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Burnley clean sheet in 2nd half	65.1%	66.7%	—	—	1.50
Burnley to concede in 2nd half	34.9%	33.3%	—	—	3.00

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Burnley under 6.5 corners	82.1%	81.0%	—	—	1.24
Burnley under 5.5 corners	73.1%	71.9%	—	—	1.39
Burnley over 2.5 corners	69.4%	66.7%	—	—	1.50
Burnley under 4.5 corners	61.2%	62.3%	—	—	1.61
Burnley over 3.5 corners	53.4%	52.6%	—	—	1.90
Burnley under 3.5 corners	46.6%	47.4%	—	—	2.11
Burnley over 4.5 corners	38.8%	37.8%	—	—	2.65
Burnley under 2.5 corners	30.6%	33.3%	—	—	3.01
Burnley over 5.5 corners	26.9%	28.1%	—	—	3.55
Burnley over 6.5 corners	17.9%	19.0%	—	—	5.25

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Burnley under 3.5 goals	95.2%	96.4%	94.8%	1.02×	1.04
Burnley under 2.5 goals	84.7%	82.2%	83.9%	0.98×	1.22
Burnley over 0.5 goals	73.9%	74.3%	77.6%	0.96×	1.35
Burnley under 1.5 goals	61.1%	63.6%	59.4%	1.07×	1.57
Burnley over 1.5 goals	38.9%	36.4%	40.6%	0.90×	2.75
Burnley under 0.5 goals	26.1%	25.7%	22.4%	1.15×	3.88
Burnley over 2.5 goals	15.3%	17.8%	16.1%	1.10×	5.63
Burnley over 3.5 goals	4.8%	3.6%	5.2%	0.70×	27.45

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Burnley under 1.5 in 1st half	88.5%	90.3%	—	—	1.11
Burnley under 0.5 in 1st half	56.1%	56.7%	—	—	1.76
Burnley over 0.5 in 1st half	43.9%	43.3%	—	—	2.31
Burnley over 1.5 in 1st half	11.5%	9.7%	—	—	10.30

Home highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Burnley scores equally in both	39.0%	37.8%	—	—	2.65
Burnley scores more in 2nd half	36.3%	37.7%	—	—	2.65
Burnley scores more in 1st half	24.8%	21.3%	—	—	4.69

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw (home no bet)	62.9%	60.0%	48.7%	1.23×	1.67
Blackburn Rovers (home no bet)	37.1%	40.0%	51.3%	0.78×	2.50

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Burnley even goals	53.4%	50.7%	50.5%	1.00×	1.97
Burnley odd goals	46.6%	49.3%	49.5%	1.00×	2.03

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	42.4%	39.5%	—	—	2.53
HT 1-0	24.1%	24.4%	—	—	4.10
HT 0-1	11.8%	11.0%	—	—	9.12
HT 1-1	7.2%	6.9%	—	—	14.47
HT 2-0	7.0%	6.9%	—	—	14.48
Any other HT score	2.4%	2.4%	—	—	42.14
HT 2-1	2.0%	2.4%	—	—	42.16
HT 0-2	1.7%	2.4%	—	—	42.18
HT 1-2	1.0%	2.4%	—	—	42.23
HT 2-2	0.3%	2.4%	—	—	42.28

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Burnley at HT / Burnley at FT	29.6%	27.5%	—	—	3.64
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	22.5%	21.7%	—	—	4.62
Draw at HT / Burnley at FT	19.0%	16.8%	—	—	5.97
Blackburn Rovers at HT / Blackburn Rovers at FT	9.0%	6.0%	—	—	16.56
Draw at HT / Blackburn Rovers at FT	8.4%	6.0%	—	—	16.58
Burnley at HT / Draw at FT	4.6%	3.5%	—	—	28.62
Blackburn Rovers at HT / Draw at FT	4.1%	3.5%	—	—	28.64
Blackburn Rovers at HT / Burnley at FT	1.7%	3.5%	—	—	28.73
Burnley at HT / Blackburn Rovers at FT	1.0%	3.5%	—	—	28.75

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Burnley to score last	56.2%	56.3%	—	—	1.78
Blackburn Rovers to score last	29.5%	27.8%	—	—	3.59
No goal scored	14.2%	9.8%	—	—	10.21

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	85.8%	90.9%	—	—	1.10
Burnley to lead by 1 at any time	61.7%	61.4%	—	—	1.63
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	37.4%	34.6%	—	—	2.89
Blackburn Rovers to lead by 1 at any time	32.4%	29.8%	—	—	3.35
Burnley to lead by 2 at any time	29.2%	25.6%	—	—	3.91
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	12.2%	10.5%	—	—	9.57
Burnley to lead by 3 at any time	10.6%	10.4%	—	—	9.60
Blackburn Rovers to lead by 2 at any time	8.3%	6.7%	—	—	14.88
Blackburn Rovers to lead by 3 at any time	1.6%	1.6%	—	—	63.12

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Burnley most corners	46.9%	47.0%	—	—	2.13
Blackburn Rovers most corners	41.6%	43.5%	—	—	2.30
Corners level	11.6%	10.4%	—	—	9.58

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	83.9%	83.4%	88.8%	0.94×	1.20
1-4 goals	80.0%	78.7%	83.3%	0.94×	1.27
1-3 goals	70.4%	72.4%	69.1%	1.05×	1.38
2-6 goals	61.9%	63.3%	72.8%	0.87×	1.58
2-5 goals	60.6%	63.3%	70.2%	0.90×	1.58
2-4 goals	56.7%	59.1%	64.7%	0.91×	1.69
1-2 goals	51.8%	53.2%	44.4%	1.20×	1.88
2-3 goals	47.1%	48.5%	50.5%	0.96×	2.06
3-6 goals	33.4%	35.2%	47.2%	0.75×	2.84
3-5 goals	32.1%	35.2%	44.5%	0.79×	2.84
3-4 goals	28.1%	30.2%	39.1%	0.77×	3.31
4-6 goals	14.9%	14.8%	22.4%	0.66×	6.75
4-5 goals	13.5%	14.8%	19.8%	0.75×	6.75
5-6 goals	5.3%	8.9%	8.2%	1.09×	11.28
7+ goals	0.5%	2.6%	1.4%	1.88×	39.20

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Burnley never behind	53.3%	62.5%	—	—	1.60
Blackburn Rovers never behind	24.1%	24.8%	—	—	4.04

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of goals	46.2%	50.9%	49.4%	1.03×	1.97
Even number of goals	53.8%	49.1%	50.6%	0.97×	2.04

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	59.4%	58.0%	—	—	1.72
Odd goals in 1st half	40.6%	42.0%	—	—	2.38

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	55.6%	58.8%	—	—	1.70
Odd goals in 2nd half	44.4%	41.2%	—	—	2.43

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 5.5 goals	98.1%	95.4%	96.0%	0.99×	1.05
Under 4.5 goals	94.2%	92.3%	90.6%	1.02×	1.08
Over 0.5 goals	85.8%	87.6%	92.7%	0.95×	1.14
Under 3.5 goals	84.6%	82.3%	76.3%	1.08×	1.22
Under 2.5 goals	66.0%	66.3%	51.6%	1.29×	1.51
Over 1.5 goals	62.5%	61.7%	74.1%	0.83×	1.62
Under 1.5 goals	37.5%	38.3%	25.9%	1.48×	2.61
Over 2.5 goals	34.0%	33.7%	48.4%	0.70×	2.97
Over 3.5 goals	15.4%	17.7%	23.7%	0.75×	5.65
Under 0.5 goals	14.2%	12.4%	7.3%	1.70×	8.06
Over 4.5 goals	5.8%	7.7%	9.4%	0.82×	12.95
Over 5.5 goals	1.9%	4.6%	4.0%	1.14×	21.89

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	99.5%	97.2%	98.6%	0.99×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	98.0%	97.2%	95.8%	1.01×	1.03
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	93.6%	92.4%	89.0%	1.04×	1.08
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	81.1%	81.1%	68.5%	1.18×	1.23
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	52.5%	51.9%	34.9%	1.49×	1.93
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	47.5%	48.1%	65.1%	0.74×	2.08
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	18.9%	18.9%	31.5%	0.60×	5.29
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	6.4%	7.6%	11.0%	0.69×	13.16
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	2.0%	2.8%	4.2%	0.67×	35.60
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	0.5%	2.8%	1.4%	2.01×	35.64

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	94.3%	92.8%	—	—	1.08
Under 1.5 in 1st half	78.3%	78.4%	—	—	1.28
Over 0.5 in 1st half	57.6%	63.8%	—	—	1.57
Under 0.5 in 1st half	42.4%	36.2%	—	—	2.76
Over 1.5 in 1st half	21.7%	21.6%	—	—	4.63
Over 2.5 in 1st half	5.7%	7.2%	—	—	13.88

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	88.0%	85.5%	—	—	1.17
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	69.2%	68.9%	—	—	1.45
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	65.9%	68.7%	—	—	1.46
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	34.1%	31.3%	—	—	3.19
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	30.8%	31.1%	—	—	3.22
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	12.0%	14.5%	—	—	6.90

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Blackburn Rovers not to score in both halves	91.3%	90.1%	—	—	1.11
Burnley not to score in both halves	76.5%	78.5%	—	—	1.27
Burnley to score in both halves	23.5%	21.5%	—	—	4.64
Blackburn Rovers to score in both halves	8.7%	9.9%	—	—	10.14

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	39.2%	39.9%	54.4%	0.73×	2.51
Only Burnley scores	34.7%	33.3%	23.3%	1.43×	3.00
Neither team scores	14.2%	11.0%	7.3%	1.51×	9.05
Only Blackburn Rovers scores	11.8%	11.0%	15.2%	0.73×	9.06

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 2 goals	28.5%	24.9%	25.7%	0.97×	4.02
Exactly 1 goals	23.3%	22.6%	18.7%	1.21×	4.43
Exactly 3 goals	18.6%	17.5%	24.8%	0.70×	5.73
Exactly 0 goals	14.2%	12.1%	7.3%	1.66×	8.24
Exactly 4 goals	9.6%	7.6%	14.4%	0.53×	13.13
Exactly 5 goals	3.9%	4.5%	5.5%	0.81×	22.38
6 or more goals	1.9%	4.5%	4.0%	1.12×	22.41

Total goals 1st half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
No goals in 1st half	42.4%	39.5%	—	—	2.53
1 goal in 1st half	35.9%	37.3%	—	—	2.68
2 goals in 1st half	16.0%	15.6%	—	—	6.41
3+ goals in 1st half	5.7%	7.2%	—	—	13.88

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1 goal in 2nd half	35.2%	38.8%	—	—	2.58
2+ goals in 2nd half	34.1%	33.9%	—	—	2.95
No goals in 2nd half	30.8%	33.8%	—	—	2.96

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Blackburn Rovers not to win both halves	97.2%	97.2%	—	—	1.03
Burnley not to win both halves	85.7%	87.9%	—	—	1.14
Burnley to win both halves	14.3%	12.1%	—	—	8.26
Blackburn Rovers to win both halves	2.8%	2.8%	—	—	35.64

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Blackburn Rovers to win neither half	69.7%	67.8%	—	—	1.48
Burnley to win either half	60.6%	65.0%	—	—	1.54
Burnley to win neither half	39.4%	35.0%	—	—	2.86
Blackburn Rovers to win either half	30.3%	32.2%	—	—	3.11

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Blackburn Rovers not to win to nil	88.2%	88.1%	84.8%	1.04×	1.14
Burnley not to win to nil	65.3%	69.6%	76.7%	0.91×	1.44
Burnley to win to nil	34.7%	30.4%	23.3%	1.31×	3.29
Blackburn Rovers to win to nil	11.8%	11.9%	15.2%	0.78×	8.42

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Burnley by 1	25.3%	27.9%	24.2%	1.15×	3.59
Draw	31.2%	27.7%	27.6%	1.00×	3.62
Burnley by 2	15.7%	17.0%	11.3%	1.51×	5.87
Blackburn Rovers by 1	12.8%	11.8%	17.4%	0.67×	8.51
Burnley by 3+	9.3%	7.2%	8.1%	0.89×	13.90
Blackburn Rovers by 2	4.4%	2.7%	8.6%	0.32×	36.77
Blackburn Rovers by 3+	1.2%	2.7%	3.2%	0.84×	36.87