Cardiff City v West Ham United — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Wednesday 4 November 2026 · ENG-Championship · 2627

Championship results-only Prediction generated 18 Sep 2026, 10:37 UTC

Cardiff City

19:45 UTC

West Ham United

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 25 Oct, 11:02 · 249h before kick-off

Cardiff City win

17.9%

model 17.3%

Draw

21.6%

model 21.3%

West Ham United win

60.5%

model 61.4%

182260

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (270 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-2 9.7%
1-1 9.5%
0-2 8.3%
1-3 7.3%
0-3 6.3%

Goals

Over 2.5	66.8%	Under 2.5	33.2%
BTTS yes	62.7%	BTTS no	37.3%
Cardiff City 1+	68.7%	Cardiff City 2+	32.4%
West Ham United 1+	89.7%	West Ham United 2+	66.4%

Expected goals 1.16 – 2.28. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

46/100

Data quality

75/100

Model agreement

94%

★ Best pick

West Ham United over 1.5 goals

Away goals O/U · usually 30%

68.1% fair odds 1.47

strong signal · 1155 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Under 2.5 in 1st half

Over/Under 1HT

84.2% fair odds 1.19

moderate signal · 383 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

West Ham United carry the stronger rating, 1558 Elo against 1354.
Form is good: 2.00 points a match from the last five.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

West Ham United have an estimated 60.5% win probability, against 21.6% for the draw and 17.9% for Cardiff City. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.16 for Cardiff City and 2.28 for West Ham United.

Why Cardiff City

Nothing in the data singles out Cardiff City.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 21.6%. Draws run at 28% in this competition.

Why West Ham United can win

West Ham United carry the stronger rating, 1558 Elo against 1354. Form is good: 2.00 points a match from the last five.

Key players

West Ham United's leading contributors by expected goal involvements a match: Valentín Castellanos (0.41), Jarrod Bowen (0.40), Crysencio Summerville (0.26).

Availability

No lineup on record for Cardiff City, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Cardiff City: 65% possession, 19.4 shots a match, 12.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. West Ham United: 57% possession, 16.0 shots a match, 12.2 faced, 0.33 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-10-25 14:59 · team_stats 2026-10-25 06:07 · availability 2026-10-25 15:02 · prediction 2026-09-18 10:37 ·

West Ham United are the model's most likely outcome at 60.5%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-2 at 9.7%. Confidence 46/100, data quality 75/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Live TV

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Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the chances say

West Ham United are conceding sharply fewer than expected — 4.3 goals saved beyond what the chances suggest.

WDLWDWLLLW last 10 scored 12 from 13.5 xG conceded 11 from 15.3 xG

Finishing swings far more than chance creation, so a gap this size usually narrows. Over ten matches it is suggestive, not settled — a genuinely elite finisher beats expected goals for years.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	172161	1.16–2.28	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	151867	1.26–2.70	1-2 9%	75%	67%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
West Ham United to win	67.1%	64.8%	29.1%	2.23×	1.54
Draw	18.1%	19.4%	27.6%	0.70×	5.16
Cardiff City to win	14.8%	13.5%	43.4%	0.31×	7.40

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
West Ham United & both teams score	41.3%	40.1%	13.9%	2.88×	2.50
West Ham United & not both score	25.8%	25.2%	15.2%	1.65×	3.98
Draw & both teams score	15.4%	18.0%	20.4%	0.88×	5.57
Cardiff City & both teams score	10.8%	13.3%	20.2%	0.66×	7.54
Cardiff City & not both score	4.0%	4.9%	23.3%	0.21×	20.54
Draw & not both score	2.7%	4.9%	7.3%	0.67×	20.58

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
West Ham United & over 2.5	55.7%	54.8%	16.2%	3.38×	1.82
West Ham United & over 1.5	62.7%	54.8%	21.4%	2.56×	1.83
West Ham United & over 3.5	40.6%	40.2%	6.8%	5.92×	2.49
West Ham United & under 3.5	26.5%	26.1%	22.3%	1.17×	3.84
Draw & over 1.5	15.4%	18.0%	20.4%	0.88×	5.56
Cardiff City & over 1.5	13.2%	12.8%	32.5%	0.40×	7.79
Cardiff City & over 2.5	11.7%	12.8%	26.4%	0.49×	7.79
West Ham United & under 2.5	11.4%	12.8%	12.9%	0.99×	7.79
Draw & under 2.5	10.0%	12.8%	21.8%	0.59×	7.79
Draw & under 3.5	10.0%	12.8%	21.8%	0.59×	7.79
Cardiff City & under 3.5	7.9%	7.9%	32.4%	0.24×	12.63
Draw & over 2.5	8.1%	7.9%	5.9%	1.33×	12.63
Draw & over 3.5	8.1%	7.9%	5.9%	1.33×	12.63
Cardiff City & over 3.5	6.9%	7.9%	11.1%	0.71×	12.63
West Ham United & under 1.5	4.4%	4.8%	7.7%	0.62×	20.81
Cardiff City & under 2.5	3.1%	4.8%	17.1%	0.28×	20.82
Draw & under 1.5	2.7%	4.8%	7.3%	0.66×	20.82
Cardiff City & under 1.5	1.6%	4.8%	11.0%	0.43×	20.83

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
West Ham United (1UP)	80.4%	87.2%	—	—	1.15
Cardiff City (1UP)	37.3%	34.1%	—	—	2.94

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
West Ham United (2UP)	67.1%	68.3%	—	—	1.46
Cardiff City (2UP)	14.8%	14.3%	—	—	7.01

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
West Ham United to win 2nd half	58.7%	61.8%	—	—	1.62
2nd half drawn	25.2%	26.0%	—	—	3.85
Cardiff City to win 2nd half	16.1%	17.8%	—	—	5.62

2nd half away goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
West Ham United over 0.5 in 2nd half	80.1%	84.1%	—	—	1.19
West Ham United under 1.5 in 2nd half	52.0%	52.7%	—	—	1.90
West Ham United over 1.5 in 2nd half	48.0%	47.3%	—	—	2.11
West Ham United under 0.5 in 2nd half	19.9%	15.9%	—	—	6.29

2nd half home goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cardiff City under 1.5 in 2nd half	83.9%	82.8%	—	—	1.21
Cardiff City over 0.5 in 2nd half	51.1%	55.1%	—	—	1.82
Cardiff City under 0.5 in 2nd half	48.9%	44.9%	—	—	2.23
Cardiff City over 1.5 in 2nd half	16.1%	17.2%	—	—	5.80

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
West Ham United (+2.5)	98.1%	96.3%	91.9%	1.05×	1.04
West Ham United (+1.5)	94.0%	92.1%	80.7%	1.14×	1.09
West Ham United (+0.5)	85.2%	88.5%	56.6%	1.56×	1.13
West Ham United (-0.5)	67.1%	68.7%	29.1%	2.36×	1.46
Cardiff City (+0.5)	32.9%	31.3%	70.9%	0.44×	3.19
Cardiff City (-0.5)	14.8%	11.5%	43.4%	0.27×	8.66
Cardiff City (-1.5)	6.0%	7.9%	19.3%	0.41×	12.71
Cardiff City (-2.5)	1.9%	3.7%	8.1%	0.46×	27.20

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
West Ham United to concede	71.5%	76.7%	77.6%	0.99×	1.30
West Ham United clean sheet	28.5%	23.3%	22.4%	1.04×	4.29

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
West Ham United clean sheet in 1st half	58.3%	57.1%	—	—	1.75
West Ham United to concede in 1st half	41.7%	42.9%	—	—	2.33

Away clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
West Ham United to concede in 2nd half	51.1%	54.7%	—	—	1.83
West Ham United clean sheet in 2nd half	48.9%	45.3%	—	—	2.21

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
West Ham United under 6.5 corners	94.5%	89.9%	—	—	1.11
West Ham United under 5.5 corners	89.6%	85.3%	—	—	1.17
West Ham United under 4.5 corners	81.5%	81.4%	—	—	1.23
West Ham United under 3.5 corners	68.8%	67.6%	—	—	1.48
West Ham United under 2.5 corners	51.1%	53.1%	—	—	1.89
West Ham United over 2.5 corners	48.9%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
West Ham United over 3.5 corners	31.2%	32.4%	—	—	3.09
West Ham United over 4.5 corners	18.5%	18.6%	—	—	5.37
West Ham United over 5.5 corners	10.4%	14.7%	—	—	6.78
West Ham United over 6.5 corners	5.5%	10.1%	—	—	9.91

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
West Ham United over 0.5 goals	93.2%	92.3%	69.5%	1.33×	1.08
West Ham United over 1.5 goals	75.0%	76.2%	30.0%	2.54×	1.31
West Ham United under 3.5 goals	71.6%	71.8%	97.8%	0.73×	1.39
West Ham United over 2.5 goals	50.5%	53.5%	9.4%	5.67×	1.87
West Ham United under 2.5 goals	49.5%	46.5%	90.6%	0.51×	2.15
West Ham United over 3.5 goals	28.4%	28.2%	2.2%	12.75×	3.55
West Ham United under 1.5 goals	25.0%	23.8%	70.0%	0.34×	4.21
West Ham United under 0.5 goals	6.8%	7.7%	30.5%	0.25×	13.07

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
West Ham United over 0.5 in 1st half	66.0%	69.8%	—	—	1.43
West Ham United under 1.5 in 1st half	70.7%	67.3%	—	—	1.49
West Ham United over 1.5 in 1st half	29.3%	32.7%	—	—	3.06
West Ham United under 0.5 in 1st half	34.0%	30.2%	—	—	3.31

Away highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
West Ham United scores more in 2nd half	49.8%	48.3%	—	—	2.07
West Ham United scores more in 1st half	25.4%	26.5%	—	—	3.77
West Ham United scores equally in both	24.8%	21.9%	—	—	4.57

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw (away no bet)	55.0%	51.7%	38.9%	1.33×	1.93
Cardiff City (away no bet)	45.0%	48.3%	61.1%	0.79×	2.07

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
West Ham United even goals	50.2%	52.6%	52.4%	1.00×	1.90
West Ham United odd goals	49.8%	47.4%	47.6%	1.00×	2.11

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	67.5%	68.3%	—	—	1.46
Both halves over 1.5 goals	32.5%	31.7%	—	—	3.16

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	83.6%	78.8%	—	—	1.27
Both halves under 1.5 goals	16.4%	21.2%	—	—	4.73

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	76.8%	75.6%	—	—	1.32
West Ham United to score 2+ in a row	66.1%	62.4%	—	—	1.60
Either team to score 3+ in a row	40.8%	38.6%	—	—	2.59
West Ham United to score 3+ in a row	36.4%	36.5%	—	—	2.74
Cardiff City to score 2+ in a row	22.5%	19.6%	—	—	5.10
Cardiff City to score 3+ in a row	5.3%	5.5%	—	—	18.25

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cardiff City corners (+3.5)	96.2%	95.7%	—	—	1.05
Cardiff City corners (+2.5)	93.3%	89.6%	—	—	1.12
Cardiff City corners (+1.5)	88.8%	84.5%	—	—	1.18
Cardiff City corners (-1.5)	63.6%	61.8%	—	—	1.62
West Ham United corners (+3.5)	57.3%	57.1%	—	—	1.75
Cardiff City corners (-2.5)	53.0%	52.4%	—	—	1.91
West Ham United corners (+2.5)	47.0%	47.6%	—	—	2.10
Cardiff City corners (-3.5)	42.7%	42.9%	—	—	2.33
West Ham United corners (+1.5)	36.4%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
West Ham United corners (-1.5)	11.2%	15.5%	—	—	6.45
West Ham United corners (-2.5)	6.7%	10.4%	—	—	9.60
West Ham United corners (-3.5)	3.8%	4.3%	—	—	23.45

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-8 corners	53.0%	45.2%	—	—	2.21
9-11 corners	24.6%	25.7%	—	—	3.90
12+ corners	22.5%	25.7%	—	—	3.90

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 12.5 corners	83.2%	80.7%	—	—	1.24
Under 11.5 corners	77.5%	76.6%	—	—	1.31
Under 10.5 corners	70.6%	72.5%	—	—	1.38
Under 9.5 corners	62.3%	63.2%	—	—	1.58
Over 7.5 corners	57.1%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Under 8.5 corners	53.0%	53.1%	—	—	1.88
Over 8.5 corners	47.0%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
Under 7.5 corners	42.9%	42.1%	—	—	2.38
Over 9.5 corners	37.7%	36.8%	—	—	2.72
Over 10.5 corners	29.4%	27.5%	—	—	3.64
Over 11.5 corners	22.5%	23.4%	—	—	4.27
Over 12.5 corners	16.8%	19.3%	—	—	5.17

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.1%	—	—	1.99
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.9%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Any other score	14.3%	11.5%	3.0%	3.86×	8.71
1-2	8.8%	7.4%	8.0%	0.93×	13.51
0-2	7.0%	7.4%	5.3%	1.41×	13.51
1-1	7.3%	7.4%	14.5%	0.51×	13.51
1-3	7.9%	7.4%	3.1%	2.42×	13.51
0-3	6.3%	7.4%	1.6%	4.59×	13.51
1-4	5.3%	7.4%	0.6%	12.44×	13.51
2-2	5.5%	7.4%	5.2%	1.43×	13.51
2-3	5.0%	1.7%	1.7%	1.01×	58.29
0-0	2.7%	1.7%	7.3%	0.23×	58.30
0-1	4.4%	1.7%	7.7%	0.22×	58.29
0-4	4.2%	1.7%	0.4%	4.04×	58.30
1-0	1.6%	1.7%	11.0%	0.16×	58.31
2-0	1.5%	1.7%	6.1%	0.28×	58.31
2-1	4.1%	1.7%	11.5%	0.15×	58.30
2-4	3.3%	1.7%	0.3%	6.73×	58.30
3-0	0.6%	1.7%	4.0%	0.43×	58.32
3-1	1.7%	1.7%	4.3%	0.40×	58.31
3-2	2.3%	1.7%	1.8%	0.96×	58.31
3-3	2.1%	1.7%	0.9%	2.02×	58.31
3-4	1.4%	1.7%	0.3%	6.73×	58.31
4-0	0.2%	1.7%	1.7%	1.01×	58.32
4-1	0.5%	1.7%	0.9%	2.02×	58.32
4-2	0.7%	1.7%	0.8%	2.24×	58.32
4-3	0.7%	1.7%	0.2%	10.09×	58.32
4-4	0.4%	1.7%	0.1%	20.18×	58.32

DNB 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
West Ham United (2nd half DNB)	78.5%	80.6%	—	—	1.24
Cardiff City (2nd half DNB)	21.5%	19.4%	—	—	5.15

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
West Ham United leading at HT (DNB)	72.7%	74.1%	—	—	1.35
Cardiff City leading at HT (DNB)	27.3%	25.9%	—	—	3.86

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
West Ham United or draw (X2)	85.2%	86.5%	56.6%	1.53×	1.16
Cardiff City or West Ham United (12)	81.9%	80.6%	72.4%	1.11×	1.24
Cardiff City or draw (1X)	32.9%	35.2%	70.9%	0.50×	2.84

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
West Ham United or draw at HT	81.8%	83.9%	—	—	1.19
Cardiff City or West Ham United at HT	66.6%	67.1%	—	—	1.49
Cardiff City or draw at HT	51.6%	47.6%	—	—	2.10

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
West Ham United or draw (1UP)	85.2%	91.7%	—	—	1.09
Cardiff City or draw (1UP)	37.3%	41.3%	—	—	2.42

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
West Ham United or draw in 2nd half	83.9%	82.2%	—	—	1.22
Cardiff City or West Ham United in 2nd half	74.8%	74.0%	—	—	1.35
Cardiff City or draw in 2nd half	41.3%	38.2%	—	—	2.62

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half drawn	50.7%	50.1%	—	—	2.00
A half drawn	49.3%	49.9%	—	—	2.00

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
West Ham United (DNB)	81.9%	80.3%	40.1%	2.00×	1.25
Cardiff City (DNB)	18.1%	19.7%	59.9%	0.33×	5.08

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
West Ham United to score first	66.4%	69.5%	—	—	1.44
Cardiff City to score first	30.9%	27.6%	—	—	3.62
No goal scored	2.7%	4.3%	—	—	23.25

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams to score	67.4%	58.5%	54.4%	1.08×	1.71
Not both teams to score	32.6%	41.5%	45.6%	0.91×	2.41

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both score & over 2.5	60.2%	50.3%	39.9%	1.26×	1.99
Not both score & under 2.5	17.3%	21.5%	37.1%	0.58×	4.64
Not both score & over 2.5	15.3%	21.5%	8.6%	2.51×	4.65
Both score & under 2.5	7.3%	8.3%	14.5%	0.57×	12.08

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	73.2%	80.6%	89.0%	0.90×	1.24
Both teams to score 2+	26.8%	19.4%	11.0%	1.77×	5.14

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	58.8%	65.4%	—	—	1.53
Both teams to score in 2nd half	41.2%	34.6%	—	—	2.89

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	42.4%	50.4%	—	—	1.99
Both score 2nd half only	29.9%	27.3%	—	—	3.66
Both score 1st half only	16.4%	15.0%	—	—	6.67
Both score in both halves	11.3%	10.8%	—	—	9.30

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	72.3%	79.6%	—	—	1.26
Both teams to score by HT	27.7%	20.4%	—	—	4.90

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A goal in each half	72.8%	74.8%	—	—	1.34
A half without a goal	27.2%	25.2%	—	—	3.96

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
4-6 goals	45.2%	47.2%	22.4%	2.10×	2.12
2-3 goals	35.6%	35.1%	50.5%	0.69×	2.85
7+ goals	10.4%	16.9%	1.4%	12.46×	5.91
0-1 goals	8.7%	7.6%	25.9%	0.29×	13.11

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
West Ham United to score 3+	50.5%	47.0%	9.4%	4.99×	2.13
West Ham United to score exactly 2	24.6%	22.3%	20.6%	1.08×	4.48
West Ham United to score exactly 1	18.2%	19.6%	39.6%	0.49×	5.11
West Ham United to score exactly 0	6.8%	8.5%	30.5%	0.28×	11.71

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cardiff City to score exactly 1	35.8%	35.6%	37.0%	0.96×	2.81
Cardiff City to score exactly 0	28.5%	26.6%	22.4%	1.18×	3.77
Cardiff City to score exactly 2	22.5%	23.3%	24.6%	0.95×	4.29
Cardiff City to score 3+	13.3%	14.3%	16.1%	0.89×	6.98

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
West Ham United leading at HT	48.4%	52.4%	—	—	1.91
Draw at HT	33.4%	32.9%	—	—	3.04
Cardiff City leading at HT	18.2%	16.1%	—	—	6.22

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
West Ham United -1: 2	47.3%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
West Ham United -1: 1	32.9%	30.0%	—	—	3.33
West Ham United -1: X	19.8%	17.5%	—	—	5.70

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
West Ham United (0:1)	85.2%	89.0%	56.6%	1.57×	1.12
Draw (0:1)	8.8%	9.3%	24.2%	0.38×	10.79
Cardiff City (0:1)	6.0%	9.2%	19.3%	0.48×	10.87

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
West Ham United (0:2)	94.0%	90.8%	80.7%	1.12×	1.10
Draw (0:2)	4.1%	3.8%	11.3%	0.33×	26.64
Cardiff City (0:2)	1.9%	3.7%	8.1%	0.46×	26.77

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
West Ham United (0:3)	98.1%	96.6%	91.9%	1.05×	1.04
Draw (0:3)	1.4%	2.4%	4.8%	0.50×	42.17
Cardiff City (0:3)	0.5%	2.4%	3.4%	0.70×	42.21

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
West Ham United (0:4)	99.5%	98.1%	96.6%	1.02×	1.02
Draw (0:4)	0.4%	1.2%	2.4%	0.51×	82.13
Cardiff City (0:4)	0.1%	1.2%	1.1%	1.10×	82.16

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
West Ham United (1:0)	47.3%	49.2%	11.7%	4.20×	2.03
Cardiff City (1:0)	32.9%	30.1%	70.9%	0.42×	3.32
Draw (1:0)	19.8%	17.1%	17.4%	0.98×	5.84

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cardiff City (2:0)	52.7%	55.4%	88.3%	0.63×	1.80
West Ham United (2:0)	28.2%	23.9%	3.2%	7.39×	4.19
Draw (2:0)	19.1%	15.9%	8.6%	1.85×	6.31

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	53.1%	50.3%	—	—	1.99
1st half highest scoring	26.0%	26.2%	—	—	3.82
Halves equal	20.9%	24.3%	—	—	4.11

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cardiff City to concede	93.2%	93.2%	69.5%	1.34×	1.07
Cardiff City clean sheet	6.8%	6.8%	30.5%	0.22×	14.73

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cardiff City to concede in 1st half	66.0%	70.1%	—	—	1.43
Cardiff City clean sheet in 1st half	34.0%	29.9%	—	—	3.35

Home clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cardiff City to concede in 2nd half	80.1%	81.8%	—	—	1.22
Cardiff City clean sheet in 2nd half	19.9%	18.2%	—	—	5.48

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cardiff City over 2.5 corners	83.9%	81.0%	—	—	1.24
Cardiff City over 3.5 corners	72.7%	71.9%	—	—	1.39
Cardiff City under 6.5 corners	62.6%	62.3%	—	—	1.61
Cardiff City over 4.5 corners	60.4%	62.3%	—	—	1.61
Cardiff City under 5.5 corners	51.7%	52.6%	—	—	1.90
Cardiff City over 5.5 corners	48.3%	47.4%	—	—	2.11
Cardiff City under 4.5 corners	39.7%	37.7%	—	—	2.65
Cardiff City over 6.5 corners	37.4%	37.7%	—	—	2.65
Cardiff City under 3.5 corners	27.3%	28.1%	—	—	3.55
Cardiff City under 2.5 corners	16.1%	19.0%	—	—	5.26

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cardiff City under 3.5 goals	96.1%	96.4%	94.8%	1.02×	1.04
Cardiff City under 2.5 goals	86.7%	87.3%	83.9%	1.04×	1.15
Cardiff City over 0.5 goals	71.5%	74.2%	77.6%	0.96×	1.35
Cardiff City under 1.5 goals	64.3%	63.6%	59.4%	1.07×	1.57
Cardiff City over 1.5 goals	35.7%	36.4%	40.6%	0.90×	2.75
Cardiff City under 0.5 goals	28.5%	25.8%	22.4%	1.15×	3.88
Cardiff City over 2.5 goals	13.3%	12.7%	16.1%	0.79×	7.85
Cardiff City over 3.5 goals	3.9%	3.6%	5.2%	0.70×	27.50

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cardiff City under 1.5 in 1st half	89.8%	90.3%	—	—	1.11
Cardiff City under 0.5 in 1st half	58.3%	56.9%	—	—	1.76
Cardiff City over 0.5 in 1st half	41.7%	43.1%	—	—	2.32
Cardiff City over 1.5 in 1st half	10.2%	9.7%	—	—	10.27

Home highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cardiff City scores equally in both	40.6%	42.0%	—	—	2.38
Cardiff City scores more in 2nd half	35.2%	37.8%	—	—	2.65
Cardiff City scores more in 1st half	24.2%	21.2%	—	—	4.73

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
West Ham United (home no bet)	78.8%	78.1%	51.3%	1.52×	1.28
Draw (home no bet)	21.2%	21.9%	48.7%	0.45×	4.56

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cardiff City even goals	54.1%	50.7%	50.5%	1.01×	1.97
Cardiff City odd goals	45.9%	49.3%	49.5%	0.99×	2.03

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-1	21.3%	24.3%	—	—	4.12
HT 0-0	20.0%	18.5%	—	—	5.39
HT 1-1	11.7%	11.0%	—	—	9.11
HT 0-2	11.5%	11.0%	—	—	9.11
Any other HT score	11.1%	11.0%	—	—	9.12
HT 1-0	10.6%	11.0%	—	—	9.12
HT 1-2	6.2%	6.9%	—	—	14.48
HT 2-1	3.1%	2.4%	—	—	42.00
HT 2-0	2.9%	2.4%	—	—	42.02
HT 2-2	1.7%	2.4%	—	—	42.10

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
West Ham United at HT / West Ham United at FT	42.9%	41.7%	—	—	2.40
Draw at HT / West Ham United at FT	19.1%	16.8%	—	—	5.95
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	9.4%	6.1%	—	—	16.38
Cardiff City at HT / Cardiff City at FT	8.4%	6.1%	—	—	16.41
Cardiff City at HT / West Ham United at FT	5.1%	6.1%	—	—	16.50
Draw at HT / Cardiff City at FT	5.0%	3.5%	—	—	28.79
Cardiff City at HT / Draw at FT	4.7%	3.5%	—	—	28.80
West Ham United at HT / Draw at FT	4.1%	3.5%	—	—	28.82
West Ham United at HT / Cardiff City at FT	1.4%	3.5%	—	—	28.92

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
West Ham United to score last	66.5%	70.4%	—	—	1.42
Cardiff City to score last	30.8%	32.3%	—	—	3.10
No goal scored	2.7%	4.3%	—	—	23.25

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	97.3%	95.6%	—	—	1.05
West Ham United to lead by 1 at any time	80.4%	87.3%	—	—	1.15
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	67.3%	69.4%	—	—	1.44
West Ham United to lead by 2 at any time	55.9%	54.9%	—	—	1.82
Cardiff City to lead by 1 at any time	37.3%	34.7%	—	—	2.88
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	36.3%	34.6%	—	—	2.89
West Ham United to lead by 3 at any time	33.0%	29.8%	—	—	3.36
Cardiff City to lead by 2 at any time	12.1%	10.5%	—	—	9.52
Cardiff City to lead by 3 at any time	3.3%	1.6%	—	—	61.72

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cardiff City most corners	73.6%	70.6%	—	—	1.42
West Ham United most corners	17.8%	19.2%	—	—	5.21
Corners level	8.6%	8.3%	—	—	11.99

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-6 goals	80.8%	83.4%	72.8%	1.15×	1.20
1-5 goals	76.7%	78.7%	88.8%	0.89×	1.27
2-5 goals	70.6%	72.3%	70.2%	1.03×	1.38
3-6 goals	65.0%	68.8%	47.2%	1.46×	1.45
1-4 goals	61.2%	63.3%	83.3%	0.76×	1.58
2-4 goals	55.2%	59.1%	64.7%	0.91×	1.69
3-5 goals	54.8%	53.2%	44.5%	1.19×	1.88
4-6 goals	45.2%	48.5%	22.4%	2.16×	2.06
1-3 goals	41.7%	43.6%	69.1%	0.63×	2.29
3-4 goals	39.4%	39.2%	39.1%	1.00×	2.55
2-3 goals	35.6%	39.2%	50.5%	0.78×	2.55
4-5 goals	35.0%	39.2%	19.8%	1.98×	2.55
5-6 goals	25.6%	30.2%	8.2%	3.71×	3.31
1-2 goals	21.9%	24.5%	44.4%	0.55×	4.09
7+ goals	10.4%	14.8%	1.4%	10.88×	6.76

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
West Ham United never behind	60.0%	68.0%	—	—	1.47
Cardiff City never behind	16.9%	18.2%	—	—	5.50

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of goals	48.4%	50.9%	49.4%	1.03×	1.96
Even number of goals	51.6%	49.1%	50.6%	0.97×	2.04

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	52.2%	51.7%	—	—	1.93
Odd goals in 1st half	47.8%	48.3%	—	—	2.07

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	51.0%	51.9%	—	—	1.93
Odd goals in 2nd half	49.0%	48.1%	—	—	2.08

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 goals	97.3%	95.4%	92.7%	1.03×	1.05
Over 1.5 goals	91.3%	92.3%	74.1%	1.25×	1.08
Under 5.5 goals	79.4%	77.3%	96.0%	0.81×	1.29
Over 2.5 goals	75.4%	77.3%	48.4%	1.60×	1.29
Under 4.5 goals	63.9%	61.7%	90.6%	0.68×	1.62
Over 3.5 goals	55.6%	58.6%	23.7%	2.47×	1.71
Under 3.5 goals	44.4%	41.4%	76.3%	0.54×	2.42
Over 4.5 goals	36.1%	38.3%	9.4%	4.06×	2.61
Under 2.5 goals	24.6%	22.7%	51.6%	0.44×	4.40
Over 5.5 goals	20.6%	22.7%	4.0%	5.68×	4.41
Under 1.5 goals	8.7%	7.7%	25.9%	0.30×	12.94
Under 0.5 goals	2.7%	4.6%	7.3%	0.63×	21.86

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	89.6%	86.8%	65.1%	1.33×	1.15
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	88.4%	86.7%	98.6%	0.88×	1.15
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	75.6%	75.9%	95.8%	0.79×	1.32
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	69.4%	67.5%	31.5%	2.14×	1.48
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	55.1%	55.7%	89.0%	0.63×	1.79
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	44.9%	44.3%	11.0%	4.02×	2.26
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	30.6%	32.5%	68.5%	0.47×	3.08
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	24.4%	24.1%	4.2%	5.71×	4.15
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	11.6%	13.3%	1.4%	9.49×	7.54
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	10.4%	13.2%	34.9%	0.38×	7.55

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 in 1st half	80.0%	85.7%	—	—	1.17
Under 2.5 in 1st half	77.9%	78.5%	—	—	1.27
Under 1.5 in 1st half	51.8%	54.6%	—	—	1.83
Over 1.5 in 1st half	48.2%	45.4%	—	—	2.20
Over 2.5 in 1st half	22.1%	21.5%	—	—	4.66
Under 0.5 in 1st half	20.0%	14.4%	—	—	6.97

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	90.0%	89.6%	—	—	1.12
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	67.9%	68.7%	—	—	1.46
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	58.8%	55.2%	—	—	1.81
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	41.2%	44.8%	—	—	2.23
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	32.1%	31.3%	—	—	3.19
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	10.0%	10.4%	—	—	9.58

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cardiff City not to score in both halves	78.7%	78.6%	—	—	1.27
West Ham United to score in both halves	52.9%	55.4%	—	—	1.81
West Ham United not to score in both halves	47.1%	44.6%	—	—	2.24
Cardiff City to score in both halves	21.3%	21.4%	—	—	4.67

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	67.4%	59.9%	54.4%	1.10×	1.67
Only West Ham United scores	25.8%	26.0%	15.2%	1.71×	3.85
Only Cardiff City scores	4.0%	4.6%	23.3%	0.20×	21.62
Neither team scores	2.7%	4.6%	7.3%	0.63×	21.67

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
6 or more goals	20.6%	22.6%	4.0%	5.65×	4.43
Exactly 3 goals	19.8%	17.5%	24.8%	0.70×	5.73
Exactly 4 goals	19.6%	17.5%	14.4%	1.22×	5.73
Exactly 2 goals	15.8%	17.5%	25.7%	0.68×	5.73
Exactly 5 goals	15.5%	17.5%	5.5%	3.16×	5.73
Exactly 1 goals	6.0%	7.6%	18.7%	0.41×	13.15
Exactly 0 goals	2.7%	4.5%	7.3%	0.61×	22.38

Total goals 1st half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1 goal in 1st half	31.8%	35.6%	—	—	2.81
2 goals in 1st half	26.1%	28.5%	—	—	3.51
3+ goals in 1st half	22.1%	21.5%	—	—	4.66
No goals in 1st half	20.0%	15.7%	—	—	6.38

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	67.9%	61.5%	—	—	1.63
1 goal in 2nd half	22.1%	22.6%	—	—	4.42
No goals in 2nd half	10.0%	10.6%	—	—	9.44

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cardiff City not to win both halves	97.0%	97.2%	—	—	1.03
West Ham United not to win both halves	71.4%	72.9%	—	—	1.37
West Ham United to win both halves	28.6%	27.1%	—	—	3.69
Cardiff City to win both halves	3.0%	2.8%	—	—	35.77

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
West Ham United to win either half	78.5%	80.0%	—	—	1.25
Cardiff City to win neither half	68.7%	67.8%	—	—	1.48
Cardiff City to win either half	31.3%	32.2%	—	—	3.11
West Ham United to win neither half	21.5%	20.0%	—	—	5.00

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cardiff City not to win to nil	96.0%	96.1%	76.7%	1.25×	1.04
West Ham United not to win to nil	74.2%	75.4%	84.8%	0.89×	1.33
West Ham United to win to nil	25.8%	24.6%	15.2%	1.62×	4.06
Cardiff City to win to nil	4.0%	3.9%	23.3%	0.17×	25.74

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
West Ham United by 3+	28.2%	27.9%	3.2%	8.64×	3.59
West Ham United by 1	19.8%	17.1%	17.4%	0.98×	5.86
West Ham United by 2	19.1%	17.1%	8.6%	1.99×	5.87
Draw	18.1%	17.0%	27.6%	0.62×	5.87
Cardiff City by 1	8.8%	7.2%	24.2%	0.30×	13.90
Cardiff City by 2	4.1%	2.7%	11.3%	0.24×	36.80
Cardiff City by 3+	1.9%	2.7%	8.1%	0.34×	36.87