Castellón v Eldense — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Sunday 22 November 2026 · ESP-La Liga 2 · 2627

La Liga results-only Prediction generated 18 Sep 2026, 10:37 UTC

Castellón

20:00 UTC

Eldense

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 25 Oct, 11:02 · 681h before kick-off

Castellón win

63.0%

model 65.0%

Draw

18.6%

model 19.8%

Eldense win

18.4%

model 15.2%

631918

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (270 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

2-0 11.4%
1-0 11.3%
2-1 9.9%
1-1 9.4%
3-0 7.7%

Goals

Over 2.5	55.7%	Under 2.5	44.3%
BTTS yes	50.3%	BTTS no	49.7%
Castellón 1+	87.1%	Castellón 2+	60.6%
Eldense 1+	58.0%	Eldense 2+	21.5%

Expected goals 2.05 – 0.87. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

54/100

Data quality

65/100

Model agreement

99%

★ Best pick

Castellón over 1.5 goals

Home goals O/U · usually 42%

62.7% fair odds 1.60

strong signal · 918 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Eldense not to score in both halves

Score both halves

84.4% fair odds 1.19

moderate signal · 828 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

Castellón carry the stronger rating, 1616 Elo against 1398.
Form is good: 2.60 points a match from the last five.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Castellón have an estimated 63.0% win probability, against 18.6% for the draw and 18.4% for Eldense. Expected goals from the ensemble are 2.04 for Castellón and 0.87 for Eldense.

Why Castellón

Castellón carry the stronger rating, 1616 Elo against 1398. Form is good: 2.60 points a match from the last five.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 18.6%. Draws run at 26% in this competition.

Why Eldense can win

Nothing in the data singles out Eldense.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Castellón, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Eldense, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Castellón: 60% possession, 14.2 shots a match, 9.2 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Eldense: 43% possession, 13.0 shots a match, 13.8 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-10-25 14:59 · team_stats 2026-10-25 06:07 · availability 2026-10-25 15:02 · prediction 2026-09-18 10:37 ·

Castellón are the model's most likely outcome at 63.0%. The likeliest scoreline is 2-0 at 11.4%. Confidence 54/100, data quality 65/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

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Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	652015	2.05–0.87	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	661915	2.15–0.89	2-0 11%	58%	52%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Castellón to win	66.4%	64.8%	45.5%	1.42×	1.54
Draw	19.0%	19.4%	26.5%	0.73×	5.16
Eldense to win	14.6%	13.5%	28.1%	0.48×	7.41

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Castellón & not both score	36.5%	33.3%	23.6%	1.41×	3.01
Castellón & both teams score	29.9%	25.2%	22.0%	1.14×	3.97
Draw & both teams score	14.4%	13.3%	17.5%	0.76×	7.53
Eldense & both teams score	7.5%	8.3%	14.8%	0.56×	12.01
Eldense & not both score	7.1%	8.3%	13.4%	0.62×	12.01
Draw & not both score	4.6%	4.9%	9.1%	0.53×	20.52

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Castellón & over 1.5	55.9%	54.8%	32.6%	1.68×	1.82
Castellón & over 2.5	44.8%	40.3%	26.3%	1.53×	2.48
Castellón & under 3.5	39.4%	34.9%	32.2%	1.08×	2.87
Castellón & over 3.5	27.0%	26.1%	13.4%	1.94×	3.84
Castellón & under 2.5	21.6%	21.6%	19.3%	1.12×	4.63
Draw & over 1.5	14.4%	12.8%	17.5%	0.73×	7.79
Draw & under 2.5	13.6%	12.8%	20.2%	0.63×	7.79
Draw & under 3.5	13.6%	12.8%	20.2%	0.63×	7.79
Castellón & under 1.5	10.5%	12.8%	13.0%	0.99×	7.79
Eldense & under 3.5	11.0%	12.8%	19.6%	0.65×	7.79
Eldense & over 1.5	10.1%	12.8%	19.5%	0.66×	7.79
Eldense & over 2.5	8.2%	7.9%	16.7%	0.48×	12.63
Eldense & under 2.5	6.4%	7.9%	11.5%	0.69×	12.63
Draw & over 2.5	5.4%	7.9%	6.4%	1.24×	12.63
Draw & over 3.5	5.4%	7.9%	6.4%	1.24×	12.63
Draw & under 1.5	4.6%	4.8%	9.1%	0.53×	20.81
Eldense & under 1.5	4.5%	4.8%	8.7%	0.55×	20.81
Eldense & over 3.5	3.6%	4.8%	8.6%	0.56×	20.82

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Castellón (1UP)	77.2%	78.7%	—	—	1.27
Eldense (1UP)	32.1%	32.8%	—	—	3.04

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Castellón (2UP)	66.4%	68.2%	—	—	1.47
Eldense (2UP)	14.6%	14.2%	—	—	7.02

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Castellón to win 2nd half	53.4%	52.1%	—	—	1.92
2nd half drawn	30.4%	34.1%	—	—	2.93
Eldense to win 2nd half	16.3%	17.8%	—	—	5.61

2nd half away goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Eldense under 1.5 in 2nd half	90.0%	87.0%	—	—	1.15
Eldense under 0.5 in 2nd half	58.7%	54.4%	—	—	1.84
Eldense over 0.5 in 2nd half	41.3%	45.6%	—	—	2.19
Eldense over 1.5 in 2nd half	10.1%	13.0%	—	—	7.67

2nd half home goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Castellón over 0.5 in 2nd half	70.6%	74.2%	—	—	1.35
Castellón under 1.5 in 2nd half	65.4%	70.7%	—	—	1.42
Castellón over 1.5 in 2nd half	34.6%	29.3%	—	—	3.41
Castellón under 0.5 in 2nd half	29.4%	25.8%	—	—	3.88

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Castellón (+0.5)	85.4%	88.5%	71.9%	1.23×	1.13
Eldense (+2.5)	77.7%	78.5%	92.3%	0.85×	1.27
Castellón (-0.5)	66.4%	68.7%	45.5%	1.51×	1.46
Eldense (+1.5)	57.7%	57.0%	80.4%	0.71×	1.75
Castellón (-1.5)	42.3%	43.0%	19.6%	2.19×	2.33
Eldense (+0.5)	33.6%	31.3%	54.5%	0.57×	3.19
Castellón (-2.5)	22.3%	21.5%	7.7%	2.81×	4.65
Eldense (-0.5)	14.6%	11.5%	28.1%	0.41×	8.66

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Eldense to concede	88.3%	86.3%	77.6%	1.11×	1.16
Eldense clean sheet	11.7%	13.7%	22.4%	0.61×	7.29

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Eldense to concede in 1st half	60.3%	64.2%	—	—	1.56
Eldense clean sheet in 1st half	39.7%	35.8%	—	—	2.79

Away clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Eldense to concede in 2nd half	70.6%	71.2%	—	—	1.41
Eldense clean sheet in 2nd half	29.4%	28.8%	—	—	3.47

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Eldense under 6.5 corners	83.3%	81.4%	—	—	1.23
Eldense over 2.5 corners	74.8%	71.6%	—	—	1.40
Eldense under 5.5 corners	73.0%	71.6%	—	—	1.40
Eldense under 4.5 corners	59.1%	57.2%	—	—	1.75
Eldense over 3.5 corners	57.7%	57.2%	—	—	1.75
Eldense under 3.5 corners	42.3%	42.8%	—	—	2.33
Eldense over 4.5 corners	40.9%	42.8%	—	—	2.34
Eldense over 5.5 corners	27.0%	28.4%	—	—	3.52
Eldense under 2.5 corners	25.2%	28.4%	—	—	3.52
Eldense over 6.5 corners	16.7%	18.6%	—	—	5.38

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Eldense under 3.5 goals	98.7%	97.5%	97.0%	1.01×	1.03
Eldense under 2.5 goals	93.9%	92.4%	89.1%	1.04×	1.08
Eldense under 1.5 goals	77.7%	76.3%	69.4%	1.10×	1.31
Eldense over 0.5 goals	58.9%	59.4%	67.4%	0.88×	1.68
Eldense under 0.5 goals	41.1%	40.6%	32.6%	1.24×	2.47
Eldense over 1.5 goals	22.3%	23.7%	30.6%	0.78×	4.21
Eldense over 2.5 goals	6.1%	7.6%	10.9%	0.70×	13.07
Eldense over 3.5 goals	1.3%	2.5%	3.0%	0.82×	40.00

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Eldense under 1.5 in 1st half	95.0%	93.9%	—	—	1.07
Eldense under 0.5 in 1st half	70.1%	67.2%	—	—	1.49
Eldense over 0.5 in 1st half	29.9%	32.8%	—	—	3.05
Eldense over 1.5 in 1st half	5.0%	6.1%	—	—	16.36

Away highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Eldense scores equally in both	49.3%	48.3%	—	—	2.07
Eldense scores more in 2nd half	31.5%	33.2%	—	—	3.01
Eldense scores more in 1st half	19.2%	18.2%	—	—	5.50

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Castellón (away no bet)	77.8%	73.6%	63.2%	1.17×	1.36
Draw (away no bet)	22.2%	26.4%	36.8%	0.72×	3.79

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Eldense even goals	58.4%	56.9%	54.6%	1.04×	1.76
Eldense odd goals	41.6%	43.1%	45.4%	0.95×	2.32

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	80.9%	82.7%	—	—	1.21
Both halves over 1.5 goals	19.2%	17.3%	—	—	5.79

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	69.7%	68.5%	—	—	1.46
Both halves under 1.5 goals	30.3%	31.5%	—	—	3.18

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	64.8%	60.1%	—	—	1.67
Castellón to score 2+ in a row	56.1%	55.0%	—	—	1.82
Either team to score 3+ in a row	30.0%	29.0%	—	—	3.45
Castellón to score 3+ in a row	27.6%	25.1%	—	—	3.99
Eldense to score 2+ in a row	14.4%	12.1%	—	—	8.28
Eldense to score 3+ in a row	2.7%	2.6%	—	—	39.16

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Castellón corners (+3.5)	91.1%	89.6%	—	—	1.12
Castellón corners (+2.5)	85.8%	84.5%	—	—	1.18
Castellón corners (+1.5)	78.7%	74.8%	—	—	1.34
Eldense corners (+3.5)	72.2%	70.7%	—	—	1.41
Eldense corners (+2.5)	62.5%	61.8%	—	—	1.62
Eldense corners (+1.5)	51.8%	52.4%	—	—	1.91
Castellón corners (-1.5)	48.2%	47.6%	—	—	2.10
Castellón corners (-2.5)	37.5%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
Castellón corners (-3.5)	27.8%	29.3%	—	—	3.42
Eldense corners (-1.5)	21.3%	25.2%	—	—	3.97
Eldense corners (-2.5)	14.2%	15.5%	—	—	6.45
Eldense corners (-3.5)	8.9%	10.4%	—	—	9.59

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-8 corners	38.3%	34.0%	—	—	2.94
12+ corners	31.1%	33.2%	—	—	3.01
9-11 corners	30.6%	33.2%	—	—	3.01

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 12.5 corners	76.9%	76.6%	—	—	1.31
Over 7.5 corners	72.1%	72.5%	—	—	1.38
Under 11.5 corners	68.9%	67.8%	—	—	1.47
Over 8.5 corners	61.7%	63.2%	—	—	1.58
Under 10.5 corners	59.5%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Over 9.5 corners	50.9%	53.1%	—	—	1.88
Under 9.5 corners	49.1%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
Over 10.5 corners	40.5%	42.1%	—	—	2.38
Under 8.5 corners	38.3%	36.8%	—	—	2.72
Over 11.5 corners	31.1%	32.2%	—	—	3.11
Under 7.5 corners	27.9%	27.5%	—	—	3.64
Over 12.5 corners	23.1%	23.4%	—	—	4.27

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.1%	—	—	1.99
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.9%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-0	11.1%	11.5%	6.4%	1.79×	8.72
1-0	10.5%	11.5%	13.0%	0.88×	8.72
1-1	9.0%	7.4%	11.2%	0.66×	13.51
2-1	9.8%	7.4%	10.1%	0.74×	13.51
3-0	7.9%	7.4%	3.0%	2.44×	13.51
3-1	7.0%	7.4%	4.6%	1.60×	13.51
Any other score	6.9%	7.4%	2.7%	2.72×	13.51
0-0	4.6%	1.7%	9.1%	0.19×	58.29
0-1	4.5%	1.7%	8.7%	0.20×	58.29
0-2	1.9%	1.7%	2.9%	0.58×	58.31
0-3	0.6%	1.7%	1.3%	1.36×	58.32
0-4	0.1%	1.7%	0.7%	2.34×	58.32
1-2	4.1%	1.7%	7.0%	0.24×	58.30
1-3	1.2%	1.7%	3.7%	0.47×	58.31
1-4	0.3%	1.7%	0.8%	2.04×	58.32
2-2	4.4%	1.7%	5.7%	0.30×	58.29
2-3	1.3%	1.7%	2.3%	0.74×	58.31
2-4	0.3%	1.7%	0.7%	2.34×	58.32
3-2	3.1%	1.7%	2.8%	0.61×	58.30
3-3	0.9%	1.7%	0.7%	2.34×	58.31
3-4	0.2%	1.7%	0.2%	8.18×	58.32
4-0	4.3%	1.7%	1.2%	1.49×	58.30
4-1	3.8%	1.7%	1.9%	0.91×	58.30
4-2	1.7%	1.7%	1.2%	1.49×	58.31
4-3	0.5%	1.7%	0.3%	5.45×	58.32
4-4	0.1%	1.7%	0.2%	8.18×	58.32

DNB 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Castellón (2nd half DNB)	76.7%	80.2%	—	—	1.25
Eldense (2nd half DNB)	23.3%	19.8%	—	—	5.06

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Castellón leading at HT (DNB)	77.7%	74.9%	—	—	1.34
Eldense leading at HT (DNB)	22.3%	25.1%	—	—	3.99

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Castellón or draw (1X)	85.4%	86.5%	71.9%	1.20×	1.16
Castellón or Eldense (12)	81.0%	80.6%	73.5%	1.10×	1.24
Eldense or draw (X2)	33.6%	35.2%	54.5%	0.65×	2.84

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Castellón or draw at HT	86.1%	88.1%	—	—	1.14
Castellón or Eldense at HT	62.3%	60.9%	—	—	1.64
Eldense or draw at HT	51.6%	47.6%	—	—	2.10

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Castellón or draw (1UP)	85.4%	91.7%	—	—	1.09
Eldense or draw (1UP)	33.6%	39.0%	—	—	2.56

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Castellón or draw in 2nd half	83.7%	82.2%	—	—	1.22
Castellón or Eldense in 2nd half	69.6%	65.9%	—	—	1.52
Eldense or draw in 2nd half	46.6%	47.9%	—	—	2.09

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	56.9%	58.7%	—	—	1.70
Neither half drawn	43.1%	41.3%	—	—	2.42

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Castellón (DNB)	81.9%	80.3%	61.8%	1.30×	1.25
Eldense (DNB)	18.1%	19.7%	38.2%	0.52×	5.08

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Castellón to score first	67.5%	69.6%	—	—	1.44
Eldense to score first	27.9%	27.9%	—	—	3.59
No goal scored	4.6%	4.4%	—	—	22.96

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams to score	51.8%	51.3%	54.1%	0.95×	1.95
Not both teams to score	48.2%	48.7%	45.9%	1.06×	2.05

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both score & over 2.5	42.8%	41.6%	43.0%	0.97×	2.41
Not both score & under 2.5	32.6%	34.5%	39.7%	0.87×	2.90
Not both score & over 2.5	15.6%	21.5%	6.3%	3.42×	4.65
Both score & under 2.5	9.0%	8.3%	11.2%	0.74×	12.07

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	85.9%	85.6%	85.6%	1.00×	1.17
Both teams to score 2+	14.1%	14.4%	14.4%	1.00×	6.94

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	70.9%	73.6%	—	—	1.36
Both teams to score in 2nd half	29.1%	26.4%	—	—	3.79

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	58.2%	60.0%	—	—	1.67
Both score 2nd half only	23.8%	21.0%	—	—	4.76
Both score 1st half only	12.7%	10.8%	—	—	9.27
Both score in both halves	5.3%	6.8%	—	—	14.77

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	82.0%	83.1%	—	—	1.20
Both teams to score by HT	18.0%	16.9%	—	—	5.92

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A goal in each half	59.6%	57.1%	—	—	1.75
A half without a goal	40.4%	42.9%	—	—	2.33

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	44.3%	42.2%	41.3%	1.02×	2.37
4-6 goals	32.5%	30.7%	26.7%	1.15×	3.25
0-1 goals	19.6%	20.2%	30.6%	0.66×	4.95
7+ goals	3.5%	1.8%	1.6%	1.17×	54.18

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Eldense to score exactly 0	41.1%	37.3%	32.6%	1.14×	2.68
Eldense to score exactly 1	36.5%	35.9%	36.9%	0.97×	2.78
Eldense to score exactly 2	16.2%	19.6%	19.8%	0.99×	5.11
Eldense to score 3+	6.1%	8.5%	10.9%	0.78×	11.71

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Castellón to score 3+	36.3%	35.6%	17.2%	2.07×	2.81
Castellón to score exactly 2	26.9%	26.5%	24.9%	1.06×	3.77
Castellón to score exactly 1	25.1%	26.5%	35.6%	0.74×	3.77
Castellón to score exactly 0	11.7%	14.3%	22.4%	0.64×	6.99

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Castellón leading at HT	48.4%	52.4%	—	—	1.91
Draw at HT	37.7%	39.1%	—	—	2.56
Eldense leading at HT	13.9%	11.9%	—	—	8.43

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Castellón -1: 1	42.3%	42.8%	—	—	2.34
Castellón -1: 2	33.6%	30.1%	—	—	3.33
Castellón -1: X	24.1%	23.5%	—	—	4.25

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Castellón (0:1)	42.3%	42.6%	19.6%	2.18×	2.35
Eldense (0:1)	33.6%	30.1%	54.5%	0.55×	3.32
Draw (0:1)	24.1%	24.2%	26.0%	0.93×	4.13

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Eldense (0:2)	57.7%	63.1%	80.4%	0.78×	1.59
Castellón (0:2)	22.3%	20.3%	7.7%	2.66×	4.92
Draw (0:2)	20.0%	20.3%	12.1%	1.68×	4.93

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Eldense (0:3)	77.7%	80.6%	92.3%	0.87×	1.24
Draw (0:3)	12.5%	9.9%	5.3%	1.86×	10.08
Castellón (0:3)	9.8%	5.8%	2.4%	2.41×	17.19

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Eldense (0:4)	90.2%	94.5%	97.6%	0.97×	1.06
Draw (0:4)	6.2%	4.6%	2.1%	2.21×	21.57
Castellón (0:4)	3.6%	1.2%	0.4%	2.92×	81.76

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Castellón (1:0)	85.4%	86.0%	71.9%	1.20×	1.16
Draw (1:0)	10.1%	12.7%	17.9%	0.71×	7.88
Eldense (1:0)	4.5%	3.3%	10.3%	0.32×	30.42

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Castellón (2:0)	95.5%	96.8%	89.7%	1.08×	1.03
Draw (2:0)	3.4%	2.3%	7.1%	0.32×	43.67
Eldense (2:0)	1.1%	2.3%	3.2%	0.70×	43.82

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	48.8%	48.7%	—	—	2.05
1st half highest scoring	28.1%	26.2%	—	—	3.81
Halves equal	23.1%	24.4%	—	—	4.10

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Castellón to concede	58.9%	60.7%	67.4%	0.90×	1.65
Castellón clean sheet	41.1%	39.3%	32.6%	1.21×	2.54

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Castellón clean sheet in 1st half	70.1%	66.4%	—	—	1.51
Castellón to concede in 1st half	29.9%	33.6%	—	—	2.98

Home clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Castellón clean sheet in 2nd half	58.7%	54.7%	—	—	1.83
Castellón to concede in 2nd half	41.3%	45.3%	—	—	2.21

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Castellón over 2.5 corners	87.3%	86.2%	—	—	1.16
Castellón over 3.5 corners	75.7%	76.5%	—	—	1.31
Castellón under 6.5 corners	65.4%	66.7%	—	—	1.50
Castellón over 4.5 corners	61.8%	62.3%	—	—	1.61
Castellón under 5.5 corners	52.5%	52.6%	—	—	1.90
Castellón over 5.5 corners	47.5%	47.4%	—	—	2.11
Castellón under 4.5 corners	38.2%	37.7%	—	—	2.65
Castellón over 6.5 corners	34.6%	33.3%	—	—	3.01
Castellón under 3.5 corners	24.3%	23.5%	—	—	4.26
Castellón under 2.5 corners	12.7%	13.8%	—	—	7.27

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Castellón over 0.5 goals	88.3%	87.3%	77.6%	1.13×	1.15
Castellón under 3.5 goals	83.0%	82.2%	93.7%	0.88×	1.22
Castellón under 2.5 goals	63.7%	63.6%	82.8%	0.77×	1.57
Castellón over 1.5 goals	63.2%	63.6%	42.0%	1.51×	1.57
Castellón under 1.5 goals	36.8%	36.4%	58.0%	0.63×	2.75
Castellón over 2.5 goals	36.3%	36.4%	17.2%	2.12×	2.75
Castellón over 3.5 goals	17.0%	17.8%	6.3%	2.83×	5.63
Castellón under 0.5 goals	11.7%	12.7%	22.4%	0.57×	7.85

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Castellón under 1.5 in 1st half	76.4%	76.9%	—	—	1.30
Castellón over 0.5 in 1st half	60.3%	63.8%	—	—	1.57
Castellón under 0.5 in 1st half	39.7%	36.2%	—	—	2.76
Castellón over 1.5 in 1st half	23.6%	23.1%	—	—	4.34

Home highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Castellón scores more in 2nd half	43.0%	42.1%	—	—	2.38
Castellón scores equally in both	29.1%	27.9%	—	—	3.59
Castellón scores more in 1st half	27.8%	27.9%	—	—	3.59

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw (home no bet)	56.5%	56.4%	48.6%	1.16×	1.77
Eldense (home no bet)	43.5%	43.6%	51.4%	0.85×	2.29

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Castellón even goals	50.7%	50.7%	51.7%	0.98×	1.97
Castellón odd goals	49.3%	49.3%	48.3%	1.02×	2.03

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	27.8%	28.5%	—	—	3.51
HT 1-0	25.7%	28.4%	—	—	3.52
HT 2-0	11.9%	11.0%	—	—	9.11
HT 0-1	9.9%	6.9%	—	—	14.42
HT 1-1	9.1%	6.9%	—	—	14.43
Any other HT score	7.2%	6.9%	—	—	14.46
HT 2-1	4.2%	2.4%	—	—	41.93
HT 0-2	1.8%	2.4%	—	—	42.09
HT 1-2	1.6%	2.4%	—	—	42.10
HT 2-2	0.8%	2.4%	—	—	42.16

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Castellón at HT / Castellón at FT	43.1%	41.7%	—	—	2.40
Draw at HT / Castellón at FT	20.3%	21.6%	—	—	4.63
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	11.2%	12.6%	—	—	7.92
Eldense at HT / Eldense at FT	7.2%	6.1%	—	—	16.44
Draw at HT / Eldense at FT	6.2%	6.1%	—	—	16.47
Castellón at HT / Draw at FT	4.2%	3.5%	—	—	28.82
Eldense at HT / Draw at FT	3.6%	3.5%	—	—	28.84
Eldense at HT / Castellón at FT	3.0%	3.5%	—	—	28.86
Castellón at HT / Eldense at FT	1.2%	3.5%	—	—	28.93

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Castellón to score last	67.4%	70.5%	—	—	1.42
Eldense to score last	28.0%	27.6%	—	—	3.63
No goal scored	4.6%	4.4%	—	—	22.96

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	95.4%	95.6%	—	—	1.05
Castellón to lead by 1 at any time	77.2%	78.3%	—	—	1.28
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	56.9%	54.9%	—	—	1.82
Castellón to lead by 2 at any time	48.8%	44.4%	—	—	2.25
Eldense to lead by 1 at any time	32.1%	29.8%	—	—	3.36
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	27.2%	25.4%	—	—	3.94
Castellón to lead by 3 at any time	25.4%	25.3%	—	—	3.95
Eldense to lead by 2 at any time	8.4%	6.7%	—	—	14.92
Eldense to lead by 3 at any time	1.8%	1.6%	—	—	63.19

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Castellón most corners	59.2%	55.7%	—	—	1.80
Eldense most corners	30.4%	34.4%	—	—	2.91
Corners level	10.4%	10.4%	—	—	9.58

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	86.7%	87.4%	85.8%	1.02×	1.14
2-6 goals	76.9%	78.7%	67.9%	1.16×	1.27
1-4 goals	76.4%	78.7%	78.1%	1.01×	1.27
2-5 goals	71.7%	72.3%	64.4%	1.12×	1.38
2-4 goals	61.3%	63.3%	56.6%	1.12×	1.58
1-3 goals	59.4%	59.1%	62.8%	0.94×	1.69
3-6 goals	54.9%	53.2%	47.7%	1.11×	1.88
3-5 goals	49.7%	48.5%	44.1%	1.10×	2.06
2-3 goals	44.3%	43.6%	41.3%	1.06×	2.29
3-4 goals	39.4%	39.2%	36.4%	1.08×	2.55
1-2 goals	37.0%	39.2%	41.8%	0.94×	2.55
4-6 goals	32.5%	35.2%	26.7%	1.32×	2.84
4-5 goals	27.3%	30.2%	23.2%	1.30×	3.31
5-6 goals	15.5%	18.8%	11.4%	1.65×	5.31
7+ goals	3.5%	2.6%	1.6%	1.63×	39.10

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Castellón never behind	63.3%	68.4%	—	—	1.46
Eldense never behind	18.2%	18.3%	—	—	5.45

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even number of goals	49.7%	50.9%	48.5%	1.05×	1.96
Odd number of goals	50.3%	49.1%	51.5%	0.95×	2.04

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	53.8%	51.8%	—	—	1.93
Odd goals in 1st half	46.2%	48.2%	—	—	2.07

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	51.3%	51.9%	—	—	1.93
Odd goals in 2nd half	48.7%	48.1%	—	—	2.08

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 goals	95.4%	95.4%	90.9%	1.05×	1.05
Under 5.5 goals	91.3%	92.3%	94.9%	0.97×	1.08
Under 4.5 goals	81.0%	82.3%	87.1%	0.95×	1.22
Over 1.5 goals	80.4%	82.3%	69.4%	1.19×	1.22
Under 3.5 goals	64.0%	61.7%	71.8%	0.86×	1.62
Over 2.5 goals	58.4%	58.6%	49.2%	1.19×	1.71
Under 2.5 goals	41.6%	41.4%	50.8%	0.81×	2.42
Over 3.5 goals	36.0%	38.3%	28.2%	1.36×	2.61
Under 1.5 goals	19.6%	17.7%	30.6%	0.58×	5.65
Over 4.5 goals	19.0%	17.7%	12.9%	1.37×	5.65
Over 5.5 goals	8.7%	7.7%	5.1%	1.50×	12.94
Under 0.5 goals	4.6%	4.6%	9.1%	0.50×	21.82

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	96.3%	97.2%	98.4%	0.99×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	90.3%	92.4%	94.4%	0.98×	1.08
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	77.1%	75.9%	84.8%	0.90×	1.32
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	74.9%	72.4%	61.6%	1.17×	1.38
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	53.6%	51.9%	64.3%	0.81×	1.93
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	46.4%	48.1%	35.7%	1.35×	2.08
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	25.1%	27.6%	38.4%	0.72×	3.62
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	22.9%	24.1%	15.2%	1.58×	4.15
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	9.7%	7.6%	5.6%	1.37×	13.15
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	3.7%	2.8%	1.6%	1.72×	35.56

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	86.2%	89.0%	—	—	1.12
Over 0.5 in 1st half	72.2%	71.4%	—	—	1.40
Under 1.5 in 1st half	63.5%	63.2%	—	—	1.58
Over 1.5 in 1st half	36.5%	36.8%	—	—	2.72
Under 0.5 in 1st half	27.8%	28.6%	—	—	3.50
Over 2.5 in 1st half	13.8%	11.0%	—	—	9.07

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	82.8%	83.0%	—	—	1.21
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	74.2%	77.6%	—	—	1.29
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	52.3%	53.3%	—	—	1.88
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	47.7%	46.7%	—	—	2.14
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	25.8%	22.4%	—	—	4.47
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	17.2%	17.0%	—	—	5.87

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Eldense not to score in both halves	87.6%	85.5%	—	—	1.17
Castellón not to score in both halves	57.5%	58.2%	—	—	1.72
Castellón to score in both halves	42.5%	41.8%	—	—	2.39
Eldense to score in both halves	12.4%	14.5%	—	—	6.92

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	51.8%	53.8%	54.1%	1.00×	1.86
Only Castellón scores	36.5%	39.9%	23.6%	1.69×	2.51
Only Eldense scores	7.1%	7.1%	13.4%	0.53×	14.03
Neither team scores	4.6%	4.6%	9.1%	0.51×	21.60

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 3 goals	22.4%	22.6%	21.1%	1.07×	4.43
Exactly 2 goals	21.9%	22.6%	20.3%	1.11×	4.43
Exactly 4 goals	17.0%	17.5%	15.4%	1.13×	5.73
Exactly 1 goals	15.0%	17.5%	21.6%	0.81×	5.73
Exactly 5 goals	10.3%	12.1%	7.9%	1.54×	8.25
6 or more goals	8.7%	7.6%	5.1%	1.48×	13.14
Exactly 0 goals	4.6%	4.5%	9.1%	0.49×	22.35

Total goals 1st half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1 goal in 1st half	35.7%	37.3%	—	—	2.68
No goals in 1st half	27.8%	28.5%	—	—	3.50
2 goals in 1st half	22.7%	21.5%	—	—	4.66
3+ goals in 1st half	13.8%	10.9%	—	—	9.15

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	52.3%	51.4%	—	—	1.94
1 goal in 2nd half	30.5%	33.7%	—	—	2.97
No goals in 2nd half	17.2%	16.7%	—	—	6.00

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Eldense not to win both halves	97.8%	97.2%	—	—	1.03
Castellón not to win both halves	74.2%	73.4%	—	—	1.36
Castellón to win both halves	25.8%	26.6%	—	—	3.76
Eldense to win both halves	2.2%	2.8%	—	—	36.08

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Castellón to win either half	76.0%	79.7%	—	—	1.25
Eldense to win neither half	72.1%	72.9%	—	—	1.37
Eldense to win either half	27.9%	27.1%	—	—	3.69
Castellón to win neither half	24.0%	20.3%	—	—	4.93

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Eldense not to win to nil	92.9%	92.1%	86.6%	1.06×	1.09
Castellón not to win to nil	63.5%	66.6%	76.4%	0.87×	1.50
Castellón to win to nil	36.5%	33.4%	23.6%	1.42×	2.99
Eldense to win to nil	7.1%	7.9%	13.4%	0.59×	12.64

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Castellón by 1	24.1%	24.1%	26.0%	0.93×	4.15
Castellón by 3+	22.3%	24.1%	7.7%	3.15×	4.15
Castellón by 2	20.0%	24.1%	12.1%	2.00×	4.15
Draw	19.0%	17.1%	26.5%	0.64×	5.87
Eldense by 1	10.1%	11.7%	17.9%	0.66×	8.51
Eldense by 2	3.4%	2.7%	7.1%	0.38×	36.82
Eldense by 3+	1.1%	2.7%	3.2%	0.83×	36.90