Cagliari v Juventus — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Sunday 11 October 2026 · ITA-Serie A · 2627

Serie A xG Prediction generated 18 Sep 2026, 10:37 UTC

Cagliari

1–1

0.81 – 2.38 xG

Juventus

Shots

4 – 22

On target

2 – 10

Shots in box

1 – 8

xG per shot

0.20 – 0.11

Set-piece xG

0.02 – 1.49

Goals − xG

+0.19 – -1.38

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Final pre-match price, taken 11 Oct, 11:13 · 8h before kick-off

Cagliari win

19.1%

model 18.4%

Draw

23.0%

model 23.2%

Juventus win

57.9%

model 58.4%

192358

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (346 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

0-1 12.5%
0-2 11.1%
1-1 11.0%
1-2 9.7%
0-0 7.1%

Goals

Over 2.5	49.4%	Under 2.5	50.6%
BTTS yes	48.6%	BTTS no	51.4%
Cagliari 1+	58.6%	Cagliari 2+	22.1%
Juventus 1+	83.0%	Juventus 2+	52.8%

Expected goals 0.88 – 1.77. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

99/100

Data quality

100/100

Model agreement

99%

★ Best pick

Juventus (-0.5)

Asian handicap · usually 34%

57.1% fair odds 1.75

strong signal · 1154 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Juventus leading at HT (DNB)

DNB half time · usually 49%

83.9% fair odds 1.19

moderate signal · 69 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

Juventus carry the stronger rating, 1711 Elo against 1546.
Juventus have created 1.88 xG a match over their last five while Cagliari have allowed 1.66.
Form is good: 2.00 points a match from the last five.
Away from home Juventus average 1.75 xG a match.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Juventus have an estimated 57.9% win probability, against 23.0% for the draw and 19.1% for Cagliari. Expected goals from the ensemble are 0.88 for Cagliari and 1.77 for Juventus.

Why Cagliari

Cagliari have created 1.51 xG a match over their last five while Juventus have allowed 0.50. Form is good: 2.40 points a match from the last five. At home Cagliari average 1.52 xG a match. Their last eleven was closer to full strength: Juventus were missing 1.20 expected goal involvements a match against 0.68.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 23.0%. Draws run at 27% in this competition.

Why Juventus can win

Juventus carry the stronger rating, 1711 Elo against 1546. Juventus have created 1.88 xG a match over their last five while Cagliari have allowed 1.66. Form is good: 2.00 points a match from the last five. Away from home Juventus average 1.75 xG a match.

Key players

Cagliari's leading contributors by expected goal involvements a match: Daniel Maldini (0.42), Sebastiano Esposito (0.33), Paul Mendy (0.27). Juventus's leading contributors by expected goal involvements a match: Kenan Yildiz (0.43), Dusan Vlahovic (0.38), Francisco Conceição (0.36).

Availability

1 of Cagliari's top three contributors did not start their last match. 27% of Cagliari's last eleven are new to the club this window. 2 of Juventus's top three contributors did not start their last match. 36% of Juventus's last eleven are new to the club this window.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Cagliari: 41% possession, 10.8 shots a match, 20.4 faced, 0.41 xG a match from set pieces. Juventus: 56% possession, 17.4 shots a match, 7.8 faced, 0.66 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-10-11 15:06 · team_stats 2026-10-11 06:07 · availability 2026-10-11 15:13 · prediction 2026-09-18 10:37 ·

Juventus are the model's most likely outcome at 57.9%. The likeliest scoreline is 0-1 at 12.5%. Confidence 99/100, data quality 100/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the chances say

Cagliari are finishing sharply below their chances — 5.8 goals fewer than expected across 10 matches, despite creating the openings. They are also conceding sharply fewer than expected — 7.4 goals saved beyond what the chances suggest.

LWWWLWWWDL last 10 scored 10 from 15.8 xG conceded 11 from 18.4 xG

Juventus are finishing sharply below their chances — 6.7 goals fewer than expected across 10 matches, despite creating the openings. They are also conceding sharply more than the chances against them merit — 6.2 goals above expected, which tends to correct.

WLDWWDLWDL last 10 scored 12 from 18.7 xG conceded 12 from 5.8 xG

Finishing swings far more than chance creation, so a gap this size usually narrows. Over ten matches it is suggestive, not settled — a genuinely elite finisher beats expected goals for years.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS	Outcome
ai-blend	182358	0.88–1.77	0%	0%	0%	Away ✗
dc-xg	182458	0.81–1.67	0-1 14%	45%	45%	Away ✗
dc-xg-oos	192457	0.83–1.66	0-1 14%	45%	46%	Away ✗

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Juventus to win	62.2%	58.0%	33.7%	1.72×	1.72
Draw	21.4%	24.4%	26.7%	0.91×	4.09
Cagliari to win	16.4%	19.4%	39.7%	0.49×	5.15

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Juventus & not both score	35.6%	33.3%	20.7%	1.61×	3.01
Juventus & both teams score	26.6%	25.1%	13.2%	1.91×	3.98
Draw & both teams score	15.4%	18.0%	18.8%	0.95×	5.57
Cagliari & not both score	8.4%	8.3%	22.5%	0.37×	12.00
Cagliari & both teams score	8.0%	8.3%	17.2%	0.48×	12.00
Draw & not both score	6.0%	8.3%	8.0%	1.04×	12.01

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Juventus & over 1.5	50.6%	48.8%	24.5%	1.99×	2.05
Juventus & under 3.5	40.0%	40.2%	26.5%	1.52×	2.49
Juventus & over 2.5	39.3%	34.8%	17.9%	1.95×	2.87
Juventus & under 2.5	22.9%	21.6%	16.0%	1.35×	4.63
Juventus & over 3.5	22.2%	21.6%	7.4%	2.93×	4.63
Draw & over 1.5	15.4%	18.0%	18.8%	0.95×	5.56
Draw & under 2.5	16.2%	18.0%	19.8%	0.91×	5.56
Draw & under 3.5	16.2%	18.0%	19.8%	0.91×	5.56
Cagliari & under 3.5	12.7%	12.9%	29.6%	0.44×	7.78
Juventus & under 1.5	11.6%	12.9%	9.4%	1.37×	7.78
Cagliari & over 1.5	11.1%	12.9%	29.4%	0.44×	7.78
Cagliari & over 2.5	8.8%	7.9%	22.8%	0.35×	12.63
Cagliari & under 2.5	7.6%	7.9%	17.0%	0.47×	12.63
Draw & under 1.5	6.0%	7.9%	8.0%	0.99×	12.63
Cagliari & under 1.5	5.3%	7.9%	10.3%	0.77×	12.63
Draw & over 2.5	5.2%	7.9%	7.0%	1.13×	12.63
Draw & over 3.5	5.2%	7.9%	7.0%	1.13×	12.63
Cagliari & over 3.5	3.7%	4.8%	10.2%	0.47×	20.84

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Juventus (1UP)	73.6%	75.6%	50.9%	1.49×	1.32
Cagliari (1UP)	33.4%	32.9%	55.0%	0.60×	3.04

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Juventus (2UP)	62.2%	67.9%	36.3%	1.87×	1.47
Cagliari (2UP)	16.4%	17.4%	41.5%	0.42×	5.76

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Juventus to win 2nd half	46.5%	44.9%	29.9%	1.50×	2.23
2nd half drawn	33.2%	34.1%	35.2%	0.97×	2.93
Cagliari to win 2nd half	20.2%	23.8%	35.0%	0.68×	4.20

2nd half away goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Juventus under 1.5 in 2nd half	71.4%	75.9%	85.1%	0.89×	1.32
Juventus over 0.5 in 2nd half	65.3%	70.1%	50.0%	1.40×	1.43
Juventus under 0.5 in 2nd half	34.7%	29.9%	50.0%	0.60×	3.34
Juventus over 1.5 in 2nd half	28.6%	24.1%	14.9%	1.62×	4.15

2nd half home goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cagliari under 1.5 in 2nd half	88.2%	88.2%	81.3%	1.09×	1.13
Cagliari under 0.5 in 2nd half	55.5%	57.7%	46.2%	1.25×	1.73
Cagliari over 0.5 in 2nd half	44.5%	42.3%	53.8%	0.79×	2.37
Cagliari over 1.5 in 2nd half	11.8%	11.8%	18.7%	0.63×	8.50

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Juventus (+2.5)	98.7%	96.3%	92.5%	1.04×	1.04
Juventus (+1.5)	94.8%	92.1%	82.9%	1.11×	1.09
Juventus (+0.5)	83.6%	82.5%	60.3%	1.37×	1.21
Juventus (-0.5)	62.2%	62.9%	33.7%	1.86×	1.59
Cagliari (+0.5)	37.8%	37.1%	66.3%	0.56×	2.70
Cagliari (-0.5)	16.4%	17.5%	39.7%	0.44×	5.72
Cagliari (-1.5)	5.2%	7.9%	17.1%	0.46×	12.68
Cagliari (-2.5)	1.3%	3.7%	7.5%	0.49×	27.15

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Juventus to concede	58.4%	62.5%	71.4%	0.88×	1.60
Juventus clean sheet	41.6%	37.5%	28.6%	1.31×	2.67

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Juventus clean sheet in 1st half	75.0%	77.5%	58.4%	1.33×	1.29
Juventus to concede in 1st half	25.0%	22.5%	41.6%	0.54×	4.45

Away clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Juventus clean sheet in 2nd half	55.5%	57.4%	46.2%	1.24×	1.74
Juventus to concede in 2nd half	44.5%	42.6%	53.8%	0.79×	2.35

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Juventus over 2.5 corners	86.3%	85.2%	—	—	1.17
Juventus over 3.5 corners	75.2%	76.0%	—	—	1.32
Juventus over 4.5 corners	62.4%	61.8%	—	—	1.62
Juventus under 6.5 corners	62.3%	61.8%	—	—	1.62
Juventus under 5.5 corners	50.5%	53.0%	—	—	1.89
Juventus over 5.5 corners	49.5%	47.0%	—	—	2.13
Juventus under 4.5 corners	37.6%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
Juventus over 6.5 corners	37.7%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
Juventus under 3.5 corners	24.8%	24.0%	—	—	4.16
Juventus under 2.5 corners	13.7%	14.8%	—	—	6.77

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Juventus under 3.5 goals	86.9%	87.8%	97.0%	0.91×	1.14
Juventus over 0.5 goals	85.6%	87.8%	69.6%	1.26×	1.14
Juventus under 2.5 goals	69.4%	68.0%	88.4%	0.77×	1.47
Juventus over 1.5 goals	57.6%	59.3%	34.9%	1.70×	1.69
Juventus under 1.5 goals	42.4%	40.7%	65.1%	0.62×	2.46
Juventus over 2.5 goals	30.6%	32.0%	11.6%	2.77×	3.12
Juventus under 0.5 goals	14.4%	12.2%	30.4%	0.40×	8.21
Juventus over 3.5 goals	13.1%	12.2%	3.0%	4.12×	8.22

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Juventus under 1.5 in 1st half	78.1%	76.1%	90.1%	0.84×	1.31
Juventus over 0.5 in 1st half	58.4%	61.5%	41.0%	1.50×	1.63
Juventus under 0.5 in 1st half	41.6%	38.5%	59.0%	0.65×	2.60
Juventus over 1.5 in 1st half	21.9%	23.9%	9.9%	2.42×	4.19

Away highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Juventus scores more in 2nd half	39.2%	37.0%	32.9%	1.13×	2.70
Juventus scores equally in both	31.3%	33.3%	43.6%	0.76×	3.00
Juventus scores more in 1st half	29.5%	26.9%	23.6%	1.14×	3.71

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw (away no bet)	56.7%	57.3%	40.3%	1.42×	1.75
Cagliari (away no bet)	43.3%	42.7%	59.7%	0.71×	2.34

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Juventus even goals	51.0%	52.6%	55.8%	0.94×	1.90
Juventus odd goals	49.0%	47.4%	44.2%	1.07×	2.11

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	84.1%	83.1%	87.2%	0.95×	1.20
Both halves over 1.5 goals	15.9%	16.9%	12.8%	1.32×	5.93

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	65.6%	68.3%	59.6%	1.15×	1.47
Both halves under 1.5 goals	34.4%	31.7%	40.4%	0.79×	3.15

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	60.2%	60.0%	53.0%	1.13×	1.67
Juventus to score 2+ in a row	50.7%	50.8%	27.7%	1.83×	1.97
Either team to score 3+ in a row	25.6%	25.1%	17.2%	1.46×	3.98
Juventus to score 3+ in a row	23.0%	19.6%	7.6%	2.56×	5.11
Cagliari to score 2+ in a row	14.6%	12.1%	31.4%	0.39×	8.26
Cagliari to score 3+ in a row	2.8%	2.6%	9.7%	0.27×	38.36

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Juventus corners (+3.5)	91.3%	89.6%	—	—	1.12
Juventus corners (+2.5)	86.5%	84.5%	—	—	1.18
Juventus corners (+1.5)	80.0%	74.8%	—	—	1.34
Cagliari corners (+3.5)	67.6%	65.9%	—	—	1.52
Cagliari corners (+2.5)	58.2%	57.2%	—	—	1.75
Juventus corners (-1.5)	52.0%	52.4%	—	—	1.91
Cagliari corners (+1.5)	48.0%	47.6%	—	—	2.10
Juventus corners (-2.5)	41.8%	42.8%	—	—	2.34
Juventus corners (-3.5)	32.4%	34.1%	—	—	2.93
Cagliari corners (-1.5)	20.0%	25.2%	—	—	3.97
Cagliari corners (-2.5)	13.5%	15.5%	—	—	6.45
Cagliari corners (-3.5)	8.7%	10.4%	—	—	9.58

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-8 corners	39.5%	34.0%	—	—	2.94
12+ corners	32.3%	33.2%	—	—	3.01
9-11 corners	28.2%	31.2%	—	—	3.20

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 12.5 corners	75.2%	76.6%	—	—	1.31
Over 7.5 corners	70.4%	72.5%	—	—	1.38
Under 11.5 corners	67.7%	67.8%	—	—	1.48
Over 8.5 corners	60.5%	63.2%	—	—	1.58
Under 10.5 corners	59.1%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Over 9.5 corners	50.5%	53.1%	—	—	1.88
Under 9.5 corners	49.5%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
Over 10.5 corners	41.0%	42.1%	—	—	2.38
Under 8.5 corners	39.5%	36.8%	—	—	2.72
Over 11.5 corners	32.3%	32.2%	—	—	3.10
Under 7.5 corners	29.6%	27.5%	—	—	3.64
Over 12.5 corners	24.8%	23.4%	—	—	4.27

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.1%	—	—	2.00
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.9%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-1	11.6%	11.5%	9.4%	1.22×	8.73
0-2	11.3%	11.5%	6.8%	1.69×	8.73
1-1	10.2%	11.5%	11.9%	0.96×	8.73
1-2	9.9%	7.4%	7.5%	0.99×	13.50
0-3	7.3%	7.4%	3.2%	2.31×	13.50
0-0	6.0%	7.4%	8.0%	0.93×	13.50
1-0	5.3%	7.4%	10.3%	0.72×	13.50
1-3	6.4%	7.4%	1.8%	4.01×	13.50
Any other score	4.9%	1.7%	2.8%	0.61×	58.33
0-4	3.5%	1.7%	1.0%	1.74×	58.33
1-4	3.1%	1.7%	0.7%	2.32×	58.34
2-0	2.3%	1.7%	6.8%	0.25×	58.34
2-1	4.5%	1.7%	9.4%	0.18×	58.33
2-2	4.3%	1.7%	6.2%	0.28×	58.33
2-3	2.8%	1.7%	3.0%	0.58×	58.34
2-4	1.4%	1.7%	0.2%	6.96×	58.35
3-0	0.7%	1.7%	3.4%	0.50×	58.35
3-1	1.3%	1.7%	3.0%	0.58×	58.35
3-2	1.3%	1.7%	3.1%	0.56×	58.35
3-3	0.8%	1.7%	0.9%	1.99×	58.35
3-4	0.4%	1.7%	0.2%	6.96×	58.35
4-0	0.1%	1.7%	1.6%	1.07×	58.35
4-1	0.3%	1.7%	1.1%	1.55×	58.35
4-2	0.3%	1.7%	0.1%	13.92×	58.35
4-3	0.2%	1.7%	0.2%	6.96×	58.35
4-4	0.1%	1.7%	0.2%	6.96×	58.35

DNB 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Juventus (2nd half DNB)	69.7%	69.4%	46.1%	1.50×	1.44
Cagliari (2nd half DNB)	30.3%	30.6%	53.9%	0.57×	3.27

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Juventus leading at HT (DNB)	80.6%	85.6%	49.3%	1.73×	1.17
Cagliari leading at HT (DNB)	19.4%	14.4%	50.7%	0.28×	6.93

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Juventus or draw (X2)	83.6%	80.6%	60.3%	1.34×	1.24
Cagliari or Juventus (12)	78.6%	75.6%	73.3%	1.03×	1.32
Cagliari or draw (1X)	37.8%	42.0%	66.3%	0.63×	2.38

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Juventus or draw at HT	88.3%	88.4%	72.0%	1.23×	1.13
Cagliari or Juventus at HT	60.4%	61.9%	55.0%	1.12×	1.62
Cagliari or draw at HT	51.3%	47.2%	72.8%	0.65×	2.12

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Juventus or draw (1UP)	83.6%	88.6%	66.0%	1.34×	1.13
Cagliari or draw (1UP)	37.8%	41.4%	71.6%	0.58×	2.42

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Juventus or draw in 2nd half	79.8%	76.2%	65.0%	1.17×	1.31
Cagliari or Juventus in 2nd half	66.8%	65.9%	64.8%	1.02×	1.52
Cagliari or draw in 2nd half	53.5%	55.1%	70.1%	0.79×	1.82

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	59.7%	58.4%	63.9%	0.91×	1.71
Neither half drawn	40.3%	41.6%	36.1%	1.15×	2.40

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Juventus (DNB)	79.2%	74.7%	46.0%	1.62×	1.34
Cagliari (DNB)	20.8%	25.3%	54.0%	0.47×	3.95

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Juventus to score first	64.7%	64.9%	44.0%	1.48×	1.54
Cagliari to score first	29.3%	28.1%	48.2%	0.58×	3.56
No goal scored	6.0%	7.4%	8.0%	0.93×	13.50

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score	50.0%	51.2%	51.0%	1.01×	1.95
Both teams to score	50.0%	48.8%	49.0%	0.99×	2.05

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both score & over 2.5	39.8%	38.4%	37.2%	1.03×	2.60
Not both score & under 2.5	36.4%	38.4%	40.8%	0.94×	2.61
Not both score & over 2.5	13.6%	12.4%	10.3%	1.19×	8.09
Both score & under 2.5	10.2%	12.4%	11.9%	1.03×	8.10

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	87.4%	85.6%	86.5%	0.99×	1.17
Both teams to score 2+	12.6%	14.4%	13.5%	1.06×	6.97

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	70.9%	73.7%	74.6%	0.99×	1.36
Both teams to score in 2nd half	29.1%	26.3%	25.4%	1.04×	3.81

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	60.6%	66.1%	62.9%	1.05×	1.51
Both score 2nd half only	24.8%	20.9%	20.4%	1.02×	4.77
Both score 1st half only	10.4%	10.6%	11.8%	0.90×	9.42
Both score in both halves	4.3%	4.9%	5.0%	0.97×	20.40

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	85.4%	85.7%	83.3%	1.03×	1.17
Both teams to score by HT	14.6%	14.3%	16.7%	0.85×	7.00

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A goal in each half	55.6%	57.1%	52.3%	1.09×	1.75
A half without a goal	44.4%	42.9%	47.7%	0.90×	2.33

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	46.0%	47.2%	48.3%	0.98×	2.12
4-6 goals	28.6%	26.6%	23.5%	1.13×	3.76
0-1 goals	22.9%	22.9%	27.5%	0.83×	4.37
7+ goals	2.5%	1.8%	1.0%	1.86×	54.55

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Juventus to score 3+	30.6%	33.8%	11.6%	2.92×	2.96
Juventus to score exactly 1	27.9%	27.4%	34.9%	0.79×	3.65
Juventus to score exactly 2	27.0%	27.4%	23.4%	1.17×	3.65
Juventus to score exactly 0	14.4%	12.9%	30.4%	0.42×	7.77

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cagliari to score exactly 1	36.5%	35.6%	32.1%	1.11×	2.81
Cagliari to score exactly 0	41.6%	35.2%	28.6%	1.23×	2.84
Cagliari to score exactly 2	16.0%	18.8%	25.0%	0.75×	5.32
Cagliari to score 3+	5.9%	10.3%	14.5%	0.71×	9.67

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Juventus leading at HT	48.7%	52.8%	27.2%	1.94×	1.89
Draw at HT	39.6%	38.1%	45.0%	0.85×	2.62
Cagliari leading at HT	11.7%	11.6%	28.0%	0.41×	8.64

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Juventus -1: 1	37.8%	37.4%	—	—	2.67
Juventus -1: 2	37.5%	37.4%	—	—	2.67
Juventus -1: X	24.7%	23.5%	—	—	4.25

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Juventus (0:1)	83.6%	78.0%	60.3%	1.29×	1.28
Draw (0:1)	11.2%	13.7%	22.7%	0.60×	7.30
Cagliari (0:1)	5.2%	9.2%	17.1%	0.54×	10.84

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Juventus (0:2)	94.8%	90.8%	82.9%	1.10×	1.10
Draw (0:2)	3.9%	3.8%	9.7%	0.39×	26.54
Cagliari (0:2)	1.3%	3.7%	7.5%	0.50×	26.70

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Juventus (0:3)	98.7%	96.6%	92.5%	1.04×	1.04
Draw (0:3)	1.0%	2.4%	4.6%	0.52×	42.33
Cagliari (0:3)	0.2%	2.4%	3.1%	0.77×	42.36

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Juventus (0:4)	99.8%	98.1%	96.9%	1.01×	1.02
Cagliari (0:4)	0.0%	1.2%	1.0%	1.23×	82.85
Draw (0:4)	0.2%	1.2%	2.2%	0.54×	82.83

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cagliari (1:0)	37.8%	37.7%	66.3%	0.57×	2.65
Juventus (1:0)	37.5%	37.7%	14.2%	2.66×	2.65
Draw (1:0)	24.7%	21.8%	19.7%	1.10×	4.60

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cagliari (2:0)	62.5%	66.4%	85.8%	0.77×	1.51
Draw (2:0)	19.1%	15.8%	8.6%	1.83×	6.35
Juventus (2:0)	18.4%	15.7%	5.7%	2.78×	6.36

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	48.6%	48.2%	46.4%	1.04×	2.07
1st half highest scoring	27.0%	26.3%	26.5%	0.99×	3.80
Halves equal	24.4%	24.4%	27.2%	0.89×	4.11

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cagliari to concede	85.6%	85.7%	69.6%	1.23×	1.17
Cagliari clean sheet	14.4%	14.3%	30.4%	0.47×	7.00

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cagliari to concede in 1st half	58.4%	61.5%	41.0%	1.50×	1.63
Cagliari clean sheet in 1st half	41.6%	38.5%	59.0%	0.65×	2.60

Home clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cagliari to concede in 2nd half	65.3%	67.4%	50.0%	1.35×	1.48
Cagliari clean sheet in 2nd half	34.7%	32.6%	50.0%	0.65×	3.07

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cagliari under 6.5 corners	84.2%	81.0%	—	—	1.24
Cagliari under 5.5 corners	74.9%	71.9%	—	—	1.39
Cagliari over 2.5 corners	70.4%	71.9%	—	—	1.39
Cagliari under 4.5 corners	62.3%	62.2%	—	—	1.61
Cagliari over 3.5 corners	53.4%	52.6%	—	—	1.90
Cagliari under 3.5 corners	46.6%	47.4%	—	—	2.11
Cagliari over 4.5 corners	37.7%	37.8%	—	—	2.65
Cagliari under 2.5 corners	29.6%	28.1%	—	—	3.56
Cagliari over 5.5 corners	25.1%	28.1%	—	—	3.56
Cagliari over 6.5 corners	15.8%	19.0%	—	—	5.26

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cagliari under 3.5 goals	98.8%	96.4%	95.4%	1.01×	1.04
Cagliari under 2.5 goals	94.1%	92.2%	85.5%	1.08×	1.08
Cagliari under 1.5 goals	78.1%	77.7%	60.6%	1.28×	1.29
Cagliari over 0.5 goals	58.4%	58.6%	71.4%	0.82×	1.71
Cagliari under 0.5 goals	41.6%	41.4%	28.6%	1.45×	2.42
Cagliari over 1.5 goals	21.9%	22.3%	39.4%	0.56×	4.49
Cagliari over 2.5 goals	5.9%	7.8%	14.5%	0.53×	12.87
Cagliari over 3.5 goals	1.2%	3.6%	4.6%	0.80×	27.53

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cagliari under 1.5 in 1st half	96.6%	97.2%	89.9%	1.08×	1.03
Cagliari under 0.5 in 1st half	75.0%	79.4%	58.4%	1.36×	1.26
Cagliari over 0.5 in 1st half	25.0%	20.7%	41.6%	0.50×	4.84
Cagliari over 1.5 in 1st half	3.4%	2.8%	10.1%	0.28×	35.38

Home highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cagliari scores equally in both	49.0%	47.9%	42.1%	1.14×	2.09
Cagliari scores more in 2nd half	36.0%	37.7%	36.5%	1.04×	2.65
Cagliari scores more in 1st half	15.1%	13.9%	21.6%	0.65×	7.19

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Juventus (home no bet)	74.4%	67.1%	55.8%	1.20×	1.49
Draw (home no bet)	25.6%	32.9%	44.2%	0.74×	3.04

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cagliari even goals	58.7%	55.3%	56.5%	0.98×	1.81
Cagliari odd goals	41.3%	44.7%	43.5%	1.03×	2.24

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	31.2%	32.9%	34.1%	0.96×	3.04
HT 0-1	27.4%	28.5%	18.4%	1.55×	3.51
HT 0-2	12.0%	10.9%	5.3%	2.05×	9.20
HT 1-0	9.0%	7.0%	18.6%	0.37×	14.36
HT 1-1	7.9%	7.0%	10.3%	0.67×	14.38
Any other HT score	6.2%	6.9%	3.1%	2.25×	14.40
HT 1-2	3.5%	2.4%	2.6%	0.91×	42.30
HT 2-0	1.3%	2.4%	5.5%	0.43×	42.45
HT 2-1	1.1%	2.4%	2.3%	1.01×	42.46
HT 2-2	0.5%	2.4%	0.7%	3.18×	42.50

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Juventus at HT / Juventus at FT	41.7%	43.2%	19.0%	2.28×	2.32
Draw at HT / Juventus at FT	18.4%	16.8%	13.1%	1.29×	5.95
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	13.2%	12.6%	16.3%	0.78×	7.91
Draw at HT / Cagliari at FT	8.0%	6.1%	15.9%	0.38×	16.39
Cagliari at HT / Cagliari at FT	6.7%	6.1%	21.6%	0.28×	16.42
Juventus at HT / Draw at FT	5.3%	6.1%	6.0%	1.01×	16.47
Cagliari at HT / Draw at FT	3.0%	3.5%	4.7%	0.74×	28.90
Cagliari at HT / Juventus at FT	2.0%	3.5%	2.0%	1.75×	28.94
Juventus at HT / Cagliari at FT	1.7%	3.5%	2.5%	1.40×	28.95

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Juventus to score last	64.7%	62.5%	43.8%	1.43×	1.60
Cagliari to score last	29.3%	27.5%	48.3%	0.57×	3.64
No goal scored	6.0%	7.4%	8.0%	0.93×	13.50

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	94.0%	92.7%	92.0%	1.01×	1.08
Juventus to lead by 1 at any time	73.6%	73.9%	50.9%	1.45×	1.35
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	52.4%	50.9%	43.0%	1.18×	1.96
Juventus to lead by 2 at any time	43.6%	39.2%	20.1%	1.95×	2.55
Cagliari to lead by 1 at any time	33.4%	29.6%	55.0%	0.54×	3.38
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	22.9%	19.7%	14.5%	1.35×	5.08
Juventus to lead by 3 at any time	21.0%	19.6%	6.3%	3.13×	5.09
Cagliari to lead by 2 at any time	8.9%	6.7%	23.4%	0.29×	14.86
Cagliari to lead by 3 at any time	2.0%	1.6%	8.4%	0.19×	61.64

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Juventus most corners	62.2%	60.5%	—	—	1.65
Cagliari most corners	28.2%	31.2%	—	—	3.21
Corners level	9.6%	8.4%	—	—	11.96

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	87.4%	87.4%	89.2%	0.98×	1.14
1-4 goals	78.6%	78.7%	80.7%	0.98×	1.27
2-6 goals	74.6%	72.4%	71.7%	1.01×	1.38
2-5 goals	70.5%	72.4%	69.7%	1.04×	1.38
1-3 goals	62.9%	63.4%	67.7%	0.94×	1.58
2-4 goals	61.7%	63.4%	61.2%	1.04×	1.58
3-6 goals	50.9%	53.1%	46.6%	1.14×	1.88
3-5 goals	46.8%	48.5%	44.6%	1.09×	2.06
2-3 goals	46.0%	48.5%	48.3%	1.01×	2.06
1-2 goals	40.6%	43.6%	44.7%	0.98×	2.29
3-4 goals	37.9%	39.2%	36.1%	1.09×	2.55
4-6 goals	28.6%	30.3%	23.5%	1.29×	3.30
4-5 goals	24.5%	24.5%	21.6%	1.14×	4.08
5-6 goals	12.9%	14.8%	10.6%	1.40×	6.75
7+ goals	2.5%	2.6%	1.0%	2.59×	39.22

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Juventus never behind	60.6%	68.1%	45.0%	1.51×	1.47
Cagliari never behind	20.3%	24.3%	49.1%	0.50×	4.11

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of goals	49.8%	50.9%	51.6%	0.99×	1.96
Even number of goals	50.2%	49.1%	48.4%	1.01×	2.04

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	54.9%	51.6%	56.5%	0.91×	1.94
Odd goals in 1st half	45.1%	48.4%	43.5%	1.11×	2.07

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	51.9%	51.9%	50.9%	1.02×	1.93
Odd goals in 2nd half	48.1%	48.1%	49.1%	0.98×	2.08

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 goals	94.0%	92.3%	92.0%	1.00×	1.08
Under 5.5 goals	93.4%	92.3%	97.0%	0.95×	1.08
Under 4.5 goals	84.6%	82.3%	88.5%	0.93×	1.22
Over 1.5 goals	77.1%	77.3%	72.5%	1.07×	1.29
Under 3.5 goals	68.9%	66.3%	75.6%	0.88×	1.51
Over 2.5 goals	53.4%	52.5%	47.4%	1.11×	1.91
Under 2.5 goals	46.6%	47.5%	52.6%	0.90×	2.11
Over 3.5 goals	31.1%	33.7%	24.4%	1.38×	2.97
Under 1.5 goals	22.9%	22.7%	27.5%	0.82×	4.41
Over 4.5 goals	15.4%	17.7%	11.5%	1.54×	5.66
Over 5.5 goals	6.6%	7.7%	3.0%	2.62×	12.93
Under 0.5 goals	6.0%	7.7%	8.0%	0.97×	12.93

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	97.4%	97.2%	99.0%	0.98×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	92.7%	92.4%	96.8%	0.96×	1.08
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	81.7%	81.1%	86.8%	0.93×	1.23
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	70.0%	67.5%	63.3%	1.07×	1.48
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	60.0%	55.8%	68.3%	0.82×	1.79
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	40.0%	44.2%	31.7%	1.39×	2.26
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	30.0%	32.5%	36.7%	0.89×	3.07
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	18.3%	18.9%	13.2%	1.44×	5.29
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	7.3%	7.6%	3.2%	2.35×	13.18
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	2.6%	2.8%	1.0%	2.79×	35.71

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	88.7%	88.9%	91.6%	0.97×	1.12
Over 0.5 in 1st half	68.8%	68.6%	65.9%	1.04×	1.46
Under 1.5 in 1st half	67.5%	68.6%	70.8%	0.97×	1.46
Over 1.5 in 1st half	32.5%	31.4%	29.2%	1.08×	3.18
Under 0.5 in 1st half	31.2%	31.4%	34.1%	0.92×	3.19
Over 2.5 in 1st half	11.3%	11.1%	8.4%	1.32×	9.04

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	80.8%	82.8%	78.4%	1.06×	1.21
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	77.1%	80.0%	82.3%	0.97×	1.25
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	50.9%	53.0%	56.8%	0.93×	1.89
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	49.1%	47.0%	43.2%	1.09×	2.13
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	22.9%	20.0%	17.7%	1.13×	4.99
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	19.2%	17.2%	21.6%	0.80×	5.82

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cagliari not to score in both halves	88.9%	85.7%	76.0%	1.13×	1.17
Juventus not to score in both halves	61.9%	63.6%	78.6%	0.81×	1.57
Juventus to score in both halves	38.1%	36.4%	21.4%	1.70×	2.75
Cagliari to score in both halves	11.1%	14.3%	24.0%	0.60×	6.97

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	50.0%	50.7%	49.0%	1.03×	1.97
Only Juventus scores	35.6%	39.9%	20.7%	1.93×	2.51
Only Cagliari scores	8.4%	7.1%	22.5%	0.32×	14.03
Neither team scores	6.0%	7.1%	8.0%	0.89×	14.05

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 2 goals	23.8%	22.6%	25.2%	0.90×	4.42
Exactly 3 goals	22.3%	22.6%	23.2%	0.98×	4.42
Exactly 1 goals	16.9%	17.4%	19.6%	0.89×	5.74
Exactly 4 goals	15.7%	17.4%	13.1%	1.34×	5.74
Exactly 5 goals	8.8%	7.6%	8.6%	0.88×	13.13
6 or more goals	6.6%	7.6%	3.0%	2.58×	13.14
Exactly 0 goals	6.0%	7.6%	8.0%	0.95×	13.14

Total goals 1st half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1 goal in 1st half	36.3%	37.2%	36.8%	1.01×	2.69
No goals in 1st half	31.2%	35.9%	34.1%	1.05×	2.79
2 goals in 1st half	21.2%	21.4%	20.9%	1.02×	4.67
3+ goals in 1st half	11.3%	11.0%	8.4%	1.31×	9.13

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	49.1%	45.4%	43.2%	1.05×	2.20
1 goal in 2nd half	31.7%	33.6%	35.3%	0.95×	2.98
No goals in 2nd half	19.2%	17.1%	21.6%	0.79×	5.86

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cagliari not to win both halves	97.6%	97.2%	90.1%	1.08×	1.03
Juventus not to win both halves	77.3%	75.1%	91.4%	0.82×	1.33
Juventus to win both halves	22.7%	24.9%	8.6%	2.89×	4.02
Cagliari to win both halves	2.4%	2.8%	9.9%	0.29×	35.14

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Juventus to win either half	72.6%	73.0%	48.5%	1.50×	1.37
Cagliari to win neither half	70.4%	72.9%	46.9%	1.55×	1.37
Cagliari to win either half	29.6%	27.1%	53.1%	0.51×	3.68
Juventus to win neither half	27.4%	27.0%	51.5%	0.52×	3.70

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cagliari not to win to nil	91.6%	92.1%	77.5%	1.19×	1.09
Juventus not to win to nil	64.4%	66.6%	79.3%	0.84×	1.50
Juventus to win to nil	35.6%	33.4%	20.7%	1.61×	3.00
Cagliari to win to nil	8.4%	7.9%	22.5%	0.35×	12.63

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Juventus by 1	24.7%	24.1%	19.7%	1.22×	4.15
Draw	21.4%	24.1%	26.7%	0.90×	4.15
Juventus by 2	19.1%	17.0%	8.6%	1.98×	5.87
Juventus by 3+	18.4%	17.0%	5.7%	3.01×	5.87
Cagliari by 1	11.2%	11.7%	22.7%	0.52×	8.51
Cagliari by 2	3.9%	2.7%	9.7%	0.28×	36.66
Cagliari by 3+	1.3%	2.7%	7.5%	0.36×	36.74

Reading the xG timeline

Each step up is a shot; the height of the step is how good the chance was. Dots mark goals. A side whose line climbs steadily created chances all match. A side that scored while its line stayed flat took a rare chance — that is finishing luck, and it rarely repeats.

Expected goals by minute

Cagliari 0.81 xGJuventus 2.38 xG

Reading the shot map

Each circle is a shot, placed where it was taken. Bigger means a better chance; filled circles are goals. Clusters near the goal mean a side worked good openings; lots of small circles far out means shooting from poor positions and hoping. Hover any circle for the player, minute and chance quality.

Shot map

Cagliari attacking right Juventus attacking left Marker size is xG; filled markers are goals.

Every shot

Min	Team	Player	xG	Situation	Body part	Result	Assisted by
0'	Juventus	Mehmet Zeki Çelik	0.02	From Corner	Right Foot	Blocked Shot	Nicolás González
7'	Juventus	Douglas Luiz	0.03	Open Play	Right Foot	Blocked Shot	Mehmet Zeki Çelik
8'	Juventus	Pape Sarr	0.01	Open Play	Right Foot	Missed Shot	Weston McKennie
11'	Juventus	Francisco Conceição	0.03	Open Play	Left Foot	Missed Shot	Pape Sarr
19'	Cagliari	Daniel Maldini	0.05	Open Play	Right Foot	Blocked Shot	Paul Mendy
19'	Cagliari	Daniel Maldini	0.72	Open Play	Left Foot	Goal	Paul Mendy
22'	Juventus	Douglas Luiz	0.04	Open Play	Right Foot	Blocked Shot	Weston McKennie
29'	Juventus	Pape Sarr	0.02	Open Play	Right Foot	Blocked Shot	Weston McKennie
31'	Cagliari	Harry Winks	0.02	Open Play	Left Foot	Saved Shot	Daniel Maldini
42'	Juventus	Nicolás González	0.02	Open Play	Left Foot	Missed Shot	Douglas Luiz
46'	Juventus	Douglas Luiz	0.02	Open Play	Left Foot	Saved Shot	Randal Kolo Muani
46'	Juventus	Jhon Lucumí	0.07	Set Piece	—	Missed Shot	Randal Kolo Muani
46'	Juventus	Nicolás González	0.04	Direct Freekick	Left Foot	Saved Shot	—
51'	Juventus	Edon Zhegrova	0.05	Open Play	Left Foot	Saved Shot	Nicolás González
60'	Juventus	Edon Zhegrova	0.02	Open Play	Left Foot	Saved Shot	Kerim-Sam Alajbegovic
61'	Juventus	Edon Zhegrova	0.03	From Corner	Left Foot	Saved Shot	Pierre Kalulu Kyatengwa
63'	Juventus	Edon Zhegrova	0.03	Open Play	Left Foot	Saved Shot	Pape Sarr
71'	Juventus	Kerim-Sam Alajbegovic	0.02	Open Play	Right Foot	Blocked Shot	Pape Sarr
76'	Juventus	Bremer	0.02	Open Play	Right Foot	Missed Shot	—
79'	Juventus	Edon Zhegrova	0.02	Open Play	Left Foot	Saved Shot	Pierre Kalulu Kyatengwa
80'	Juventus	Randal Kolo Muani	0.52	Open Play	—	Goal	Kerim-Sam Alajbegovic
84'	Juventus	Edon Zhegrova	0.04	Direct Freekick	Left Foot	Blocked Shot	—
84'	Juventus	Nick Woltemade	0.67	Set Piece	—	Saved Shot	—
84'	Juventus	Randal Kolo Muani	0.62	Set Piece	Right Foot	Shot On Post	Kerim-Sam Alajbegovic
85'	Juventus	Andrea Cambiaso	0.04	Open Play	Left Foot	Saved Shot	Kerim-Sam Alajbegovic
90'	Cagliari	Alessandro Romano	0.02	Set Piece	Left Foot	Missed Shot	Ndary Adopo

Players

Cagliari

Player	Min	G	A	Sh	KP	xG	xA	xGChain
Harry Winks MC	90	0	0	1	0	0.02	0.00	0.02
Alessandro Romano MC	90	0	0	1	0	0.02	0.00	0.02
Yerry Mina DC	90	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	0.02
Zé Pedro DR	90	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	0.00
Ndary Adopo MC	90	0	0	0	1	0.00	0.02	0.02
Elia Caprile GK	90	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	0.00
Adam Obert DL	85	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	0.05
Daniel Maldini AMC	70	1	0	2	1	0.77	0.02	0.79
Paul Mendy FW	70	0	1	0	2	0.00	0.77	0.79
Yanis Massolin AMC	61	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	0.00
Juan Rodríguez DC	47	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	0.02
Alessandro Deiola Sub	43	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	0.00
Alieu Fadera Sub	29	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	0.00
M'Bala Nzola Sub	20	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	0.00
Yukinari Sugawara Sub	20	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	0.00
Jacopo Fazzini Sub	5	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	0.00

Juventus

Player	Min	G	A	Sh	KP	xG	xA	xGChain
Randal Kolo Muani FW	90	1	0	2	2	1.14	0.09	0.65
Jhon Lucumí DC	90	0	0	1	0	0.07	0.00	0.14
Pape Sarr DMC	90	0	0	2	3	0.03	0.09	0.26
Bremer DC	90	0	0	1	0	0.02	0.00	0.66
Pierre Kalulu Kyatengwa DR	90	0	0	0	2	0.00	0.05	0.75
Guglielmo Vicario GK	90	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	0.06
Douglas Luiz DMC	85	0	0	3	1	0.10	0.02	0.28
Mehmet Zeki Çelik DL	65	0	0	1	1	0.02	0.03	0.21
Nicolás González AML	61	0	0	2	2	0.06	0.07	0.10
Francisco Conceição AMR	47	0	0	1	0	0.03	0.00	0.10
Weston McKennie AMC	47	0	0	0	3	0.00	0.07	0.13
Edon Zhegrova Sub	43	0	0	6	0	0.19	0.00	0.15
Kerim-Sam Alajbegovic Sub	43	0	1	1	4	0.02	1.20	0.64
Nick Woltemade Sub	29	0	0	1	0	0.67	0.00	0.05
Andrea Cambiaso Sub	25	0	0	1	0	0.04	0.00	0.56
Teun Koopmeiners Sub	5	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	0.04

Cagliari v Juventus — Prediction, Odds & Stats

AI prediction

Top 5 scorelines

Goals

Footing

Positive factors

Risk factors

The price

Why Cagliari

Why the draw is live

Why Juventus can win

Key players

Availability

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

What the chances say

What the model said

All markets

Expected goals by minute

Shot map

Every shot

Players

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