Catanzaro v Padova — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Saturday 31 October 2026 · ITA-Serie B · 2627

ITA-Serie B results-only Prediction generated 18 Sep 2026, 10:37 UTC

Catanzaro

18:00 UTC

Padova

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 27 Oct, 10:57 · 103h before kick-off

Catanzaro win

51.2%

model 53.3%

Draw

26.7%

model 26.3%

Padova win

22.1%

model 20.4%

512722

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (466 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-1 12.6%
1-0 9.9%
2-1 9.8%
2-0 9.7%
0-0 7.8%

Goals

Over 2.5	51.7%	Under 2.5	48.3%
BTTS yes	53.5%	BTTS no	46.5%
Catanzaro 1+	82.4%	Catanzaro 2+	51.9%
Padova 1+	63.3%	Padova 2+	26.5%

Expected goals 1.74 – 1.00. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

51/100

Data quality

75/100

Model agreement

99%

★ Best pick

Catanzaro (-0.5)

Asian handicap · usually 43%

52.2% fair odds 1.92

moderate signal · 1133 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Padova not to score in both halves

Score both halves

84.2% fair odds 1.19

moderate signal · 829 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

Catanzaro carry the stronger rating, 1492 Elo against 1452.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Catanzaro have an estimated 51.2% win probability, against 26.7% for the draw and 22.1% for Padova. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.74 for Catanzaro and 1.00 for Padova.

Why Catanzaro

Catanzaro carry the stronger rating, 1492 Elo against 1452.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 26.7%. Draws run at 32% in this competition.

Why Padova can win

Form is good: 2.00 points a match from the last five.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Catanzaro, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Padova, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Catanzaro: 57% possession, 13.2 shots a match, 15.4 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Padova: 40% possession, 10.4 shots a match, 18.2 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-10-27 10:01 · team_stats 2026-10-27 06:03 · availability 2026-10-27 14:57 · prediction 2026-09-18 10:37 ·

Catanzaro are the model's most likely outcome at 51.2%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 12.6%. Confidence 51/100, data quality 75/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

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Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	532620	1.74–1.00	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	532720	1.65–0.93	1-1 13%	48%	50%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Catanzaro to win	52.8%	51.6%	42.7%	1.21×	1.94
Draw	27.3%	27.9%	31.9%	0.88×	3.58
Padova to win	19.9%	19.4%	25.5%	0.76×	5.15

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Catanzaro & not both score	30.5%	29.6%	23.9%	1.24×	3.38
Catanzaro & both teams score	22.4%	21.8%	18.9%	1.15×	4.59
Draw & both teams score	18.3%	18.0%	22.9%	0.78×	5.56
Padova & not both score	10.3%	13.3%	13.3%	0.99×	7.54
Padova & both teams score	9.6%	8.3%	12.3%	0.68×	11.99
Draw & not both score	9.0%	8.3%	9.1%	0.92×	12.00

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Catanzaro & over 1.5	41.7%	40.3%	31.8%	1.27×	2.48
Catanzaro & under 3.5	36.7%	34.9%	31.9%	1.09×	2.87
Catanzaro & over 2.5	31.4%	30.7%	24.4%	1.26×	3.25
Draw & under 2.5	22.0%	21.6%	23.7%	0.91×	4.63
Draw & under 3.5	22.0%	21.6%	23.7%	0.91×	4.63
Catanzaro & under 2.5	21.5%	21.6%	18.4%	1.17×	4.63
Draw & over 1.5	18.3%	18.0%	22.9%	0.79×	5.56
Catanzaro & over 3.5	16.1%	18.0%	11.0%	1.64×	5.56
Padova & under 3.5	15.4%	18.0%	19.9%	0.90×	5.56
Padova & over 1.5	14.2%	12.8%	18.8%	0.68×	7.79
Catanzaro & under 1.5	11.2%	12.8%	11.1%	1.16×	7.79
Padova & over 2.5	10.9%	12.8%	15.1%	0.85×	7.79
Draw & under 1.5	9.0%	7.9%	9.1%	0.87×	12.63
Padova & under 2.5	9.0%	7.9%	10.6%	0.75×	12.63
Draw & over 2.5	5.3%	7.9%	8.3%	0.95×	12.63
Draw & over 3.5	5.3%	7.9%	8.3%	0.95×	12.63
Padova & under 1.5	5.7%	7.9%	6.8%	1.16×	12.63
Padova & over 3.5	4.4%	4.8%	5.7%	0.84×	20.81

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Catanzaro (1UP)	66.2%	70.2%	—	—	1.43
Padova (1UP)	37.1%	34.1%	—	—	2.93

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Catanzaro (2UP)	52.8%	55.3%	—	—	1.81
Padova (2UP)	19.9%	17.2%	—	—	5.82

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Catanzaro to win 2nd half	42.7%	42.0%	—	—	2.38
2nd half drawn	36.7%	36.4%	—	—	2.75
Padova to win 2nd half	20.6%	24.2%	—	—	4.13

2nd half away goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Padova under 1.5 in 2nd half	89.2%	87.2%	—	—	1.15
Padova under 0.5 in 2nd half	57.2%	54.4%	—	—	1.84
Padova over 0.5 in 2nd half	42.8%	45.6%	—	—	2.19
Padova over 1.5 in 2nd half	10.8%	12.8%	—	—	7.83

2nd half home goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Catanzaro under 1.5 in 2nd half	75.9%	75.2%	—	—	1.33
Catanzaro over 0.5 in 2nd half	60.9%	63.0%	—	—	1.59
Catanzaro under 0.5 in 2nd half	39.1%	37.0%	—	—	2.71
Catanzaro over 1.5 in 2nd half	24.1%	24.8%	—	—	4.03

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Padova (+2.5)	87.4%	88.5%	93.3%	0.95×	1.13
Catanzaro (+0.5)	80.1%	82.6%	74.5%	1.11×	1.21
Padova (+1.5)	70.7%	73.6%	80.3%	0.92×	1.36
Catanzaro (-0.5)	52.8%	52.4%	42.7%	1.23×	1.91
Padova (+0.5)	47.2%	47.6%	57.3%	0.83×	2.10
Catanzaro (-1.5)	29.3%	26.4%	19.7%	1.34×	3.79
Padova (-0.5)	19.9%	17.4%	25.5%	0.68×	5.73
Catanzaro (-2.5)	12.6%	11.5%	6.7%	1.72×	8.67

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Padova to concede	80.7%	81.4%	77.7%	1.05×	1.23
Padova clean sheet	19.3%	18.6%	22.3%	0.83×	5.39

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Padova to concede in 1st half	50.7%	50.8%	—	—	1.97
Padova clean sheet in 1st half	49.3%	49.2%	—	—	2.03

Away clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Padova to concede in 2nd half	60.9%	61.6%	—	—	1.62
Padova clean sheet in 2nd half	39.1%	38.4%	—	—	2.61

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Padova under 6.5 corners	87.5%	85.2%	—	—	1.17
Padova under 5.5 corners	78.7%	76.1%	—	—	1.32
Padova over 2.5 corners	68.7%	67.6%	—	—	1.48
Padova under 4.5 corners	66.0%	67.6%	—	—	1.48
Padova over 3.5 corners	50.4%	53.1%	—	—	1.88
Padova under 3.5 corners	49.6%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
Padova over 4.5 corners	34.0%	32.4%	—	—	3.09
Padova under 2.5 corners	31.3%	32.4%	—	—	3.09
Padova over 5.5 corners	21.3%	23.9%	—	—	4.18
Padova over 6.5 corners	12.5%	14.8%	—	—	6.77

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Padova under 3.5 goals	98.5%	97.5%	98.1%	0.99×	1.03
Padova under 2.5 goals	93.2%	92.4%	90.8%	1.02×	1.08
Padova under 1.5 goals	76.1%	76.2%	69.4%	1.10×	1.31
Padova over 0.5 goals	60.5%	63.2%	67.1%	0.94×	1.58
Padova under 0.5 goals	39.5%	36.8%	32.9%	1.12×	2.72
Padova over 1.5 goals	23.9%	23.8%	30.6%	0.78×	4.21
Padova over 2.5 goals	6.8%	7.6%	9.2%	0.83×	13.08
Padova over 3.5 goals	1.5%	2.5%	1.9%	1.34×	39.89

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Padova under 1.5 in 1st half	94.6%	94.0%	—	—	1.06
Padova under 0.5 in 1st half	68.9%	70.4%	—	—	1.42
Padova over 0.5 in 1st half	31.1%	29.6%	—	—	3.38
Padova over 1.5 in 1st half	5.4%	6.0%	—	—	16.68

Away highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Padova scores equally in both	48.1%	48.2%	—	—	2.07
Padova scores more in 2nd half	32.3%	33.3%	—	—	3.01
Padova scores more in 1st half	19.6%	18.2%	—	—	5.49

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Catanzaro (away no bet)	65.9%	66.4%	57.3%	1.16×	1.51
Draw (away no bet)	34.1%	33.6%	42.7%	0.79×	2.98

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Padova even goals	57.8%	56.9%	55.4%	1.03×	1.76
Padova odd goals	42.2%	43.1%	44.6%	0.97×	2.32

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	87.1%	87.9%	—	—	1.14
Both halves over 1.5 goals	12.9%	12.1%	—	—	8.24

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	61.2%	57.4%	—	—	1.74
Both halves under 1.5 goals	38.8%	42.6%	—	—	2.35

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	54.2%	51.0%	—	—	1.96
Catanzaro to score 2+ in a row	42.0%	38.7%	—	—	2.58
Either team to score 3+ in a row	20.0%	16.2%	—	—	6.17
Padova to score 2+ in a row	16.9%	16.1%	—	—	6.20
Catanzaro to score 3+ in a row	16.6%	16.1%	—	—	6.20
Padova to score 3+ in a row	3.6%	2.6%	—	—	38.78

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Catanzaro corners (+3.5)	93.2%	89.6%	—	—	1.12
Catanzaro corners (+2.5)	88.8%	84.5%	—	—	1.18
Catanzaro corners (+1.5)	82.5%	79.8%	—	—	1.25
Padova corners (+3.5)	67.7%	65.9%	—	—	1.52
Padova corners (+2.5)	57.6%	57.2%	—	—	1.75
Catanzaro corners (-1.5)	53.4%	52.4%	—	—	1.91
Padova corners (+1.5)	46.6%	47.6%	—	—	2.10
Catanzaro corners (-2.5)	42.4%	42.8%	—	—	2.33
Catanzaro corners (-3.5)	32.3%	34.1%	—	—	2.93
Padova corners (-1.5)	17.5%	20.2%	—	—	4.95
Padova corners (-2.5)	11.2%	15.5%	—	—	6.45
Padova corners (-3.5)	6.8%	10.4%	—	—	9.60

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-8 corners	42.0%	38.3%	—	—	2.61
9-11 corners	29.7%	31.2%	—	—	3.20
12+ corners	28.3%	31.2%	—	—	3.21

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 12.5 corners	79.1%	76.6%	—	—	1.31
Under 11.5 corners	71.7%	72.5%	—	—	1.38
Over 7.5 corners	68.6%	67.8%	—	—	1.48
Under 10.5 corners	62.8%	63.3%	—	—	1.58
Over 8.5 corners	58.0%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Under 9.5 corners	52.8%	53.2%	—	—	1.88
Over 9.5 corners	47.2%	46.8%	—	—	2.14
Under 8.5 corners	42.0%	42.1%	—	—	2.37
Over 10.5 corners	37.2%	36.7%	—	—	2.72
Under 7.5 corners	31.4%	32.2%	—	—	3.11
Over 11.5 corners	28.3%	27.5%	—	—	3.64
Over 12.5 corners	20.9%	23.4%	—	—	4.27

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.2%	—	—	1.99
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.8%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-1	13.0%	11.5%	14.7%	0.78×	8.71
1-0	11.2%	11.5%	11.1%	1.04×	8.72
2-0	10.3%	11.5%	7.5%	1.54×	8.72
0-0	9.0%	7.4%	9.1%	0.81×	13.51
2-1	9.6%	7.4%	9.7%	0.76×	13.51
0-1	5.7%	7.4%	6.8%	1.08×	13.51
1-2	5.4%	7.4%	7.3%	1.01×	13.51
3-0	5.7%	7.4%	4.0%	1.86×	13.51
3-1	5.3%	7.4%	4.6%	1.61×	13.51
0-2	3.3%	1.7%	3.9%	0.44×	58.30
0-3	1.0%	1.7%	2.2%	0.77×	58.31
0-4	0.2%	1.7%	0.7%	2.29×	58.32
1-3	1.7%	1.7%	2.6%	0.66×	58.31
1-4	0.4%	1.7%	0.4%	4.59×	58.32
2-2	4.5%	1.7%	7.3%	0.23×	58.29
2-3	1.4%	1.7%	1.5%	1.15×	58.31
2-4	0.3%	1.7%	0.1%	13.77×	58.32
3-2	2.4%	1.7%	2.5%	0.69×	58.31
3-3	0.8%	1.7%	1.1%	1.53×	58.31
3-4	0.2%	1.7%	0.4%	4.59×	58.32
4-0	2.3%	1.7%	1.1%	1.53×	58.31
4-1	2.2%	1.7%	0.7%	2.30×	58.31
4-2	1.0%	1.7%	1.0%	1.72×	58.31
4-3	0.3%	1.7%	0.2%	6.88×	58.32
4-4	0.1%	1.7%	0.1%	13.77×	58.32
Any other score	2.9%	1.7%	2.1%	0.81×	58.30

DNB 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Catanzaro (2nd half DNB)	67.5%	67.0%	—	—	1.49
Padova (2nd half DNB)	32.5%	33.0%	—	—	3.03

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Catanzaro leading at HT (DNB)	69.6%	74.0%	—	—	1.35
Padova leading at HT (DNB)	30.4%	26.0%	—	—	3.84

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Catanzaro or draw (1X)	80.1%	80.6%	74.5%	1.08×	1.24
Catanzaro or Padova (12)	72.7%	72.1%	68.1%	1.06×	1.39
Padova or draw (X2)	47.2%	48.5%	57.3%	0.85×	2.06

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Catanzaro or draw at HT	83.0%	84.1%	—	—	1.19
Padova or draw at HT	61.0%	60.9%	—	—	1.64
Catanzaro or Padova at HT	56.0%	57.4%	—	—	1.74

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Catanzaro or draw (1UP)	80.1%	88.5%	—	—	1.13
Padova or draw (1UP)	47.2%	53.0%	—	—	1.89

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Catanzaro or draw in 2nd half	79.4%	75.8%	—	—	1.32
Catanzaro or Padova in 2nd half	63.3%	63.6%	—	—	1.57
Padova or draw in 2nd half	57.3%	58.0%	—	—	1.72

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	63.0%	61.4%	—	—	1.63
Neither half drawn	37.0%	38.6%	—	—	2.59

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Catanzaro (DNB)	72.7%	71.4%	62.6%	1.14×	1.40
Padova (DNB)	27.3%	28.6%	37.4%	0.76×	3.50

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Catanzaro to score first	58.2%	62.5%	—	—	1.60
Padova to score first	32.9%	27.8%	—	—	3.60
No goal scored	9.0%	7.6%	—	—	13.12

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams to score	50.2%	51.3%	53.9%	0.95×	1.95
Not both teams to score	49.8%	48.7%	46.1%	1.06×	2.05

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both score & under 2.5	39.4%	38.5%	37.9%	1.02×	2.60
Both score & over 2.5	37.2%	38.4%	39.4%	0.98×	2.60
Both score & under 2.5	13.0%	12.4%	14.7%	0.84×	8.09
Not both score & over 2.5	10.3%	12.4%	8.3%	1.48×	8.09

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	88.3%	85.6%	86.1%	1.00×	1.17
Both teams to score 2+	11.7%	14.4%	13.9%	1.03×	6.96

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	73.5%	73.7%	—	—	1.36
Both teams to score in 2nd half	26.5%	26.3%	—	—	3.80

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	61.6%	65.8%	—	—	1.52
Both score 2nd half only	22.4%	21.2%	—	—	4.71
Both score 1st half only	11.9%	10.7%	—	—	9.33
Both score in both halves	4.1%	4.9%	—	—	20.32

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	84.0%	83.5%	—	—	1.20
Both teams to score by HT	16.0%	16.5%	—	—	6.06

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A goal in each half	51.9%	52.5%	—	—	1.90
A half without a goal	48.1%	47.5%	—	—	2.11

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	48.3%	47.2%	48.6%	0.97×	2.12
0-1 goals	25.8%	26.6%	26.8%	0.99×	3.76
4-6 goals	24.2%	22.9%	23.5%	0.97×	4.36
7+ goals	1.6%	1.8%	1.4%	1.34×	54.40

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Padova to score exactly 0	39.5%	35.9%	32.9%	1.09×	2.78
Padova to score exactly 1	36.7%	35.9%	36.6%	0.98×	2.78
Padova to score exactly 2	17.1%	19.5%	21.5%	0.91×	5.12
Padova to score 3+	6.8%	8.5%	9.2%	0.93×	11.71

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Catanzaro to score exactly 1	31.7%	32.6%	35.9%	0.91×	3.07
Catanzaro to score exactly 2	26.1%	26.6%	25.9%	1.03×	3.77
Catanzaro to score 3+	22.9%	23.3%	16.2%	1.44×	4.29
Catanzaro to score exactly 0	19.3%	18.8%	22.3%	0.84×	5.32

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT	44.0%	42.6%	—	—	2.35
Catanzaro leading at HT	39.0%	39.1%	—	—	2.56
Padova leading at HT	17.0%	15.9%	—	—	6.28

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Catanzaro -1: 2	47.2%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
Catanzaro -1: 1	29.3%	26.5%	—	—	3.77
Catanzaro -1: X	23.5%	23.5%	—	—	4.25

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Padova (0:1)	47.2%	46.1%	57.3%	0.80×	2.17
Catanzaro (0:1)	29.3%	27.0%	19.7%	1.37×	3.70
Draw (0:1)	23.5%	24.2%	23.2%	1.05×	4.13

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Padova (0:2)	70.7%	75.6%	80.3%	0.94×	1.32
Draw (0:2)	16.7%	15.3%	13.1%	1.17×	6.56
Catanzaro (0:2)	12.6%	11.0%	6.7%	1.63×	9.10

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Padova (0:3)	87.4%	90.6%	93.3%	0.97×	1.10
Draw (0:3)	8.2%	5.8%	4.6%	1.26×	17.23
Catanzaro (0:3)	4.5%	2.4%	2.2%	1.06×	41.94

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Padova (0:4)	95.6%	98.1%	97.8%	1.00×	1.02
Draw (0:4)	3.1%	1.2%	1.4%	0.89×	81.62
Catanzaro (0:4)	1.3%	1.2%	1.0%	1.23×	81.82

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Catanzaro (1:0)	80.1%	81.4%	74.5%	1.09×	1.23
Draw (1:0)	12.7%	12.7%	15.7%	0.81×	7.87
Padova (1:0)	7.2%	6.9%	10.0%	0.69×	14.50

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Catanzaro (2:0)	92.8%	94.0%	90.0%	1.04×	1.06
Draw (2:0)	5.3%	6.4%	6.5%	0.98×	15.68
Padova (2:0)	1.9%	2.3%	3.6%	0.63×	43.81

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	45.7%	48.5%	—	—	2.06
Halves equal	27.9%	26.2%	—	—	3.81
1st half highest scoring	26.4%	26.2%	—	—	3.81

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Catanzaro to concede	60.5%	63.6%	67.1%	0.95×	1.57
Catanzaro clean sheet	39.5%	36.4%	32.9%	1.11×	2.75

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Catanzaro clean sheet in 1st half	68.9%	70.8%	—	—	1.41
Catanzaro to concede in 1st half	31.1%	29.2%	—	—	3.42

Home clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Catanzaro clean sheet in 2nd half	57.2%	54.8%	—	—	1.83
Catanzaro to concede in 2nd half	42.8%	45.2%	—	—	2.21

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Catanzaro over 2.5 corners	87.2%	86.2%	—	—	1.16
Catanzaro over 3.5 corners	75.8%	76.5%	—	—	1.31
Catanzaro under 6.5 corners	64.1%	62.3%	—	—	1.61
Catanzaro over 4.5 corners	62.3%	62.3%	—	—	1.61
Catanzaro under 5.5 corners	51.5%	52.6%	—	—	1.90
Catanzaro over 5.5 corners	48.5%	47.4%	—	—	2.11
Catanzaro under 4.5 corners	37.7%	37.7%	—	—	2.65
Catanzaro over 6.5 corners	35.9%	37.7%	—	—	2.65
Catanzaro under 3.5 corners	24.2%	23.5%	—	—	4.26
Catanzaro under 2.5 corners	12.8%	13.8%	—	—	7.26

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Catanzaro under 3.5 goals	91.5%	92.2%	95.9%	0.96×	1.09
Catanzaro over 0.5 goals	80.7%	82.2%	77.7%	1.06×	1.22
Catanzaro under 2.5 goals	77.1%	77.8%	83.8%	0.93×	1.29
Catanzaro under 1.5 goals	51.0%	53.2%	58.0%	0.92×	1.88
Catanzaro over 1.5 goals	49.0%	46.8%	42.0%	1.12×	2.14
Catanzaro over 2.5 goals	22.9%	22.2%	16.2%	1.37×	4.50
Catanzaro under 0.5 goals	19.3%	17.8%	22.3%	0.80×	5.61
Catanzaro over 3.5 goals	8.5%	7.8%	4.1%	1.90×	12.83

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Catanzaro under 1.5 in 1st half	84.1%	84.3%	—	—	1.19
Catanzaro over 0.5 in 1st half	50.7%	50.6%	—	—	1.98
Catanzaro under 0.5 in 1st half	49.3%	49.4%	—	—	2.02
Catanzaro over 1.5 in 1st half	15.9%	15.7%	—	—	6.36

Home highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Catanzaro scores more in 2nd half	39.3%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
Catanzaro scores equally in both	34.4%	33.3%	—	—	3.01
Catanzaro scores more in 1st half	26.3%	27.8%	—	—	3.59

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw (home no bet)	57.9%	56.4%	55.5%	1.02×	1.77
Padova (home no bet)	42.1%	43.6%	44.5%	0.98×	2.29

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Catanzaro even goals	51.9%	50.8%	50.9%	1.00×	1.97
Catanzaro odd goals	48.1%	49.2%	49.1%	1.00×	2.03

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	34.2%	33.6%	—	—	2.98
HT 1-0	23.8%	24.4%	—	—	4.10
HT 0-1	12.4%	11.0%	—	—	9.10
HT 1-1	9.2%	6.9%	—	—	14.52
HT 2-0	8.5%	6.9%	—	—	14.53
Any other HT score	4.1%	2.4%	—	—	42.15
HT 2-1	3.2%	2.4%	—	—	42.21
HT 0-2	2.4%	2.4%	—	—	42.27
HT 1-2	1.7%	2.4%	—	—	42.31
HT 2-2	0.6%	2.4%	—	—	42.38

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Catanzaro at HT / Catanzaro at FT	32.4%	32.8%	—	—	3.05
Draw at HT / Catanzaro at FT	18.0%	16.8%	—	—	5.96
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	17.6%	16.8%	—	—	5.96
Padova at HT / Padova at FT	10.1%	12.6%	—	—	7.91
Draw at HT / Padova at FT	8.3%	6.1%	—	—	16.46
Catanzaro at HT / Draw at FT	5.1%	6.0%	—	—	16.55
Padova at HT / Draw at FT	4.5%	3.5%	—	—	28.87
Padova at HT / Catanzaro at FT	2.4%	3.5%	—	—	28.95
Catanzaro at HT / Padova at FT	1.4%	3.5%	—	—	28.98

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Catanzaro to score last	58.3%	56.7%	—	—	1.76
Padova to score last	32.7%	32.4%	—	—	3.08
No goal scored	9.0%	7.6%	—	—	13.12

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	91.0%	92.5%	—	—	1.08
Catanzaro to lead by 1 at any time	66.2%	69.3%	—	—	1.44
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	46.2%	44.3%	—	—	2.26
Padova to lead by 1 at any time	37.1%	34.8%	—	—	2.88
Catanzaro to lead by 2 at any time	35.1%	34.7%	—	—	2.88
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	17.4%	14.8%	—	—	6.74
Catanzaro to lead by 3 at any time	14.8%	10.6%	—	—	9.39
Padova to lead by 2 at any time	11.2%	10.6%	—	—	9.46
Padova to lead by 3 at any time	2.7%	1.6%	—	—	62.66

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Catanzaro most corners	64.3%	60.6%	—	—	1.65
Padova most corners	25.8%	31.1%	—	—	3.22
Corners level	9.9%	8.4%	—	—	11.98

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	86.3%	87.4%	87.3%	1.00×	1.14
1-4 goals	79.1%	78.7%	82.1%	0.96×	1.27
2-6 goals	72.5%	72.3%	72.0%	1.00×	1.38
2-5 goals	69.4%	68.8%	69.6%	0.99×	1.45
1-3 goals	65.1%	68.8%	66.3%	1.04×	1.45
2-4 goals	62.3%	63.3%	64.4%	0.98×	1.58
2-3 goals	48.3%	48.4%	48.6%	1.00×	2.06
3-6 goals	45.9%	48.4%	46.3%	1.05×	2.06
1-2 goals	43.5%	43.6%	43.5%	1.00×	2.29
3-5 goals	42.8%	43.6%	44.0%	0.99×	2.29
3-4 goals	35.6%	39.2%	38.7%	1.01×	2.55
4-6 goals	24.2%	24.5%	23.5%	1.04×	4.09
4-5 goals	21.2%	24.4%	21.2%	1.15×	4.09
5-6 goals	10.3%	14.8%	7.7%	1.92×	6.76
7+ goals	1.6%	2.6%	1.4%	1.86×	39.20

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Catanzaro never behind	53.9%	62.5%	—	—	1.60
Padova never behind	24.8%	25.3%	—	—	3.95

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of goals	47.0%	50.9%	46.7%	1.09×	1.97
Even number of goals	53.0%	49.1%	53.3%	0.92×	2.04

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	56.2%	57.8%	—	—	1.73
Odd goals in 1st half	43.8%	42.2%	—	—	2.37

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	53.4%	52.0%	—	—	1.92
Odd goals in 2nd half	46.6%	48.0%	—	—	2.09

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 5.5 goals	95.3%	95.4%	96.3%	0.99×	1.05
Over 0.5 goals	91.0%	92.3%	90.9%	1.01×	1.08
Under 4.5 goals	88.1%	87.6%	91.0%	0.96×	1.14
Over 1.5 goals	74.2%	72.5%	73.2%	0.99×	1.38
Under 3.5 goals	74.1%	72.5%	75.2%	0.96×	1.38
Under 2.5 goals	52.5%	52.5%	52.4%	1.00×	1.90
Over 2.5 goals	47.5%	47.5%	47.6%	1.00×	2.11
Under 1.5 goals	25.8%	27.5%	26.8%	1.03×	3.64
Over 3.5 goals	25.9%	27.5%	24.8%	1.11×	3.64
Over 4.5 goals	11.9%	12.4%	9.0%	1.38×	8.07
Under 0.5 goals	9.0%	7.7%	9.1%	0.85×	12.93
Over 5.5 goals	4.7%	4.6%	3.7%	1.23×	21.80

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	98.3%	97.2%	98.6%	0.99×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	94.9%	92.4%	96.1%	0.96×	1.08
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	86.2%	86.7%	89.3%	0.97×	1.15
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	67.0%	67.5%	67.9%	0.99×	1.48
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	64.8%	61.9%	64.0%	0.97×	1.61
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	35.2%	38.1%	36.0%	1.06×	2.63
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	33.0%	32.5%	32.1%	1.01×	3.08
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	13.8%	13.3%	10.7%	1.25×	7.53
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	5.1%	7.6%	3.9%	1.92×	13.21
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	1.7%	2.8%	1.4%	2.00×	35.65

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	90.4%	92.7%	—	—	1.08
Under 1.5 in 1st half	70.4%	71.3%	—	—	1.40
Over 0.5 in 1st half	65.8%	68.6%	—	—	1.46
Under 0.5 in 1st half	34.2%	31.4%	—	—	3.18
Over 1.5 in 1st half	29.6%	28.7%	—	—	3.48
Over 2.5 in 1st half	9.6%	7.3%	—	—	13.63

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	81.0%	82.9%	—	—	1.21
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	77.1%	79.6%	—	—	1.26
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	55.4%	55.2%	—	—	1.81
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	44.6%	44.8%	—	—	2.23
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	22.9%	20.4%	—	—	4.89
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	19.0%	17.1%	—	—	5.85

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Padova not to score in both halves	86.7%	85.6%	—	—	1.17
Catanzaro not to score in both halves	69.1%	70.1%	—	—	1.43
Catanzaro to score in both halves	30.9%	29.9%	—	—	3.35
Padova to score in both halves	13.3%	14.4%	—	—	6.92

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	50.2%	53.8%	53.9%	1.00×	1.86
Only Catanzaro scores	30.5%	33.3%	23.9%	1.39×	3.01
Only Padova scores	10.3%	11.0%	13.3%	0.83×	9.07
Neither team scores	9.0%	7.1%	9.1%	0.79×	13.99

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 2 goals	26.6%	24.9%	25.8%	0.96×	4.02
Exactly 3 goals	21.7%	22.6%	22.9%	0.99×	4.43
Exactly 1 goals	16.9%	17.5%	17.8%	0.98×	5.73
Exactly 4 goals	14.0%	12.1%	15.9%	0.76×	8.25
Exactly 0 goals	9.0%	7.6%	9.1%	0.84×	13.13
Exactly 5 goals	7.2%	7.6%	5.4%	1.42×	13.14
6 or more goals	4.7%	4.5%	3.7%	1.20×	22.33

Total goals 1st half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1 goal in 1st half	36.2%	37.2%	—	—	2.69
No goals in 1st half	34.2%	35.7%	—	—	2.80
2 goals in 1st half	20.0%	21.4%	—	—	4.66
3+ goals in 1st half	9.6%	7.3%	—	—	13.63

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	44.6%	44.9%	—	—	2.23
1 goal in 2nd half	32.6%	33.9%	—	—	2.95
No goals in 2nd half	22.9%	22.9%	—	—	4.37

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Padova not to win both halves	96.4%	97.2%	—	—	1.03
Catanzaro not to win both halves	83.1%	83.5%	—	—	1.20
Catanzaro to win both halves	16.9%	16.5%	—	—	6.06
Padova to win both halves	3.6%	2.8%	—	—	35.74

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Padova to win neither half	66.0%	67.8%	—	—	1.48
Catanzaro to win either half	64.8%	65.1%	—	—	1.54
Catanzaro to win neither half	35.2%	34.9%	—	—	2.86
Padova to win either half	34.0%	32.2%	—	—	3.11

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Padova not to win to nil	89.7%	88.1%	86.7%	1.02×	1.14
Catanzaro not to win to nil	69.5%	69.7%	76.1%	0.92×	1.43
Catanzaro to win to nil	30.5%	30.3%	23.9%	1.27×	3.30
Padova to win to nil	10.3%	11.9%	13.3%	0.89×	8.43

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw	27.3%	27.9%	31.9%	0.87×	3.59
Catanzaro by 1	23.5%	24.1%	23.2%	1.04×	4.15
Catanzaro by 2	16.7%	17.0%	13.1%	1.30×	5.87
Padova by 1	12.7%	11.8%	15.7%	0.75×	8.51
Catanzaro by 3+	12.6%	11.8%	6.7%	1.75×	8.51
Padova by 2	5.3%	7.2%	6.5%	1.11×	13.92
Padova by 3+	1.9%	2.7%	3.6%	0.75×	36.91