Catanzaro v Virtus Entella — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Tuesday 8 December 2026 · ITA-Serie B · 2627

ITA-Serie B results-only Prediction generated 18 Sep 2026, 10:37 UTC

Catanzaro

20:00 UTC

Virtus Entella

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 26 Oct, 10:59 · 1,041h before kick-off

Catanzaro win

51.2%

model 53.4%

Draw

26.7%

model 25.3%

Virtus Entella win

22.1%

model 21.2%

512722

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (466 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-1 12.0%
2-1 9.8%
2-0 9.0%
1-0 8.5%
0-0 6.6%

Goals

Over 2.5	56.2%	Under 2.5	43.8%
BTTS yes	57.2%	BTTS no	42.8%
Catanzaro 1+	84.1%	Catanzaro 2+	54.8%
Virtus Entella 1+	66.6%	Virtus Entella 2+	30.0%

Expected goals 1.84 – 1.10. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

46/100

Data quality

65/100

Model agreement

95%

★ Best pick

3-6 goals

Multi goal · usually 46%

52.3% fair odds 1.91

moderate signal · 1994 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Catanzaro not to win both halves

Win both halves

83.2% fair odds 1.20

moderate signal · 588 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

Catanzaro carry the stronger rating, 1492 Elo against 1412.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Catanzaro have an estimated 51.2% win probability, against 26.7% for the draw and 22.1% for Virtus Entella. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.84 for Catanzaro and 1.10 for Virtus Entella.

Why Catanzaro

Catanzaro carry the stronger rating, 1492 Elo against 1412.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 26.7%. Draws run at 32% in this competition.

Why Virtus Entella can win

Nothing in the data singles out Virtus Entella.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Catanzaro, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Virtus Entella, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Catanzaro: 57% possession, 13.2 shots a match, 15.4 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Virtus Entella: 52% possession, 15.6 shots a match, 8.8 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-10-26 10:06 · team_stats 2026-10-26 06:08 · availability 2026-10-26 14:59 · prediction 2026-09-18 10:37 ·

Catanzaro are the model's most likely outcome at 51.2%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 12.0%. Confidence 46/100, data quality 65/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

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Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	532521	1.84–1.10	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	582418	1.98–1.04	1-1 11%	58%	57%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Catanzaro to win	58.0%	54.0%	42.7%	1.26×	1.85
Draw	23.9%	24.5%	31.9%	0.77×	4.09
Virtus Entella to win	18.1%	19.4%	25.5%	0.76×	5.15

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Catanzaro & not both score	29.4%	25.2%	23.9%	1.05×	3.97
Catanzaro & both teams score	28.6%	25.2%	18.9%	1.33×	3.97
Draw & both teams score	17.8%	18.0%	22.9%	0.78×	5.56
Virtus Entella & both teams score	10.4%	13.3%	12.3%	1.08×	7.54
Virtus Entella & not both score	7.8%	8.3%	13.3%	0.63×	12.00
Draw & not both score	6.1%	8.3%	9.1%	0.92×	12.01

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Catanzaro & over 1.5	49.4%	45.1%	31.8%	1.42×	2.22
Catanzaro & over 2.5	39.8%	34.9%	24.4%	1.43×	2.87
Catanzaro & under 3.5	34.4%	30.8%	31.9%	0.96×	3.25
Catanzaro & over 3.5	23.6%	21.6%	11.0%	1.97×	4.63
Draw & over 1.5	17.8%	18.0%	22.9%	0.79×	5.55
Catanzaro & under 2.5	18.1%	18.0%	18.4%	0.98×	5.55
Draw & under 2.5	17.4%	18.0%	23.7%	0.76×	5.56
Draw & under 3.5	17.4%	18.0%	23.7%	0.76×	5.56
Virtus Entella & over 1.5	14.2%	12.8%	18.8%	0.68×	7.79
Virtus Entella & under 3.5	12.7%	12.8%	19.9%	0.64×	7.79
Virtus Entella & over 2.5	11.6%	12.8%	15.1%	0.85×	7.79
Catanzaro & under 1.5	8.5%	7.9%	11.1%	0.71×	12.63
Draw & under 1.5	6.1%	7.9%	9.1%	0.87×	12.63
Draw & over 2.5	6.5%	7.9%	8.3%	0.95×	12.63
Draw & over 3.5	6.5%	7.9%	8.3%	0.95×	12.63
Virtus Entella & under 2.5	6.6%	7.9%	10.6%	0.75×	12.63
Virtus Entella & over 3.5	5.5%	7.9%	5.7%	1.38×	12.63
Virtus Entella & under 1.5	3.9%	4.8%	6.8%	0.70×	20.82

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Catanzaro (1UP)	71.7%	75.1%	—	—	1.33
Virtus Entella (1UP)	37.3%	34.2%	—	—	2.92

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Catanzaro (2UP)	58.0%	54.8%	—	—	1.82
Virtus Entella (2UP)	18.1%	17.1%	—	—	5.86

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Catanzaro to win 2nd half	47.4%	45.2%	—	—	2.21
2nd half drawn	32.7%	34.0%	—	—	2.94
Virtus Entella to win 2nd half	19.9%	18.0%	—	—	5.54

2nd half away goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Virtus Entella under 1.5 in 2nd half	87.1%	87.1%	—	—	1.15
Virtus Entella under 0.5 in 2nd half	53.7%	52.5%	—	—	1.90
Virtus Entella over 0.5 in 2nd half	46.3%	47.5%	—	—	2.11
Virtus Entella over 1.5 in 2nd half	12.9%	12.9%	—	—	7.75

2nd half home goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Catanzaro under 1.5 in 2nd half	69.0%	70.8%	—	—	1.41
Catanzaro over 0.5 in 2nd half	67.6%	70.7%	—	—	1.41
Catanzaro under 0.5 in 2nd half	32.4%	29.3%	—	—	3.42
Catanzaro over 1.5 in 2nd half	31.0%	29.2%	—	—	3.43

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Virtus Entella (+2.5)	82.6%	82.6%	93.3%	0.89×	1.21
Catanzaro (+0.5)	81.9%	82.6%	74.5%	1.11×	1.21
Virtus Entella (+1.5)	64.5%	63.0%	80.3%	0.78×	1.59
Catanzaro (-0.5)	58.0%	57.1%	42.7%	1.34×	1.75
Virtus Entella (+0.5)	42.0%	42.9%	57.3%	0.75×	2.33
Catanzaro (-1.5)	35.5%	37.0%	19.7%	1.88×	2.70
Virtus Entella (-0.5)	18.1%	17.4%	25.5%	0.68×	5.74
Catanzaro (-2.5)	17.4%	17.4%	6.7%	2.59×	5.74

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Virtus Entella to concede	86.1%	86.2%	77.7%	1.11×	1.16
Virtus Entella clean sheet	13.9%	13.8%	22.3%	0.62×	7.27

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Virtus Entella to concede in 1st half	57.2%	56.4%	—	—	1.77
Virtus Entella clean sheet in 1st half	42.8%	43.6%	—	—	2.30

Away clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Virtus Entella to concede in 2nd half	67.6%	65.7%	—	—	1.52
Virtus Entella clean sheet in 2nd half	32.4%	34.3%	—	—	2.91

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Virtus Entella under 6.5 corners	81.0%	81.4%	—	—	1.23
Virtus Entella over 2.5 corners	76.1%	76.0%	—	—	1.32
Virtus Entella under 5.5 corners	70.3%	71.6%	—	—	1.40
Virtus Entella over 3.5 corners	59.8%	57.2%	—	—	1.75
Virtus Entella under 4.5 corners	56.4%	57.2%	—	—	1.75
Virtus Entella over 4.5 corners	43.6%	42.8%	—	—	2.34
Virtus Entella under 3.5 corners	40.2%	42.8%	—	—	2.34
Virtus Entella over 5.5 corners	29.7%	28.4%	—	—	3.52
Virtus Entella under 2.5 corners	23.9%	24.0%	—	—	4.17
Virtus Entella over 6.5 corners	19.0%	18.6%	—	—	5.38

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Virtus Entella under 3.5 goals	97.9%	97.5%	98.1%	0.99×	1.03
Virtus Entella under 2.5 goals	91.3%	92.3%	90.8%	1.02×	1.08
Virtus Entella under 1.5 goals	72.3%	71.8%	69.4%	1.04×	1.39
Virtus Entella over 0.5 goals	64.5%	63.2%	67.1%	0.94×	1.58
Virtus Entella under 0.5 goals	35.5%	36.8%	32.9%	1.12×	2.72
Virtus Entella over 1.5 goals	27.7%	28.2%	30.6%	0.92×	3.55
Virtus Entella over 2.5 goals	8.7%	7.7%	9.2%	0.83×	13.06
Virtus Entella over 3.5 goals	2.1%	2.5%	1.9%	1.34×	39.86

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Virtus Entella under 1.5 in 1st half	93.5%	94.0%	—	—	1.06
Virtus Entella under 0.5 in 1st half	66.1%	70.2%	—	—	1.43
Virtus Entella over 0.5 in 1st half	33.9%	29.8%	—	—	3.35
Virtus Entella over 1.5 in 1st half	6.5%	6.0%	—	—	16.56

Away highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Virtus Entella scores equally in both	45.2%	48.0%	—	—	2.08
Virtus Entella scores more in 2nd half	34.3%	33.4%	—	—	3.00
Virtus Entella scores more in 1st half	20.5%	21.8%	—	—	4.60

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Catanzaro (away no bet)	70.8%	68.3%	57.3%	1.19×	1.46
Draw (away no bet)	29.2%	31.7%	42.7%	0.74×	3.16

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Virtus Entella even goals	56.3%	56.9%	55.4%	1.03×	1.76
Virtus Entella odd goals	43.7%	43.1%	44.6%	0.97×	2.32

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	81.2%	83.1%	—	—	1.20
Both halves over 1.5 goals	18.8%	16.9%	—	—	5.91

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	70.0%	68.0%	—	—	1.47
Both halves under 1.5 goals	30.0%	32.0%	—	—	3.13

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	62.7%	60.0%	—	—	1.67
Catanzaro to score 2+ in a row	50.6%	50.8%	—	—	1.97
Either team to score 3+ in a row	26.6%	24.9%	—	—	4.01
Catanzaro to score 3+ in a row	22.8%	19.5%	—	—	5.12
Virtus Entella to score 2+ in a row	18.8%	16.2%	—	—	6.18
Virtus Entella to score 3+ in a row	4.2%	2.6%	—	—	38.44

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Catanzaro corners (+3.5)	86.1%	84.5%	—	—	1.18
Virtus Entella corners (+3.5)	81.5%	79.8%	—	—	1.25
Catanzaro corners (+2.5)	79.0%	74.8%	—	—	1.34
Virtus Entella corners (+2.5)	73.3%	70.8%	—	—	1.41
Catanzaro corners (+1.5)	69.9%	65.9%	—	—	1.52
Virtus Entella corners (+1.5)	63.3%	61.9%	—	—	1.62
Catanzaro corners (-1.5)	36.7%	38.1%	—	—	2.62
Virtus Entella corners (-1.5)	30.1%	34.1%	—	—	2.93
Catanzaro corners (-2.5)	26.7%	29.2%	—	—	3.42
Virtus Entella corners (-2.5)	21.0%	25.2%	—	—	3.97
Catanzaro corners (-3.5)	18.5%	20.2%	—	—	4.94
Virtus Entella corners (-3.5)	13.9%	15.5%	—	—	6.45

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-8 corners	46.3%	41.7%	—	—	2.40
9-11 corners	29.3%	31.2%	—	—	3.21
12+ corners	24.4%	25.7%	—	—	3.90

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 12.5 corners	82.5%	80.7%	—	—	1.24
Under 11.5 corners	75.6%	76.6%	—	—	1.31
Under 10.5 corners	67.1%	67.8%	—	—	1.48
Over 7.5 corners	64.9%	63.3%	—	—	1.58
Under 9.5 corners	57.2%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Over 8.5 corners	53.7%	53.2%	—	—	1.88
Under 8.5 corners	46.3%	46.8%	—	—	2.14
Over 9.5 corners	42.8%	42.1%	—	—	2.37
Under 7.5 corners	35.1%	36.7%	—	—	2.72
Over 10.5 corners	32.9%	32.2%	—	—	3.11
Over 11.5 corners	24.4%	23.4%	—	—	4.27
Over 12.5 corners	17.5%	19.3%	—	—	5.17

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.2%	—	—	1.99
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.8%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-1	11.3%	11.5%	14.7%	0.78×	8.72
2-0	9.6%	7.4%	7.5%	0.99×	13.51
2-1	10.0%	7.4%	9.7%	0.76×	13.51
1-0	8.5%	7.4%	11.1%	0.67×	13.51
3-1	6.6%	7.4%	4.6%	1.61×	13.51
1-2	5.2%	7.4%	7.3%	1.01×	13.51
2-2	5.2%	7.4%	7.3%	1.01×	13.51
3-0	6.3%	7.4%	4.0%	1.86×	13.51
Any other score	5.4%	7.4%	2.1%	3.50×	13.51
0-0	6.1%	7.4%	9.1%	0.81×	13.51
1-3	1.8%	1.7%	2.6%	0.66×	58.31
1-4	0.5%	1.7%	0.4%	4.59×	58.32
2-3	1.8%	1.7%	1.5%	1.15×	58.31
2-4	0.5%	1.7%	0.1%	13.77×	58.32
3-2	3.4%	1.7%	2.5%	0.69×	58.30
3-3	1.2%	1.7%	1.1%	1.53×	58.31
3-4	0.3%	1.7%	0.4%	4.59×	58.32
4-0	3.1%	1.7%	1.1%	1.53×	58.30
4-1	3.2%	1.7%	0.7%	2.30×	58.30
4-2	1.7%	1.7%	1.0%	1.72×	58.31
4-3	0.6%	1.7%	0.2%	6.89×	58.32
4-4	0.2%	1.7%	0.1%	13.77×	58.32
0-1	3.9%	1.7%	6.8%	0.25×	58.30
0-2	2.6%	1.7%	3.9%	0.44×	58.30
0-3	0.9%	1.7%	2.2%	0.77×	58.31
0-4	0.2%	1.7%	0.7%	2.29×	58.32

DNB 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Catanzaro (2nd half DNB)	70.4%	71.1%	—	—	1.41
Virtus Entella (2nd half DNB)	29.6%	28.9%	—	—	3.46

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Catanzaro leading at HT (DNB)	72.2%	74.4%	—	—	1.34
Virtus Entella leading at HT (DNB)	27.8%	25.6%	—	—	3.91

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Catanzaro or draw (1X)	81.9%	80.6%	74.5%	1.08×	1.24
Catanzaro or Virtus Entella (12)	76.1%	75.5%	68.1%	1.11×	1.32
Virtus Entella or draw (X2)	42.0%	46.0%	57.3%	0.80×	2.17

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Catanzaro or draw at HT	83.2%	84.1%	—	—	1.19
Catanzaro or Virtus Entella at HT	60.5%	61.0%	—	—	1.64
Virtus Entella or draw at HT	56.4%	57.4%	—	—	1.74

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Catanzaro or draw (1UP)	81.9%	88.7%	—	—	1.13
Virtus Entella or draw (1UP)	42.0%	52.7%	—	—	1.90

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Catanzaro or draw in 2nd half	80.1%	82.0%	—	—	1.22
Catanzaro or Virtus Entella in 2nd half	67.3%	66.0%	—	—	1.52
Virtus Entella or draw in 2nd half	52.6%	54.8%	—	—	1.82

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	58.0%	58.9%	—	—	1.70
Neither half drawn	42.0%	41.1%	—	—	2.43

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Catanzaro (DNB)	76.2%	74.7%	62.6%	1.19×	1.34
Virtus Entella (DNB)	23.8%	25.3%	37.4%	0.68×	3.95

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Catanzaro to score first	61.6%	63.8%	—	—	1.57
Virtus Entella to score first	32.3%	27.8%	—	—	3.60
No goal scored	6.1%	7.5%	—	—	13.28

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams to score	56.7%	55.0%	53.9%	1.02×	1.82
Not both teams to score	43.3%	45.0%	46.1%	0.98×	2.22

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both score & over 2.5	45.5%	44.3%	39.4%	1.13×	2.26
Not both score & under 2.5	30.8%	34.6%	37.9%	0.91×	2.89
Not both score & over 2.5	12.4%	12.4%	8.3%	1.48×	8.09
Both score & under 2.5	11.3%	12.4%	14.7%	0.84×	8.09

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	83.7%	82.7%	86.1%	0.96×	1.21
Both teams to score 2+	16.3%	17.3%	13.9%	1.24×	5.76

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	68.3%	67.3%	—	—	1.49
Both teams to score in 2nd half	31.7%	32.7%	—	—	3.06

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	54.8%	54.9%	—	—	1.82
Both score 2nd half only	25.6%	26.8%	—	—	3.73
Both score 1st half only	13.5%	10.8%	—	—	9.29
Both score in both halves	6.1%	6.8%	—	—	14.80

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	80.4%	83.3%	—	—	1.20
Both teams to score by HT	19.6%	16.7%	—	—	6.00

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A goal in each half	59.8%	57.1%	—	—	1.75
A half without a goal	40.2%	42.9%	—	—	2.33

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	45.9%	47.2%	48.6%	0.97×	2.12
4-6 goals	32.1%	30.7%	23.5%	1.31×	3.25
0-1 goals	18.6%	20.2%	26.8%	0.76×	4.94
7+ goals	3.4%	1.8%	1.4%	1.35×	54.22

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Virtus Entella to score exactly 1	36.8%	35.9%	36.6%	0.98×	2.78
Virtus Entella to score exactly 0	35.5%	35.9%	32.9%	1.09×	2.78
Virtus Entella to score exactly 2	19.0%	19.5%	21.5%	0.91×	5.12
Virtus Entella to score 3+	8.7%	8.6%	9.2%	0.93×	11.69

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Catanzaro to score 3+	31.6%	32.6%	16.2%	2.01×	3.07
Catanzaro to score exactly 1	27.4%	26.6%	35.9%	0.74×	3.77
Catanzaro to score exactly 2	27.1%	26.6%	25.9%	1.03×	3.77
Catanzaro to score exactly 0	13.9%	14.3%	22.3%	0.64×	6.99

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Catanzaro leading at HT	43.6%	42.6%	—	—	2.35
Draw at HT	39.5%	39.0%	—	—	2.56
Virtus Entella leading at HT	16.8%	15.9%	—	—	6.28

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Catanzaro -1: 2	42.0%	42.8%	—	—	2.34
Catanzaro -1: 1	35.5%	37.4%	—	—	2.68
Catanzaro -1: X	22.5%	23.5%	—	—	4.25

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Virtus Entella (0:1)	42.0%	42.6%	57.3%	0.74×	2.35
Catanzaro (0:1)	35.5%	37.3%	19.7%	1.90×	2.68
Draw (0:1)	22.5%	24.2%	23.2%	1.05×	4.13

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Virtus Entella (0:2)	64.5%	67.2%	80.3%	0.84×	1.49
Draw (0:2)	18.1%	15.2%	13.1%	1.17×	6.56
Catanzaro (0:2)	17.4%	15.2%	6.7%	2.27×	6.56

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Virtus Entella (0:3)	82.6%	85.4%	93.3%	0.92×	1.17
Draw (0:3)	10.3%	9.9%	4.6%	2.14×	10.15
Catanzaro (0:3)	7.1%	5.8%	2.2%	2.59×	17.25

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Virtus Entella (0:4)	92.9%	94.5%	97.8%	0.97×	1.06
Draw (0:4)	4.6%	1.2%	1.4%	0.90×	81.39
Catanzaro (0:4)	2.4%	1.2%	1.0%	1.23×	81.63

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Catanzaro (1:0)	81.9%	81.4%	74.5%	1.09×	1.23
Draw (1:0)	11.3%	12.7%	15.7%	0.81×	7.87
Virtus Entella (1:0)	6.9%	6.9%	10.0%	0.69×	14.50

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Catanzaro (2:0)	93.1%	94.0%	90.0%	1.04×	1.06
Draw (2:0)	5.0%	2.3%	6.5%	0.35×	43.62
Virtus Entella (2:0)	1.9%	2.3%	3.6%	0.63×	43.81

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	47.8%	48.7%	—	—	2.06
1st half highest scoring	27.0%	26.2%	—	—	3.81
Halves equal	25.3%	26.2%	—	—	3.81

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Catanzaro to concede	64.5%	63.7%	67.1%	0.95×	1.57
Catanzaro clean sheet	35.5%	36.3%	32.9%	1.10×	2.75

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Catanzaro clean sheet in 1st half	66.1%	70.5%	—	—	1.42
Catanzaro to concede in 1st half	33.9%	29.5%	—	—	3.39

Home clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Catanzaro clean sheet in 2nd half	53.7%	52.6%	—	—	1.90
Catanzaro to concede in 2nd half	46.3%	47.4%	—	—	2.11

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Catanzaro over 2.5 corners	79.6%	76.5%	—	—	1.31
Catanzaro under 6.5 corners	76.9%	76.5%	—	—	1.31
Catanzaro under 5.5 corners	65.4%	66.7%	—	—	1.50
Catanzaro over 3.5 corners	64.5%	62.3%	—	—	1.61
Catanzaro under 4.5 corners	51.2%	52.6%	—	—	1.90
Catanzaro over 4.5 corners	48.8%	47.4%	—	—	2.11
Catanzaro under 3.5 corners	35.5%	37.7%	—	—	2.65
Catanzaro over 5.5 corners	34.6%	33.3%	—	—	3.00
Catanzaro over 6.5 corners	23.1%	23.5%	—	—	4.26
Catanzaro under 2.5 corners	20.4%	23.5%	—	—	4.26

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Catanzaro over 0.5 goals	86.1%	87.3%	77.7%	1.12×	1.15
Catanzaro under 3.5 goals	86.2%	87.3%	95.9%	0.91×	1.15
Catanzaro under 2.5 goals	68.4%	67.9%	83.8%	0.81×	1.47
Catanzaro over 1.5 goals	58.7%	58.7%	42.0%	1.40×	1.71
Catanzaro under 1.5 goals	41.3%	41.3%	58.0%	0.71×	2.42
Catanzaro over 2.5 goals	31.6%	32.1%	16.2%	1.98×	3.12
Catanzaro under 0.5 goals	13.9%	12.7%	22.3%	0.57×	7.85
Catanzaro over 3.5 goals	13.8%	12.7%	4.1%	3.10×	7.85

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Catanzaro under 1.5 in 1st half	79.1%	76.6%	—	—	1.31
Catanzaro over 0.5 in 1st half	57.2%	56.2%	—	—	1.78
Catanzaro under 0.5 in 1st half	42.8%	43.8%	—	—	2.28
Catanzaro over 1.5 in 1st half	20.9%	23.4%	—	—	4.28

Home highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Catanzaro scores more in 2nd half	41.9%	41.6%	—	—	2.40
Catanzaro scores equally in both	30.7%	33.2%	—	—	3.01
Catanzaro scores more in 1st half	27.4%	27.8%	—	—	3.60

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw (home no bet)	56.8%	56.4%	55.5%	1.02×	1.77
Virtus Entella (home no bet)	43.2%	43.6%	44.5%	0.98×	2.29

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Catanzaro even goals	51.0%	50.7%	50.9%	1.00×	1.97
Catanzaro odd goals	49.0%	49.3%	49.1%	1.00×	2.03

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	28.5%	28.5%	—	—	3.52
HT 1-0	23.8%	24.4%	—	—	4.10
HT 0-1	11.5%	11.0%	—	—	9.10
HT 1-1	10.2%	11.0%	—	—	9.12
HT 2-0	10.2%	11.0%	—	—	9.12
Any other HT score	6.3%	6.9%	—	—	14.56
HT 2-1	4.2%	2.4%	—	—	42.13
HT 0-2	2.4%	2.4%	—	—	42.24
HT 1-2	2.1%	2.4%	—	—	42.27
HT 2-2	0.9%	2.4%	—	—	42.35

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Catanzaro at HT / Catanzaro at FT	36.9%	41.2%	—	—	2.43
Draw at HT / Catanzaro at FT	18.0%	16.8%	—	—	5.96
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	14.3%	12.7%	—	—	7.88
Virtus Entella at HT / Virtus Entella at FT	9.3%	6.1%	—	—	16.43
Draw at HT / Virtus Entella at FT	7.2%	6.1%	—	—	16.49
Catanzaro at HT / Draw at FT	5.1%	6.0%	—	—	16.54
Virtus Entella at HT / Draw at FT	4.5%	3.5%	—	—	28.86
Virtus Entella at HT / Catanzaro at FT	3.0%	3.5%	—	—	28.91
Catanzaro at HT / Virtus Entella at FT	1.6%	3.5%	—	—	28.96

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Catanzaro to score last	61.8%	62.0%	—	—	1.61
Virtus Entella to score last	32.1%	32.5%	—	—	3.08
No goal scored	6.1%	7.5%	—	—	13.28

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	93.9%	92.6%	—	—	1.08
Catanzaro to lead by 1 at any time	71.7%	74.0%	—	—	1.35
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	53.8%	50.6%	—	—	1.98
Catanzaro to lead by 2 at any time	42.4%	39.2%	—	—	2.55
Virtus Entella to lead by 1 at any time	37.3%	34.8%	—	—	2.87
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	23.3%	19.5%	—	—	5.12
Catanzaro to lead by 3 at any time	20.4%	19.5%	—	—	5.13
Virtus Entella to lead by 2 at any time	11.7%	10.6%	—	—	9.44
Virtus Entella to lead by 3 at any time	2.9%	1.6%	—	—	62.36

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Catanzaro most corners	47.9%	47.0%	—	—	2.13
Virtus Entella most corners	40.7%	43.5%	—	—	2.30
Corners level	11.4%	10.4%	—	—	9.59

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	85.4%	87.4%	87.3%	1.00×	1.14
2-6 goals	78.0%	78.7%	72.0%	1.09×	1.27
1-4 goals	75.2%	78.7%	82.1%	0.96×	1.27
2-5 goals	72.9%	72.3%	69.6%	1.04×	1.38
2-4 goals	62.8%	63.3%	64.4%	0.98×	1.58
1-3 goals	58.4%	59.1%	66.3%	0.89×	1.69
3-6 goals	54.5%	53.2%	46.3%	1.15×	1.88
3-5 goals	49.4%	48.4%	44.0%	1.10×	2.06
2-3 goals	45.9%	48.4%	48.6%	1.00×	2.06
3-4 goals	39.3%	39.2%	38.7%	1.01×	2.55
1-2 goals	36.0%	39.2%	43.5%	0.90×	2.55
4-6 goals	32.1%	35.2%	23.5%	1.50×	2.84
4-5 goals	27.0%	30.2%	21.2%	1.43×	3.31
5-6 goals	15.3%	18.8%	7.7%	2.44×	5.31
7+ goals	3.4%	2.6%	1.4%	1.87×	39.12

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Catanzaro never behind	56.5%	62.2%	—	—	1.61
Virtus Entella never behind	22.2%	25.1%	—	—	3.99

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of goals	47.5%	50.9%	46.7%	1.09×	1.97
Even number of goals	52.5%	49.1%	53.3%	0.92×	2.04

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	54.4%	51.7%	—	—	1.93
Odd goals in 1st half	45.6%	48.3%	—	—	2.07

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	52.3%	52.0%	—	—	1.92
Odd goals in 2nd half	47.7%	48.0%	—	—	2.08

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 goals	93.9%	92.3%	90.9%	1.02×	1.08
Under 5.5 goals	91.5%	92.3%	96.3%	0.96×	1.08
Over 1.5 goals	81.4%	82.3%	73.2%	1.12×	1.22
Under 4.5 goals	81.4%	82.3%	91.0%	0.90×	1.22
Under 3.5 goals	64.5%	61.7%	75.2%	0.82×	1.62
Over 2.5 goals	57.9%	58.6%	47.6%	1.23×	1.71
Under 2.5 goals	42.1%	41.4%	52.4%	0.79×	2.42
Over 3.5 goals	35.5%	38.3%	24.8%	1.54×	2.61
Over 4.5 goals	18.6%	17.7%	9.0%	1.97×	5.65
Under 1.5 goals	18.6%	17.7%	26.8%	0.66×	5.65
Over 5.5 goals	8.5%	7.7%	3.7%	2.07×	12.93
Under 0.5 goals	6.1%	7.7%	9.1%	0.85×	12.94

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	96.4%	97.2%	98.6%	0.99×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	90.6%	92.4%	96.1%	0.96×	1.08
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	77.6%	75.9%	89.3%	0.85×	1.32
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	75.7%	75.9%	64.0%	1.19×	1.32
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	54.2%	51.9%	67.9%	0.76×	1.93
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	45.8%	48.1%	32.1%	1.50×	2.08
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	24.3%	24.1%	36.0%	0.67×	4.14
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	22.4%	24.1%	10.7%	2.26×	4.15
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	9.4%	7.6%	3.9%	1.93×	13.17
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	3.6%	2.8%	1.4%	2.00×	35.58

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	86.5%	89.0%	—	—	1.12
Over 0.5 in 1st half	71.5%	71.3%	—	—	1.40
Under 1.5 in 1st half	63.8%	63.4%	—	—	1.58
Over 1.5 in 1st half	36.2%	36.6%	—	—	2.74
Under 0.5 in 1st half	28.5%	28.7%	—	—	3.49
Over 2.5 in 1st half	13.5%	11.0%	—	—	9.08

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	82.2%	83.0%	—	—	1.21
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	74.5%	77.9%	—	—	1.28
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	52.5%	53.2%	—	—	1.88
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	47.5%	46.8%	—	—	2.14
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	25.5%	22.1%	—	—	4.52
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	17.8%	17.0%	—	—	5.87

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Virtus Entella not to score in both halves	84.3%	84.4%	—	—	1.19
Catanzaro not to score in both halves	61.3%	63.3%	—	—	1.58
Catanzaro to score in both halves	38.7%	36.7%	—	—	2.72
Virtus Entella to score in both halves	15.7%	15.6%	—	—	6.40

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	56.7%	58.6%	53.9%	1.09×	1.71
Only Catanzaro scores	29.4%	26.1%	23.9%	1.09×	3.83
Only Virtus Entella scores	7.8%	7.1%	13.3%	0.54×	14.00
Neither team scores	6.1%	7.1%	9.1%	0.78×	14.02

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 2 goals	23.5%	22.6%	25.8%	0.88×	4.43
Exactly 3 goals	22.4%	22.6%	22.9%	0.99×	4.43
Exactly 4 goals	16.9%	17.5%	15.9%	1.09×	5.73
Exactly 1 goals	12.5%	12.1%	17.8%	0.68×	8.25
Exactly 5 goals	10.2%	12.1%	5.4%	2.26×	8.26
6 or more goals	8.5%	7.6%	3.7%	2.04×	13.13
Exactly 0 goals	6.1%	7.6%	9.1%	0.84×	13.14

Total goals 1st half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1 goal in 1st half	35.3%	37.2%	—	—	2.69
No goals in 1st half	28.5%	28.7%	—	—	3.49
2 goals in 1st half	22.8%	21.4%	—	—	4.67
3+ goals in 1st half	13.5%	10.9%	—	—	9.16

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	52.5%	51.2%	—	—	1.95
1 goal in 2nd half	29.6%	29.2%	—	—	3.43
No goals in 2nd half	17.8%	16.8%	—	—	5.97

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Virtus Entella not to win both halves	96.5%	97.2%	—	—	1.03
Catanzaro not to win both halves	79.0%	75.8%	—	—	1.32
Catanzaro to win both halves	21.0%	24.2%	—	—	4.12
Virtus Entella to win both halves	3.5%	2.8%	—	—	35.78

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Catanzaro to win either half	70.1%	72.9%	—	—	1.37
Virtus Entella to win neither half	66.8%	67.8%	—	—	1.48
Virtus Entella to win either half	33.2%	32.2%	—	—	3.11
Catanzaro to win neither half	29.9%	27.1%	—	—	3.69

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Virtus Entella not to win to nil	92.2%	92.1%	86.7%	1.06×	1.09
Catanzaro not to win to nil	70.6%	75.3%	76.1%	0.99×	1.33
Catanzaro to win to nil	29.4%	24.7%	23.9%	1.03×	4.05
Virtus Entella to win to nil	7.8%	7.9%	13.3%	0.59×	12.64

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw	23.9%	24.1%	31.9%	0.76×	4.15
Catanzaro by 1	22.5%	24.1%	23.2%	1.04×	4.15
Catanzaro by 2	18.1%	17.0%	13.1%	1.30×	5.87
Catanzaro by 3+	17.4%	17.0%	6.7%	2.53×	5.87
Virtus Entella by 1	11.3%	11.8%	15.7%	0.75×	8.51
Virtus Entella by 2	5.0%	2.7%	6.5%	0.42×	36.82
Virtus Entella by 3+	1.9%	2.7%	3.6%	0.75×	36.91