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Cagliari v Torino — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Sunday 20 October 2024 · ITA-Serie A · 2425

Serie A xG

3–2
1.51 – 1.23 xG
Shots
17 – 18
On target
4 – 5
Shots in box
13 – 5
xG per shot
0.09 – 0.07
Set-piece xG
0.76 – 0.48
Goals − xG
+1.49 – +0.75
Reading the xG timeline
Each step up is a shot; the height of the step is how good the chance was. Dots mark goals. A side whose line climbs steadily created chances all match. A side that scored while its line stayed flat took a rare chance — that is finishing luck, and it rarely repeats.

Expected goals by minute

0.00.40.81.31.70'15'30'45'60'75'90'Nicolas Viola 37' — goalAntonio Sanabria 40' — goalKarol Linetty 54' — goalJosé Luis Palomino 73' — goal
Cagliari 1.51 xGTorino 1.25 xG
Reading the shot map
Each circle is a shot, placed where it was taken. Bigger means a better chance; filled circles are goals. Clusters near the goal mean a side worked good openings; lots of small circles far out means shooting from poor positions and hoping. Hover any circle for the player, minute and chance quality.

Shot map

Nadir Zortea 5' — Blocked Shot (0.10 xG, Open Play)Antonio Sanabria 6' — Blocked Shot (0.07 xG, Open Play)Che Adams 6' — Missed Shot (0.15 xG, Open Play)Nikola Vlasic 9' — Missed Shot (0.02 xG, Open Play)Nicolas Viola 11' — Missed Shot (0.05 xG, From Corner)Nicolas Viola 14' — Saved Shot (0.04 xG, Direct Freekick)Roberto Piccoli 14' — Missed Shot (0.01 xG, From Corner)Samuele Ricci 20' — Missed Shot (0.07 xG, Open Play)Antoine Makoumbou 22' — Blocked Shot (0.01 xG, Open Play)Roberto Piccoli 24' — Blocked Shot (0.06 xG, Open Play)Sebastiano Luperto 25' — Missed Shot (0.09 xG, From Corner)Nikola Vlasic 27' — Missed Shot (0.02 xG, From Corner)Nikola Vlasic 28' — Missed Shot (0.02 xG, Open Play)Zito 34' — Blocked Shot (0.02 xG, Open Play)Nicolas Viola 37' — Goal (0.12 xG, Direct Freekick)Antonio Sanabria 40' — Goal (0.37 xG, From Corner)Roberto Piccoli 47' — Missed Shot (0.33 xG, Open Play)Nicolas Viola 48' — Saved Shot (0.17 xG, Open Play)Yerry Mina 48' — Missed Shot (0.06 xG, From Corner)Ndary Adopo 49' — Missed Shot (0.06 xG, Open Play)Karol Linetty 54' — Goal (0.02 xG, Open Play)Karol Linetty 60' — Missed Shot (0.05 xG, Set Piece)Che Adams 61' — Missed Shot (0.02 xG, Open Play)Saúl Coco 69' — Saved Shot (0.04 xG, Direct Freekick)Roberto Piccoli 72' — Blocked Shot (0.10 xG, From Corner)Sebastiano Luperto 72' — Blocked Shot (0.02 xG, From Corner)José Luis Palomino 73' — Goal (0.24 xG, From Corner)Sebastiano Luperto 73' — Missed Shot (0.02 xG, From Corner)Saúl Coco 77' — Own Goal (0.00 xG, Open Play)Yann Karamoh 83' — Saved Shot (0.02 xG, Open Play)Mergim Vojvoda 88' — Blocked Shot (0.03 xG, Open Play)Yann Karamoh 89' — Blocked Shot (0.03 xG, Open Play)Antonio Sanabria 91' — Missed Shot (0.02 xG, Open Play)Che Adams 91' — Saved Shot (0.26 xG, Open Play)Gvidas Gineitis 93' — Blocked Shot (0.02 xG, Open Play)
Cagliari attacking right Torino attacking left Marker size is xG; filled markers are goals.

Every shot

MinTeamPlayerxG SituationBody partResultAssisted by
5' Cagliari Nadir Zortea 0.10 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot Roberto Piccoli
6' Torino Antonio Sanabria 0.07 Open Play Left Foot Blocked Shot Mergim Vojvoda
6' Torino Che Adams 0.15 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot
9' Torino Nikola Vlasic 0.02 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot Karol Linetty
11' Cagliari Nicolas Viola 0.05 From Corner Right Foot Missed Shot
14' Cagliari Nicolas Viola 0.04 Direct Freekick Left Foot Saved Shot
14' Cagliari Roberto Piccoli 0.01 From Corner Missed Shot Nicolas Viola
20' Torino Samuele Ricci 0.07 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot Che Adams
22' Cagliari Antoine Makoumbou 0.01 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot
24' Cagliari Roberto Piccoli 0.06 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot Nadir Zortea
25' Cagliari Sebastiano Luperto 0.09 From Corner Right Foot Missed Shot Zito
27' Torino Nikola Vlasic 0.02 From Corner Right Foot Missed Shot
28' Torino Nikola Vlasic 0.02 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot Che Adams
34' Cagliari Zito 0.02 Open Play Left Foot Blocked Shot Ndary Adopo
37' Cagliari Nicolas Viola 0.12 Direct Freekick Left Foot Goal
40' Torino Antonio Sanabria 0.37 From Corner Goal Valentino Lazaro
47' Cagliari Roberto Piccoli 0.33 Open Play Missed Shot Gabriele Zappa
48' Cagliari Nicolas Viola 0.17 Open Play Left Foot Saved Shot Roberto Piccoli
48' Cagliari Yerry Mina 0.06 From Corner Missed Shot Razvan Marin
49' Cagliari Ndary Adopo 0.06 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot
54' Torino Karol Linetty 0.02 Open Play Right Foot Goal Nikola Vlasic
60' Torino Karol Linetty 0.05 Set Piece Left Foot Missed Shot
61' Torino Che Adams 0.02 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot
69' Torino Saúl Coco 0.04 Direct Freekick Right Foot Saved Shot
72' Cagliari Roberto Piccoli 0.10 From Corner Right Foot Blocked Shot Gianluca Gaetano
72' Cagliari Sebastiano Luperto 0.02 From Corner Blocked Shot Tommaso Augello
73' Cagliari José Luis Palomino 0.24 From Corner Goal Sebastiano Luperto
73' Cagliari Sebastiano Luperto 0.02 From Corner Missed Shot
77' Torino Saúl Coco 0.00 Open Play Left Foot Own Goal
83' Torino Yann Karamoh 0.02 Open Play Right Foot Saved Shot Mergim Vojvoda
88' Torino Mergim Vojvoda 0.03 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot Antonio Sanabria
89' Torino Yann Karamoh 0.03 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot Gvidas Gineitis
91' Torino Antonio Sanabria 0.02 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot Samuele Ricci
91' Torino Che Adams 0.26 Open Play Saved Shot Yann Karamoh
93' Torino Gvidas Gineitis 0.02 Open Play Left Foot Blocked Shot Yann Karamoh

Players

Torino

PlayerMinGA ShKPxGxA xGChain
Antonio Sanabria FW 90 1 0 3 1 0.47 0.03 0.17
Che Adams FW 90 0 0 3 2 0.43 0.09 0.62
Samuele Ricci MC 90 0 0 1 1 0.07 0.02 0.15
Saúl Coco DC 90 0 0 1 0 0.04 0.00 0.02
Mergim Vojvoda DML 90 0 0 1 2 0.03 0.09 0.41
Adam Masina DC 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.15
Vanja Milinkovic-Savic GK 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.09
Sebastian Walukiewicz DC 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.02
Nikola Vlasic MC 85 0 1 3 1 0.06 0.02 0.21
Valentino Lazaro DMR 85 0 1 0 1 0.00 0.37 0.19
Karol Linetty MC 77 1 0 2 1 0.07 0.02 0.19
Gvidas Gineitis Sub 13 0 0 1 1 0.02 0.03 0.07
Yann Karamoh Sub 5 0 0 2 2 0.05 0.28 0.33
Ali Dembélé Sub 5 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.02

Cagliari

PlayerMinGA ShKPxGxA xGChain
Roberto Piccoli FW 90 0 0 4 2 0.50 0.26 0.68
Sebastiano Luperto DC 90 0 1 3 1 0.14 0.24 0.06
Nadir Zortea DMR 90 0 0 1 1 0.10 0.06 0.49
Tommaso Augello DML 90 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.02 0.56
Gabriele Zappa DC 90 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.33 0.39
Simone Scuffet GK 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Antoine Makoumbou MC 82 0 0 1 0 0.01 0.00 0.57
Nicolas Viola AMC 65 1 0 4 1 0.39 0.01 0.26
Ndary Adopo MC 65 0 0 1 1 0.06 0.02 0.48
Yerry Mina DC 65 0 0 1 0 0.06 0.00 0.06
Zito AMC 48 0 0 1 1 0.02 0.09 0.02
Razvan Marin Sub 42 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.06 0.49
José Luis Palomino Sub 25 1 0 1 0 0.24 0.00 0.00
Gianluca Lapadula Sub 25 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Gianluca Gaetano Sub 25 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.10 0.00
Alessandro Deiola Sub 8 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
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Match

What this page is for

One fixture in full. The model's probability for every market it prices, the prices stored against them, the teams expected to feature, and for a match already played, the shot map and the xG timeline.

How to read the shot map

Every shot is placed where it was taken and sized by its chance of being scored. A cluster of small marks from distance and a clean sheet is a side that was busy without ever threatening; two big marks and a defeat is a side that had the better of it and lost anyway. Both happen constantly, and both are invisible in the score.

How to read the xG timeline

The steps are chances as they arrived, so the shape shows who was on top and when. A flat line that jumps once near the end is a smash and grab.

Things to watch

The stored prediction is the one made before the match, kept deliberately so it can be judged afterwards. It is not re-fitted with hindsight.

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