Catanzaro v US Avellino — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Saturday 28 November 2026 · ITA-Serie B · 2627

ITA-Serie B results-only Prediction generated 18 Sep 2026, 10:37 UTC

Catanzaro

20:00 UTC

US Avellino

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 26 Oct, 10:59 · 801h before kick-off

Catanzaro win

53.2%

model 54.7%

Draw

27.7%

model 25.5%

US Avellino win

19.1%

model 19.7%

532819

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (466 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-1 12.2%
2-1 9.9%
2-0 9.7%
1-0 9.4%
0-0 7.2%

Goals

Over 2.5	53.7%	Under 2.5	46.3%
BTTS yes	54.7%	BTTS no	45.3%
Catanzaro 1+	83.7%	Catanzaro 2+	54.1%
US Avellino 1+	63.8%	US Avellino 2+	27.0%

Expected goals 1.81 – 1.02. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

46/100

Data quality

65/100

Model agreement

96%

★ Best pick

3-6 goals

Multi goal · usually 46%

52.2% fair odds 1.91

moderate signal · 1994 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Catanzaro or draw (1UP)

Double chance 1UP

83.6% fair odds 1.20

moderate signal · 424 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

Catanzaro carry the stronger rating, 1492 Elo against 1455.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Catanzaro have an estimated 53.2% win probability, against 27.7% for the draw and 19.1% for US Avellino. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.81 for Catanzaro and 1.02 for US Avellino.

Why Catanzaro

Catanzaro carry the stronger rating, 1492 Elo against 1455.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 27.7%. Draws run at 32% in this competition.

Why US Avellino can win

Nothing in the data singles out US Avellino.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Catanzaro, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for US Avellino, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Catanzaro: 57% possession, 13.2 shots a match, 15.4 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. US Avellino: 54% possession, 10.2 shots a match, 15.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-10-26 10:06 · team_stats 2026-10-26 06:08 · availability 2026-10-26 14:59 · prediction 2026-09-18 10:37 ·

Catanzaro are the model's most likely outcome at 53.2%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 12.2%. Confidence 46/100, data quality 65/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

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Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	552620	1.81–1.02	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	592517	1.87–0.91	1-1 12%	53%	52%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Catanzaro to win	58.8%	54.0%	42.7%	1.26×	1.85
Draw	24.7%	24.5%	31.9%	0.77×	4.09
US Avellino to win	16.6%	19.4%	25.5%	0.76×	5.16

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Catanzaro & not both score	32.9%	29.6%	23.9%	1.24×	3.38
Catanzaro & both teams score	25.9%	25.2%	18.9%	1.33×	3.97
Draw & both teams score	17.2%	18.0%	22.9%	0.78×	5.57
US Avellino & both teams score	8.6%	8.3%	12.3%	0.68×	12.00
US Avellino & not both score	7.9%	8.3%	13.3%	0.63×	12.00
Draw & not both score	7.4%	8.3%	9.1%	0.92×	12.00

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Catanzaro & over 1.5	48.4%	45.1%	31.8%	1.42×	2.22
Catanzaro & under 3.5	37.9%	34.9%	31.9%	1.09×	2.87
Catanzaro & over 2.5	37.5%	34.9%	24.4%	1.43×	2.87
Catanzaro & under 2.5	21.2%	21.6%	18.4%	1.17×	4.63
Catanzaro & over 3.5	20.9%	21.6%	11.0%	1.97×	4.63
Draw & under 2.5	19.2%	18.0%	23.7%	0.76×	5.55
Draw & under 3.5	19.2%	18.0%	23.7%	0.76×	5.55
Draw & over 1.5	17.2%	18.0%	22.9%	0.79×	5.56
US Avellino & under 3.5	12.5%	12.8%	19.9%	0.64×	7.79
US Avellino & over 1.5	12.2%	12.8%	18.8%	0.68×	7.79
Catanzaro & under 1.5	10.4%	12.8%	11.1%	1.16×	7.79
US Avellino & over 2.5	9.6%	7.9%	15.1%	0.53×	12.62
Draw & under 1.5	7.4%	7.9%	9.1%	0.87×	12.63
US Avellino & under 2.5	6.9%	7.9%	10.6%	0.75×	12.63
Draw & over 2.5	5.4%	7.9%	8.3%	0.95×	12.63
Draw & over 3.5	5.4%	7.9%	8.3%	0.95×	12.63
US Avellino & under 1.5	4.4%	4.8%	6.8%	0.70×	20.81
US Avellino & over 3.5	4.0%	4.8%	5.7%	0.84×	20.82

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Catanzaro (1UP)	71.4%	75.1%	—	—	1.33
US Avellino (1UP)	34.3%	33.1%	—	—	3.02

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Catanzaro (2UP)	58.8%	54.9%	—	—	1.82
US Avellino (2UP)	16.6%	16.9%	—	—	5.92

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Catanzaro to win 2nd half	47.6%	45.2%	—	—	2.21
2nd half drawn	34.2%	34.0%	—	—	2.94
US Avellino to win 2nd half	18.2%	17.9%	—	—	5.58

2nd half away goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
US Avellino under 1.5 in 2nd half	89.6%	87.2%	—	—	1.15
US Avellino under 0.5 in 2nd half	58.0%	54.4%	—	—	1.84
US Avellino over 0.5 in 2nd half	42.0%	45.6%	—	—	2.20
US Avellino over 1.5 in 2nd half	10.4%	12.8%	—	—	7.84

2nd half home goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Catanzaro under 1.5 in 2nd half	71.1%	74.3%	—	—	1.35
Catanzaro over 0.5 in 2nd half	65.6%	70.6%	—	—	1.42
Catanzaro under 0.5 in 2nd half	34.4%	29.4%	—	—	3.40
Catanzaro over 1.5 in 2nd half	28.9%	25.7%	—	—	3.89

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Catanzaro (+0.5)	83.4%	82.6%	74.5%	1.11×	1.21
US Avellino (+2.5)	83.2%	82.6%	93.3%	0.89×	1.21
US Avellino (+1.5)	64.7%	63.0%	80.3%	0.78×	1.59
Catanzaro (-0.5)	58.8%	57.1%	42.7%	1.34×	1.75
US Avellino (+0.5)	41.2%	42.9%	57.3%	0.75×	2.33
Catanzaro (-1.5)	35.3%	37.0%	19.7%	1.88×	2.70
Catanzaro (-2.5)	16.8%	17.4%	6.7%	2.59×	5.74
US Avellino (-0.5)	16.6%	17.4%	25.5%	0.68×	5.74

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
US Avellino to concede	84.6%	81.5%	77.7%	1.05×	1.23
US Avellino clean sheet	15.4%	18.5%	22.3%	0.83×	5.41

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
US Avellino to concede in 1st half	55.3%	56.3%	—	—	1.78
US Avellino clean sheet in 1st half	44.7%	43.7%	—	—	2.29

Away clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
US Avellino to concede in 2nd half	65.6%	65.5%	—	—	1.53
US Avellino clean sheet in 2nd half	34.4%	34.5%	—	—	2.90

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
US Avellino under 6.5 corners	86.1%	85.2%	—	—	1.17
US Avellino under 5.5 corners	76.9%	76.0%	—	—	1.32
US Avellino over 2.5 corners	70.5%	71.6%	—	—	1.40
US Avellino under 4.5 corners	63.8%	61.7%	—	—	1.62
US Avellino over 3.5 corners	52.6%	53.1%	—	—	1.88
US Avellino under 3.5 corners	47.4%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
US Avellino over 4.5 corners	36.2%	38.3%	—	—	2.61
US Avellino under 2.5 corners	29.5%	28.4%	—	—	3.52
US Avellino over 5.5 corners	23.1%	24.0%	—	—	4.17
US Avellino over 6.5 corners	13.9%	14.8%	—	—	6.77

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
US Avellino under 3.5 goals	98.6%	97.5%	98.1%	0.99×	1.03
US Avellino under 2.5 goals	93.6%	92.4%	90.8%	1.02×	1.08
US Avellino under 1.5 goals	77.0%	76.2%	69.4%	1.10×	1.31
US Avellino over 0.5 goals	59.7%	59.4%	67.1%	0.89×	1.68
US Avellino under 0.5 goals	40.3%	40.6%	32.9%	1.23×	2.47
US Avellino over 1.5 goals	23.0%	23.8%	30.6%	0.78×	4.21
US Avellino over 2.5 goals	6.4%	7.6%	9.2%	0.83×	13.08
US Avellino over 3.5 goals	1.4%	2.5%	1.9%	1.34×	39.90

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
US Avellino under 1.5 in 1st half	94.8%	94.0%	—	—	1.06
US Avellino under 0.5 in 1st half	69.5%	70.5%	—	—	1.42
US Avellino over 0.5 in 1st half	30.5%	29.5%	—	—	3.39
US Avellino over 1.5 in 1st half	5.2%	6.0%	—	—	16.69

Away highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
US Avellino scores equally in both	48.7%	48.3%	—	—	2.07
US Avellino scores more in 2nd half	31.9%	33.3%	—	—	3.00
US Avellino scores more in 1st half	19.4%	18.2%	—	—	5.50

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Catanzaro (away no bet)	70.4%	68.3%	57.3%	1.19×	1.46
Draw (away no bet)	29.6%	31.7%	42.7%	0.74×	3.16

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
US Avellino even goals	58.1%	56.9%	55.4%	1.03×	1.76
US Avellino odd goals	41.9%	43.1%	44.6%	0.97×	2.32

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	84.4%	83.2%	—	—	1.20
Both halves over 1.5 goals	15.6%	16.8%	—	—	5.97

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	65.5%	67.7%	—	—	1.48
Both halves under 1.5 goals	34.5%	32.3%	—	—	3.10

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	59.1%	55.0%	—	—	1.82
Catanzaro to score 2+ in a row	48.7%	46.2%	—	—	2.16
Either team to score 3+ in a row	24.3%	19.6%	—	—	5.11
Catanzaro to score 3+ in a row	21.4%	19.5%	—	—	5.13
US Avellino to score 2+ in a row	15.6%	16.1%	—	—	6.21
US Avellino to score 3+ in a row	3.1%	2.6%	—	—	39.05

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Catanzaro corners (+3.5)	90.2%	89.6%	—	—	1.12
Catanzaro corners (+2.5)	84.4%	79.8%	—	—	1.25
US Avellino corners (+3.5)	76.7%	74.8%	—	—	1.34
Catanzaro corners (+1.5)	76.4%	74.8%	—	—	1.34
US Avellino corners (+2.5)	67.4%	65.9%	—	—	1.52
US Avellino corners (+1.5)	56.5%	57.2%	—	—	1.75
Catanzaro corners (-1.5)	43.5%	42.8%	—	—	2.33
Catanzaro corners (-2.5)	32.6%	34.1%	—	—	2.93
Catanzaro corners (-3.5)	23.3%	25.2%	—	—	3.97
US Avellino corners (-1.5)	23.6%	25.2%	—	—	3.97
US Avellino corners (-2.5)	15.6%	20.2%	—	—	4.95
US Avellino corners (-3.5)	9.8%	10.4%	—	—	9.59

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-8 corners	48.9%	41.8%	—	—	2.40
9-11 corners	28.8%	31.2%	—	—	3.21
12+ corners	22.3%	25.7%	—	—	3.90

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 12.5 corners	84.3%	80.7%	—	—	1.24
Under 11.5 corners	77.7%	76.6%	—	—	1.31
Under 10.5 corners	69.5%	67.8%	—	—	1.48
Over 7.5 corners	62.4%	63.2%	—	—	1.58
Under 9.5 corners	59.8%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Over 8.5 corners	51.1%	53.2%	—	—	1.88
Under 8.5 corners	48.9%	46.8%	—	—	2.14
Over 9.5 corners	40.2%	42.1%	—	—	2.37
Under 7.5 corners	37.6%	36.8%	—	—	2.72
Over 10.5 corners	30.5%	32.2%	—	—	3.11
Over 11.5 corners	22.3%	23.4%	—	—	4.27
Over 12.5 corners	15.7%	19.3%	—	—	5.18

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.2%	—	—	1.99
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.8%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-1	11.8%	11.5%	14.7%	0.78×	8.71
2-0	10.9%	11.5%	7.5%	1.54×	8.72
1-0	10.4%	11.5%	11.1%	1.04×	8.72
2-1	9.9%	7.4%	9.7%	0.76×	13.51
0-0	7.4%	7.4%	9.1%	0.81×	13.51
3-0	6.8%	7.4%	4.0%	1.86×	13.51
3-1	6.2%	7.4%	4.6%	1.61×	13.51
1-2	4.8%	1.7%	7.3%	0.23×	58.29
0-1	4.4%	1.7%	6.8%	0.25×	58.29
0-2	2.6%	1.7%	3.9%	0.44×	58.30
0-3	0.8%	1.7%	2.2%	0.77×	58.31
0-4	0.2%	1.7%	0.7%	2.29×	58.32
1-3	1.4%	1.7%	2.6%	0.66×	58.31
1-4	0.3%	1.7%	0.4%	4.59×	58.32
2-2	4.5%	1.7%	7.3%	0.23×	58.29
2-3	1.4%	1.7%	1.5%	1.15×	58.31
2-4	0.3%	1.7%	0.1%	13.77×	58.32
3-2	2.8%	1.7%	2.5%	0.69×	58.30
3-3	0.8%	1.7%	1.1%	1.53×	58.31
3-4	0.2%	1.7%	0.4%	4.59×	58.32
4-0	3.2%	1.7%	1.1%	1.53×	58.30
4-1	2.9%	1.7%	0.7%	2.30×	58.30
4-2	1.3%	1.7%	1.0%	1.72×	58.31
4-3	0.4%	1.7%	0.2%	6.88×	58.32
4-4	0.1%	1.7%	0.1%	13.77×	58.32
Any other score	4.4%	1.7%	2.1%	0.81×	58.29

DNB 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Catanzaro (2nd half DNB)	72.3%	71.4%	—	—	1.40
US Avellino (2nd half DNB)	27.7%	28.6%	—	—	3.50

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Catanzaro leading at HT (DNB)	73.8%	74.7%	—	—	1.34
US Avellino leading at HT (DNB)	26.2%	25.3%	—	—	3.95

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Catanzaro or draw (1X)	83.4%	80.6%	74.5%	1.08×	1.24
Catanzaro or US Avellino (12)	75.3%	75.5%	68.1%	1.11×	1.32
US Avellino or draw (X2)	41.2%	46.0%	57.3%	0.80×	2.17

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Catanzaro or draw at HT	84.6%	84.2%	—	—	1.19
Catanzaro or US Avellino at HT	58.7%	57.5%	—	—	1.74
US Avellino or draw at HT	56.7%	57.4%	—	—	1.74

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Catanzaro or draw (1UP)	83.4%	88.8%	—	—	1.13
US Avellino or draw (1UP)	41.2%	52.6%	—	—	1.90

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Catanzaro or draw in 2nd half	81.8%	82.1%	—	—	1.22
Catanzaro or US Avellino in 2nd half	65.8%	66.0%	—	—	1.52
US Avellino or draw in 2nd half	52.4%	54.8%	—	—	1.82

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	60.0%	59.0%	—	—	1.70
Neither half drawn	40.0%	41.0%	—	—	2.44

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Catanzaro (DNB)	78.0%	74.7%	62.6%	1.19×	1.34
US Avellino (DNB)	22.0%	25.3%	37.4%	0.68×	3.96

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Catanzaro to score first	62.3%	63.9%	—	—	1.57
US Avellino to score first	30.2%	27.6%	—	—	3.62
No goal scored	7.4%	7.6%	—	—	13.21

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams to score	51.7%	51.3%	53.9%	0.95×	1.95
Not both teams to score	48.3%	48.7%	46.1%	1.06×	2.05

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both score & over 2.5	39.9%	38.5%	39.4%	0.98×	2.60
Not both score & under 2.5	35.6%	38.4%	37.9%	1.02×	2.60
Not both score & over 2.5	12.6%	12.4%	8.3%	1.48×	8.09
Both score & under 2.5	11.8%	12.4%	14.7%	0.84×	8.09

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	87.1%	85.6%	86.1%	0.99×	1.17
Both teams to score 2+	12.9%	14.4%	13.9%	1.03×	6.95

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	72.0%	73.6%	—	—	1.36
Both teams to score in 2nd half	28.0%	26.4%	—	—	3.79

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	59.6%	60.2%	—	—	1.66
Both score 2nd half only	23.3%	21.3%	—	—	4.70
Both score 1st half only	12.4%	10.8%	—	—	9.30
Both score in both halves	4.6%	4.9%	—	—	20.21

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	82.9%	83.4%	—	—	1.20
Both teams to score by HT	17.1%	16.6%	—	—	6.03

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A goal in each half	55.8%	56.9%	—	—	1.76
A half without a goal	44.2%	43.1%	—	—	2.32

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	47.4%	47.2%	48.6%	0.97×	2.12
4-6 goals	28.0%	26.6%	23.5%	1.13×	3.76
0-1 goals	22.2%	22.9%	26.8%	0.86×	4.36
7+ goals	2.3%	1.8%	1.4%	1.34×	54.33

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
US Avellino to score exactly 0	40.3%	37.3%	32.9%	1.13×	2.68
US Avellino to score exactly 1	36.6%	35.9%	36.6%	0.98×	2.78
US Avellino to score exactly 2	16.6%	19.5%	21.5%	0.91×	5.12
US Avellino to score 3+	6.4%	8.5%	9.2%	0.93×	11.72

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Catanzaro to score exactly 1	28.8%	26.6%	35.9%	0.74×	3.77
Catanzaro to score 3+	28.9%	26.6%	16.2%	1.64×	3.77
Catanzaro to score exactly 2	27.0%	26.6%	25.9%	1.03×	3.77
Catanzaro to score exactly 0	15.4%	18.8%	22.3%	0.84×	5.33

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Catanzaro leading at HT	43.3%	42.6%	—	—	2.35
Draw at HT	41.3%	42.5%	—	—	2.35
US Avellino leading at HT	15.4%	15.8%	—	—	6.31

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Catanzaro -1: 2	41.2%	42.7%	—	—	2.34
Catanzaro -1: 1	35.3%	37.4%	—	—	2.68
Catanzaro -1: X	23.5%	23.5%	—	—	4.25

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
US Avellino (0:1)	41.2%	42.5%	57.3%	0.74×	2.35
Catanzaro (0:1)	35.3%	37.3%	19.7%	1.90×	2.68
Draw (0:1)	23.5%	24.2%	23.2%	1.05×	4.13

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
US Avellino (0:2)	64.7%	67.2%	80.3%	0.84×	1.49
Draw (0:2)	18.5%	15.3%	13.1%	1.17×	6.56
Catanzaro (0:2)	16.8%	15.2%	6.7%	2.27×	6.56

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
US Avellino (0:3)	83.2%	85.4%	93.3%	0.92×	1.17
Draw (0:3)	10.2%	9.9%	4.6%	2.14×	10.15
Catanzaro (0:3)	6.6%	5.8%	2.2%	2.59×	17.26

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
US Avellino (0:4)	93.4%	94.6%	97.8%	0.97×	1.06
Draw (0:4)	4.4%	1.2%	1.4%	0.90×	81.41
Catanzaro (0:4)	2.2%	1.2%	1.0%	1.23×	81.66

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Catanzaro (1:0)	83.4%	81.4%	74.5%	1.09×	1.23
Draw (1:0)	10.7%	12.7%	15.7%	0.81×	7.88
US Avellino (1:0)	5.8%	6.9%	10.0%	0.69×	14.52

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Catanzaro (2:0)	94.2%	94.0%	90.0%	1.04×	1.06
Draw (2:0)	4.4%	2.3%	6.5%	0.35×	43.65
US Avellino (2:0)	1.5%	2.3%	3.6%	0.63×	43.84

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	46.6%	48.6%	—	—	2.06
1st half highest scoring	26.8%	26.2%	—	—	3.81
Halves equal	26.5%	26.2%	—	—	3.81

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Catanzaro to concede	59.7%	60.7%	67.1%	0.90×	1.65
Catanzaro clean sheet	40.3%	39.3%	32.9%	1.20×	2.55

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Catanzaro clean sheet in 1st half	69.5%	70.8%	—	—	1.41
Catanzaro to concede in 1st half	30.5%	29.2%	—	—	3.43

Home clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Catanzaro clean sheet in 2nd half	58.0%	54.8%	—	—	1.82
Catanzaro to concede in 2nd half	42.0%	45.2%	—	—	2.22

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Catanzaro over 2.5 corners	81.5%	81.0%	—	—	1.24
Catanzaro under 6.5 corners	74.2%	71.9%	—	—	1.39
Catanzaro over 3.5 corners	67.3%	66.7%	—	—	1.50
Catanzaro under 5.5 corners	62.4%	62.3%	—	—	1.61
Catanzaro over 4.5 corners	51.9%	52.6%	—	—	1.90
Catanzaro under 4.5 corners	48.1%	47.4%	—	—	2.11
Catanzaro over 5.5 corners	37.6%	37.7%	—	—	2.65
Catanzaro under 3.5 corners	32.7%	33.3%	—	—	3.01
Catanzaro over 6.5 corners	25.8%	28.1%	—	—	3.56
Catanzaro under 2.5 corners	18.5%	19.0%	—	—	5.26

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Catanzaro under 3.5 goals	88.0%	87.3%	95.9%	0.91×	1.15
Catanzaro over 0.5 goals	84.6%	82.2%	77.7%	1.06×	1.22
Catanzaro under 2.5 goals	71.1%	74.2%	83.8%	0.89×	1.35
Catanzaro over 1.5 goals	55.8%	58.6%	42.0%	1.40×	1.71
Catanzaro under 1.5 goals	44.2%	41.4%	58.0%	0.71×	2.42
Catanzaro over 2.5 goals	28.9%	25.8%	16.2%	1.59×	3.88
Catanzaro under 0.5 goals	15.4%	17.8%	22.3%	0.80×	5.62
Catanzaro over 3.5 goals	12.0%	12.7%	4.1%	3.10×	7.86

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Catanzaro under 1.5 in 1st half	80.7%	84.0%	—	—	1.19
Catanzaro over 0.5 in 1st half	55.3%	56.1%	—	—	1.78
Catanzaro under 0.5 in 1st half	44.7%	43.9%	—	—	2.28
Catanzaro over 1.5 in 1st half	19.3%	16.0%	—	—	6.24

Home highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Catanzaro scores more in 2nd half	41.2%	41.6%	—	—	2.40
Catanzaro scores equally in both	31.7%	33.2%	—	—	3.01
Catanzaro scores more in 1st half	27.1%	27.8%	—	—	3.60

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw (home no bet)	59.8%	56.4%	55.5%	1.02×	1.77
US Avellino (home no bet)	40.2%	43.6%	44.5%	0.98×	2.30

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Catanzaro even goals	51.2%	50.7%	50.9%	1.00×	1.97
Catanzaro odd goals	48.8%	49.3%	49.1%	1.00×	2.03

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	31.3%	33.5%	—	—	2.99
HT 1-0	24.8%	24.4%	—	—	4.10
HT 0-1	11.1%	11.0%	—	—	9.11
HT 2-0	10.1%	11.0%	—	—	9.12
HT 1-1	9.3%	6.9%	—	—	14.51
Any other HT score	5.4%	6.9%	—	—	14.57
HT 2-1	3.7%	2.4%	—	—	42.16
HT 0-2	2.1%	2.4%	—	—	42.27
HT 1-2	1.7%	2.4%	—	—	42.29
HT 2-2	0.7%	2.4%	—	—	42.36

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Catanzaro at HT / Catanzaro at FT	37.1%	41.2%	—	—	2.43
Draw at HT / Catanzaro at FT	18.9%	16.8%	—	—	5.96
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	15.5%	16.7%	—	—	5.97
US Avellino at HT / US Avellino at FT	8.4%	6.1%	—	—	16.45
Draw at HT / US Avellino at FT	6.9%	6.1%	—	—	16.50
Catanzaro at HT / Draw at FT	4.9%	3.5%	—	—	28.84
US Avellino at HT / Draw at FT	4.3%	3.5%	—	—	28.86
US Avellino at HT / Catanzaro at FT	2.7%	3.5%	—	—	28.92
Catanzaro at HT / US Avellino at FT	1.3%	3.5%	—	—	28.97

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Catanzaro to score last	62.5%	62.1%	—	—	1.61
US Avellino to score last	30.0%	32.3%	—	—	3.10
No goal scored	7.4%	7.6%	—	—	13.21

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	92.6%	92.5%	—	—	1.08
Catanzaro to lead by 1 at any time	71.4%	73.9%	—	—	1.35
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	51.1%	50.6%	—	—	1.98
Catanzaro to lead by 2 at any time	41.5%	39.2%	—	—	2.55
US Avellino to lead by 1 at any time	34.3%	29.8%	—	—	3.36
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	21.6%	19.5%	—	—	5.13
Catanzaro to lead by 3 at any time	19.4%	14.9%	—	—	6.73
US Avellino to lead by 2 at any time	9.8%	6.7%	—	—	14.94
US Avellino to lead by 3 at any time	2.2%	1.6%	—	—	63.06

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Catanzaro most corners	55.2%	55.6%	—	—	1.80
US Avellino most corners	33.5%	34.4%	—	—	2.90
Corners level	11.3%	10.4%	—	—	9.59

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	86.2%	87.4%	87.3%	1.00×	1.14
1-4 goals	77.6%	78.7%	82.1%	0.96×	1.27
2-6 goals	75.4%	78.7%	72.0%	1.09×	1.27
2-5 goals	71.5%	72.3%	69.6%	1.04×	1.38
2-4 goals	62.9%	63.3%	64.4%	0.98×	1.58
1-3 goals	62.2%	63.3%	66.3%	0.96×	1.58
3-6 goals	50.2%	53.1%	46.3%	1.15×	1.88
2-3 goals	47.4%	48.4%	48.6%	1.00×	2.06
3-5 goals	46.2%	48.4%	44.0%	1.10×	2.06
1-2 goals	40.0%	39.2%	43.5%	0.90×	2.55
3-4 goals	37.7%	39.2%	38.7%	1.01×	2.55
4-6 goals	28.0%	30.2%	23.5%	1.28×	3.31
4-5 goals	24.0%	24.5%	21.2%	1.16×	4.09
5-6 goals	12.6%	14.8%	7.7%	1.92×	6.76
7+ goals	2.3%	2.6%	1.4%	1.86×	39.16

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Catanzaro never behind	58.2%	62.4%	—	—	1.60
US Avellino never behind	21.2%	25.0%	—	—	4.00

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of goals	47.3%	50.9%	46.7%	1.09×	1.97
Even number of goals	52.7%	49.1%	53.3%	0.92×	2.04

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	55.3%	57.8%	—	—	1.73
Odd goals in 1st half	44.7%	42.2%	—	—	2.37

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	52.8%	52.0%	—	—	1.92
Odd goals in 2nd half	47.2%	48.0%	—	—	2.08

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 5.5 goals	93.7%	92.3%	96.3%	0.96×	1.08
Over 0.5 goals	92.6%	92.3%	90.9%	1.02×	1.08
Under 4.5 goals	85.1%	87.6%	91.0%	0.96×	1.14
Over 1.5 goals	77.8%	77.3%	73.2%	1.06×	1.29
Under 3.5 goals	69.6%	66.3%	75.2%	0.88×	1.51
Over 2.5 goals	52.6%	52.5%	47.6%	1.10×	1.90
Under 2.5 goals	47.4%	47.5%	52.4%	0.91×	2.11
Over 3.5 goals	30.4%	33.7%	24.8%	1.36×	2.97
Under 1.5 goals	22.2%	22.7%	26.8%	0.85×	4.40
Over 4.5 goals	14.9%	12.4%	9.0%	1.38×	8.06
Under 0.5 goals	7.4%	7.7%	9.1%	0.85×	12.94
Over 5.5 goals	6.3%	7.7%	3.7%	2.07×	12.94

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	97.6%	97.2%	98.6%	0.99×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	93.1%	92.4%	96.1%	0.96×	1.08
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	82.4%	81.1%	89.3%	0.91×	1.23
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	70.3%	72.3%	64.0%	1.13×	1.38
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	61.0%	61.9%	67.9%	0.91×	1.62
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	39.0%	38.1%	32.1%	1.19×	2.63
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	29.7%	27.7%	36.0%	0.77×	3.62
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	17.6%	18.9%	10.7%	1.78×	5.29
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	6.9%	7.6%	3.9%	1.92×	13.19
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	2.4%	2.8%	1.4%	2.00×	35.61

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	88.6%	89.1%	—	—	1.12
Over 0.5 in 1st half	68.7%	68.6%	—	—	1.46
Under 1.5 in 1st half	67.2%	68.5%	—	—	1.46
Over 1.5 in 1st half	32.8%	31.5%	—	—	3.18
Under 0.5 in 1st half	31.3%	31.4%	—	—	3.18
Over 2.5 in 1st half	11.4%	10.9%	—	—	9.14

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	79.6%	79.6%	—	—	1.26
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	78.0%	79.5%	—	—	1.26
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	51.7%	53.1%	—	—	1.88
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	48.3%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	22.0%	20.5%	—	—	4.88
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	20.4%	20.4%	—	—	4.89

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
US Avellino not to score in both halves	87.2%	85.6%	—	—	1.17
Catanzaro not to score in both halves	63.7%	63.4%	—	—	1.58
Catanzaro to score in both halves	36.3%	36.6%	—	—	2.74
US Avellino to score in both halves	12.8%	14.4%	—	—	6.94

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	51.7%	53.8%	53.9%	1.00×	1.86
Only Catanzaro scores	32.9%	33.3%	23.9%	1.39×	3.01
Only US Avellino scores	7.9%	7.1%	13.3%	0.54×	14.00
Neither team scores	7.4%	7.1%	9.1%	0.79×	14.00

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 2 goals	25.2%	24.9%	25.8%	0.96×	4.02
Exactly 3 goals	22.2%	22.6%	22.9%	0.99×	4.43
Exactly 4 goals	15.4%	17.4%	15.9%	1.09×	5.73
Exactly 1 goals	14.8%	12.1%	17.8%	0.68×	8.25
Exactly 5 goals	8.6%	7.6%	5.4%	1.42×	13.13
Exactly 0 goals	7.4%	7.6%	9.1%	0.84×	13.14
6 or more goals	6.3%	7.6%	3.7%	2.04×	13.14

Total goals 1st half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1 goal in 1st half	35.9%	37.2%	—	—	2.69
No goals in 1st half	31.3%	35.7%	—	—	2.80
2 goals in 1st half	21.4%	21.4%	—	—	4.68
3+ goals in 1st half	11.4%	10.8%	—	—	9.22

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	48.3%	44.9%	—	—	2.23
1 goal in 2nd half	31.3%	33.9%	—	—	2.95
No goals in 2nd half	20.4%	22.8%	—	—	4.38

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
US Avellino not to win both halves	97.1%	97.2%	—	—	1.03
Catanzaro not to win both halves	79.1%	75.8%	—	—	1.32
Catanzaro to win both halves	20.9%	24.2%	—	—	4.13
US Avellino to win both halves	2.9%	2.8%	—	—	36.01

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Catanzaro to win either half	70.0%	72.9%	—	—	1.37
US Avellino to win neither half	69.3%	67.9%	—	—	1.47
US Avellino to win either half	30.7%	32.1%	—	—	3.12
Catanzaro to win neither half	30.0%	27.1%	—	—	3.69

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
US Avellino not to win to nil	92.1%	92.1%	86.7%	1.06×	1.09
Catanzaro not to win to nil	67.1%	69.7%	76.1%	0.92×	1.44
Catanzaro to win to nil	32.9%	30.3%	23.9%	1.27×	3.30
US Avellino to win to nil	7.9%	7.9%	13.3%	0.59×	12.64

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw	24.7%	24.1%	31.9%	0.76×	4.15
Catanzaro by 1	23.5%	24.1%	23.2%	1.04×	4.15
Catanzaro by 2	18.5%	17.0%	13.1%	1.30×	5.87
Catanzaro by 3+	16.8%	17.0%	6.7%	2.53×	5.87
US Avellino by 1	10.7%	11.8%	15.7%	0.75×	8.51
US Avellino by 2	4.4%	2.7%	6.5%	0.42×	36.84
US Avellino by 3+	1.5%	2.7%	3.6%	0.75×	36.93