Burnley v Luton — Prediction, Odds & Stats
Friday 12 January 2024 · ENG-Premier League · 2324
Premier League
xG
Shots
13 – 14
On target
7 – 5
Shots in box
7 – 8
xG per shot
0.12 – 0.07
Set-piece xG
0.17 – 0.03
Goals − xG
-0.52 – +0.03
Reading the xG timeline
Each step up is a shot; the height of the step is how good the chance was. Dots mark goals.
A side whose line climbs steadily created chances all match. A side that scored while its
line stayed flat took a rare chance — that is finishing luck, and it rarely repeats.
Expected goals by minute
Burnley 1.52 xGLuton 0.97 xG
Reading the shot map
Each circle is a shot, placed where it was taken. Bigger means a better chance;
filled circles are goals. Clusters near the goal mean a side worked good openings;
lots of small circles far out means shooting from poor positions and hoping.
Hover any circle for the player, minute and chance quality.
Shot map
Burnley attacking right
Luton attacking left
Marker size is xG; filled markers are goals.
Every shot
| Min | Team | Player | xG | Situation | Body part | Result | Assisted by |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6' |
 Burnley |
Johann Berg Gudmundsson | 0.41 | Open Play | Right Foot | Saved Shot | — |
| 7' |
Burnley |
Lyle Foster | 0.01 | Open Play | Left Foot | Missed Shot | Zeki Amdouni |
| 8' |
 Luton |
Ross Barkley | 0.03 | Open Play | Right Foot | Saved Shot | Chiedozie Ogbene |
| 11' |
Luton |
Chiedozie Ogbene | 0.05 | Open Play | Right Foot | Saved Shot | Ross Barkley |
| 20' |
Luton |
Ross Barkley | 0.03 | From Corner | Right Foot | Blocked Shot | Albert Sambi Lokonga |
| 23' |
Burnley |
Johann Berg Gudmundsson | 0.05 | Direct Freekick | Left Foot | Missed Shot | — |
| 25' |
Luton |
Ross Barkley | 0.04 | Open Play | Right Foot | Blocked Shot | Elijah Adebayo |
| 27' |
Luton |
Albert Sambi Lokonga | 0.09 | Open Play | Right Foot | Missed Shot | Chiedozie Ogbene |
| 33' |
Burnley |
Wilson Odobert | 0.02 | Open Play | Right Foot | Missed Shot | Ameen Al Dakhil |
| 35' |
Burnley |
Zeki Amdouni | 0.55 | Open Play | Right Foot | Goal | — |
| 39' |
Burnley |
Ameen Al Dakhil | 0.13 | Open Play | Left Foot | Missed Shot | Wilson Odobert |
| 40' |
Luton |
Albert Sambi Lokonga | 0.03 | Open Play | Right Foot | Blocked Shot | Chiedozie Ogbene |
| 40' |
Luton |
Jordan Clark | 0.10 | Open Play | Right Foot | Blocked Shot | Chiedozie Ogbene |
| 46' |
Burnley |
Vitinho | 0.03 | Open Play | Left Foot | Saved Shot | Lyle Foster |
| 49' |
Luton |
Chiedozie Ogbene | 0.06 | Open Play | Left Foot | Saved Shot | Ross Barkley |
| 51' |
Burnley |
Vitinho | 0.07 | Open Play | Left Foot | Missed Shot | Josh Cullen |
| 55' |
Luton |
Chiedozie Ogbene | 0.05 | Open Play | — | Saved Shot | Andros Townsend |
| 57' |
Luton |
Chiedozie Ogbene | 0.04 | Open Play | Left Foot | Blocked Shot | Ross Barkley |
| 57' |
Luton |
Jordan Clark | 0.03 | Open Play | Right Foot | Missed Shot | Ross Barkley |
| 61' |
Burnley |
Wilson Odobert | 0.05 | Open Play | Right Foot | Saved Shot | Zeki Amdouni |
| 62' |
Burnley |
Hjalmar Ekdal | 0.05 | From Corner | — | Missed Shot | Johann Berg Gudmundsson |
| 65' |
Luton |
Ross Barkley | 0.03 | Open Play | Right Foot | Blocked Shot | Tahith Chong |
| 70' |
Burnley |
Ameen Al Dakhil | 0.02 | Open Play | Right Foot | Saved Shot | Josh Cullen |
| 75' |
Burnley |
Lyle Foster | 0.07 | Set Piece | Right Foot | Saved Shot | Dara O'Shea |
| 77' |
Luton |
Carlton Morris | 0.05 | Open Play | Left Foot | Missed Shot | Elijah Adebayo |
| 80' |
Burnley |
Wilson Odobert | 0.07 | Open Play | Right Foot | Saved Shot | Connor Roberts |
| 91' |
Luton |
Carlton Morris | 0.33 | Open Play | — | Goal | Alfie Doughty |
Players
Burnley
| Player | Min | G | A | Sh | KP | xG | xA | xGChain |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ameen Al Dakhil DL | 90 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0.14 | 0.02 | 0.23 |
| Vitinho DR | 90 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0.10 | 0.00 | 0.12 |
| Lyle Foster FW | 90 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0.08 | 0.03 | 0.29 |
| Hjalmar Ekdal DC | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.05 | 0.00 | 0.14 |
| Dara O'Shea DC | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.00 | 0.07 | 0.09 |
| James Trafford GK | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.08 |
| Josh Brownhill MC | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.26 |
| Josh Cullen MC | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.00 | 0.08 | 0.10 |
| Wilson Odobert ML | 87 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0.13 | 0.13 | 0.33 |
| Zeki Amdouni FW | 86 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0.55 | 0.06 | 0.77 |
| Johann Berg Gudmundsson MR | 77 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0.46 | 0.05 | 0.63 |
| Connor Roberts Sub | 13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.00 | 0.07 | 0.07 |
| Mike Trésor Sub | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Jacob Bruun Larsen Sub | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Jack Cork Sub | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
Luton
| Player | Min | G | A | Sh | KP | xG | xA | xGChain |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chiedozie Ogbene DMR | 90 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 0.20 | 0.26 | 0.56 |
| Ross Barkley MC | 90 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 0.14 | 0.18 | 0.47 |
| Gabriel Osho DC | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.14 |
| Elijah Adebayo FW | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.00 | 0.09 | 0.12 |
| Teden Mengi DC | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.13 |
| Thomas Kaminski GK | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.19 |
| Amari'i Bell DC | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.55 |
| Alfie Doughty DML | 90 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.00 | 0.33 | 0.64 |
| Albert Sambi Lokonga MC | 89 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0.13 | 0.03 | 0.28 |
| Jordan Clark AMC | 77 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0.13 | 0.00 | 0.32 |
| Andros Townsend AMC | 67 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.00 | 0.05 | 0.13 |
| Tahith Chong Sub | 23 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.00 | 0.03 | 0.03 |
| Carlton Morris Sub | 13 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0.38 | 0.00 | 0.38 |
| Luke Berry Sub | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |