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Cercle Brugge KSV v KVC Westerlo — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Friday 20 November 2026 · BEL-Pro League · 2627

BEL-Pro League results-only Prediction generated

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily
Cercle Brugge KSV win
49.3%
model 48.8%
Draw
23.0%
model 23.2%
KVC Westerlo win
27.7%
model 28.0%

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (522 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

  1. 1-1 10.4%
  2. 2-1 9.4%
  3. 1-0 7.2%
  4. 2-0 6.9%
  5. 1-2 6.9%

Goals

Over 2.562.1% Under 2.537.9%
BTTS yes62.8% BTTS no37.2%
Cercle Brugge KSV 1+84.2% Cercle Brugge KSV 2+55.1%
KVC Westerlo 1+74.3% KVC Westerlo 2+39.3%

Expected goals 1.85 – 1.36. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence
78/100
Data quality
65/100
Model agreement
97%
★ Best pick
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)
Over/Under (whole line) · usually 38%
53.7% fair odds 1.86
strong signal · 700 settled matches behind the band
★ Most likely to land
Under 2.5 in 1st half
Over/Under 1HT
84.1% fair odds 1.19
moderate signal · 387 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

  • Nothing in the data singles out Cercle Brugge KSV.

Risk factors

  • No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.
Why the model thinks this

The price

Cercle Brugge KSV have an estimated 49.3% win probability, against 27.7% for KVC Westerlo and 23.0% for the draw. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.85 for Cercle Brugge KSV and 1.36 for KVC Westerlo.

Why Cercle Brugge KSV

Nothing in the data singles out Cercle Brugge KSV.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 23.0%. Draws run at 26% in this competition.

Why KVC Westerlo can win

Nothing in the data singles out KVC Westerlo.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Cercle Brugge KSV, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for KVC Westerlo, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Cercle Brugge KSV: 45% possession, 17.4 shots a match, 15.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. KVC Westerlo: 53% possession, 13.0 shots a match, 17.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Cercle Brugge KSV's shot volume meets a defence that concedes shots freely.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-10-21 11:56 · team_stats 2026-10-20 06:04 · availability 2026-10-21 15:05 · prediction 2026-09-18 10:37 ·

Cercle Brugge KSV are the model's most likely outcome at 49.3%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 10.4%. Confidence 78/100, data quality 65/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Live TV

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Was this pick made in advance?
A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

ModelHome / Draw / Away Expected goalsLikeliest score O2.5BTTS
ai-blend 1.85–1.36 0% 0% 0%
dc-xg 1.98–1.35 1-1 10% 65% 64%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section
Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Cercle Brugge KSV to win 51.8% 51.5% 42.8% 1.20× 1.94
KVC Westerlo to win 25.8% 27.9% 31.0% 0.90× 3.59
Draw 22.3% 24.4% 26.3% 0.93× 4.09
1X2 & GG/NG 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Cercle Brugge KSV & both teams score 29.8% 25.2% 18.6% 1.35× 3.97
Cercle Brugge KSV & not both score 22.1% 21.8% 24.3% 0.90× 4.59
Draw & both teams score 18.5% 18.0% 18.8% 0.96× 5.57
KVC Westerlo & both teams score 15.9% 18.0% 16.5% 1.09× 5.57
KVC Westerlo & not both score 10.0% 8.3% 14.6% 0.57× 12.00
Draw & not both score 3.8% 4.9% 7.7% 0.63× 20.58
1X2 & Over/Under 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Cercle Brugge KSV & over 1.5 45.0% 45.0% 33.6% 1.34× 2.22
Cercle Brugge KSV & over 2.5 38.0% 34.9% 26.0% 1.34× 2.87
Cercle Brugge KSV & under 3.5 27.9% 26.1% 29.4% 0.89× 3.84
Cercle Brugge KSV & over 3.5 23.9% 21.6% 13.6% 1.59× 4.63
KVC Westerlo & over 1.5 21.3% 21.6% 24.3% 0.89× 4.63
KVC Westerlo & over 2.5 18.0% 18.0% 19.7% 0.91× 5.56
Draw & over 1.5 18.5% 18.0% 18.8% 0.96× 5.56
KVC Westerlo & under 3.5 15.8% 18.0% 22.0% 0.82× 5.56
Cercle Brugge KSV & under 2.5 13.8% 12.8% 16.9% 0.76× 7.79
Draw & under 2.5 13.7% 12.8% 19.9% 0.65× 7.79
Draw & under 3.5 13.7% 12.8% 19.9% 0.65× 7.79
KVC Westerlo & over 3.5 10.1% 12.8% 9.1% 1.41× 7.79
Draw & over 2.5 8.7% 7.9% 6.6% 1.20× 12.63
Draw & over 3.5 8.7% 7.9% 6.6% 1.20× 12.63
KVC Westerlo & under 2.5 7.8% 7.9% 11.4% 0.69× 12.63
Cercle Brugge KSV & under 1.5 6.8% 7.9% 9.4% 0.84× 12.63
KVC Westerlo & under 1.5 4.6% 4.8% 6.8% 0.71× 20.81
Draw & under 1.5 3.8% 4.8% 7.7% 0.62× 20.81
1X2 1UP 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Cercle Brugge KSV (1UP) 68.4% 70.2% — — 1.43
KVC Westerlo (1UP) 46.6% 43.9% — — 2.28
1X2 2UP 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Cercle Brugge KSV (2UP) 51.8% 55.1% — — 1.82
KVC Westerlo (2UP) 25.8% 25.1% — — 3.99
2nd half 1X2 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Cercle Brugge KSV to win 2nd half 42.9% 41.9% — — 2.39
2nd half drawn 31.1% 34.3% — — 2.92
KVC Westerlo to win 2nd half 26.1% 25.7% — — 3.89
2nd half away goals O/U 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
KVC Westerlo under 1.5 in 2nd half 80.5% 84.2% — — 1.19
KVC Westerlo over 0.5 in 2nd half 55.5% 54.5% — — 1.84
KVC Westerlo under 0.5 in 2nd half 44.5% 45.5% — — 2.20
KVC Westerlo over 1.5 in 2nd half 19.5% 15.8% — — 6.34
2nd half home goals O/U 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Cercle Brugge KSV under 1.5 in 2nd half 68.9% 70.8% — — 1.41
Cercle Brugge KSV over 0.5 in 2nd half 67.6% 70.7% — — 1.41
Cercle Brugge KSV under 0.5 in 2nd half 32.4% 29.3% — — 3.41
Cercle Brugge KSV over 1.5 in 2nd half 31.1% 29.2% — — 3.42
Asian handicap 8
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
KVC Westerlo (+2.5) 85.5% 88.4% 89.5% 0.99× 1.13
Cercle Brugge KSV (+0.5) 74.2% 73.7% 69.0% 1.07× 1.36
KVC Westerlo (+1.5) 69.8% 68.7% 78.0% 0.88× 1.46
Cercle Brugge KSV (-0.5) 51.8% 52.4% 42.8% 1.22× 1.91
KVC Westerlo (+0.5) 48.2% 47.6% 57.2% 0.83× 2.10
Cercle Brugge KSV (-1.5) 30.2% 31.3% 22.0% 1.42× 3.19
KVC Westerlo (-0.5) 25.8% 26.3% 31.0% 0.85× 3.80
Cercle Brugge KSV (-2.5) 14.5% 11.6% 10.5% 1.10× 8.66
Away clean sheet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
KVC Westerlo to concede 86.2% 86.3% 77.8% 1.11× 1.16
KVC Westerlo clean sheet 13.8% 13.7% 22.2% 0.62× 7.28
Away clean sheet 1HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
KVC Westerlo to concede in 1st half 57.3% 57.0% — — 1.76
KVC Westerlo clean sheet in 1st half 42.7% 43.0% — — 2.32
Away clean sheet 2HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
KVC Westerlo to concede in 2nd half 67.6% 65.9% — — 1.52
KVC Westerlo clean sheet in 2nd half 32.4% 34.1% — — 2.93
Away corners O/U 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
KVC Westerlo over 2.5 corners 83.5% 81.4% — — 1.23
KVC Westerlo under 6.5 corners 71.9% 71.6% — — 1.40
KVC Westerlo over 3.5 corners 69.9% 67.6% — — 1.48
KVC Westerlo under 5.5 corners 59.6% 57.2% — — 1.75
KVC Westerlo over 4.5 corners 54.8% 53.1% — — 1.89
KVC Westerlo under 4.5 corners 45.2% 46.9% — — 2.13
KVC Westerlo over 5.5 corners 40.4% 42.8% — — 2.34
KVC Westerlo under 3.5 corners 30.1% 32.4% — — 3.09
KVC Westerlo over 6.5 corners 28.1% 28.4% — — 3.52
KVC Westerlo under 2.5 corners 16.5% 18.6% — — 5.38
Away goals O/U 8
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
KVC Westerlo under 3.5 goals 95.2% 97.5% 95.2% 1.02× 1.03
KVC Westerlo under 2.5 goals 84.5% 81.5% 86.9% 0.94× 1.23
KVC Westerlo over 0.5 goals 74.1% 71.9% 68.1% 1.06× 1.39
KVC Westerlo under 1.5 goals 60.9% 63.2% 64.7% 0.98× 1.58
KVC Westerlo over 1.5 goals 39.1% 36.8% 35.3% 1.04× 2.71
KVC Westerlo under 0.5 goals 25.9% 28.1% 31.9% 0.88× 3.56
KVC Westerlo over 2.5 goals 15.5% 18.5% 13.1% 1.41× 5.40
KVC Westerlo over 3.5 goals 4.8% 2.5% 4.8% 0.53× 39.79
Away goals O/U 1HT 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
KVC Westerlo under 1.5 in 1st half 89.7% 89.4% — — 1.12
KVC Westerlo under 0.5 in 1st half 58.3% 62.0% — — 1.61
KVC Westerlo over 0.5 in 1st half 41.7% 38.0% — — 2.63
KVC Westerlo over 1.5 in 1st half 10.3% 10.6% — — 9.45
Away highest scoring half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
KVC Westerlo scores more in 2nd half 38.9% 37.4% — — 2.68
KVC Westerlo scores equally in both 38.5% 37.4% — — 2.68
KVC Westerlo scores more in 1st half 22.5% 22.0% — — 4.55
Away no bet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Cercle Brugge KSV (away no bet) 69.9% 66.5% 61.9% 1.07× 1.51
Draw (away no bet) 30.1% 33.5% 38.1% 0.88× 2.98
Away Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
KVC Westerlo even goals 53.4% 52.6% 57.3% 0.92× 1.90
KVC Westerlo odd goals 46.6% 47.4% 42.7% 1.11× 2.11
Both halves O1.5 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both halves over 1.5 76.6% 81.3% — — 1.23
Both halves over 1.5 goals 23.4% 18.7% — — 5.34
Both halves U1.5 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both halves under 1.5 75.0% 67.5% — — 1.48
Both halves under 1.5 goals 25.0% 32.5% — — 3.08
Consecutive goals 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row 66.5% 62.3% — — 1.61
Cercle Brugge KSV to score 2+ in a row 48.7% 46.2% — — 2.16
Either team to score 3+ in a row 28.0% 25.2% — — 3.97
KVC Westerlo to score 2+ in a row 27.7% 25.2% — — 3.97
Cercle Brugge KSV to score 3+ in a row 20.8% 19.6% — — 5.10
KVC Westerlo to score 3+ in a row 7.8% 5.6% — — 17.93
Corner handicap 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Cercle Brugge KSV corners (+3.5) 88.2% 84.5% — — 1.18
Cercle Brugge KSV corners (+2.5) 82.7% 79.8% — — 1.25
Cercle Brugge KSV corners (+1.5) 75.6% 74.8% — — 1.34
KVC Westerlo corners (+3.5) 70.3% 70.7% — — 1.41
KVC Westerlo corners (+2.5) 61.5% 61.8% — — 1.62
KVC Westerlo corners (+1.5) 51.9% 52.4% — — 1.91
Cercle Brugge KSV corners (-1.5) 48.1% 47.6% — — 2.10
Cercle Brugge KSV corners (-2.5) 38.5% 38.2% — — 2.62
Cercle Brugge KSV corners (-3.5) 29.7% 29.3% — — 3.42
KVC Westerlo corners (-1.5) 24.4% 25.2% — — 3.97
KVC Westerlo corners (-2.5) 17.3% 20.2% — — 4.94
KVC Westerlo corners (-3.5) 11.8% 15.5% — — 6.45
Corner range 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
12+ corners 48.4% 41.8% — — 2.39
9-11 corners 27.9% 31.2% — — 3.21
0-8 corners 23.7% 25.7% — — 3.90
Corners O/U 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Over 7.5 corners 84.0% 80.7% — — 1.24
Over 8.5 corners 76.3% 76.6% — — 1.31
Over 9.5 corners 67.5% 67.8% — — 1.48
Under 12.5 corners 60.7% 63.2% — — 1.58
Over 10.5 corners 58.0% 57.9% — — 1.73
Under 11.5 corners 51.6% 53.2% — — 1.88
Over 11.5 corners 48.4% 46.8% — — 2.14
Under 10.5 corners 42.0% 42.1% — — 2.37
Over 12.5 corners 39.3% 36.8% — — 2.72
Under 9.5 corners 32.5% 32.2% — — 3.11
Under 8.5 corners 23.7% 23.4% — — 4.27
Under 7.5 corners 16.0% 19.3% — — 5.18
Corners Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Odd number of corners 50.0% 50.1% — — 2.00
Even number of corners 50.0% 49.9% — — 2.01
Correct score 26
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
1-1 9.8% 7.4% 12.3% 0.60× 13.50
2-1 9.5% 7.4% 8.8% 0.84× 13.50
1-0 6.8% 7.4% 9.4% 0.79× 13.51
1-2 6.5% 7.4% 8.8% 0.84× 13.51
2-0 7.0% 7.4% 7.7% 0.96× 13.51
3-1 6.3% 7.4% 2.9% 2.53× 13.51
Any other score 6.2% 7.4% 4.3% 1.72× 13.51
2-2 6.4% 7.4% 5.2% 1.41× 13.51
3-0 4.6% 1.7% 4.0% 0.43× 58.29
3-2 4.2% 1.7% 2.5% 0.70× 58.30
3-3 1.9% 1.7% 0.9% 1.86× 58.31
3-4 0.6% 1.7% 0.5% 3.71× 58.32
4-0 2.3% 1.7% 2.0% 0.86× 58.31
4-1 3.1% 1.7% 2.0% 0.86× 58.30
4-2 2.1% 1.7% 1.4% 1.24× 58.31
4-3 0.9% 1.7% 0.8% 2.23× 58.31
4-4 0.3% 1.7% 0.5% 3.71× 58.32
0-0 3.8% 1.7% 7.7% 0.22× 58.30
0-1 4.6% 1.7% 6.8% 0.25× 58.29
0-2 3.3% 1.7% 4.8% 0.36× 58.30
0-3 1.5% 1.7% 2.2% 0.80× 58.31
0-4 0.5% 1.7% 0.9% 1.85× 58.32
1-3 2.9% 1.7% 3.1% 0.56× 58.30
1-4 1.0% 1.7% 1.2% 1.39× 58.31
2-3 2.9% 1.7% 2.2% 0.80× 58.30
2-4 1.0% 1.7% 0.9% 1.85× 58.31
DNB 2nd half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Cercle Brugge KSV (2nd half DNB) 62.2% 62.5% — — 1.60
KVC Westerlo (2nd half DNB) 37.8% 37.5% — — 2.67
DNB half time 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Cercle Brugge KSV leading at HT (DNB) 65.0% 66.0% — — 1.52
KVC Westerlo leading at HT (DNB) 35.0% 34.0% — — 2.94
Double chance 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Cercle Brugge KSV or KVC Westerlo (12) 77.7% 75.6% 73.7% 1.03× 1.32
Cercle Brugge KSV or draw (1X) 74.2% 72.1% 69.0% 1.04× 1.39
KVC Westerlo or draw (X2) 48.2% 48.5% 57.2% 0.85× 2.06
Double chance 1HT 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Cercle Brugge KSV or draw at HT 78.2% 79.1% — — 1.26
Cercle Brugge KSV or KVC Westerlo at HT 62.2% 61.6% — — 1.62
KVC Westerlo or draw at HT 59.6% 57.2% — — 1.75
Double chance 1UP 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Cercle Brugge KSV or draw (1UP) 74.2% 79.7% — — 1.25
KVC Westerlo or draw (1UP) 48.2% 53.3% — — 1.88
Double chance 2HT 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Cercle Brugge KSV or draw in 2nd half 73.9% 74.3% — — 1.35
Cercle Brugge KSV or KVC Westerlo in 2nd half 68.9% 65.7% — — 1.52
KVC Westerlo or draw in 2nd half 57.1% 58.1% — — 1.72
Draw either half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
A half drawn 56.8% 58.4% — — 1.71
Neither half drawn 43.2% 41.6% — — 2.40
Draw no bet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Cercle Brugge KSV (DNB) 66.7% 67.4% 58.0% 1.16× 1.49
KVC Westerlo (DNB) 33.3% 32.6% 42.0% 0.78× 3.06
First goal 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Cercle Brugge KSV to score first 57.2% 62.1% — — 1.61
KVC Westerlo to score first 39.0% 32.9% — — 3.04
No goal scored 3.8% 4.3% — — 23.32
GG/NG 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Both teams to score 64.1% 56.7% 53.6% 1.06× 1.77
Not both teams to score 35.9% 43.3% 46.4% 0.93× 2.31
GG/NG & Over/Under 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Both score & over 2.5 54.3% 47.3% 41.4% 1.14× 2.12
Not both score & under 2.5 25.5% 33.3% 35.7% 0.93× 3.00
Not both score & over 2.5 10.4% 12.4% 10.8% 1.15× 8.10
Both score & under 2.5 9.8% 8.3% 12.3% 0.67× 12.05
GG/NG 2+ 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both teams to score 2+ 77.0% 79.6% 85.5% 0.93× 1.26
Both teams to score 2+ 23.0% 20.4% 14.5% 1.41× 4.91
GG/NG 2nd half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half 62.3% 65.7% — — 1.52
Both teams to score in 2nd half 37.7% 34.3% — — 2.91
GG/NG by half 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Neither half both score 47.4% 52.9% — — 1.89
Both score 2nd half only 28.7% 27.4% — — 3.64
Both score 1st half only 15.0% 10.7% — — 9.32
Both score in both halves 9.0% 6.8% — — 14.61
GG/NG half time 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both to score by HT 76.0% 81.1% — — 1.23
Both teams to score by HT 24.0% 18.9% — — 5.30
Goal in both halves 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
A goal in each half 64.5% 59.8% — — 1.67
A half without a goal 35.5% 40.2% — — 2.49
Goal range 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2-3 goals 42.1% 42.1% 47.6% 0.88× 2.37
4-6 goals 37.4% 35.1% 26.3% 1.33× 2.85
0-1 goals 15.2% 20.2% 23.6% 0.86× 4.95
7+ goals 5.3% 7.6% 2.8% 2.74× 13.18
Goals away 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
KVC Westerlo to score exactly 1 35.0% 33.9% 33.0% 1.03× 2.95
KVC Westerlo to score exactly 0 25.9% 27.4% 31.9% 0.86× 3.66
KVC Westerlo to score exactly 2 23.6% 22.3% 22.3% 1.00× 4.48
KVC Westerlo to score 3+ 15.5% 19.6% 13.1% 1.49× 5.11
Goals home 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Cercle Brugge KSV to score 3+ 31.8% 32.6% 19.3% 1.69× 3.07
Cercle Brugge KSV to score exactly 1 27.3% 26.5% 34.5% 0.77× 3.77
Cercle Brugge KSV to score exactly 2 27.1% 26.5% 24.3% 1.09× 3.77
Cercle Brugge KSV to score exactly 0 13.8% 14.3% 22.2% 0.65× 6.98
Half time 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Cercle Brugge KSV leading at HT 40.4% 42.8% — — 2.34
Draw at HT 37.8% 38.4% — — 2.60
KVC Westerlo leading at HT 21.8% 20.9% — — 4.79
Handicap 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Cercle Brugge KSV -1: 2 48.2% 46.9% — — 2.13
Cercle Brugge KSV -1: 1 30.2% 30.0% — — 3.33
Cercle Brugge KSV -1: X 21.6% 23.5% — — 4.26
Handicap 0:1 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
KVC Westerlo (0:1) 48.2% 46.2% 57.2% 0.81× 2.17
Cercle Brugge KSV (0:1) 30.2% 30.1% 22.0% 1.36× 3.33
Draw (0:1) 21.6% 24.2% 21.0% 1.16× 4.13
Handicap 0:2 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
KVC Westerlo (0:2) 69.8% 72.3% 78.0% 0.93× 1.38
Draw (0:2) 15.8% 15.3% 11.7% 1.30× 6.55
Cercle Brugge KSV (0:2) 14.5% 11.0% 10.5% 1.05× 9.09
Handicap 0:3 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
KVC Westerlo (0:3) 85.5% 90.6% 89.5% 1.01× 1.10
Draw (0:3) 8.7% 5.8% 6.2% 0.94× 17.19
Cercle Brugge KSV (0:3) 5.8% 5.8% 4.5% 1.30× 17.24
Handicap 0:4 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
KVC Westerlo (0:4) 94.2% 94.6% 95.5% 0.99× 1.06
Draw (0:4) 3.8% 1.2% 2.5% 0.50× 81.68
Cercle Brugge KSV (0:4) 2.0% 1.2% 2.2% 0.57× 81.88
Handicap 1:0 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Cercle Brugge KSV (1:0) 74.2% 72.4% 69.0% 1.05× 1.38
Draw (1:0) 14.7% 12.7% 17.7% 0.72× 7.86
KVC Westerlo (1:0) 11.2% 12.7% 13.4% 0.95× 7.88
Handicap 2:0 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Cercle Brugge KSV (2:0) 88.8% 88.5% 86.6% 1.02× 1.13
Draw (2:0) 7.3% 6.4% 8.6% 0.74× 15.69
KVC Westerlo (2:0) 3.8% 2.3% 4.9% 0.47× 43.59
Highest scoring half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2nd half highest scoring 50.1% 50.1% — — 2.00
1st half highest scoring 27.4% 26.2% — — 3.81
Halves equal 22.4% 24.3% — — 4.11
Home clean sheet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Cercle Brugge KSV to concede 74.1% 73.2% 68.1% 1.08× 1.37
Cercle Brugge KSV clean sheet 25.9% 26.8% 31.9% 0.84× 3.73
Home clean sheet 1HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Cercle Brugge KSV clean sheet in 1st half 58.3% 62.0% — — 1.61
Cercle Brugge KSV to concede in 1st half 41.7% 38.0% — — 2.63
Home clean sheet 2HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Cercle Brugge KSV to concede in 2nd half 55.5% 54.8% — — 1.83
Cercle Brugge KSV clean sheet in 2nd half 44.5% 45.2% — — 2.21
Home corners O/U 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Cercle Brugge KSV over 2.5 corners 91.5% 89.2% — — 1.12
Cercle Brugge KSV over 3.5 corners 82.7% 81.0% — — 1.24
Cercle Brugge KSV over 4.5 corners 71.3% 71.8% — — 1.39
Cercle Brugge KSV over 5.5 corners 58.5% 57.5% — — 1.74
Cercle Brugge KSV under 6.5 corners 54.2% 52.6% — — 1.90
Cercle Brugge KSV over 6.5 corners 45.8% 47.4% — — 2.11
Cercle Brugge KSV under 5.5 corners 41.5% 42.5% — — 2.35
Cercle Brugge KSV under 4.5 corners 28.7% 28.2% — — 3.55
Cercle Brugge KSV under 3.5 corners 17.3% 19.0% — — 5.25
Cercle Brugge KSV under 2.5 corners 8.5% 10.8% — — 9.27
Home goals O/U 8
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Cercle Brugge KSV over 0.5 goals 86.2% 87.2% 77.8% 1.12× 1.15
Cercle Brugge KSV under 3.5 goals 86.1% 87.2% 90.9% 0.96× 1.15
Cercle Brugge KSV under 2.5 goals 68.2% 68.0% 80.7% 0.84× 1.47
Cercle Brugge KSV over 1.5 goals 58.8% 58.6% 43.5% 1.35× 1.71
Cercle Brugge KSV under 1.5 goals 41.2% 41.4% 56.5% 0.73× 2.42
Cercle Brugge KSV over 2.5 goals 31.8% 32.0% 19.3% 1.66× 3.12
Cercle Brugge KSV under 0.5 goals 13.8% 12.8% 22.2% 0.57× 7.84
Cercle Brugge KSV over 3.5 goals 13.9% 12.8% 9.1% 1.40× 7.84
Home goals O/U 1HT 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Cercle Brugge KSV under 1.5 in 1st half 79.0% 77.6% — — 1.29
Cercle Brugge KSV over 0.5 in 1st half 57.3% 56.7% — — 1.76
Cercle Brugge KSV under 0.5 in 1st half 42.7% 43.3% — — 2.31
Cercle Brugge KSV over 1.5 in 1st half 21.0% 22.4% — — 4.46
Home highest scoring half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Cercle Brugge KSV scores more in 2nd half 41.9% 42.1% — — 2.38
Cercle Brugge KSV scores equally in both 30.6% 32.9% — — 3.04
Cercle Brugge KSV scores more in 1st half 27.4% 27.8% — — 3.59
Home no bet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
KVC Westerlo (home no bet) 53.7% 51.4% 54.0% 0.95× 1.95
Draw (home no bet) 46.3% 48.6% 46.0% 1.06× 2.06
Home Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Cercle Brugge KSV even goals 51.0% 50.7% 52.7% 0.96× 1.97
Cercle Brugge KSV odd goals 49.0% 49.3% 47.3% 1.04× 2.03
HT correct score 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
HT 0-0 24.9% 24.5% — — 4.09
HT 1-0 21.1% 24.4% — — 4.10
HT 0-1 13.4% 11.0% — — 9.07
HT 1-1 11.5% 11.0% — — 9.08
HT 2-0 9.0% 6.9% — — 14.46
Any other HT score 7.2% 6.9% — — 14.49
HT 2-1 4.9% 2.4% — — 41.96
HT 0-2 3.6% 2.4% — — 42.04
HT 1-2 3.1% 2.4% — — 42.08
HT 2-2 1.3% 2.4% — — 42.19
HT/FT 9
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Cercle Brugge KSV at HT / Cercle Brugge KSV at FT 32.5% 32.2% — — 3.11
Draw at HT / Cercle Brugge KSV at FT 16.0% 16.7% — — 5.99
KVC Westerlo at HT / KVC Westerlo at FT 13.7% 12.7% — — 7.90
Draw at HT / Draw at FT 12.0% 12.6% — — 7.91
Draw at HT / KVC Westerlo at FT 9.7% 6.0% — — 16.55
Cercle Brugge KSV at HT / Draw at FT 5.5% 6.0% — — 16.67
KVC Westerlo at HT / Draw at FT 4.8% 3.5% — — 28.59
KVC Westerlo at HT / Cercle Brugge KSV at FT 3.3% 3.5% — — 28.64
Cercle Brugge KSV at HT / KVC Westerlo at FT 2.4% 3.5% — — 28.68
Last goal 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Cercle Brugge KSV to score last 57.2% 56.5% — — 1.77
KVC Westerlo to score last 39.0% 38.7% — — 2.58
No goal scored 3.8% 4.3% — — 23.32
Lead at any time 9
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time 96.2% 95.6% — — 1.05
Cercle Brugge KSV to lead by 1 at any time 68.4% 69.4% — — 1.44
Either team to lead by 2 at any time 56.0% 54.8% — — 1.82
KVC Westerlo to lead by 1 at any time 46.6% 44.5% — — 2.25
Cercle Brugge KSV to lead by 2 at any time 38.5% 34.7% — — 2.88
Either team to lead by 3 at any time 23.6% 19.7% — — 5.08
KVC Westerlo to lead by 2 at any time 17.9% 15.0% — — 6.69
Cercle Brugge KSV to lead by 3 at any time 17.9% 15.0% — — 6.69
KVC Westerlo to lead by 3 at any time 5.7% 6.7% — — 14.98
Most corners 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Cercle Brugge KSV most corners 57.9% 55.7% — — 1.80
KVC Westerlo most corners 32.7% 34.3% — — 2.91
Corners level 9.4% 8.4% — — 11.96
Multi goal 15
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
1-5 goals 84.1% 83.4% 86.0% 0.97× 1.20
2-6 goals 79.5% 78.7% 73.8% 1.07× 1.27
2-5 goals 72.7% 72.4% 70.1% 1.03× 1.38
1-4 goals 71.9% 72.4% 76.9% 0.94× 1.38
2-4 goals 60.5% 63.3% 61.0% 1.04× 1.58
3-6 goals 59.4% 59.1% 49.5% 1.19× 1.69
1-3 goals 53.5% 53.2% 63.5% 0.84× 1.88
3-5 goals 52.6% 53.2% 45.8% 1.16× 1.88
2-3 goals 42.1% 43.6% 47.6% 0.92× 2.30
3-4 goals 40.4% 43.6% 36.7% 1.19× 2.30
4-6 goals 37.4% 39.2% 26.3% 1.49× 2.55
1-2 goals 31.5% 35.2% 40.4% 0.87× 2.84
4-5 goals 30.6% 35.2% 22.7% 1.55× 2.84
5-6 goals 19.0% 18.8% 12.9% 1.46× 5.31
7+ goals 5.3% 8.9% 2.8% 3.20× 11.28
Never down 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Cercle Brugge KSV never behind 49.5% 56.8% — — 1.76
KVC Westerlo never behind 27.8% 30.1% — — 3.33
Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Odd number of goals 49.4% 50.9% 50.1% 1.02× 1.96
Even number of goals 50.6% 49.1% 49.9% 0.98× 2.04
Odd/Even 1HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Even goals in 1st half 53.2% 51.6% — — 1.94
Odd goals in 1st half 46.8% 48.4% — — 2.07
Odd/Even 2HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Even goals in 2nd half 51.2% 51.9% — — 1.93
Odd goals in 2nd half 48.8% 48.1% — — 2.08
Over/Under 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Over 0.5 goals 96.2% 95.4% 92.3% 1.03× 1.05
Under 5.5 goals 87.9% 87.6% 93.5% 0.94× 1.14
Over 1.5 goals 84.8% 82.3% 76.4% 1.08× 1.22
Under 4.5 goals 75.7% 77.3% 84.4% 0.92× 1.29
Over 2.5 goals 64.7% 61.7% 52.1% 1.19× 1.62
Under 3.5 goals 57.4% 58.6% 71.0% 0.83× 1.71
Over 3.5 goals 42.6% 41.4% 29.0% 1.43× 2.42
Under 2.5 goals 35.3% 38.3% 47.9% 0.80× 2.61
Over 4.5 goals 24.3% 22.7% 15.6% 1.46× 4.40
Under 1.5 goals 15.2% 17.7% 23.6% 0.75× 5.65
Over 5.5 goals 12.1% 12.4% 6.5% 1.92× 8.07
Under 0.5 goals 3.8% 4.6% 7.7% 0.59× 21.86
Over/Under (whole line) 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6) 94.3% 92.4% 97.1% 0.95× 1.08
Under 5 (void on exactly 5) 86.3% 86.7% 92.9% 0.93× 1.15
Over 2 (void on exactly 2) 80.9% 81.1% 68.8% 1.18× 1.23
Under 4 (void on exactly 4) 70.3% 72.4% 82.0% 0.88× 1.38
Over 3 (void on exactly 3) 54.7% 51.9% 37.7% 1.38× 1.93
Under 3 (void on exactly 3) 45.3% 48.1% 62.3% 0.77× 2.08
Over 4 (void on exactly 4) 29.7% 27.6% 18.0% 1.54× 3.62
Under 2 (void on exactly 2) 19.1% 18.9% 31.2% 0.61× 5.28
Over 5 (void on exactly 5) 13.7% 13.3% 7.1% 1.87× 7.53
Over 6 (void on exactly 6) 5.7% 7.6% 2.9% 2.64× 13.17
Over/Under 1HT 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half 83.6% 85.8% — — 1.17
Over 0.5 in 1st half 75.1% 78.0% — — 1.28
Under 1.5 in 1st half 59.4% 63.8% — — 1.57
Over 1.5 in 1st half 40.6% 36.2% — — 2.76
Under 0.5 in 1st half 24.9% 22.0% — — 4.55
Over 2.5 in 1st half 16.5% 14.2% — — 7.07
Over/Under 2HT 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Over 0.5 in 2nd half 85.5% 85.4% — — 1.17
Under 2.5 in 2nd half 69.3% 68.8% — — 1.45
Over 1.5 in 2nd half 57.8% 54.9% — — 1.82
Under 1.5 in 2nd half 42.2% 45.1% — — 2.22
Over 2.5 in 2nd half 30.7% 31.2% — — 3.21
Under 0.5 in 2nd half 14.5% 14.6% — — 6.85
Score both halves 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
KVC Westerlo not to score in both halves 76.8% 78.4% — — 1.28
Cercle Brugge KSV not to score in both halves 61.2% 63.5% — — 1.57
Cercle Brugge KSV to score in both halves 38.8% 36.5% — — 2.74
KVC Westerlo to score in both halves 23.2% 21.6% — — 4.63
Teams to score 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Both teams score 64.1% 60.3% 53.6% 1.13× 1.66
Only Cercle Brugge KSV scores 22.1% 22.3% 24.3% 0.91× 4.49
Only KVC Westerlo scores 10.0% 7.1% 14.6% 0.49× 14.02
Neither team scores 3.8% 4.6% 7.7% 0.60× 21.68
Total goals 7
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Exactly 3 goals 22.0% 22.6% 23.3% 0.97× 4.43
Exactly 2 goals 20.1% 22.6% 24.5% 0.92× 4.43
Exactly 4 goals 18.3% 17.5% 13.6% 1.29× 5.73
Exactly 5 goals 12.2% 12.1% 9.2% 1.31× 8.25
6 or more goals 12.1% 12.1% 6.5% 1.87× 8.25
Exactly 1 goals 11.4% 12.1% 16.0% 0.76× 8.25
Exactly 0 goals 3.8% 4.5% 7.7% 0.58× 22.38
Total goals 1st half 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
1 goal in 1st half 34.5% 35.9% — — 2.79
No goals in 1st half 24.9% 21.6% — — 4.64
2 goals in 1st half 24.1% 21.5% — — 4.64
3+ goals in 1st half 16.5% 15.6% — — 6.41
Total goals 2nd half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half 57.8% 54.2% — — 1.85
1 goal in 2nd half 27.7% 29.3% — — 3.41
No goals in 2nd half 14.5% 14.4% — — 6.95
Win both halves 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
KVC Westerlo not to win both halves 94.3% 94.2% — — 1.06
Cercle Brugge KSV not to win both halves 82.6% 83.9% — — 1.19
Cercle Brugge KSV to win both halves 17.4% 16.1% — — 6.20
KVC Westerlo to win both halves 5.7% 5.8% — — 17.11
Win either half 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Cercle Brugge KSV to win either half 65.9% 67.7% — — 1.48
KVC Westerlo to win neither half 57.8% 59.1% — — 1.69
KVC Westerlo to win either half 42.2% 40.9% — — 2.44
Cercle Brugge KSV to win neither half 34.1% 32.3% — — 3.10
Win to nil 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
KVC Westerlo not to win to nil 90.0% 92.1% 85.4% 1.08× 1.09
Cercle Brugge KSV not to win to nil 77.9% 78.1% 75.7% 1.03× 1.28
Cercle Brugge KSV to win to nil 22.1% 21.9% 24.3% 0.90× 4.57
KVC Westerlo to win to nil 10.0% 7.9% 14.6% 0.54× 12.60
Winning margin 7
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Draw 22.3% 24.1% 26.3% 0.91× 4.15
Cercle Brugge KSV by 1 21.6% 24.1% 21.0% 1.15× 4.15
Cercle Brugge KSV by 2 15.8% 17.0% 11.7% 1.46× 5.87
KVC Westerlo by 1 14.7% 11.8% 17.7% 0.66× 8.50
Cercle Brugge KSV by 3+ 14.5% 11.8% 10.5% 1.12× 8.50
KVC Westerlo by 2 7.3% 7.2% 8.6% 0.83× 13.91
KVC Westerlo by 3+ 3.8% 2.7% 4.9% 0.55× 36.78
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Match

What this page is for

One fixture in full. The model's probability for every market it prices, the prices stored against them, the teams expected to feature, and for a match already played, the shot map and the xG timeline.

How to read the shot map

Every shot is placed where it was taken and sized by its chance of being scored. A cluster of small marks from distance and a clean sheet is a side that was busy without ever threatening; two big marks and a defeat is a side that had the better of it and lost anyway. Both happen constantly, and both are invisible in the score.

How to read the xG timeline

The steps are chances as they arrived, so the shape shows who was on top and when. A flat line that jumps once near the end is a smash and grab.

Things to watch

The stored prediction is the one made before the match, kept deliberately so it can be judged afterwards. It is not re-fitted with hindsight.

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