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Caykur Rizespor v Trabzonspor — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Sunday 25 October 2026 · TUR-Super Lig · 2627

TUR-Super Lig results-only Prediction generated

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily
Caykur Rizespor win
32.8%
model 34.3%
Draw
28.3%
model 27.1%
Trabzonspor win
38.9%
model 38.6%

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (5,276 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

  1. 1-1 12.6%
  2. 1-2 8.7%
  3. 2-1 8.1%
  4. 0-1 6.6%
  5. 0-0 6.5%

Goals

Over 2.556.9% Under 2.543.1%
BTTS yes61.0% BTTS no39.0%
Caykur Rizespor 1+76.2% Caykur Rizespor 2+42.0%
Trabzonspor 1+78.3% Trabzonspor 2+45.2%

Expected goals 1.43 – 1.53. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence
77/100
Data quality
65/100
Model agreement
96%
★ Best pick
Nothing on a measured band prices above 1.18 here.
★ Most likely to land
Nothing on a measured band prices above 1.18 here.

Positive factors

  • Trabzonspor carry the stronger rating, 1644 Elo against 1509.

Risk factors

  • No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.
Why the model thinks this

The price

Trabzonspor have an estimated 38.9% win probability, against 32.8% for Caykur Rizespor and 28.3% for the draw. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.43 for Caykur Rizespor and 1.53 for Trabzonspor.

Why Caykur Rizespor

Nothing in the data singles out Caykur Rizespor.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 28.3%. The sides are closely matched on expected goals, 1.43 to 1.53. Draws run at 26% in this competition.

Why Trabzonspor can win

Trabzonspor carry the stronger rating, 1644 Elo against 1509.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Caykur Rizespor, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Trabzonspor, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Caykur Rizespor: 54% possession, 17.6 shots a match, 12.6 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Trabzonspor: 54% possession, 12.2 shots a match, 14.4 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Caykur Rizespor's shot volume meets a defence that concedes shots freely.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-05 22:20 · team_stats 2026-09-05 09:41 · availability 2026-09-05 21:03 · prediction 2026-09-05 18:39 ·

Trabzonspor are the model's most likely outcome at 38.9%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 12.6%. Confidence 77/100, data quality 65/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Was this pick made in advance?
A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

ModelHome / Draw / Away Expected goalsLikeliest score O2.5BTTS
dc-xg 1.31–1.59 1-1 13% 55% 60%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section
Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Trabzonspor to win 42.6% 43.0% 28.7% 1.50× 2.32
Caykur Rizespor to win 30.2% 30.3% 45.4% 0.67× 3.30
Draw 27.2% 27.9% 26.0% 1.07× 3.59
1X2 & GG/NG 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Trabzonspor & both teams score 22.5% 21.9% 14.5% 1.51× 4.57
Draw & both teams score 20.4% 21.9% 18.2% 1.20× 4.57
Trabzonspor & not both score 20.1% 21.9% 14.3% 1.52× 4.57
Caykur Rizespor & both teams score 16.7% 17.9% 23.2% 0.77× 5.58
Caykur Rizespor & not both score 13.6% 13.3% 22.3% 0.59× 7.54
Draw & not both score 6.8% 8.4% 8.0% 1.05× 11.94
1X2 & Over/Under 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Trabzonspor & over 1.5 35.2% 34.9% 22.3% 1.56× 2.87
Trabzonspor & over 2.5 28.3% 26.0% 18.0% 1.44× 3.84
Trabzonspor & under 3.5 27.1% 26.0% 19.5% 1.33× 3.84
Caykur Rizespor & over 1.5 24.4% 21.7% 36.2% 0.60× 4.62
Caykur Rizespor & under 3.5 20.2% 21.6% 29.4% 0.74× 4.62
Draw & over 1.5 20.4% 21.6% 18.2% 1.19× 4.62
Caykur Rizespor & over 2.5 19.7% 18.0% 30.3% 0.59× 5.56
Draw & under 2.5 19.6% 18.0% 20.4% 0.88× 5.56
Draw & under 3.5 19.6% 18.0% 20.4% 0.88× 5.56
Trabzonspor & over 3.5 15.5% 18.0% 9.3% 1.93× 5.56
Trabzonspor & under 2.5 14.3% 12.9% 10.8% 1.19× 7.77
Caykur Rizespor & under 2.5 10.6% 12.9% 15.2% 0.84× 7.77
Caykur Rizespor & over 3.5 10.1% 12.9% 16.1% 0.80× 7.77
Draw & over 2.5 7.6% 7.9% 5.8% 1.37× 12.70
Draw & over 3.5 7.6% 7.9% 5.8% 1.37× 12.70
Trabzonspor & under 1.5 7.4% 7.9% 6.5% 1.21× 12.70
Draw & under 1.5 6.8% 7.9% 8.0% 0.99× 12.70
Caykur Rizespor & under 1.5 5.9% 7.9% 9.3% 0.84× 12.70
1X2 1UP 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Trabzonspor (1UP) 59.9% 58.2% 1.72
Caykur Rizespor (1UP) 49.3% 43.4% 2.31
1X2 2UP 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Trabzonspor (2UP) 42.6% 47.6% 2.10
Caykur Rizespor (2UP) 30.2% 30.7% 3.26
2nd half 1X2 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Trabzonspor to win 2nd half 38.4% 36.0% 2.78
2nd half drawn 34.7% 34.5% 2.90
Caykur Rizespor to win 2nd half 26.9% 26.4% 3.79
Asian handicap 8
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Trabzonspor (+2.5) 95.3% 96.3% 90.1% 1.07× 1.04
Trabzonspor (+1.5) 86.3% 88.5% 78.6% 1.13× 1.13
Trabzonspor (+0.5) 69.8% 68.7% 54.6% 1.26× 1.46
Caykur Rizespor (+0.5) 57.4% 57.0% 71.3% 0.80× 1.75
Trabzonspor (-0.5) 42.6% 43.0% 28.7% 1.50× 2.33
Caykur Rizespor (-0.5) 30.2% 31.3% 45.4% 0.69× 3.20
Caykur Rizespor (-1.5) 13.7% 11.5% 21.5% 0.54× 8.70
Caykur Rizespor (-2.5) 4.7% 3.7% 9.9% 0.38× 26.77
Away clean sheet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Trabzonspor to concede 73.1% 76.5% 77.8% 0.98× 1.31
Trabzonspor clean sheet 26.9% 23.5% 22.2% 1.06× 4.25
Away clean sheet 1HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Trabzonspor clean sheet in 1st half 56.9% 58.5% 1.71
Trabzonspor to concede in 1st half 43.1% 41.5% 2.41
Away corners O/U 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Trabzonspor under 6.5 corners 84.8% 81.4% 1.23
Trabzonspor under 5.5 corners 75.0% 76.0% 1.32
Trabzonspor over 2.5 corners 72.6% 71.6% 1.40
Trabzonspor under 4.5 corners 61.5% 61.8% 1.62
Trabzonspor over 3.5 corners 55.1% 57.1% 1.75
Trabzonspor under 3.5 corners 44.9% 42.9% 2.33
Trabzonspor over 4.5 corners 38.5% 38.2% 2.62
Trabzonspor under 2.5 corners 27.4% 28.4% 3.52
Trabzonspor over 5.5 corners 25.0% 24.0% 4.16
Trabzonspor over 6.5 corners 15.2% 18.6% 5.38
Away goals O/U 8
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Trabzonspor under 3.5 goals 92.2% 92.3% 95.4% 0.97× 1.08
Trabzonspor over 0.5 goals 79.6% 76.2% 69.8% 1.09× 1.31
Trabzonspor under 2.5 goals 78.6% 76.2% 86.2% 0.88× 1.31
Trabzonspor under 1.5 goals 52.8% 53.7% 65.2% 0.82× 1.86
Trabzonspor over 1.5 goals 47.2% 46.3% 34.8% 1.33× 2.16
Trabzonspor over 2.5 goals 21.4% 23.8% 13.8% 1.73× 4.21
Trabzonspor under 0.5 goals 20.4% 23.8% 30.2% 0.79× 4.21
Trabzonspor over 3.5 goals 7.8% 7.7% 4.6% 1.67× 13.04
Away goals O/U 1HT 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Trabzonspor under 1.5 in 1st half 86.6% 88.9% 1.12
Trabzonspor under 0.5 in 1st half 52.9% 55.7% 1.79
Trabzonspor over 0.5 in 1st half 47.1% 44.3% 2.26
Trabzonspor over 1.5 in 1st half 13.4% 11.1% 9.03
Away no bet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Caykur Rizespor (away no bet) 52.7% 51.2% 63.6% 0.81× 1.95
Draw (away no bet) 47.3% 48.8% 36.4% 1.34× 2.05
Away Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Trabzonspor even goals 52.1% 52.8% 54.4% 0.97× 1.89
Trabzonspor odd goals 47.9% 47.2% 45.6% 1.04× 2.12
Both halves O1.5 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both halves over 1.5 82.9% 83.0% 1.21
Both halves over 1.5 goals 17.1% 17.0% 5.87
Both halves U1.5 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both halves under 1.5 68.1% 68.6% 1.46
Both halves under 1.5 goals 31.9% 31.4% 3.18
Consecutive goals 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row 58.9% 55.2% 1.81
Trabzonspor to score 2+ in a row 38.0% 36.5% 2.74
Caykur Rizespor to score 2+ in a row 28.3% 25.1% 3.99
Either team to score 3+ in a row 21.5% 19.5% 5.14
Trabzonspor to score 3+ in a row 13.7% 12.2% 8.21
Caykur Rizespor to score 3+ in a row 8.2% 5.7% 17.67
Corner handicap 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Caykur Rizespor corners (+3.5) 90.1% 89.5% 1.12
Caykur Rizespor corners (+2.5) 84.2% 79.8% 1.25
Trabzonspor corners (+3.5) 76.1% 74.8% 1.34
Caykur Rizespor corners (+1.5) 76.4% 74.8% 1.34
Trabzonspor corners (+2.5) 66.8% 65.8% 1.52
Trabzonspor corners (+1.5) 56.0% 57.1% 1.75
Caykur Rizespor corners (-1.5) 44.0% 42.9% 2.33
Caykur Rizespor corners (-2.5) 33.2% 34.2% 2.93
Caykur Rizespor corners (-3.5) 23.9% 25.2% 3.97
Trabzonspor corners (-1.5) 23.6% 25.2% 3.97
Trabzonspor corners (-2.5) 15.8% 20.2% 4.95
Trabzonspor corners (-3.5) 9.9% 10.5% 9.56
Corner range 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
0-8 corners 45.4% 41.8% 2.39
9-11 corners 29.7% 31.2% 3.20
12+ corners 24.9% 25.6% 3.90
Corners O/U 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 12.5 corners 82.1% 80.7% 1.24
Under 11.5 corners 75.1% 76.5% 1.31
Under 10.5 corners 66.5% 67.7% 1.48
Over 7.5 corners 65.7% 67.7% 1.48
Under 9.5 corners 56.4% 57.9% 1.73
Over 8.5 corners 54.6% 53.2% 1.88
Under 8.5 corners 45.4% 46.8% 2.14
Over 9.5 corners 43.6% 42.1% 2.38
Under 7.5 corners 34.3% 32.3% 3.10
Over 10.5 corners 33.5% 32.3% 3.10
Over 11.5 corners 24.9% 23.5% 4.26
Over 12.5 corners 17.9% 19.3% 5.18
Corners Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Odd number of corners 50.0% 50.2% 1.99
Even number of corners 50.0% 49.9% 2.01
Correct score 26
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
1-1 12.8% 11.5% 12.6% 0.91× 8.73
1-2 9.1% 7.4% 6.7% 1.11× 13.48
0-0 6.8% 7.4% 8.0% 0.93× 13.48
0-1 7.4% 7.4% 6.5% 1.14× 13.48
0-2 6.9% 7.4% 4.4% 1.67× 13.48
2-1 7.5% 7.4% 9.9% 0.75× 13.48
1-0 5.9% 7.4% 9.3% 0.80× 13.48
2-2 6.0% 7.4% 4.6% 1.62× 13.48
1-3 4.8% 1.7% 2.7% 0.64× 58.46
2-0 4.7% 1.7% 6.1% 0.28× 58.46
0-3 3.7% 1.7% 2.4% 0.72× 58.47
0-4 1.5% 1.7% 1.2% 1.44× 58.48
1-4 1.9% 1.7% 1.0% 1.65× 58.48
2-3 3.2% 1.7% 2.7% 0.64× 58.47
2-4 1.3% 1.7% 0.7% 2.31× 58.48
3-0 2.1% 1.7% 4.6% 0.37× 58.48
3-1 3.3% 1.7% 4.7% 0.36× 58.47
3-2 2.6% 1.7% 4.3% 0.40× 58.47
3-3 1.4% 1.7% 1.3% 1.28× 58.48
3-4 0.6% 1.7% 0.4% 3.85× 58.49
4-0 0.7% 1.7% 1.8% 0.96× 58.49
4-1 1.1% 1.7% 1.5% 1.16× 58.48
4-2 0.9% 1.7% 1.2% 1.44× 58.48
4-3 0.5% 1.7% 0.7% 2.31× 58.49
4-4 0.2% 1.7% 0.1% 11.56× 58.49
Any other score 3.4% 1.7% 4.1% 0.41× 58.47
DNB half time 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Trabzonspor leading at HT (DNB) 54.0% 56.2% 1.78
Caykur Rizespor leading at HT (DNB) 46.0% 43.8% 2.28
Double chance 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Caykur Rizespor or Trabzonspor (12) 72.8% 72.1% 74.0% 0.98× 1.39
Trabzonspor or draw (X2) 69.8% 69.7% 54.6% 1.28× 1.44
Caykur Rizespor or draw (1X) 57.4% 57.0% 71.3% 0.80× 1.76
Double chance 1HT 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Trabzonspor or draw at HT 73.5% 74.3% 1.35
Caykur Rizespor or draw at HT 68.9% 66.3% 1.51
Caykur Rizespor or Trabzonspor at HT 57.6% 57.0% 1.76
Double chance 1UP 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Trabzonspor or draw (1UP) 69.8% 76.2% 1.31
Caykur Rizespor or draw (1UP) 57.4% 62.7% 1.60
Double chance 2HT 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Trabzonspor or draw in 2nd half 73.1% 73.6% 1.36
Caykur Rizespor or Trabzonspor in 2nd half 65.3% 65.5% 1.53
Caykur Rizespor or draw in 2nd half 61.6% 64.0% 1.56
Draw either half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
A half drawn 60.9% 61.6% 1.62
Neither half drawn 39.1% 38.4% 2.60
Draw no bet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Trabzonspor (DNB) 58.5% 58.3% 38.7% 1.51× 1.72
Caykur Rizespor (DNB) 41.5% 41.7% 61.3% 0.68× 2.40
First goal 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Trabzonspor to score first 51.1% 53.8% 1.86
Caykur Rizespor to score first 42.1% 41.8% 2.39
No goal scored 6.8% 7.5% 13.36
GG/NG 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Both teams to score 59.5% 54.9% 55.6% 0.99× 1.82
Not both teams to score 40.5% 45.1% 44.4% 1.02× 2.22
GG/NG & Over/Under 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Both score & over 2.5 46.8% 44.3% 43.2% 1.03× 2.26
Not both score & under 2.5 31.7% 34.3% 33.7% 1.02× 2.92
Both score & under 2.5 12.8% 12.3% 12.6% 0.98× 8.10
Not both score & over 2.5 8.7% 8.4% 10.8% 0.77× 11.96
GG/NG 2+ 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both teams to score 2+ 82.2% 83.1% 83.4% 1.00× 1.20
Both teams to score 2+ 17.8% 16.9% 16.6% 1.02× 5.90
GG/NG 2nd half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half 67.1% 67.6% 1.48
Both teams to score in 2nd half 32.9% 32.4% 3.08
GG/NG by half 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Neither half both score 53.2% 56.0% 1.79
Both score 2nd half only 26.3% 26.6% 3.76
Both score 1st half only 14.0% 10.8% 9.30
Both score in both halves 6.6% 6.8% 14.81
GG/NG half time 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both to score by HT 79.5% 81.5% 1.23
Both teams to score by HT 20.5% 18.5% 5.41
Goal in both halves 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
A goal in each half 57.8% 57.3% 1.74
A half without a goal 42.2% 42.7% 2.34
Goal range 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2-3 goals 46.8% 47.4% 45.7% 1.04× 2.11
4-6 goals 30.2% 30.7% 28.4% 1.08× 3.25
0-1 goals 20.1% 22.8% 23.5% 0.97× 4.39
7+ goals 2.9% 1.8% 2.7% 0.69× 54.50
Goals away 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Trabzonspor to score exactly 1 32.4% 33.8% 35.2% 0.96× 2.96
Trabzonspor to score exactly 2 25.8% 27.4% 21.2% 1.29× 3.65
Trabzonspor to score 3+ 21.4% 22.4% 13.8% 1.63× 4.46
Trabzonspor to score exactly 0 20.4% 22.4% 30.2% 0.74× 4.46
Goals home 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Caykur Rizespor to score exactly 1 35.3% 35.6% 32.1% 1.11× 2.81
Caykur Rizespor to score exactly 0 26.9% 26.5% 22.2% 1.20× 3.77
Caykur Rizespor to score exactly 2 23.2% 23.2% 23.8% 0.98× 4.30
Caykur Rizespor to score 3+ 14.6% 14.3% 22.2% 0.65× 6.97
Half time 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Draw at HT 42.4% 43.0% 2.32
Trabzonspor leading at HT 31.1% 33.7% 2.97
Caykur Rizespor leading at HT 26.5% 25.7% 3.90
Handicap 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Trabzonspor -1: 1 57.4% 56.7% 1.77
Trabzonspor -1: 2 22.3% 23.6% 4.24
Trabzonspor -1: X 20.3% 23.6% 4.24
Handicap 0:1 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Trabzonspor (0:1) 69.8% 65.5% 54.6% 1.20× 1.53
Draw (0:1) 16.5% 17.7% 24.1% 0.74× 5.64
Caykur Rizespor (0:1) 13.7% 13.9% 21.5% 0.65× 7.22
Handicap 0:2 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Trabzonspor (0:2) 86.3% 86.9% 78.6% 1.11× 1.15
Draw (0:2) 9.0% 7.7% 11.7% 0.66× 12.94
Caykur Rizespor (0:2) 4.7% 3.8% 9.9% 0.38× 26.48
Handicap 0:3 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Trabzonspor (0:3) 95.3% 96.6% 90.1% 1.07× 1.04
Draw (0:3) 3.4% 2.4% 6.5% 0.36× 42.13
Caykur Rizespor (0:3) 1.3% 2.4% 3.6% 0.67× 42.22
Handicap 0:4 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Trabzonspor (0:4) 98.7% 98.1% 96.5% 1.02× 1.02
Draw (0:4) 1.0% 1.2% 2.5% 0.48× 83.63
Caykur Rizespor (0:4) 0.3% 1.2% 1.2% 1.01× 83.72
Handicap 1:0 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Caykur Rizespor (1:0) 57.4% 58.1% 71.3% 0.81× 1.72
Trabzonspor (1:0) 22.3% 21.8% 13.0% 1.67× 4.59
Draw (1:0) 20.3% 21.8% 15.8% 1.38× 4.59
Handicap 2:0 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Caykur Rizespor (2:0) 77.7% 80.3% 87.0% 0.92× 1.25
Draw (2:0) 13.2% 10.4% 7.7% 1.35× 9.63
Trabzonspor (2:0) 9.1% 6.5% 5.5% 1.18× 15.47
Highest scoring half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2nd half highest scoring 48.0% 48.2% 2.07
1st half highest scoring 26.1% 26.5% 3.78
Halves equal 25.9% 26.5% 3.78
Home clean sheet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Caykur Rizespor to concede 79.6% 76.0% 69.8% 1.09× 1.32
Caykur Rizespor clean sheet 20.4% 24.0% 30.2% 0.79× 4.17
Home clean sheet 1HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Caykur Rizespor clean sheet in 1st half 52.9% 55.7% 1.79
Caykur Rizespor to concede in 1st half 47.1% 44.3% 2.26
Home corners O/U 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Caykur Rizespor over 2.5 corners 83.3% 81.0% 1.24
Caykur Rizespor under 6.5 corners 72.1% 71.8% 1.39
Caykur Rizespor over 3.5 corners 69.6% 66.7% 1.50
Caykur Rizespor under 5.5 corners 59.9% 57.6% 1.74
Caykur Rizespor over 4.5 corners 54.5% 52.6% 1.90
Caykur Rizespor under 4.5 corners 45.5% 47.4% 2.11
Caykur Rizespor over 5.5 corners 40.1% 42.4% 2.36
Caykur Rizespor under 3.5 corners 30.4% 33.3% 3.01
Caykur Rizespor over 6.5 corners 27.9% 28.2% 3.55
Caykur Rizespor under 2.5 corners 16.7% 19.0% 5.26
Home goals O/U 8
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Caykur Rizespor under 3.5 goals 95.6% 96.4% 92.6% 1.04× 1.04
Caykur Rizespor under 2.5 goals 85.4% 87.2% 77.8% 1.12× 1.15
Caykur Rizespor over 0.5 goals 73.1% 74.2% 77.8% 0.95× 1.35
Caykur Rizespor under 1.5 goals 62.2% 63.5% 54.1% 1.17× 1.58
Caykur Rizespor over 1.5 goals 37.8% 36.5% 45.9% 0.80× 2.74
Caykur Rizespor under 0.5 goals 26.9% 25.8% 22.2% 1.16× 3.87
Caykur Rizespor over 2.5 goals 14.6% 12.8% 22.2% 0.57× 7.84
Caykur Rizespor over 3.5 goals 4.4% 3.6% 7.4% 0.49× 27.42
Home goals O/U 1HT 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Caykur Rizespor under 1.5 in 1st half 89.0% 89.9% 1.11
Caykur Rizespor under 0.5 in 1st half 56.9% 58.1% 1.72
Caykur Rizespor over 0.5 in 1st half 43.1% 41.9% 2.39
Caykur Rizespor over 1.5 in 1st half 11.0% 10.1% 9.86
Home no bet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Trabzonspor (home no bet) 61.1% 60.2% 52.4% 1.15× 1.66
Draw (home no bet) 38.9% 39.8% 47.6% 0.84× 2.51
Home Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Caykur Rizespor even goals 53.6% 50.6% 50.9% 1.00× 1.98
Caykur Rizespor odd goals 46.4% 49.4% 49.1% 1.01× 2.03
HT correct score 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
HT 0-0 30.3% 32.1% 3.11
HT 0-1 18.9% 18.7% 5.35
HT 1-0 16.8% 18.6% 5.37
HT 1-1 11.0% 10.9% 9.17
HT 0-2 6.1% 7.1% 14.04
HT 2-0 4.8% 2.3% 43.35
Any other HT score 4.6% 2.3% 43.37
HT 1-2 3.4% 2.3% 43.45
HT 2-1 3.1% 2.3% 43.48
HT 2-2 1.0% 2.3% 43.63
HT/FT 9
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Trabzonspor at HT / Trabzonspor at FT 24.0% 21.8% 4.59
Caykur Rizespor at HT / Caykur Rizespor at FT 17.5% 16.8% 5.97
Draw at HT / Draw at FT 16.2% 16.7% 5.97
Draw at HT / Trabzonspor at FT 15.5% 16.7% 5.98
Draw at HT / Caykur Rizespor at FT 10.7% 12.6% 7.91
Caykur Rizespor at HT / Draw at FT 5.9% 6.0% 16.71
Trabzonspor at HT / Draw at FT 5.1% 6.0% 16.73
Caykur Rizespor at HT / Trabzonspor at FT 3.2% 3.5% 28.80
Trabzonspor at HT / Caykur Rizespor at FT 2.0% 3.5% 28.84
Last goal 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Trabzonspor to score last 51.1% 51.9% 1.93
Caykur Rizespor to score last 42.1% 40.0% 2.50
No goal scored 6.8% 7.5% 13.36
Lead at any time 9
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time 93.2% 92.6% 1.08
Trabzonspor to lead by 1 at any time 59.9% 55.2% 1.81
Caykur Rizespor to lead by 1 at any time 49.3% 44.0% 2.27
Either team to lead by 2 at any time 48.9% 44.0% 2.27
Trabzonspor to lead by 2 at any time 29.3% 25.5% 3.92
Caykur Rizespor to lead by 2 at any time 19.9% 14.9% 6.70
Either team to lead by 3 at any time 17.9% 14.9% 6.72
Trabzonspor to lead by 3 at any time 11.5% 10.4% 9.58
Caykur Rizespor to lead by 3 at any time 6.4% 6.6% 15.15
Most corners 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Caykur Rizespor most corners 55.5% 55.5% 1.80
Trabzonspor most corners 33.4% 34.4% 2.91
Corners level 11.1% 10.4% 9.60
Multi goal 15
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
1-5 goals 85.7% 87.4% 85.5% 1.02× 1.14
2-6 goals 77.1% 78.6% 74.0% 1.06× 1.27
1-4 goals 76.3% 78.6% 75.4% 1.04× 1.27
2-5 goals 72.5% 72.4% 70.0% 1.03× 1.38
2-4 goals 63.1% 63.4% 59.9% 1.06× 1.58
1-3 goals 60.1% 63.4% 61.2% 1.04× 1.58
3-6 goals 52.6% 53.2% 51.3% 1.04× 1.88
3-5 goals 48.0% 48.7% 47.3% 1.03× 2.06
2-3 goals 46.8% 48.7% 45.7% 1.06× 2.06
3-4 goals 38.6% 39.1% 37.3% 1.05× 2.55
1-2 goals 37.7% 39.1% 38.3% 1.02× 2.56
4-6 goals 30.2% 35.4% 28.4% 1.24× 2.83
4-5 goals 25.7% 30.2% 24.4% 1.24× 3.31
5-6 goals 14.0% 14.9% 14.2% 1.05× 6.72
7+ goals 2.9% 2.6% 2.7% 0.96× 39.22
Never down 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Trabzonspor never behind 43.9% 48.3% 2.07
Caykur Rizespor never behind 33.3% 35.6% 2.81
Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Odd number of goals 47.2% 50.8% 50.7% 1.00× 1.97
Even number of goals 52.8% 49.2% 49.3% 1.00× 2.03
Odd/Even 1HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Even goals in 1st half 55.0% 51.7% 1.93
Odd goals in 1st half 45.0% 48.3% 2.07
Odd/Even 2HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Even goals in 2nd half 52.6% 52.0% 1.92
Odd goals in 2nd half 47.4% 48.0% 2.08
Over/Under 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Over 0.5 goals 93.2% 92.3% 92.0% 1.00× 1.08
Under 5.5 goals 92.6% 92.3% 93.3% 0.99× 1.08
Under 4.5 goals 83.1% 82.4% 83.3% 0.99× 1.21
Over 1.5 goals 79.9% 77.3% 76.5% 1.01× 1.29
Under 3.5 goals 66.9% 66.2% 69.1% 0.96× 1.51
Over 2.5 goals 55.5% 58.8% 53.8% 1.09× 1.70
Under 2.5 goals 44.5% 41.2% 46.2% 0.89× 2.43
Over 3.5 goals 33.1% 33.8% 30.9% 1.09× 2.96
Under 1.5 goals 20.1% 22.7% 23.5% 0.96× 4.41
Over 4.5 goals 16.9% 17.6% 16.7% 1.05× 5.68
Over 5.5 goals 7.4% 7.7% 6.7% 1.16× 12.93
Under 0.5 goals 6.8% 7.7% 8.0% 0.97× 12.93
Over/Under (whole line) 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6) 97.0% 97.2% 97.2% 1.00× 1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5) 91.8% 92.5% 92.6% 1.00× 1.08
Under 4 (void on exactly 4) 79.8% 75.9% 80.5% 0.94× 1.32
Over 2 (void on exactly 2) 73.5% 72.6% 69.6% 1.04× 1.38
Under 3 (void on exactly 3) 57.3% 55.4% 59.9% 0.93× 1.80
Over 3 (void on exactly 3) 42.7% 44.6% 40.1% 1.11× 2.24
Under 2 (void on exactly 2) 26.5% 27.4% 30.4% 0.90× 3.65
Over 4 (void on exactly 4) 20.2% 24.1% 19.5% 1.24× 4.16
Over 5 (void on exactly 5) 8.2% 7.5% 7.4% 1.02× 13.26
Over 6 (void on exactly 6) 3.0% 2.8% 2.8% 1.00× 36.15
Over/Under 1HT 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half 87.9% 89.0% 1.12
Over 0.5 in 1st half 69.7% 69.1% 1.45
Under 1.5 in 1st half 66.0% 69.0% 1.45
Over 1.5 in 1st half 34.0% 31.0% 3.23
Under 0.5 in 1st half 30.3% 30.9% 3.24
Over 2.5 in 1st half 12.1% 11.0% 9.10
Over/Under 2HT 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Over 0.5 in 2nd half 81.3% 82.7% 1.21
Under 2.5 in 2nd half 75.6% 79.7% 1.26
Over 1.5 in 2nd half 51.2% 53.3% 1.88
Under 1.5 in 2nd half 48.8% 46.7% 2.14
Over 2.5 in 2nd half 24.4% 20.3% 4.92
Under 0.5 in 2nd half 18.7% 17.3% 5.79
Score both halves 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Caykur Rizespor not to score in both halves 77.3% 78.2% 1.28
Trabzonspor not to score in both halves 71.0% 73.7% 1.36
Trabzonspor to score in both halves 29.0% 26.3% 3.80
Caykur Rizespor to score in both halves 22.7% 21.8% 4.59
Teams to score 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Both teams score 59.5% 58.4% 55.6% 1.05× 1.71
Only Trabzonspor scores 20.1% 22.3% 14.3% 1.55× 4.48
Only Caykur Rizespor scores 13.6% 10.9% 22.3% 0.49× 9.14
Neither team scores 6.8% 7.2% 8.0% 0.90× 13.92
Total goals 7
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Exactly 2 goals 24.5% 22.6% 22.8% 0.99× 4.42
Exactly 3 goals 22.4% 22.6% 23.1% 0.98× 4.42
Exactly 4 goals 16.2% 17.4% 14.3% 1.21× 5.74
Exactly 1 goals 13.2% 12.1% 15.7% 0.77× 8.27
Exactly 5 goals 9.4% 7.6% 10.2% 0.75× 13.08
6 or more goals 7.4% 7.6% 6.7% 1.15× 13.09
Exactly 0 goals 6.8% 7.6% 8.0% 0.96× 13.09
Total goals 2nd half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half 51.2% 51.4% 1.95
1 goal in 2nd half 30.1% 33.3% 3.01
No goals in 2nd half 18.7% 17.3% 5.79
Win both halves 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Caykur Rizespor not to win both halves 92.7% 94.0% 1.06
Trabzonspor not to win both halves 87.8% 87.9% 1.14
Trabzonspor to win both halves 12.2% 12.1% 8.29
Caykur Rizespor to win both halves 7.3% 6.0% 16.60
Win either half 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Trabzonspor to win either half 57.3% 59.5% 1.68
Caykur Rizespor to win neither half 53.9% 55.0% 1.82
Caykur Rizespor to win either half 46.1% 45.0% 2.22
Trabzonspor to win neither half 42.7% 40.5% 2.47
Win to nil 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Caykur Rizespor not to win to nil 86.4% 88.2% 77.7% 1.14× 1.13
Trabzonspor not to win to nil 79.9% 78.1% 85.7% 0.91× 1.28
Trabzonspor to win to nil 20.1% 21.9% 14.3% 1.53× 4.56
Caykur Rizespor to win to nil 13.6% 11.8% 22.3% 0.53× 8.49
Winning margin 7
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Draw 27.2% 27.8% 26.0% 1.07× 3.59
Trabzonspor by 1 20.3% 24.1% 15.8% 1.53× 4.14
Caykur Rizespor by 1 16.5% 16.9% 24.1% 0.70× 5.91
Trabzonspor by 2 13.2% 11.8% 7.7% 1.53× 8.48
Caykur Rizespor by 2 9.0% 7.3% 11.7% 0.62× 13.78
Trabzonspor by 3+ 9.1% 7.3% 5.5% 1.33× 13.78
Caykur Rizespor by 3+ 4.7% 2.7% 9.9% 0.27× 36.94
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Match

What this page is for

One fixture in full. The model's probability for every market it prices, the prices stored against them, the teams expected to feature, and for a match already played, the shot map and the xG timeline.

How to read the shot map

Every shot is placed where it was taken and sized by its chance of being scored. A cluster of small marks from distance and a clean sheet is a side that was busy without ever threatening; two big marks and a defeat is a side that had the better of it and lost anyway. Both happen constantly, and both are invisible in the score.

How to read the xG timeline

The steps are chances as they arrived, so the shape shows who was on top and when. A flat line that jumps once near the end is a smash and grab.

Things to watch

The stored prediction is the one made before the match, kept deliberately so it can be judged afterwards. It is not re-fitted with hindsight.

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