Carrarese v Virtus Entella — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Saturday 21 November 2026 · ITA-Serie B · 2627

ITA-Serie B results-only Prediction generated 18 Sep 2026, 10:37 UTC

Carrarese

20:00 UTC

Virtus Entella

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 27 Oct, 10:57 · 609h before kick-off

Carrarese win

44.1%

model 41.3%

Draw

28.0%

model 29.6%

Virtus Entella win

28.0%

model 29.1%

442828

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (624 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-1 14.1%
1-0 9.7%
0-0 9.5%
2-1 8.8%
2-0 7.8%

Goals

Over 2.5	46.2%	Under 2.5	53.8%
BTTS yes	52.4%	BTTS no	47.6%
Carrarese 1+	75.1%	Carrarese 2+	40.5%
Virtus Entella 1+	67.8%	Virtus Entella 2+	31.3%

Expected goals 1.39 – 1.13. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

46/100

Data quality

65/100

Model agreement

96%

★ Best pick

1-4 goals

Multi goal · usually 82%

78.8% fair odds 1.27

moderate signal · 2624 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Virtus Entella not to win to nil

Win to nil · usually 87%

83.3% fair odds 1.20

moderate signal · 1180 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

Nothing in the data singles out Carrarese.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Carrarese have an estimated 44.1% win probability, against 28.0% for the draw and 28.0% for Virtus Entella. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.39 for Carrarese and 1.13 for Virtus Entella.

Why Carrarese

Nothing in the data singles out Carrarese.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 28.0%. Draws run at 32% in this competition.

Why Virtus Entella can win

Nothing in the data singles out Virtus Entella.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Carrarese, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Virtus Entella, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Carrarese: 47% possession, 15.2 shots a match, 15.4 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Virtus Entella: 52% possession, 15.6 shots a match, 8.8 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-10-27 10:01 · team_stats 2026-10-27 06:03 · availability 2026-10-27 14:57 · prediction 2026-09-18 10:37 ·

Carrarese are the model's most likely outcome at 44.1%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 14.1%. Confidence 46/100, data quality 65/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Live TV

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Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	413029	1.39–1.13	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	452926	1.45–1.04	1-1 14%	45%	51%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Carrarese to win	44.9%	43.0%	42.7%	1.01×	2.33
Draw	29.4%	27.9%	31.9%	0.88×	3.58
Virtus Entella to win	25.8%	27.9%	25.5%	1.09×	3.59

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Carrarese & not both score	25.5%	25.2%	23.9%	1.05×	3.97
Carrarese & both teams score	19.4%	18.0%	18.9%	0.95×	5.56
Draw & both teams score	19.6%	18.0%	22.9%	0.78×	5.56
Virtus Entella & not both score	13.8%	13.3%	13.3%	1.00×	7.54
Virtus Entella & both teams score	12.0%	13.3%	12.3%	1.08×	7.54
Draw & not both score	9.8%	8.3%	9.1%	0.92×	11.99

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Carrarese & over 1.5	34.3%	30.8%	31.8%	0.97×	3.25
Carrarese & under 3.5	32.4%	30.8%	31.9%	0.96×	3.25
Carrarese & over 2.5	25.7%	26.1%	24.4%	1.07×	3.84
Draw & under 2.5	23.8%	21.6%	23.7%	0.91×	4.63
Draw & under 3.5	23.8%	21.6%	23.7%	0.91×	4.63
Virtus Entella & under 3.5	19.8%	18.0%	19.9%	0.90×	5.55
Carrarese & under 2.5	19.2%	18.0%	18.4%	0.98×	5.55
Draw & over 1.5	19.6%	18.0%	22.9%	0.79×	5.55
Virtus Entella & over 1.5	18.6%	18.0%	18.8%	0.96×	5.55
Virtus Entella & over 2.5	14.1%	12.8%	15.1%	0.85×	7.79
Carrarese & over 3.5	12.4%	12.8%	11.0%	1.17×	7.79
Virtus Entella & under 2.5	11.7%	12.8%	10.6%	1.21×	7.79
Carrarese & under 1.5	10.5%	12.8%	11.1%	1.16×	7.79
Draw & under 1.5	9.8%	7.9%	9.1%	0.87×	12.63
Virtus Entella & under 1.5	7.2%	7.9%	6.8%	1.16×	12.63
Virtus Entella & over 3.5	6.0%	7.9%	5.7%	1.38×	12.63
Draw & over 2.5	5.6%	7.9%	8.3%	0.95×	12.63
Draw & over 3.5	5.6%	7.9%	8.3%	0.95×	12.63

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Carrarese (1UP)	59.7%	58.0%	—	—	1.72
Virtus Entella (1UP)	42.9%	38.7%	—	—	2.59

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Carrarese (2UP)	44.9%	47.2%	—	—	2.12
Virtus Entella (2UP)	25.8%	25.1%	—	—	3.99

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half drawn	38.2%	36.5%	—	—	2.74
Carrarese to win 2nd half	36.8%	36.4%	—	—	2.75
Virtus Entella to win 2nd half	25.0%	26.0%	—	—	3.85

2nd half away goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Virtus Entella under 1.5 in 2nd half	87.0%	87.1%	—	—	1.15
Virtus Entella under 0.5 in 2nd half	53.5%	52.5%	—	—	1.91
Virtus Entella over 0.5 in 2nd half	46.5%	47.5%	—	—	2.10
Virtus Entella over 1.5 in 2nd half	13.0%	12.9%	—	—	7.75

2nd half home goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Carrarese under 1.5 in 2nd half	80.0%	82.2%	—	—	1.22
Carrarese over 0.5 in 2nd half	56.1%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Carrarese under 0.5 in 2nd half	43.9%	42.1%	—	—	2.38
Carrarese over 1.5 in 2nd half	20.0%	17.8%	—	—	5.63

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Virtus Entella (+2.5)	91.2%	92.1%	93.3%	0.99×	1.09
Virtus Entella (+1.5)	77.3%	78.5%	80.3%	0.98×	1.27
Carrarese (+0.5)	74.2%	73.7%	74.5%	0.99×	1.36
Virtus Entella (+0.5)	55.1%	57.0%	57.3%	1.00×	1.75
Carrarese (-0.5)	44.9%	43.0%	42.7%	1.01×	2.33
Virtus Entella (-0.5)	25.8%	26.3%	25.5%	1.03×	3.80
Carrarese (-1.5)	22.7%	21.5%	19.7%	1.09×	4.65
Carrarese (-2.5)	8.8%	7.9%	6.7%	1.17×	12.69

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Virtus Entella to concede	76.4%	78.7%	77.7%	1.01×	1.27
Virtus Entella clean sheet	23.6%	21.3%	22.3%	0.95×	4.70

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Virtus Entella clean sheet in 1st half	53.7%	50.9%	—	—	1.97
Virtus Entella to concede in 1st half	46.3%	49.1%	—	—	2.04

Away clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Virtus Entella to concede in 2nd half	56.1%	57.2%	—	—	1.75
Virtus Entella clean sheet in 2nd half	43.9%	42.8%	—	—	2.34

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Virtus Entella over 2.5 corners	78.7%	76.1%	—	—	1.32
Virtus Entella under 6.5 corners	78.0%	76.1%	—	—	1.32
Virtus Entella under 5.5 corners	66.8%	67.6%	—	—	1.48
Virtus Entella over 3.5 corners	63.3%	61.7%	—	—	1.62
Virtus Entella under 4.5 corners	52.6%	53.1%	—	—	1.88
Virtus Entella over 4.5 corners	47.4%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
Virtus Entella under 3.5 corners	36.7%	38.3%	—	—	2.61
Virtus Entella over 5.5 corners	33.2%	32.4%	—	—	3.09
Virtus Entella over 6.5 corners	22.0%	23.9%	—	—	4.18
Virtus Entella under 2.5 corners	21.3%	23.9%	—	—	4.18

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Virtus Entella under 3.5 goals	97.8%	97.5%	98.1%	0.99×	1.03
Virtus Entella under 2.5 goals	91.2%	92.3%	90.8%	1.02×	1.08
Virtus Entella under 1.5 goals	72.0%	71.8%	69.4%	1.04×	1.39
Virtus Entella over 0.5 goals	64.8%	63.2%	67.1%	0.94×	1.58
Virtus Entella under 0.5 goals	35.2%	36.8%	32.9%	1.12×	2.72
Virtus Entella over 1.5 goals	28.0%	28.2%	30.6%	0.92×	3.55
Virtus Entella over 2.5 goals	8.8%	7.7%	9.2%	0.83×	13.06
Virtus Entella over 3.5 goals	2.2%	2.5%	1.9%	1.34×	39.86

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Virtus Entella under 1.5 in 1st half	93.4%	94.0%	—	—	1.06
Virtus Entella under 0.5 in 1st half	65.9%	70.2%	—	—	1.43
Virtus Entella over 0.5 in 1st half	34.1%	29.8%	—	—	3.35
Virtus Entella over 1.5 in 1st half	6.6%	6.0%	—	—	16.56

Away highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Virtus Entella scores equally in both	45.1%	48.0%	—	—	2.08
Virtus Entella scores more in 2nd half	34.4%	33.3%	—	—	3.00
Virtus Entella scores more in 1st half	20.6%	21.7%	—	—	4.60

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Carrarese (away no bet)	60.5%	61.9%	57.3%	1.08×	1.62
Draw (away no bet)	39.6%	38.1%	42.7%	0.89×	2.62

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Virtus Entella even goals	56.2%	56.9%	55.4%	1.03×	1.76
Virtus Entella odd goals	43.8%	43.1%	44.6%	0.97×	2.32

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	88.2%	87.9%	—	—	1.14
Both halves over 1.5 goals	11.8%	12.1%	—	—	8.29

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	59.3%	60.6%	—	—	1.65
Both halves under 1.5 goals	40.7%	39.4%	—	—	2.54

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	51.3%	50.8%	—	—	1.97
Carrarese to score 2+ in a row	35.2%	36.4%	—	—	2.75
Virtus Entella to score 2+ in a row	20.9%	19.5%	—	—	5.13
Either team to score 3+ in a row	17.1%	16.1%	—	—	6.20
Carrarese to score 3+ in a row	12.2%	12.1%	—	—	8.23
Virtus Entella to score 3+ in a row	5.1%	5.4%	—	—	18.37

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Carrarese corners (+3.5)	88.3%	84.5%	—	—	1.18
Carrarese corners (+2.5)	82.4%	79.8%	—	—	1.25
Carrarese corners (+1.5)	74.9%	70.8%	—	—	1.41
Virtus Entella corners (+3.5)	73.8%	70.8%	—	—	1.41
Virtus Entella corners (+2.5)	64.9%	61.9%	—	—	1.62
Virtus Entella corners (+1.5)	54.9%	52.4%	—	—	1.91
Carrarese corners (-1.5)	45.1%	47.6%	—	—	2.10
Carrarese corners (-2.5)	35.1%	38.1%	—	—	2.62
Carrarese corners (-3.5)	26.2%	29.2%	—	—	3.42
Virtus Entella corners (-1.5)	25.1%	29.2%	—	—	3.42
Virtus Entella corners (-2.5)	17.6%	20.2%	—	—	4.95
Virtus Entella corners (-3.5)	11.7%	15.5%	—	—	6.45

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
12+ corners	36.3%	34.0%	—	—	2.94
0-8 corners	34.0%	33.2%	—	—	3.01
9-11 corners	29.7%	31.2%	—	—	3.20

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 7.5 corners	75.6%	76.6%	—	—	1.31
Under 12.5 corners	72.1%	72.5%	—	—	1.38
Over 8.5 corners	66.0%	67.8%	—	—	1.48
Under 11.5 corners	63.7%	63.3%	—	—	1.58
Over 9.5 corners	55.8%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Under 10.5 corners	54.3%	53.2%	—	—	1.88
Over 10.5 corners	45.7%	46.8%	—	—	2.14
Under 9.5 corners	44.2%	42.1%	—	—	2.37
Over 11.5 corners	36.3%	36.7%	—	—	2.72
Under 8.5 corners	34.0%	32.2%	—	—	3.11
Over 12.5 corners	27.9%	27.5%	—	—	3.64
Under 7.5 corners	24.4%	23.4%	—	—	4.27

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.2%	—	—	1.99
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.8%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-1	14.0%	11.5%	14.7%	0.78×	8.71
1-0	10.5%	11.5%	11.1%	1.04×	8.72
0-0	9.8%	7.4%	9.1%	0.81×	13.51
2-0	8.7%	7.4%	7.5%	0.99×	13.51
2-1	9.1%	7.4%	9.7%	0.76×	13.51
0-1	7.2%	7.4%	6.8%	1.08×	13.51
1-2	6.5%	7.4%	7.3%	1.01×	13.51
0-2	4.5%	1.7%	3.9%	0.44×	58.29
0-3	1.6%	1.7%	2.2%	0.77×	58.31
0-4	0.4%	1.7%	0.7%	2.30×	58.32
1-3	2.3%	1.7%	2.6%	0.66×	58.31
1-4	0.6%	1.7%	0.4%	4.59×	58.32
2-2	4.7%	1.7%	7.3%	0.23×	58.29
2-3	1.6%	1.7%	1.5%	1.15×	58.31
2-4	0.4%	1.7%	0.1%	13.77×	58.32
3-0	4.2%	1.7%	4.0%	0.43×	58.30
3-1	4.4%	1.7%	4.6%	0.37×	58.29
3-2	2.3%	1.7%	2.5%	0.69×	58.31
3-3	0.8%	1.7%	1.1%	1.53×	58.31
3-4	0.2%	1.7%	0.4%	4.59×	58.32
4-0	1.5%	1.7%	1.1%	1.53×	58.31
4-1	1.6%	1.7%	0.7%	2.30×	58.31
4-2	0.8%	1.7%	1.0%	1.72×	58.31
4-3	0.3%	1.7%	0.2%	6.88×	58.32
4-4	0.1%	1.7%	0.1%	13.77×	58.32
Any other score	2.0%	1.7%	2.1%	0.81×	58.31

DNB 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Carrarese (2nd half DNB)	59.5%	59.7%	—	—	1.67
Virtus Entella (2nd half DNB)	40.5%	40.3%	—	—	2.48

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Carrarese leading at HT (DNB)	62.5%	66.4%	—	—	1.51
Virtus Entella leading at HT (DNB)	37.5%	33.6%	—	—	2.98

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Carrarese or draw (1X)	74.2%	72.1%	74.5%	0.97×	1.39
Carrarese or Virtus Entella (12)	70.6%	72.1%	68.1%	1.06×	1.39
Virtus Entella or draw (X2)	55.1%	57.0%	57.3%	1.00×	1.75

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Carrarese or draw at HT	79.6%	79.7%	—	—	1.26
Virtus Entella or draw at HT	66.0%	67.1%	—	—	1.49
Carrarese or Virtus Entella at HT	54.3%	48.7%	—	—	2.06

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Carrarese or draw (1UP)	74.2%	79.7%	—	—	1.25
Virtus Entella or draw (1UP)	55.1%	62.8%	—	—	1.59

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Carrarese or draw in 2nd half	75.0%	74.0%	—	—	1.35
Virtus Entella or draw in 2nd half	63.2%	63.6%	—	—	1.57
Carrarese or Virtus Entella in 2nd half	61.8%	63.5%	—	—	1.57

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	64.9%	61.5%	—	—	1.63
Neither half drawn	35.1%	38.6%	—	—	2.59

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Carrarese (DNB)	63.5%	62.7%	62.6%	1.00×	1.60
Virtus Entella (DNB)	36.5%	37.3%	37.4%	1.00×	2.68

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Carrarese to score first	52.4%	53.3%	—	—	1.88
Virtus Entella to score first	37.8%	32.7%	—	—	3.06
No goal scored	9.8%	7.6%	—	—	13.08

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams to score	51.0%	51.3%	53.9%	0.95×	1.95
Not both teams to score	49.0%	48.7%	46.1%	1.06×	2.05

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both score & under 2.5	40.7%	41.6%	37.9%	1.10×	2.41
Both score & over 2.5	37.0%	38.4%	39.4%	0.98×	2.60
Both score & under 2.5	14.0%	12.4%	14.7%	0.84×	8.09
Not both score & over 2.5	8.3%	8.3%	8.3%	0.99×	12.06

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	88.1%	85.6%	86.1%	1.00×	1.17
Both teams to score 2+	11.9%	14.4%	13.9%	1.03×	6.96

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	73.4%	73.7%	—	—	1.36
Both teams to score in 2nd half	26.6%	26.3%	—	—	3.80

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	61.5%	65.8%	—	—	1.52
Both score 2nd half only	22.5%	21.3%	—	—	4.71
Both score 1st half only	11.9%	10.7%	—	—	9.33
Both score in both halves	4.1%	4.9%	—	—	20.31

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	84.0%	83.5%	—	—	1.20
Both teams to score by HT	16.0%	16.5%	—	—	6.06

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A goal in each half	50.2%	52.5%	—	—	1.91
A half without a goal	49.8%	47.5%	—	—	2.10

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	48.5%	47.2%	48.6%	0.97×	2.12
0-1 goals	27.5%	26.6%	26.8%	0.99×	3.76
4-6 goals	22.6%	22.9%	23.5%	0.97×	4.36
7+ goals	1.4%	1.8%	1.4%	1.34×	54.42

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Virtus Entella to score exactly 1	36.8%	35.9%	36.6%	0.98×	2.78
Virtus Entella to score exactly 0	35.2%	35.9%	32.9%	1.09×	2.79
Virtus Entella to score exactly 2	19.2%	19.5%	21.5%	0.91×	5.12
Virtus Entella to score 3+	8.8%	8.6%	9.2%	0.93×	11.69

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Carrarese to score exactly 1	34.1%	32.6%	35.9%	0.91×	3.07
Carrarese to score exactly 2	24.6%	23.3%	25.9%	0.90×	4.29
Carrarese to score exactly 0	23.6%	23.3%	22.3%	1.05×	4.29
Carrarese to score 3+	17.8%	18.8%	16.2%	1.16×	5.32

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT	45.7%	51.3%	—	—	1.95
Carrarese leading at HT	34.0%	32.9%	—	—	3.04
Virtus Entella leading at HT	20.4%	20.3%	—	—	4.93

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Carrarese -1: 2	55.1%	56.7%	—	—	1.76
Carrarese -1: 1	22.7%	23.5%	—	—	4.25
Carrarese -1: X	22.2%	23.5%	—	—	4.25

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Virtus Entella (0:1)	55.1%	55.8%	57.3%	0.97×	1.79
Carrarese (0:1)	22.7%	24.2%	19.7%	1.23×	4.13
Draw (0:1)	22.2%	24.2%	23.2%	1.05×	4.13

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Virtus Entella (0:2)	77.3%	79.4%	80.3%	0.99×	1.26
Draw (0:2)	13.9%	11.0%	13.1%	0.84×	9.09
Carrarese (0:2)	8.8%	7.7%	6.7%	1.14×	13.04

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Virtus Entella (0:3)	91.2%	92.7%	93.3%	0.99×	1.08
Draw (0:3)	6.0%	5.8%	4.6%	1.26×	17.26
Carrarese (0:3)	2.7%	2.4%	2.2%	1.06×	42.02

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Virtus Entella (0:4)	97.3%	98.1%	97.8%	1.00×	1.02
Draw (0:4)	2.0%	1.2%	1.4%	0.89×	81.74
Carrarese (0:4)	0.7%	1.2%	1.0%	1.23×	81.89

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Carrarese (1:0)	74.2%	72.5%	74.5%	0.97×	1.38
Draw (1:0)	15.6%	17.1%	15.7%	1.09×	5.85
Virtus Entella (1:0)	10.2%	12.7%	10.0%	1.27×	7.88

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Carrarese (2:0)	89.8%	88.5%	90.0%	0.98×	1.13
Draw (2:0)	7.3%	6.4%	6.5%	0.99×	15.66
Virtus Entella (2:0)	2.9%	2.3%	3.6%	0.63×	43.74

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	45.3%	48.5%	—	—	2.06
Halves equal	28.6%	26.2%	—	—	3.81
1st half highest scoring	26.1%	26.2%	—	—	3.81

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Carrarese to concede	64.8%	63.7%	67.1%	0.95×	1.57
Carrarese clean sheet	35.2%	36.3%	32.9%	1.10×	2.75

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Carrarese clean sheet in 1st half	65.9%	70.5%	—	—	1.42
Carrarese to concede in 1st half	34.1%	29.5%	—	—	3.39

Home clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Carrarese clean sheet in 2nd half	53.5%	52.5%	—	—	1.90
Carrarese to concede in 2nd half	46.5%	47.5%	—	—	2.11

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Carrarese over 2.5 corners	87.3%	86.2%	—	—	1.16
Carrarese over 3.5 corners	75.9%	76.5%	—	—	1.31
Carrarese under 6.5 corners	64.0%	62.3%	—	—	1.61
Carrarese over 4.5 corners	62.4%	62.3%	—	—	1.61
Carrarese under 5.5 corners	51.4%	52.6%	—	—	1.90
Carrarese over 5.5 corners	48.6%	47.4%	—	—	2.11
Carrarese under 4.5 corners	37.6%	37.7%	—	—	2.65
Carrarese over 6.5 corners	36.0%	37.7%	—	—	2.65
Carrarese under 3.5 corners	24.1%	23.5%	—	—	4.26
Carrarese under 2.5 corners	12.8%	13.8%	—	—	7.26

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Carrarese under 3.5 goals	94.1%	92.2%	95.9%	0.96×	1.08
Carrarese under 2.5 goals	82.2%	82.2%	83.8%	0.98×	1.22
Carrarese over 0.5 goals	76.4%	77.8%	77.7%	1.00×	1.29
Carrarese under 1.5 goals	57.6%	58.7%	58.0%	1.01×	1.71
Carrarese over 1.5 goals	42.4%	41.3%	42.0%	0.99×	2.42
Carrarese under 0.5 goals	23.6%	22.2%	22.3%	1.00×	4.50
Carrarese over 2.5 goals	17.8%	17.8%	16.2%	1.10×	5.62
Carrarese over 3.5 goals	5.9%	7.8%	4.1%	1.89×	12.85

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Carrarese under 1.5 in 1st half	87.1%	90.1%	—	—	1.11
Carrarese under 0.5 in 1st half	53.7%	50.7%	—	—	1.97
Carrarese over 0.5 in 1st half	46.3%	49.3%	—	—	2.03
Carrarese over 1.5 in 1st half	12.9%	9.9%	—	—	10.06

Home highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Carrarese scores more in 2nd half	37.4%	38.1%	—	—	2.62
Carrarese scores equally in both	37.3%	38.1%	—	—	2.62
Carrarese scores more in 1st half	25.4%	27.8%	—	—	3.59

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw (home no bet)	53.3%	51.5%	55.5%	0.93×	1.94
Virtus Entella (home no bet)	46.7%	48.5%	44.5%	1.09×	2.06

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Carrarese even goals	52.8%	50.8%	50.9%	1.00×	1.97
Carrarese odd goals	47.2%	49.2%	49.1%	1.00×	2.03

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	35.6%	38.4%	—	—	2.60
HT 1-0	21.7%	24.4%	—	—	4.10
HT 0-1	14.5%	11.0%	—	—	9.08
HT 1-1	9.4%	6.9%	—	—	14.51
HT 2-0	6.8%	6.9%	—	—	14.55
Any other HT score	3.4%	2.4%	—	—	42.20
HT 0-2	3.1%	2.4%	—	—	42.22
HT 2-1	2.9%	2.4%	—	—	42.23
HT 1-2	1.9%	2.4%	—	—	42.30
HT 2-2	0.6%	2.4%	—	—	42.38

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Carrarese at HT / Carrarese at FT	26.7%	27.3%	—	—	3.66
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	19.0%	16.8%	—	—	5.96
Draw at HT / Carrarese at FT	16.0%	16.8%	—	—	5.97
Virtus Entella at HT / Virtus Entella at FT	13.4%	12.7%	—	—	7.89
Draw at HT / Virtus Entella at FT	10.6%	12.7%	—	—	7.90
Carrarese at HT / Draw at FT	5.5%	6.0%	—	—	16.54
Virtus Entella at HT / Draw at FT	4.8%	3.5%	—	—	28.86
Virtus Entella at HT / Carrarese at FT	2.2%	3.5%	—	—	28.96
Carrarese at HT / Virtus Entella at FT	1.8%	3.5%	—	—	28.97

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Carrarese to score last	52.5%	52.1%	—	—	1.92
Virtus Entella to score last	37.7%	38.7%	—	—	2.59
No goal scored	9.8%	7.6%	—	—	13.08

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	90.2%	92.5%	—	—	1.08
Carrarese to lead by 1 at any time	59.7%	55.0%	—	—	1.82
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	43.0%	39.2%	—	—	2.55
Virtus Entella to lead by 1 at any time	42.9%	39.2%	—	—	2.55
Carrarese to lead by 2 at any time	28.4%	25.3%	—	—	3.95
Virtus Entella to lead by 2 at any time	14.8%	10.6%	—	—	9.39
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	14.5%	10.6%	—	—	9.40
Carrarese to lead by 3 at any time	10.6%	10.6%	—	—	9.47
Virtus Entella to lead by 3 at any time	4.0%	1.6%	—	—	61.43

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Carrarese most corners	55.6%	55.6%	—	—	1.80
Virtus Entella most corners	34.2%	34.4%	—	—	2.90
Corners level	10.2%	10.4%	—	—	9.59

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	86.1%	87.4%	87.3%	1.00×	1.14
1-4 goals	79.5%	78.7%	82.1%	0.96×	1.27
2-6 goals	71.1%	72.3%	72.0%	1.00×	1.38
2-5 goals	68.4%	68.8%	69.6%	0.99×	1.45
1-3 goals	66.2%	68.8%	66.3%	1.04×	1.45
2-4 goals	61.8%	63.3%	64.4%	0.98×	1.58
2-3 goals	48.5%	48.4%	48.6%	1.00×	2.06
1-2 goals	44.9%	43.6%	43.5%	1.00×	2.29
3-6 goals	43.9%	43.6%	46.3%	0.94×	2.29
3-5 goals	41.2%	43.6%	44.0%	0.99×	2.29
3-4 goals	34.6%	35.2%	38.7%	0.91×	2.84
4-6 goals	22.6%	24.5%	23.5%	1.04×	4.09
4-5 goals	19.9%	18.8%	21.2%	0.89×	5.31
5-6 goals	9.3%	8.9%	7.7%	1.15×	11.25
7+ goals	1.4%	2.6%	1.4%	1.86×	39.21

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Carrarese never behind	47.3%	56.7%	—	—	1.76
Virtus Entella never behind	30.5%	36.2%	—	—	2.76

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of goals	46.7%	50.9%	46.7%	1.09×	1.97
Even number of goals	53.3%	49.1%	53.3%	0.92×	2.04

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	56.8%	57.8%	—	—	1.73
Odd goals in 1st half	43.2%	42.2%	—	—	2.37

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	53.8%	52.0%	—	—	1.92
Odd goals in 2nd half	46.2%	48.0%	—	—	2.09

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 5.5 goals	95.9%	95.4%	96.3%	0.99×	1.05
Over 0.5 goals	90.2%	92.3%	90.9%	1.01×	1.08
Under 4.5 goals	89.3%	87.6%	91.0%	0.96×	1.14
Under 3.5 goals	76.0%	77.3%	75.2%	1.03×	1.29
Over 1.5 goals	72.5%	72.5%	73.2%	0.99×	1.38
Under 2.5 goals	54.7%	52.5%	52.4%	1.00×	1.90
Over 2.5 goals	45.3%	47.5%	47.6%	1.00×	2.11
Under 1.5 goals	27.5%	27.5%	26.8%	1.03×	3.63
Over 3.5 goals	24.0%	22.7%	24.8%	0.92×	4.40
Over 4.5 goals	10.7%	12.4%	9.0%	1.38×	8.07
Under 0.5 goals	9.8%	7.7%	9.1%	0.85×	12.92
Over 5.5 goals	4.1%	4.6%	3.7%	1.23×	21.81

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	98.6%	97.2%	98.6%	0.99×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	95.6%	97.2%	96.1%	1.01×	1.03
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	87.6%	86.7%	89.3%	0.97×	1.15
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	69.5%	67.5%	67.9%	0.99×	1.48
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	62.3%	61.9%	64.0%	0.97×	1.62
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	37.7%	38.1%	36.0%	1.06×	2.63
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	30.5%	32.5%	32.1%	1.01×	3.08
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	12.4%	13.3%	10.7%	1.25×	7.54
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	4.4%	2.8%	3.9%	0.71×	35.57
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	1.4%	2.8%	1.4%	2.00×	35.65

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	91.2%	92.7%	—	—	1.08
Under 1.5 in 1st half	71.9%	71.3%	—	—	1.40
Over 0.5 in 1st half	64.4%	63.3%	—	—	1.58
Under 0.5 in 1st half	35.6%	36.7%	—	—	2.72
Over 1.5 in 1st half	28.1%	28.7%	—	—	3.49
Over 2.5 in 1st half	8.8%	7.3%	—	—	13.73

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	82.1%	82.9%	—	—	1.21
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	76.0%	79.5%	—	—	1.26
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	57.0%	55.3%	—	—	1.81
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	43.0%	44.7%	—	—	2.24
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	24.0%	20.5%	—	—	4.88
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	17.9%	17.1%	—	—	5.86

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Virtus Entella not to score in both halves	84.1%	84.4%	—	—	1.19
Carrarese not to score in both halves	74.0%	73.9%	—	—	1.35
Carrarese to score in both halves	26.0%	26.1%	—	—	3.84
Virtus Entella to score in both halves	15.9%	15.6%	—	—	6.40

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	51.0%	53.8%	53.9%	1.00×	1.86
Only Carrarese scores	25.5%	26.1%	23.9%	1.09×	3.84
Only Virtus Entella scores	13.8%	11.0%	13.3%	0.83×	9.06
Neither team scores	9.8%	7.2%	9.1%	0.79×	13.98

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 2 goals	27.2%	24.9%	25.8%	0.96×	4.02
Exactly 3 goals	21.3%	22.6%	22.9%	0.99×	4.43
Exactly 1 goals	17.7%	17.5%	17.8%	0.98×	5.73
Exactly 4 goals	13.3%	12.1%	15.9%	0.76×	8.25
Exactly 0 goals	9.8%	7.6%	9.1%	0.84×	13.13
Exactly 5 goals	6.6%	7.6%	5.4%	1.42×	13.14
6 or more goals	4.1%	4.5%	3.7%	1.20×	22.34

Total goals 1st half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1 goal in 1st half	36.3%	37.2%	—	—	2.69
No goals in 1st half	35.6%	37.2%	—	—	2.69
2 goals in 1st half	19.4%	15.7%	—	—	6.36
3+ goals in 1st half	8.8%	7.3%	—	—	13.73

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	43.0%	44.7%	—	—	2.24
1 goal in 2nd half	33.0%	33.9%	—	—	2.95
No goals in 2nd half	24.0%	23.0%	—	—	4.36

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Virtus Entella not to win both halves	94.7%	94.2%	—	—	1.06
Carrarese not to win both halves	87.3%	87.9%	—	—	1.14
Carrarese to win both halves	12.7%	12.1%	—	—	8.30
Virtus Entella to win both halves	5.3%	5.8%	—	—	17.28

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Virtus Entella to win neither half	59.9%	59.1%	—	—	1.69
Carrarese to win either half	58.0%	59.1%	—	—	1.69
Carrarese to win neither half	42.0%	40.9%	—	—	2.44
Virtus Entella to win either half	40.1%	40.9%	—	—	2.45

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Virtus Entella not to win to nil	86.2%	88.1%	86.7%	1.02×	1.14
Carrarese not to win to nil	74.5%	75.3%	76.1%	0.99×	1.33
Carrarese to win to nil	25.5%	24.7%	23.9%	1.03×	4.05
Virtus Entella to win to nil	13.8%	11.9%	13.3%	0.89×	8.41

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw	29.4%	27.9%	31.9%	0.87×	3.59
Carrarese by 1	22.2%	24.1%	23.2%	1.04×	4.15
Virtus Entella by 1	15.6%	17.0%	15.7%	1.09×	5.87
Carrarese by 2	13.9%	11.8%	13.1%	0.90×	8.50
Carrarese by 3+	8.8%	7.2%	6.7%	1.07×	13.90
Virtus Entella by 2	7.3%	7.2%	6.5%	1.11×	13.91
Virtus Entella by 3+	2.9%	2.7%	3.6%	0.75×	36.88