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Cádiz v Córdoba — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Sunday 29 November 2026 · ESP-La Liga 2 · 2627

La Liga results-only Prediction generated

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily
Cádiz win
38.4%
model 37.5%
Draw
23.2%
model 24.0%
Córdoba win
38.4%
model 38.5%

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (648 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

  1. 1-1 11.2%
  2. 1-2 8.5%
  3. 2-1 8.3%
  4. 0-1 8.1%
  5. 1-0 8.0%

Goals

Over 2.556.4% Under 2.543.6%
BTTS yes59.1% BTTS no40.9%
Cádiz 1+76.8% Cádiz 2+42.9%
Córdoba 1+77.3% Córdoba 2+43.6%

Expected goals 1.46 – 1.48. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence
54/100
Data quality
65/100
Model agreement
99%
★ Best pick
2-6 goals
Multi goal · usually 68%
78.8% fair odds 1.27
moderate signal · 2624 settled matches behind the band
★ Most likely to land
Córdoba (0:2)
Handicap 0:2 · usually 80%
83.6% fair odds 1.20
moderate signal · 504 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

  • Córdoba carry the stronger rating, 1455 Elo against 1348.

Risk factors

  • No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.
Why the model thinks this

The price

Córdoba have an estimated 38.4% win probability, against 38.4% for Cádiz and 23.2% for the draw. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.46 for Cádiz and 1.48 for Córdoba.

Why Cádiz

Nothing in the data singles out Cádiz.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 23.2%. The sides are closely matched on expected goals, 1.46 to 1.48. Draws run at 26% in this competition.

Why Córdoba can win

Córdoba carry the stronger rating, 1455 Elo against 1348.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Cádiz, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Córdoba, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Cádiz: 50% possession, 11.6 shots a match, 12.4 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Córdoba: 57% possession, 16.2 shots a match, 14.6 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-10-25 14:59 · team_stats 2026-10-25 06:07 · availability 2026-10-25 15:02 · prediction 2026-09-18 10:37 ·

Córdoba are the model's most likely outcome at 38.4%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 11.2%. Confidence 54/100, data quality 65/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Live TV

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Was this pick made in advance?
A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

ModelHome / Draw / Away Expected goalsLikeliest score O2.5BTTS
ai-blend 1.46–1.48 0% 0% 0%
dc-xg 1.51–1.51 1-1 11% 58% 60%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section
Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Cádiz to win 38.3% 36.4% 45.5% 0.80× 2.75
Córdoba to win 38.0% 36.4% 28.1% 1.29× 2.75
Draw 23.7% 24.5% 26.5% 0.92× 4.09
1X2 & GG/NG 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Cádiz & both teams score 20.7% 21.8% 22.0% 0.99× 4.59
Córdoba & both teams score 20.6% 21.8% 14.8% 1.48× 4.59
Draw & both teams score 19.1% 18.0% 17.5% 1.03× 5.56
Cádiz & not both score 17.5% 18.0% 23.6% 0.76× 5.57
Córdoba & not both score 17.4% 18.0% 13.4% 1.34× 5.57
Draw & not both score 4.6% 4.9% 9.1% 0.53× 20.52
1X2 & Over/Under 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Cádiz & over 1.5 30.6% 30.7% 32.6% 0.94× 3.25
Córdoba & over 1.5 30.4% 30.7% 19.5% 1.58× 3.25
Cádiz & over 2.5 25.0% 26.1% 26.3% 0.99× 3.84
Córdoba & over 2.5 24.9% 21.6% 16.7% 1.30× 4.63
Cádiz & under 3.5 24.5% 21.6% 32.2% 0.67× 4.63
Córdoba & under 3.5 24.4% 21.6% 19.6% 1.10× 4.63
Draw & over 1.5 19.1% 18.0% 17.5% 1.03× 5.56
Draw & under 2.5 15.5% 18.0% 20.2% 0.89× 5.56
Draw & under 3.5 15.5% 18.0% 20.2% 0.89× 5.56
Cádiz & over 3.5 13.8% 12.8% 13.4% 0.96× 7.79
Córdoba & over 3.5 13.7% 12.8% 8.6% 1.49× 7.79
Cádiz & under 2.5 13.2% 12.8% 19.3% 0.67× 7.79
Córdoba & under 2.5 13.2% 12.8% 11.5% 1.11× 7.79
Cádiz & under 1.5 7.7% 7.9% 13.0% 0.61× 12.63
Draw & over 2.5 8.2% 7.9% 6.4% 1.24× 12.63
Draw & over 3.5 8.2% 7.9% 6.4% 1.24× 12.63
Córdoba & under 1.5 7.6% 7.9% 8.7% 0.91× 12.63
Draw & under 1.5 4.6% 4.8% 9.1% 0.53× 20.81
1X2 1UP 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Cádiz (1UP) 56.4% 58.0% — — 1.72
Córdoba (1UP) 56.2% 58.0% — — 1.72
1X2 2UP 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Cádiz (2UP) 38.3% 37.5% — — 2.67
Córdoba (2UP) 38.0% 37.5% — — 2.67
2nd half 1X2 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Córdoba to win 2nd half 34.6% 34.2% — — 2.93
2nd half drawn 33.1% 34.1% — — 2.93
Cádiz to win 2nd half 32.3% 34.1% — — 2.93
2nd half away goals O/U 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Córdoba under 1.5 in 2nd half 77.1% 79.1% — — 1.26
Córdoba over 0.5 in 2nd half 59.5% 54.5% — — 1.84
Córdoba under 0.5 in 2nd half 40.5% 45.5% — — 2.20
Córdoba over 1.5 in 2nd half 22.9% 20.9% — — 4.80
2nd half home goals O/U 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Cádiz under 1.5 in 2nd half 78.7% 75.2% — — 1.33
Cádiz over 0.5 in 2nd half 57.7% 58.3% — — 1.72
Cádiz under 0.5 in 2nd half 42.3% 41.7% — — 2.40
Cádiz over 1.5 in 2nd half 21.3% 24.8% — — 4.03
Asian handicap 8
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Córdoba (+2.5) 92.9% 92.1% 92.3% 1.00× 1.09
Córdoba (+1.5) 81.7% 82.5% 80.4% 1.03× 1.21
Cádiz (+0.5) 62.0% 62.9% 71.9% 0.88× 1.59
Córdoba (+0.5) 61.7% 62.9% 54.5% 1.15× 1.59
Cádiz (-0.5) 38.3% 37.1% 45.5% 0.81× 2.70
Córdoba (-0.5) 38.0% 37.1% 28.1% 1.32× 2.70
Cádiz (-1.5) 18.3% 17.5% 19.6% 0.89× 5.73
Cádiz (-2.5) 7.1% 7.9% 7.7% 1.03× 12.69
Away clean sheet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Córdoba to concede 77.9% 78.8% 77.6% 1.02× 1.27
Córdoba clean sheet 22.1% 21.2% 22.4% 0.95× 4.71
Away clean sheet 1HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Córdoba clean sheet in 1st half 52.2% 50.5% — — 1.98
Córdoba to concede in 1st half 47.8% 49.5% — — 2.02
Away clean sheet 2HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Córdoba to concede in 2nd half 57.7% 57.6% — — 1.74
Córdoba clean sheet in 2nd half 42.3% 42.4% — — 2.36
Away corners O/U 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Córdoba over 2.5 corners 87.6% 85.2% — — 1.17
Córdoba over 3.5 corners 76.2% 76.0% — — 1.32
Córdoba under 6.5 corners 64.7% 61.8% — — 1.62
Córdoba over 4.5 corners 62.4% 61.8% — — 1.62
Córdoba under 5.5 corners 51.8% 53.1% — — 1.89
Córdoba over 5.5 corners 48.2% 46.9% — — 2.13
Córdoba under 4.5 corners 37.6% 38.2% — — 2.62
Córdoba over 6.5 corners 35.3% 38.2% — — 2.62
Córdoba under 3.5 corners 23.8% 24.0% — — 4.18
Córdoba under 2.5 corners 12.4% 14.8% — — 6.78
Away goals O/U 8
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Córdoba under 3.5 goals 93.4% 92.3% 97.0% 0.95× 1.08
Córdoba under 2.5 goals 80.7% 81.5% 89.1% 0.91× 1.23
Córdoba over 0.5 goals 77.8% 76.3% 67.4% 1.13× 1.31
Córdoba under 1.5 goals 55.6% 59.4% 69.4% 0.86× 1.68
Córdoba over 1.5 goals 44.4% 40.6% 30.6% 1.33× 2.46
Córdoba under 0.5 goals 22.2% 23.7% 32.6% 0.73× 4.21
Córdoba over 2.5 goals 19.3% 18.5% 10.9% 1.70× 5.40
Córdoba over 3.5 goals 6.6% 7.7% 3.0% 2.52× 13.07
Away goals O/U 1HT 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Córdoba under 1.5 in 1st half 87.7% 89.4% — — 1.12
Córdoba under 0.5 in 1st half 54.8% 55.5% — — 1.80
Córdoba over 0.5 in 1st half 45.3% 44.5% — — 2.25
Córdoba over 1.5 in 1st half 12.3% 10.6% — — 9.45
Away highest scoring half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Córdoba scores more in 2nd half 40.8% 43.4% — — 2.30
Córdoba scores equally in both 36.0% 37.4% — — 2.67
Córdoba scores more in 1st half 23.2% 21.8% — — 4.58
Away no bet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Cádiz (away no bet) 61.7% 61.9% 63.2% 0.98× 1.62
Draw (away no bet) 38.3% 38.1% 36.8% 1.03× 2.63
Away Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Córdoba even goals 52.5% 52.6% 54.6% 0.96× 1.90
Córdoba odd goals 47.5% 47.4% 45.4% 1.04× 2.11
Both halves O1.5 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both halves over 1.5 81.2% 82.7% — — 1.21
Both halves over 1.5 goals 18.8% 17.3% — — 5.80
Both halves U1.5 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both halves under 1.5 69.4% 68.5% — — 1.46
Both halves under 1.5 goals 30.6% 31.5% — — 3.18
Consecutive goals 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row 60.6% 59.9% — — 1.67
Cádiz to score 2+ in a row 34.6% 29.1% — — 3.43
Córdoba to score 2+ in a row 34.4% 29.1% — — 3.43
Either team to score 3+ in a row 22.5% 19.6% — — 5.10
Cádiz to score 3+ in a row 11.5% 12.0% — — 8.33
Córdoba to score 3+ in a row 11.4% 12.0% — — 8.33
Corner handicap 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Córdoba corners (+3.5) 90.8% 89.6% — — 1.12
Córdoba corners (+2.5) 85.5% 84.5% — — 1.18
Córdoba corners (+1.5) 78.3% 74.8% — — 1.34
Cádiz corners (+3.5) 72.2% 70.7% — — 1.41
Cádiz corners (+2.5) 62.7% 61.8% — — 1.62
Cádiz corners (+1.5) 52.0% 52.4% — — 1.91
Córdoba corners (-1.5) 48.0% 47.6% — — 2.10
Córdoba corners (-2.5) 37.3% 38.2% — — 2.62
Córdoba corners (-3.5) 27.8% 29.3% — — 3.42
Cádiz corners (-1.5) 21.7% 25.2% — — 3.97
Cádiz corners (-2.5) 14.5% 15.5% — — 6.44
Cádiz corners (-3.5) 9.2% 10.4% — — 9.59
Corner range 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
0-8 corners 37.1% 34.0% — — 2.94
12+ corners 32.3% 33.2% — — 3.01
9-11 corners 30.6% 33.2% — — 3.01
Corners O/U 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 12.5 corners 75.9% 76.6% — — 1.31
Over 7.5 corners 73.1% 72.5% — — 1.38
Under 11.5 corners 67.7% 67.8% — — 1.47
Over 8.5 corners 62.9% 63.2% — — 1.58
Under 10.5 corners 58.3% 57.9% — — 1.73
Over 9.5 corners 52.1% 53.1% — — 1.88
Under 9.5 corners 47.9% 46.9% — — 2.13
Over 10.5 corners 41.7% 42.1% — — 2.38
Under 8.5 corners 37.1% 36.8% — — 2.72
Over 11.5 corners 32.3% 32.2% — — 3.11
Under 7.5 corners 26.9% 27.5% — — 3.64
Over 12.5 corners 24.1% 23.4% — — 4.27
Corners Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Odd number of corners 50.0% 50.1% — — 1.99
Even number of corners 50.0% 49.9% — — 2.01
Correct score 26
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
1-1 10.9% 11.5% 11.2% 1.02× 8.72
1-2 8.4% 7.4% 7.0% 1.05× 13.51
2-1 8.4% 7.4% 10.1% 0.74× 13.51
0-1 7.6% 7.4% 8.7% 0.85× 13.51
1-0 7.7% 7.4% 13.0% 0.57× 13.51
0-2 5.6% 7.4% 2.9% 2.52× 13.51
2-0 5.6% 7.4% 6.4% 1.16× 13.51
2-2 6.3% 7.4% 5.7% 1.31× 13.51
0-0 4.6% 1.7% 9.1% 0.19× 58.29
0-3 2.8% 1.7% 1.3% 1.36× 58.30
0-4 1.0% 1.7% 0.7% 2.34× 58.31
1-3 4.2% 1.7% 3.7% 0.47× 58.30
1-4 1.6% 1.7% 0.8% 2.05× 58.31
2-3 3.2% 1.7% 2.3% 0.74× 58.30
2-4 1.2% 1.7% 0.7% 2.34× 58.31
3-0 2.8% 1.7% 3.0% 0.56× 58.30
3-1 4.2% 1.7% 4.6% 0.37× 58.30
3-2 3.2% 1.7% 2.8% 0.61× 58.30
3-3 1.6% 1.7% 0.7% 2.34× 58.31
3-4 0.6% 1.7% 0.2% 8.18× 58.32
4-0 1.1% 1.7% 1.2% 1.49× 58.31
4-1 1.6% 1.7% 1.9% 0.91× 58.31
4-2 1.2% 1.7% 1.2% 1.49× 58.31
4-3 0.6% 1.7% 0.3% 5.45× 58.32
4-4 0.2% 1.7% 0.2% 8.18× 58.32
Any other score 3.8% 1.7% 2.7% 0.63× 58.30
DNB 2nd half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Córdoba (2nd half DNB) 51.7% 53.4% — — 1.87
Cádiz (2nd half DNB) 48.3% 46.6% — — 2.15
DNB half time 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Cádiz leading at HT (DNB) 52.5% 56.4% — — 1.77
Córdoba leading at HT (DNB) 47.5% 43.6% — — 2.29
Double chance 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Cádiz or Córdoba (12) 76.3% 75.5% 73.5% 1.03× 1.32
Cádiz or draw (1X) 62.0% 63.6% 71.9% 0.88× 1.57
Córdoba or draw (X2) 61.7% 63.6% 54.5% 1.17× 1.57
Double chance 1HT 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Cádiz or draw at HT 71.9% 74.7% — — 1.34
Córdoba or draw at HT 68.9% 67.2% — — 1.49
Cádiz or Córdoba at HT 59.2% 57.7% — — 1.73
Double chance 1UP 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Cádiz or draw (1UP) 62.0% 71.5% — — 1.40
Córdoba or draw (1UP) 61.7% 71.5% — — 1.40
Double chance 2HT 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Córdoba or draw in 2nd half 67.7% 65.9% — — 1.52
Cádiz or Córdoba in 2nd half 66.9% 65.9% — — 1.52
Cádiz or draw in 2nd half 65.4% 65.8% — — 1.52
Draw either half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
A half drawn 60.7% 61.3% — — 1.63
Neither half drawn 39.3% 38.7% — — 2.58
Draw no bet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Cádiz (DNB) 50.1% 50.8% 61.8% 0.82× 1.97
Córdoba (DNB) 49.9% 49.2% 38.2% 1.29× 2.03
First goal 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Cádiz to score first 47.8% 46.0% — — 2.17
Córdoba to score first 47.6% 46.0% — — 2.17
No goal scored 4.6% 4.4% — — 22.96
GG/NG 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Both teams to score 60.4% 56.6% 54.1% 1.05× 1.77
Not both teams to score 39.6% 43.4% 45.9% 0.95× 2.30
GG/NG & Over/Under 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Both score & over 2.5 49.5% 44.4% 43.0% 1.03× 2.25
Not both score & under 2.5 31.1% 34.5% 39.7% 0.87× 2.90
Both score & under 2.5 10.9% 12.4% 11.2% 1.10× 8.09
Not both score & over 2.5 8.6% 8.3% 6.3% 1.32× 12.07
GG/NG 2+ 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both teams to score 2+ 80.2% 82.6% 85.6% 0.96× 1.21
Both teams to score 2+ 19.8% 17.4% 14.4% 1.21× 5.73
GG/NG 2nd half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half 65.7% 67.0% — — 1.49
Both teams to score in 2nd half 34.3% 33.0% — — 3.04
GG/NG by half 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Neither half both score 51.6% 54.4% — — 1.84
Both score 2nd half only 26.8% 27.2% — — 3.68
Both score 1st half only 14.2% 10.8% — — 9.25
Both score in both halves 7.4% 6.8% — — 14.66
GG/NG half time 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both to score by HT 78.4% 81.2% — — 1.23
Both teams to score by HT 21.6% 18.8% — — 5.32
Goal in both halves 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
A goal in each half 59.1% 57.1% — — 1.75
A half without a goal 40.9% 42.9% — — 2.33
Goal range 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2-3 goals 44.4% 42.2% 41.3% 1.02× 2.37
4-6 goals 32.2% 30.7% 26.7% 1.15× 3.25
0-1 goals 19.9% 20.2% 30.6% 0.66× 4.94
7+ goals 3.4% 1.8% 1.6% 1.17× 54.19
Goals away 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Córdoba to score exactly 1 33.4% 33.8% 36.9% 0.92× 2.96
Córdoba to score exactly 2 25.2% 27.4% 19.8% 1.38× 3.65
Córdoba to score exactly 0 22.2% 22.3% 32.6% 0.68× 4.49
Córdoba to score 3+ 19.3% 19.6% 10.9% 1.80× 5.11
Goals home 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Cádiz to score exactly 1 33.3% 32.6% 35.6% 0.91× 3.07
Cádiz to score exactly 2 25.2% 26.5% 24.9% 1.06× 3.77
Cádiz to score exactly 0 22.1% 23.3% 22.4% 1.04× 4.29
Cádiz to score 3+ 19.4% 18.8% 17.2% 1.09× 5.33
Half time 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Draw at HT 40.8% 42.3% — — 2.37
Cádiz leading at HT 31.1% 32.8% — — 3.05
Córdoba leading at HT 28.1% 25.3% — — 3.96
Handicap 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Cádiz -1: 2 61.7% 62.5% — — 1.60
Cádiz -1: X 19.9% 17.5% — — 5.70
Cádiz -1: 1 18.3% 17.5% — — 5.71
Handicap 0:1 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Córdoba (0:1) 61.7% 61.4% 54.5% 1.13× 1.63
Draw (0:1) 19.9% 17.8% 26.0% 0.69× 5.60
Cádiz (0:1) 18.3% 17.8% 19.6% 0.91× 5.61
Handicap 0:2 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Córdoba (0:2) 81.7% 82.9% 80.4% 1.03× 1.21
Draw (0:2) 11.2% 11.0% 12.1% 0.91× 9.11
Cádiz (0:2) 7.1% 7.7% 7.7% 1.00× 13.05
Handicap 0:3 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Córdoba (0:3) 92.9% 92.7% 92.3% 1.00× 1.08
Draw (0:3) 4.8% 2.4% 5.3% 0.45× 42.02
Cádiz (0:3) 2.3% 2.4% 2.4% 0.98× 42.13
Handicap 0:4 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Córdoba (0:4) 97.8% 98.1% 97.6% 1.01× 1.02
Draw (0:4) 1.6% 1.2% 2.1% 0.58× 81.99
Cádiz (0:4) 0.6% 1.2% 0.4% 2.90× 82.10
Handicap 1:0 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Cádiz (1:0) 62.0% 65.3% 71.9% 0.91× 1.53
Draw (1:0) 19.9% 17.1% 17.9% 0.96× 5.84
Córdoba (1:0) 18.2% 17.1% 10.3% 1.67× 5.85
Handicap 2:0 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Cádiz (2:0) 81.8% 84.6% 89.7% 0.94× 1.18
Draw (2:0) 11.2% 10.3% 7.1% 1.44× 9.74
Córdoba (2:0) 7.0% 6.4% 3.2% 1.96× 15.67
Highest scoring half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2nd half highest scoring 49.7% 48.7% — — 2.05
1st half highest scoring 27.4% 26.2% — — 3.82
Halves equal 23.0% 24.4% — — 4.10
Home clean sheet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Cádiz to concede 77.8% 76.1% 67.4% 1.13× 1.32
Cádiz clean sheet 22.2% 23.9% 32.6% 0.73× 4.18
Home clean sheet 1HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Cádiz clean sheet in 1st half 54.8% 55.5% — — 1.80
Cádiz to concede in 1st half 45.3% 44.5% — — 2.25
Home clean sheet 2HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Cádiz to concede in 2nd half 59.5% 54.7% — — 1.83
Cádiz clean sheet in 2nd half 40.5% 45.3% — — 2.21
Home corners O/U 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Cádiz under 6.5 corners 82.5% 81.0% — — 1.24
Cádiz over 2.5 corners 75.6% 76.5% — — 1.31
Cádiz under 5.5 corners 71.9% 71.9% — — 1.39
Cádiz over 3.5 corners 58.8% 57.5% — — 1.74
Cádiz under 4.5 corners 57.9% 57.5% — — 1.74
Cádiz over 4.5 corners 42.1% 42.5% — — 2.35
Cádiz under 3.5 corners 41.2% 42.5% — — 2.35
Cádiz over 5.5 corners 28.1% 28.1% — — 3.55
Cádiz under 2.5 corners 24.4% 23.5% — — 4.26
Cádiz over 6.5 corners 17.5% 19.0% — — 5.25
Home goals O/U 8
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Cádiz under 3.5 goals 93.3% 92.2% 93.7% 0.98× 1.08
Cádiz under 2.5 goals 80.6% 82.2% 82.8% 0.99× 1.22
Cádiz over 0.5 goals 77.9% 77.8% 77.6% 1.00× 1.29
Cádiz under 1.5 goals 55.4% 58.6% 58.0% 1.01× 1.71
Cádiz over 1.5 goals 44.6% 41.4% 42.0% 0.98× 2.42
Cádiz under 0.5 goals 22.1% 22.2% 22.4% 0.99× 4.50
Cádiz over 2.5 goals 19.4% 17.8% 17.2% 1.03× 5.62
Cádiz over 3.5 goals 6.7% 7.8% 6.3% 1.24× 12.87
Home goals O/U 1HT 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Cádiz under 1.5 in 1st half 86.1% 90.1% — — 1.11
Cádiz under 0.5 in 1st half 52.2% 50.3% — — 1.99
Cádiz over 0.5 in 1st half 47.8% 49.7% — — 2.01
Cádiz over 1.5 in 1st half 13.9% 9.9% — — 10.09
Home highest scoring half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Cádiz scores more in 2nd half 38.0% 37.8% — — 2.64
Cádiz scores equally in both 36.3% 37.8% — — 2.65
Cádiz scores more in 1st half 25.7% 27.8% — — 3.60
Home no bet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Córdoba (home no bet) 61.6% 60.0% 51.4% 1.17× 1.67
Draw (home no bet) 38.4% 40.0% 48.6% 0.82× 2.50
Home Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Cádiz even goals 52.4% 50.7% 51.7% 0.98× 1.97
Cádiz odd goals 47.6% 49.3% 48.3% 1.02× 2.03
HT correct score 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
HT 0-0 28.5% 28.5% — — 3.51
HT 1-0 18.6% 18.5% — — 5.40
HT 0-1 17.3% 18.5% — — 5.41
HT 1-1 11.1% 11.0% — — 9.12
HT 2-0 6.0% 6.9% — — 14.48
HT 0-2 5.2% 6.9% — — 14.49
Any other HT score 5.1% 6.9% — — 14.50
HT 2-1 3.6% 2.4% — — 41.97
HT 1-2 3.4% 2.4% — — 41.99
HT 2-2 1.1% 2.4% — — 42.14
HT/FT 9
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Cádiz at HT / Cádiz at FT 22.5% 21.7% — — 4.61
Córdoba at HT / Córdoba at FT 20.8% 21.6% — — 4.62
Draw at HT / Córdoba at FT 14.3% 12.7% — — 7.90
Draw at HT / Cádiz at FT 13.3% 12.7% — — 7.91
Draw at HT / Draw at FT 13.2% 12.6% — — 7.91
Cádiz at HT / Draw at FT 5.6% 6.1% — — 16.49
Córdoba at HT / Draw at FT 4.9% 3.5% — — 28.79
Cádiz at HT / Córdoba at FT 3.0% 3.5% — — 28.86
Córdoba at HT / Cádiz at FT 2.4% 3.5% — — 28.88
Last goal 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Cádiz to score last 47.8% 46.5% — — 2.15
Córdoba to score last 47.6% 46.5% — — 2.15
No goal scored 4.6% 4.4% — — 22.96
Lead at any time 9
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time 95.4% 95.6% — — 1.05
Cádiz to lead by 1 at any time 56.4% 54.9% — — 1.82
Córdoba to lead by 1 at any time 56.2% 54.9% — — 1.82
Either team to lead by 2 at any time 50.2% 50.7% — — 1.97
Cádiz to lead by 2 at any time 25.4% 25.3% — — 3.95
Córdoba to lead by 2 at any time 25.2% 25.3% — — 3.95
Either team to lead by 3 at any time 18.6% 14.9% — — 6.71
Cádiz to lead by 3 at any time 9.3% 6.7% — — 14.87
Córdoba to lead by 3 at any time 9.2% 6.7% — — 14.88
Most corners 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Córdoba most corners 58.9% 55.7% — — 1.80
Cádiz most corners 30.7% 34.4% — — 2.91
Corners level 10.4% 10.4% — — 9.58
Multi goal 15
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
1-5 goals 86.8% 87.4% 85.8% 1.02× 1.14
1-4 goals 76.6% 78.7% 78.1% 1.01× 1.27
2-6 goals 76.6% 78.7% 67.9% 1.16× 1.27
2-5 goals 71.5% 72.3% 64.4% 1.12× 1.38
2-4 goals 61.3% 63.3% 56.6% 1.12× 1.58
1-3 goals 59.7% 59.1% 62.8% 0.94× 1.69
3-6 goals 54.6% 53.2% 47.7% 1.11× 1.88
3-5 goals 49.5% 48.5% 44.1% 1.10× 2.06
2-3 goals 44.4% 43.6% 41.3% 1.06× 2.29
3-4 goals 39.3% 39.2% 36.4% 1.08× 2.55
1-2 goals 37.3% 39.2% 41.8% 0.94× 2.55
4-6 goals 32.2% 35.2% 26.7% 1.32× 2.84
4-5 goals 27.1% 30.2% 23.2% 1.30× 3.31
5-6 goals 15.3% 18.8% 11.4% 1.65× 5.31
7+ goals 3.4% 2.6% 1.6% 1.63× 39.10
Never down 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Cádiz never behind 39.2% 44.2% — — 2.26
Córdoba never behind 39.0% 44.2% — — 2.26
Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Even number of goals 49.6% 50.9% 48.5% 1.05× 1.96
Odd number of goals 50.4% 49.1% 51.5% 0.95× 2.04
Odd/Even 1HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Even goals in 1st half 54.0% 51.8% — — 1.93
Odd goals in 1st half 46.0% 48.2% — — 2.07
Odd/Even 2HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Even goals in 2nd half 51.3% 51.9% — — 1.93
Odd goals in 2nd half 48.7% 48.1% — — 2.08
Over/Under 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Over 0.5 goals 95.4% 95.4% 90.9% 1.05× 1.05
Under 5.5 goals 91.4% 92.3% 94.9% 0.97× 1.08
Under 4.5 goals 81.2% 82.3% 87.1% 0.95× 1.22
Over 1.5 goals 80.1% 82.3% 69.4% 1.19× 1.22
Under 3.5 goals 64.3% 61.8% 71.8% 0.86× 1.62
Over 2.5 goals 58.1% 58.6% 49.2% 1.19× 1.71
Under 2.5 goals 41.9% 41.4% 50.8% 0.81× 2.42
Over 3.5 goals 35.7% 38.2% 28.2% 1.36× 2.61
Under 1.5 goals 19.9% 17.7% 30.6% 0.58× 5.65
Over 4.5 goals 18.8% 17.7% 12.9% 1.37× 5.65
Over 5.5 goals 8.6% 7.7% 5.1% 1.50× 12.94
Under 0.5 goals 4.6% 4.6% 9.1% 0.50× 21.82
Over/Under (whole line) 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6) 96.4% 97.2% 98.4% 0.99× 1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5) 90.5% 92.4% 94.4% 0.98× 1.08
Under 4 (void on exactly 4) 77.4% 75.9% 84.8% 0.90× 1.32
Over 2 (void on exactly 2) 74.5% 72.4% 61.6% 1.17× 1.38
Under 3 (void on exactly 3) 54.1% 51.9% 64.3% 0.81× 1.93
Over 3 (void on exactly 3) 45.9% 48.1% 35.7% 1.35× 2.08
Under 2 (void on exactly 2) 25.5% 27.6% 38.4% 0.72× 3.62
Over 4 (void on exactly 4) 22.6% 24.1% 15.2% 1.58× 4.15
Over 5 (void on exactly 5) 9.5% 7.6% 5.6% 1.37× 13.15
Over 6 (void on exactly 6) 3.6% 2.8% 1.6% 1.72× 35.56
Over/Under 1HT 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half 86.8% 89.0% — — 1.12
Over 0.5 in 1st half 71.5% 71.4% — — 1.40
Under 1.5 in 1st half 64.4% 63.3% — — 1.58
Over 1.5 in 1st half 35.6% 36.7% — — 2.72
Under 0.5 in 1st half 28.5% 28.6% — — 3.50
Over 2.5 in 1st half 13.2% 11.0% — — 9.09
Over/Under 2HT 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Over 0.5 in 2nd half 83.0% 83.0% — — 1.21
Under 2.5 in 2nd half 74.0% 77.6% — — 1.29
Over 1.5 in 2nd half 52.6% 53.3% — — 1.88
Under 1.5 in 2nd half 47.4% 46.7% — — 2.14
Over 2.5 in 2nd half 26.0% 22.4% — — 4.47
Under 0.5 in 2nd half 17.0% 17.0% — — 5.87
Score both halves 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Córdoba not to score in both halves 73.1% 73.9% — — 1.35
Cádiz not to score in both halves 72.4% 73.9% — — 1.35
Cádiz to score in both halves 27.6% 26.1% — — 3.83
Córdoba to score in both halves 26.9% 26.1% — — 3.84
Teams to score 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Both teams score 60.4% 60.2% 54.1% 1.11× 1.66
Only Cádiz scores 17.5% 16.0% 23.6% 0.68× 6.24
Only Córdoba scores 17.4% 16.0% 13.4% 1.19× 6.24
Neither team scores 4.6% 4.6% 9.1% 0.51× 21.59
Total goals 7
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Exactly 3 goals 22.4% 22.6% 21.1% 1.07× 4.43
Exactly 2 goals 22.0% 22.6% 20.3% 1.11× 4.43
Exactly 4 goals 16.9% 17.5% 15.4% 1.13× 5.73
Exactly 1 goals 15.3% 17.5% 21.6% 0.81× 5.73
Exactly 5 goals 10.2% 12.1% 7.9% 1.54× 8.25
6 or more goals 8.6% 7.6% 5.1% 1.48× 13.14
Exactly 0 goals 4.6% 4.5% 9.1% 0.49× 22.35
Total goals 1st half 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
1 goal in 1st half 35.9% 37.3% — — 2.68
No goals in 1st half 28.5% 28.6% — — 3.50
2 goals in 1st half 22.4% 21.5% — — 4.66
3+ goals in 1st half 13.2% 10.9% — — 9.17
Total goals 2nd half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half 52.6% 51.5% — — 1.94
1 goal in 2nd half 30.4% 33.7% — — 2.97
No goals in 2nd half 17.0% 16.7% — — 6.00
Win both halves 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Córdoba not to win both halves 90.3% 94.1% — — 1.06
Cádiz not to win both halves 90.0% 94.1% — — 1.06
Cádiz to win both halves 10.0% 5.9% — — 16.88
Córdoba to win both halves 9.7% 5.9% — — 16.90
Win either half 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Cádiz to win either half 53.4% 54.3% — — 1.84
Córdoba to win either half 53.0% 54.3% — — 1.84
Córdoba to win neither half 47.0% 45.7% — — 2.19
Cádiz to win neither half 46.6% 45.7% — — 2.19
Win to nil 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Córdoba not to win to nil 82.6% 83.1% 86.6% 0.96× 1.20
Cádiz not to win to nil 82.5% 83.1% 76.4% 1.09× 1.20
Cádiz to win to nil 17.5% 16.9% 23.6% 0.72× 5.92
Córdoba to win to nil 17.4% 16.9% 13.4% 1.26× 5.92
Winning margin 7
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Draw 23.7% 24.1% 26.5% 0.91× 4.15
Cádiz by 1 19.9% 17.1% 26.0% 0.66× 5.86
Córdoba by 1 19.9% 17.1% 17.9% 0.95× 5.86
Cádiz by 2 11.2% 11.7% 12.1% 0.97× 8.51
Córdoba by 2 11.2% 11.7% 7.1% 1.65× 8.51
Cádiz by 3+ 7.1% 7.2% 7.7% 0.94× 13.91
Córdoba by 3+ 7.0% 7.2% 3.2% 2.21× 13.91
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Match

What this page is for

One fixture in full. The model's probability for every market it prices, the prices stored against them, the teams expected to feature, and for a match already played, the shot map and the xG timeline.

How to read the shot map

Every shot is placed where it was taken and sized by its chance of being scored. A cluster of small marks from distance and a clean sheet is a side that was busy without ever threatening; two big marks and a defeat is a side that had the better of it and lost anyway. Both happen constantly, and both are invisible in the score.

How to read the xG timeline

The steps are chances as they arrived, so the shape shows who was on top and when. A flat line that jumps once near the end is a smash and grab.

Things to watch

The stored prediction is the one made before the match, kept deliberately so it can be judged afterwards. It is not re-fitted with hindsight.

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