Cardiff City v Burnley — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Saturday 7 November 2026 · ENG-Championship · 2627

Championship results-only Prediction generated 18 Sep 2026, 10:37 UTC

Cardiff City

15:00 UTC

Burnley

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 26 Oct, 10:59 · 292h before kick-off

Cardiff City win

29.4%

model 30.2%

Draw

27.4%

model 28.9%

Burnley win

43.2%

model 40.9%

292743

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (624 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-1 13.8%
1-2 8.9%
0-1 8.7%
0-0 8.6%
2-1 7.4%

Goals

Over 2.5	49.2%	Under 2.5	50.8%
BTTS yes	54.9%	BTTS no	45.1%
Cardiff City 1+	70.1%	Cardiff City 2+	34.0%
Burnley 1+	76.2%	Burnley 2+	42.1%

Expected goals 1.21 – 1.44. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

42/100

Data quality

75/100

Model agreement

85%

★ Best pick

Burnley (DNB)

Draw no bet · usually 40%

60.7% fair odds 1.65

strong signal · 349 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Cardiff City not to win to nil

Win to nil · usually 77%

83.3% fair odds 1.20

moderate signal · 1180 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

Burnley carry the stronger rating, 1396 Elo against 1354.

Risk factors

The component models disagree more than usual (agreement 0.85).

Why the model thinks this

The price

Burnley have an estimated 43.2% win probability, against 29.4% for Cardiff City and 27.4% for the draw. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.21 for Cardiff City and 1.44 for Burnley.

Why Cardiff City

Nothing in the data singles out Cardiff City.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 27.4%. The sides are closely matched on expected goals, 1.21 to 1.44. Draws run at 28% in this competition.

Why Burnley can win

Burnley carry the stronger rating, 1396 Elo against 1354.

Key players

Burnley's leading contributors by expected goal involvements a match: Zian Flemming (0.35), Jaidon Anthony (0.24), Marcus Edwards (0.15).

Availability

No lineup on record for Cardiff City, so availability is unknown. 1 of Burnley's top three contributors did not start their last match.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Cardiff City: 65% possession, 19.4 shots a match, 12.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Burnley: 50% possession, 14.8 shots a match, 13.4 faced, 0.16 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-10-26 10:06 · team_stats 2026-10-26 06:08 · availability 2026-10-26 14:59 · prediction 2026-09-18 10:37 ·

Burnley are the model's most likely outcome at 43.2%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 13.8%. Confidence 42/100, data quality 75/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

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Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the chances say

Burnley are finishing sharply below their chances — 4.4 goals fewer than expected across 10 matches, despite creating the openings.

LDLLLLLDLD last 10 scored 6 from 10.4 xG conceded 19 from 20.9 xG

Finishing swings far more than chance creation, so a gap this size usually narrows. Over ten matches it is suggestive, not settled — a genuinely elite finisher beats expected goals for years.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	302941	1.21–1.44	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	192655	0.94–1.76	1-1 12%	51%	52%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Burnley to win	55.4%	53.9%	29.1%	1.85×	1.86
Draw	26.0%	27.9%	27.6%	1.01×	3.59
Cardiff City to win	18.5%	19.4%	43.4%	0.45×	5.15

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Burnley & not both score	31.1%	29.6%	15.2%	1.95×	3.38
Burnley & both teams score	24.4%	21.8%	13.9%	1.56×	4.59
Draw & both teams score	18.0%	18.0%	20.4%	0.88×	5.56
Cardiff City & both teams score	9.4%	8.3%	20.2%	0.41×	11.99
Cardiff City & not both score	9.1%	8.3%	23.3%	0.36×	11.99
Draw & not both score	8.1%	8.3%	7.3%	1.14×	12.00

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Burnley & over 1.5	44.9%	40.3%	21.4%	1.88×	2.48
Burnley & under 3.5	36.9%	34.9%	22.3%	1.56×	2.87
Burnley & over 2.5	34.5%	30.8%	16.2%	1.90×	3.25
Burnley & under 2.5	20.9%	21.6%	12.9%	1.67×	4.63
Draw & under 2.5	20.5%	21.6%	21.8%	0.99×	4.63
Draw & under 3.5	20.5%	21.6%	21.8%	0.99×	4.63
Burnley & over 3.5	18.6%	18.0%	6.8%	2.65×	5.55
Draw & over 1.5	18.0%	18.0%	20.4%	0.88×	5.55
Cardiff City & over 1.5	13.6%	12.8%	32.5%	0.40×	7.79
Cardiff City & under 3.5	14.1%	12.8%	32.4%	0.40×	7.79
Cardiff City & over 2.5	10.6%	12.8%	26.4%	0.49×	7.79
Burnley & under 1.5	10.5%	12.8%	7.7%	1.66×	7.79
Cardiff City & under 2.5	7.9%	7.9%	17.1%	0.46×	12.63
Draw & under 1.5	8.1%	7.9%	7.3%	1.08×	12.63
Draw & over 2.5	5.5%	7.9%	5.9%	1.33×	12.63
Draw & over 3.5	5.5%	7.9%	5.9%	1.33×	12.63
Cardiff City & under 1.5	5.0%	4.8%	11.0%	0.44×	20.81
Cardiff City & over 3.5	4.5%	4.8%	11.1%	0.43×	20.81

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Burnley (1UP)	68.7%	70.3%	—	—	1.42
Cardiff City (1UP)	36.3%	34.1%	—	—	2.93

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Burnley (2UP)	55.4%	54.5%	—	—	1.83
Cardiff City (2UP)	18.5%	17.1%	—	—	5.85

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Burnley to win 2nd half	47.5%	45.2%	—	—	2.21
2nd half drawn	34.5%	34.0%	—	—	2.94
Cardiff City to win 2nd half	18.0%	17.9%	—	—	5.59

2nd half away goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Burnley under 1.5 in 2nd half	71.5%	75.5%	—	—	1.33
Burnley over 0.5 in 2nd half	65.3%	69.4%	—	—	1.44
Burnley under 0.5 in 2nd half	34.7%	30.6%	—	—	3.27
Burnley over 1.5 in 2nd half	28.5%	24.5%	—	—	4.07

2nd half home goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cardiff City under 1.5 in 2nd half	89.9%	89.0%	—	—	1.12
Cardiff City under 0.5 in 2nd half	58.6%	58.3%	—	—	1.72
Cardiff City over 0.5 in 2nd half	41.4%	41.7%	—	—	2.40
Cardiff City over 1.5 in 2nd half	10.1%	11.0%	—	—	9.11

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Burnley (+2.5)	98.3%	96.3%	91.9%	1.05×	1.04
Burnley (+1.5)	93.3%	92.1%	80.7%	1.14×	1.09
Burnley (+0.5)	81.5%	82.6%	56.6%	1.46×	1.21
Burnley (-0.5)	55.4%	57.0%	29.1%	1.96×	1.75
Cardiff City (+0.5)	44.6%	43.0%	70.9%	0.61×	2.33
Cardiff City (-0.5)	18.5%	17.4%	43.4%	0.40×	5.74
Cardiff City (-1.5)	6.7%	7.9%	19.3%	0.41×	12.71
Cardiff City (-2.5)	1.7%	3.7%	8.1%	0.46×	27.23

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Burnley to concede	60.9%	67.5%	77.6%	0.87×	1.48
Burnley clean sheet	39.1%	32.5%	22.4%	1.45×	3.08

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Burnley clean sheet in 1st half	66.8%	71.2%	—	—	1.40
Burnley to concede in 1st half	33.2%	28.8%	—	—	3.48

Away clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Burnley clean sheet in 2nd half	58.6%	57.4%	—	—	1.74
Burnley to concede in 2nd half	41.4%	42.6%	—	—	2.35

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Burnley under 6.5 corners	96.8%	95.7%	—	—	1.05
Burnley under 5.5 corners	93.4%	89.9%	—	—	1.11
Burnley under 4.5 corners	87.1%	85.2%	—	—	1.17
Burnley under 3.5 corners	76.1%	76.0%	—	—	1.32
Burnley under 2.5 corners	59.2%	57.2%	—	—	1.75
Burnley over 2.5 corners	40.8%	42.8%	—	—	2.34
Burnley over 3.5 corners	23.9%	24.0%	—	—	4.17
Burnley over 4.5 corners	12.9%	14.8%	—	—	6.77
Burnley over 5.5 corners	6.6%	10.1%	—	—	9.91
Burnley over 6.5 corners	3.2%	4.3%	—	—	23.13

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Burnley under 3.5 goals	89.7%	87.8%	97.8%	0.90×	1.14
Burnley over 0.5 goals	82.8%	81.5%	69.5%	1.17×	1.23
Burnley under 2.5 goals	74.1%	71.9%	90.6%	0.79×	1.39
Burnley over 1.5 goals	52.6%	53.5%	30.0%	1.78×	1.87
Burnley under 1.5 goals	47.4%	46.5%	70.0%	0.66×	2.15
Burnley over 2.5 goals	25.9%	28.1%	9.4%	2.98×	3.55
Burnley under 0.5 goals	17.2%	18.5%	30.5%	0.61×	5.41
Burnley over 3.5 goals	10.3%	12.2%	2.2%	5.51×	8.21

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Burnley under 1.5 in 1st half	84.3%	82.8%	—	—	1.21
Burnley over 0.5 in 1st half	50.6%	55.7%	—	—	1.80
Burnley under 0.5 in 1st half	49.4%	44.3%	—	—	2.26
Burnley over 1.5 in 1st half	15.7%	17.2%	—	—	5.81

Away highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Burnley scores more in 2nd half	43.4%	43.7%	—	—	2.29
Burnley scores equally in both	32.6%	33.3%	—	—	3.00
Burnley scores more in 1st half	24.1%	21.8%	—	—	4.58

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw (away no bet)	58.4%	57.4%	38.9%	1.48×	1.74
Cardiff City (away no bet)	41.6%	42.6%	61.1%	0.70×	2.35

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Burnley even goals	51.5%	52.6%	52.4%	1.00×	1.90
Burnley odd goals	48.5%	47.4%	47.6%	1.00×	2.11

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	85.6%	87.8%	—	—	1.14
Both halves over 1.5 goals	14.4%	12.2%	—	—	8.18

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	64.0%	57.6%	—	—	1.74
Both halves under 1.5 goals	36.0%	42.4%	—	—	2.36

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	57.0%	54.9%	—	—	1.82
Burnley to score 2+ in a row	45.3%	46.0%	—	—	2.17
Either team to score 3+ in a row	22.2%	19.5%	—	—	5.12
Burnley to score 3+ in a row	18.9%	16.2%	—	—	6.18
Cardiff City to score 2+ in a row	16.8%	16.1%	—	—	6.20
Cardiff City to score 3+ in a row	3.5%	2.6%	—	—	38.82

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cardiff City corners (+3.5)	97.4%	95.7%	—	—	1.04
Cardiff City corners (+2.5)	94.9%	89.6%	—	—	1.12
Cardiff City corners (+1.5)	90.8%	89.6%	—	—	1.12
Cardiff City corners (-1.5)	65.3%	65.9%	—	—	1.52
Burnley corners (+3.5)	56.8%	57.2%	—	—	1.75
Cardiff City corners (-2.5)	54.1%	52.4%	—	—	1.91
Burnley corners (+2.5)	45.9%	47.6%	—	—	2.10
Cardiff City corners (-3.5)	43.2%	42.8%	—	—	2.33
Burnley corners (+1.5)	34.7%	34.1%	—	—	2.93
Burnley corners (-1.5)	9.2%	10.4%	—	—	9.59
Burnley corners (-2.5)	5.1%	10.4%	—	—	9.60
Burnley corners (-3.5)	2.7%	4.3%	—	—	23.49

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-8 corners	60.0%	48.2%	—	—	2.08
9-11 corners	22.7%	25.7%	—	—	3.90
12+ corners	17.3%	22.6%	—	—	4.43

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 12.5 corners	87.5%	83.1%	—	—	1.20
Under 11.5 corners	82.7%	80.7%	—	—	1.24
Under 10.5 corners	76.6%	76.6%	—	—	1.31
Under 9.5 corners	69.0%	67.8%	—	—	1.48
Under 8.5 corners	60.0%	63.2%	—	—	1.58
Over 7.5 corners	50.2%	53.2%	—	—	1.88
Under 7.5 corners	49.8%	46.8%	—	—	2.14
Over 8.5 corners	40.0%	36.8%	—	—	2.72
Over 9.5 corners	31.0%	32.2%	—	—	3.11
Over 10.5 corners	23.4%	23.4%	—	—	4.27
Over 11.5 corners	17.3%	19.3%	—	—	5.17
Over 12.5 corners	12.5%	16.9%	—	—	5.91

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.2%	—	—	1.99
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.8%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-1	12.4%	11.5%	14.5%	0.79×	8.71
0-1	10.5%	11.5%	7.7%	1.48×	8.72
0-2	10.4%	11.5%	5.3%	2.18×	8.72
1-2	9.8%	7.4%	8.0%	0.93×	13.51
0-0	8.1%	7.4%	7.3%	1.01×	13.51
0-3	6.1%	7.4%	1.6%	4.58×	13.51
1-3	5.7%	7.4%	3.1%	2.42×	13.51
2-1	5.2%	7.4%	11.5%	0.65×	13.51
1-0	5.0%	1.7%	11.0%	0.16×	58.29
0-4	2.7%	1.7%	0.4%	4.04×	58.30
1-4	2.5%	1.7%	0.6%	2.88×	58.30
2-0	3.0%	1.7%	6.1%	0.28×	58.30
2-2	4.6%	1.7%	5.2%	0.33×	58.29
2-3	2.7%	1.7%	1.7%	1.01×	58.30
2-4	1.2%	1.7%	0.3%	6.73×	58.31
3-0	0.9%	1.7%	4.0%	0.43×	58.31
3-1	1.6%	1.7%	4.3%	0.40×	58.31
3-2	1.4%	1.7%	1.8%	0.96×	58.31
3-3	0.8%	1.7%	0.9%	2.02×	58.31
3-4	0.4%	1.7%	0.3%	6.73×	58.32
4-0	0.2%	1.7%	1.7%	1.01×	58.32
4-1	0.4%	1.7%	0.9%	2.02×	58.32
4-2	0.3%	1.7%	0.8%	2.24×	58.32
4-3	0.2%	1.7%	0.2%	10.09×	58.32
4-4	0.1%	1.7%	0.1%	20.18×	58.32
Any other score	3.6%	1.7%	3.0%	0.58×	58.30

DNB 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Burnley (2nd half DNB)	72.5%	71.4%	—	—	1.40
Cardiff City (2nd half DNB)	27.5%	28.6%	—	—	3.50

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Burnley leading at HT (DNB)	67.3%	73.6%	—	—	1.36
Cardiff City leading at HT (DNB)	32.7%	26.4%	—	—	3.79

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Burnley or draw (X2)	81.5%	80.6%	56.6%	1.42×	1.24
Cardiff City or Burnley (12)	74.0%	72.1%	72.4%	1.00×	1.39
Cardiff City or draw (1X)	44.6%	46.1%	70.9%	0.65×	2.17

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Burnley or draw at HT	81.5%	84.0%	—	—	1.19
Cardiff City or draw at HT	62.0%	61.0%	—	—	1.64
Cardiff City or Burnley at HT	56.4%	57.4%	—	—	1.74

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Burnley or draw (1UP)	81.5%	88.6%	—	—	1.13
Cardiff City or draw (1UP)	44.6%	53.0%	—	—	1.89

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Burnley or draw in 2nd half	82.0%	82.1%	—	—	1.22
Cardiff City or Burnley in 2nd half	65.5%	66.0%	—	—	1.52
Cardiff City or draw in 2nd half	52.5%	54.8%	—	—	1.82

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	61.6%	61.3%	—	—	1.63
Neither half drawn	38.4%	38.7%	—	—	2.59

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Burnley (DNB)	75.0%	71.5%	40.1%	1.78×	1.40
Cardiff City (DNB)	25.0%	28.5%	59.9%	0.48×	3.51

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Burnley to score first	60.0%	63.7%	—	—	1.57
Cardiff City to score first	31.9%	27.8%	—	—	3.60
No goal scored	8.1%	7.6%	—	—	13.17

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams to score	51.7%	51.3%	54.4%	0.94×	1.95
Not both teams to score	48.3%	48.7%	45.6%	1.07×	2.05

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both score & over 2.5	39.3%	38.5%	39.9%	0.96×	2.60
Not both score & under 2.5	36.9%	38.4%	37.1%	1.04×	2.60
Both score & under 2.5	12.4%	12.4%	14.5%	0.85×	8.09
Not both score & over 2.5	11.3%	12.4%	8.6%	1.44×	8.09

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	87.3%	85.6%	89.0%	0.96×	1.17
Both teams to score 2+	12.7%	14.4%	11.0%	1.31×	6.95

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	72.5%	73.7%	—	—	1.36
Both teams to score in 2nd half	27.5%	26.3%	—	—	3.80

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	60.0%	65.7%	—	—	1.52
Both score 2nd half only	22.9%	21.2%	—	—	4.71
Both score 1st half only	12.5%	10.8%	—	—	9.30
Both score in both halves	4.5%	4.9%	—	—	20.23

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	83.0%	83.4%	—	—	1.20
Both teams to score by HT	17.0%	16.6%	—	—	6.03

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A goal in each half	54.0%	52.7%	—	—	1.90
A half without a goal	46.0%	47.3%	—	—	2.12

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	47.9%	47.2%	50.5%	0.94×	2.12
4-6 goals	26.5%	26.6%	22.4%	1.19×	3.76
0-1 goals	23.5%	22.9%	25.9%	0.89×	4.36
7+ goals	2.0%	1.8%	1.4%	1.35×	54.36

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Burnley to score exactly 1	30.3%	33.8%	39.6%	0.85×	2.96
Burnley to score exactly 2	26.7%	27.4%	20.6%	1.33×	3.65
Burnley to score 3+	25.9%	27.4%	9.4%	2.91×	3.65
Burnley to score exactly 0	17.2%	19.5%	30.5%	0.64×	5.12

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cardiff City to score exactly 0	39.1%	35.6%	22.4%	1.59×	2.81
Cardiff City to score exactly 1	36.7%	35.5%	37.0%	0.96×	2.81
Cardiff City to score exactly 2	17.2%	18.8%	24.6%	0.77×	5.32
Cardiff City to score 3+	6.9%	10.3%	16.1%	0.64×	9.67

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT	43.6%	42.6%	—	—	2.35
Burnley leading at HT	38.0%	39.0%	—	—	2.56
Cardiff City leading at HT	18.5%	16.0%	—	—	6.25

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Burnley -1: 1	44.6%	42.8%	—	—	2.34
Burnley -1: 2	32.1%	30.1%	—	—	3.33
Burnley -1: X	23.4%	23.5%	—	—	4.25

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Burnley (0:1)	81.5%	77.9%	56.6%	1.38×	1.28
Draw (0:1)	11.8%	13.7%	24.2%	0.57×	7.30
Cardiff City (0:1)	6.7%	9.2%	19.3%	0.48×	10.86

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Burnley (0:2)	93.3%	90.8%	80.7%	1.12×	1.10
Draw (0:2)	5.0%	3.8%	11.3%	0.33×	26.61
Cardiff City (0:2)	1.7%	3.7%	8.1%	0.46×	26.80

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Burnley (0:3)	98.3%	96.6%	91.9%	1.05×	1.04
Draw (0:3)	1.4%	2.4%	4.8%	0.50×	42.08
Cardiff City (0:3)	0.4%	2.4%	3.4%	0.70×	42.12

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Burnley (0:4)	99.6%	98.1%	96.6%	1.02×	1.02
Cardiff City (0:4)	0.1%	1.2%	1.1%	1.11×	81.90
Draw (0:4)	0.3%	1.2%	2.4%	0.51×	81.87

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cardiff City (1:0)	44.6%	43.6%	70.9%	0.61×	2.29
Burnley (1:0)	32.1%	30.0%	11.7%	2.56×	3.33
Draw (1:0)	23.4%	21.7%	17.4%	1.25×	4.61

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cardiff City (2:0)	68.0%	70.9%	88.3%	0.80×	1.41
Draw (2:0)	17.5%	15.9%	8.6%	1.85×	6.30
Burnley (2:0)	14.5%	10.3%	3.2%	3.19×	9.70

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	47.5%	48.7%	—	—	2.06
Halves equal	26.9%	26.2%	—	—	3.81
1st half highest scoring	25.6%	26.2%	—	—	3.81

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cardiff City to concede	82.8%	81.0%	69.5%	1.17×	1.24
Cardiff City clean sheet	17.2%	19.0%	30.5%	0.62×	5.26

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cardiff City to concede in 1st half	50.6%	55.7%	—	—	1.80
Cardiff City clean sheet in 1st half	49.4%	44.3%	—	—	2.26

Home clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cardiff City to concede in 2nd half	65.3%	66.5%	—	—	1.50
Cardiff City clean sheet in 2nd half	34.7%	33.5%	—	—	2.98

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cardiff City over 2.5 corners	82.1%	81.0%	—	—	1.24
Cardiff City over 3.5 corners	70.0%	71.9%	—	—	1.39
Cardiff City under 6.5 corners	65.9%	66.7%	—	—	1.50
Cardiff City over 4.5 corners	57.1%	57.5%	—	—	1.74
Cardiff City under 5.5 corners	55.1%	57.5%	—	—	1.74
Cardiff City over 5.5 corners	44.9%	42.5%	—	—	2.35
Cardiff City under 4.5 corners	42.9%	42.5%	—	—	2.35
Cardiff City over 6.5 corners	34.1%	33.3%	—	—	3.00
Cardiff City under 3.5 corners	30.0%	28.1%	—	—	3.56
Cardiff City under 2.5 corners	17.9%	19.0%	—	—	5.26

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cardiff City under 3.5 goals	98.5%	96.4%	94.8%	1.02×	1.04
Cardiff City under 2.5 goals	93.1%	92.2%	83.9%	1.10×	1.08
Cardiff City under 1.5 goals	75.9%	77.7%	59.4%	1.31×	1.29
Cardiff City over 0.5 goals	60.9%	63.6%	77.6%	0.82×	1.57
Cardiff City under 0.5 goals	39.1%	36.4%	22.4%	1.62×	2.75
Cardiff City over 1.5 goals	24.1%	22.3%	40.6%	0.55×	4.49
Cardiff City over 2.5 goals	6.9%	7.8%	16.1%	0.48×	12.84
Cardiff City over 3.5 goals	1.5%	3.6%	5.2%	0.70×	27.62

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cardiff City under 1.5 in 1st half	93.8%	94.9%	—	—	1.05
Cardiff City under 0.5 in 1st half	66.8%	69.4%	—	—	1.44
Cardiff City over 0.5 in 1st half	33.2%	30.6%	—	—	3.27
Cardiff City over 1.5 in 1st half	6.2%	5.1%	—	—	19.43

Home highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cardiff City scores equally in both	48.0%	47.2%	—	—	2.12
Cardiff City scores more in 2nd half	30.5%	33.2%	—	—	3.01
Cardiff City scores more in 1st half	21.5%	21.0%	—	—	4.76

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Burnley (home no bet)	68.1%	64.2%	51.3%	1.25×	1.56
Draw (home no bet)	31.9%	35.8%	48.7%	0.73×	2.79

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cardiff City even goals	57.7%	55.3%	50.5%	1.10×	1.81
Cardiff City odd goals	42.3%	44.7%	49.5%	0.90×	2.24

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	33.2%	33.6%	—	—	2.98
HT 0-1	23.0%	24.4%	—	—	4.11
HT 1-0	13.1%	11.0%	—	—	9.09
HT 1-1	9.6%	6.9%	—	—	14.51
HT 0-2	8.2%	6.9%	—	—	14.53
Any other HT score	4.3%	2.4%	—	—	42.13
HT 1-2	3.3%	2.4%	—	—	42.19
HT 2-0	2.7%	2.4%	—	—	42.23
HT 2-1	1.9%	2.4%	—	—	42.28
HT 2-2	0.7%	2.4%	—	—	42.36

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Burnley at HT / Burnley at FT	32.4%	32.9%	—	—	3.04
Draw at HT / Burnley at FT	19.9%	16.8%	—	—	5.96
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	16.5%	16.8%	—	—	5.97
Cardiff City at HT / Cardiff City at FT	10.2%	12.6%	—	—	7.91
Draw at HT / Cardiff City at FT	7.2%	6.1%	—	—	16.49
Cardiff City at HT / Draw at FT	5.1%	6.0%	—	—	16.55
Burnley at HT / Draw at FT	4.4%	3.5%	—	—	28.86
Cardiff City at HT / Burnley at FT	3.2%	3.5%	—	—	28.90
Burnley at HT / Cardiff City at FT	1.2%	3.5%	—	—	28.98

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Burnley to score last	60.2%	61.9%	—	—	1.62
Cardiff City to score last	31.7%	32.4%	—	—	3.08
No goal scored	8.1%	7.6%	—	—	13.17

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	91.9%	92.5%	—	—	1.08
Burnley to lead by 1 at any time	68.7%	69.4%	—	—	1.44
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	48.8%	44.4%	—	—	2.25
Burnley to lead by 2 at any time	38.2%	34.9%	—	—	2.87
Cardiff City to lead by 1 at any time	36.3%	34.8%	—	—	2.88
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	19.5%	14.9%	—	—	6.73
Burnley to lead by 3 at any time	16.9%	14.8%	—	—	6.75
Cardiff City to lead by 2 at any time	10.8%	10.6%	—	—	9.46
Cardiff City to lead by 3 at any time	2.6%	1.6%	—	—	62.73

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cardiff City most corners	75.7%	74.1%	—	—	1.35
Burnley most corners	15.6%	19.2%	—	—	5.20
Corners level	8.7%	8.3%	—	—	11.98

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	86.3%	87.4%	88.8%	0.98×	1.14
1-4 goals	78.2%	78.7%	83.3%	0.94×	1.27
2-6 goals	74.4%	72.3%	72.8%	0.99×	1.38
2-5 goals	70.8%	72.3%	70.2%	1.03×	1.38
1-3 goals	63.4%	63.3%	69.1%	0.92×	1.58
2-4 goals	62.8%	63.3%	64.7%	0.98×	1.58
3-6 goals	48.6%	48.4%	47.2%	1.03×	2.06
2-3 goals	47.9%	48.4%	50.5%	0.96×	2.06
3-5 goals	45.0%	43.6%	44.5%	0.98×	2.29
1-2 goals	41.3%	43.6%	44.4%	0.98×	2.29
3-4 goals	36.9%	39.2%	39.1%	1.00×	2.55
4-6 goals	26.5%	30.2%	22.4%	1.35×	3.31
4-5 goals	22.9%	24.5%	19.8%	1.24×	4.09
5-6 goals	11.7%	14.8%	8.2%	1.81×	6.76
7+ goals	2.0%	2.6%	1.4%	1.88×	39.18

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Burnley never behind	55.7%	62.1%	—	—	1.61
Cardiff City never behind	23.2%	25.2%	—	—	3.97

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of goals	47.1%	50.9%	49.4%	1.03×	1.97
Even number of goals	52.9%	49.1%	50.6%	0.97×	2.04

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	55.9%	57.8%	—	—	1.73
Odd goals in 1st half	44.1%	42.2%	—	—	2.37

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	53.0%	52.0%	—	—	1.92
Odd goals in 2nd half	47.0%	48.0%	—	—	2.08

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 5.5 goals	94.3%	92.3%	96.0%	0.96×	1.08
Over 0.5 goals	91.9%	92.3%	92.7%	1.00×	1.08
Under 4.5 goals	86.3%	87.6%	90.6%	0.97×	1.14
Over 1.5 goals	76.5%	77.3%	74.1%	1.04×	1.29
Under 3.5 goals	71.4%	72.5%	76.3%	0.95×	1.38
Over 2.5 goals	50.6%	52.5%	48.4%	1.08×	1.90
Under 2.5 goals	49.4%	47.5%	51.6%	0.92×	2.11
Over 3.5 goals	28.6%	27.5%	23.7%	1.16×	3.63
Under 1.5 goals	23.5%	22.7%	25.9%	0.88×	4.40
Over 4.5 goals	13.7%	12.4%	9.4%	1.32×	8.06
Under 0.5 goals	8.1%	7.7%	7.3%	1.06×	12.93
Over 5.5 goals	5.7%	7.7%	4.0%	1.93×	12.94

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	97.9%	97.2%	98.6%	0.99×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	93.8%	92.4%	95.8%	0.97×	1.08
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	83.9%	81.1%	89.0%	0.91×	1.23
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	68.3%	67.5%	65.1%	1.04×	1.48
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	63.3%	61.9%	68.5%	0.90×	1.62
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	36.7%	38.1%	31.5%	1.21×	2.63
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	31.7%	32.5%	34.9%	0.93×	3.08
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	16.1%	18.9%	11.0%	1.72×	5.29
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	6.2%	7.6%	4.2%	1.79×	13.20
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	2.1%	2.8%	1.4%	2.01×	35.62

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	89.9%	89.1%	—	—	1.12
Under 1.5 in 1st half	69.4%	68.6%	—	—	1.46
Over 0.5 in 1st half	66.8%	68.5%	—	—	1.46
Under 0.5 in 1st half	33.2%	31.5%	—	—	3.18
Over 1.5 in 1st half	30.6%	31.4%	—	—	3.19
Over 2.5 in 1st half	10.1%	10.9%	—	—	9.17

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	79.2%	79.6%	—	—	1.26
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	78.6%	79.5%	—	—	1.26
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	52.3%	53.2%	—	—	1.88
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	47.7%	46.8%	—	—	2.14
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	21.4%	20.5%	—	—	4.89
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	20.8%	20.4%	—	—	4.89

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cardiff City not to score in both halves	86.3%	85.5%	—	—	1.17
Burnley not to score in both halves	67.0%	70.0%	—	—	1.43
Burnley to score in both halves	33.0%	30.0%	—	—	3.34
Cardiff City to score in both halves	13.7%	14.5%	—	—	6.91

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	51.7%	53.8%	54.4%	0.99×	1.86
Only Burnley scores	31.1%	33.3%	15.2%	2.19×	3.01
Only Cardiff City scores	9.1%	7.1%	23.3%	0.31×	13.99
Neither team scores	8.1%	7.1%	7.3%	0.98×	14.00

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 2 goals	25.8%	24.9%	25.7%	0.97×	4.02
Exactly 3 goals	22.1%	22.6%	24.8%	0.91×	4.43
Exactly 1 goals	15.5%	17.4%	18.7%	0.93×	5.73
Exactly 4 goals	14.9%	12.1%	14.4%	0.84×	8.25
Exactly 0 goals	8.1%	7.6%	7.3%	1.04×	13.13
Exactly 5 goals	8.0%	7.6%	5.5%	1.38×	13.13
6 or more goals	5.7%	7.6%	4.0%	1.91×	13.14

Total goals 1st half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1 goal in 1st half	36.1%	37.2%	—	—	2.69
No goals in 1st half	33.2%	35.8%	—	—	2.80
2 goals in 1st half	20.5%	21.4%	—	—	4.68
3+ goals in 1st half	10.1%	10.8%	—	—	9.25

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	47.7%	44.8%	—	—	2.23
1 goal in 2nd half	31.5%	33.9%	—	—	2.95
No goals in 2nd half	20.8%	22.8%	—	—	4.38

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cardiff City not to win both halves	96.6%	97.2%	—	—	1.03
Burnley not to win both halves	81.7%	83.4%	—	—	1.20
Burnley to win both halves	18.3%	16.6%	—	—	6.03
Cardiff City to win both halves	3.4%	2.8%	—	—	35.79

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Burnley to win either half	67.2%	67.8%	—	—	1.47
Cardiff City to win neither half	67.0%	67.8%	—	—	1.47
Cardiff City to win either half	33.0%	32.2%	—	—	3.11
Burnley to win neither half	32.8%	32.2%	—	—	3.11

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cardiff City not to win to nil	90.9%	92.1%	76.7%	1.20×	1.09
Burnley not to win to nil	68.9%	69.7%	84.8%	0.82×	1.44
Burnley to win to nil	31.1%	30.3%	15.2%	1.99×	3.30
Cardiff City to win to nil	9.1%	7.9%	23.3%	0.34×	12.61

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw	26.0%	27.9%	27.6%	1.01×	3.59
Burnley by 1	23.4%	24.1%	17.4%	1.38×	4.15
Burnley by 2	17.5%	17.0%	8.6%	1.99×	5.87
Burnley by 3+	14.5%	11.8%	3.2%	3.64×	8.50
Cardiff City by 1	11.8%	11.8%	24.2%	0.49×	8.51
Cardiff City by 2	5.0%	2.7%	11.3%	0.24×	36.82
Cardiff City by 3+	1.7%	2.7%	8.1%	0.34×	36.92