Celtic v Hibernian — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Saturday 12 December 2026 · SCO-Premiership · 2627

SCO-Premiership results-only Prediction generated 18 Sep 2026, 10:37 UTC

Celtic

15:00 UTC

Hibernian

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 27 Oct, 10:57 · 1,108h before kick-off

Celtic win

69.7%

model 67.7%

Draw

19.3%

model 18.8%

Hibernian win

11.1%

model 13.5%

701911

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (176 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

2-0 11.6%
1-0 10.8%
2-1 9.8%
1-1 8.9%
3-0 8.3%

Goals

Over 2.5	57.9%	Under 2.5	42.1%
BTTS yes	50.4%	BTTS no	49.6%
Celtic 1+	88.5%	Celtic 2+	63.7%
Hibernian 1+	57.0%	Hibernian 2+	20.7%

Expected goals 2.17 – 0.85. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

76/100

Data quality

65/100

Model agreement

94%

★ Best pick

Celtic (-0.5)

Asian handicap · usually 46%

68.7% fair odds 1.46

strong signal · 1169 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Hibernian not to score in both halves

Score both halves

84.4% fair odds 1.19

moderate signal · 829 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

Celtic carry the stronger rating, 1772 Elo against 1587.
Form is good: 3.00 points a match from the last five.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Celtic have an estimated 69.7% win probability, against 19.3% for the draw and 11.1% for Hibernian. Expected goals from the ensemble are 2.17 for Celtic and 0.84 for Hibernian.

Why Celtic

Celtic carry the stronger rating, 1772 Elo against 1587. Form is good: 3.00 points a match from the last five.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 19.3%. Draws run at 23% in this competition.

Why Hibernian can win

Nothing in the data singles out Hibernian.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Celtic, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Hibernian, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Celtic: 62% possession, 22.4 shots a match, 8.8 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Hibernian: 36% possession, 12.6 shots a match, 11.8 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-10-27 10:01 · team_stats 2026-10-27 06:03 · availability 2026-10-27 14:57 · prediction 2026-09-18 10:37 ·

Celtic are the model's most likely outcome at 69.7%. The likeliest scoreline is 2-0 at 11.6%. Confidence 76/100, data quality 65/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Live TV

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Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	681913	2.17–0.85	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	622117	1.99–0.95	1-0 11%	56%	53%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Celtic to win	61.7%	58.2%	45.9%	1.27×	1.72
Draw	20.9%	24.5%	23.3%	1.05×	4.09
Hibernian to win	17.4%	19.4%	31.0%	0.63×	5.16

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Celtic & not both score	33.6%	29.6%	27.5%	1.08×	3.38
Celtic & both teams score	28.1%	25.2%	18.6%	1.36×	3.97
Draw & both teams score	15.7%	18.0%	17.8%	1.01×	5.57
Hibernian & both teams score	8.9%	8.3%	16.3%	0.51×	12.00
Hibernian & not both score	8.5%	8.3%	14.9%	0.56×	12.00
Draw & not both score	5.2%	8.3%	5.8%	1.44×	12.01

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Celtic & over 1.5	51.0%	48.8%	36.6%	1.33×	2.05
Celtic & over 2.5	40.5%	40.2%	28.1%	1.43×	2.49
Celtic & under 3.5	38.1%	34.9%	30.2%	1.16×	2.87
Celtic & over 3.5	23.6%	21.6%	15.9%	1.36×	4.63
Celtic & under 2.5	21.2%	21.6%	18.0%	1.20×	4.63
Draw & over 1.5	15.7%	18.0%	17.8%	1.01×	5.56
Draw & under 2.5	15.1%	18.0%	14.9%	1.21×	5.56
Draw & under 3.5	15.1%	18.0%	14.9%	1.21×	5.56
Hibernian & under 3.5	13.0%	12.8%	22.5%	0.57×	7.79
Hibernian & over 1.5	12.3%	12.8%	24.4%	0.53×	7.79
Celtic & under 1.5	10.7%	12.8%	9.5%	1.35×	7.79
Hibernian & over 2.5	9.9%	7.9%	20.5%	0.39×	12.63
Hibernian & under 2.5	7.5%	7.9%	10.7%	0.74×	12.63
Draw & under 1.5	5.2%	7.9%	5.8%	1.37×	12.63
Draw & over 2.5	5.8%	7.9%	8.7%	0.91×	12.63
Draw & over 3.5	5.8%	7.9%	8.7%	0.91×	12.63
Hibernian & under 1.5	5.2%	7.9%	6.8%	1.16×	12.63
Hibernian & over 3.5	4.4%	4.8%	8.7%	0.55×	20.81

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Celtic (1UP)	73.7%	75.3%	—	—	1.33
Hibernian (1UP)	35.2%	33.9%	—	—	2.95

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Celtic (2UP)	61.7%	68.2%	—	—	1.47
Hibernian (2UP)	17.4%	17.0%	—	—	5.90

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Celtic to win 2nd half	49.5%	45.4%	—	—	2.20
2nd half drawn	32.0%	34.0%	—	—	2.94
Hibernian to win 2nd half	18.5%	17.9%	—	—	5.57

2nd half away goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Hibernian under 1.5 in 2nd half	88.8%	87.2%	—	—	1.15
Hibernian under 0.5 in 2nd half	56.6%	54.4%	—	—	1.84
Hibernian over 0.5 in 2nd half	43.4%	45.6%	—	—	2.19
Hibernian over 1.5 in 2nd half	11.2%	12.8%	—	—	7.81

2nd half home goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Celtic under 1.5 in 2nd half	68.7%	70.8%	—	—	1.41
Celtic over 0.5 in 2nd half	67.8%	70.8%	—	—	1.41
Celtic under 0.5 in 2nd half	32.2%	29.2%	—	—	3.42
Celtic over 1.5 in 2nd half	31.3%	29.2%	—	—	3.43

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Celtic (+0.5)	82.6%	82.6%	69.0%	1.20×	1.21
Hibernian (+2.5)	81.5%	82.6%	87.8%	0.94×	1.21
Hibernian (+1.5)	62.6%	63.0%	73.6%	0.86×	1.59
Celtic (-0.5)	61.7%	62.9%	45.9%	1.37×	1.59
Hibernian (+0.5)	38.3%	37.1%	54.1%	0.68×	2.70
Celtic (-1.5)	37.4%	37.0%	26.4%	1.40×	2.70
Celtic (-2.5)	18.5%	17.4%	12.2%	1.43×	5.74
Hibernian (-0.5)	17.4%	17.4%	31.0%	0.56×	5.74

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Hibernian to concede	86.3%	86.2%	79.5%	1.08×	1.16
Hibernian clean sheet	13.7%	13.8%	20.5%	0.67×	7.27

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Hibernian to concede in 1st half	57.4%	56.5%	—	—	1.77
Hibernian clean sheet in 1st half	42.6%	43.5%	—	—	2.30

Away clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Hibernian to concede in 2nd half	67.8%	65.8%	—	—	1.52
Hibernian clean sheet in 2nd half	32.2%	34.2%	—	—	2.92

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Hibernian under 6.5 corners	88.4%	85.2%	—	—	1.17
Hibernian under 5.5 corners	79.5%	76.1%	—	—	1.32
Hibernian over 2.5 corners	69.3%	67.6%	—	—	1.48
Hibernian under 4.5 corners	66.5%	67.6%	—	—	1.48
Hibernian over 3.5 corners	50.5%	53.1%	—	—	1.88
Hibernian under 3.5 corners	49.5%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
Hibernian over 4.5 corners	33.5%	32.4%	—	—	3.09
Hibernian under 2.5 corners	30.7%	32.4%	—	—	3.09
Hibernian over 5.5 corners	20.5%	23.9%	—	—	4.18
Hibernian over 6.5 corners	11.6%	14.8%	—	—	6.78

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Hibernian under 3.5 goals	98.4%	97.5%	96.3%	1.01×	1.03
Hibernian under 2.5 goals	92.9%	92.4%	85.5%	1.08×	1.08
Hibernian under 1.5 goals	75.5%	76.2%	63.2%	1.21×	1.31
Hibernian over 0.5 goals	61.2%	63.2%	66.9%	0.94×	1.58
Hibernian under 0.5 goals	38.8%	36.8%	33.1%	1.11×	2.72
Hibernian over 1.5 goals	24.5%	23.8%	36.8%	0.65×	4.21
Hibernian over 2.5 goals	7.1%	7.6%	14.5%	0.53×	13.07
Hibernian over 3.5 goals	1.6%	2.5%	3.7%	0.67×	39.89

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Hibernian under 1.5 in 1st half	94.4%	94.0%	—	—	1.06
Hibernian under 0.5 in 1st half	68.4%	70.4%	—	—	1.42
Hibernian over 0.5 in 1st half	31.6%	29.6%	—	—	3.37
Hibernian over 1.5 in 1st half	5.6%	6.0%	—	—	16.66

Away highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Hibernian scores equally in both	47.6%	48.2%	—	—	2.08
Hibernian scores more in 2nd half	32.7%	33.3%	—	—	3.01
Hibernian scores more in 1st half	19.7%	18.2%	—	—	5.49

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Celtic (away no bet)	74.7%	68.5%	66.3%	1.03×	1.46
Draw (away no bet)	25.3%	31.5%	33.7%	0.93×	3.17

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Hibernian even goals	57.5%	56.9%	57.6%	0.99×	1.76
Hibernian odd goals	42.5%	43.1%	42.4%	1.02×	2.32

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	82.3%	83.1%	—	—	1.20
Both halves over 1.5 goals	17.7%	16.9%	—	—	5.93

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	67.9%	67.9%	—	—	1.47
Both halves under 1.5 goals	32.1%	32.1%	—	—	3.11

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	62.0%	60.0%	—	—	1.67
Celtic to score 2+ in a row	51.6%	50.9%	—	—	1.97
Either team to score 3+ in a row	26.7%	24.9%	—	—	4.01
Celtic to score 3+ in a row	23.6%	19.5%	—	—	5.12
Hibernian to score 2+ in a row	16.4%	16.1%	—	—	6.20
Hibernian to score 3+ in a row	3.3%	2.6%	—	—	38.92

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Celtic corners (+3.5)	97.2%	95.7%	—	—	1.04
Celtic corners (+2.5)	95.0%	95.7%	—	—	1.05
Celtic corners (+1.5)	91.7%	89.6%	—	—	1.12
Celtic corners (-1.5)	72.1%	70.8%	—	—	1.41
Celtic corners (-2.5)	62.9%	61.9%	—	—	1.62
Celtic corners (-3.5)	53.0%	52.4%	—	—	1.91
Hibernian corners (+3.5)	47.0%	47.6%	—	—	2.10
Hibernian corners (+2.5)	37.1%	38.1%	—	—	2.62
Hibernian corners (+1.5)	27.9%	29.2%	—	—	3.42
Hibernian corners (-1.5)	8.3%	10.4%	—	—	9.59
Hibernian corners (-2.5)	5.0%	4.3%	—	—	23.43
Hibernian corners (-3.5)	2.8%	4.3%	—	—	23.50

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
12+ corners	47.6%	41.7%	—	—	2.40
9-11 corners	28.4%	31.2%	—	—	3.21
0-8 corners	23.9%	25.7%	—	—	3.90

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 7.5 corners	83.9%	80.7%	—	—	1.24
Over 8.5 corners	76.1%	76.6%	—	—	1.31
Over 9.5 corners	67.0%	67.8%	—	—	1.48
Under 12.5 corners	61.6%	63.2%	—	—	1.58
Over 10.5 corners	57.3%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Under 11.5 corners	52.4%	53.2%	—	—	1.88
Over 11.5 corners	47.6%	46.8%	—	—	2.14
Under 10.5 corners	42.7%	42.1%	—	—	2.37
Over 12.5 corners	38.4%	36.8%	—	—	2.72
Under 9.5 corners	33.0%	32.2%	—	—	3.11
Under 8.5 corners	23.9%	23.4%	—	—	4.27
Under 7.5 corners	16.1%	19.3%	—	—	5.18

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.2%	—	—	1.99
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.8%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-0	10.7%	11.5%	9.5%	1.21×	8.72
2-0	10.5%	11.5%	8.7%	1.32×	8.72
2-1	9.9%	7.4%	7.0%	1.05×	13.51
1-1	9.9%	7.4%	9.3%	0.80×	13.51
3-0	6.9%	7.4%	5.6%	1.33×	13.51
3-1	6.6%	7.4%	5.6%	1.33×	13.51
Any other score	5.4%	7.4%	4.1%	1.79×	13.51
0-0	5.2%	7.4%	5.8%	1.28×	13.51
0-1	5.2%	7.4%	6.8%	1.09×	13.51
1-2	4.7%	1.7%	8.9%	0.19×	58.29
1-3	1.5%	1.7%	3.1%	0.55×	58.31
1-4	0.4%	1.7%	0.8%	2.07×	58.32
2-2	4.7%	1.7%	6.6%	0.26×	58.29
2-3	1.5%	1.7%	2.3%	0.75×	58.31
2-4	0.4%	1.7%	0.8%	2.07×	58.32
3-2	3.1%	1.7%	2.9%	0.59×	58.30
3-3	1.0%	1.7%	2.3%	0.75×	58.31
3-4	0.2%	1.7%	0.4%	4.15×	58.32
4-0	3.5%	1.7%	3.5%	0.49×	58.30
4-1	3.3%	1.7%	1.4%	1.19×	58.30
4-2	1.6%	1.7%	0.6%	2.77×	58.31
4-3	0.5%	1.7%	0.8%	2.07×	58.32
4-4	0.1%	1.7%	0.2%	8.30×	58.32
0-2	2.4%	1.7%	4.1%	0.42×	58.31
0-3	0.8%	1.7%	3.3%	0.52×	58.31
0-4	0.2%	1.7%	0.4%	4.15×	58.32

DNB 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Celtic (2nd half DNB)	72.8%	71.5%	—	—	1.40
Hibernian (2nd half DNB)	27.2%	28.5%	—	—	3.51

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Celtic leading at HT (DNB)	74.3%	74.8%	—	—	1.34
Hibernian leading at HT (DNB)	25.7%	25.2%	—	—	3.97

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Celtic or draw (1X)	82.6%	80.6%	69.0%	1.17×	1.24
Celtic or Hibernian (12)	79.1%	75.5%	76.7%	0.99×	1.32
Hibernian or draw (X2)	38.3%	41.8%	54.1%	0.77×	2.39

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Celtic or draw at HT	84.4%	84.2%	—	—	1.19
Celtic or Hibernian at HT	60.7%	60.9%	—	—	1.64
Hibernian or draw at HT	54.9%	48.7%	—	—	2.05

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Celtic or draw (1UP)	82.6%	88.8%	—	—	1.13
Hibernian or draw (1UP)	38.3%	41.5%	—	—	2.41

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Celtic or draw in 2nd half	81.5%	82.1%	—	—	1.22
Celtic or Hibernian in 2nd half	68.0%	66.0%	—	—	1.52
Hibernian or draw in 2nd half	50.5%	54.6%	—	—	1.83

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	58.8%	58.9%	—	—	1.70
Neither half drawn	41.2%	41.1%	—	—	2.43

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Celtic (DNB)	78.0%	74.8%	59.7%	1.25×	1.34
Hibernian (DNB)	22.0%	25.2%	40.3%	0.63×	3.96

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Celtic to score first	64.2%	64.1%	—	—	1.56
Hibernian to score first	30.6%	27.6%	—	—	3.62
No goal scored	5.2%	7.5%	—	—	13.34

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams to score	52.7%	51.3%	52.3%	0.98×	1.95
Not both teams to score	47.3%	48.7%	47.7%	1.02×	2.05

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both score & over 2.5	42.8%	41.6%	43.2%	0.96×	2.41
Not both score & under 2.5	33.9%	34.6%	34.1%	1.01×	2.89
Not both score & over 2.5	13.4%	12.4%	13.8%	0.89×	8.09
Both score & under 2.5	9.9%	8.3%	9.3%	0.89×	12.06

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	85.5%	85.6%	83.9%	1.02×	1.17
Both teams to score 2+	14.5%	14.4%	16.1%	0.89×	6.94

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	70.6%	73.6%	—	—	1.36
Both teams to score in 2nd half	29.4%	26.4%	—	—	3.78

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	57.9%	60.1%	—	—	1.66
Both score 2nd half only	24.0%	21.3%	—	—	4.69
Both score 1st half only	12.8%	10.7%	—	—	9.31
Both score in both halves	5.3%	6.7%	—	—	14.84

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	81.9%	83.4%	—	—	1.20
Both teams to score by HT	18.1%	16.6%	—	—	6.04

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A goal in each half	57.9%	57.1%	—	—	1.75
A half without a goal	42.1%	42.9%	—	—	2.33

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	45.2%	47.2%	45.7%	1.03×	2.12
4-6 goals	30.8%	30.7%	31.2%	0.98×	3.26
0-1 goals	21.0%	22.9%	21.7%	1.06×	4.36
7+ goals	3.0%	1.8%	1.9%	0.99×	54.26

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Hibernian to score exactly 0	38.8%	35.9%	33.1%	1.09×	2.78
Hibernian to score exactly 1	36.7%	35.9%	30.4%	1.18×	2.78
Hibernian to score exactly 2	17.4%	19.5%	22.5%	0.87×	5.12
Hibernian to score 3+	7.1%	8.5%	14.5%	0.59×	11.71

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Celtic to score 3+	32.0%	32.6%	23.8%	1.37×	3.07
Celtic to score exactly 1	27.2%	26.6%	31.2%	0.85×	3.77
Celtic to score exactly 2	27.1%	26.6%	25.0%	1.06×	3.77
Celtic to score exactly 0	13.7%	14.3%	20.5%	0.70×	6.99

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Celtic leading at HT	45.1%	51.3%	—	—	1.95
Draw at HT	39.3%	39.1%	—	—	2.56
Hibernian leading at HT	15.6%	15.8%	—	—	6.32

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Celtic -1: 2	38.3%	37.4%	—	—	2.67
Celtic -1: 1	37.4%	37.4%	—	—	2.68
Celtic -1: X	24.3%	23.5%	—	—	4.25

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Hibernian (0:1)	38.3%	37.4%	54.1%	0.69×	2.68
Celtic (0:1)	37.4%	37.3%	26.4%	1.41×	2.68
Draw (0:1)	24.3%	24.2%	19.6%	1.23×	4.13

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Hibernian (0:2)	62.6%	67.1%	73.6%	0.91×	1.49
Draw (0:2)	18.8%	15.3%	14.5%	1.06×	6.55
Celtic (0:2)	18.5%	15.3%	12.2%	1.25×	6.55

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Hibernian (0:3)	81.5%	85.3%	87.8%	0.97×	1.17
Draw (0:3)	10.9%	9.9%	6.8%	1.45×	10.14
Celtic (0:3)	7.6%	5.8%	5.6%	1.04×	17.24

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Hibernian (0:4)	92.4%	94.5%	94.4%	1.00×	1.06
Draw (0:4)	5.0%	1.2%	4.8%	0.26×	81.42
Celtic (0:4)	2.6%	1.2%	1.0%	1.19×	81.68

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Celtic (1:0)	82.6%	81.4%	69.0%	1.18×	1.23
Draw (1:0)	11.7%	12.7%	17.8%	0.71×	7.87
Hibernian (1:0)	5.8%	6.9%	13.4%	0.51×	14.52

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Celtic (2:0)	94.2%	94.0%	86.6%	1.09×	1.06
Draw (2:0)	4.3%	2.3%	7.6%	0.30×	43.66
Hibernian (2:0)	1.5%	2.3%	6.0%	0.38×	43.83

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	48.5%	48.6%	—	—	2.06
1st half highest scoring	27.8%	26.2%	—	—	3.81
Halves equal	23.7%	24.5%	—	—	4.08

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Celtic to concede	61.2%	63.6%	66.9%	0.95×	1.57
Celtic clean sheet	38.8%	36.4%	33.1%	1.10×	2.75

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Celtic clean sheet in 1st half	68.4%	70.7%	—	—	1.41
Celtic to concede in 1st half	31.6%	29.3%	—	—	3.42

Home clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Celtic clean sheet in 2nd half	56.6%	54.8%	—	—	1.83
Celtic to concede in 2nd half	43.4%	45.2%	—	—	2.21

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Celtic over 2.5 corners	95.8%	94.9%	—	—	1.05
Celtic over 3.5 corners	90.5%	89.2%	—	—	1.12
Celtic over 4.5 corners	82.5%	81.0%	—	—	1.24
Celtic over 5.5 corners	72.3%	71.9%	—	—	1.39
Celtic over 6.5 corners	60.8%	62.3%	—	—	1.61
Celtic under 6.5 corners	39.2%	37.7%	—	—	2.65
Celtic under 5.5 corners	27.7%	28.1%	—	—	3.56
Celtic under 4.5 corners	17.5%	19.0%	—	—	5.26
Celtic under 3.5 corners	9.5%	10.8%	—	—	9.26
Celtic under 2.5 corners	4.2%	5.1%	—	—	19.51

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Celtic over 0.5 goals	86.3%	87.3%	79.5%	1.10×	1.15
Celtic under 3.5 goals	86.0%	87.3%	92.1%	0.95×	1.15
Celtic under 2.5 goals	68.0%	67.9%	76.2%	0.89×	1.47
Celtic over 1.5 goals	59.0%	58.7%	48.6%	1.21×	1.70
Celtic under 1.5 goals	41.0%	41.3%	51.4%	0.80×	2.42
Celtic over 2.5 goals	32.0%	32.1%	23.8%	1.35×	3.12
Celtic over 3.5 goals	14.0%	12.7%	7.9%	1.62×	7.85
Celtic under 0.5 goals	13.7%	12.7%	20.5%	0.62×	7.85

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Celtic under 1.5 in 1st half	78.9%	76.6%	—	—	1.31
Celtic over 0.5 in 1st half	57.4%	56.3%	—	—	1.78
Celtic under 0.5 in 1st half	42.6%	43.7%	—	—	2.29
Celtic over 1.5 in 1st half	21.1%	23.4%	—	—	4.28

Home highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Celtic scores more in 2nd half	42.0%	41.7%	—	—	2.40
Celtic scores equally in both	30.6%	33.1%	—	—	3.02
Celtic scores more in 1st half	27.4%	27.9%	—	—	3.59

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw (home no bet)	54.5%	51.5%	43.0%	1.20×	1.94
Hibernian (home no bet)	45.5%	48.5%	57.0%	0.85×	2.06

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Celtic even goals	50.9%	50.7%	51.7%	0.98×	1.97
Celtic odd goals	49.1%	49.3%	48.3%	1.02×	2.03

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	29.1%	28.5%	—	—	3.51
HT 1-0	24.9%	24.4%	—	—	4.09
HT 0-1	11.1%	11.0%	—	—	9.12
HT 2-0	10.6%	11.0%	—	—	9.12
HT 1-1	9.4%	6.9%	—	—	14.51
Any other HT score	6.2%	6.9%	—	—	14.56
HT 2-1	4.0%	2.4%	—	—	42.16
HT 0-2	2.1%	2.4%	—	—	42.28
HT 1-2	1.8%	2.4%	—	—	42.30
HT 2-2	0.8%	2.4%	—	—	42.37

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Celtic at HT / Celtic at FT	39.2%	41.5%	—	—	2.41
Draw at HT / Celtic at FT	19.5%	16.8%	—	—	5.95
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	12.4%	12.7%	—	—	7.89
Hibernian at HT / Hibernian at FT	8.7%	6.1%	—	—	16.45
Draw at HT / Hibernian at FT	7.4%	6.1%	—	—	16.48
Celtic at HT / Draw at FT	4.5%	3.5%	—	—	28.87
Hibernian at HT / Draw at FT	4.0%	3.5%	—	—	28.89
Hibernian at HT / Celtic at FT	2.9%	3.5%	—	—	28.93
Celtic at HT / Hibernian at FT	1.4%	3.5%	—	—	28.99

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Celtic to score last	64.2%	62.2%	—	—	1.61
Hibernian to score last	30.6%	32.3%	—	—	3.10
No goal scored	5.2%	7.5%	—	—	13.34

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	94.8%	92.6%	—	—	1.08
Celtic to lead by 1 at any time	73.7%	74.1%	—	—	1.35
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	53.7%	50.7%	—	—	1.97
Celtic to lead by 2 at any time	43.9%	39.2%	—	—	2.55
Hibernian to lead by 1 at any time	35.2%	34.7%	—	—	2.88
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	23.7%	19.5%	—	—	5.12
Celtic to lead by 3 at any time	21.4%	19.5%	—	—	5.13
Hibernian to lead by 2 at any time	10.0%	10.6%	—	—	9.48
Hibernian to lead by 3 at any time	2.3%	1.6%	—	—	62.99

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Celtic most corners	80.2%	81.2%	—	—	1.23
Hibernian most corners	13.2%	10.4%	—	—	9.58
Corners level	6.5%	8.3%	—	—	12.00

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	87.1%	87.4%	87.0%	1.00×	1.14
1-4 goals	77.4%	78.7%	79.8%	0.99×	1.27
2-6 goals	76.0%	78.7%	76.7%	1.03×	1.27
2-5 goals	71.2%	72.3%	71.1%	1.02×	1.38
2-4 goals	61.6%	63.3%	63.8%	0.99×	1.58
1-3 goals	61.0%	63.3%	61.6%	1.03×	1.58
3-6 goals	53.2%	53.2%	55.2%	0.96×	1.88
3-5 goals	48.5%	48.4%	49.6%	0.98×	2.06
2-3 goals	45.2%	48.4%	45.7%	1.06×	2.06
3-4 goals	38.8%	39.2%	42.4%	0.93×	2.55
1-2 goals	38.6%	39.2%	37.6%	1.04×	2.55
4-6 goals	30.8%	35.2%	31.2%	1.13×	2.84
4-5 goals	26.1%	30.2%	25.6%	1.18×	3.31
5-6 goals	14.4%	14.8%	13.0%	1.14×	6.75
7+ goals	3.0%	2.6%	1.9%	1.37×	39.13

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Celtic never behind	59.6%	62.7%	—	—	1.60
Hibernian never behind	21.1%	25.0%	—	—	4.00

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even number of goals	49.9%	50.9%	51.2%	0.99×	1.97
Odd number of goals	50.1%	49.1%	48.8%	1.01×	2.04

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	54.2%	51.8%	—	—	1.93
Odd goals in 1st half	45.8%	48.2%	—	—	2.07

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	51.6%	52.0%	—	—	1.92
Odd goals in 2nd half	48.4%	48.0%	—	—	2.08

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 goals	94.8%	92.3%	94.2%	0.98×	1.08
Under 5.5 goals	92.3%	92.3%	92.6%	1.00×	1.08
Under 4.5 goals	82.6%	82.3%	85.3%	0.96×	1.22
Over 1.5 goals	79.0%	77.3%	78.3%	0.99×	1.29
Under 3.5 goals	66.2%	66.3%	67.1%	0.99×	1.51
Over 2.5 goals	56.2%	58.6%	56.8%	1.03×	1.71
Under 2.5 goals	43.8%	41.4%	43.2%	0.96×	2.42
Over 3.5 goals	33.8%	33.7%	32.9%	1.03×	2.97
Under 1.5 goals	21.0%	22.7%	21.7%	1.05×	4.41
Over 4.5 goals	17.4%	17.7%	14.7%	1.21×	5.65
Over 5.5 goals	7.7%	7.7%	7.4%	1.04×	12.93
Under 0.5 goals	5.2%	7.7%	5.8%	1.34×	12.95

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	96.8%	97.2%	98.0%	0.99×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	91.4%	92.4%	92.0%	1.00×	1.08
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	79.2%	75.9%	82.1%	0.92×	1.32
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	72.8%	72.4%	72.4%	1.00×	1.38
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	56.4%	55.8%	56.8%	0.98×	1.79
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	43.6%	44.2%	43.2%	1.02×	2.26
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	27.2%	27.6%	27.6%	1.00×	3.62
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	20.8%	24.1%	17.9%	1.34×	4.15
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	8.6%	7.6%	8.0%	0.95×	13.18
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	3.2%	2.8%	2.0%	1.43×	35.60

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	87.2%	89.0%	—	—	1.12
Over 0.5 in 1st half	70.9%	71.3%	—	—	1.40
Under 1.5 in 1st half	65.1%	68.6%	—	—	1.46
Over 1.5 in 1st half	34.9%	31.4%	—	—	3.18
Under 0.5 in 1st half	29.1%	28.7%	—	—	3.48
Over 2.5 in 1st half	12.8%	11.0%	—	—	9.12

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	81.8%	82.9%	—	—	1.21
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	75.7%	79.5%	—	—	1.26
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	50.7%	53.1%	—	—	1.88
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	49.3%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	24.3%	20.5%	—	—	4.88
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	18.2%	17.1%	—	—	5.85

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Hibernian not to score in both halves	86.3%	85.5%	—	—	1.17
Celtic not to score in both halves	61.1%	63.2%	—	—	1.58
Celtic to score in both halves	38.9%	36.8%	—	—	2.72
Hibernian to score in both halves	13.7%	14.5%	—	—	6.91

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	52.7%	53.8%	52.3%	1.03×	1.86
Only Celtic scores	33.6%	33.3%	27.5%	1.21×	3.00
Only Hibernian scores	8.5%	7.1%	14.9%	0.48×	13.99
Neither team scores	5.2%	7.1%	5.8%	1.23×	14.02

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 2 goals	22.8%	22.6%	21.7%	1.04×	4.43
Exactly 3 goals	22.4%	22.6%	24.2%	0.93×	4.43
Exactly 4 goals	16.4%	17.5%	18.4%	0.95×	5.73
Exactly 1 goals	15.8%	17.5%	16.1%	1.08×	5.73
Exactly 5 goals	9.6%	7.6%	7.4%	1.02×	13.13
6 or more goals	7.7%	7.6%	7.4%	1.02×	13.14
Exactly 0 goals	5.2%	7.6%	5.8%	1.31×	13.15

Total goals 1st half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1 goal in 1st half	36.0%	37.2%	—	—	2.69
No goals in 1st half	29.1%	28.7%	—	—	3.49
2 goals in 1st half	22.1%	21.5%	—	—	4.66
3+ goals in 1st half	12.8%	10.9%	—	—	9.20

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	50.7%	51.0%	—	—	1.96
1 goal in 2nd half	31.1%	33.8%	—	—	2.96
No goals in 2nd half	18.2%	16.8%	—	—	5.95

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Hibernian not to win both halves	97.1%	97.2%	—	—	1.03
Celtic not to win both halves	77.7%	75.6%	—	—	1.32
Celtic to win both halves	22.3%	24.4%	—	—	4.10
Hibernian to win both halves	2.9%	2.8%	—	—	36.04

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Celtic to win either half	72.3%	73.0%	—	—	1.37
Hibernian to win neither half	68.7%	68.0%	—	—	1.47
Hibernian to win either half	31.3%	32.0%	—	—	3.12
Celtic to win neither half	27.7%	27.0%	—	—	3.71

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Hibernian not to win to nil	91.5%	92.1%	85.1%	1.08×	1.09
Celtic not to win to nil	66.4%	69.7%	72.5%	0.96×	1.44
Celtic to win to nil	33.6%	30.3%	27.5%	1.10×	3.30
Hibernian to win to nil	8.5%	7.9%	14.9%	0.53×	12.63

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Celtic by 1	24.3%	24.1%	19.6%	1.23×	4.15
Draw	20.9%	24.1%	23.3%	1.03×	4.15
Celtic by 2	18.8%	17.1%	14.5%	1.18×	5.86
Celtic by 3+	18.5%	17.1%	12.2%	1.40×	5.86
Hibernian by 1	11.7%	11.8%	17.8%	0.66×	8.51
Hibernian by 2	4.3%	2.7%	7.6%	0.36×	36.84
Hibernian by 3+	1.5%	2.7%	6.0%	0.45×	36.93