CD Sabadell v Real Sociedad II — Prediction, Odds & Stats
Sunday 8 November 2026 · ESP-La Liga 2 · 2627
La Liga
results-only Prediction generated
AI prediction
ai-blend v1.0 dailyRaw model output; no calibration record for this fixture's bands yet.
Top 5 scorelines
- 1-0 17.8%
- 2-0 12.4%
- 0-0 12.1%
- 1-1 11.5%
- 0-1 8.6%
Goals
| Over 2.5 | 34.7% | Under 2.5 | 65.3% |
| BTTS yes | 36.8% | BTTS no | 63.2% |
| CD Sabadell 1+ | 75.7% | CD Sabadell 2+ | 41.3% |
| Real Sociedad II 1+ | 48.9% | Real Sociedad II 2+ | 14.6% |
Expected goals 1.41 – 0.67. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.
Footing
Positive factors
- CD Sabadell carry the stronger rating, 1534 Elo against 1469.
- Form is good: 2.00 points a match from the last five.
Risk factors
- Data quality is 55/100, so this price rests on less than the model would like.
- CD Sabadell have only 4 matches on record.
Why the model thinks this
The price
CD Sabadell have an estimated 55.2% win probability, against 26.8% for the draw and 18.0% for Real Sociedad II. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.41 for CD Sabadell and 0.67 for Real Sociedad II.
Why CD Sabadell
CD Sabadell carry the stronger rating, 1534 Elo against 1469. Form is good: 2.00 points a match from the last five.
Why the draw is live
The draw sits at 26.8%. A combined 2.09 expected goals is a low-scoring profile, and low totals mean more level finishes. Draws run at 26% in this competition.
Why Real Sociedad II can win
Nothing in the data singles out Real Sociedad II.
Key players
No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.
Availability
No lineup on record for CD Sabadell, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Real Sociedad II, so availability is unknown.
The matchup, as far as the data reaches
CD Sabadell: 38% possession, 15.0 shots a match, 10.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Real Sociedad II: 38% possession, 11.6 shots a match, 15.2 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. CD Sabadell's shot volume meets a defence that concedes shots freely.
Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-10-25 14:59 · team_stats 2026-10-25 06:07 · availability 2026-10-25 15:02 · prediction 2026-09-18 10:37 ·
CD Sabadell are the model's most likely outcome at 55.2%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-0 at 17.8%. Confidence 49/100, data quality 55/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.
Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.
Was this pick made in advance?
-oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches
played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight.
Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.What the model said
| Model | Home / Draw / Away | Expected goals | Likeliest score | O2.5 | BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ai-blend | 1.41–0.67 | 0% | 0% | 0% | |
| dc-xg | 1.23–0.60 | 1-0 20% | 28% | 32% |
A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest:
it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.