Celtic v Kilmarnock — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Saturday 7 November 2026 · SCO-Premiership · 2627

SCO-Premiership results-only Prediction generated 18 Sep 2026, 10:37 UTC

Celtic

15:00 UTC

Kilmarnock

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 27 Oct, 10:57 · 268h before kick-off

Celtic win

83.1%

model 84.0%

Draw

10.4%

model 10.3%

Kilmarnock win

6.5%

model 5.7%

83107

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (26 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

3-0 10.4%
2-0 9.9%
4-0 8.3%
3-1 7.9%
2-1 7.5%

Goals

Over 2.5	75.2%	Under 2.5	24.8%
BTTS yes	50.9%	BTTS no	49.1%
Celtic 1+	95.8%	Celtic 2+	82.6%
Kilmarnock 1+	53.2%	Kilmarnock 2+	17.7%

Expected goals 3.18 – 0.76. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

85/100

Data quality

75/100

Model agreement

98%

★ Best pick

Celtic (-1.5)

Asian handicap · usually 26%

68.7% fair odds 1.46

strong signal · 1169 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Over 0.5 in 1st half

Over/Under 1HT

83.9% fair odds 1.19

moderate signal · 385 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

Celtic carry the stronger rating, 1772 Elo against 1393.
Form is good: 3.00 points a match from the last five.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Celtic have an estimated 83.1% win probability, against 10.4% for the draw and 6.5% for Kilmarnock. Expected goals from the ensemble are 3.18 for Celtic and 0.76 for Kilmarnock.

Why Celtic

Celtic carry the stronger rating, 1772 Elo against 1393. Form is good: 3.00 points a match from the last five.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 10.4%. Draws run at 23% in this competition.

Why Kilmarnock can win

Nothing in the data singles out Kilmarnock.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Celtic, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Kilmarnock, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Celtic: 62% possession, 22.4 shots a match, 8.8 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Kilmarnock: 45% possession, 11.2 shots a match, 17.6 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Celtic's shot volume meets a defence that concedes shots freely.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-10-27 10:01 · team_stats 2026-10-27 06:03 · availability 2026-10-27 14:57 · prediction 2026-09-18 10:37 ·

Celtic are the model's most likely outcome at 83.1%. The likeliest scoreline is 3-0 at 10.4%. Confidence 85/100, data quality 75/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Live TV

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Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	84106	3.18–0.76	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	8695	3.45–0.79	3-0 10%	79%	53%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Celtic to win	86.1%	87.6%	45.9%	1.91×	1.14
Draw	9.0%	8.2%	23.3%	0.35×	12.19
Kilmarnock to win	4.9%	5.5%	31.0%	0.18×	18.14

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Celtic & not both score	44.0%	40.2%	27.5%	1.46×	2.49
Celtic & both teams score	42.1%	40.1%	18.6%	2.16×	2.50
Draw & both teams score	7.6%	8.3%	17.8%	0.47×	12.00
Kilmarnock & both teams score	3.2%	4.9%	16.3%	0.30×	20.52
Kilmarnock & not both score	1.8%	4.9%	14.9%	0.33×	20.56
Draw & not both score	1.4%	4.9%	5.8%	0.84×	20.57

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Celtic & over 1.5	81.0%	77.6%	36.6%	2.12×	1.29
Celtic & over 2.5	72.4%	67.5%	28.1%	2.40×	1.48
Celtic & over 3.5	55.7%	54.8%	15.9%	3.44×	1.83
Celtic & under 3.5	30.4%	30.7%	30.2%	1.02×	3.25
Celtic & under 2.5	13.7%	12.8%	18.0%	0.71×	7.79
Draw & over 1.5	7.6%	7.9%	17.8%	0.45×	12.63
Celtic & under 1.5	5.1%	7.9%	9.5%	0.83×	12.63
Draw & under 2.5	5.3%	7.9%	14.9%	0.53×	12.63
Draw & under 3.5	5.3%	7.9%	14.9%	0.53×	12.63
Kilmarnock & over 1.5	3.8%	4.8%	24.4%	0.20×	20.82
Draw & over 2.5	3.7%	4.8%	8.7%	0.55×	20.82
Draw & over 3.5	3.7%	4.8%	8.7%	0.55×	20.82
Kilmarnock & over 2.5	3.3%	4.8%	20.5%	0.23×	20.82
Kilmarnock & under 3.5	3.3%	4.8%	22.5%	0.21×	20.82
Kilmarnock & under 2.5	1.6%	4.8%	10.7%	0.45×	20.83
Kilmarnock & over 3.5	1.6%	4.8%	8.7%	0.55×	20.83
Draw & under 1.5	1.4%	4.8%	5.8%	0.83×	20.83
Kilmarnock & under 1.5	1.2%	4.8%	6.8%	0.70×	20.83

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Celtic (1UP)	91.8%	93.9%	—	—	1.06
Kilmarnock (1UP)	21.1%	21.6%	—	—	4.64

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Celtic (2UP)	86.1%	89.2%	—	—	1.12
Kilmarnock (2UP)	4.9%	6.6%	—	—	15.08

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Celtic to win 2nd half	73.0%	76.8%	—	—	1.30
2nd half drawn	19.0%	18.0%	—	—	5.56
Kilmarnock to win 2nd half	8.0%	7.0%	—	—	14.33

2nd half away goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kilmarnock under 1.5 in 2nd half	91.8%	91.7%	—	—	1.09
Kilmarnock under 0.5 in 2nd half	62.3%	60.3%	—	—	1.66
Kilmarnock over 0.5 in 2nd half	37.7%	39.7%	—	—	2.52
Kilmarnock over 1.5 in 2nd half	8.2%	8.3%	—	—	12.02

2nd half home goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Celtic over 0.5 in 2nd half	85.9%	88.6%	—	—	1.13
Celtic over 1.5 in 2nd half	58.3%	58.0%	—	—	1.72
Celtic under 1.5 in 2nd half	41.7%	42.0%	—	—	2.38
Celtic under 0.5 in 2nd half	14.1%	11.4%	—	—	8.80

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Celtic (+0.5)	95.1%	96.3%	69.0%	1.40×	1.04
Celtic (-0.5)	86.1%	88.5%	45.9%	1.93×	1.13
Celtic (-1.5)	70.3%	73.6%	26.4%	2.78×	1.36
Celtic (-2.5)	50.6%	52.4%	12.2%	4.30×	1.91
Kilmarnock (+2.5)	49.4%	47.6%	87.8%	0.54×	2.10
Kilmarnock (+1.5)	29.7%	26.4%	73.6%	0.36×	3.79
Kilmarnock (+0.5)	13.9%	11.5%	54.1%	0.21×	8.66
Kilmarnock (-0.5)	4.9%	3.7%	31.0%	0.12×	27.02

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kilmarnock to concede	96.8%	96.5%	79.5%	1.21×	1.04
Kilmarnock clean sheet	3.2%	3.5%	20.5%	0.17×	28.57

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kilmarnock to concede in 1st half	77.3%	78.7%	—	—	1.27
Kilmarnock clean sheet in 1st half	22.7%	21.3%	—	—	4.70

Away clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kilmarnock to concede in 2nd half	85.9%	89.5%	—	—	1.12
Kilmarnock clean sheet in 2nd half	14.1%	10.5%	—	—	9.50

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kilmarnock under 6.5 corners	91.5%	89.9%	—	—	1.11
Kilmarnock under 5.5 corners	84.1%	81.4%	—	—	1.23
Kilmarnock under 4.5 corners	72.2%	71.6%	—	—	1.40
Kilmarnock over 2.5 corners	64.0%	61.7%	—	—	1.62
Kilmarnock under 3.5 corners	55.7%	57.2%	—	—	1.75
Kilmarnock over 3.5 corners	44.3%	42.8%	—	—	2.34
Kilmarnock under 2.5 corners	36.0%	38.3%	—	—	2.61
Kilmarnock over 4.5 corners	27.8%	28.4%	—	—	3.52
Kilmarnock over 5.5 corners	15.9%	18.6%	—	—	5.38
Kilmarnock over 6.5 corners	8.5%	10.1%	—	—	9.89

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kilmarnock under 3.5 goals	99.1%	97.5%	96.3%	1.01×	1.03
Kilmarnock under 2.5 goals	95.4%	97.5%	85.5%	1.14×	1.03
Kilmarnock under 1.5 goals	81.3%	81.5%	63.2%	1.29×	1.23
Kilmarnock over 0.5 goals	54.6%	53.6%	66.9%	0.80×	1.87
Kilmarnock under 0.5 goals	45.4%	46.4%	33.1%	1.40×	2.15
Kilmarnock over 1.5 goals	18.7%	18.5%	36.8%	0.50×	5.41
Kilmarnock over 2.5 goals	4.6%	2.5%	14.5%	0.17×	39.74
Kilmarnock over 3.5 goals	0.9%	2.5%	3.7%	0.67×	39.93

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kilmarnock under 1.5 in 1st half	96.0%	96.0%	—	—	1.04
Kilmarnock under 0.5 in 1st half	72.9%	68.1%	—	—	1.47
Kilmarnock over 0.5 in 1st half	27.1%	31.9%	—	—	3.13
Kilmarnock over 1.5 in 1st half	4.0%	4.0%	—	—	25.30

Away highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kilmarnock scores equally in both	52.5%	51.2%	—	—	1.95
Kilmarnock scores more in 2nd half	29.4%	26.6%	—	—	3.76
Kilmarnock scores more in 1st half	18.1%	18.1%	—	—	5.53

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Celtic (away no bet)	90.6%	92.0%	66.3%	1.39×	1.09
Draw (away no bet)	9.4%	8.0%	33.7%	0.24×	12.48

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kilmarnock even goals	60.3%	59.1%	57.6%	1.02×	1.69
Kilmarnock odd goals	39.7%	40.9%	42.4%	0.97×	2.44

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	62.6%	65.4%	—	—	1.53
Both halves over 1.5 goals	37.4%	34.6%	—	—	2.89

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	86.0%	83.0%	—	—	1.21
Both halves under 1.5 goals	14.0%	17.0%	—	—	5.89

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	84.3%	81.5%	—	—	1.23
Celtic to score 2+ in a row	81.1%	80.2%	—	—	1.25
Either team to score 3+ in a row	57.4%	54.9%	—	—	1.82
Celtic to score 3+ in a row	56.4%	54.9%	—	—	1.82
Kilmarnock to score 2+ in a row	9.6%	5.6%	—	—	18.01
Kilmarnock to score 3+ in a row	1.3%	2.5%	—	—	40.15

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Celtic corners (+3.5)	97.8%	95.7%	—	—	1.04
Celtic corners (+2.5)	96.0%	95.7%	—	—	1.05
Celtic corners (+1.5)	92.9%	89.6%	—	—	1.12
Celtic corners (-1.5)	74.0%	70.8%	—	—	1.41
Celtic corners (-2.5)	64.7%	61.9%	—	—	1.62
Celtic corners (-3.5)	54.6%	52.4%	—	—	1.91
Kilmarnock corners (+3.5)	45.4%	47.6%	—	—	2.10
Kilmarnock corners (+2.5)	35.3%	38.1%	—	—	2.62
Kilmarnock corners (+1.5)	26.0%	29.2%	—	—	3.42
Kilmarnock corners (-1.5)	7.1%	10.4%	—	—	9.60
Kilmarnock corners (-2.5)	4.0%	4.3%	—	—	23.46
Kilmarnock corners (-3.5)	2.2%	4.3%	—	—	23.52

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
12+ corners	42.6%	38.3%	—	—	2.61
9-11 corners	29.5%	31.2%	—	—	3.20
0-8 corners	27.9%	31.2%	—	—	3.21

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 7.5 corners	80.8%	80.7%	—	—	1.24
Over 8.5 corners	72.1%	72.5%	—	—	1.38
Under 12.5 corners	66.4%	67.8%	—	—	1.48
Over 9.5 corners	62.4%	63.3%	—	—	1.58
Under 11.5 corners	57.4%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Over 10.5 corners	52.4%	53.2%	—	—	1.88
Under 10.5 corners	47.6%	46.8%	—	—	2.14
Over 11.5 corners	42.6%	42.1%	—	—	2.37
Under 9.5 corners	37.6%	36.8%	—	—	2.72
Over 12.5 corners	33.6%	32.2%	—	—	3.11
Under 8.5 corners	27.9%	27.5%	—	—	3.64
Under 7.5 corners	19.2%	19.3%	—	—	5.17

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.2%	—	—	1.99
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.8%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Any other score	26.2%	20.2%	4.1%	4.88×	4.96
2-0	8.6%	7.4%	8.7%	0.85×	13.51
3-0	9.9%	7.4%	5.6%	1.33×	13.51
4-0	8.6%	7.4%	3.5%	2.11×	13.51
2-1	6.8%	7.4%	7.0%	1.05×	13.51
3-1	7.8%	7.4%	5.6%	1.33×	13.51
4-1	6.7%	7.4%	1.4%	5.12×	13.51
1-0	5.1%	7.4%	9.5%	0.78×	13.51
0-0	1.4%	1.7%	5.8%	0.30×	58.31
0-1	1.2%	1.7%	6.8%	0.25×	58.31
0-2	0.5%	1.7%	4.1%	0.42×	58.32
0-3	0.1%	1.7%	3.3%	0.52×	58.32
0-4	0.0%	1.7%	0.4%	4.15×	58.32
1-1	3.9%	1.7%	9.3%	0.18×	58.30
1-2	1.6%	1.7%	8.9%	0.19×	58.31
1-3	0.4%	1.7%	3.1%	0.55×	58.32
1-4	0.1%	1.7%	0.8%	2.07×	58.32
2-2	2.7%	1.7%	6.6%	0.26×	58.30
2-3	0.7%	1.7%	2.3%	0.75×	58.32
2-4	0.1%	1.7%	0.8%	2.07×	58.32
3-2	3.1%	1.7%	2.9%	0.59×	58.30
3-3	0.8%	1.7%	2.3%	0.75×	58.31
3-4	0.2%	1.7%	0.4%	4.15×	58.32
4-2	2.7%	1.7%	0.6%	2.77×	58.30
4-3	0.7%	1.7%	0.8%	2.07×	58.32
4-4	0.1%	1.7%	0.2%	8.30×	58.32

DNB 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Celtic (2nd half DNB)	90.2%	91.8%	—	—	1.09
Kilmarnock (2nd half DNB)	9.8%	8.2%	—	—	12.16

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Celtic leading at HT (DNB)	89.8%	89.6%	—	—	1.12
Kilmarnock leading at HT (DNB)	10.2%	10.4%	—	—	9.65

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Celtic or draw (1X)	95.1%	94.5%	69.0%	1.37×	1.06
Celtic or Kilmarnock (12)	91.0%	91.8%	76.7%	1.20×	1.09
Kilmarnock or draw (X2)	13.9%	12.4%	54.1%	0.23×	8.03

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Celtic or draw at HT	92.4%	91.6%	—	—	1.09
Celtic or Kilmarnock at HT	74.7%	74.6%	—	—	1.34
Kilmarnock or draw at HT	32.9%	30.8%	—	—	3.25

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Celtic or draw (1UP)	95.1%	96.7%	—	—	1.03
Kilmarnock or draw (1UP)	21.1%	23.1%	—	—	4.34

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Celtic or draw in 2nd half	92.0%	93.0%	—	—	1.08
Celtic or Kilmarnock in 2nd half	81.0%	82.0%	—	—	1.22
Kilmarnock or draw in 2nd half	27.0%	23.2%	—	—	4.31

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half drawn	60.5%	61.3%	—	—	1.63
A half drawn	39.5%	38.7%	—	—	2.58

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Celtic (DNB)	94.6%	93.5%	59.7%	1.57×	1.07
Kilmarnock (DNB)	5.4%	6.5%	40.3%	0.16×	15.41

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Celtic to score first	80.2%	78.5%	—	—	1.27
Kilmarnock to score first	18.4%	18.2%	—	—	5.51
No goal scored	1.4%	4.3%	—	—	23.22

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams to score	52.8%	51.3%	52.3%	0.98×	1.95
Not both teams to score	47.2%	48.7%	47.7%	1.02×	2.05

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both score & over 2.5	48.9%	44.3%	43.2%	1.03×	2.26
Not both score & over 2.5	30.5%	34.5%	13.8%	2.50×	2.89
Not both score & under 2.5	16.8%	21.5%	34.1%	0.63×	4.65
Both score & under 2.5	3.9%	4.7%	9.3%	0.50×	21.31

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	83.9%	82.7%	83.9%	0.99×	1.21
Both teams to score 2+	16.1%	17.3%	16.1%	1.08×	5.77

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	67.6%	67.2%	—	—	1.49
Both teams to score in 2nd half	32.4%	32.8%	—	—	3.05

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	53.5%	54.8%	—	—	1.83
Both score 2nd half only	25.6%	26.7%	—	—	3.74
Both score 1st half only	14.1%	10.8%	—	—	9.29
Both score in both halves	6.8%	6.8%	—	—	14.77

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	79.1%	81.0%	—	—	1.23
Both teams to score by HT	20.9%	19.0%	—	—	5.27

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A goal in each half	76.1%	77.8%	—	—	1.29
A half without a goal	23.9%	22.2%	—	—	4.50

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
4-6 goals	47.7%	47.2%	31.2%	1.51×	2.12
2-3 goals	31.4%	30.7%	45.7%	0.67×	3.26
7+ goals	13.2%	16.9%	1.9%	9.11×	5.90
0-1 goals	7.7%	7.6%	21.7%	0.35×	13.11

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kilmarnock to score exactly 0	45.4%	42.9%	33.1%	1.30×	2.33
Kilmarnock to score exactly 1	35.8%	35.9%	30.4%	1.18×	2.79
Kilmarnock to score exactly 2	14.1%	12.9%	22.5%	0.57×	7.75
Kilmarnock to score 3+	4.6%	4.6%	14.5%	0.32×	21.76

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Celtic to score 3+	66.8%	59.9%	23.8%	2.52×	1.67
Celtic to score exactly 2	19.0%	18.8%	25.0%	0.75×	5.32
Celtic to score exactly 1	11.0%	14.3%	31.2%	0.46×	7.00
Celtic to score exactly 0	3.2%	6.2%	20.5%	0.30×	16.26

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Celtic leading at HT	67.1%	69.2%	—	—	1.45
Draw at HT	25.3%	25.4%	—	—	3.93
Kilmarnock leading at HT	7.6%	8.4%	—	—	11.93

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Celtic -1: 1	70.3%	64.3%	—	—	1.56
Celtic -1: X	15.8%	17.5%	—	—	5.72
Celtic -1: 2	13.9%	14.0%	—	—	7.15

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Celtic (0:1)	70.3%	71.0%	26.4%	2.68×	1.41
Draw (0:1)	15.8%	17.8%	19.6%	0.91×	5.62
Kilmarnock (0:1)	13.9%	13.7%	54.1%	0.25×	7.29

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Celtic (0:2)	50.6%	58.0%	12.2%	4.76×	1.73
Kilmarnock (0:2)	29.7%	24.2%	73.6%	0.33×	4.13
Draw (0:2)	19.7%	15.3%	14.5%	1.06×	6.55

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kilmarnock (0:3)	49.4%	50.3%	87.8%	0.57×	1.99
Celtic (0:3)	31.8%	26.5%	5.6%	4.75×	3.77
Draw (0:3)	18.8%	16.3%	6.8%	2.39×	6.13

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kilmarnock (0:4)	68.2%	75.7%	94.4%	0.80×	1.32
Celtic (0:4)	17.4%	10.6%	1.0%	10.29×	9.40
Draw (0:4)	14.4%	10.1%	4.8%	2.13×	9.88

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Celtic (1:0)	95.1%	93.8%	69.0%	1.36×	1.07
Draw (1:0)	3.6%	3.3%	17.8%	0.18×	30.56
Kilmarnock (1:0)	1.3%	3.2%	13.4%	0.24×	30.92

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Celtic (2:0)	98.7%	96.8%	86.6%	1.12×	1.03
Draw (2:0)	1.0%	2.3%	7.6%	0.30×	43.86
Kilmarnock (2:0)	0.3%	2.3%	6.0%	0.38×	43.91

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	52.1%	50.2%	—	—	1.99
1st half highest scoring	28.6%	26.2%	—	—	3.81
Halves equal	19.3%	18.7%	—	—	5.36

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Celtic to concede	54.6%	53.2%	66.9%	0.79×	1.88
Celtic clean sheet	45.4%	46.8%	33.1%	1.42×	2.14

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Celtic clean sheet in 1st half	72.9%	67.0%	—	—	1.49
Celtic to concede in 1st half	27.1%	33.0%	—	—	3.03

Home clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Celtic clean sheet in 2nd half	62.3%	59.8%	—	—	1.67
Celtic to concede in 2nd half	37.7%	40.2%	—	—	2.49

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Celtic over 2.5 corners	95.4%	94.9%	—	—	1.05
Celtic over 3.5 corners	89.7%	86.2%	—	—	1.16
Celtic over 4.5 corners	81.3%	81.0%	—	—	1.24
Celtic over 5.5 corners	70.6%	71.9%	—	—	1.39
Celtic over 6.5 corners	58.9%	57.5%	—	—	1.74
Celtic under 6.5 corners	41.1%	42.5%	—	—	2.35
Celtic under 5.5 corners	29.4%	28.1%	—	—	3.56
Celtic under 4.5 corners	18.7%	19.0%	—	—	5.26
Celtic under 3.5 corners	10.3%	13.8%	—	—	7.26
Celtic under 2.5 corners	4.6%	5.1%	—	—	19.49

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Celtic over 0.5 goals	96.8%	96.4%	79.5%	1.21×	1.04
Celtic over 1.5 goals	85.8%	87.3%	48.6%	1.80×	1.15
Celtic over 2.5 goals	66.8%	67.9%	23.8%	2.86×	1.47
Celtic under 3.5 goals	55.1%	58.6%	92.1%	0.64×	1.71
Celtic over 3.5 goals	44.9%	41.4%	7.9%	5.27×	2.42
Celtic under 2.5 goals	33.2%	32.1%	76.2%	0.42×	3.12
Celtic under 1.5 goals	14.2%	12.7%	51.4%	0.25×	7.85
Celtic under 0.5 goals	3.2%	3.6%	20.5%	0.18×	27.54

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Celtic over 0.5 in 1st half	77.3%	76.5%	—	—	1.31
Celtic under 1.5 in 1st half	56.4%	56.2%	—	—	1.78
Celtic over 1.5 in 1st half	43.6%	43.8%	—	—	2.29
Celtic under 0.5 in 1st half	22.7%	23.5%	—	—	4.25

Home highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Celtic scores more in 2nd half	48.8%	47.4%	—	—	2.11
Celtic scores more in 1st half	29.3%	27.9%	—	—	3.59
Celtic scores equally in both	22.0%	21.0%	—	—	4.77

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw (home no bet)	64.4%	60.1%	43.0%	1.40×	1.67
Kilmarnock (home no bet)	35.6%	39.9%	57.0%	0.70×	2.50

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Celtic even goals	50.1%	50.7%	51.7%	0.98×	1.97
Celtic odd goals	49.9%	49.3%	48.3%	1.02×	2.03

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 1-0	24.6%	24.4%	—	—	4.10
Any other HT score	18.9%	18.6%	—	—	5.38
HT 2-0	18.2%	18.6%	—	—	5.38
HT 0-0	16.6%	18.5%	—	—	5.39
HT 1-1	7.7%	6.9%	—	—	14.54
HT 2-1	5.7%	6.9%	—	—	14.57
HT 0-1	5.2%	6.9%	—	—	14.58
HT 1-2	1.2%	2.4%	—	—	42.34
HT 2-2	0.9%	2.4%	—	—	42.36
HT 0-2	0.8%	2.4%	—	—	42.37

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Celtic at HT / Celtic at FT	64.3%	66.8%	—	—	1.50
Draw at HT / Celtic at FT	18.5%	16.8%	—	—	5.96
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	4.7%	3.5%	—	—	28.86
Kilmarnock at HT / Celtic at FT	3.3%	3.5%	—	—	28.92
Celtic at HT / Draw at FT	2.3%	3.5%	—	—	28.95
Kilmarnock at HT / Kilmarnock at FT	2.4%	3.5%	—	—	28.95
Draw at HT / Kilmarnock at FT	2.0%	3.5%	—	—	28.96
Kilmarnock at HT / Draw at FT	2.0%	3.5%	—	—	28.97
Celtic at HT / Kilmarnock at FT	0.5%	3.4%	—	—	29.02

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Celtic to score last	80.2%	83.4%	—	—	1.20
Kilmarnock to score last	18.4%	14.2%	—	—	7.03
No goal scored	1.4%	4.3%	—	—	23.22

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	98.6%	95.6%	—	—	1.05
Celtic to lead by 1 at any time	91.8%	92.5%	—	—	1.08
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	79.0%	78.3%	—	—	1.28
Celtic to lead by 2 at any time	75.5%	77.8%	—	—	1.29
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	55.1%	54.8%	—	—	1.82
Celtic to lead by 3 at any time	54.5%	50.7%	—	—	1.97
Kilmarnock to lead by 1 at any time	21.1%	19.5%	—	—	5.13
Kilmarnock to lead by 2 at any time	4.0%	1.6%	—	—	61.42
Kilmarnock to lead by 3 at any time	0.7%	1.5%	—	—	64.65

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Celtic most corners	82.1%	81.3%	—	—	1.23
Kilmarnock most corners	11.6%	10.4%	—	—	9.59
Corners level	6.3%	8.3%	—	—	12.00

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-6 goals	79.1%	78.7%	76.7%	1.03×	1.27
1-5 goals	73.7%	72.3%	87.0%	0.83×	1.38
2-5 goals	67.4%	68.8%	71.1%	0.97×	1.45
3-6 goals	66.1%	68.8%	55.2%	1.25×	1.45
1-4 goals	57.2%	59.1%	79.8%	0.74×	1.69
3-5 goals	54.4%	53.2%	49.6%	1.07×	1.88
2-4 goals	50.9%	53.1%	63.8%	0.83×	1.88
4-6 goals	47.7%	48.4%	31.2%	1.55×	2.06
1-3 goals	37.7%	39.2%	61.6%	0.64×	2.55
3-4 goals	37.9%	39.2%	42.4%	0.92×	2.55
4-5 goals	36.0%	39.2%	25.6%	1.53×	2.55
2-3 goals	31.4%	35.2%	45.7%	0.77×	2.84
5-6 goals	28.2%	30.2%	13.0%	2.32×	3.31
1-2 goals	19.3%	18.8%	37.6%	0.50×	5.31
7+ goals	13.2%	14.8%	1.9%	7.96×	6.75

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Celtic never behind	77.5%	77.6%	—	—	1.29
Kilmarnock never behind	6.8%	3.9%	—	—	25.42

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even number of goals	49.9%	50.9%	51.2%	0.99×	1.97
Odd number of goals	50.1%	49.1%	48.8%	1.01×	2.04

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	51.4%	51.7%	—	—	1.93
Odd goals in 1st half	48.6%	48.3%	—	—	2.07

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	50.4%	52.0%	—	—	1.92
Odd goals in 2nd half	49.6%	48.0%	—	—	2.08

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 goals	98.6%	95.4%	94.2%	1.01×	1.05
Over 1.5 goals	92.3%	92.3%	78.3%	1.18×	1.08
Over 2.5 goals	79.3%	77.3%	56.8%	1.36×	1.29
Under 5.5 goals	75.1%	77.3%	92.6%	0.83×	1.29
Over 3.5 goals	60.9%	61.7%	32.9%	1.88×	1.62
Under 4.5 goals	58.6%	58.6%	85.3%	0.69×	1.71
Over 4.5 goals	41.4%	41.4%	14.7%	2.82×	2.42
Under 3.5 goals	39.1%	38.3%	67.1%	0.57×	2.61
Over 5.5 goals	24.9%	22.7%	7.4%	3.06×	4.40
Under 2.5 goals	20.7%	22.7%	43.2%	0.53×	4.41
Under 1.5 goals	7.7%	7.7%	21.7%	0.36×	12.93
Under 0.5 goals	1.4%	4.6%	5.8%	0.79×	21.85

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	91.2%	92.4%	72.4%	1.28×	1.08
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	85.0%	86.7%	98.0%	0.88×	1.15
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	74.7%	72.4%	43.2%	1.68×	1.38
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	70.2%	72.3%	92.0%	0.79×	1.38
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	51.5%	51.9%	17.9%	2.89×	1.93
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	48.5%	48.1%	82.1%	0.59×	2.08
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	29.8%	27.7%	8.0%	3.45×	3.62
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	25.3%	27.6%	56.8%	0.49×	3.62
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	15.0%	13.3%	2.0%	6.74×	7.53
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	8.8%	7.6%	27.6%	0.27×	13.18

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 in 1st half	83.4%	85.7%	—	—	1.17
Under 2.5 in 1st half	73.2%	71.3%	—	—	1.40
Over 1.5 in 1st half	53.6%	53.4%	—	—	1.87
Under 1.5 in 1st half	46.4%	46.6%	—	—	2.15
Over 2.5 in 1st half	26.8%	28.7%	—	—	3.49
Under 0.5 in 1st half	16.6%	14.3%	—	—	7.01

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	91.2%	90.1%	—	—	1.11
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	69.8%	68.6%	—	—	1.46
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	56.2%	55.2%	—	—	1.81
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	43.8%	44.8%	—	—	2.23
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	30.2%	31.4%	—	—	3.19
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	8.8%	9.9%	—	—	10.15

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kilmarnock not to score in both halves	89.8%	85.8%	—	—	1.17
Celtic to score in both halves	66.4%	70.0%	—	—	1.43
Celtic not to score in both halves	33.6%	30.0%	—	—	3.33
Kilmarnock to score in both halves	10.2%	14.2%	—	—	7.03

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	52.8%	53.8%	52.3%	1.03×	1.86
Only Celtic scores	44.0%	46.6%	27.5%	1.70×	2.15
Only Kilmarnock scores	1.8%	4.6%	14.9%	0.31×	21.65
Neither team scores	1.4%	4.6%	5.8%	0.80×	21.67

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
6 or more goals	24.9%	22.6%	7.4%	3.04×	4.43
Exactly 4 goals	19.5%	17.5%	18.4%	0.95×	5.73
Exactly 3 goals	18.4%	17.5%	24.2%	0.72×	5.73
Exactly 5 goals	16.5%	17.5%	7.4%	2.35×	5.73
Exactly 2 goals	13.0%	12.1%	21.7%	0.56×	8.25
Exactly 1 goals	6.3%	7.6%	16.1%	0.47×	13.14
Exactly 0 goals	1.4%	4.5%	5.8%	0.77×	22.38

Total goals 1st half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1 goal in 1st half	29.8%	28.7%	—	—	3.49
3+ goals in 1st half	26.8%	28.6%	—	—	3.50
2 goals in 1st half	26.8%	28.6%	—	—	3.50
No goals in 1st half	16.6%	15.6%	—	—	6.39

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	69.8%	62.4%	—	—	1.60
1 goal in 2nd half	21.4%	22.8%	—	—	4.38
No goals in 2nd half	8.8%	10.0%	—	—	10.00

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kilmarnock not to win both halves	99.4%	97.3%	—	—	1.03
Celtic to win both halves	49.0%	54.5%	—	—	1.84
Celtic not to win both halves	51.0%	45.5%	—	—	2.20
Kilmarnock to win both halves	0.6%	2.7%	—	—	37.00

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Celtic to win either half	91.1%	92.7%	—	—	1.08
Kilmarnock to win neither half	85.0%	91.5%	—	—	1.09
Kilmarnock to win either half	15.0%	8.5%	—	—	11.70
Celtic to win neither half	8.9%	7.3%	—	—	13.65

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kilmarnock not to win to nil	98.2%	96.2%	85.1%	1.13×	1.04
Celtic not to win to nil	56.0%	59.0%	72.5%	0.81×	1.69
Celtic to win to nil	44.0%	41.0%	27.5%	1.49×	2.44
Kilmarnock to win to nil	1.8%	3.8%	14.9%	0.26×	26.37

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Celtic by 3+	50.6%	45.1%	12.2%	3.70×	2.22
Celtic by 2	19.7%	17.1%	14.5%	1.18×	5.86
Celtic by 1	15.8%	17.0%	19.6%	0.87×	5.87
Draw	9.0%	7.2%	23.3%	0.31×	13.90
Kilmarnock by 1	3.6%	2.7%	17.8%	0.15×	36.86
Kilmarnock by 2	1.0%	2.7%	7.6%	0.35×	36.94
Kilmarnock by 3+	0.3%	2.7%	6.0%	0.45×	36.96