Catanzaro v Palermo — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Saturday 21 November 2026 · ITA-Serie B · 2627

ITA-Serie B results-only Prediction generated 18 Sep 2026, 10:37 UTC

Catanzaro

20:00 UTC

Palermo

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 26 Oct, 10:59 · 633h before kick-off

Catanzaro win

36.6%

model 35.6%

Draw

26.7%

model 27.2%

Palermo win

36.7%

model 37.2%

372737

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (648 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-1 12.7%
1-2 8.5%
2-1 8.3%
0-0 6.6%
0-1 6.5%

Goals

Over 2.5	56.5%	Under 2.5	43.5%
BTTS yes	60.7%	BTTS no	39.3%
Catanzaro 1+	76.7%	Catanzaro 2+	42.7%
Palermo 1+	77.5%	Palermo 2+	43.9%

Expected goals 1.46 – 1.49. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

48/100

Data quality

65/100

Model agreement

99%

★ Best pick

Over 2.5 goals

Over/Under · usually 48%

57.2% fair odds 1.75

moderate signal · 1220 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Palermo (0:2)

Handicap 0:2 · usually 80%

83.6% fair odds 1.20

moderate signal · 504 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

Palermo carry the stronger rating, 1632 Elo against 1492.
Form is good: 2.40 points a match from the last five.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Palermo have an estimated 36.7% win probability, against 36.6% for Catanzaro and 26.7% for the draw. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.46 for Catanzaro and 1.49 for Palermo.

Why Catanzaro

Nothing in the data singles out Catanzaro.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 26.7%. The sides are closely matched on expected goals, 1.46 to 1.49. Draws run at 32% in this competition.

Why Palermo can win

Palermo carry the stronger rating, 1632 Elo against 1492. Form is good: 2.40 points a match from the last five.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Catanzaro, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Palermo, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Catanzaro: 57% possession, 13.2 shots a match, 15.4 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Palermo: 52% possession, 14.6 shots a match, 13.4 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-10-26 10:06 · team_stats 2026-10-26 06:08 · availability 2026-10-26 14:59 · prediction 2026-09-18 10:37 ·

Palermo are the model's most likely outcome at 36.7%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 12.7%. Confidence 48/100, data quality 65/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

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Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	362737	1.46–1.49	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	362836	1.44–1.45	1-1 13%	55%	60%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Palermo to win	36.4%	36.3%	25.5%	1.42×	2.75
Catanzaro to win	36.0%	36.3%	42.7%	0.85×	2.75
Draw	27.5%	27.9%	31.9%	0.88×	3.58

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw & both teams score	20.6%	21.8%	22.9%	0.95×	4.59
Catanzaro & both teams score	19.5%	18.0%	18.9%	0.95×	5.56
Palermo & both teams score	19.7%	18.0%	12.3%	1.46×	5.56
Palermo & not both score	16.7%	18.0%	13.3%	1.35×	5.57
Catanzaro & not both score	16.5%	18.0%	23.9%	0.75×	5.57
Draw & not both score	6.9%	8.3%	9.1%	0.92×	12.00

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Catanzaro & over 1.5	29.4%	26.1%	31.8%	0.82×	3.84
Palermo & over 1.5	29.8%	26.1%	18.8%	1.39×	3.84
Palermo & over 2.5	23.9%	21.6%	15.1%	1.43×	4.63
Catanzaro & over 2.5	23.6%	21.6%	24.4%	0.89×	4.63
Catanzaro & under 3.5	23.5%	21.6%	31.9%	0.68×	4.63
Palermo & under 3.5	23.7%	21.6%	19.9%	1.08×	4.63
Draw & over 1.5	20.6%	21.6%	22.9%	0.94×	4.63
Draw & under 2.5	19.9%	18.0%	23.7%	0.76×	5.55
Draw & under 3.5	19.9%	18.0%	23.7%	0.76×	5.55
Catanzaro & under 2.5	12.4%	12.8%	18.4%	0.70×	7.79
Catanzaro & over 3.5	12.5%	12.8%	11.0%	1.17×	7.79
Palermo & under 2.5	12.5%	12.8%	10.6%	1.21×	7.79
Palermo & over 3.5	12.7%	12.8%	5.7%	2.24×	7.79
Draw & over 2.5	7.7%	7.9%	8.3%	0.95×	12.63
Draw & over 3.5	7.7%	7.9%	8.3%	0.95×	12.63
Catanzaro & under 1.5	6.6%	7.9%	11.1%	0.71×	12.63
Draw & under 1.5	6.9%	7.9%	9.1%	0.87×	12.63
Palermo & under 1.5	6.7%	7.9%	6.8%	1.16×	12.63

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Palermo (1UP)	54.8%	52.5%	—	—	1.91
Catanzaro (1UP)	54.4%	52.5%	—	—	1.91

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Palermo (2UP)	36.4%	37.3%	—	—	2.68
Catanzaro (2UP)	36.0%	37.2%	—	—	2.69

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half drawn	35.1%	36.4%	—	—	2.75
Palermo to win 2nd half	33.8%	34.0%	—	—	2.94
Catanzaro to win 2nd half	31.1%	34.0%	—	—	2.94

2nd half away goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Palermo under 1.5 in 2nd half	78.3%	79.5%	—	—	1.26
Palermo over 0.5 in 2nd half	58.1%	54.4%	—	—	1.84
Palermo under 0.5 in 2nd half	41.9%	45.6%	—	—	2.20
Palermo over 1.5 in 2nd half	21.7%	20.5%	—	—	4.89

2nd half home goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Catanzaro under 1.5 in 2nd half	80.1%	82.3%	—	—	1.22
Catanzaro over 0.5 in 2nd half	56.0%	58.1%	—	—	1.72
Catanzaro under 0.5 in 2nd half	44.0%	41.9%	—	—	2.39
Catanzaro over 1.5 in 2nd half	19.9%	17.7%	—	—	5.64

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Palermo (+2.5)	93.4%	92.1%	93.3%	0.99×	1.09
Palermo (+1.5)	82.4%	82.6%	80.3%	1.03×	1.21
Palermo (+0.5)	64.0%	63.0%	57.3%	1.10×	1.59
Catanzaro (+0.5)	63.6%	63.0%	74.5%	0.85×	1.59
Palermo (-0.5)	36.4%	37.0%	25.5%	1.45×	2.70
Catanzaro (-0.5)	36.0%	37.0%	42.7%	0.87×	2.70
Catanzaro (-1.5)	17.6%	17.4%	19.7%	0.89×	5.74
Catanzaro (-2.5)	6.6%	7.9%	6.7%	1.17×	12.71

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Palermo to concede	76.4%	78.7%	77.7%	1.01×	1.27
Palermo clean sheet	23.6%	21.3%	22.3%	0.95×	4.70

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Palermo clean sheet in 1st half	53.8%	51.0%	—	—	1.96
Palermo to concede in 1st half	46.2%	49.1%	—	—	2.04

Away clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Palermo to concede in 2nd half	56.0%	57.3%	—	—	1.75
Palermo clean sheet in 2nd half	44.0%	42.7%	—	—	2.34

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Palermo under 6.5 corners	79.6%	76.1%	—	—	1.32
Palermo over 2.5 corners	77.3%	76.0%	—	—	1.32
Palermo under 5.5 corners	68.7%	67.6%	—	—	1.48
Palermo over 3.5 corners	61.4%	61.7%	—	—	1.62
Palermo under 4.5 corners	54.7%	53.1%	—	—	1.88
Palermo over 4.5 corners	45.3%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
Palermo under 3.5 corners	38.6%	38.3%	—	—	2.61
Palermo over 5.5 corners	31.3%	32.4%	—	—	3.09
Palermo under 2.5 corners	22.7%	24.0%	—	—	4.17
Palermo over 6.5 corners	20.4%	23.9%	—	—	4.18

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Palermo under 3.5 goals	94.0%	92.4%	98.1%	0.94×	1.08
Palermo under 2.5 goals	82.1%	81.5%	90.8%	0.90×	1.23
Palermo over 0.5 goals	76.6%	76.2%	67.1%	1.14×	1.31
Palermo under 1.5 goals	57.4%	59.4%	69.4%	0.86×	1.68
Palermo over 1.5 goals	42.6%	40.6%	30.6%	1.32×	2.47
Palermo under 0.5 goals	23.4%	23.8%	32.9%	0.72×	4.21
Palermo over 2.5 goals	17.9%	18.5%	9.2%	2.01×	5.41
Palermo over 3.5 goals	6.0%	7.6%	1.9%	4.09×	13.09

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Palermo under 1.5 in 1st half	88.5%	89.3%	—	—	1.12
Palermo under 0.5 in 1st half	56.0%	62.2%	—	—	1.61
Palermo over 0.5 in 1st half	44.0%	37.8%	—	—	2.65
Palermo over 1.5 in 1st half	11.5%	10.7%	—	—	9.34

Away highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Palermo scores more in 2nd half	40.1%	43.6%	—	—	2.30
Palermo scores equally in both	36.9%	37.3%	—	—	2.68
Palermo scores more in 1st half	23.0%	21.8%	—	—	4.59

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Catanzaro (away no bet)	56.7%	57.3%	57.3%	1.00×	1.74
Draw (away no bet)	43.3%	42.7%	42.7%	1.00×	2.34

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Palermo even goals	52.7%	52.6%	55.4%	0.95×	1.90
Palermo odd goals	47.3%	47.4%	44.6%	1.06×	2.11

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	83.0%	83.2%	—	—	1.20
Both halves over 1.5 goals	17.0%	16.8%	—	—	5.94

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	67.9%	67.9%	—	—	1.47
Both halves under 1.5 goals	32.1%	32.1%	—	—	3.11

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	58.5%	55.0%	—	—	1.82
Palermo to score 2+ in a row	33.2%	28.9%	—	—	3.46
Catanzaro to score 2+ in a row	32.8%	28.9%	—	—	3.46
Either team to score 3+ in a row	21.0%	19.5%	—	—	5.13
Palermo to score 3+ in a row	10.8%	12.1%	—	—	8.26
Catanzaro to score 3+ in a row	10.6%	12.1%	—	—	8.26

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Catanzaro corners (+3.5)	86.5%	84.5%	—	—	1.18
Catanzaro corners (+2.5)	79.7%	74.8%	—	—	1.34
Palermo corners (+3.5)	79.5%	74.8%	—	—	1.34
Palermo corners (+2.5)	71.1%	70.7%	—	—	1.41
Catanzaro corners (+1.5)	71.1%	70.7%	—	—	1.41
Palermo corners (+1.5)	61.1%	61.8%	—	—	1.62
Catanzaro corners (-1.5)	38.9%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
Catanzaro corners (-2.5)	28.9%	29.3%	—	—	3.42
Palermo corners (-1.5)	28.9%	29.3%	—	—	3.42
Catanzaro corners (-3.5)	20.5%	25.2%	—	—	3.97
Palermo corners (-2.5)	20.3%	25.2%	—	—	3.97
Palermo corners (-3.5)	13.5%	15.5%	—	—	6.45

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-8 corners	42.0%	38.3%	—	—	2.61
9-11 corners	29.8%	31.2%	—	—	3.21
12+ corners	28.2%	31.2%	—	—	3.21

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 12.5 corners	79.3%	76.6%	—	—	1.31
Under 11.5 corners	71.8%	72.5%	—	—	1.38
Over 7.5 corners	68.7%	67.8%	—	—	1.48
Under 10.5 corners	62.9%	63.2%	—	—	1.58
Over 8.5 corners	58.0%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Under 9.5 corners	52.8%	53.2%	—	—	1.88
Over 9.5 corners	47.2%	46.8%	—	—	2.14
Under 8.5 corners	42.0%	42.1%	—	—	2.37
Over 10.5 corners	37.1%	36.8%	—	—	2.72
Under 7.5 corners	31.3%	32.2%	—	—	3.11
Over 11.5 corners	28.2%	27.5%	—	—	3.64
Over 12.5 corners	20.7%	23.4%	—	—	4.27

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.2%	—	—	1.99
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.8%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-1	13.0%	11.5%	14.7%	0.78×	8.71
1-2	8.4%	7.4%	7.3%	1.01×	13.51
2-1	8.4%	7.4%	9.7%	0.76×	13.51
0-0	6.9%	7.4%	9.1%	0.81×	13.51
0-1	6.7%	7.4%	6.8%	1.08×	13.51
1-0	6.6%	7.4%	11.1%	0.67×	13.51
0-2	5.8%	7.4%	3.9%	1.92×	13.51
2-0	5.8%	7.4%	7.5%	0.99×	13.51
2-2	6.1%	7.4%	7.3%	1.01×	13.51
0-3	2.8%	1.7%	2.2%	0.77×	58.30
0-4	1.0%	1.7%	0.7%	2.30×	58.31
1-3	4.1%	1.7%	2.6%	0.66×	58.30
1-4	1.5%	1.7%	0.4%	4.59×	58.31
2-3	2.9%	1.7%	1.5%	1.15×	58.30
2-4	1.1%	1.7%	0.1%	13.77×	58.31
3-0	2.8%	1.7%	4.0%	0.43×	58.30
3-1	4.0%	1.7%	4.6%	0.37×	58.30
3-2	2.9%	1.7%	2.5%	0.69×	58.30
3-3	1.4%	1.7%	1.1%	1.53×	58.31
3-4	0.5%	1.7%	0.4%	4.59×	58.32
4-0	1.0%	1.7%	1.1%	1.53×	58.31
4-1	1.4%	1.7%	0.7%	2.30×	58.31
4-2	1.1%	1.7%	1.0%	1.72×	58.31
4-3	0.5%	1.7%	0.2%	6.88×	58.32
4-4	0.2%	1.7%	0.1%	13.77×	58.32
Any other score	3.2%	1.7%	2.1%	0.81×	58.30

DNB 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Palermo (2nd half DNB)	52.1%	54.6%	—	—	1.83
Catanzaro (2nd half DNB)	47.9%	45.4%	—	—	2.20

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Catanzaro leading at HT (DNB)	52.2%	56.1%	—	—	1.78
Palermo leading at HT (DNB)	47.8%	43.9%	—	—	2.28

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Catanzaro or Palermo (12)	72.5%	72.1%	68.1%	1.06×	1.39
Palermo or draw (X2)	64.0%	63.7%	57.3%	1.11×	1.57
Catanzaro or draw (1X)	63.6%	63.7%	74.5%	0.85×	1.57

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Catanzaro or draw at HT	72.5%	74.5%	—	—	1.34
Palermo or draw at HT	70.0%	67.3%	—	—	1.49
Catanzaro or Palermo at HT	57.6%	57.4%	—	—	1.74

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Palermo or draw (1UP)	64.0%	71.7%	—	—	1.39
Catanzaro or draw (1UP)	63.6%	71.7%	—	—	1.40

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Palermo or draw in 2nd half	68.9%	66.0%	—	—	1.51
Catanzaro or draw in 2nd half	66.2%	66.0%	—	—	1.52
Catanzaro or Palermo in 2nd half	64.9%	63.6%	—	—	1.57

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	61.1%	61.3%	—	—	1.63
Neither half drawn	38.9%	38.7%	—	—	2.58

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Palermo (DNB)	50.3%	50.8%	37.4%	1.36×	1.97
Catanzaro (DNB)	49.7%	49.2%	62.6%	0.79×	2.03

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Palermo to score first	46.7%	45.8%	—	—	2.18
Catanzaro to score first	46.4%	45.8%	—	—	2.18
No goal scored	6.9%	7.6%	—	—	13.24

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams to score	59.8%	55.0%	53.9%	1.02×	1.82
Not both teams to score	40.2%	45.0%	46.1%	0.98×	2.22

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both score & over 2.5	46.9%	44.3%	39.4%	1.13×	2.26
Not both score & under 2.5	31.8%	34.6%	37.9%	0.91×	2.89
Both score & under 2.5	13.0%	12.4%	14.7%	0.84×	8.09
Not both score & over 2.5	8.4%	8.3%	8.3%	0.99×	12.06

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	82.0%	82.6%	86.1%	0.96×	1.21
Both teams to score 2+	18.0%	17.4%	13.9%	1.25×	5.76

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	67.0%	67.2%	—	—	1.49
Both teams to score in 2nd half	33.0%	32.8%	—	—	3.05

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	53.0%	54.8%	—	—	1.83
Both score 2nd half only	26.4%	26.8%	—	—	3.73
Both score 1st half only	14.0%	10.8%	—	—	9.28
Both score in both halves	6.6%	6.8%	—	—	14.77

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	79.4%	81.1%	—	—	1.23
Both teams to score by HT	20.6%	18.9%	—	—	5.29

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A goal in each half	57.7%	57.0%	—	—	1.76
A half without a goal	42.3%	43.0%	—	—	2.32

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	46.9%	47.2%	48.6%	0.97×	2.12
4-6 goals	30.0%	30.7%	23.5%	1.30×	3.26
0-1 goals	20.2%	22.9%	26.8%	0.86×	4.37
7+ goals	2.8%	1.8%	1.4%	1.35×	54.28

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Palermo to score exactly 1	34.0%	33.8%	36.6%	0.92×	2.96
Palermo to score exactly 2	24.7%	22.3%	21.5%	1.03×	4.49
Palermo to score exactly 0	23.4%	22.3%	32.9%	0.68×	4.49
Palermo to score 3+	17.9%	19.5%	9.2%	2.12×	5.12

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Catanzaro to score exactly 1	34.1%	32.6%	35.9%	0.91×	3.07
Catanzaro to score exactly 2	24.6%	23.3%	25.9%	0.90×	4.29
Catanzaro to score exactly 0	23.6%	23.3%	22.3%	1.05×	4.29
Catanzaro to score 3+	17.7%	18.8%	16.2%	1.16×	5.32

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT	42.4%	42.6%	—	—	2.35
Catanzaro leading at HT	30.0%	32.7%	—	—	3.05
Palermo leading at HT	27.5%	25.5%	—	—	3.92

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Palermo -1: 1	63.6%	62.6%	—	—	1.60
Palermo -1: X	18.6%	17.5%	—	—	5.71
Palermo -1: 2	17.8%	17.5%	—	—	5.72

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Palermo (0:1)	64.0%	61.5%	57.3%	1.07×	1.63
Draw (0:1)	18.5%	17.8%	23.2%	0.77×	5.61
Catanzaro (0:1)	17.6%	17.8%	19.7%	0.91×	5.61

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Palermo (0:2)	82.4%	83.0%	80.3%	1.03×	1.21
Draw (0:2)	11.0%	11.0%	13.1%	0.84×	9.11
Catanzaro (0:2)	6.6%	7.7%	6.7%	1.14×	13.06

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Palermo (0:3)	93.4%	92.7%	93.3%	0.99×	1.08
Draw (0:3)	4.6%	2.4%	4.6%	0.52×	41.94
Catanzaro (0:3)	2.0%	2.4%	2.2%	1.06×	42.05

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Palermo (0:4)	98.0%	98.1%	97.8%	1.00×	1.02
Draw (0:4)	1.5%	1.2%	1.4%	0.89×	81.74
Catanzaro (0:4)	0.5%	1.2%	1.0%	1.23×	81.85

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Catanzaro (1:0)	63.6%	65.3%	74.5%	0.88×	1.53
Draw (1:0)	18.6%	17.1%	15.7%	1.09×	5.85
Palermo (1:0)	17.8%	17.1%	10.0%	1.72×	5.85

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Catanzaro (2:0)	82.2%	84.6%	90.0%	0.94×	1.18
Draw (2:0)	11.1%	10.3%	6.5%	1.59×	9.73
Palermo (2:0)	6.7%	6.4%	3.6%	1.77×	15.67

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	47.8%	48.7%	—	—	2.06
1st half highest scoring	26.2%	26.2%	—	—	3.81
Halves equal	26.0%	26.2%	—	—	3.81

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Catanzaro to concede	76.6%	76.0%	67.1%	1.13×	1.32
Catanzaro clean sheet	23.4%	24.0%	32.9%	0.73×	4.17

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Catanzaro clean sheet in 1st half	56.0%	62.2%	—	—	1.61
Catanzaro to concede in 1st half	44.0%	37.8%	—	—	2.65

Home clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Catanzaro to concede in 2nd half	58.1%	54.9%	—	—	1.82
Catanzaro clean sheet in 2nd half	41.9%	45.2%	—	—	2.22

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Catanzaro over 2.5 corners	82.2%	81.0%	—	—	1.24
Catanzaro under 6.5 corners	73.2%	71.9%	—	—	1.39
Catanzaro over 3.5 corners	68.3%	66.7%	—	—	1.50
Catanzaro under 5.5 corners	61.2%	62.3%	—	—	1.61
Catanzaro over 4.5 corners	53.1%	52.6%	—	—	1.90
Catanzaro under 4.5 corners	46.9%	47.4%	—	—	2.11
Catanzaro over 5.5 corners	38.8%	37.7%	—	—	2.65
Catanzaro under 3.5 corners	31.7%	33.3%	—	—	3.01
Catanzaro over 6.5 corners	26.8%	28.1%	—	—	3.56
Catanzaro under 2.5 corners	17.8%	19.0%	—	—	5.26

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Catanzaro under 3.5 goals	94.1%	92.2%	95.9%	0.96×	1.08
Catanzaro under 2.5 goals	82.3%	82.2%	83.8%	0.98×	1.22
Catanzaro over 0.5 goals	76.4%	77.8%	77.7%	1.00×	1.29
Catanzaro under 1.5 goals	57.7%	58.6%	58.0%	1.01×	1.71
Catanzaro over 1.5 goals	42.3%	41.4%	42.0%	0.99×	2.42
Catanzaro under 0.5 goals	23.6%	22.3%	22.3%	1.00×	4.49
Catanzaro over 2.5 goals	17.7%	17.8%	16.2%	1.10×	5.62
Catanzaro over 3.5 goals	5.9%	7.8%	4.1%	1.89×	12.85

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Catanzaro under 1.5 in 1st half	87.1%	90.2%	—	—	1.11
Catanzaro under 0.5 in 1st half	53.8%	50.7%	—	—	1.97
Catanzaro over 0.5 in 1st half	46.2%	49.3%	—	—	2.03
Catanzaro over 1.5 in 1st half	12.9%	9.8%	—	—	10.16

Home highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Catanzaro scores more in 2nd half	37.3%	38.1%	—	—	2.62
Catanzaro scores equally in both	37.3%	38.1%	—	—	2.62
Catanzaro scores more in 1st half	25.3%	27.8%	—	—	3.60

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Palermo (home no bet)	56.9%	56.4%	44.5%	1.27×	1.77
Draw (home no bet)	43.1%	43.6%	55.5%	0.79×	2.29

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Catanzaro even goals	52.8%	50.8%	50.9%	1.00×	1.97
Catanzaro odd goals	47.2%	49.3%	49.1%	1.00×	2.03

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	30.3%	33.4%	—	—	2.99
HT 1-0	18.4%	18.6%	—	—	5.38
HT 0-1	17.2%	18.6%	—	—	5.39
HT 1-1	11.1%	11.0%	—	—	9.11
HT 2-0	5.8%	6.9%	—	—	14.57
HT 0-2	5.1%	6.9%	—	—	14.58
Any other HT score	4.6%	2.4%	—	—	42.10
HT 2-1	3.4%	2.4%	—	—	42.18
HT 1-2	3.1%	2.4%	—	—	42.20
HT 2-2	1.0%	2.4%	—	—	42.34

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Catanzaro at HT / Catanzaro at FT	21.3%	21.5%	—	—	4.64
Palermo at HT / Palermo at FT	20.0%	21.5%	—	—	4.65
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	16.4%	16.8%	—	—	5.97
Draw at HT / Palermo at FT	13.6%	12.7%	—	—	7.89
Draw at HT / Catanzaro at FT	12.5%	12.7%	—	—	7.89
Catanzaro at HT / Draw at FT	6.0%	6.1%	—	—	16.52
Palermo at HT / Draw at FT	5.2%	6.0%	—	—	16.54
Catanzaro at HT / Palermo at FT	2.8%	3.5%	—	—	28.92
Palermo at HT / Catanzaro at FT	2.3%	3.5%	—	—	28.94

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Palermo to score last	46.7%	46.3%	—	—	2.16
Catanzaro to score last	46.4%	46.3%	—	—	2.16
No goal scored	6.9%	7.6%	—	—	13.24

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	93.1%	92.6%	—	—	1.08
Palermo to lead by 1 at any time	54.8%	50.7%	—	—	1.97
Catanzaro to lead by 1 at any time	54.4%	50.7%	—	—	1.97
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	48.4%	44.4%	—	—	2.26
Palermo to lead by 2 at any time	24.5%	19.6%	—	—	5.11
Catanzaro to lead by 2 at any time	24.2%	19.6%	—	—	5.11
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	17.4%	14.8%	—	—	6.75
Palermo to lead by 3 at any time	8.8%	6.7%	—	—	14.98
Catanzaro to lead by 3 at any time	8.6%	6.7%	—	—	14.99

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Catanzaro most corners	49.9%	47.0%	—	—	2.13
Palermo most corners	39.1%	39.4%	—	—	2.54
Corners level	11.0%	10.4%	—	—	9.59

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	85.7%	87.4%	87.3%	1.00×	1.14
2-6 goals	77.0%	78.7%	72.0%	1.09×	1.27
1-4 goals	76.4%	78.7%	82.1%	0.96×	1.27
2-5 goals	72.5%	72.3%	69.6%	1.04×	1.38
2-4 goals	63.1%	63.3%	64.4%	0.98×	1.58
1-3 goals	60.2%	63.3%	66.3%	0.96×	1.58
3-6 goals	52.4%	53.2%	46.3%	1.15×	1.88
3-5 goals	47.9%	48.4%	44.0%	1.10×	2.06
2-3 goals	46.9%	48.4%	48.6%	1.00×	2.06
3-4 goals	38.5%	39.2%	38.7%	1.01×	2.55
1-2 goals	37.9%	39.2%	43.5%	0.90×	2.55
4-6 goals	30.0%	35.2%	23.5%	1.49×	2.84
4-5 goals	25.5%	30.2%	21.2%	1.43×	3.31
5-6 goals	13.9%	14.8%	7.7%	1.92×	6.75
7+ goals	2.8%	2.6%	1.4%	1.87×	39.14

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Palermo never behind	38.6%	44.3%	—	—	2.26
Catanzaro never behind	38.3%	44.3%	—	—	2.26

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of goals	47.1%	50.9%	46.7%	1.09×	1.97
Even number of goals	52.9%	49.1%	53.3%	0.92×	2.04

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	55.0%	57.7%	—	—	1.73
Odd goals in 1st half	45.0%	42.3%	—	—	2.37

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	52.6%	52.0%	—	—	1.92
Odd goals in 2nd half	47.4%	48.0%	—	—	2.08

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 goals	93.1%	92.3%	90.9%	1.02×	1.08
Under 5.5 goals	92.7%	92.3%	96.3%	0.96×	1.08
Under 4.5 goals	83.3%	82.3%	91.0%	0.90×	1.22
Over 1.5 goals	79.8%	77.3%	73.2%	1.06×	1.29
Under 3.5 goals	67.1%	66.3%	75.2%	0.88×	1.51
Over 2.5 goals	55.2%	58.6%	47.6%	1.23×	1.71
Under 2.5 goals	44.8%	41.4%	52.4%	0.79×	2.42
Over 3.5 goals	32.9%	33.7%	24.8%	1.36×	2.97
Under 1.5 goals	20.2%	22.7%	26.8%	0.85×	4.41
Over 4.5 goals	16.7%	17.7%	9.0%	1.97×	5.65
Over 5.5 goals	7.3%	7.7%	3.7%	2.07×	12.94
Under 0.5 goals	6.9%	7.7%	9.1%	0.85×	12.94

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	97.0%	97.2%	98.6%	0.99×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	91.9%	92.4%	96.1%	0.96×	1.08
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	80.1%	81.1%	89.3%	0.91×	1.23
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	73.2%	72.4%	64.0%	1.13×	1.38
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	57.7%	55.8%	67.9%	0.82×	1.79
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	42.3%	44.2%	32.1%	1.38×	2.26
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	26.8%	27.6%	36.0%	0.77×	3.62
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	19.9%	18.9%	10.7%	1.78×	5.28
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	8.1%	7.6%	3.9%	1.92×	13.18
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	3.0%	2.8%	1.4%	2.00×	35.60

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	87.9%	89.0%	—	—	1.12
Over 0.5 in 1st half	69.7%	68.6%	—	—	1.46
Under 1.5 in 1st half	66.0%	68.5%	—	—	1.46
Over 1.5 in 1st half	34.0%	31.5%	—	—	3.18
Under 0.5 in 1st half	30.3%	31.4%	—	—	3.19
Over 2.5 in 1st half	12.1%	11.0%	—	—	9.12

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	81.1%	82.9%	—	—	1.21
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	75.9%	79.5%	—	—	1.26
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	50.9%	53.1%	—	—	1.88
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	49.1%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	24.1%	20.5%	—	—	4.87
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	18.9%	17.1%	—	—	5.86

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Palermo not to score in both halves	74.4%	74.0%	—	—	1.35
Catanzaro not to score in both halves	74.1%	74.0%	—	—	1.35
Catanzaro to score in both halves	25.9%	26.0%	—	—	3.84
Palermo to score in both halves	25.6%	26.0%	—	—	3.84

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	59.8%	58.6%	53.9%	1.09×	1.71
Only Palermo scores	16.7%	16.0%	13.3%	1.20×	6.24
Only Catanzaro scores	16.5%	16.0%	23.9%	0.67×	6.24
Neither team scores	6.9%	7.1%	9.1%	0.79×	14.01

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 2 goals	24.6%	22.6%	25.8%	0.88×	4.43
Exactly 3 goals	22.4%	22.6%	22.9%	0.99×	4.43
Exactly 4 goals	16.2%	17.5%	15.9%	1.09×	5.73
Exactly 1 goals	13.3%	12.1%	17.8%	0.68×	8.25
Exactly 5 goals	9.4%	7.6%	5.4%	1.42×	13.13
Exactly 0 goals	6.9%	7.6%	9.1%	0.84×	13.14
6 or more goals	7.3%	7.6%	3.7%	2.04×	13.14

Total goals 1st half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1 goal in 1st half	35.7%	37.2%	—	—	2.69
No goals in 1st half	30.3%	35.7%	—	—	2.80
2 goals in 1st half	21.9%	21.4%	—	—	4.67
3+ goals in 1st half	12.1%	10.9%	—	—	9.20

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	50.9%	51.1%	—	—	1.96
1 goal in 2nd half	30.2%	33.9%	—	—	2.95
No goals in 2nd half	18.9%	16.8%	—	—	5.96

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Catanzaro not to win both halves	90.4%	94.1%	—	—	1.06
Palermo not to win both halves	90.5%	94.1%	—	—	1.06
Catanzaro to win both halves	9.6%	5.9%	—	—	16.97
Palermo to win both halves	9.5%	5.9%	—	—	16.97

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Palermo to win either half	51.8%	54.3%	—	—	1.84
Catanzaro to win either half	51.6%	54.3%	—	—	1.84
Catanzaro to win neither half	48.4%	45.7%	—	—	2.19
Palermo to win neither half	48.2%	45.7%	—	—	2.19

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Catanzaro not to win to nil	83.5%	83.1%	76.1%	1.09×	1.20
Palermo not to win to nil	83.3%	83.1%	86.7%	0.96×	1.20
Palermo to win to nil	16.7%	16.9%	13.3%	1.27×	5.91
Catanzaro to win to nil	16.5%	16.9%	23.9%	0.71×	5.91

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw	27.5%	27.9%	31.9%	0.87×	3.59
Catanzaro by 1	18.5%	17.0%	23.2%	0.74×	5.87
Palermo by 1	18.6%	17.0%	15.7%	1.09×	5.87
Catanzaro by 2	11.0%	11.8%	13.1%	0.90×	8.51
Palermo by 2	11.1%	11.8%	6.5%	1.82×	8.51
Catanzaro by 3+	6.6%	7.2%	6.7%	1.07×	13.91
Palermo by 3+	6.7%	7.2%	3.6%	1.99×	13.91