Castellón v Albacete — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Sunday 6 September 2026 · ESP-La Liga 2 · 2627

La Liga results-only Prediction generated 9 Sep 2026, 09:54 UTC

Castellón

16:30 UTC

Albacete

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 6 Sep, 07:53 · 9h before kick-off

Castellón win

54.9%

model 54.6%

Draw

22.6%

model 23.0%

Albacete win

22.6%

model 22.4%

552323

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (372 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-0 11.2%
1-1 10.9%
2-1 9.8%
2-0 9.5%
0-1 6.7%

Goals

Over 2.5	52.4%	Under 2.5	47.6%
BTTS yes	52.7%	BTTS no	47.3%
Castellón 1+	82.6%	Castellón 2+	52.2%
Albacete 1+	64.1%	Albacete 2+	27.3%

Expected goals 1.75 – 1.03. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

53/100

Data quality

65/100

Model agreement

97%

★ Best pick

2-6 goals

Multi goal · usually 68%

73.6% fair odds 1.36

moderate signal · 2933 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Not both to score by HT

GG/NG half time

83.2% fair odds 1.20

moderate signal · 1245 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

Castellón carry the stronger rating, 1616 Elo against 1470.
Form is good: 2.60 points a match from the last five.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Castellón have an estimated 54.9% win probability, against 22.6% for the draw and 22.6% for Albacete. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.75 for Castellón and 1.02 for Albacete.

Why Castellón

Castellón carry the stronger rating, 1616 Elo against 1470. Form is good: 2.60 points a match from the last five.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 22.6%. Draws run at 27% in this competition.

Why Albacete can win

Nothing in the data singles out Albacete.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Castellón, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Albacete, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Castellón: 60% possession, 14.2 shots a match, 9.2 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Albacete: 47% possession, 13.8 shots a match, 10.6 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-06 07:42 · team_stats 2026-09-06 06:08 · availability 2026-09-06 07:53 · prediction 2026-09-05 18:39 ·

Castellón are the model's most likely outcome at 54.9%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-0 at 11.2%. Confidence 53/100, data quality 65/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	552322	1.75–1.00	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	512425	1.62–1.04	1-0 12%	49%	51%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Castellón to win	54.0%	52.0%	45.5%	1.14×	1.92
Draw	23.3%	22.2%	26.6%	0.83×	4.52
Albacete to win	22.7%	22.1%	28.0%	0.79×	4.52

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Castellón & not both score	29.7%	26.4%	23.6%	1.12×	3.79
Castellón & both teams score	24.3%	22.6%	22.0%	1.03×	4.42
Draw & both teams score	17.1%	17.7%	17.5%	1.01×	5.63
Albacete & not both score	11.7%	12.1%	13.4%	0.90×	8.23
Albacete & both teams score	11.0%	12.1%	14.7%	0.83×	8.24
Draw & not both score	6.1%	7.3%	9.1%	0.80×	13.70

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Castellón & over 1.5	42.7%	44.0%	32.6%	1.35×	2.28
Castellón & under 3.5	36.0%	37.5%	32.2%	1.16×	2.67
Castellón & over 2.5	33.2%	33.2%	26.3%	1.26×	3.02
Castellón & under 2.5	20.8%	21.5%	19.3%	1.11×	4.65
Castellón & over 3.5	18.0%	17.6%	13.3%	1.32×	5.69
Draw & over 1.5	17.1%	17.6%	17.5%	1.00×	5.69
Draw & under 2.5	17.2%	17.6%	20.3%	0.87×	5.69
Draw & under 3.5	17.2%	17.6%	20.3%	0.87×	5.69
Albacete & under 3.5	17.1%	17.6%	19.6%	0.89×	5.69
Albacete & over 1.5	15.9%	17.6%	19.4%	0.90×	5.70
Albacete & over 2.5	12.5%	12.7%	16.6%	0.77×	7.86
Castellón & under 1.5	11.3%	12.7%	13.0%	0.98×	7.87
Albacete & under 2.5	10.2%	12.7%	11.6%	1.10×	7.87
Albacete & under 1.5	6.8%	7.5%	8.7%	0.86×	13.41
Draw & under 1.5	6.1%	7.5%	9.1%	0.82×	13.42
Draw & over 2.5	6.1%	7.5%	6.4%	1.16×	13.42
Draw & over 3.5	6.1%	7.5%	6.4%	1.16×	13.42
Albacete & over 3.5	5.6%	7.5%	8.5%	0.88×	13.42

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Castellón (1UP)	67.5%	72.2%	—	—	1.39
Albacete (1UP)	40.2%	43.3%	—	—	2.31

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Castellón (2UP)	54.0%	54.1%	—	—	1.85
Albacete (2UP)	22.7%	21.1%	—	—	4.73

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Castellón to win 2nd half	43.3%	39.5%	—	—	2.53
2nd half drawn	34.3%	33.8%	—	—	2.96
Albacete to win 2nd half	22.4%	22.3%	—	—	4.49

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Albacete (+2.5)	86.9%	89.0%	92.3%	0.96×	1.12
Castellón (+0.5)	77.3%	78.6%	72.0%	1.09×	1.27
Albacete (+1.5)	70.3%	73.0%	80.5%	0.91×	1.37
Castellón (-0.5)	54.0%	51.7%	45.5%	1.14×	1.94
Albacete (+0.5)	46.0%	48.3%	54.5%	0.89×	2.07
Castellón (-1.5)	29.7%	27.0%	19.5%	1.38×	3.70
Albacete (-0.5)	22.7%	21.4%	28.0%	0.76×	4.66
Castellón (-2.5)	13.1%	11.0%	7.7%	1.44×	9.06

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Albacete to concede	82.2%	84.8%	77.5%	1.09×	1.18
Albacete clean sheet	17.8%	15.2%	22.5%	0.68×	6.57

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Albacete to concede in 1st half	52.4%	54.7%	—	—	1.83
Albacete clean sheet in 1st half	47.6%	45.3%	—	—	2.21

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Albacete under 6.5 corners	88.5%	85.2%	—	—	1.17
Albacete under 5.5 corners	79.8%	75.9%	—	—	1.32
Albacete over 2.5 corners	68.3%	67.5%	—	—	1.48
Albacete under 4.5 corners	67.1%	67.5%	—	—	1.48
Albacete under 3.5 corners	50.4%	53.1%	—	—	1.88
Albacete over 3.5 corners	49.6%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
Albacete over 4.5 corners	32.9%	32.5%	—	—	3.08
Albacete under 2.5 corners	31.7%	32.5%	—	—	3.08
Albacete over 5.5 corners	20.2%	24.1%	—	—	4.16
Albacete over 6.5 corners	11.5%	14.8%	—	—	6.75

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Albacete under 3.5 goals	97.9%	97.3%	97.0%	1.00×	1.03
Albacete under 2.5 goals	91.5%	92.6%	89.2%	1.04×	1.08
Albacete under 1.5 goals	72.6%	71.9%	69.4%	1.04×	1.39
Albacete over 0.5 goals	64.1%	64.2%	67.3%	0.95×	1.56
Albacete under 0.5 goals	35.9%	35.8%	32.7%	1.09×	2.80
Albacete over 1.5 goals	27.4%	28.1%	30.6%	0.92×	3.57
Albacete over 2.5 goals	8.5%	7.4%	10.8%	0.68×	13.54
Albacete over 3.5 goals	2.1%	2.7%	3.0%	0.87×	37.59

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Albacete under 1.5 in 1st half	93.6%	93.3%	—	—	1.07
Albacete under 0.5 in 1st half	66.4%	67.1%	—	—	1.49
Albacete over 0.5 in 1st half	33.6%	32.9%	—	—	3.04
Albacete over 1.5 in 1st half	6.4%	6.7%	—	—	14.87

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Castellón (away no bet)	69.9%	71.9%	63.1%	1.14×	1.39
Draw (away no bet)	30.1%	28.1%	36.9%	0.76×	3.56

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Albacete even goals	56.4%	57.9%	54.7%	1.06×	1.73
Albacete odd goals	43.6%	42.1%	45.3%	0.93×	2.38

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	84.8%	81.8%	—	—	1.22
Both halves over 1.5 goals	15.2%	18.2%	—	—	5.50

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	64.1%	66.4%	—	—	1.51
Both halves under 1.5 goals	35.9%	33.6%	—	—	2.98

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	57.3%	59.2%	—	—	1.69
Castellón to score 2+ in a row	43.7%	45.1%	—	—	2.22
Either team to score 3+ in a row	21.8%	21.8%	—	—	4.60
Albacete to score 2+ in a row	19.4%	17.9%	—	—	5.60
Castellón to score 3+ in a row	17.6%	17.8%	—	—	5.61
Albacete to score 3+ in a row	4.4%	3.4%	—	—	29.26

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Castellón corners (+3.5)	96.5%	95.8%	—	—	1.04
Castellón corners (+2.5)	93.9%	89.6%	—	—	1.12
Castellón corners (+1.5)	90.0%	89.6%	—	—	1.12
Castellón corners (-1.5)	68.4%	65.8%	—	—	1.52
Castellón corners (-2.5)	58.7%	57.2%	—	—	1.75
Albacete corners (+3.5)	51.4%	52.5%	—	—	1.91
Castellón corners (-3.5)	48.6%	47.5%	—	—	2.11
Albacete corners (+2.5)	41.3%	42.8%	—	—	2.33
Albacete corners (+1.5)	31.6%	34.2%	—	—	2.92
Albacete corners (-1.5)	10.0%	10.5%	—	—	9.57
Albacete corners (-2.5)	6.1%	10.4%	—	—	9.58
Albacete corners (-3.5)	3.5%	4.2%	—	—	23.55

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
12+ corners	42.5%	38.6%	—	—	2.59
9-11 corners	29.2%	31.2%	—	—	3.20
0-8 corners	28.4%	31.2%	—	—	3.20

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 7.5 corners	80.3%	80.8%	—	—	1.24
Over 8.5 corners	71.6%	72.7%	—	—	1.38
Under 12.5 corners	66.4%	67.7%	—	—	1.48
Over 9.5 corners	62.0%	63.4%	—	—	1.58
Under 11.5 corners	57.5%	57.7%	—	—	1.73
Over 10.5 corners	52.1%	53.3%	—	—	1.88
Under 10.5 corners	47.9%	46.7%	—	—	2.14
Over 11.5 corners	42.5%	42.3%	—	—	2.37
Under 9.5 corners	38.0%	36.6%	—	—	2.73
Over 12.5 corners	33.6%	32.3%	—	—	3.09
Under 8.5 corners	28.4%	27.3%	—	—	3.66
Under 7.5 corners	19.7%	19.2%	—	—	5.20

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.1%	—	—	1.99
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.9%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-0	11.3%	11.6%	13.0%	0.89×	8.64
1-1	11.0%	11.6%	11.2%	1.03×	8.64
2-1	9.7%	7.3%	10.1%	0.72×	13.74
2-0	9.5%	7.3%	6.4%	1.14×	13.74
0-1	6.8%	7.3%	8.7%	0.83×	13.75
0-0	6.1%	7.3%	9.1%	0.80×	13.75
1-2	5.8%	7.3%	7.0%	1.03×	13.75
3-0	5.5%	7.3%	3.0%	2.39×	13.75
3-1	5.6%	7.3%	4.5%	1.61×	13.75
2-2	5.0%	1.8%	5.7%	0.32×	55.38
0-2	3.4%	1.8%	2.9%	0.61×	55.42
3-2	2.9%	1.8%	2.8%	0.64×	55.44
Any other score	3.5%	1.8%	2.7%	0.66×	55.42
1-3	2.0%	1.8%	3.6%	0.50×	55.46
2-3	1.7%	1.8%	2.3%	0.78×	55.47
4-0	2.4%	1.8%	1.2%	1.56×	55.45
4-1	2.4%	1.8%	1.9%	0.95×	55.45
4-2	1.2%	1.8%	1.2%	1.56×	55.48
0-3	1.1%	1.8%	1.3%	1.43×	55.48
0-4	0.3%	1.8%	0.7%	2.45×	55.50
1-4	0.5%	1.8%	0.8%	2.14×	55.50
2-4	0.4%	1.8%	0.7%	2.45×	55.50
3-3	1.0%	1.8%	0.7%	2.45×	55.48
3-4	0.3%	1.8%	0.2%	8.58×	55.50
4-3	0.4%	1.8%	0.3%	5.72×	55.50
4-4	0.1%	1.8%	0.2%	8.58×	55.51

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Castellón leading at HT (DNB)	68.2%	67.2%	—	—	1.49
Albacete leading at HT (DNB)	31.8%	32.8%	—	—	3.05

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Castellón or draw (1X)	77.3%	77.9%	72.0%	1.08×	1.28
Castellón or Albacete (12)	76.7%	77.9%	73.4%	1.06×	1.29
Albacete or draw (X2)	46.0%	48.0%	54.5%	0.88×	2.08

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Castellón or draw at HT	81.5%	81.6%	—	—	1.23
Albacete or draw at HT	60.4%	63.1%	—	—	1.58
Castellón or Albacete at HT	58.1%	58.2%	—	—	1.72

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Castellón or draw (1UP)	77.3%	84.6%	—	—	1.18
Albacete or draw (1UP)	46.0%	54.9%	—	—	1.82

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Castellón or draw in 2nd half	77.6%	77.7%	—	—	1.29
Castellón or Albacete in 2nd half	65.7%	66.2%	—	—	1.51
Albacete or draw in 2nd half	56.7%	60.5%	—	—	1.65

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	62.1%	59.4%	—	—	1.68
Neither half drawn	37.9%	40.6%	—	—	2.46

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Castellón (DNB)	70.4%	71.1%	61.9%	1.15×	1.41
Albacete (DNB)	29.6%	28.9%	38.1%	0.76×	3.46

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Castellón to score first	58.9%	62.2%	—	—	1.61
Albacete to score first	35.0%	32.0%	—	—	3.12
No goal scored	6.1%	6.2%	—	—	16.07

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams to score	52.4%	52.9%	54.0%	0.98×	1.89
Not both teams to score	47.6%	47.1%	46.0%	1.02×	2.12

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both score & over 2.5	41.4%	42.2%	42.9%	0.99×	2.37
Not both score & under 2.5	37.1%	37.4%	39.8%	0.94×	2.67
Both score & under 2.5	11.0%	11.7%	11.2%	1.04×	8.54
Not both score & over 2.5	10.5%	11.7%	6.3%	1.86×	8.55

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	85.9%	85.5%	85.6%	1.00×	1.17
Both teams to score 2+	14.1%	14.5%	14.4%	1.01×	6.90

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	71.3%	70.4%	—	—	1.42
Both teams to score in 2nd half	28.7%	29.6%	—	—	3.38

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	58.8%	57.7%	—	—	1.73
Both score 2nd half only	23.6%	24.4%	—	—	4.10
Both score 1st half only	12.5%	11.6%	—	—	8.65
Both score in both halves	5.1%	6.4%	—	—	15.57

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	82.4%	83.2%	—	—	1.20
Both teams to score by HT	17.6%	16.8%	—	—	5.95

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A goal in each half	54.4%	54.7%	—	—	1.83
A half without a goal	45.6%	45.3%	—	—	2.21

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	46.1%	45.9%	41.4%	1.11×	2.18
4-6 goals	27.4%	27.7%	26.6%	1.04×	3.61
0-1 goals	24.2%	22.8%	30.7%	0.74×	4.38
7+ goals	2.2%	1.9%	1.6%	1.23×	51.42

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Albacete to score exactly 1	36.8%	34.6%	36.9%	0.94×	2.89
Albacete to score exactly 0	35.9%	34.5%	32.7%	1.06×	2.90
Albacete to score exactly 2	18.9%	18.4%	19.9%	0.93×	5.44
Albacete to score 3+	8.5%	7.7%	10.8%	0.71×	13.04

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Castellón to score exactly 1	30.7%	30.5%	35.6%	0.86×	3.28
Castellón to score exactly 2	26.5%	27.1%	25.0%	1.08×	3.70
Castellón to score 3+	24.9%	23.0%	17.1%	1.34×	4.35
Castellón to score exactly 0	17.8%	18.5%	22.5%	0.82×	5.40

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT	41.9%	41.8%	—	—	2.39
Castellón leading at HT	39.7%	36.9%	—	—	2.71
Albacete leading at HT	18.5%	18.4%	—	—	5.45

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Castellón -1: 2	46.0%	47.4%	—	—	2.11
Castellón -1: 1	29.7%	27.2%	—	—	3.68
Castellón -1: X	24.4%	24.0%	—	—	4.17

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Albacete (0:1)	46.0%	48.0%	54.5%	0.88×	2.08
Castellón (0:1)	29.7%	26.4%	19.5%	1.35×	3.78
Draw (0:1)	24.4%	24.5%	26.1%	0.94×	4.09

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Albacete (0:2)	70.3%	72.9%	80.5%	0.91×	1.37
Draw (0:2)	16.5%	16.3%	12.0%	1.36×	6.14
Castellón (0:2)	13.1%	11.8%	7.7%	1.53×	8.51

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Albacete (0:3)	86.9%	88.3%	92.3%	0.96×	1.13
Draw (0:3)	8.4%	6.9%	5.4%	1.30×	14.40
Castellón (0:3)	4.8%	2.4%	2.4%	0.97×	42.55

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Albacete (0:4)	95.2%	98.0%	97.6%	1.00×	1.02
Draw (0:4)	3.3%	1.3%	2.1%	0.60×	79.65
Castellón (0:4)	1.5%	1.2%	0.4%	2.95×	80.59

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Castellón (1:0)	77.3%	78.0%	72.0%	1.08×	1.28
Draw (1:0)	14.6%	11.8%	18.0%	0.66×	8.45
Albacete (1:0)	8.1%	8.6%	10.2%	0.84×	11.65

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Castellón (2:0)	91.9%	91.6%	89.8%	1.02×	1.09
Draw (2:0)	5.8%	6.6%	7.0%	0.93×	15.23
Albacete (2:0)	2.3%	2.7%	3.3%	0.82×	37.25

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	47.9%	48.7%	—	—	2.05
1st half highest scoring	27.6%	26.1%	—	—	3.83
Halves equal	24.4%	23.2%	—	—	4.31

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Castellón to concede	64.1%	66.2%	67.3%	0.98×	1.51
Castellón clean sheet	35.9%	33.8%	32.7%	1.04×	2.96

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Castellón clean sheet in 1st half	66.4%	67.3%	—	—	1.49
Castellón to concede in 1st half	33.6%	32.7%	—	—	3.06

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Castellón over 2.5 corners	94.3%	89.3%	—	—	1.12
Castellón over 3.5 corners	87.6%	86.3%	—	—	1.16
Castellón over 4.5 corners	78.3%	76.6%	—	—	1.31
Castellón over 5.5 corners	67.0%	66.7%	—	—	1.50
Castellón over 6.5 corners	55.0%	57.5%	—	—	1.74
Castellón under 6.5 corners	45.0%	42.5%	—	—	2.35
Castellón under 5.5 corners	33.0%	33.3%	—	—	3.00
Castellón under 4.5 corners	21.7%	23.4%	—	—	4.27
Castellón under 3.5 corners	12.4%	13.7%	—	—	7.28
Castellón under 2.5 corners	5.7%	10.7%	—	—	9.38

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Castellón under 3.5 goals	90.3%	92.0%	93.7%	0.98×	1.09
Castellón over 0.5 goals	82.2%	82.4%	77.5%	1.06×	1.21
Castellón under 2.5 goals	75.1%	76.7%	82.9%	0.93×	1.30
Castellón over 1.5 goals	51.4%	52.7%	42.0%	1.25×	1.90
Castellón under 1.5 goals	48.6%	47.3%	58.0%	0.82×	2.11
Castellón over 2.5 goals	24.9%	23.3%	17.1%	1.36×	4.29
Castellón under 0.5 goals	17.8%	17.6%	22.5%	0.78×	5.69
Castellón over 3.5 goals	9.7%	8.0%	6.3%	1.26×	12.55

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Castellón under 1.5 in 1st half	83.0%	80.5%	—	—	1.24
Castellón over 0.5 in 1st half	52.4%	54.7%	—	—	1.83
Castellón under 0.5 in 1st half	47.6%	45.3%	—	—	2.21
Castellón over 1.5 in 1st half	17.0%	19.5%	—	—	5.13

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Albacete (home no bet)	49.4%	51.5%	51.3%	1.00×	1.94
Draw (home no bet)	50.6%	48.5%	48.7%	1.00×	2.06

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Castellón even goals	51.6%	50.2%	51.8%	0.97×	1.99
Castellón odd goals	48.4%	49.8%	48.2%	1.03×	2.01

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	31.6%	30.5%	—	—	3.28
HT 1-0	23.5%	22.7%	—	—	4.41
HT 0-1	13.0%	11.2%	—	—	8.93
HT 1-1	9.6%	7.7%	—	—	12.97
HT 2-0	8.7%	7.7%	—	—	12.98
Any other HT score	4.8%	2.5%	—	—	39.73
HT 2-1	3.6%	2.5%	—	—	39.80
HT 0-2	2.7%	2.5%	—	—	39.85
HT 1-2	2.0%	2.5%	—	—	39.89
HT 2-2	0.7%	2.5%	—	—	39.96

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Castellón at HT / Castellón at FT	33.1%	34.3%	—	—	2.91
Draw at HT / Castellón at FT	18.3%	16.8%	—	—	5.96
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	14.1%	12.0%	—	—	8.34
Albacete at HT / Albacete at FT	11.5%	12.0%	—	—	8.36
Draw at HT / Albacete at FT	9.5%	6.6%	—	—	15.16
Castellón at HT / Draw at FT	4.9%	3.4%	—	—	29.31
Albacete at HT / Draw at FT	4.3%	3.4%	—	—	29.33
Albacete at HT / Castellón at FT	2.7%	3.4%	—	—	29.40
Castellón at HT / Albacete at FT	1.7%	3.4%	—	—	29.44

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Castellón to score last	58.8%	56.6%	—	—	1.77
Albacete to score last	35.0%	37.9%	—	—	2.64
No goal scored	6.1%	6.2%	—	—	16.07

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	93.9%	93.7%	—	—	1.07
Castellón to lead by 1 at any time	67.5%	70.9%	—	—	1.41
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	48.6%	46.2%	—	—	2.17
Albacete to lead by 1 at any time	40.2%	42.0%	—	—	2.38
Castellón to lead by 2 at any time	36.1%	37.2%	—	—	2.69
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	18.8%	17.7%	—	—	5.65
Castellón to lead by 3 at any time	15.6%	17.6%	—	—	5.67
Albacete to lead by 2 at any time	12.7%	11.3%	—	—	8.83
Albacete to lead by 3 at any time	3.3%	2.6%	—	—	38.18

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Castellón most corners	77.2%	73.8%	—	—	1.36
Albacete most corners	15.6%	19.1%	—	—	5.22
Corners level	7.3%	8.5%	—	—	11.81

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	87.8%	87.9%	85.8%	1.02×	1.14
1-4 goals	79.4%	78.9%	78.0%	1.01×	1.27
2-6 goals	73.5%	73.6%	67.9%	1.09×	1.36
2-5 goals	69.7%	68.4%	64.3%	1.06×	1.46
1-3 goals	64.2%	62.3%	62.9%	0.99×	1.61
2-4 goals	61.3%	62.3%	56.5%	1.10×	1.61
3-6 goals	49.6%	48.0%	47.6%	1.01×	2.08
2-3 goals	46.1%	48.0%	41.4%	1.16×	2.08
3-5 goals	45.8%	48.0%	44.0%	1.09×	2.08
1-2 goals	42.0%	43.6%	41.9%	1.04×	2.29
3-4 goals	37.4%	38.8%	36.2%	1.07×	2.58
4-6 goals	27.4%	30.5%	26.6%	1.15×	3.28
4-5 goals	23.6%	24.7%	23.0%	1.08×	4.04
5-6 goals	12.2%	13.5%	11.5%	1.18×	7.43
7+ goals	2.2%	2.0%	1.6%	1.28×	49.42

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Castellón never behind	53.7%	61.4%	—	—	1.63
Albacete never behind	26.3%	30.9%	—	—	3.24

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even number of goals	49.7%	50.1%	48.4%	1.04×	1.99
Odd number of goals	50.3%	49.9%	51.6%	0.97×	2.01

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	54.9%	52.0%	—	—	1.93
Odd goals in 1st half	45.1%	48.1%	—	—	2.08

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	51.9%	51.7%	—	—	1.94
Odd goals in 2nd half	48.1%	48.3%	—	—	2.07

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 5.5 goals	93.9%	93.0%	94.9%	0.98×	1.08
Over 0.5 goals	93.9%	93.0%	90.9%	1.02×	1.08
Under 4.5 goals	85.6%	88.7%	87.1%	1.02×	1.13
Over 1.5 goals	75.8%	78.2%	69.3%	1.13×	1.28
Under 3.5 goals	70.3%	72.4%	72.0%	1.01×	1.38
Over 2.5 goals	51.8%	53.5%	49.1%	1.09×	1.87
Under 2.5 goals	48.2%	46.5%	50.9%	0.91×	2.15
Over 3.5 goals	29.7%	27.6%	28.0%	0.99×	3.62
Under 1.5 goals	24.2%	21.8%	30.7%	0.71×	4.59
Over 4.5 goals	14.4%	11.3%	12.9%	0.87×	8.87
Under 0.5 goals	6.1%	7.0%	9.1%	0.77×	14.21
Over 5.5 goals	6.1%	7.0%	5.1%	1.37×	14.21

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	97.7%	97.2%	98.4%	0.99×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	93.4%	92.7%	94.4%	0.98×	1.08
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	83.0%	80.7%	84.8%	0.95×	1.24
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	68.1%	68.1%	61.5%	1.11×	1.47
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	61.9%	62.3%	64.5%	0.97×	1.60
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	38.1%	37.7%	35.5%	1.06×	2.66
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	31.9%	31.9%	38.5%	0.83×	3.13
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	17.0%	19.3%	15.2%	1.27×	5.19
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	6.6%	7.3%	5.6%	1.30×	13.78
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	2.3%	2.8%	1.6%	1.70×	36.10

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	89.0%	88.1%	—	—	1.14
Over 0.5 in 1st half	68.4%	68.6%	—	—	1.46
Under 1.5 in 1st half	68.1%	68.6%	—	—	1.46
Over 1.5 in 1st half	31.9%	31.4%	—	—	3.18
Under 0.5 in 1st half	31.6%	31.4%	—	—	3.18
Over 2.5 in 1st half	11.0%	11.9%	—	—	8.42

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	79.9%	80.3%	—	—	1.25
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	78.4%	80.3%	—	—	1.25
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	47.3%	51.8%	—	—	1.93
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	52.7%	48.2%	—	—	2.08
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	21.6%	19.7%	—	—	5.07
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	20.1%	19.7%	—	—	5.08

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Albacete not to score in both halves	84.5%	81.6%	—	—	1.23
Castellón not to score in both halves	67.2%	67.0%	—	—	1.49
Castellón to score in both halves	32.8%	33.0%	—	—	3.03
Albacete to score in both halves	15.5%	18.4%	—	—	5.43

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	52.4%	54.7%	54.0%	1.01×	1.83
Only Castellón scores	29.7%	25.8%	23.6%	1.09×	3.88
Only Albacete scores	11.7%	10.8%	13.4%	0.80×	9.27
Neither team scores	6.1%	6.6%	9.1%	0.73×	15.07

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 2 goals	23.9%	21.6%	20.4%	1.06×	4.64
Exactly 3 goals	22.2%	21.5%	21.1%	1.02×	4.64
Exactly 1 goals	18.1%	18.6%	21.6%	0.86×	5.39
Exactly 4 goals	15.2%	18.5%	15.2%	1.22×	5.40
Exactly 5 goals	8.4%	7.6%	7.9%	0.97×	13.12
Exactly 0 goals	6.1%	7.6%	9.1%	0.83×	13.15
6 or more goals	6.1%	7.6%	5.1%	1.48×	13.15

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	47.3%	50.9%	—	—	1.97
1 goal in 2nd half	32.5%	33.2%	—	—	3.02
No goals in 2nd half	20.1%	18.4%	—	—	5.43

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Albacete not to win both halves	95.9%	96.6%	—	—	1.04
Castellón not to win both halves	82.9%	82.9%	—	—	1.21
Castellón to win both halves	17.1%	17.1%	—	—	5.84
Albacete to win both halves	4.1%	3.4%	—	—	29.82

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Castellón to win either half	65.8%	67.1%	—	—	1.49
Albacete to win neither half	63.2%	63.7%	—	—	1.57
Albacete to win either half	36.8%	36.3%	—	—	2.75
Castellón to win neither half	34.2%	32.9%	—	—	3.04

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Albacete not to win to nil	88.3%	88.3%	86.6%	1.02×	1.13
Castellón not to win to nil	70.3%	74.2%	76.4%	0.97×	1.35
Castellón to win to nil	29.7%	25.8%	23.6%	1.09×	3.88
Albacete to win to nil	11.7%	11.7%	13.4%	0.87×	8.55

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Castellón by 1	24.4%	23.8%	26.1%	0.91×	4.21
Draw	23.3%	23.7%	26.6%	0.89×	4.21
Castellón by 2	16.5%	17.0%	12.0%	1.42×	5.89
Albacete by 1	14.6%	11.9%	18.0%	0.66×	8.42
Castellón by 3+	13.1%	11.9%	7.7%	1.55×	8.43
Albacete by 2	5.8%	7.1%	7.0%	1.01×	14.14
Albacete by 3+	2.3%	2.8%	3.3%	0.87×	35.46