Celtic v Dundee United — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Wednesday 28 October 2026 · SCO-Premiership · 2627

SCO-Premiership results-only Prediction generated 7 Sep 2026, 02:03

Celtic

15:45

Dundee United

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 5 Sep, 22:23 · 1,269h before kick-off

Celtic win

79.9%

model 79.9%

Draw

12.8%

model 13.2%

Dundee United win

7.3%

model 6.9%

80137

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (340 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

2-0 12.2%
3-0 11.1%
1-0 9.0%
2-1 8.4%
3-1 7.6%

Goals

Over 2.5	66.1%	Under 2.5	33.9%
BTTS yes	46.6%	BTTS no	53.4%
Celtic 1+	93.4%	Celtic 2+	75.4%
Dundee United 1+	49.8%	Dundee United 2+	15.2%

Expected goals 2.72 – 0.69. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

79/100

Data quality

65/100

Model agreement

98%

★ Best pick

Nothing on a measured band prices above 1.18 here.

★ Most likely to land

Nothing on a measured band prices above 1.18 here.

Positive factors

Celtic carry the stronger rating, 1769 Elo against 1439.
Form is good: 3.00 points a match from the last five.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Celtic have an estimated 79.9% win probability, against 12.8% for the draw and 7.3% for Dundee United. Expected goals from the ensemble are 2.72 for Celtic and 0.69 for Dundee United.

Why Celtic

Celtic carry the stronger rating, 1769 Elo against 1439. Form is good: 3.00 points a match from the last five.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 12.8%. Draws run at 23% in this competition.

Why Dundee United can win

Nothing in the data singles out Dundee United.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Celtic, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Dundee United, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Celtic: 64% possession, 22.2 shots a match, 9.4 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Dundee United: 51% possession, 13.2 shots a match, 16.8 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Celtic's shot volume meets a defence that concedes shots freely.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-05 22:20 · team_stats 2026-09-05 09:41 · availability 2026-09-05 21:03 · prediction 2026-09-05 18:39 ·

Celtic are the model's most likely outcome at 79.9%. The likeliest scoreline is 2-0 at 12.2%. Confidence 79/100, data quality 65/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
dc-xg	78148	2.64–0.72	2-0 12%	65%	47%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Celtic to win	78.3%	78.3%	45.9%	1.71×	1.28
Draw	14.0%	13.3%	23.4%	0.57×	7.50
Dundee United to win	7.7%	8.2%	30.9%	0.27×	12.19

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Celtic & not both score	45.4%	42.8%	27.4%	1.56×	2.34
Celtic & both teams score	32.9%	29.7%	18.7%	1.59×	3.37
Draw & both teams score	10.5%	13.3%	17.8%	0.74×	7.55
Dundee United & both teams score	4.1%	4.9%	16.4%	0.30×	20.56
Draw & not both score	3.5%	4.9%	5.8%	0.84×	20.58
Dundee United & not both score	3.6%	4.9%	14.7%	0.33×	20.58

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Celtic & over 1.5	69.2%	67.4%	36.7%	1.83×	1.48
Celtic & over 2.5	57.0%	54.9%	28.2%	1.95×	1.82
Celtic & under 3.5	40.8%	40.3%	30.1%	1.34×	2.48
Celtic & over 3.5	37.6%	34.9%	16.0%	2.18×	2.87
Celtic & under 2.5	21.3%	21.7%	17.8%	1.21×	4.62
Draw & over 1.5	10.5%	12.9%	17.8%	0.72×	7.77
Draw & under 2.5	10.1%	12.9%	14.9%	0.86×	7.77
Draw & under 3.5	10.1%	12.9%	14.9%	0.86×	7.77
Celtic & under 1.5	9.2%	7.9%	9.3%	0.84×	12.69
Dundee United & under 3.5	5.9%	7.9%	22.4%	0.35×	12.70
Dundee United & over 1.5	5.2%	7.9%	24.5%	0.32×	12.70
Draw & over 2.5	3.8%	4.8%	8.7%	0.55×	20.94
Draw & over 3.5	3.8%	4.8%	8.7%	0.55×	20.94
Dundee United & over 2.5	4.3%	4.8%	20.5%	0.23×	20.93
Draw & under 1.5	3.5%	4.8%	5.8%	0.82×	20.94
Dundee United & under 2.5	3.3%	4.8%	10.6%	0.45×	20.94
Dundee United & under 1.5	2.5%	4.8%	6.6%	0.72×	20.94
Dundee United & over 3.5	1.8%	4.8%	8.7%	0.55×	20.95

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Celtic (1UP)	85.8%	88.9%	—	—	1.13
Dundee United (1UP)	23.2%	23.0%	—	—	4.34

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Celtic (2UP)	78.3%	76.7%	—	—	1.30
Dundee United (2UP)	7.7%	8.6%	—	—	11.60

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Celtic to win 2nd half	64.3%	59.8%	—	—	1.67
2nd half drawn	25.4%	26.2%	—	—	3.82
Dundee United to win 2nd half	10.3%	11.9%	—	—	8.39

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Celtic (+0.5)	92.3%	92.1%	69.1%	1.33×	1.09
Celtic (-0.5)	78.3%	78.4%	45.9%	1.71×	1.28
Dundee United (+2.5)	64.6%	62.9%	87.8%	0.72×	1.59
Celtic (-1.5)	57.3%	57.0%	26.6%	2.15×	1.75
Dundee United (+1.5)	42.7%	43.0%	73.4%	0.59×	2.33
Celtic (-2.5)	35.4%	37.1%	12.2%	3.03×	2.70
Dundee United (+0.5)	21.7%	21.6%	54.1%	0.40×	4.64
Dundee United (-0.5)	7.7%	7.9%	30.9%	0.26×	12.63

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dundee United to concede	92.9%	91.8%	79.7%	1.15×	1.09
Dundee United clean sheet	7.1%	8.2%	20.3%	0.40×	12.23

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dundee United to concede in 1st half	67.9%	69.4%	—	—	1.44
Dundee United clean sheet in 1st half	32.1%	30.6%	—	—	3.27

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dundee United under 6.5 corners	91.5%	90.0%	—	—	1.11
Dundee United under 5.5 corners	84.0%	81.5%	—	—	1.23
Dundee United under 4.5 corners	72.2%	71.6%	—	—	1.40
Dundee United over 2.5 corners	64.1%	61.8%	—	—	1.62
Dundee United under 3.5 corners	55.6%	57.1%	—	—	1.75
Dundee United over 3.5 corners	44.4%	42.9%	—	—	2.33
Dundee United under 2.5 corners	35.9%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
Dundee United over 4.5 corners	27.8%	28.4%	—	—	3.52
Dundee United over 5.5 corners	16.0%	18.5%	—	—	5.40
Dundee United over 6.5 corners	8.5%	10.0%	—	—	10.04

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dundee United under 3.5 goals	99.4%	97.6%	96.3%	1.01×	1.03
Dundee United under 2.5 goals	96.4%	97.5%	85.5%	1.14×	1.03
Dundee United under 1.5 goals	83.9%	81.4%	63.1%	1.29×	1.23
Dundee United over 0.5 goals	51.1%	53.7%	67.0%	0.80×	1.86
Dundee United under 0.5 goals	48.9%	46.3%	33.0%	1.40×	2.16
Dundee United over 1.5 goals	16.1%	18.6%	36.9%	0.50×	5.38
Dundee United over 2.5 goals	3.6%	2.5%	14.5%	0.17×	40.69
Dundee United over 3.5 goals	0.6%	2.4%	3.7%	0.66×	40.85

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dundee United under 1.5 in 1st half	96.6%	95.8%	—	—	1.04
Dundee United under 0.5 in 1st half	75.1%	75.4%	—	—	1.33
Dundee United over 0.5 in 1st half	24.9%	24.6%	—	—	4.06
Dundee United over 1.5 in 1st half	3.4%	4.2%	—	—	23.60

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Celtic (away no bet)	84.9%	82.9%	66.2%	1.25×	1.21
Draw (away no bet)	15.1%	17.1%	33.8%	0.50×	5.86

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dundee United even goals	62.0%	59.0%	57.7%	1.02×	1.69
Dundee United odd goals	38.0%	41.0%	42.3%	0.97×	2.44

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	76.0%	82.1%	—	—	1.22
Both halves over 1.5 goals	24.0%	17.9%	—	—	5.58

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	75.3%	72.5%	—	—	1.38
Both halves under 1.5 goals	24.7%	27.5%	—	—	3.63

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	73.1%	72.1%	—	—	1.39
Celtic to score 2+ in a row	68.6%	62.3%	—	—	1.61
Either team to score 3+ in a row	41.6%	38.3%	—	—	2.61
Celtic to score 3+ in a row	40.5%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
Dundee United to score 2+ in a row	9.2%	5.7%	—	—	17.54
Dundee United to score 3+ in a row	1.3%	2.5%	—	—	39.80

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Celtic corners (+3.5)	98.2%	95.8%	—	—	1.04
Celtic corners (+2.5)	96.7%	95.8%	—	—	1.04
Celtic corners (+1.5)	94.1%	89.6%	—	—	1.12
Celtic corners (-1.5)	77.6%	74.9%	—	—	1.34
Celtic corners (-2.5)	69.0%	65.8%	—	—	1.52
Celtic corners (-3.5)	59.4%	57.1%	—	—	1.75
Dundee United corners (+3.5)	40.6%	42.9%	—	—	2.33
Dundee United corners (+2.5)	31.0%	34.2%	—	—	2.92
Dundee United corners (+1.5)	22.4%	25.1%	—	—	3.98
Dundee United corners (-1.5)	5.9%	10.4%	—	—	9.59
Dundee United corners (-2.5)	3.3%	4.2%	—	—	23.56
Dundee United corners (-3.5)	1.8%	4.2%	—	—	23.61

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
12+ corners	47.7%	41.7%	—	—	2.40
9-11 corners	28.3%	31.2%	—	—	3.20
0-8 corners	23.9%	25.6%	—	—	3.90

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 7.5 corners	83.9%	80.8%	—	—	1.24
Over 8.5 corners	76.1%	76.5%	—	—	1.31
Over 9.5 corners	67.1%	67.7%	—	—	1.48
Under 12.5 corners	61.5%	63.4%	—	—	1.58
Over 10.5 corners	57.4%	57.8%	—	—	1.73
Under 11.5 corners	52.3%	53.3%	—	—	1.88
Over 11.5 corners	47.7%	46.7%	—	—	2.14
Under 10.5 corners	42.6%	42.2%	—	—	2.37
Over 12.5 corners	38.5%	36.6%	—	—	2.73
Under 9.5 corners	32.9%	32.3%	—	—	3.09
Under 8.5 corners	23.9%	23.5%	—	—	4.26
Under 7.5 corners	16.1%	19.2%	—	—	5.20

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.2%	—	—	1.99
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.8%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Any other score	12.9%	11.5%	4.1%	2.76×	8.73
2-0	12.2%	11.5%	8.7%	1.31×	8.73
3-0	10.7%	11.5%	5.6%	2.04×	8.73
1-0	9.2%	7.4%	9.3%	0.79×	13.48
2-1	8.7%	7.4%	7.1%	1.05×	13.48
1-1	6.6%	7.4%	9.3%	0.79×	13.48
3-1	7.7%	7.4%	5.6%	1.32×	13.48
4-0	7.1%	7.4%	3.5%	2.10×	13.48
4-1	5.1%	7.4%	1.5%	5.11×	13.48
0-0	3.5%	1.7%	5.8%	0.29×	58.47
0-1	2.5%	1.7%	6.6%	0.26×	58.48
0-2	0.9%	1.7%	4.1%	0.41×	58.48
0-3	0.2%	1.7%	3.3%	0.52×	58.49
0-4	0.0%	1.7%	0.4%	4.12×	58.49
1-2	2.4%	1.7%	8.9%	0.19×	58.48
1-3	0.6%	1.7%	3.1%	0.55×	58.49
1-4	0.1%	1.7%	0.8%	2.06×	58.49
2-2	3.1%	1.7%	6.6%	0.26×	58.47
2-3	0.7%	1.7%	2.3%	0.75×	58.49
2-4	0.1%	1.7%	0.8%	2.06×	58.49
3-2	2.7%	1.7%	2.9%	0.59×	58.47
3-3	0.7%	1.7%	2.3%	0.75×	58.49
3-4	0.1%	1.7%	0.4%	4.12×	58.49
4-2	1.8%	1.7%	0.6%	2.75×	58.48
4-3	0.4%	1.7%	0.8%	2.06×	58.49
4-4	0.1%	1.7%	0.2%	8.24×	58.49

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Celtic leading at HT (DNB)	86.2%	86.0%	—	—	1.16
Dundee United leading at HT (DNB)	13.8%	14.0%	—	—	7.14

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Celtic or draw (1X)	92.3%	91.8%	69.1%	1.33×	1.09
Celtic or Dundee United (12)	86.0%	86.7%	76.6%	1.13×	1.15
Dundee United or draw (X2)	21.7%	21.7%	54.1%	0.40×	4.61

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Celtic or draw at HT	90.7%	89.6%	—	—	1.12
Celtic or Dundee United at HT	67.4%	66.4%	—	—	1.51
Dundee United or draw at HT	41.9%	42.4%	—	—	2.36

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Celtic or draw (1UP)	92.3%	93.5%	—	—	1.07
Dundee United or draw (1UP)	23.2%	24.5%	—	—	4.09

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Celtic or draw in 2nd half	89.7%	88.1%	—	—	1.14
Celtic or Dundee United in 2nd half	74.6%	73.8%	—	—	1.36
Dundee United or draw in 2nd half	35.7%	40.2%	—	—	2.49

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	49.7%	50.3%	—	—	1.99
Neither half drawn	50.3%	49.7%	—	—	2.01

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Celtic (DNB)	91.1%	93.0%	59.7%	1.56×	1.08
Dundee United (DNB)	8.9%	7.0%	40.3%	0.17×	14.30

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Celtic to score first	75.9%	79.8%	—	—	1.25
Dundee United to score first	20.5%	22.3%	—	—	4.48
No goal scored	3.5%	4.3%	—	—	23.36

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score	52.5%	51.4%	47.5%	1.08×	1.95
Both teams to score	47.5%	48.6%	52.5%	0.93×	2.06

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both score & over 2.5	40.9%	41.6%	43.4%	0.96×	2.40
Not both score & under 2.5	28.2%	33.6%	33.8%	0.99×	2.98
Not both score & over 2.5	24.3%	27.8%	13.9%	2.00×	3.60
Both score & under 2.5	6.6%	8.4%	9.3%	0.90×	11.96

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	88.1%	85.6%	83.8%	1.02×	1.17
Both teams to score 2+	11.9%	14.4%	16.2%	0.89×	6.95

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	72.8%	74.1%	—	—	1.35
Both teams to score in 2nd half	27.2%	25.9%	—	—	3.86

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	60.5%	66.3%	—	—	1.51
Both score 2nd half only	22.6%	20.8%	—	—	4.81
Both score 1st half only	12.3%	10.7%	—	—	9.31
Both score in both halves	4.6%	5.1%	—	—	19.77

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	83.1%	82.4%	—	—	1.21
Both teams to score by HT	16.9%	17.6%	—	—	5.69

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A goal in each half	65.0%	59.0%	—	—	1.69
A half without a goal	35.0%	41.0%	—	—	2.44

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	41.7%	42.1%	45.9%	0.92×	2.38
4-6 goals	37.8%	35.1%	31.3%	1.12×	2.85
0-1 goals	15.1%	20.2%	21.4%	0.94×	4.96
7+ goals	5.4%	7.6%	1.9%	4.05×	13.23

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dundee United to score exactly 0	48.9%	43.0%	33.0%	1.30×	2.33
Dundee United to score exactly 1	35.0%	33.8%	30.3%	1.12×	2.96
Dundee United to score exactly 2	12.5%	12.8%	22.6%	0.57×	7.80
Dundee United to score 3+	3.6%	4.5%	14.5%	0.31×	22.06

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Celtic to score 3+	49.2%	37.0%	23.9%	1.55×	2.70
Celtic to score exactly 2	24.9%	23.3%	25.1%	0.93×	4.30
Celtic to score exactly 1	18.8%	18.9%	31.1%	0.61×	5.29
Celtic to score exactly 0	7.1%	10.3%	20.3%	0.51×	9.73

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Celtic leading at HT	58.1%	57.6%	—	—	1.74
Draw at HT	32.6%	33.6%	—	—	2.98
Dundee United leading at HT	9.3%	10.4%	—	—	9.62

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Celtic -1: 1	57.3%	56.7%	—	—	1.77
Celtic -1: 2	21.7%	23.6%	—	—	4.24
Celtic -1: X	21.1%	23.6%	—	—	4.24

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Celtic (0:1)	57.3%	55.8%	26.6%	2.10×	1.79
Dundee United (0:1)	21.7%	24.3%	54.1%	0.45×	4.12
Draw (0:1)	21.1%	24.3%	19.5%	1.24×	4.12

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Celtic (0:2)	35.4%	38.5%	12.2%	3.14×	2.60
Dundee United (0:2)	42.7%	38.5%	73.4%	0.52×	2.60
Draw (0:2)	21.9%	20.3%	14.5%	1.40×	4.92

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dundee United (0:3)	64.6%	66.2%	87.8%	0.75×	1.51
Celtic (0:3)	18.5%	16.1%	5.6%	2.88×	6.20
Draw (0:3)	16.9%	16.1%	6.8%	2.35×	6.23

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dundee United (0:4)	81.5%	86.9%	94.4%	0.92×	1.15
Draw (0:4)	10.2%	9.3%	4.8%	1.96×	10.71
Celtic (0:4)	8.3%	4.7%	1.0%	4.50×	21.40

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Celtic (1:0)	92.3%	92.7%	69.1%	1.34×	1.08
Draw (1:0)	5.7%	6.9%	17.6%	0.39×	14.47
Dundee United (1:0)	2.0%	3.1%	13.5%	0.23×	31.79

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Celtic (2:0)	98.0%	96.9%	86.5%	1.12×	1.03
Draw (2:0)	1.6%	2.3%	7.7%	0.29×	44.27
Dundee United (2:0)	0.4%	2.3%	6.0%	0.37×	44.35

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	49.5%	48.2%	—	—	2.08
1st half highest scoring	28.3%	26.5%	—	—	3.77
Halves equal	22.1%	24.1%	—	—	4.15

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Celtic to concede	51.1%	53.1%	67.0%	0.79×	1.88
Celtic clean sheet	48.9%	46.9%	33.0%	1.42×	2.13

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Celtic clean sheet in 1st half	75.1%	76.9%	—	—	1.30
Celtic to concede in 1st half	24.9%	23.1%	—	—	4.33

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Celtic over 2.5 corners	96.5%	94.9%	—	—	1.05
Celtic over 3.5 corners	91.9%	89.3%	—	—	1.12
Celtic over 4.5 corners	84.7%	81.0%	—	—	1.24
Celtic over 5.5 corners	75.3%	76.5%	—	—	1.31
Celtic over 6.5 corners	64.4%	62.3%	—	—	1.61
Celtic under 6.5 corners	35.6%	37.7%	—	—	2.65
Celtic under 5.5 corners	24.7%	23.5%	—	—	4.26
Celtic under 4.5 corners	15.3%	19.0%	—	—	5.25
Celtic under 3.5 corners	8.1%	10.7%	—	—	9.37
Celtic under 2.5 corners	3.5%	5.1%	—	—	19.52

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Celtic over 0.5 goals	92.9%	92.3%	79.7%	1.16×	1.08
Celtic over 1.5 goals	74.1%	74.2%	48.8%	1.52×	1.35
Celtic under 3.5 goals	72.7%	74.2%	92.1%	0.81×	1.35
Celtic under 2.5 goals	50.8%	53.2%	76.1%	0.70×	1.88
Celtic over 2.5 goals	49.2%	46.8%	23.9%	1.96×	2.14
Celtic over 3.5 goals	27.3%	25.8%	7.9%	3.28×	3.87
Celtic under 1.5 goals	25.9%	25.8%	51.2%	0.50×	3.87
Celtic under 0.5 goals	7.1%	7.7%	20.3%	0.38×	12.91

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Celtic under 1.5 in 1st half	68.6%	68.2%	—	—	1.47
Celtic over 0.5 in 1st half	67.9%	68.1%	—	—	1.47
Celtic under 0.5 in 1st half	32.1%	31.9%	—	—	3.13
Celtic over 1.5 in 1st half	31.4%	31.8%	—	—	3.14

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw (home no bet)	64.6%	60.2%	43.1%	1.40×	1.66
Dundee United (home no bet)	35.4%	39.8%	56.9%	0.70×	2.52

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Celtic even goals	50.3%	50.6%	51.7%	0.98×	1.98
Celtic odd goals	49.7%	49.4%	48.3%	1.02×	2.03

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 1-0	27.4%	28.8%	—	—	3.47
HT 0-0	24.1%	24.1%	—	—	4.14
HT 2-0	15.6%	18.7%	—	—	5.35
Any other HT score	11.0%	10.9%	—	—	9.17
HT 1-1	7.8%	7.1%	—	—	14.04
HT 0-1	6.9%	7.1%	—	—	14.05
HT 2-1	4.5%	2.3%	—	—	43.28
HT 0-2	1.0%	2.3%	—	—	43.54
HT 1-2	1.1%	2.3%	—	—	43.53
HT 2-2	0.6%	2.3%	—	—	43.56

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Celtic at HT / Celtic at FT	54.4%	56.2%	—	—	1.78
Draw at HT / Celtic at FT	20.9%	21.8%	—	—	4.60
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	8.3%	6.0%	—	—	16.64
Dundee United at HT / Dundee United at FT	3.7%	3.5%	—	—	28.82
Draw at HT / Dundee United at FT	3.3%	3.5%	—	—	28.83
Celtic at HT / Draw at FT	3.0%	3.5%	—	—	28.85
Dundee United at HT / Celtic at FT	3.0%	3.5%	—	—	28.85
Dundee United at HT / Draw at FT	2.6%	3.5%	—	—	28.86
Celtic at HT / Dundee United at FT	0.7%	3.5%	—	—	28.94

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Celtic to score last	75.9%	76.4%	—	—	1.31
Dundee United to score last	20.5%	25.9%	—	—	3.87
No goal scored	3.5%	4.3%	—	—	23.36

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	96.5%	95.6%	—	—	1.05
Celtic to lead by 1 at any time	85.8%	90.2%	—	—	1.11
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	67.0%	69.5%	—	—	1.44
Celtic to lead by 2 at any time	62.7%	61.3%	—	—	1.63
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	39.3%	34.9%	—	—	2.86
Celtic to lead by 3 at any time	38.6%	34.9%	—	—	2.87
Dundee United to lead by 1 at any time	23.2%	19.6%	—	—	5.10
Dundee United to lead by 2 at any time	4.6%	1.7%	—	—	59.82
Dundee United to lead by 3 at any time	0.8%	1.6%	—	—	63.59

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Celtic most corners	84.7%	81.8%	—	—	1.22
Dundee United most corners	9.8%	8.5%	—	—	11.80
Corners level	5.5%	8.5%	—	—	11.83

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	84.2%	83.5%	86.9%	0.96×	1.20
2-6 goals	79.5%	78.6%	77.0%	1.02×	1.27
2-5 goals	72.5%	72.4%	71.4%	1.01×	1.38
1-4 goals	71.7%	72.4%	79.7%	0.91×	1.38
2-4 goals	60.1%	63.4%	64.1%	0.99×	1.58
3-6 goals	59.8%	59.2%	55.4%	1.07×	1.69
1-3 goals	53.3%	53.2%	61.4%	0.87×	1.88
3-5 goals	52.9%	53.2%	49.8%	1.07×	1.88
2-3 goals	41.7%	43.6%	45.9%	0.95×	2.30
3-4 goals	40.5%	43.6%	42.5%	1.02×	2.30
4-6 goals	37.8%	39.2%	31.3%	1.25×	2.55
1-2 goals	31.3%	35.4%	37.3%	0.95×	2.83
4-5 goals	30.9%	35.4%	25.7%	1.37×	2.83
5-6 goals	19.3%	18.6%	13.1%	1.43×	5.37
7+ goals	5.4%	8.7%	1.9%	4.67×	11.46

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Celtic never behind	73.3%	77.5%	—	—	1.29
Dundee United never behind	10.7%	12.5%	—	—	8.03

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of goals	49.9%	50.8%	48.5%	1.05×	1.97
Even number of goals	50.1%	49.2%	51.5%	0.96×	2.03

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	52.9%	51.7%	—	—	1.94
Odd goals in 1st half	47.1%	48.3%	—	—	2.07

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	51.1%	52.0%	—	—	1.92
Odd goals in 2nd half	48.9%	48.0%	—	—	2.09

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 goals	96.5%	95.5%	94.2%	1.01×	1.05
Under 5.5 goals	87.7%	87.6%	92.5%	0.95×	1.14
Over 1.5 goals	84.9%	82.4%	78.6%	1.05×	1.21
Under 4.5 goals	75.3%	77.3%	85.3%	0.91×	1.29
Over 2.5 goals	65.2%	66.2%	57.1%	1.16×	1.51
Under 3.5 goals	56.8%	58.8%	67.0%	0.88×	1.70
Over 3.5 goals	43.2%	41.2%	33.0%	1.25×	2.43
Under 2.5 goals	34.8%	33.8%	42.9%	0.79×	2.96
Over 4.5 goals	24.7%	22.7%	14.7%	1.54×	4.41
Under 1.5 goals	15.1%	17.6%	21.4%	0.82×	5.68
Over 5.5 goals	12.3%	12.4%	7.5%	1.65×	8.10
Under 0.5 goals	3.5%	4.5%	5.8%	0.78×	22.21

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	94.2%	92.5%	98.0%	0.94×	1.08
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	85.9%	86.7%	91.9%	0.94×	1.15
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	81.2%	81.0%	72.8%	1.11×	1.23
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	69.7%	67.4%	82.0%	0.82×	1.48
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	55.4%	55.4%	43.4%	1.28×	1.81
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	44.6%	44.6%	56.6%	0.79×	2.24
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	30.3%	32.6%	18.0%	1.81×	3.07
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	18.8%	19.0%	27.2%	0.70×	5.28
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	14.1%	13.3%	8.1%	1.65×	7.54
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	5.8%	7.5%	2.0%	3.81×	13.28

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	82.8%	86.2%	—	—	1.16
Over 0.5 in 1st half	75.9%	78.7%	—	—	1.27
Under 1.5 in 1st half	58.4%	62.8%	—	—	1.59
Over 1.5 in 1st half	41.6%	37.2%	—	—	2.69
Under 0.5 in 1st half	24.1%	21.3%	—	—	4.70
Over 2.5 in 1st half	17.2%	13.8%	—	—	7.27

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	85.5%	85.3%	—	—	1.17
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	69.5%	67.7%	—	—	1.48
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	57.6%	54.9%	—	—	1.82
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	42.4%	45.2%	—	—	2.22
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	30.5%	32.4%	—	—	3.09
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	14.5%	14.7%	—	—	6.78

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dundee United not to score in both halves	91.3%	90.0%	—	—	1.11
Celtic to score in both halves	52.9%	55.7%	—	—	1.79
Celtic not to score in both halves	47.1%	44.3%	—	—	2.26
Dundee United to score in both halves	8.7%	10.0%	—	—	10.02

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	47.5%	50.5%	52.5%	0.96×	1.98
Only Celtic scores	45.4%	50.4%	27.4%	1.84×	1.98
Only Dundee United scores	3.6%	4.6%	14.7%	0.31×	21.84
Neither team scores	3.5%	4.6%	5.8%	0.79×	21.84

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 3 goals	22.0%	22.6%	24.3%	0.93×	4.42
Exactly 2 goals	19.7%	17.4%	21.8%	0.80×	5.74
Exactly 4 goals	18.5%	17.4%	18.5%	0.94×	5.74
Exactly 5 goals	12.4%	12.1%	7.5%	1.62×	8.27
6 or more goals	12.3%	12.1%	7.5%	1.62×	8.27
Exactly 1 goals	11.6%	12.1%	15.8%	0.77×	8.28
Exactly 0 goals	3.5%	4.4%	5.8%	0.76×	22.66

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	57.6%	53.4%	—	—	1.87
1 goal in 2nd half	27.9%	29.8%	—	—	3.35
No goals in 2nd half	14.5%	14.6%	—	—	6.87

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dundee United not to win both halves	99.0%	97.3%	—	—	1.03
Celtic not to win both halves	62.6%	68.1%	—	—	1.47
Celtic to win both halves	37.4%	31.9%	—	—	3.14
Dundee United to win both halves	1.0%	2.7%	—	—	36.90

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Celtic to win either half	85.0%	91.2%	—	—	1.10
Dundee United to win neither half	81.4%	82.8%	—	—	1.21
Dundee United to win either half	18.6%	17.2%	—	—	5.82
Celtic to win neither half	15.0%	8.8%	—	—	11.41

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dundee United not to win to nil	96.4%	96.1%	85.3%	1.13×	1.04
Celtic not to win to nil	54.6%	54.3%	72.6%	0.75×	1.84
Celtic to win to nil	45.4%	45.7%	27.4%	1.67×	2.19
Dundee United to win to nil	3.6%	3.9%	14.7%	0.26×	25.94

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Celtic by 3+	35.4%	34.8%	12.2%	2.84×	2.88
Celtic by 2	21.9%	24.1%	14.5%	1.66×	4.14
Celtic by 1	21.1%	24.1%	19.5%	1.24×	4.14
Draw	14.0%	11.8%	23.4%	0.50×	8.47
Dundee United by 1	5.7%	7.3%	17.6%	0.41×	13.79
Dundee United by 2	1.6%	2.7%	7.7%	0.35×	37.03
Dundee United by 3+	0.4%	2.7%	6.0%	0.45×	37.07