Cagliari v Lazio — Prediction, Odds & Stats
Monday 3 February 2025 · ITA-Serie A · 2425
Serie A
xG
Shots
15 – 11
On target
4 – 6
Shots in box
10 – 9
xG per shot
0.12 – 0.18
Set-piece xG
0.60 – 0.43
Goals − xG
-0.83 – +0.07
Reading the xG timeline
Each step up is a shot; the height of the step is how good the chance was. Dots mark goals.
A side whose line climbs steadily created chances all match. A side that scored while its
line stayed flat took a rare chance — that is finishing luck, and it rarely repeats.
Expected goals by minute
Cagliari 1.83 xGLazio 1.93 xG
Reading the shot map
Each circle is a shot, placed where it was taken. Bigger means a better chance;
filled circles are goals. Clusters near the goal mean a side worked good openings;
lots of small circles far out means shooting from poor positions and hoping.
Hover any circle for the player, minute and chance quality.
Shot map
Cagliari attacking right
Lazio attacking left
Marker size is xG; filled markers are goals.
Every shot
| Min | Team | Player | xG | Situation | Body part | Result | Assisted by |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3' |
 Lazio |
Adam Marusic | 0.11 | From Corner | Left Foot | Blocked Shot | Boulaye Dia |
| 5' |
 Cagliari |
Nicolas Viola | 0.02 | Open Play | Left Foot | Saved Shot | Nadir Zortea |
| 11' |
Cagliari |
Roberto Piccoli | 0.76 | Open Play | Right Foot | Missed Shot | Gabriele Zappa |
| 13' |
Cagliari |
Yerry Mina | 0.05 | From Corner | — | Saved Shot | Nicolas Viola |
| 22' |
Lazio |
Mario Gila | 0.05 | From Corner | — | Missed Shot | Valentín Castellanos |
| 33' |
Lazio |
Valentín Castellanos | 0.02 | Open Play | Right Foot | Missed Shot | Nicolo Rovella |
| 40' |
Lazio |
Mattia Zaccagni | 0.38 | Open Play | Right Foot | Goal | Elseid Hysaj |
| 44' |
Cagliari |
Roberto Piccoli | 0.06 | Open Play | Left Foot | Blocked Shot | Nicolas Viola |
| 45' |
Cagliari |
Nadir Zortea | 0.01 | Open Play | Right Foot | Missed Shot | — |
| 49' |
Cagliari |
Ndary Adopo | 0.07 | Open Play | Right Foot | Missed Shot | — |
| 55' |
Cagliari |
Roberto Piccoli | 0.47 | From Corner | — | Goal | Nicolas Viola |
| 56' |
Lazio |
Valentín Castellanos | 0.10 | Open Play | Right Foot | Saved Shot | Gustav Isaksen |
| 57' |
Lazio |
Alessio Romagnoli | 0.24 | From Corner | — | Saved Shot | Mattia Zaccagni |
| 58' |
Lazio |
Alessio Romagnoli | 0.01 | From Corner | — | Blocked Shot | Mattia Zaccagni |
| 63' |
Lazio |
Valentín Castellanos | 0.57 | Open Play | Left Foot | Goal | Mattia Zaccagni |
| 66' |
Cagliari |
Roberto Piccoli | 0.06 | Open Play | Right Foot | Missed Shot | Gabriele Zappa |
| 72' |
Lazio |
Mattia Zaccagni | 0.32 | Open Play | Right Foot | Saved Shot | Nicolo Rovella |
| 73' |
Lazio |
Samuel Gigot | 0.02 | From Corner | — | Blocked Shot | — |
| 74' |
Lazio |
Gustav Isaksen | 0.11 | Open Play | Left Foot | Saved Shot | Boulaye Dia |
| 76' |
Cagliari |
Mattia Felici | 0.04 | Open Play | Right Foot | Blocked Shot | Roberto Piccoli |
| 80' |
Cagliari |
Yerry Mina | 0.09 | Open Play | Left Foot | Blocked Shot | Mattia Felici |
| 81' |
Cagliari |
Nadir Zortea | 0.04 | Open Play | Left Foot | Blocked Shot | — |
| 84' |
Cagliari |
Alessandro Deiola | 0.02 | Open Play | Left Foot | Saved Shot | Gianluca Gaetano |
| 85' |
Cagliari |
Mattia Felici | 0.05 | From Corner | Right Foot | Blocked Shot | — |
| 85' |
Cagliari |
Tommaso Augello | 0.02 | From Corner | Right Foot | Missed Shot | — |
| 92' |
Cagliari |
Leonardo Pavoletti | 0.05 | Open Play | Right Foot | Missed Shot | Matteo Prati |
Players
Cagliari
| Player | Min | G | A | Sh | KP | xG | xA | xGChain |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Roberto Piccoli FW | 90 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 1.36 | 0.04 | 0.95 |
| Yerry Mina DC | 90 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0.14 | 0.00 | 0.15 |
| Nadir Zortea MR | 90 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0.06 | 0.02 | 0.16 |
| Tommaso Augello DL | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.02 | 0.00 | 0.02 |
| Sebastiano Luperto DC | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.02 |
| Elia Caprile GK | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Mattia Felici ML | 88 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0.10 | 0.09 | 0.17 |
| Antoine Makoumbou MC | 88 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.04 |
| Ndary Adopo MC | 76 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.07 | 0.00 | 0.15 |
| Gabriele Zappa DR | 75 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.00 | 0.82 | 0.84 |
| Nicolas Viola AMC | 69 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0.02 | 0.59 | 0.08 |
| Gianluca Gaetano Sub | 21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.00 | 0.02 | 0.02 |
| Leonardo Pavoletti Sub | 15 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.05 | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| Alessandro Deiola Sub | 14 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.02 | 0.00 | 0.02 |
| Matteo Prati Sub | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.00 | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| Kingstone Mutandwa Sub | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
Lazio
| Player | Min | G | A | Sh | KP | xG | xA | xGChain |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Valentín Castellanos FW | 90 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0.69 | 0.05 | 1.01 |
| Alessio Romagnoli DC | 90 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0.26 | 0.00 | 0.34 |
| Adam Marusic DL | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.11 | 0.00 | 0.34 |
| Mario Gila DC | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.05 | 0.00 | 1.02 |
| Nicolo Rovella DMC | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.00 | 0.34 | 0.45 |
| Matteo Guendouzi DMC | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.91 |
| Ivan Provedel GK | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.34 |
| Mattia Zaccagni AML | 87 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0.71 | 0.82 | 1.28 |
| Gustav Isaksen AMR | 87 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.11 | 0.10 | 1.18 |
| Boulaye Dia AMC | 87 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.00 | 0.21 | 1.10 |
| Elseid Hysaj DR | 62 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.00 | 0.38 | 0.40 |
| Samuel Gigot Sub | 28 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.02 | 0.00 | 0.89 |
| Fisayo Dele-Bashiru Sub | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Pedro Sub | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Tijjani Noslin Sub | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |