Burnley v Chelsea — Prediction, Odds & Stats
Saturday 7 October 2023 · ENG-Premier League · 2324
Premier League
xG
Shots
11 – 9
On target
3 – 5
Shots in box
5 – 6
xG per shot
0.09 – 0.22
Set-piece xG
0.18 – 0.76
Goals − xG
+0.04 – +2.02
Reading the xG timeline
Each step up is a shot; the height of the step is how good the chance was. Dots mark goals.
A side whose line climbs steadily created chances all match. A side that scored while its
line stayed flat took a rare chance — that is finishing luck, and it rarely repeats.
Expected goals by minute
Burnley 0.96 xGChelsea 1.98 xG
Reading the shot map
Each circle is a shot, placed where it was taken. Bigger means a better chance;
filled circles are goals. Clusters near the goal mean a side worked good openings;
lots of small circles far out means shooting from poor positions and hoping.
Hover any circle for the player, minute and chance quality.
Shot map
Burnley attacking right
Chelsea attacking left
Marker size is xG; filled markers are goals.
Every shot
| Min | Team | Player | xG | Situation | Body part | Result | Assisted by |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8' |
 Chelsea |
Cole Palmer | 0.02 | Open Play | Left Foot | Missed Shot | Marc Cucurella |
| 13' |
Chelsea |
Raheem Sterling | 0.03 | Open Play | Right Foot | Missed Shot | Cole Palmer |
| 14' |
 Burnley |
Wilson Odobert | 0.10 | Open Play | Left Foot | Goal | Lyle Foster |
| 21' |
Burnley |
Mike Trésor | 0.48 | Open Play | Right Foot | Missed Shot | Wilson Odobert |
| 36' |
Chelsea |
Raheem Sterling | 0.05 | Open Play | Left Foot | Saved Shot | Moisés Caicedo |
| 41' |
Burnley |
Ameen Al Dakhil | 0.00 | Open Play | Right Foot | Own Goal | — |
| 43' |
Chelsea |
Armando Broja | 0.09 | Open Play | Right Foot | Blocked Shot | Raheem Sterling |
| 43' |
Chelsea |
Cole Palmer | 0.05 | Open Play | Left Foot | Blocked Shot | Moisés Caicedo |
| 49' |
Chelsea |
Cole Palmer | 0.76 | Left Foot | Goal | — | |
| 53' |
Burnley |
Wilson Odobert | 0.02 | Open Play | Right Foot | Saved Shot | Charlie Taylor |
| 57' |
Chelsea |
Enzo Fernández | 0.07 | Open Play | Right Foot | Saved Shot | Nicolas Jackson |
| 64' |
Chelsea |
Raheem Sterling | 0.33 | Open Play | Left Foot | Goal | Conor Gallagher |
| 74' |
Chelsea |
Nicolas Jackson | 0.58 | Open Play | Left Foot | Goal | Cole Palmer |
| 77' |
Burnley |
Wilson Odobert | 0.04 | Open Play | Right Foot | Blocked Shot | Luca Koleosho |
| 79' |
Burnley |
Jacob Bruun Larsen | 0.09 | Direct Freekick | Right Foot | Blocked Shot | — |
| 80' |
Burnley |
Luca Koleosho | 0.02 | From Corner | Right Foot | Saved Shot | Connor Roberts |
| 80' |
Burnley |
Sander Berge | 0.05 | Open Play | — | Blocked Shot | Connor Roberts |
| 93' |
Burnley |
Lyle Foster | 0.08 | Open Play | Right Foot | Missed Shot | Josh Brownhill |
| 96' |
Burnley |
Charlie Taylor | 0.03 | From Corner | Left Foot | Blocked Shot | Connor Roberts |
| 96' |
Burnley |
Charlie Taylor | 0.04 | From Corner | Left Foot | Missed Shot | — |
Players
Burnley
| Player | Min | G | A | Sh | KP | xG | xA | xGChain |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lyle Foster FW | 90 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0.08 | 0.10 | 0.18 |
| Charlie Taylor DL | 90 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0.07 | 0.02 | 0.02 |
| Sander Berge MC | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.05 | 0.00 | 0.67 |
| Josh Brownhill MC | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.00 | 0.08 | 0.08 |
| James Trafford GK | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.62 |
| Hannes Delcroix DC | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.17 |
| Wilson Odobert FWL | 82 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0.17 | 0.48 | 0.64 |
| Mike Trésor FWR | 64 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.48 | 0.00 | 0.58 |
| Vitinho DR | 64 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.13 |
| Josh Cullen MC | 64 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.50 |
| Ameen Al Dakhil DC | 49 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| Dara O'Shea Sub | 41 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.06 |
| Luca Koleosho Sub | 26 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.02 | 0.04 | 0.04 |
| Aaron Ramsey Sub | 26 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Connor Roberts Sub | 26 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.00 | 0.10 | 0.17 |
| Jacob Bruun Larsen Sub | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.09 | 0.00 | 0.08 |
Chelsea
| Player | Min | G | A | Sh | KP | xG | xA | xGChain |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Enzo Fernández MC | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.07 | 0.00 | 0.30 |
| Robert Sánchez GK | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.03 |
| Moisés Caicedo MC | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.00 | 0.10 | 0.46 |
| Marc Cucurella DR | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.00 | 0.02 | 0.10 |
| Levi Colwill DL | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.79 |
| Conor Gallagher MC | 90 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.00 | 0.33 | 0.52 |
| Axel Disasi DC | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| Thiago Silva DC | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.66 |
| Cole Palmer FWR | 89 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0.83 | 0.60 | 0.73 |
| Raheem Sterling FWL | 86 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0.41 | 0.09 | 1.17 |
| Armando Broja FW | 49 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.09 | 0.00 | 0.14 |
| Nicolas Jackson Sub | 41 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.58 | 0.07 | 0.65 |
| Mykhailo Mudryk Sub | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Ian Maatsen Sub | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |